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Ascot Racing Tips: Saturday, March 13th

WA racing heads to Ascot on Saturday and Tim Geers is keen to bet in four races on the card.

ascot-racecourse

WA racing heads to Ascot on Saturday, with the nine-race card headlined by the Listed Natasha Stakes and the Listed J.C. Roberts Stakes.

Tim Geers is keen to bet in four races on the card, those being Race 1, Race 2, Race 6 and Race 8.

Find his preview and betting tips for the selected races below!

0

Race 1

Morley Growers Market Plate (1200m)
2:59pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Morley Growers Market Plate (1200m)
2:59pm (AEDT)

1. Hear Me Sing (11) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (57kg) T: S J Wolfe
4.85555.15
2. Diamond Blue (3) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (57kg) T: E A Martinovich
1212121112.212
3. Secret Lair (10) J: Joseph Azzopardi (57kg) T: D & B Pearce
4.64.444.44.654
4. He's Gold (7) J: Mitchell Pateman (57kg) T: E A Martinovich
1212111110.212
5. Luke's Pierro (8) J: Jason Whiting (57kg) T: D R Harrison
181614151512
6. I Can See Clara (2) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (57kg) T: T M Andrews
414141415341
7. Almaher Man (1) J: Troy Turner (57kg) T: F R Kersley
2326263121.526
8. Far Too Strong (9) J: Chris Parnham (57kg) T: L Smith
77.5776.57
9. War Gem (12) J: Steven Parnham (57kg) T: N D Parnham
9109999.5
10. Ginger Locks (5) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (55kg) T: B V Watkins
6.565.566.25
11. Tahitian Red (4) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (55kg) T: Hayden Ballantyne
1718171618.218
12. Awesome Rival (6) J: Shaun O'donnell (55kg) T: Daniel O'connor
515151514551

Odds Last Updated: March 13, 2021, 3:03pm (AEDT)

We kick off the day with the 2YO’s over 1200m.

(1) Hear Me Sing has been good in both runs back from a spell, hitting the line hard from back in the field. Draws barrier 11 today so likely to be back there again, but $5.00 isn’t a bad price about him.

(8) Far Too Strong is on debut for Lindsey Smith and Chris Parnham, which is an ominous combination. They strike at about 32% when they team up so Parnham going on for this horse’s debut is eye-catching. Drawn a touch awkward in 9 but at $8.00 has to be a bet.

Tip: (1) Hear Me Sing $5.00 TAB

Also Backing: (8) Far Too Strong $8.00 TopSport

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Hear Me Sing, 0.5 units WIN Far Too Strong

0

Race 2

Glenroy Chaff (Bm62+) (1000m)
3:39pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Glenroy Chaff (Bm62+) (1000m)
3:39pm (AEDT)

1. Charleton Eddie (4) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (64kg) T: S & J Casey
2. Our Boy Dylan (3) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (56.5kg) T: N Parker
5.55.555.55.65.5
3. Sassy Trader (1) J: Jordan Turner (56.5kg) T: S & J Casey
4.2443.64.053.9
4. Savage One (9) J: Laqdar Ramoly (55kg) T: A G Durrant
2.72.82.72.82.72.6
5. Apple Schnapps (8) J: Joseph Azzopardi (54kg) T: L Smith
1717161614.416
6. Big Screen (7) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (54kg) T: Ms J Erkelens
131415151415
7. Divine Pair (5) J: Peter Knuckey (54kg) T: C H Webster
87.57.57.587
8. Spicy Dancer (6) J: Chris Parnham (54kg) T: Brett Pope
202020191919
9. Type Won (2) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (54kg) T: Kieran Mcdonagh
1212131211.212

Odds Last Updated: March 13, 2021, 3:41pm (AEDT)

Keen to follow up on (4) Savage One who is two from two this preparation. He scrambled in first up at Geraldton but was well backed and bolted in at Pinjarra last start. Should be very hard to beat again.

Interested to see (6) Big Screen on debut for the new stable. Kyra Yuill jumps off Our Boy Dylan to ride this horse which won his trial easily. Looks to have improved significantly for the new trainer and at $18 can run a decent race.

Tip: (4) Savage One $2.60 Ladbrokes

Value: (6) Big Screen $17 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Savage One, 0.5 units WIN Big Screen

0

Race 3

Westspeed Platinum (Rs0mw) (1400m)
4:19pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Westspeed Platinum (Rs0mw) (1400m)
4:19pm (AEDT)

1. Firesale (9) J: Mitchell Pateman (60kg) T: Brett Pope
1312121311.611
2. Wild Fusion (2) J: Brad Rawiller (59.5kg) T: Liam O'loughlin
5.55.55.566.15.5
3. Bruce Almighty (1) J: Chris Parnham (59kg) T: N D Parnham
333.13.12.853
4. Double Spice (3) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (58kg) T: S J Miller
3.83.63.73.73.63.5
5. Lock Her In (6) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (57kg) T: F R Kersley
1413131212.412
6. Drama Free (8) J: Jason Whiting (56.5kg) T: J G Pike
1514171716.613
7. Petite La Femme (5) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (54.5kg) T: C G Willis
101010910.210
8. Street Fair (4) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (54.5kg) T: Brett Pope
131212111212
9. Trade Prize (7) J: Shaun O'donnell (54.5kg) T: Campbell Mccallum
343131263126

Odds Last Updated: March 13, 2021, 4:21pm (AEDT)

0

Race 4

Crown Perth (Rs1mw) (1200m)
5:04pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Crown Perth (Rs1mw) (1200m)
5:04pm (AEDT)

1. Sir Mambo (5) J: Ms Madi Derrick (61.5kg) T: Martin Allan
5.55.55.555.55.5
2. Thrilled (6) J: Troy Turner (59.5kg) T: Brock Lewthwaite
312631263226
3. Grand Design (3) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (58.5kg) T: D R Harrison
12119.51010.210
4. Prevailing Winds (4) J: Shaun O'donnell (58.5kg) T: C & M Gangemi
5. Creator (2) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (58kg) T: C & M Gangemi
1515161411.416
6. Wanna Be Good (9) J: Mitchell Pateman (58kg) T: Luke Fernie
3131312025.526
7. Trade Talk (10) J: Chris Graham (57.5kg) T: K R Anderson
343441414334
8. Universal Pleasure (11) J: Laqdar Ramoly (56.5kg) T: S V Vahala
3.73.63.63.63.753.5
9. Secret Plan (8) J: Patrick Carbery (54.5kg) T: G & A Williams
2.352.352.452.42.42.4
10. Anvil Green (7) J: Jason Whiting (54kg) T: J G Pike
126126151151171126
11. Kerman Rock (1) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (54kg) T: C G Willis
1414131711.614

Odds Last Updated: March 13, 2021, 5:06pm (AEDT)

0

Race 5

Natasha Stakes (2200m)
5:44pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Natasha Stakes (2200m)
5:44pm (AEDT)

1. Solaia (2) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (56kg) T: D T Mcauliffe
2.72.92.62.72.652.7
2. Brave Angel (3) J: Peter Knuckey (56kg) T: Simon Miller
3.73.73.63.63.553.8
3. Reliable Star (6) J: Patrick Carbery (55kg) T: G & A Williams
5554.85.25
4. Sunset Cruise (4) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (54kg) T: S J Miller
2119201820.518
5. Pure Devotion (7) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (54kg) T: G & A Williams
3.93.83.93.84.054
6. Lunar Impact (5) J: Jason Whiting (54kg) T: D R Harrison
1261019181121101
7. Strawberry Mist (8) J: Chris Parnham (54kg) T: Brett Pope
343141263534
8. Cafe Nera (1) J: Joseph Azzopardi (54kg) T: Robert Gulberti
201151151151221151

Odds Last Updated: March 13, 2021, 5:46pm (AEDT)

0

Race 6

Happy 60Th Pat Patten (Rs1mw) (1600m)
6:20pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Happy 60Th Pat Patten (Rs1mw) (1600m)
6:20pm (AEDT)

1. Wine Night (5) J: Brad Rawiller (60kg) T: Ms J Erkelens
8887.57.98
2. Sowar (3) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (59.5kg) T: S J Wolfe
98.58.5997.5
3. Avalon Bay (11) J: Ms Victoria Corver (59kg) T: R N Harvey Jnr
2321192119.619
4. Beret (8) J: Mitchell Pateman (58.5kg) T: A G Durrant
6666.565.5
5. Secret Pearl (9) J: Jason Brown (58.5kg) T: Ricky Moss
1918172120.514
6. Trump This (2) J: Ms Madi Derrick (58kg) T: Tiarnna Robertson
111111109.310
7. Miss Marietta (1) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (57kg) T: Brett Pope
3.43.43.233.43.5
8. Melarab (4) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (56.5kg) T: F R Kersley
998.57.58.28.5
9. Sluice Box (6) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (56.5kg) T: A W Maley
6.576.576.87.5
10. Combat Ready (7) J: Jason Whiting (56kg) T: M R Forder
514131263741
11. Watch Me Ney Ney (10) J: Joseph Azzopardi (54.5kg) T: D R Harrison
343434313041

Odds Last Updated: March 13, 2021, 6:21pm (AEDT)

(7) Miss Marietta was our best bet last start when she absolutely belted her rivals over this distance at Pinjarra. The margin was 3.2L but she won with the handbrake firmly on. Each run this preparation has been better and better, so with the gun run from barrier 1 here, she looks hard to beat again.

Tip: (7) Miss Marietta $4.00 TAB

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Miss Marietta

0

Race 7

Schweppes-J.C. Roberts Stakes (1800m)
6:55pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Schweppes-J.C. Roberts Stakes (1800m)
6:55pm (AEDT)

1. Western Empire (5) J: Chris Parnham (56kg) T: G & A Williams
1.41.451.451.451.451.5
2. Em Tee Aye (9) J: Joseph Azzopardi (55kg) T: T M Andrews
1213131312.413
3. Off Wego (1) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (55kg) T: A G Durrant
272621212926
4. Holy Enchantment (2) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (54kg) T: S J Miller
6.56.5555.96
5. Tambora (10) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (54kg) T: D T Mcauliffe
1617161617.216
6. Castillo Del Lago (6) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (54kg) T: M L Lane
1716151512.815
7. Flash Ducati (7) J: Troy Turner (54kg) T: M L Lane
191818181918
8. Sheikh It (4) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (54kg) T: D T Mcauliffe
9. Olden (8) J: Steven Parnham (54kg) T: Daniel O'connor
616161716961
10. Fear The Wind (3) J: Jordan Turner (54kg) T: D & B Pearce
126126101101151126

Odds Last Updated: March 13, 2021, 6:56pm (AEDT)

0

Race 8

Gail Panton 20Yrs (Bm66+) (1000m)
7:35pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Gail Panton 20Yrs (Bm66+) (1000m)
7:35pm (AEDT)

1. Molten (6) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (61kg) T: C & M Gangemi
313434342834
2. Cuballing (3) J: Ms Victoria Corver (58kg) T: T R Harvey
43.94.24.44.053.7
3. Masquerade (8) J: Peter Knuckey (57.5kg) T: Ms K L Grantham
414134344541
4. River Beau (4) J: Jason Whiting (57.5kg) T: B V Watkins
3.43.33.233.553.5
5. Mood Swings (7) J: Jordan Turner (57kg) T: G W Dupre
554.84.64.854.8
6. Badge Of Courage (5) J: Mitchell Pateman (56.5kg) T: Luke Fernie
212121212021
7. Chesten Flyer (11) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (55.5kg) T: S J Miller
1414151413.815
8. City Circle (9) J: Chris Parnham (54kg) T: N D Parnham
1818181915.218
9. Holy Ghost (10) J: Steven Parnham (54kg) T: N D Parnham
111011101011
10. Kramden (2) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (54kg) T: D R Couper
888.58.58.68.5
11. Tycoon Legend (1) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (54kg) T: Kieran Mcdonagh

Odds Last Updated: March 13, 2021, 7:36pm (AEDT)

I’ve been against Cuballing in his past couple of starts and he keeps finding a way to win, but I really think (4) River Beau can get the better of him today. He was terrific first up behind Plutocracy and Mood Swings, and he tends to improve with a run under his belt. Goes well at the track and distance, goes well second up, draws well in barrier 4 and this looks a very nice race for him.

I’ll once again be buttering up on (9) Holy Ghost who is begging to win a race. He was enormous behind Cuballing two starts ago and luckless once again last time out. He gets a small weight swing on Cuballing from when they met, when the margin was just 0.25L, yet one is $12 while the other is $3.20. He’ll be back again from the wide draw but must include at the odds.

Tip: (4) River Beau $3.00 Ladbrokes

Value: (9) Holy Ghost $12 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN River Beau, 0.5 units WIN Holy Ghost

0

Race 9

Mrs Macs (Bm72+) (1400m)
8:15pm (AEDT)

Race 9

Mrs Macs (Bm72+) (1400m)
8:15pm (AEDT)

1. Lorentinio (6) J: Laqdar Ramoly (60kg) T: J P Taylor
55554.855
2. Not To Be Mist (7) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (58.5kg) T: A G Durrant
4.54.444.44.74.8
3. Mankind (3) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (58kg) T: Hayden Ballantyne
171917171619
4. War God (2) J: Steven Parnham (57.5kg) T: N D Parnham
2121201918.223
5. Push To Pass (10) J: Ms Madi Derrick (57kg) T: A W Maley
343131313531
6. Rockon Tommy (11) J: Jason Whiting (56.5kg) T: J A Popescu
464141514541
7. Tycoon Storm (9) J: Paul Harvey (56.5kg) T: L Smith
987.58.58.86.5
8. Phoneme (8) J: Chris Parnham (55.5kg) T: M L Lane
76.5676.66
9. Bonneville Black (4) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (55kg) T: F R Kersley
413426313826
10. Sophie's Song (12) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (54.5kg) T: Simon Miller
181615161614
11. Cockyjoy (1) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (54kg) T: J E Grieve
4.64.8554.355
12. My Greek Boy (5) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (54kg) T: S J Wolfe
1616151517.216

Odds Last Updated: March 13, 2021, 8:17pm (AEDT)

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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