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Belmont Racing Tips: Saturday, September 18th

Tim Geers previews two races he’s keen to bet in at Belmont on Saturday.

belmont racing tips

WA racing takes place at Belmont today with the Nicopolis Stakes headlining the nine-race card.

The track is currently a Soft 6 with the rail out 6m.

Tim Geers has previewed two races on the card, which come up in Race 4 and Race 5.

Find his analysis and racing tips below!

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197922

Race 1

Amelia Park Plate (1600m)
2:43pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Amelia Park Plate (1600m)
2:43pm (AEDT)

1. Celevacci (8) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (57kg) T: A G Durrant
44.24.44.24.254
2. Far Too Strong (6) J: Paul Harvey (57kg) T: L Smith
6.56.566.55.86.5
3. Gorgeous Gossip (5) J: Craig Staples (56kg) T: P H Jordan
1313141414.214
4. Henchard (4) J: William Pike (56kg) T: A G Durrant
2.252.252.22.22.12.2
5. River Rubicon (7) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (56kg) T: S J Wolfe
77877.17
6. Prince Of Guelph (3) J: Patrick Carbery (56kg) T: Vaughn Sigley
1516161615.816
7. Feuding (1) J: Ms Chloe Azzopardi (56kg) T: D T Mcauliffe
2321212123.523
8. Silent Impression (2) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (56kg) T: Luke Fernie

Odds Last Updated: September 18, 2021, 2:46pm (AEDT)

197922

Race 2

Schweppes (Bm72+) (1400m)
3:19pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Schweppes (Bm72+) (1400m)
3:19pm (AEDT)

1. Zephyr Queen (6) J: Keshaw Dhurun (59kg) T: J P Taylor
76.576.576.5
2. Kaptain Kaos (1) J: Chris Parnham (58.5kg) T: Michael Grantham
1.71.71.61.751.741.65
3. Red Publisher (2) J: Brad Rawiller (58.5kg) T: A W Maley
1314141413.415
4. Rebel Knight (5) J: William Pike (57kg) T: D T Mcauliffe
4.84.84.44.64.54.8
5. Miss Marietta (4) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (56kg) T: Brett Pope
1616161616.216
6. Phoneme (3) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (54.5kg) T: M L Lane
1111101010.212

Odds Last Updated: September 18, 2021, 3:21pm (AEDT)

197922

Race 3

Tabtouch - Westspeed (Rs0mw) (1000m)
3:59pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Tabtouch - Westspeed (Rs0mw) (1000m)
3:59pm (AEDT)

1. Apple Schnapps (4) J: William Pike (61kg) T: L Smith
1.851.851.851.91.921.8
2. Pink 'N' Gray (8) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (58kg) T: G P Evans
98.58.599.19
3. Dance Cockey (2) J: Ms Victoria Corver (57.5kg) T: Carey Martin
6.56.566.57.26.5
4. Famous Jurney (7) J: Jason Brown (56kg) T: J P Taylor
1313131311.213
5. Snipillicious (6) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (55.5kg) T: A G Durrant
7.57.5886.57.5
6. God's Blue Skye (3) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (54kg) T: Darren Taylor
171716161416
7. Petite La Femme (1) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (54kg) T: C G Willis
1211111211.412
8. Vicinity (5) J: Keshaw Dhurun (54kg) T: C G Willis
2321212123.523

Odds Last Updated: September 18, 2021, 4:01pm (AEDT)

197922

Race 4

Free Entry To Belmont (Rs0ly) (1200m)
4:38pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Free Entry To Belmont (Rs0ly) (1200m)
4:38pm (AEDT)

1. War Gem (2) J: Steven Parnham (60kg) T: N D Parnham
3.53.53.23.43.53.5
2. Probity (6) J: Joseph Azzopardi (59.5kg) T: D & B Pearce
4.44.44.44.24.34.2
3. Born To Talk (1) J: Brad Parnham (58.5kg) T: N D Parnham
1514141413.815
4. Buzzoom (8) J: Chris Parnham (58.5kg) T: D L Morton
2.62.52.52.72.52.4
5. Mahaleo (7) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (58.5kg) T: F R Kersley
1515151616.215
6. Secret Lair (5) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (58.5kg) T: D & B Pearce
1414141313.814
7. Miss Eugen (9) J: Peter Knuckey (56.5kg) T: Tiarnna Robertson
1717161616.817
8. Rebelzone (3) J: William Pike (56.5kg) T: D T Mcauliffe
9. Yemen Lass (4) J: Laqdar Ramoly (55.5kg) T: Luke Fernie

Odds Last Updated: September 18, 2021, 4:41pm (AEDT)

I’m going to be taking on the favourite (4) Buzzoom here who has a very awkward map from barrier 8. Probably has to sit wide or go all the way back to last.

(1) War Gem won first up and then ran 2nd to the smart Red Fifty Three. We saw the Red Fifty Three form stack up on Wednesday with two horses he beat running 1st and 2nd. Should get a gun run from barrier 2 and will be fighting out the finish.

Will be saving on (2) Probity who returns from a spell and ran some good races in its debut campaign.

Tip: (1) War Gem $3.60 Ladbrokes

Saver: (2) Probity $4.40 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN War Gem, 0.5 units WIN Probity

197922

Race 5

Happy 70Th Bday Rosie (Bm72+) (1600m)
5:20pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Happy 70Th Bday Rosie (Bm72+) (1600m)
5:20pm (AEDT)

1. Harry Thomas (5) J: Laqdar Ramoly (60kg) T: R W Price
2019202019.821
2. Dictator (6) J: Craig Staples (59.5kg) T: Debra Lewis
161416171614
3. Bad Wolf (4) J: Brad Rawiller (59kg) T: A W Maley
554.8555
4. No Apology (1) J: Brad Parnham (57.5kg) T: S J Miller
6.56665.76
5. Fangio (8) J: William Pike (57kg) T: Roy Rogers
3.93.93.844.153.8
6. La Farola (3) J: Chris Parnham (56.5kg) T: M L Lane
3.73.73.63.63.83.5
7. Koranis (7) J: Keshaw Dhurun (55kg) T: Jarrad Noske
202121212121
8. Mr Delegator (2) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (55kg) T: T R Harvey
77.56.57.56.77

Odds Last Updated: September 18, 2021, 5:21pm (AEDT)

If (5) Fangio has improved off her first up run, she’s going to be awfully hard to beat again today. She draws an awkward gate but she goes back anyway so it’s not that big an issue. She was first up no trial when she won last start and now gets out to the mile second up. She has three wins and a 2nd from six starts at the distance, the ground is no issue and Pike sticks with. Trainer Roy Rogers said he expected her to be $1.80 and we’re getting $4.40.

(6) La Farola started even money in that race last time and loomed into it like the winner but just didn’t let down at all. She can bounce back but it has to be said she was disappointing.

(8) Mr Delegator might let the speed go today with three horses that all go forward drawn outside him. He looks to get a nice run just off those and he’s another with a good record at the mile. Should enjoy the good tempo and the stable is in great form. Will be saving on it at $6.00.

Tip: (5) Fangio $4.40 Sportsbet

Also Backing: (8) Mr Delegator $6.00 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Fangio, 0.5 units WIN Mr Delegator

197922

Race 6

Byron Bay Premium Lager-Rs1mw (1300m)
5:55pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Byron Bay Premium Lager-Rs1mw (1300m)
5:55pm (AEDT)

1. Campese (3) J: Chris Parnham (59kg) T: M L Lane
3.73.83.73.83.83.7
2. Image Keeper (4) J: Mitchell Pateman (59kg) T: Brock Lewthwaite
4.54.44.24.44.34.2
3. Marlize (10) J: Laqdar Ramoly (59kg) T: G W Dupre
1010111010.210
4. Jag The Joker (1) J: Brad Rawiller (58.5kg) T: A W Maley
1211131212.211
5. Little Flirt (2) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (58.5kg) T: R W Matthews
9.59.510109.89.5
6. Indigo Blue (9) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (58kg) T: A G Durrant
4.44.23.84.44.34
7. Scorpion Stormz (8) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (58kg) T: Joshua Krispyn
8. Reliable Star (5) J: William Pike (57kg) T: A G Durrant
8.58.58.598.58.5
9. Wakan Tanka (7) J: Steven Parnham (57kg) T: N D Parnham
353451343634
10. Saturday Sun (6) J: Paul Harvey (56kg) T: D R Harrison
232131212421

Odds Last Updated: September 18, 2021, 5:56pm (AEDT)

197922

Race 7

Nicopolis (Bm78+) (1200m)
6:35pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Nicopolis (Bm78+) (1200m)
6:35pm (AEDT)

1. Excellent Dream (1) J: Patrick Carbery (60kg) T: Simon Miller
1111111111.211
2. Pym's Royale (3) J: Mitchell Pateman (59.5kg) T: P J Fernie
1919192121.519
3. Don't Fuss (10) J: William Pike (59kg) T: D & B Pearce
88887.88
4. Multiverse (8) J: Jason Whiting (59kg) T: G A Crispin
171717171717
5. Son Of A God (2) J: Chris Parnham (59kg) T: Simon Miller
6.56.56.56.56.46.5
6. Jericho Missile (7) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (58kg) T: D R Harrison
101010111011
7. Charleton Eddie (6) J: Jordan Turner (57.5kg) T: S & J Casey
77777.37
8. Iseered Iseered (5) J: Paul Harvey (57kg) T: Luke Fernie
5.55.5555.45
9. Crystal Spirit (9) J: Shaun O'donnell (56kg) T: C & M Gangemi
44444.054
10. Cockyjoy (4) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (55kg) T: J E Grieve
2318212120.523

Odds Last Updated: September 18, 2021, 6:37pm (AEDT)

197922

Race 8

Crown Perth (Rs1mw) (2000m)
7:10pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Crown Perth (Rs1mw) (2000m)
7:10pm (AEDT)

1. Red Hot Tip (11) J: Brad Rawiller (60.5kg) T: S J Miller
32.8332.73.1
2. Sowar (4) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (59kg) T: S J Wolfe
4.44.44.64.24.64.4
3. Axel 'R' Eight (2) J: Mitchell Pateman (58kg) T: D T Mcauliffe
4. Porphyrio (15) J: Steven Parnham (58kg) T: Brett Pope
312631213126
5. Queen Takes King (1) J: Paul Harvey (58kg) T: L Smith
6. Seminole Brave (3) J: Shaun O'donnell (58kg) T: G P Poletti
76.576.56.27
7. Overthought (14) J: Ryan Hill (57.5kg) T: Fenella Martin
98.5998.58.5
8. Shoes Of Ekraar (8) J: Jason Whiting (57kg) T: Peter Lynch
101211119.712
9. Vintage Stock (12) J: Patrick Carbery (56.5kg) T: A D Mathews
9.599.599.49.5
10. Miss Zedel (10) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (55kg) T: A G Durrant
2119191721.519
11. Diplomat Express (9) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (54kg) T: D S Barker
101919191101101
12. Hyperspace (5) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (54kg) T: D T Mcauliffe
13. Miss Voodoo (13) J: William Pike (54kg) T: J F Miller
1917171418.217
14. Uber Mover (7) J: Ms Chloe Azzopardi (54kg) T: Joshua Krispyn
126811018111181
15. Final Chill (6) J: Unknown (60.5kg) T: Kieran Mcdonagh
463434314334

Odds Last Updated: September 18, 2021, 7:11pm (AEDT)

197922

Race 9

Ascot Racing Carnival (Bm66+) (1000m)
7:40pm (AEDT)

Race 9

Ascot Racing Carnival (Bm66+) (1000m)
7:40pm (AEDT)

1. Proconsent (4) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (60kg) T: A G Durrant
1718191917.819
2. Sunnysilk (3) J: Paul Harvey (58.5kg) T: D R Harrison
7.5887.58.18
3. Mood Swings (7) J: Jordan Turner (58kg) T: G W Dupre
65.56.575.25.5
4. Glasgow Girl (2) J: Ryan Hill (57.5kg) T: B P Graham
2726312627.526
5. All Day Session (9) J: Brad Rawiller (57kg) T: A W Maley
3.132.82.93.153
6. Boomtastic (10) J: William Pike (57kg) T: Patrick Keating
4.84.84.854.854.6
7. Amelia Bedelia (5) J: Jason Brown (56.5kg) T: T R Harvey
8. Solid Azza (1) J: Joseph Azzopardi (56.5kg) T: D R Harrison
101111109.711
9. Strathmore Rose (13) J: Chris Parnham (56.5kg) T: Roy Rogers
9.59.5109109.5
10. Excelestial (11) J: Patrick Carbery (54.5kg) T: H S Mclaren
343134414034
11. Fair Joy (12) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (54.5kg) T: Jade Tangaroa
262626262626
12. Southern Turf (6) J: Craig Staples (54.5kg) T: T N Pike
251201201151201251
13. Vacate (8) J: Colin Haddon (54.5kg) T: T N Pike
151126101101141201

Odds Last Updated: September 18, 2021, 7:41pm (AEDT)

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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