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Ascot Racing Tips: Saturday, March 20th

It’s Gimcrack Stakes day at Ascot on Saturday and Tim Geers has previewed the meeting with his tips and best bets below.

ascot-racecourse

Ascot hosts a competitive nine-race card this Saturday, March 20th, which is headlined by the G3 Gimcrack Stakes for the two-year-olds.

The meeting also contains the Listed Perth Stakes and the Listed Grandstand Cup.

The track is rated a Good 4 with the rail out 7m and Tim Geers has previewed every race on the card below.

Our best bet comes up in Race 5, while our best value goes around in Race 6.

Best Bet: Race 5 – (8) Fangio

Best Value: Race 6 – (6) Media Baron

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Race 1

Crown Perth Wspeed Plat-Rs0mw (1400m)
3:11pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Crown Perth Wspeed Plat-Rs0mw (1400m)
3:11pm (AEDT)

1. Scooter's Machine (5) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (60.5kg) T: Ms C Gilbert
5.55.55.65.5
2. Bruce Almighty (6) J: Chris Parnham (60kg) T: N D Parnham
43.93.253.8
3. Pletto (1) J: Brad Rawiller (58.5kg) T: D & B Pearce
1.951.951.922
4. Black Comet (2) J: Ms Michelle Hagley (56kg) T: P J Fernie
181617.615
5. Classic Rogue (7) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (54.5kg) T: S J Wolfe
191819.218
6. Belafonte Boy (4) J: Joseph Azzopardi (54kg) T: D Miller
51515341
7. Petite La Femme (8) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (54kg) T: C G Willis
121213.213
8. Wednesday (3) J: Shaun O'donnell (54kg) T: C R Green
121113.48.5

Odds Last Updated: March 20, 2021, 3:11pm (AEDT)

Surely, surely today is the day for (3) Pletto. She was good first up, had no luck second up and then had even less luck last start. She should have won at Bunbury, coming from last on the rail before being held up crucially half way down the straight. She was beaten 0.65L and I firmly believe she should have won. She gets a jockey change here with Brad Rawiller going on and draws barrier 1. Hopefully we see a bit of intent from the gate and then we just need some luck. The price is skinny enough given she’s going to be chasing down a couple of horses that will settle in front of her, but with even luck I think she wins.

(1) Scooter’s Machine looks the biggest danger to my eye. Interesting to see if they try and hold out Bruce Almighty for the lead or whether they are happy to take a sit.

Tip: (3) Pletto $2.10 TAB

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Pletto

0

Race 2

Neometals Hcp (1400m)
3:51pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Neometals Hcp (1400m)
3:51pm (AEDT)

1. Magical Dream (3) J: Laqdar Ramoly (61.5kg) T: G & A Williams
2.72.62.752.7
2. Hot Zed (5) J: Jason Whiting (60kg) T: L P Luciani
3.23.13.153.3
3. Indigo Blue (7) J: Mitchell Pateman (56.5kg) T: A G Durrant
6.56.55.47
4. Alpha And Omega (1) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (55kg) T: S J Wolfe
777.66
5. Allmamoney (2) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (54kg) T: D & B Pearce
171615.414
6. Blow Me Out (4) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (54kg) T: Brett Pope
161616.414
7. Kerman Rock (6) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (54kg) T: C G Willis
232121.523
8. Standout Rose (8) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (54kg) T: B V Watkins
11109.19

Odds Last Updated: March 20, 2021, 3:51pm (AEDT)

Good little race this.

Looks a race between (1) Magical Dream and (2) Hot Zed. Magical Dream comes out of a Stakes race behind Kissonallforcheeks, which is a very good formline. Draws well in barrier 3 here and gets a handy claim for apprentice Laqdar Ramoly. She comes up against the in-form Hot Zed, who has won four straight now after a comfortable victory at Bunbury last start. They absolutely crawled in that race and he was able to dictate and kick away. I think this is a tougher assignment so I’m leaning to the filly, but if Hot Zed finds the front and walks, they’ll struggle to run him down.

(8) Standout Rose was a nice winner first up and should improve. Sneaky chance.

Tip: (1) Magical Dream $2.90 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Magical Dream

0

Race 3

Passages (Rs1mw) (1000m)
4:36pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Passages (Rs1mw) (1000m)
4:36pm (AEDT)

1. Don's Legacy (1) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (60kg) T: D R Harrison
131310.612
2. Excaro (6) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (59kg) T: Ms J Erkelens
262626.523
3. Heritage Sash (3) J: Paul Harvey (59kg) T: Sean Rains
9.5109.210
4. Denim Pack (13) J: Laqdar Ramoly (57.5kg) T: M Santich
212118.421
5. Pink 'N' Gray (4) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (56.5kg) T: G P Evans
171612.616
6. Requisition (11) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (56.5kg) T: Brett Pope
6.56.57.17
7. She's Enchanted (2) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (56kg) T: Brett Pope
5.55.55.65
8. Beau Zoom (9) J: Steven Parnham (55.5kg) T: N D Parnham
65.56.15.5
9. Klondike Kenny (12) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (55.5kg) T: D R Couper
61614061
10. Tycoon Legend (7) J: Shaun O'donnell (55.5kg) T: Kieran Mcdonagh
21212219
11. Amasenus (10) J: Chris Parnham (55kg) T: Simon Miller
4.24.44.454.4
12. Old Bailey (5) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (54kg) T: A W Maley
211917.219
13. Secret Assault (8) J: Ms Madi Derrick (54kg) T: K G Buswell
121213.213

Odds Last Updated: March 20, 2021, 4:36pm (AEDT)

(11) Amasenus should have won first up and then bounced back with victory last start over this track and distance. She ran the fastest final 400m of the meeting in doing so. She draws wide again today but if they go quick and she can get a similar run into the race like she did last start, she’ll be hard to hold out again.

(8) Beau Zoom is first up without a trial here. Notably Chris Parnham chooses to stick with Amasenus rather than pilot Beau Zoom for his Dad, with brother Steven instead getting the ride.

(7) She’s Enchanted next best, while (2) Excaro on stable debut is an interesting runner.

Tip: (11) Amasenus $4.40 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Amasenus

0

Race 4

Amelia Park - Perth Stakes (1100m)
5:13pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Amelia Park - Perth Stakes (1100m)
5:13pm (AEDT)

1. Ex Sport Man (7) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (56.5kg) T: S J Wolfe
3.43.33.453.3
2. He's Gold (3) J: Mitchell Pateman (55.5kg) T: E A Martinovich
54.84.94.8
3. Storm Whisper (8) J: Steven Parnham (54kg) T: N D Parnham
3.23.43.33.6
4. Featherweight (9) J: Chris Parnham (54kg) T: D L Morton
8.58.57.48
5. Green And Shady (1) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (54kg) T: Luke Fernie
26263223
6. Diamond Blue (4) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (54kg) T: E A Martinovich
161515.414
7. Oceanic Rider (6) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (54kg) T: Sue Olive
6.56.56.26.5
8. Amelia's Belief (5) J: Laqdar Ramoly (54kg) T: Brian Rogers
51516141
9. Silent Impression (2) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (54kg) T: Luke Fernie
20212121

Odds Last Updated: March 20, 2021, 5:16pm (AEDT)

Happy to sit out of this as there’s too many queries.

There looks a fair bit of speed here, including (3) Storm Whisper, who won by 6L on debut before running 2nd to Policiere. Has won his trial leading into his return here and should go close.

Pinjarra Magic Millions winner (1) Ex Sport Man returns for the first time since that win. He’s had six weeks between runs with a trial in between. He may or may not need the run but he’s going to get a tempo to suit.

(4) Featherweight is another that will likely go forward and give a sight, while (5) Green And Shady can be thrown in at big odds on stable debut.

Tip: (3) Storm Whisper $3.60 Bet365

Betting Strategy: No bet

0

Race 5

Commit To Change (Bm72+) (1600m)
5:50pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Commit To Change (Bm72+) (1600m)
5:50pm (AEDT)

1. Bogart (7) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (59kg) T: A G Durrant
111111.211
2. That's Funny Az (6) J: Ms Madi Derrick (59kg) T: D M Luciani
3.83.73.853.8
3. Jeraft (11) J: Brad Parnham (58.5kg) T: N D Parnham
232123.523
4. Bombay Style (9) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (58kg) T: Ms J Martin
171618.615
5. Our Idyll (12) J: Mitchell Pateman (58kg) T: Tiarnna Robertson
888.38
6. Red Hot Tip (13) J: Ryan Hill (57.5kg) T: S J Miller
181715.216
7. Sophie's Song (5) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (57.5kg) T: Simon Miller
8878
8. Fangio (10) J: Chris Parnham (56.5kg) T: Roy Rogers
4.64.54.654.4
9. Mosseratti (1) J: Shaun O'donnell (56kg) T: C R Green
202118.426
10. What About Moses (8) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (56kg) T: S J Wolfe
7.57.58.17.5
11. Black Shadow (4) J: Jason Brown (55kg) T: J P Taylor
35342634
12. Zetorio (2) J: Jason Whiting (55kg) T: Roy Rogers
202020.521
13. Scoreline (3) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (54kg) T: Ms C Gilbert
61614161

Odds Last Updated: March 20, 2021, 5:51pm (AEDT)

I’ve been on (2) That’s Funny Az in recent starts but I’m jumping off today with a drop in distance, rise in weight and negative jockey change all factors.

(8) Fangio was flying down in Albany leading into last start, where he was forced to sit three-wide the trip. He was brave in holding down 2nd and the horse that ran 3rd has since come out and won. With a better run in transit today, he’s going to be hard to beat.

(10) What About Moses is a good price at $8.00. He won two starts ago over this track and distance, where he beat Miss Marietta, who has since come out and won her next two. Forgive him for last start when he was caught wide on an unsuitable wet track. Back onto dry ground, with a bit more luck he should go close at $8.00.

(7) Sophie’s Song doesn’t win out of turn but she’s always very honest. She was good first up given she’s never run a place from five starts when fresh. She wasn’t beaten far despite sitting wide throughout and can improve today with that run under the belt.

Happy to have a decent crack at those three horses.

Tip: (8) Fangio $4.60 TopSport

Also Backing: (10) What About Moses $8.00 Bet365

Saver: (7) Sophie’s Song $8.00 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Fangio, 1 unit WIN What About Moses, 0.5 units WIN Sophie's Song

0

Race 6

Seacorp - Grandstand Cup (1500m)
6:27pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Seacorp - Grandstand Cup (1500m)
6:27pm (AEDT)

1. Western Temple (5) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (59kg) T: P J Fernie
3.33.33.353.3
2. Samizdat (4) J: Brad Parnham (58.5kg) T: C & M Gangemi
65.555
3. Dig Deep (2) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (56.5kg) T: D & B Pearce
55.55.65.5
4. Falcon Crest (3) J: Mitchell Pateman (56.5kg) T: Joshua Mcleod
51514351
5. Yeah Dardy (8) J: Shaun O'donnell (56.5kg) T: Ms J Erkelens
7.57.57.67.5
6. Media Baron (7) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (55kg) T: D R Harrison
111010.210
7. Harry Thomas (1) J: Joseph Azzopardi (54.5kg) T: R W Price
151514.415
8. Luke's Gold (9) J: Chris Nicoll (54kg) T: Roy Rogers
999.69.5
9. Mrs Brown's Boy (10) J: Patrick Carbery (54kg) T: Ms A King
21262526
10. Serenity Bay (6) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (54kg) T: G & A Williams
8.58.588.5

Odds Last Updated: March 20, 2021, 6:31pm (AEDT)

(1) Western Temple is absolutely flying this preparation, narrowly missing first up before bolting in last start at Bunbury. He won the Coolgardie Cup in Kalgoorlie third up last preparation, so he should prove hard to beat once again today.

(3) Dig Deep had no luck in that race Western Temple won last start. He was badly held up in the straight and should have finished much closer. He gets a positive draw today so should be able to land closer in the run and from there, he can be competitive.

I think the one at odds that’s ready to do something is (6) Media Baron, who warmed up nicely last start to record the fastest final 400, 600 and 800m of the race. Third up now, he can feature at double figures.

Tip: (1) Western Temple $3.80 TAB

Value: (6) Media Baron $13 Sportsbet

Saver: (3) Dig Deep $5.50 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Western Temple, 0.5 units WIN Media Baron, 0.5 units WIN Dig Deep

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Race 7

Ramelius Resources Trpy-Bm78+ (1200m)
7:05pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Ramelius Resources Trpy-Bm78+ (1200m)
7:05pm (AEDT)

1. Watch Me Dance (12) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (59.5kg) T: S J Wolfe
7.57.57.67.5
2. Ziebell (11) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (59kg) T: Luke Fernie
10109.39.5
3. Excellent Dream (2) J: Brad Rawiller (58.5kg) T: L Smith
44.24.354.4
4. Charleton Eddie (7) J: Laqdar Ramoly (58kg) T: S & J Casey
4.84.44.34
5. Jericho Missile (10) J: Joseph Azzopardi (58kg) T: D R Harrison
101010.210
6. Position Of Power (8) J: Paul Harvey (58kg) T: D R Harrison
232119.421
7. Echo Effect (3) J: Chris Nicoll (57.5kg) T: Roy Rogers
41415134
8. Platinum Bullet (4) J: Mitchell Pateman (57.5kg) T: Simon Miller
4.54.854.8
9. Crystal Spirit (5) J: Shaun O'donnell (57kg) T: C & M Gangemi
181715.416
10. Hoboken (13) J: Steven Parnham (57kg) T: N D Parnham
41413041
11. Guns Of Navarone (9) J: Brad Parnham (56kg) T: N D Parnham
353423.534
12. Santiago Gal (6) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (55.5kg) T: Ms J Erkelens
34343134
13. Fa'lion Maschine (1) J: Jason Whiting (55kg) T: G C Ballantyne
27262426

Odds Last Updated: March 20, 2021, 7:07pm (AEDT)

Super competitive race.

(3) Excellent Dream was caught three-wide the trip last start and battled on well to finish 3rd. Prior to that he won consecutive races, so with Brad Rawiller back on and a soft draw, he should be able to bounce back.

(5) Jericho Missile was ahead of him in 2nd last start, which was a good effort first up. He’s never finished out of the top two when second up from a spell, so with a bit of luck from the awkward draw, he can run a good race at double figure odds. Looks the value.

(8) Platinum Bullet should relish getting back up to 1200m and draws well in barrier 4. Simon Miller’s team is flying so she’ll be right in the finish.

(4) Charleton Eddie and (6) Position Of Power others to consider.

Tip: (3) Excellent Dream $4.00 Bet365

Value: (5) Jericho Missile $10 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Excellent Dream, 0.5 units WIN Jericho Missile

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Race 8

Furphy - Gimcrack Stakes (1100m)
7:40pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Furphy - Gimcrack Stakes (1100m)
7:40pm (AEDT)

1. Heavenly Waters (10) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (56.5kg) T: Roy Rogers
212121.521
2. Policiere (3) J: Joseph Azzopardi (56.5kg) T: D & B Pearce
777.17
3. Fatale Femme (13) J: Peter Knuckey (56.5kg) T: S & J Casey
26263223
4. Liwa (5) J: Patrick Carbery (56.5kg) T: Simon Miller
121211.812
5. Pixie Chix (11) J: Paul Harvey (55.5kg) T: D R Harrison
8878
6. Ultimate Command (7) J: Brad Parnham (55.5kg) T: N D Parnham
5.565.76.5
7. Hoi An (1) J: Shaun O'donnell (54kg) T: Roy Rogers
9.51011.29.5
8. Sneaky Chance (4) J: Jason Whiting (54kg) T: T M Andrews
272627.526
9. Be Optimistic (6) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (54kg) T: Luke Fernie
232126.517
10. Pat's Got Sass (12) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (54kg) T: D R Harrison
32.92.82.8
11. Orchilla (9) J: Troy Turner (54kg) T: Ms R Lockwood
151151141151
12. Story Book (14) J: Chris Parnham (54kg) T: T M Andrews
151514.216
13. Safety Fuse (2) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (54kg) T: D L Morton
313424.534
14. Crowned Princess (8) J: Laqdar Ramoly (54kg) T: Ms J Mitchell
151151221151

Odds Last Updated: March 20, 2021, 7:41pm (AEDT)

Loved the win of this filly (10) Pat’s Got Sass on debut. She’s a huge filly and has a massive stride on her, but she covers the ground nicely. From barrier 12 she should slide across to sit up on speed, and from there she will prove very hard to run down.

(4) Liwa was a super first up run and she backed that up with a big win last start, running down Pixie Chic in the Supremacy Stakes. She draws nicely here and the stable is flying, so she’ll be hitting the line hard once again.

Trevor Andrews has two chances in the race, (8) Sneaky Chance and (12) Story Brook. Both are roughies here but both have chances.

Tip: (10) Pat’s Got Sass $2.90 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Pat's Got Sass

0

Race 9

Vinnies/Rotary Clb Perth-Bm66+ (2200m)
8:15pm (AEDT)

Race 9

Vinnies/Rotary Clb Perth-Bm66+ (2200m)
8:15pm (AEDT)

1. Gangbuster (14) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (59.5kg) T: Luke Fernie
181916.619
2. Baramagic (13) J: Peter Hall (59kg) T: Brian Kersley
7777
3. Saucy Jack (5) J: Laqdar Ramoly (58.5kg) T: B W Owen
777.17
4. Power Of St George (4) J: Paul Harvey (57.5kg) T: D R Harrison
5. Crystal Valley (7) J: Troy Turner (57kg) T: C H Webster
5.566.66.5
6. Rivalry Galore (2) J: Mitchell Pateman (56.5kg) T: Brett Pope
6666
7. Defiantly (15) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (55.5kg) T: G B Delane
141314.212
8. Friar Away (3) J: Peter Knuckey (55kg) T: Ms J Erkelens
181614.217
9. Galaxy Blaze (10) J: Jason Whiting (55kg) T: Ms J Martin
41414341
10. Interstate (9) J: Steven Parnham (55kg) T: N D Parnham
11119.510
11. Noble King (6) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (55kg) T: E A Gardiner
35343231
12. The Escort (12) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (55kg) T: Ms J Erkelens
88.58.89.5
13. Unreliable (8) J: Shaun O'donnell (55kg) T: Ms J Clements
141314.212
14. Upward Others (1) J: Joseph Azzopardi (55kg) T: H S Mclaren
181613.614
15. Vintage Stock (11) J: Patrick Carbery (55kg) T: A D Mathews
171514.814

Odds Last Updated: March 20, 2021, 8:18pm (AEDT)

Very uninspiring race to close out the card, one for the stayers over 2200m.

(10) Interstate is the only horse I could really get near. He’s been around the mark in his past few starts and now steps up to 2200m and gets the bar shoe off his front foot. He could be ready to improve at double figure odds.

Tip: (11) Interstate $11 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: No bet

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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