Connect with us

Racing Tips

Rosehill Racing Tips: Saturday, July 24th

Tim Geers previews the 10-race card at Rosehill on Saturday, with his best bet coming up midway through the meeting.

RosehillRaceCourse

New South Wales metro racing heads to Rosehill on Saturday for another 10-race card.

We should expect to be racing on a drier track than what’s been dished up in recent weeks, with the surface currently a Soft 6 and minimal rain around. The rail is out 8m.

The Listed Winter Challenge headlines the card, while the July Sprint is another to look forward to.

Tim Geers has previewed every race on the card below, where you can find his tips, best bets and betting strategy.

Best Bet: Race 5 – (1) Harpo Marx

Best Value: Race 10 – (8) Dream Circle

If you’re betting at Rosehill today, then why not do so at PlayUp where you’ll receive a bonus bet refund up to $50 if your horse finishes 2nd or 3rd in Races 1-5 on Saturday. Terms and conditions apply. May not be available in all states. Refer to the PlayUp website for more details.

If you think you can play, then play at PlayUp!

PlayUp

193328

Race 1

Elite Sand & Soil Hcp (1200m)
11:15am (AEDT)

Race 1

Elite Sand & Soil Hcp (1200m)
11:15am (AEDT)

1. Baby Wong (5) J: Hugh Bowman (58kg) T: S C Jones
2. King Of Sparta (9) J: Regan Bayliss (57.5kg) T: P & P Snowden
6.56.56.577
3. Picarones (12) J: Ms Rachel King (57kg) T: James Cummings
13121414.213
4. Coastwatch (8) J: James Mcdonald (57kg) T: C J Waller
9.59.51010.29.5
5. Concocted (4) J: Brenton Avdulla (56.5kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
17171816.617
6. Military Expert (10) J: Tommy Berry (56.5kg) T: Annabel Neasham
2.932.932.8
7. Silent Impact (2) J: Tim Clark (56.5kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
76.576.46.5
8. Lion King (7) J: Joshua Parr (56kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
3141313634
9. Turnstar (6) J: Jay Ford (56kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
1921211621
10. Vianello (11) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (55.5kg) T: James Cummings
1616161615
11. Maralago (3) J: Unknown (55.5kg) T: A J Cummings
12. Sir Crackle (1) J: Jason Collett (55.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker
6.56.566.26.5

Odds Last Updated: July 24, 2021, 11:17am (AEDT)

I think it’s a two-horse race here between (2) King Of Sparta and (6) Military Expert, who met on the latter’s debut at Kensington a few weeks back. King Of Sparta got the better of Military Expert that day, but the run of the runner-up in defeat had a stack of merit after being caught wide early. King Of Sparta got the cold drop on the leaders and it was Military Expert’s first race, hence the prices here suggest he can turn the tables.

If the field remains as is, we can back Military Expert and save on King Of Sparta (or just back both) but will have to reassess after final scratchings.

Tip: (6) Military Expert $3.20 Ladbrokes

Saver: (2) King Of Sparta

Betting Strategy: 1.25 units WIN Military Expert, 0.25 units WIN King Of Sparta

193328

Race 2

Tab Highway Plate (C3) (1500m)
11:50am (AEDT)

Race 2

Tab Highway Plate (C3) (1500m)
11:50am (AEDT)

1. Bold And Wild (7) J: Joshua Parr (59kg) T: D A Williams
5.555.554.85
2. Dream Runner (12) J: James Mcdonald (59kg) T: K R Dryden
3.73.63.83.83.43.8
3. Tags (14) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (59kg) T: Ms G Williams
109.591010.29.5
4. Laughing Or Crying (5) J: James Innes Jnr (59kg) T: Richard Butler
615151515351
5. Choccy Gaf (11) J: Hugh Bowman (59kg) T: J M Cleary
2626262125.526
6. Convinced (16) J: Unknown (57.5kg) T: G J Preston
7. Reach Beyond (10) J: Ms Louise Day (57.5kg) T: S I Singleton
171715161717
8. Lord Avatar (8) J: Sam Clipperton (57.5kg) T: Ms J Graham
354141413641
9. Birdonawinningpost (13) J: Grant Buckley (57kg) T: William Freedman
272126263226
10. Charvet (9) J: Tom Sherry (57kg) T: Paul Messara
11. Zoo Station (4) J: Regan Bayliss (57kg) T: Ms G Williams
4.84.84.855.14.8
12. Bondi Blue (3) J: Jay Ford (56kg) T: Ms G Williams
171717171717
13. Auntie Monnie (15) J: Ms Rachel King (55.5kg) T: Ms S Grills
262626262726
14. So Say You (2) J: Brock Ryan (54kg) T: T J Robinson
1112121210.411
15. Jac The Great (1) J: Unknown (55.5kg) T: Matthew Dale
16. Nuremburg Castle (6) J: Tommy Berry (57.5kg) T: Matthew Dale
1313141512.214

Odds Last Updated: July 24, 2021, 11:51am (AEDT)

(11) Zoo Station won well here first up and then came from last to finish midfield last start on the day that was impossible to make ground. Has clearly returned in great order, can sit closer from the draw and be hard to beat.

You can expect Matt Dale to scratch the stablemate to give (16) Nuremburg Castle a start. He won first up and then was set an enormous task last start. Tommy Berry is an eye-catching jockey booking and third up looks a good chance.

(7) Reach Beyond is flying and Scott Singleton knows which horses to set for these races.

(2) Dream Runner gets JMac, while (1) Bold And Wild drops in class from metro to Highway company.

Tip: (11) Zoo Station $4.00 Bet365

Also Backing: (16) Nuremburg Castle $10 Bet365

Value: (7) Reach Beyond $21 Bet365

Betting Strategy: No bet

193328

Race 3

Bowermans Furniture (Bm72) (1500m)
12:25pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Bowermans Furniture (Bm72) (1500m)
12:25pm (AEDT)

1. Major Artie (3) J: Tim Clark (60kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
181818191618
2. Tony Be (7) J: Brenton Avdulla (60kg) T: C J Waller
3. Go Troppo (1) J: Sam Clipperton (59kg) T: M J Dunn
555555
4. Bazooka (8) J: Keagan Latham (56.5kg) T: David Payne
111111119.112
5. Black Bolt (5) J: Regan Bayliss (56.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
4.54.54.64.64.654.6
6. Yiyi (4) J: James Mcdonald (56kg) T: C J Waller
54.84.64.84.454.6
7. Alvin The Bold (12) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (55.5kg) T: G K White
5.55566.15
8. Oakfield Arrow (2) J: Tommy Berry (54kg) T: Ms K Buchanan
77.577.578
9. Adamas Prince (11) J: Brenton Avdulla (54kg) T: Edward Cummings
414134344041
10. Just Tozza (9) J: Ms Rachel King (53kg) T: J C Coyle
212121211621
11. Yesmeena (10) J: Jay Ford (52kg) T: K A Lees
414141344141
12. Just A Brother (6) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (52kg) T: T P Croft
353434343941

Odds Last Updated: July 24, 2021, 12:26pm (AEDT)

Absolute headache this race, with a number of horses who are suspect.

One of them is (11) Yesmeena who isn’t hopeless here at $34. Didn’t get the clearest of runs late in the race last start at Canterbury. Keep stepping slowly and working home strongly so with the light weight on her back today, she will be one to watch late.

(6) Yiyi will be popular for Waller and McDonald, coming off a big win first up at Newcastle. She has a good first up record but hasn’t really backed that up when second up in the past, which would be my query here.

(5) Black Bolt ran OK first up and should improve second up today.

(3) Go Troppo is flying and can win again,

Tip: (11) Yesmeena $34 BetDeluxe

Betting Strategy: No bet

193328

Race 4

Hyland Race Colours July Sprnt (1100m)
1:00pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Hyland Race Colours July Sprnt (1100m)
1:00pm (AEDT)

1. Trumbull (8) J: Tommy Berry (61kg) T: Ms K Waugh
65.565.55.65.5
2. Gaulois (3) J: Hugh Bowman (59kg) T: James Cummings
8.58.58.58.57.49
3. Isaurian (2) J: James Mcdonald (59kg) T: James Cummings
4. Man Of Peace (6) J: Ms Louise Day (59kg) T: Matthew Dale
1313141312.213
5. All Time Legend (5) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (53kg) T: L J Bridge
2.352.352.352.52.42.25
6. Chat (7) J: Brock Ryan (52kg) T: John Thompson
4.64.64.64.84.354.6
7. Barbaric (4) J: Ms Rachel King (52kg) T: P & P Snowden
999.598.89
8. Rifles (1) J: Jay Ford (52kg) T: B A Partelle
212121212223

Odds Last Updated: July 24, 2021, 1:01pm (AEDT)

(5) All Time Legend makes his return today and it’s good to see an exciting horse like him back at the races. He really could have won all four starts last prep but he didn’t get any luck in his two starts over the mile. He bolted in first up last prep and it’s just a case of whether he’s sharp enough over 1100m fresh. The plan is to ride him cold and give him a crack down the outside, so don’t expect to see him leading. Might well drift out on the exchange because of that, so bet late and we might get a better price.

(1) Trumbull is a very good horse in his own right. He didn’t fire fresh last prep but didn’t race again, so clearly pulled up poorly. His overall first up record is very good, my main query is he gives All Time Legend 8kg. Should go close but think he’s found one better.

Tip: (5) All Time Legend $1.90 Betfair

Betting Strategy: 3 units WIN All Time Legend

193328

Race 5

Schweppes (Bm78) (2400m)
1:35pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Schweppes (Bm78) (2400m)
1:35pm (AEDT)

1. Harpo Marx (6) J: Tom Sherry (62.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker
2.92.92.93.23.22.9
2. No Compromise (13) J: Brock Ryan (61kg) T: C J Waller
5.55555.15
3. Spencer (12) J: Joshua Parr (60kg) T: Bjorn Baker
1818171717.419
4. Kaapfever (7) J: Regan Bayliss (58kg) T: Joseph Pride
313131313234
5. Master Shuhood (3) J: Sam Clipperton (57.5kg) T: Richard Litt
262621262431
6. Montabot (5) J: Brenton Avdulla (57.5kg) T: Matthew Smith
7.57.57.57.56.97.5
7. Smokin' Romans (9) J: James Mcdonald (57.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
8. Commander Bell (10) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (56kg) T: B A Partelle
2020192020.521
9. Karmazone (4) J: Jason Collett (54.5kg) T: Daniel Robinson
2731313128.531
10. Sound Of Cannons (1) J: Tommy Berry (54.5kg) T: J A O'shea
55554.654.8
11. Terwilliker (11) J: Glen Boss (54kg) T: A J Cummings
12. Poulton Le Sands (8) J: Ms Louise Day (53kg) T: A J Denham
2321212126.526
13. Arabolini (2) J: Ms Ellen Hennessy (52.5kg) T: J D Cooper
151617161517

Odds Last Updated: July 24, 2021, 1:36pm (AEDT)

(1) Harpo Marx was super impressive winning as our best bet last start over 2000m. He was the only horse on the day to really make significant ground down the outside, coming from last and storming over the top of his rivals. 2400m is no issue, nor is the ground, so with even luck he’s going to be hard to beat again.

(2) No Compromise gets the apprentice and draws wide so he’ll have to come from last.

(6) Montabot couldn’t go with Harpo Marx last start but was strong through the line very late, and we know the step up to 2400m is really going to suit him.

(9) Karmazone won two in the bush before coming to town last start. Didn’t get all that much luck there so don’t be surprised to see him feature.

Speaking of no luck, (10) Sound Of Cannons got none of it when he needed it last start. He looked destined to be right in the finish but got cut out. Draws inside again but can win.

Tip: (1) Harpo Marx $2.05 Neds

Betting Strategy: 3 units WIN Harpo Marx

193328

Race 6

City Tattersalls Club (Bm78) (1200m)
2:10pm (AEDT)

Race 6

City Tattersalls Club (Bm78) (1200m)
2:10pm (AEDT)

1. Maddi Rocks (8) J: Tom Sherry (60.5kg) T: J A O'shea
776.56.577
2. Misteed (2) J: Joshua Parr (60.5kg) T: Ms K Waugh
8.58888.68
3. Stellar Pauline (7) J: Sam Clipperton (59.5kg) T: P & P Snowden
1313131312.613
4. Hasstobegood (12) J: Regan Bayliss (59kg) T: Joseph Pride
262621212731
5. Dame Kiri (1) J: Ms Rachel King (58kg) T: A J Denham
1212121313.211
6. Lucicello (5) J: Brenton Avdulla (58kg) T: C J Waller
1516161712.616
7. Brazen Gem (10) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (57.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker
8. Starla (4) J: Hugh Bowman (57.5kg) T: C J Waller
3.53.53.33.73.53.4
9. Turnstyle (3) J: James Mcdonald (57.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker
54.84.64.84.94.6
10. Seleque (9) J: Tommy Berry (57kg) T: C J Waller
11. Hellenism (13) J: Tim Clark (56.5kg) T: Aiden St Vincent
12. Hyannis Port (11) J: Jay Ford (54kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
1817161615.618
13. Arousal (6) J: James Innes Jnr (53.5kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
9.5109101010

Odds Last Updated: July 24, 2021, 2:11pm (AEDT)

(2) Misteed ran well on stable debut for Kim Waugh and looks to get a very similar run here. Loves these conditions and can run well at each way odds.

(1) Maddi Rocks makes her stable debut or John O’Shea, having previously been with Chris Waller. They throw the blinkers on for the first time today so they’re not leaving any stone unturned to try and get her back to best form. On best form, she’d be very competitive.

(13) Arousal gets blinkers on for the first time too. Did improve sharply second up last prep so with the shades applied, she might be the knockout chance at 

Tip: (2) Misteed E/W $11 BlueBet

Value: (13) Arousal $18 BlueBet

Betting Strategy: No bet

193328

Race 7

Xxxx Winter Challenge (1500m)
2:45pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Xxxx Winter Challenge (1500m)
2:45pm (AEDT)

1. Chief Ironside (2) J: Tim Clark (59kg) T: K A Lees
343431313134
2. Countofmontecristo (1) J: James Mcdonald (58.5kg) T: K A Lees
666.56.56.66
3. Order Again (8) J: Hugh Bowman (58kg) T: C J Waller
7.57.57.587.57.5
4. Ziegfeld (9) J: Joshua Parr (56kg) T: James Cummings
5.55.55.555.35.5
5. Kirwan's Lane (4) J: Brenton Avdulla (54kg) T: J A O'shea
4.84.854.84.84.8
6. Military Zone (3) J: Tommy Berry (54kg) T: P & P Snowden
2020191816.621
7. Sambro (5) J: Jay Ford (53kg) T: C J Waller
1817161714.217
8. True Detective (7) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (53kg) T: C J Waller
6.565.55.54.95.5
9. Cisco Bay (6) J: Ms Rachel King (53kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
554.85.55.65

Odds Last Updated: July 24, 2021, 2:46pm (AEDT)

This is the feature on the card but it’s made up of Winter horses who take turns winning. Hard to be confident in anything in the race.

(9) Cisco Bay was no hope the way the race worked out last start, coming from well back in the field to run 3rd to Oscar Zulu, who got the dream run throughout. The query is Oscar Zulu failed last weekend so the form is a bit suspect, but Cisco Bay did beat Blondeau first up who came out last weekend and won easily.

(3) Order Again is knocking on the door for another win, but they don’t come easily to him. All three runs this prep have been very good, he has three wins at this distance and gets Bowman on.

(4) Ziegfeld is the fresh and unexposed horse in the race, but he’s so far failed to make a big impression. Had to do some work last start so he wasn’t horrible, but he’d need to be doing something here if he was any good.

(5) Kirwin’s Lane will improve back to Sydney.

Tip: (9) Cisco Bay $6.50 Sportsbet

Also Backing: (3) Order Again $6.50 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Order Again, 0.5 units WIN Cisco Bay

193328

Race 8

Midway (Bm72) (1500m)
3:25pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Midway (Bm72) (1500m)
3:25pm (AEDT)

1. Ashim (3) J: Brenton Avdulla (59.5kg) T: Matthew Smith
333.13.32.93
2. Casino Mondial (19) J: Hugh Bowman (59kg) T: Ms K Buchanan
2121212121.521
3. Fantastic Baby (16) J: Joshua Parr (58.5kg) T: Adam Duggan
88888.18
4. Come Along (1) J: Lee Magorrian (58kg) T: J G Sargent
2120202117.819
5. This Is So (12) J: Unknown (57kg) T: A J Cummings
6. Stormy Mountain (7) J: Ms Louise Day (56.5kg) T: Gabrielle Ellis
465151516351
7. Altimeter (15) J: Jay Ford (56.5kg) T: Richard Litt
313134343434
8. Bluff 'N' Bluster (4) J: Sam Clipperton (56kg) T: J C Coyle
1111111110.811
9. Savvy Crown (13) J: Tim Clark (56kg) T: J C Deamer
272626262626
10. Too Good To Be Tru (8) J: Regan Bayliss (55.5kg) T: D Lane
1314141413.214
11. All But Gone (11) J: Jason Collett (55kg) T: D Lane
12. Arctic Thunder (6) J: Tommy Berry (54.5kg) T: G Portelli
4.54.24.44.64.354
13. War Cabinet (10) J: Ms Rachel King (54.5kg) T: G K White
1616161717.217
14. Celtic Love (14) J: Ms Ellen Hennessy (54kg) T: M C Conners
81101151151101126
15. Salsonic (2) J: Tom Sherry (54.5kg) T: J C Coyle
121391112.413
16. Bob's Your Uncle (17) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (53.5kg) T: Craig Carmody
17. Bazooka (9) J: Unknown (56kg) T: David Payne
18. Oakfield Arrow (5) J: Unknown (54kg) T: Ms K Buchanan
19. Adamas Prince (18) J: Unknown (54kg) T: Edward Cummings

Odds Last Updated: July 24, 2021, 3:26pm (AEDT)

(4) Come Along isn’t the worst each way bet at $20 here. He has a pattern of coming good third up from a spell, so despite him being beaten big margins in his first two runs back, he might be ready to do something now. His only start at the track and distance was a win and four of his five career wins have been on soft ground.

(3) Fantastic Baby looks ready for a race like this after six top-two finishes from as many career starts.

(1) Ashim was OK last start but I backed him that day and wasn’t desperate to do so again.

Tip: (4) Come Along $20/$6.00 TAB

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units E/W Come Along

193328

Race 9

The Agency Real Estate (Bm78) (1200m)
4:05pm (AEDT)

Race 9

The Agency Real Estate (Bm78) (1200m)
4:05pm (AEDT)

1. Lancaster Bomber (11) J: Tom Sherry (61.5kg) T: Richard Litt
777.57.57.67
2. Rule The World (10) J: Hugh Bowman (61.5kg) T: M D Griffith
161617182016
3. Above And Beyond (8) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (59.5kg) T: G Portelli
181716191715
4. Tycoonist (13) J: Tommy Berry (59kg) T: C J Waller
2.92.92.82.82.72.8
5. Misteed (6) J: Joshua Parr (58.5kg) T: Ms K Waugh
6. Smart Image (5) J: Keagan Latham (58.5kg) T: P & P Snowden
3.53.53.53.93.753.4
7. Snitzify (7) J: Regan Bayliss (58kg) T: P & P Snowden
8. Rustic Steel (12) J: Brenton Avdulla (57.5kg) T: K A Lees
9. Tony Be (2) J: James Mcdonald (56.5kg) T: C J Waller
10. Cuban Royale (3) J: Brock Ryan (56.5kg) T: R & L Price
99.59.59.59.510
11. He's A Hotshot (1) J: Ms Rachel King (56.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker
76.577.577.5
12. Up Trumpz (9) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (52.5kg) T: J M Cleary
13. Secretively (4) J: Ms Louise Day (52kg) T: A J Cummings
313141212331

Odds Last Updated: July 24, 2021, 4:06pm (AEDT)

(9) Tony Be makes interest here on Australian debut for Waller and JMac. Sure to get a lot of attention but last raced over 2100m and his two victories have been over the mile, so it’s hard to know what he’ll be like first up over 1200m.

(6) Smart Image has run well at every start this prep and has a great record at this distance. Looks ready to win one now.

(4) Tycoonist will lead and be right in the mix again.

Tip: (6) Smart Image $5.50/$2.05 PlayUp

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units PLACE Smart Image

193328

Race 10

Quayclean (Bm88) (1300m)
4:45pm (AEDT)

Race 10

Quayclean (Bm88) (1300m)
4:45pm (AEDT)

1. Noble Boy (14) J: Brock Ryan (62kg) T: Ms T Bateup
354141414341
2. Blue Soldier (12) J: Tom Sherry (60kg) T: Annabel Neasham
354151414341
3. Frosty Rocks (2) J: Joshua Parr (60kg) T: Bjorn Baker
2.32.252.32.32.252.15
4. Poetic Charmer (1) J: Sam Clipperton (59.5kg) T: P & P Snowden
151517161316
5. Al Mah Haha (4) J: Regan Bayliss (58kg) T: Tash Burleigh
151615161615
6. Ventura Ocean (8) J: Brenton Avdulla (57kg) T: K A Lees
777.57.57.77.5
7. Outback Diva (15) J: Jean Van Overmeire (56.5kg) T: R & M Freedman
8. Dream Circle (11) J: Tommy Berry (56.5kg) T: David Payne
111211119.712
9. Bigboyroy (7) J: James Mcdonald (56kg) T: C J Waller
3.83.83.843.653.8
10. Vitesse (5) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (55.5kg) T: C J Waller
11. Zakat (6) J: Tommy Berry (55.5kg) T: James Cummings
12. Madam Legend (16) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (55kg) T: L J Bridge
13. Irish Songs (10) J: Jason Collett (55kg) T: Kurt Goldman
1818191918.819
14. Chat (9) J: Hugh Bowman (59.5kg) T: John Thompson
15. Barbaric (3) J: Unknown (55.5kg) T: P & P Snowden
16. Smart Image (13) J: Unknown (54kg) T: P & P Snowden

Odds Last Updated: July 24, 2021, 4:46pm (AEDT)

(3) Frosty Rocks looks to have been saved up for this. He’s got a good first up record and has been scratched from races in the past week or so to run here instead. Goes well in the ground and should be hard to beat.

(8) Dream Circle won his first two starts this prep before failing as a well-backed $3.40 chance last time out. Has been back to the trials and if you put a line through his last start, he looks a crazy price at $15. Drops from 94 grade back to 78 grade which is the class he won in this prep. Draws awkwardly in 11 but did win from this gate here at Rosehill first up.

(9) Bigboyroy should go well fresh.

Tip: (3) Frosty Rocks $3.00 TAB

Value: (8) Dream Circle $15 TAB

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Frosty Rocks, 0.5 units E/W Dream Circle

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

Advertisement Moneyball
Advertisement WinnersBet
Advertisement BetDeluxe

More in Racing Tips