Racing Tips

Happy Valley Racing Tips: Wednesday, September 8th

Happy Valley hosts its first meeting of the new season in Hong Kong and Tim Geers has picked out three betting races below!

by
Tim Geers
7 September 2021

The 2021/22 Hong Kong racing season is underway and Happy Valley hosts its first meeting of the new season on Wednesday night!

We’re on the B-course for tonight’s meeting, with inside draws typically favoured in the 1200m and 1650m races.

Tim Geers has previewed three races early on the card: Race 1, Race 2 and Race 4.

Find his preview and racing tips below!

Best Bet: Race 4 – (9) Fortune Carrier

Race 1

Big Wave Bay Hcp (C5) (1000m)
9:15pm (AEDT)

Race 1 Big Wave Bay Hcp (C5) (1000m) 9:15pm (AEDT)
1. Farm Bumper (11) J: Jerry Chau (59kg) T: K L Man	21	21	21	21	20.5
2. Island Sunshine (4) J: C Y Ho (58.5kg) T: K W Lui	16	15	15	16	13.8
3. Holyshowcasing (6) J: Luke Ferraris (58kg) T: D Ferraris	35	41	41	41	33
4. Star Of Red (1) J: H N Wong (57kg) T: K H Ting	26	31	34	34	29.5
5. Garlic Hero (2) J: M F Poon (56kg) T: C H Yip	5	5	5	5.5	4.6
6. Chunghwa Jingshen (12) J: K Teetan (56kg) T: L Ho	7.5	7	6.5	7	6.8
7. Scenic Sweetie (10) J: H T Mo (56kg) T: Y S Tsui	27	26	21	26	22
8. After Me (3) J: Alex Lai (55.5kg) T: L Ho	15	13	12	14	13
9. Joy Avenue (7) J: Z Purton (55kg) T: C H Yip	6.5	6	5.5	6	6.1
10. Shanghai Power (8) J: J Moreira (54kg) T: Y S Tsui	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.7	2.65
11. Bond A Star (5) J: T Piccone (53.5kg) T: C H Yip	91	101	101	126	93
12. For Fun's Sake (9) J: A Badel (53.5kg) T: W Y So	9	8.5	8	8	7.9

Odds Last Updated: September 8, 2021, 9:16pm (AEDT)

The 1000m start on the B course normally favours horses with a middle draw and it’s no harm to be drawn wide either. Horses drawn close to the rail here are actually disadvantaged.

Two horses currently at $7.50 each worth backing.

(9) Joy Avenue won first up last prep at this track and distance carrying 52.5kg from a wide draw. Gets Zac Purton booked first up tonight from a middle draw and carries 55kg, which I think is a winnable mark for him. He was only beaten 1.5L last time he raced over this track and distance with a similar weight.

(6) Chungwha Jingshen is only a winner of one race from 19 starts but his final two runs last season were good, where he ran 2nd on both occasions. Both of those were over this track and distance, and he’s trialled nicely leading into tonight. He draws out in barrier 12 but as I said above, that’s not necessarily a negative.

Tip: (9) Joy Avenue $7.50 Bet365

Also Backing: (6) Chungwha Jingshen $7.50 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Joy Avenue, 0.5 units WIN Chungwha Jingshen

Race 2

Chung Hom Kok Hcp (C4) (1200m)
9:45pm (AEDT)

Race 2 Chung Hom Kok Hcp (C4) (1200m) 9:45pm (AEDT)
1. Beauty Amigo (4) J: K C Leung (59.5kg) T: K L Man	8	8	8	8	7.8
2. Wood On Fire (9) J: K Teetan (59.5kg) T: L Ho	16	16	16	16	15.8
3. Management Supreme (1) J: C Y Ho (59kg) T: K W Lui	3.9	3.7	4	3.6	3.7
4. Daily Beauty (6) J: Luke Ferraris (57.5kg) T: C Fownes	34	34	34	34	31
5. Happy Profit (12) J: Z Purton (57kg) T: C S Shum	5.5	5.5	6	6	5.5
6. Romantic Trove (10) J: J Moreira (56.5kg) T: W Y So	6.5	6.5	6	6	6.2
7. Man Up (8) J: H Bentley (56kg) T: Richard Gibson	91	91	101	101	85
8. Chater Pins (3) J: B Shinn (55kg) T: D A Hayes	10	9.5	9	9	9.8
9. Melbourne Hall (5) J: C Schofield (53.5kg) T: D J Hall	6.5	6.5	6	6	6.5
10. Takingufurther (2) J: H N Wong (53.5kg) T: K H Ting	9.5	9.5	10	10	9.6
11. Destin (11) J: M Chadwick (52kg) T: P D O'sullivan	23	21	21	21	21.5
12. Fantastic Fabio (7) J: C Wong (51.5kg) T: C H Yip	13	13	12	13	12.6

Odds Last Updated: September 8, 2021, 9:46pm (AEDT)

Converse to the 1000m races, the 1200m races often favour those drawn inside barriers.

(3) Management Supreme draws the pole and he was beaten a nose first up over this track and distance last prep. He then ran 4th beaten 1.8L at his final start last season. Hasn’t trialled ahead of tonight but should have residual fitness given he only raced nine weeks ago. With any luck from the inside he can win.

(5) Happy Profit is a horse I’ve backed a couple of times and while he’s let me down, with any luck from the outside gate tonight he can go close at each way odds. Purton gets back aboard and his recent trial was good.

Tip: (5) Happy Profit $6.50 Bet365

Also Backing: (3) Management Supreme $3.80 PlayUp

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Happy Profit, 0.5 units WIN Management Supreme

Race 3

Deep Water Bay Hcp (C4) (1650m)
10:15pm (AEDT)

Race 3 Deep Water Bay Hcp (C4) (1650m) 10:15pm (AEDT)
1. Meaningful Star (4) J: C Y Ho (60.5kg) T: K W Lui	12	12	12	12	11.6
2. Yoo Yoo King (8) J: K Teetan (60.5kg) T: A T Millard	9	8.5	9	9	8.4
3. Dream Warriors (11) J: Jerry Chau (60kg) T: A S Cruz	7.5	7.5	7	7	7.3
4. Villa Fionn (12) J: A Hamelin (60kg) T: P Yiu	51	51	51	51	45
5. Ever Laugh (5) J: A Badel (58.5kg) T: K L Man	14	13	14	14	13.8
6. Piano Solo (7) J: Z Purton (58.5kg) T: C S Shum	5.5	5.5	5	5	5.3
7. Zhan Jiang Rocks (3) J: J Moreira (55.5kg) T: W Y So	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.75
8. Blazing Beat (2) J: R Maia (55kg) T: C W Chang	26	26	31	31	25.5
9. Ingenious Fellow (9) J: T Piccone (55kg) T: Richard Gibson	126	126	151	151	111
10. Pearl Champion (6) J: C Schofield (54kg) T: C H Yip	5	5.5	6	6	5.8
11. Sure Win Win (10) J: K C Leung (53kg) T: T P Yung	10	10	9	9	9.7
12. Superb Daddy (1) J: Luke Ferraris (52.5kg) T: D Ferraris	16	16	17	17	15.8

Odds Last Updated: September 8, 2021, 10:17pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Chung Hom Kok Hcp (C4) (1200m)
10:45pm (AEDT)

Race 4 Chung Hom Kok Hcp (C4) (1200m) 10:45pm (AEDT)
1. Aurora Pegasus (3) J: Luke Ferraris (60kg) T: C Fownes	9.5	9.5	9	9	9
2. Nordic Warrior (10) J: A Badel (59.5kg) T: Richard Gibson	31	26	31	31	30
3. Strive For Glory (12) J: A Hamelin (57.5kg) T: F C Lor	51	67	61	61	47
4. Red Brick Fighter (9) J: M F Poon (56.5kg) T: D J Hall	10	10	10	10	9.9
5. Xponential (7) J: Jerry Chau (56.5kg) T: D Whyte	5	5	5	5	4.9
6. Passing Fashion (2) J: H N Wong (56kg) T: C H Yip	126	126	151	151	101
7. Good Beauty (8) J: K C Leung (55.5kg) T: K L Man	27	31	31	31	26
8. Red Majesty (1) J: K Teetan (55.5kg) T: D A Hayes	3.8	3.9	4.2	4.2	3.7
9. Fortune Carrier (5) J: Z Purton (55kg) T: C S Shum	2.9	2.8	2.7	2.7	2.85
10. Stay Chill (6) J: V Borges (53.5kg) T: W Y So	101	101	101	126	101
11. A Smile Like Yours (11) J: J Moreira (53kg) T: J J Size	9.5	12	12	12	10
12. Run The Table (4) J: C Y Ho (52kg) T: K W Lui	26	26	26	26	23.5

Odds Last Updated: September 8, 2021, 10:46pm (AEDT)

This will be my biggest betting race of the night because I think it’s a two-horse race between (8) Red Majesty and (9) Fortune Carrier. I would think Purton had the choice of each ride given he only got off Red Majesty last start due to the light weight, but he sides with Fortune Carrier here. This being over 1200m and not 1650m tilts it the way of Fortune Carrier for mine.

He ran 2nd in consecutive starts here to end last season. He drew barrier 11 in the first of those and then got beat a nose when he drew similar to what he’s drawn tonight. Trials have been good, Purton goes on, drawn well and distance suits him better than the main rival.

Red Majesty put it all together at the end of last season, stringing three wins together on the bounce, but all were over 1650m. It wouldn’t shock me if he were good enough to win over the shorter trip tonight, especially with barrier 1, but he might just need the mile.

Backing Fortune Carrier, saving on Red Majesty.

Tip: (9) Fortune Carrier $3.80 Sportsbet

Saver: (8) Red Majesty $3.90 TopSport

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Fortune Carrier, 0.5 units WIN Red Majesty

Race 5

Middle Bay Hcp (C4) (1000m)
11:15pm (AEDT)

Race 5 Middle Bay Hcp (C4) (1000m) 11:15pm (AEDT)
1. Joyful Win (4) J: H Bentley (60kg) T: P Yiu	11	11	10	10	10.8
2. Jazz Steed (11) J: J Moreira (59kg) T: C Fownes	12	13	12	12	12
3. Party Warrior (8) J: C Y Ho (58.5kg) T: K W Lui	5.5	5	5.5	5.5	5.4
4. Infinity Win (6) J: Z Purton (57kg) T: D A Hayes	2.15	2.15	2.1	2.1	2.1
5. Super Commander (1) J: Luke Ferraris (57kg) T: D Ferraris	9	9.5	9	9	9
6. Flaming Passion (2) J: K Teetan (56kg) T: F C Lor	8.5	8	7	8	8
7. Regency Star (3) J: C Schofield (56kg) T: C S Shum	51	71	61	61	57
8. Cheval Valiant (12) J: Jerry Chau (56kg) T: D Whyte	35	41	34	34	33
9. Travel Datuk (10) J: M F Poon (56kg) T: Richard Gibson	46	41	51	51	47
10. Noir Rider (7) J: A Badel (55.5kg) T: T P Yung	13	12	11	11	11.4
11. Packing Champion (5) J: H N Wong (54kg) T: L Ho	46	41	51	51	53
12. Booming Well (9) J: M Chadwick (53kg) T: C H Yip	101	126	151	151	99

Odds Last Updated: September 8, 2021, 11:16pm (AEDT)

Race 6

The Community Chest Cup (C3) (1650m)
11:50pm (AEDT)

Race 6 The Community Chest Cup (C3) (1650m) 11:50pm (AEDT)
1. Sunny Star (6) J: Jerry Chau (60.5kg) T: K W Lui	4.5	4.8	4.4	4.4	4.65
2. Royal Bomb (9) J: A K Chan (59kg) T: C Fownes	14	13	14	14	13.6
3. Wealthy Delight (10) J: Z Purton (57.5kg) T: J J Size	13	12	13	13	11.8
4. Indicative Vote (1) J: J Moreira (56kg) T: C S Shum	4.5	4	4.4	4.4	4.25
5. Namjong Plus (8) J: Luke Ferraris (56kg) T: Y S Tsui	26	41	41	41	31
6. Gallant Crown (4) J: K Teetan (54.5kg) T: A T Millard	4	4.2	3.9	3.9	3.95
7. Right Honourable (3) J: M Chadwick (54kg) T: Richard Gibson	13	13	13	13	12.8
8. Turin Redstar (2) J: H Bentley (53kg) T: D Whyte	12	12	10	10	11.4
9. Heavenly Thought (7) J: H N Wong (52.5kg) T: C H Yip	61	67	71	71	61
10. Nothing New (5) J: A Badel (51.5kg) T: C W Chang	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.2

Odds Last Updated: September 8, 2021, 11:51pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Repulse Bay Hcp (C3) (1000m)
12:20am (AEDT)

Race 7 Repulse Bay Hcp (C3) (1000m) 12:20am (AEDT)
1. Flying Genius (7) J: Jerry Chau (60.5kg) T: A S Cruz	11	13	11	11	11
2. Sunset Watch (12) J: C Y Ho (58kg) T: K W Lui	41	51	51	51	40
3. Resolute (3) J: J Moreira (56.5kg) T: A T Millard	2	2	2.2	2.15	1.96
4. Wine And Wine (5) J: A K Chan (56.5kg) T: T P Yung	41	51	41	41	39
5. Goodluck Goodluck (9) J: K C Leung (55.5kg) T: W Y So	17	18	18	18	18
6. Heart Conquered (4) J: T Piccone (54.5kg) T: Richard Gibson	10	11	12	12	9.9
7. Our Creed (2) J: M L Yeung (54.5kg) T: K H Ting	34	34	51	51	33
8. Seven Heavens (10) J: Luke Ferraris (54.5kg) T: C Fownes	61	61	61	61	59
9. Telecom Smart (11) J: K Teetan (54kg) T: Y S Tsui	11	9.5	9.5	9.5	10.4
10. Wild West Wing (1) J: V Borges (52kg) T: J J Size	14	14	13	13	13
11. Young Passion (6) J: H T Mo (52kg) T: D J Hall	151	151	201	201	141
12. Trader (8) J: A Badel (51.5kg) T: D A Hayes	4.8	4.8	4.4	4.6	4.75

Odds Last Updated: September 9, 2021, 9:41am (AEDT)

Race 8

Shek O Hcp (C3) (1200m)
12:55am (AEDT)

Race 8 Shek O Hcp (C3) (1200m) 12:55am (AEDT)
1. Winning Method (8) J: Z Purton (60.5kg) T: C S Shum
2. Transcendent (10) J: Jerry Chau (58kg) T: A S Cruz	15	16	15	15	14.2
3. The Runner (5) J: K C Leung (56.5kg) T: F C Lor	7	7.5	7.5	7.5	6.8
4. Decisive Twelve (1) J: A Badel (55.5kg) T: W Y So	2.5	2.5	2.6	2.6	2.45
5. Good Health (3) J: A Hamelin (54kg) T: D A Hayes	46	41	61	61	45
6. Harrier Jet (4) J: V Borges (53.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan	26	26	26	26	24.5
7. Lucky Quality (9) J: C Schofield (53.5kg) T: C Fownes	23	26	26	26	24.5
8. Rhapsody (11) J: J Moreira (53.5kg) T: J J Size	8	7.5	8.5	8.5	7.4
9. Meridian Genius (7) J: M F Poon (53kg) T: A T Millard	10	10	11	11	9.6
10. Vitralite (12) J: C Y Ho (53kg) T: K W Lui	91	101	101	126	99
11. Smiling City (2) J: M L Yeung (52kg) T: D Whyte	12	13	11	13	12.6
12. Telecom Rocket (6) J: K Teetan (52kg) T: Y S Tsui	6	6	5	4.8	5.7

Odds Last Updated: September 9, 2021, 9:41am (AEDT)

Tim Geers

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.