Racing Tips

Happy Valley Racing Tips: Wednesday, July 7th

Tim Geers highlights his best bets for Happy Valley racing on Wednesday evening.

by
Tim Geers
6 July 2021

We’re back at Happy Valley for Wednesday evening racing in Hong Kong, as the season gradually comes to its conclusion.

We’re racing on the A-course tonight and have nine races to look forward to, with the first set to jump at 8.45pm AEST.

Tim Geers has assessed the form and provided his best bets of the night below, with Race 1, Race 2, Race 4 and Race 9 previewed.

Race 1

Briar Hcp (C5) (1650m)
8:45pm (AEDT)

Race 1 Briar Hcp (C5) (1650m) 8:45pm (AEDT)
1. Top Score (7) J: T Piccone (60.5kg) T: Richard Gibson	41	41	51	51	38
2. Sure Win Win (1) J: Jerry Chau (60kg) T: T P Yung	5.5	5.5	6	6	5.3
3. Run Run Good (10) J: N Callan (59.5kg) T: K L Man	35	34	31	31	33
4. Jimmu (3) J: J Moreira (59kg) T: Y S Tsui	5	5.5	6	6	5.3
5. Lucky Missile (8) J: Z Purton (59kg) T: D J Hall	5	5	5	5	4.95
6. Diamond Star (12) J: K Teetan (56.5kg) T: J J Size	12	12	13	13	11.6
7. Apolar Warrior (2) J: H Bentley (56kg) T: P Yiu	4.5	4	3.7	3.7	4.1
8. Go Ballistic (4) J: Alex Lai (55.5kg) T: D Ferraris	23	26	26	26	22
9. Wonderful Tiger (11) J: A Hamelin (55.5kg) T: W Y So	16	16	17	17	15.6
10. Big Bang Bong (6) J: R Maia (55kg) T: C W Chang	17	17	17	17	16.6
11. Happy Hour (9) J: V Borges (52kg) T: C H Yip	13	13	13	13	12.4
12. Can't Touch This (5) J: H T Mo (51.5kg) T: K H Ting	51	61	71	71	45

Odds Last Updated: July 7, 2021, 8:46pm (AEDT)

Inside draws over the 1650m at Happy Valley are a godsend on the A-course. (2) Sure Win Win comes into this in good form, having run 3rd at Sha Tin two starts ago and then winning easily last start on the all-weather track. Has only had one start here at Happy Valley, which was in Class 4 company, where he ran 4th. Returns to the city course now, draws barrier 1, does go up steeply in weight but finds a race he can win again. Just needs to settle in a good spot from the draw as he can tend to get back.

Tip: (2) Sure Win Win $5.00/$2.00 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units E/W Sure Win Win

Race 2

Briar Hcp (C5) (1650m)
9:15pm (AEDT)

Race 2 Briar Hcp (C5) (1650m) 9:15pm (AEDT)
1. Amazing Boy (8) J: R Maia (60.5kg) T: C W Chang	41	51	61	61	47
2. Seize The Spirit (11) J: J Moreira (60kg) T: Y S Tsui	5	4.8	4.8	5	4.8
3. Viva Chef (5) J: K Teetan (60kg) T: L Ho	11	11	11	11	10.6
4. After Me (4) J: Alex Lai (59.5kg) T: D Ferraris	10	10	11	10	9.7
5. California Legend (12) J: Z Purton (58.5kg) T: A S Cruz	4.8	4.4	4	4	4.5
6. Smart Hunter (7) J: Jerry Chau (58.5kg) T: D Whyte	26	26	26	26	25
7. Happy Jai Jai (3) J: H Bentley (58kg) T: T P Yung	20	19	18	18	18.8
8. Super Kin (6) J: B Shinn (57.5kg) T: C Fownes	8	8.5	8.5	8.5	8.2
9. Ka Fortune (2) J: N Callan (56.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan	4.8	5.5	6	6	5
10. Jumbo Engine (9) J: H N Wong (56kg) T: Richard Gibson
11. Victorious Leader (1) J: K C Leung (55.5kg) T: C H Yip	12	13	14	14	13
12. Even Keel (10) J: H T Mo (53.5kg) T: A T Millard	14	14	13	13	13.6

Odds Last Updated: July 7, 2021, 9:16pm (AEDT)

Backing two runners here.

(2) Seize The Spirit dropped into Class 5 last start and had to endure an awful run from barrier 13 with top weight, caught wide throughout. He still battled on really well to be beaten 2.3L by Fox Cheunger, who came out and ran well again on the weekend. Has to deal with another wide gate tonight but with any luck he surely goes close.

(8) Super Kin looks ready to peak third up tonight and up to 1650m. Has improved with each start this prep, comes out of that same race as Seize The Spirit last start, draws a good enough barrier and should go well.

Tip: (2) Seize The Spirit $5.50 Bet365

Also Backing: (8) Super Kin $7.00 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Seize The Spirit, 0.5 units WIN Super Kin

Race 3

Broom Hcp (C4) (1200m)
9:45pm (AEDT)

Race 3 Broom Hcp (C4) (1200m) 9:45pm (AEDT)
1. Aurora Pegasus (6) J: J Moreira (60.5kg) T: C Fownes	8	7.5	8	8	7.6
2. President's Choice (10) J: N Callan (60kg) T: Richard Gibson	34	34	41	41	33
3. Victory In Hand (12) J: K Teetan (59.5kg) T: K W Lui	13	13	14	14	12.6
4. Hardly Swears (11) J: C Y Ho (59kg) T: K H Ting	13	12	11	11	12
5. Cosmo Classic (4) J: Alex Lai (56.5kg) T: W Y So	151	151	151	151	121
6. Noir Rider (3) J: Jerry Chau (56.5kg) T: T P Yung	4.8	5.5	6	6	5.1
7. Red Brick Fighter (7) J: K C Leung (56.5kg) T: D J Hall	10	10	11	11	10
8. Fire Ball (5) J: Z Purton (56kg) T: C H Yip	2.5	2.5	2.4	2.4	2.45
9. Wah May Luck (1) J: H Bentley (56kg) T: A S Cruz	101	101	101	126	101
10. A Smile Like Yours (8) J: A Hamelin (55kg) T: J J Size	16	16	17	17	15.6
11. Chiron (2) J: R Maia (55kg) T: D A Hayes	10	10	10	10	10
12. Mudita (9) J: V Borges (53kg) T: P D O'sullivan	31	31	34	34	30

Odds Last Updated: July 7, 2021, 9:46pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Green Lane Hcp (C4) (1650m)
10:15pm (AEDT)

Race 4 Green Lane Hcp (C4) (1650m) 10:15pm (AEDT)
1. Dream Warriors (5) J: C Y Ho (60.5kg) T: A S Cruz	9	10	11	11	9.3
2. Nothing New (10) J: T Piccone (60.5kg) T: C W Chang	23	20	18	18	20.5
3. Tangmere (6) J: B Shinn (60.5kg) T: C Fownes	11	11	11	11	10.8
4. Savvy Kingman (3) J: J Moreira (59kg) T: F C Lor	2.45	2.45	2.4	2.4	2.4
5. Bulletproof (11) J: R Maia (57.5kg) T: P Yiu	26	21	21	21	22.5
6. Rainbow Light (7) J: Jerry Chau (56.5kg) T: D Whyte	5.5	5.5	6	6	5.3
7. Play Wise (4) J: K Teetan (56kg) T: C H Yip	9.5	9	9	9	9.1
8. All You Know (2) J: A Hamelin (55kg) T: Richard Gibson	7	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.6
9. Owners' Star (8) J: H Bentley (54kg) T: C S Shum	21	19	19	19	20
10. Prime Star (12) J: H T Mo (53kg) T: A T Millard	101	101	101	126	101
11. Lucky Diamond (1) J: V Borges (52kg) T: K H Ting	61	61	61	61	55
12. Mister Arm (9) J: H N Wong (51.5kg) T: Y S Tsui	18	16	15	15	16.2

Odds Last Updated: July 7, 2021, 10:17pm (AEDT)

Looks a nice race for (4) Savvy Kingman who won here two starts ago and then bumped into the progressive Red Majesty last start. That horse has won three in a row now so the form looks fairly strong. Savvy Kingdom gets a lovely draw here in barrier 3 and it’s very helpful to draw inside barrier 6 over this track and distance.

(1) Dream Warriors also gets a good draw. He’s a horse that often finds trouble or is asked too much to do. He’s always competitive though and with the right run from the good draw tonight, he can go very close.

Tip: (4) Savvy Kingman $2.60 Sportsbet

Also Backing: (1) Dream Warriors $7.00 PlayUp

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Savvy Kingman, 0.5 units WIN Dream Warriors

Race 5

The Sauternes Cup (C4) (1000m)
10:45pm (AEDT)

Race 5 The Sauternes Cup (C4) (1000m) 10:45pm (AEDT)
1. Amazing Rocky (11) J: Z Purton (60.5kg) T: T P Yung	4.4	4.2	3.8	4	4.05
2. Good Luck Charm (10) J: V Borges (58kg) T: P Yiu	126	126	151	151	111
3. Jazz Steed (5) J: N Callan (58kg) T: C Fownes	8	8.5	9	9	8.4
4. Party Warrior (4) J: C Y Ho (57kg) T: K W Lui	5	5	5.5	5.5	5.3
5. Lean Legend (6) J: H N Wong (56.5kg) T: C H Yip	91	91	101	101	89
6. My My My (12) J: J Moreira (56.5kg) T: F C Lor	17	16	15	15	15.4
7. Oversubscribed (9) J: B Shinn (56kg) T: D J Hall	15	14	13	13	13.6
8. Baltic Whisper (8) J: A K Chan (56kg) T: C S Shum	31	31	34	34	30
9. Packing Champion (7) J: Jerry Chau (55.5kg) T: L Ho	9.5	10	11	11	9.8
10. Sea Elite (3) J: T Piccone (53kg) T: D Whyte	7.5	7	7	7	7.2
11. Faribault (2) J: K Teetan (52.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan	4	4	4	4	3.95
12. Farm Bumper (1) J: Alex Lai (52kg) T: K L Man	35	41	51	51	40

Odds Last Updated: July 7, 2021, 10:46pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Broom Hcp (C4) (1200m)
11:15pm (AEDT)

Race 6 Broom Hcp (C4) (1200m) 11:15pm (AEDT)
1. Telecom Rocket (4) J: H T Mo (60.5kg) T: Y S Tsui	9	8.5	9	8.5	8.5
2. Wood On Fire (2) J: K C Leung (60.5kg) T: L Ho	9	9	9	9	8.9
3. Momentum Galaxy (9) J: H N Wong (59.5kg) T: K H Ting	31	31	26	31	26
4. Management Supreme (3) J: K Teetan (59kg) T: K W Lui	2.9	2.8	2.45	2.7	2.7
5. Poised To Strike (11) J: A Hamelin (57kg) T: D A Hayes	27	31	26	31	25.5
6. Peak To Peak (12) J: C Y Ho (56kg) T: F C Lor	21	21	26	21	20.5
7. Win Win Star (5) J: R Maia (56kg) T: P Yiu	27	31	34	34	30
8. Beauty Cheers (1) J: J Moreira (55.5kg) T: J J Size	3.7	3.7	3.9	3.8	3.8
9. Stormtrouper (8) J: Z Purton (55kg) T: C H Yip	8.5	8.5	9	9	8.5
10. Team Goodluck (10) J: V Borges (55kg) T: W Y So	46	51	51	51	47
11. Valiant Elegance (7) J: Jerry Chau (54.5kg) T: D Whyte	11	11	11	11	10.8
12. Little Bird (6) J: Alex Lai (52.5kg) T: K L Man	61	71	71	81	57

Odds Last Updated: July 7, 2021, 11:16pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Hawthorn Hcp (C3) (1200m)
11:45pm (AEDT)

Race 7 Hawthorn Hcp (C3) (1200m) 11:45pm (AEDT)
1. Equaletta Blitz (9) J: Z Purton (60.5kg) T: K H Ting	4.5	4.5	4.6	4.8	4.5
2. California Concord (8) J: N Callan (59.5kg) T: A S Cruz	18	18	18	18	17.6
3. Majestic Star (4) J: A Hamelin (58.5kg) T: P Yiu	12	12	13	13	11.6
4. Wine And Wine (2) J: A K Chan (58kg) T: T P Yung	13	13	14	14	13.4
5. Super Dobbin (1) J: B Shinn (57.5kg) T: A T Millard	18	18	18	18	17.6
6. Harmony N Home (6) J: K Teetan (56.5kg) T: C S Shum	11	11	11	11	10.8
7. Classic Posh (7) J: H Bentley (56kg) T: D J Hall	6.5	6	6	6	6.4
8. The Runner (12) J: K C Leung (56kg) T: F C Lor	19	18	18	18	17.8
9. Simply Fluke (10) J: Jerry Chau (56kg) T: D Whyte	7.5	7	7	7	7.2
10. Eligere (5) J: H N Wong (55kg) T: Y S Tsui	9	9	9	9	8.6
11. Compassion Spirit (3) J: C Y Ho (54kg) T: K L Man	7.5	7	7	6.5	7
12. Amazing News (11) J: J Moreira (52.5kg) T: C Fownes	14	15	16	16	14.6

Odds Last Updated: July 7, 2021, 11:46pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Hawthorn Hcp (C3) (1200m)
12:15am (AEDT)

Race 8 Hawthorn Hcp (C3) (1200m) 12:15am (AEDT)
1. Hong Kong Bet (2) J: Z Purton (60.5kg) T: K H Ting	2.9	2.9	2.9	2.9	2.9
2. Transcendent (4) J: N Callan (57.5kg) T: A S Cruz	9	9.5	10	10	9
3. Invincible Missile (10) J: C Y Ho (57kg) T: C Fownes	10	10	11	11	9.6
4. Brilliant Life (12) J: B Shinn (56kg) T: C H Yip	51	51	61	61	47
5. Stanley Park (5) J: Jerry Chau (56kg) T: K W Lui	7.5	7	7	7	7
6. Goodluck Goodluck (6) J: K C Leung (55.5kg) T: W Y So	10	10	11	11	9.8
7. Young Passion (7) J: H T Mo (54.5kg) T: D J Hall	101	101	101	126	97
8. Family Folks (9) J: A Hamelin (54kg) T: C W Chang	14	14	15	15	13.4
9. Telecom Smart (3) J: K Teetan (54kg) T: Y S Tsui	5	5	5	5	4.85
10. The Multiplier (1) J: V Borges (53.5kg) T: D A Hayes	71	91	101	126	75
11. Utopia Life (11) J: Alex Lai (52kg) T: K L Man	61	51	51	51	51
12. Rhapsody (8) J: J Moreira (51.5kg) T: J J Size	12	12	12	12	11.8

Odds Last Updated: July 8, 2021, 10:01am (AEDT)

Race 9

Holly Hcp (C3) (1650m)
12:50am (AEDT)

Race 9 Holly Hcp (C3) (1650m) 12:50am (AEDT)
1. Telecom Fighters (8) J: C Wong (60.5kg) T: Y S Tsui	7	7	8	8	6.8
2. The Hulk (2) J: A Hamelin (59.5kg) T: C Fownes	15	17	17	18	16.6
3. Gift Of Lifeline (5) J: N Callan (58.5kg) T: A T Millard	13	13	14	14	13.2
4. Wealthy Delight (11) J: K Teetan (57.5kg) T: J J Size	7	7	7.5	7	6.9
5. Harmony Spirit (4) J: C Y Ho (56kg) T: D Whyte	17	19	21	21	17.8
6. Everyone's Delight (1) J: Z Purton (56kg) T: F C Lor	4.4	4.4	4.2	4.4	4.1
7. Lifeline Vision (10) J: B Shinn (56kg) T: D A Hayes	23	26	26	26	24.5
8. Splendid Living (6) J: H Bentley (56kg) T: P Yiu	34	31	34	34	29.5
9. Ka Ying Excellent (12) J: J Moreira (55.5kg) T: A S Cruz	6.5	6	6	6	5.8
10. Star Of Yuen Long (7) J: A K Chan (55kg) T: K L Man	15	15	14	14	14.6
11. Bright Kid (9) J: K C Leung (53.5kg) T: W Y So	26	21	21	21	22
12. Total Power (3) J: Jerry Chau (53.5kg) T: D J Hall	6.5	6	6	6	5.8

Odds Last Updated: July 8, 2021, 10:01am (AEDT)

This is a tough race with a number of hopes, but the 1650m on the A-course at Happy Valley really favours horses drawn low, in particular barrier 1. That draw has accounted for 19% of the total winners over this track/distance/rail position this season. Tonight, (6) Everyone’s Delight is the beneficiary of the draw and there’s a bit to like about him. He’s had 10 starts for three wins and two placings, and nine of those have been at Sha Tin. He came to Happy Valley for the first time last start and bolted in, finding the front and leading all the way. The race was run at a crawl (they ran 1:41.40 for the 1650m, so he was able to dictate and get it all his own way, but there’s every chance he can win again here. Cops 3kg in the weights as a result of last start, but does get Purton on and also gets the inside draw as mentioned. Pretty happy to take $4.80 but he may even drift given his slow winning time last start.

(1) Telecom Fighters is flying but goes from Joao Moreira to apprentice Wong.

(9) Ka Ying Excellent is knocking on the door but doesn’t like winning. Also cops barrier 12.

(4) Wealthy Delight is capable but has barrier 11 first up.

Tip: (6) Everyone's Delight $4.80/$1.95 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1 unit E/W Everyone's Delight

Tim Geers

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.