It’s Day 1 of The Championships at Royal Randwick on Saturday, April 10th, featuring four huge Group 1s on the card!
The Sires’ Produce Stakes, Australian Derby, TJ Smith Stakes and Doncaster Mile headline Day 1, before the carnival rounds out with Day 2 next weekend.
The track is currently rated a heavy 8 with the rail in the true position.
Tim Geers has previewed all the action at Randwick with his tips and betting strategy below!
Race 1
Widden Kindergarten Stks (1100m)
11:35am (AEDT)
Race 1Widden Kindergarten Stks (1100m) |
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1. Paulele
J: Damien Oliver (56.5kg)
T: James Cummings |
5.5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4.8 | 5 |
2. Subterranean
J: Hugh Bowman (56.5kg)
T: M J Dunn |
9.5 | 9.5 | 9 | 9 | 9.6 | 9.5 |
3. King Of Sparta
J: Tommy Berry (56.5kg)
T: P & P Snowden |
6.5 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6.5 |
4. Kalino
J: Damian Lane (56.5kg)
T: C J Waller |
9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 7.8 | 9 |
5. Best Side
J: James Mcdonald (56.5kg)
T: C J Waller |
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6. Dark Rebel
J: Ms Rachel King (56.5kg)
T: Edward Cummings |
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7. Ashema
J: Jason Collett (54.5kg)
T: Annabel Neasham |
7.5 | 7.5 | 7 | 7 | 7.6 | 7.5 |
8. Vandoula Lass
J: Craig Williams (54.5kg)
T: M, W & J Hawkes |
5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 6.1 | 5.5 |
9. Anagain
J: Grant Buckley (54.5kg)
T: G L Frazer |
41 | 41 | 41 | 41 | 41 | 41 |
10. Lovemetender
J: Regan Bayliss (54.5kg)
T: A J Cummings |
10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10.6 | 10 |
11. Bahama
J: Kerrin Mcevoy (54.5kg)
T: M, W & J Hawkes |
6 | 6 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6.6 | 6 |
12. Taurasi
J: Tom Marquand (54.5kg)
T: A J Cummings |
71 | 81 | 81 | 81 | 71 | 81 |
Odds Last Updated: April 10, 2021, 11:36am (AEDT)
Tricky race for the two-year-olds to kick things off.
(5) Best Side led and was run down late to be beaten 0.5L on debut on the Kensington track. Interestingly, James McDonald keeps the ride on the Waller colt. I suspect we’ll see him improve off that and at double figure odds he’s worth a bet.
(8) Vandoula Lass won on debut in Melbourne and then was beaten 0.2L by Rocket Tiger at her second start here at Randwick. Comes into this fresh with no trial and Craig Williams gets back on board – he rode her to victory on debut.
(11) Bahama is the stablemate of Vandoula Lass and comes here on debut. Has trialled well and can be competitive.
Also Backing: (8) Vandoula Lass $5.00 Bet365
Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Best Side, 0.5 units WIN Vandoula Lass
Race 2
Fujitsu General Carbine Club (1600m)
12:10pm (AEDT)
Race 2Fujitsu General Carbine Club (1600m) |
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1. Poland
J: Kerrin Mcevoy (59kg)
T: M D Moroney |
9.5 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8.8 | 8.5 |
2. Wheelhouse
J: Hugh Bowman (56kg)
T: C J Waller |
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3. Embolism
J: Damien Oliver (56kg)
T: D T O'brien |
19 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 19.4 | 19 |
4. The Irishman
J: Joshua Parr (56kg)
T: Mark Newnham |
2.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.65 | 2.5 |
5. Marsannay
J: Tim Clark (56kg)
T: G Waterhouse & A Bott |
18 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 17.8 | 18 |
6. Easy Campese
J: Brenton Avdulla (56kg)
T: J G Sargent |
26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 23.5 | 26 |
7. Achiever
J: Craig Williams (56kg)
T: C J Waller |
34 | 34 | 31 | 31 | 34 | 34 |
8. High Supremacy
J: James Mcdonald (56kg)
T: R & M Freedman |
5.5 | 5.5 | 6 | 5.5 | 5.9 | 5.5 |
9. Black Duke
J: Glen Boss (56kg)
T: Richard Litt |
67 | 71 | 81 | 91 | 81 | 71 |
10. Spanish Fighter
J: Grant Buckley (56kg)
T: Peter D Green |
151 | 151 | 151 | 126 | 161 | 151 |
11. Silent Thunder
J: Regan Bayliss (56kg)
T: A J Cummings |
126 | 126 | 151 | 126 | 131 | 126 |
12. Kiku
J: Tommy Berry (54kg)
T: C J Waller |
3.7 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.9 | 3.5 | 3.8 |
13. Impressive Lass
J: Jason Collett (54kg)
T: Clare Cunningham |
41 | 41 | 41 | 41 | 43 | 41 |
Odds Last Updated: April 10, 2021, 12:11pm (AEDT)
(2) Wheelhouse drops back to the mile today and back to a Group 3 after racing in Group 1 company his past two. Most recent winners of this race have come out of Group 1 races so I’ll side with his quality to get him over the line.
(8) High Supremacy gets JMac on, who jumps off a last-start Waller winner to ride. At this stage last prep he ran 3rd in a Group 3 so expect him to be peaking for this and the jockey booking suggests he’s ready.
(12) Kiku has been dominant in two starts this prep. Does step up sharply in grade but can measure up.
(4) The Irishman has been good in two Australian starts.
Tip: (2) Wheelhouse $4.60 Ladbrokes
Also Backing: (8) High Supremacy $8.00 Bet365
Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Wheelhouse, 0.5 units WIN High Supremacy
Race 3
Newhaven Pk Ctry Champs Final (1400m)
12:45pm (AEDT)
Race 3Newhaven Pk Ctry Champs Final (1400m) |
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1. Plonka
J: Joshua Parr (57.5kg)
T: W J Gavenlock |
18 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 15 | 19 |
2. Healing Hands
J: Ms Samantha Clenton (57.5kg)
T: Ms G Williams |
17 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 16.8 | 16 |
3. Art Cadeau
J: Tommy Berry (56kg)
T: T J Robinson |
3.1 | 3.1 | 3 | 3.3 | 3.05 | 3.1 |
4. Another One
J: Nick Heywood (56kg)
T: G J Colvin |
10 | 10 | 10 | 9.5 | 9.9 | 10 |
5. Rothenburg
J: Hugh Bowman (56kg)
T: J M Cleary |
8.5 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 8.4 | 8.5 |
6. Subtle Grey
J: Ms Rachel King (56kg)
T: Allan Kehoe |
67 | 67 | 61 | 71 | 59 | 71 |
7. Baileys
J: James Mcdonald (56kg)
T: G L Payne |
11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12.2 | 11 |
8. Pure Fuego
J: Christian Reith (56kg)
T: Cameron Crockett |
31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 25.5 | 34 |
9. Activation
J: Ben Looker (56kg)
T: Kody Nestor |
15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
10. Bautista
J: John Kissick (56kg)
T: Ms D Scott |
27 | 26 | 26 | 21 | 31 | 31 |
11. Hamogany
J: Clayton Gallagher (56kg)
T: D R Mirfin |
101 | 126 | 151 | 101 | 111 | 126 |
12. Spiranac
J: Reece Jones (55.5kg)
T: R P Northam |
10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11.2 | 11 |
13. Charmmebaby
J: Grant Buckley (55.5kg)
T: R R Milligan |
18 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
14. Girls Are Ready
J: Ms Jess Taylor (54kg)
T: J M Cleary |
67 | 71 | 67 | 71 | 65 | 81 |
15. Wild Rocket
J: Mathew Cahill (54kg)
T: Kylie Kennedy |
34 | 34 | 31 | 34 | 35 | 34 |
16. Tara Jasmine
J: Tim Clark (54kg)
T: J D Shelton |
12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 12.2 | 11 |
17. Jailbreak
J: Unknown (57.5kg)
T: Kody Nestor |
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18. Takissacod
J: Unknown (54kg)
T: N E Loy |
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19. Propose To Me
J: Unknown (54kg)
T: Matthew Dale |
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20. Amy's Shadow
J: Unknown (54kg)
T: Brett Thompson |
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21. Depth That Varies
J: Unknown (56kg)
T: L C Morgan |
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22. Bellastar
J: Unknown (54kg)
T: Colt Prosser |
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23. Sugar Baby
J: Unknown (54kg)
T: B D Bellamy |
Odds Last Updated: April 10, 2021, 12:46pm (AEDT)
Not much interest in the Country Championships Final.
Will side with the favourite (3) Art Cadeau on top who has never finished out of the top two from 10 career starts. That includes six runs on wet ground, so conditions will be no issue. He comes up with a good draw and comes into the race off back to back wins so he appears the horse to beat, but I’ll be staying out.
Tip: (3) Art Cadeau $2.90 Sportsbet
Betting Strategy: No bet
Race 4
Tab Adrian Knox Stks (2000m)
1:20pm (AEDT)
Race 4Tab Adrian Knox Stks (2000m) |
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1. Salto Angel
J: Tom Marquand (58.5kg)
T: D T O'brien |
13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13.2 | 12 |
2. Chequerboard
J: James Mcdonald (58kg)
T: T Dabernig & B Hayes |
12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12.2 | 11 |
3. Flexible
J: Tommy Berry (57kg)
T: James Cummings |
4.5 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.45 | 4 |
4. Easifar
J: Kerrin Mcevoy (56kg)
T: C J Waller |
12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10.6 | 13 |
5. Duais
J: Hugh Bowman (55.5kg)
T: Edward Cummings |
5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5.2 | 5 |
6. Land Ahoy
J: Ms Alysha Collett (55kg)
T: J G Sargent |
16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 16.4 | 17 |
7. Signora Nera
J: Brenton Avdulla (55kg)
T: C J Waller |
20 | 21 | 26 | 20 | 21 | 23 |
8. Obvious Step
J: Keagan Latham (54.5kg)
T: David Payne |
31 | 34 | 31 | 34 | 28.5 | 41 |
9. Brookspire
J: Damian Lane (54kg)
T: C J Waller |
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10. Seduction Queen
J: Tim Clark (54kg)
T: R & M Freedman |
19 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 19.8 | 21 |
11. Darling Diamond
J: Ms Rachel King (53.5kg)
T: Mark Newnham |
7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6.5 | 7 |
12. Star Point
J: Glen Boss (53kg)
T: Ms G Markwell |
17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 |
13. Bargain
J: Robbie Dolan (53kg)
T: Mark Newnham |
21 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 19.8 | 21 |
14. Tycoon Hallie
J: Andrew Adkins (53kg)
T: Brad Widdup |
34 | 34 | 31 | 31 | 35 | 34 |
15. Credit Crunch
J: Craig Williams (53kg)
T: Matthew Smith |
41 | 41 | 41 | 51 | 41 | 51 |
16. Himiko
J: Jason Collett (53kg)
T: John Thompson |
81 | 81 | 81 | 101 | 71 | 81 |
17. Sassysav
J: Unknown (53kg)
T: C Maher & D Eustace |
Odds Last Updated: April 10, 2021, 1:21pm (AEDT)
(4) Easifar won well first up before finishing 4th last start, where they changed tactics from the first up win. From the inside draw here, they should be able to punch through and lead or at least sit right on speed. She has a dominant win to her name on heavy ground so the conditions are no issue and at double figure odds, she looks a reasonable chance.
Tip: (4) Easifar $11 Ladbrokes
Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Easifar
Race 5
Schweppes Chairmans Quality (2600m)
1:55pm (AEDT)
Race 5Schweppes Chairmans Quality (2600m) |
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1. Mirage Dancer
J: Damien Oliver (59kg)
T: T Busuttin & N Young |
10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11.2 | 11 |
2. Concert Hall
J: Glen Boss (57kg)
T: R James & R Wellwood |
13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14.2 | 13 |
3. Sir Charles Road
J: Andrew Adkins (56kg)
T: L O'sullivan & A Scott |
26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26.5 | 26 |
4. Quick Thinker
J: Damian Lane (55kg)
T: M Baker & A Forsman |
13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12.8 | 13 |
5. Hush Writer
J: Tim Clark (54.5kg)
T: G Waterhouse & A Bott |
11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 9.2 | 11 |
6. Sacramento
J: Sam Clipperton (54.5kg)
T: G Waterhouse & A Bott |
4.6 | 4.5 | 4.4 | 4.8 | 4.55 | 4.4 |
7. Miss Sentimental
J: Brenton Avdulla (54kg)
T: C J Waller |
34 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 33 | 34 |
8. Dadoozdart
J: Tommy Berry (54kg)
T: M, W & J Hawkes |
12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
9. Collide
J: Jason Collett (53.5kg)
T: K A Lees |
12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12.2 | 12 |
10. Rondinella
J: Robbie Dolan (53kg)
T: J A O'shea |
8.5 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9.1 | 9 |
11. Selino
J: Craig Williams (53kg)
T: C J Waller |
6.5 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
12. Paths Of Glory
J: Ms Rachel King (53kg)
T: R & M Freedman |
9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8.2 | 8.5 |
13. Feel The Rush
J: Michael Poy (53kg)
T: C Maher & D Eustace |
126 | 126 | 151 | 101 | 161 | 151 |
Odds Last Updated: April 10, 2021, 1:56pm (AEDT)
Literally couldn’t make a case for anything here.
(7) Miss Sentimental might be ready to run a race. She’s had three runs back from a spell now and the last one was a bit inconclusive, held up most of the straight. Now gets up to 2600m at her fourth run back and could have a bit to offer.
(11) Selino could be a similar case. Is from the same stable as Miss Sentimental, gets in light and draws well.
(10) Rondinella isn’t hopeless, while (6) Sacramento is always around the mark.
Tip: (7) Miss Sentimental $26 Sportsbet
Betting Strategy: No bet
Race 6
Inglis Sires (1400m)
2:30pm (AEDT)
Race 6Inglis Sires (1400m) |
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1. Anamoe
J: James Mcdonald (56.5kg)
T: James Cummings |
1.85 | 1.85 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.92 | 1.85 |
2. Captivant
J: Tom Marquand (56.5kg)
T: P & P Snowden |
17 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17.6 | 17 |
3. Lightsaber
J: Luke Nolen (56.5kg)
T: P G Moody |
8 | 8.5 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
4. Tiger Of Malay
J: Hugh Bowman (56.5kg)
T: R & M Freedman |
10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9.1 | 10 |
5. Daily Bugle
J: Luke Currie (56.5kg)
T: R Griffiths & M De Kock |
61 | 67 | 67 | 61 | 71 | 71 |
6. Hilal
J: Kerrin Mcevoy (56.5kg)
T: M, W & J Hawkes |
13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 14 |
7. Lease
J: Tommy Berry (56.5kg)
T: A J Cummings |
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8. Four Moves Ahead
J: Tim Clark (54.5kg)
T: J G Sargent |
5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4.85 | 5 |
9. Queen Of Wizardry
J: Ms Jamie Kah (54.5kg)
T: Annabel Neasham |
35 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 41 | 34 |
10. Chill
J: Damian Lane (54.5kg)
T: A J Cummings |
101 | 91 | 101 | 101 | 99 | 126 |
Odds Last Updated: April 10, 2021, 2:31pm (AEDT)
The first Group 1 on the card is the Sires’ Produce, where I’ve made (1) Anamoe my best bet of the day. He’s been enormous in defeat in both the Blue Diamond and the Golden Slipper. His finishing burst in the Slipper was beastly, and if he lands just a pair further forward today he wins, provided he can reproduce that level of performance. The query is this might be his third ‘grand final’ as such, but if he’s able to replicate his last run, surely he’s the one to beat.
(8) Four Moves Ahead sat three-wide the trip in the Slipper and still battled on well for 4th. She draws much better in barrier 2 today so that won’t be an issue and her only start on heavy ground was a dominant win. She should be around the mark.
(6) Hilal has had everything go against him in his past few starts – poor rides, unsuitable race tempos and race shapes. He draws sticky again today in barrier 10 but he’s got a big finish on him.
(4) Tiger Of Malay was a great run in defeat last start behind Shaquero. Has been saved for this race and a win wouldn’t surprise, but some query over the form out of that Pago Pago.
Tip: (1) Anamoe $1.90 Sportsbet
Betting Strategy: 3 units WIN Anamoe
Race 7
Bentley Australian Derby (2400m)
3:15pm (AEDT)
Race 7Bentley Australian Derby (2400m) |
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1. Lion's Roar
J: Brenton Avdulla (56.5kg)
T: J A O'shea |
8 | 8 | 8 | 8.5 | 6.9 | 8 |
2. Rocket Spade
J: Kerrin Mcevoy (56.5kg)
T: L O'sullivan & A Scott |
13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13.2 | 12 |
3. Sky Lab
J: James Mcdonald (56.5kg)
T: P M Perry |
3.9 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4.05 | 4 |
4. Milford
J: Damien Oliver (56.5kg)
T: S B Marsh |
51 | 51 | 51 | 51 | 47 | 51 |
5. The Frontman
J: Hugh Bowman (56.5kg)
T: M Baker & A Forsman |
34 | 34 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 34 |
6. Yaletown
J: Tim Clark (56.5kg)
T: G Waterhouse & A Bott |
19 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 19 |
7. Young Werther
J: Tom Marquand (56.5kg)
T: D T O'brien |
14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 13.4 | 15 |
8. Khoekhoe
J: Craig Williams (56.5kg)
T: Matthew Cumani |
10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10.8 | 10 |
9. Prompt Prodigy
J: Ms Rachel King (56.5kg)
T: Edward Cummings |
51 | 51 | 51 | 51 | 57 | 61 |
10. Explosive Jack
J: John Allen (56.5kg)
T: C Maher & D Eustace |
20 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 23 |
11. Toscanini
J: Ms Jamie Kah (56.5kg)
T: C Maher & D Eustace |
41 | 41 | 51 | 51 | 40 | 41 |
12. Favreau
J: Tommy Berry (56.5kg)
T: J G Sargent |
27 | 26 | 34 | 31 | 26.5 | 23 |
13. Rondino
J: Keagan Latham (56.5kg)
T: G D Hickman |
151 | 151 | 201 | 151 | 151 | 201 |
14. Zakspeed
J: Andrew Adkins (56.5kg)
T: Ms W Roche |
151 | 151 | 201 | 151 | 191 | 201 |
15. Olympic Gaze
J: Damian Lane (56.5kg)
T: P M Perry |
151 | 151 | 151 | 151 | 161 | 151 |
16. Montefilia
J: Jason Collett (54.5kg)
T: David Payne |
3.4 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.4 |
Odds Last Updated: April 10, 2021, 3:16pm (AEDT)
Very tricky Australian Derby. (16) Montefilia is favourite here and looked primed for a big run, but just one filly has won this race in the past 20 years.
The New Zealand form tends to hold strong in this race, so I’ll be having something on the NZ Derby winner (2) Rocket Spade at double figures. He won the Derby over 2400m two starts ago before dropping back to 1600m last start and winning easily. He’s won four from six on soft ground and even though the form out of that Derby has been very suspect, I’ll be on him at the price.
(5) The Frontman ran 3rd in the NZ Derby and started $5.00 in the Tulloch Stakes last weekend. The Tulloch has a very good record of producing the winners of this race. He travelled into that race very strongly but found little when he had to shove out of a gap. On the quick back-up here, back onto a soft track, I’ll stick with him at 6x the price he was last weekend.
(1) Lion’s Roar and (3) Sky Lab next best.
Tip: (2) Rocket Spade $12 Sportsbet
Value: (5) The Frontman $31 Sportsbet
Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Rocket Spade, 0.5 units WIN The Frontman
Race 8
Heineken T J Smith Stks (1200m)
3:55pm (AEDT)
Race 8Heineken T J Smith Stks (1200m) |
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1. Bivouac
J: Hugh Bowman (58.5kg)
T: James Cummings |
4.6 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 5 | 5.1 | 4.6 |
2. Nature Strip
J: James Mcdonald (58.5kg)
T: C J Waller |
3.4 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 3.35 | 3.4 |
3. Eduardo
J: Brenton Avdulla (58.5kg)
T: Joseph Pride |
3.5 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.35 | 3.7 |
4. Zoutori
J: Luke Currie (58.5kg)
T: M Ellerton & S Zahra |
27 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 31 |
5. Masked Crusader
J: Kerrin Mcevoy (58.5kg)
T: M, W & J Hawkes |
6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6.1 | 6 |
6. Dirty Work
J: Damian Lane (58.5kg)
T: M, W & J Hawkes |
34 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 35 | 34 |
7. Order Of Command
J: Damien Oliver (58.5kg)
T: D T O'brien |
46 | 41 | 41 | 41 | 45 | 41 |
8. Eleven Eleven
J: Keagan Latham (58.5kg)
T: G D Hickman |
35 | 34 | 34 | 41 | 43 | 34 |
9. Libertini
J: Tommy Berry (56.5kg)
T: A J Cummings |
11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12.2 | 12 |
10. Haut Brion Her
J: Ms Jamie Kah (56.5kg)
T: C J Waller |
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11. September Run
J: Craig Williams (54.5kg)
T: C J Waller |
Odds Last Updated: April 10, 2021, 3:56pm (AEDT)
The TJ shapes as a fascinating sprint. I’m sticking with (3) Eduardo who got the measure of Nature Strip first up before belting his rivals in The Galaxy last start. He’s returned in supreme form this prep and he’s also won five out of his six starts on rain-affected ground. I don’t think he should be a bigger price than Nature Strip here.
(2) Nature Strip can probably kick up to hold the lead on the inside here, compared to sitting off the rail last start, which may have played a part in his defeat. He looked to have the race parcelled up but was run down right on the line by Eduardo. Third up, he could blow these away but I’d rather be with Eduardo.
(1) Bivouac probably sits behind the speed of the front two. He’s maybe been ridden slightly off this prep but won’t be with Hugh Bowman on from barrier 2. The heavy track must be a big query though.
I think the big blowout in the race could be (6) Dirty Work at $41. He was luckless in defeat first up in the Oakleigh Plate where he was only beaten 0.5L. He was then beaten 6L by Eduardo and Nature Strip but he had absolutely no luck and definitely should have finished closer.
Tip: (3) Eduardo $4.40 Sportsbet
Value: (6) Dirty Work $41 Sportsbet
Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Eduardo, 0.25 units WIN Dirty Work
Race 9
The Star Doncaster Mile (1600m)
4:35pm (AEDT)
Race 9The Star Doncaster Mile (1600m) |
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1. Mugatoo
J: Hugh Bowman (56kg)
T: K A Lees |
4.5 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 4.55 | 4.4 |
2. Avilius
J: James Mcdonald (56kg)
T: James Cummings |
11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
3. Samadoubt
J: Joshua Parr (56kg)
T: Bjorn Baker |
71 | 71 | 91 | 71 | 73 | 71 |
4. Star Of The Seas
J: Sam Clipperton (54kg)
T: C J Waller |
27 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 |
5. Olmedo
J: Tommy Berry (54kg)
T: Annabel Neasham |
101 | 101 | 101 | 101 | 99 | 101 |
6. Shout The Bar
J: Tim Clark (53.5kg)
T: G Waterhouse & A Bott |
41 | 41 | 41 | 41 | 38 | 41 |
7. Gem Song
J: Jason Collett (53.5kg)
T: K A Lees |
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8. Zaaki
J: Regan Bayliss (53.5kg)
T: Annabel Neasham |
67 | 67 | 67 | 71 | 73 | 61 |
9. Aegon
J: Kerrin Mcevoy (53kg)
T: M Baker & A Forsman |
13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13.2 | 11 |
10. Cascadian
J: Ms Jamie Kah (53kg)
T: James Cummings |
7.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.6 | 7.5 |
11. Dalasan
J: Jason Holder (53kg)
T: L Macdonald & A Gluyas |
35 | 34 | 31 | 34 | 43 | 34 |
12. Think It Over
J: Glen Boss (52.5kg)
T: K J Parker |
||||||
13. Funstar
J: Craig Williams (52.5kg)
T: C J Waller |
18 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19.2 | 19 |
14. Best Of Days
J: Ms Rachel King (52.5kg)
T: James Cummings |
23 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 23 |
15. I Am Superman
J: Andrew Adkins (52kg)
T: P & P Snowden |
||||||
16. Rock
J: James Innes Jnr (52kg)
T: M, W & J Hawkes |
23 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 23.5 | 23 |
17. Nettoyer
J: Michael Poy (51kg)
T: Ms W Roche |
35 | 34 | 34 | 41 | 41 | 34 |
18. Yao Dash
J: Michael Dee (50.5kg)
T: G Waterhouse & A Bott |
13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 14 |
19. Mo'unga
J: Robbie Dolan (49.5kg)
T: Annabel Neasham |
8.5 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 7.8 | 9 |
20. Forbidden Love
J: Dean Yendall (49.5kg)
T: R & M Freedman |
10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10.8 | 12 |
21. Icebath
J: Jay Ford (50.5kg)
T: Brad Widdup |
21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 22.5 | 23 |
22. Wheelhouse
J: Unknown (49.5kg)
T: C J Waller |
46 | 51 | 51 | 41 | 41 | 51 |
Odds Last Updated: April 10, 2021, 4:36pm (AEDT)
The Doncaster is always a wide open race. I’ll be playing four horses.
(1) Mugatoo comes off a win in the All-Star Mile on a bog track. He’s won two of his three starts when third up, has won his only start at the track and distance, and relishes wet tracks. He carries equal top weight but I don’t think it’s a race that’s out of his grasp this year.
(2) Avilius isn’t a horse I ever land on, but today I’ve had something on. His two runs this prep have both been terrific and he had no luck at all last start. He probably should have won that race, and he’s undefeated from his two starts on heavy ground. Rider change today with JMac going on, and again, despite carrying top weight, he’s a winning chance.
(9) Aegon disappointed in the Rosehill Guineas, but that was his first go on good ground. Prior to that he was 5/5 and all five starts were on soft tracks. He’s bred by Sacred Falls out of a Zabeel mare so he obviously is bred to swim and should relish his return to wet ground today. Will give him another chance.
Finally, (17) Nettoyer might be being overlooked. She won this race last year on a heavy track, where she carried more weight than she carries in this year’s race. She has a good third up record and at $81, she’s a blowout chance.
Also Backing: (2) Avilius $13 Bet365
Value: (17) Nettoyer $81 TopSport
Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Aegon, 0.5 units WIN Avilius, 0.5 units WIN Mugatoo, 0.25 units WIN Nettoyer
Race 10
China Horse Club P J Bell Stks (1200m)
5:10pm (AEDT)
Race 10China Horse Club P J Bell Stks (1200m) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. Every Rose
J: Joshua Parr (57kg)
T: Mark Newnham |
9.5 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 9 | 8.9 | 9.5 |
2. Macroura
J: Ms Jamie Kah (56kg)
T: C Maher & D Eustace |
4.8 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 5 | 5.1 | 4.8 |
3. Marboosha
J: Kerrin Mcevoy (55kg)
T: P & P Snowden |
7.5 | 7 | 7 | 7.5 | 6.7 | 7 |
4. Matchmaker
J: James Mcdonald (55kg)
T: C J Waller |
11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 9.8 | 11 |
5. Supreme Idea
J: Tim Clark (55kg)
T: A & S Freedman |
26 | 26 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 23 |
6. Never Talk
J: Jason Collett (54kg)
T: K A Lees |
4.4 | 4.5 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 4.85 | 4.8 |
7. Barossa Rosa
J: Glen Boss (54kg)
T: T J Bartley |
51 | 51 | 51 | 51 | 53 | 51 |
8. Najmah
J: Tommy Berry (54kg)
T: M, W & J Hawkes |
7.5 | 8 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.2 | 7.5 |
9. Sweet Reply
J: Sam Clipperton (54kg)
T: R & M Freedman |
||||||
10. Stellar Pauline
J: Andrew Adkins (54kg)
T: P & P Snowden |
81 | 91 | 91 | 91 | 99 | 101 |
11. Selburose
J: Brenton Avdulla (54kg)
T: C J Waller |
41 | 41 | 41 | 41 | 49 | 51 |
12. Tudor Music
J: Keagan Latham (54kg)
T: G D Hickman |
31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 35 | 34 |
13. Perfect Radiance
J: Craig Williams (54kg)
T: Joseph Pride |
15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15.6 | 16 |
14. All Hallows' Eve
J: Regan Bayliss (54kg)
T: J A O'shea |
27 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
15. Salateen
J: Robbie Dolan (54kg)
T: P & P Snowden |
101 | 126 | 101 | 126 | 141 | 151 |
16. Calgary Queen
J: Damian Lane (54kg)
T: Brad Widdup |
||||||
17. Geist
J: Ms Rachel King (54kg)
T: James Cummings |
26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 30 | 31 |
18. Surooj
J: Unknown (54kg)
T: Mark Schmetzer |
||||||
19. Summer Glow
J: Unknown (54kg)
T: Paul Messara |
Odds Last Updated: April 10, 2021, 5:11pm (AEDT)
(6) Never Talk arguably should have won a Group 2 two starts ago and then ran an admirable race in the Surround Stakes last start. Drops back from a Group 1 to a Group 3 and is undefeated from two starts on heavy ground.
(13) Perfect Radiance makes its stable debut for Joe Pride and is undefeated first up. Watch the market.
(12) Tudor Music was given a hit out first up and is undefeated second up so don’t be surprised to see more positive tactics today.
Tip: (6) Never Talk $3.80 Bet365
Betting Strategy: No bet
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