Racing Tips

Belmont Racing Tips: Saturday, August 28th

Tim Geers highlights his best bets on the card at Belmont on Idyllic Prince Stakes day, headlined by a standout bet in the last.

by
Tim Geers
27 August 2021

Racing today at Belmont is headlined by the Listed Idyllic Prince Stakes, which comes up as Race 8 on the nine-race card.

The track is rated a Good 4 with the rail out 6m the entire circuit.

Tim Geers has picked out his best bets on the card, with the day’s standout bet coming up in the final race.

Scroll down for his preview and betting tips!

Best Bet: Race 9 – (5) Kaptain Kaos

Race 1

Free Entry To Belmont (Bm78+) (2200m)
1:18pm (AEDT)

Race 1 Free Entry To Belmont (Bm78+) (2200m) 1:18pm (AEDT)
1. Come Play With Me (2) J: Ms Victoria Corver (66kg) T: A G Durrant
2. Montelena (3) J: Chris Parnham (60kg) T: D T Mcauliffe	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.85	2.9
3. Bella's Idol (4) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (59kg) T: Summer Dickson	5.5	5.5	6	6	6.4	6
4. Zaratite (5) J: William Pike (56.5kg) T: G & A Williams	1.75	1.8	1.75	1.75	1.68	1.8
5. Purist (1) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (54kg) T: Ms L M Newman	35	31	34	26	35	21

Odds Last Updated: August 28, 2021, 1:21pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Amelia Park (Bm72+) (1600m)
1:57pm (AEDT)

Race 2 Amelia Park (Bm72+) (1600m) 1:57pm (AEDT)
1. Cockney Crew (1) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (62.5kg) T: Kieran Mcdonagh	8.5	8	8.5	8.5	9.1	8.5
2. Bad Wolf (7) J: Chris Parnham (56kg) T: A W Maley	6	5.5	5.5	6	5.7	6
3. Ouqba Ted (4) J: Laqdar Ramoly (55.5kg) T: C H Webster	35	31	31	26	36	34
4. Skinnen Tins (2) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (55.5kg) T: A W Maley	16	15	15	15	16.2	16
5. Giant Leap (6) J: William Pike (54kg) T: G & A Williams	2.35	2.45	2.4	2.6	2.45	2.3
6. Gunnago (5) J: Shaun O'donnell (54kg) T: J N Pateman	9	9.5	9	9	8.4	9.5
7. Nobel Laurence (3) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (54kg) T: D E Skipworth	3.8	3.8	3.7	3.5	3.5	3.7

Odds Last Updated: August 28, 2021, 2:01pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Vale Neil Cayley Plate (1000m)
2:37pm (AEDT)

Race 3 Vale Neil Cayley Plate (1000m) 2:37pm (AEDT)
1. Toppa The Mountain (2) J: Brad Rawiller (58kg) T: D L Morton	26	26	21	21	25	26
2. Policiere (8) J: Joseph Azzopardi (57.5kg) T: D & B Pearce	4	4	4	4	4.3	4
3. Michelada (9) J: Chris Parnham (56kg) T: Simon Miller	9.5	10	13	12	12.2	11
4. Defending (5) J: Shaun O'donnell (56kg) T: D & B Pearce	16	14	14	13	14.6	14
5. Prince Ragnar (1) J: William Pike (56kg) T: G & A Williams	2.7	2.8	2.7	2.7	2.6	2.8
6. Prince Of Guelph (6) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (56kg) T: D R Harrison	71	81	81	81	73	81
7. Story Book (7) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (54kg) T: T M Andrews	11	10	9	10	10	10
8. Finest Clobber (3) J: Patrick Carbery (54kg) T: A G Durrant	26	26	26	26	27.5	26
9. Harmika (4) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (54kg) T: A G Durrant	4.8	4.6	4.6	4.6	4.6	4.4

Odds Last Updated: August 28, 2021, 2:41pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Tabtouch Westspeed (Rs0mw) (1200m)
3:17pm (AEDT)

Race 4 Tabtouch Westspeed (Rs0mw) (1200m) 3:17pm (AEDT)
1. Ohbeeh (4) J: Keshaw Dhurun (62kg) T: J P Taylor	5	4.8	4.8	5	4.9	4.8
2. Apple Schnapps (9) J: William Pike (59.5kg) T: L Smith	6.5	6.5	7	6.5	5.9	6.5
3. Gunmetal Grey (8) J: Chris Parnham (57kg) T: R W Price	2.4	2.45	2.4	2.4	2.55	2.4
4. Snippy Miss (6) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (56.5kg) T: A G Durrant	13	13	14	14	12	13
5. Looks Like Magic (5) J: Shaun O'donnell (55.5kg) T: B H Hyde	5	5	5.5	5	5.1	5
6. Cut The Cord (10) J: Unknown (55kg) T: Hayden Ballantyne
7. Carabinier (3) J: Craig Staples (54kg) T: P H Jordan	31	26	31	26	26.5	26
8. Datalka (7) J: Troy Turner (54kg) T: P H Jordan	91	101	101	101	111	101
9. I'm Icey (1) J: Steven Parnham (54kg) T: N D Parnham	23	21	21	21	18.8	21
10. Lock Her In (2) J: Ms Chloe Azzopardi (54kg) T: Kate Kersley	23	21	21	21	21	23

Odds Last Updated: August 28, 2021, 3:21pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Seacorp (Rs1mw) (1000m)
3:57pm (AEDT)

Race 5 Seacorp (Rs1mw) (1000m) 3:57pm (AEDT)
1. Blazing Billy (1) J: William Pike (60kg) T: Ms A King	2.6	2.6	2.6	2.7	2.6	2.6
2. Jag The Joker (6) J: Brad Rawiller (59kg) T: A W Maley	4.6	4.6	4.4	4.6	4.8	4.4
3. Wocknwoll (2) J: Mitchell Pateman (59kg) T: D M Luciani	14	14	15	14	14.2	14
4. Requisition (4) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (58kg) T: Brett Pope	9.5	10	9.5	10	8.8	10
5. City Circle (8) J: Brad Parnham (57kg) T: N D Parnham
6. Devine Beast (10) J: Chris Parnham (57kg) T: P J Fernie	6	6	5.5	5.5	6.1	6
7. The Invisible Man (3) J: Shaun O'donnell (56.5kg) T: J N Pateman	8	7.5	8	7.5	7.4	8
8. Sir Snugalot (9) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (55.5kg) T: S J Wolfe	18	17	19	18	18.2	19
9. Eye Of The Day (5) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (55kg) T: Sue Olive	41	41	41	51	41	41
10. Horizon (7) J: Ms Victoria Corver (55kg) T: G L Carige	26	21	26	21	22	23

Odds Last Updated: August 28, 2021, 4:01pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Peninsula Dining Room (Rs0ly) (2000m)
4:33pm (AEDT)

Race 6 Peninsula Dining Room (Rs0ly) (2000m) 4:33pm (AEDT)
1. Salon Du Cheval (3) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (61kg) T: N Parker	6.5	6.5	6	6	6.4	6.5
2. Al Mahalo (11) J: Troy Turner (58kg) T: C H Webster	9	8.5	8.5	8	8.4	9.5
3. Porphyrio (13) J: Steven Parnham (58kg) T: Brett Pope	12	12	12	11	12.2	12
4. Decoy Noxious (2) J: Brad Rawiller (57.5kg) T: Summer Dickson	9.5	9	8.5	8.5	8.6	9.5
5. Cape Reign (8) J: William Pike (57kg) T: Martin Allan	18	18	18	18	19.2	19
6. Aragain (12) J: Chris Parnham (56.5kg) T: D L Morton	6	6	6	6	5.8	6
7. Overthought (5) J: Ryan Hill (56kg) T: Fenella Martin	5.5	4.8	4.8	5.5	5.1	5
8. Miss Zedel (10) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (55.5kg) T: A G Durrant	20	20	21	21	21.5	21
9. Red Dwarf (4) J: Joseph Azzopardi (55kg) T: Dom Celisano	5	5.5	5.5	5	4.9	5.5
10. Mass Effect (7) J: Patrick Carbery (54.5kg) T: G B Delane	20	18	17	21	21.5	17
11. Chokslam (6) J: Jason Whiting (54kg) T: G A Crispin	51	51	51	51	43	51
12. Diplomat Express (1) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (54kg) T: D S Barker	71	81	67	61	71	81
13. Proxy (9) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (54kg) T: G B Delane	101	126	101	101	111	126

Odds Last Updated: August 28, 2021, 4:36pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Crown Towers (Rs1mw) (1600m)
5:15pm (AEDT)

Race 7 Crown Towers (Rs1mw) (1600m) 5:15pm (AEDT)
1. Red Hot Tip (5) J: Brad Rawiller (60kg) T: S J Miller	13	12	13	13	11	12
2. Mr Delegator (2) J: Ms Kate Southam (59.5kg) T: T R Harvey	4.4	4.4	4.2	4.4	4.35	4.2
3. Karijini Aurora (7) J: Mitchell Pateman (58.5kg) T: Summer Dickson	16	16	15	16	15.4	15
4. Brave Dream (4) J: William Pike (57.5kg) T: A G Durrant	1.8	1.8	1.85	1.85	1.86	1.85
5. Beat The Bell (6) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (57kg) T: Ms S L Miller	20	19	19	18	21	19
6. Little Flirt (10) J: Jason Whiting (57kg) T: R W Matthews	17	17	17	17	15.4	17
7. Peppijack (8) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (57kg) T: J E Grieve	23	21	21	21	20	23
8. Super Teroitoa (3) J: Laqdar Ramoly (57kg) T: C H Webster	34	34	34	41	36	34
9. Megadon (1) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (55kg) T: A W Maley	18	17	16	16	17.8	18
10. Pambella (9) J: Steven Parnham (54.5kg) T: N D Parnham	23	21	21	21	22	23

Odds Last Updated: August 28, 2021, 5:16pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Idyllic Prince Stakes (1300m)
5:50pm (AEDT)

Race 8 Idyllic Prince Stakes (1300m) 5:50pm (AEDT)
1. Neufbosc (3) J: Chris Parnham (59kg) T: N D Parnham	14	14	14	14	12.6	14
2. Too Close The Sun (6) J: William Pike (59kg) T: L Smith	2.4	2.6	2.35	2.5	2.45	2.4
3. Media Baron (10) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (59kg) T: D R Harrison	35	31	31	26	40	41
4. Samizdat (4) J: Brad Parnham (59kg) T: C & M Gangemi	3.8	3.7	3.6	3.7	3.75	3.5
5. Silentz (1) J: Joseph Azzopardi (59kg) T: L Smith	18	18	18	18	18.4	19
6. Tellem We're Comin (5) J: Brad Rawiller (59kg) T: D L Morton	4.6	4.5	4.6	4.6	4.55	4.6
7. Floyd (8) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (59kg) T: C & M Gangemi
8. Pym's Royale (7) J: Mitchell Pateman (59kg) T: Luke Fernie	18	18	16	18	18.6	19
9. Multiverse (9) J: Jason Whiting (59kg) T: G A Crispin	26	26	21	21	26.5	26
10. Cockyjoy (2) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (57kg) T: J E Grieve	34	34	34	34	34	34

Odds Last Updated: August 28, 2021, 5:51pm (AEDT)

The day’s feature sees (4) Samizdat come up as favourite after winning the Belmont Newmarket first up. A couple of queries today, being the firm track and his second up record. I also think he gets a negative jockey change. I’ll be opposing him but no surprise to see him win again as the stable are going well.

(2) Too Close The Sun gets a strange set up, dropping from 1400m to 1300m second up. He’s never won below 1700m so it’s a big query, however he was sound first up with 62kg and now gets Pike on second up.

(6) Tellem We’re Comin was enormous on stable debut for Dan Morton, sitting three-wide the trip and going down late to Samizdat in the Newmarket. Firm ground a plus for him and his second up record is good. With a better run in transit today, he’ll be hard to beat.

Tip: (2) Too Close The Sun $3.00 TAB

Also Backing: (6) Tellem We're Comin $4.60 TAB

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Too Close The Sun, 0.5 units WIN Tellem We're Comin

Race 9

Irisndt (Bm66+) (1200m)
6:25pm (AEDT)

Race 9 Irisndt (Bm66+) (1200m) 6:25pm (AEDT)
1. Moschard (3) J: William Pike (61kg) T: P J Fernie	9.5	10	10	11	11.2	10
2. Cliffs Of Comfort (13) J: Joseph Azzopardi (60kg) T: D & B Pearce	4.6	4.6	4.6	4.8	4.65	4.6
3. Crystal Spirit (14) J: Laqdar Ramoly (60kg) T: C & M Gangemi	16	16	16	16	15.6	17
4. Rebel Knight (6) J: Mitchell Pateman (58.5kg) T: D T Mcauliffe	21	21	21	21	18.8	21
5. Kaptain Kaos (8) J: Chris Parnham (58kg) T: Michael Grantham	2.6	2.6	2.4	2.4	2.55	2.5
6. Miss Marietta (7) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (57.5kg) T: Brett Pope	41	34	34	34	36	34
7. Night Voyage (9) J: Brad Rawiller (57.5kg) T: Summer Dickson	51	61	51	51	47	61
8. Point Taken (11) J: Jason Brown (57.5kg) T: J P Taylor	71	67	61	61	69	61
9. Reign Of Fire (1) J: Jordan Turner (57.5kg) T: C H Webster	5.5	5.5	5	5	4.85	5.5
10. Costa Del Santo (2) J: Ms Chloe Azzopardi (55.5kg) T: Ms J Panizza	35	34	41	41	35	41
11. Our Danni (4) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (55.5kg) T: Luke Fernie	27	26	26	26	25	26
12. Three Secrets (12) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (55kg) T: S J Wolfe	46	41	34	31	37	41
13. Cristal Dane (5) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (54kg) T: Ms S L Miller	41	41	41	31	33	41
14. Megazone (10) J: Steven Parnham (54kg) T: A W Maley	35	34	51	41	33	41

Odds Last Updated: August 28, 2021, 6:26pm (AEDT)

This is a good race with a few decent chances but I’m just going to bank on (5) Kaptain Kaos being the best horse in the race. He won very impressively first up, coming from near last to swoop home down the outside. He was first up without a trial that day and was ridden by an apprentice, so he should only improve off that. Chris Parnham goes back aboard today. Think he’s very progressive and can continue winning here.

(1) Moschard drops in grade and gets Pike booked, (9) Reign Of Fire and (2) Cliffs Of Comfort also good chances.

Tip: (5) Kaptain Kaos $2.35 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Kaptain Kaos

Tim Geers

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.