Canterbury Racing Tips: Wednesday, October 27th

Race 1 Xxxx (Bm72) (1550m) 2:00pm (AEDT)
1. Formentera (8) J: Jean Van Overmeire (60kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott	3.2	3.2	3.1	3.1	3.25	3.1
2. Agrimony (3) J: Jason Collett (58kg) T: C J Waller	4.2	4.2	4.4	4.4	4.3	4.4
3. Sacred Command (6) J: Glyn Schofield (57.5kg) T: C J Waller	4.2	4.2	4.2	4.2	4.45	4.4
4. Wichita Warrior (2) J: Unknown (57kg) T: K R Dryden
5. Buzz (4) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (56kg) T: Craig Carmody	18	18	19	19	15.4	19
6. Green Flash (5) J: Tommy Berry (55kg) T: C J Waller	3	3	2.9	2.8	2.75	3.1
7. Ladies' Gem (1) J: Brock Ryan (55kg) T: J & G Lee	16	16	16	17	15.8	16
8. Zidane (7) J: Unknown (54kg) T: Lauri Parker

Odds Last Updated: October 27, 2021, 2:04pm (AEDT)

(6) Green Flash looks hard to beat in the opener today off the back of a decent first up run. That was over 1400m and his best form is over longer trips than that. Gets out to the mile today and his form around Grace And Harmony last prep looks good for this. 

Not sure what to make of (2) Agrimony who was hammered on his Australian debut before knocking up to run 5th. There wasn’t too much to like about that run but the market loved him that day and he’s sure to have improved with that run under his belt. 

(1) Formentera was a strong winner fresh after almost 12 months away from the races. Will only improve off that and is building a handy record. 

Tip: (6) Green Flash - $3.20 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: No Bet

Race 2 Precise Air (Bm72) (1250m) 2:35pm (AEDT)
1. Parachuter (7) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (58kg) T: Joseph Pride	9	8.5	8.5	8.5	9.1	8.5
2. Sur La Mer (2) J: Tommy Berry (57.5kg) T: C J Waller	6	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.1	5.5
3. Twice As Special (4) J: Ms Rachel King (57kg) T: J C Coyle	13	13	13	15	14	13
4. Nothinsweetaboutme (3) J: Tim Clark (56.5kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott	23	26	20	20	20	21
5. Shotgun Alli (8) J: Ms Alysha Collett (56kg) T: R J Quinton	12	11	11	11	10.6	11
6. Norwegian Bliss (5) J: Andrew Adkins (55.5kg) T: Nathan Doyle	1.75	1.8	1.75	1.75	1.82	1.8
7. Lady Of Luxury (6) J: Jason Collett (55kg) T: Bjorn Baker	6	6	5.5	6.5	5.4	5.5
8. Blazing Line (1) J: Jean Van Overmeire (54kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott

Odds Last Updated: October 27, 2021, 2:39pm (AEDT)

(6) Norwegian Bliss has absolutely bolted in her two career starts to date and looks well above average. She once again takes a step up in grade today but I think she can handle it. She puts herself up on the speed and generally stays out of trouble. She ran good time there last start and all signs point to another good performance here. The very slight drop back in trip shouldn’t be an issue and from gate 5 she will see every favour in the run. 

(2) Sur La Mer was a good win first up, letting down well to finish over the top of them. She’s only missed the quinella on one occasion and looks the main danger to the favourite. 

Tip: (6) Norwegian Bliss - $1.90 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 2u WIN Norwegian Bliss

Race 3 Vinery (Bm68) (1100m) 3:10pm (AEDT)
1. Ocean Emperor (4) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (61kg) T: Bjorn Baker	5.5	6	5.5	5.5	6.1	5.5
2. Rubamos (2) J: Joshua Parr (59.5kg) T: C J Waller
3. King Kapa (5) J: Jay Ford (58.5kg) T: Joseph Pride	3.6	3.6	3.6	3.4	3.65	3.9
4. Ruby Kisses (6) J: Brock Ryan (56.5kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou	6	6	6	6.5	6.2	6
5. Zarastro (1) J: Glyn Schofield (56.5kg) T: C J Waller	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.55	2.5
6. Chalkley (7) J: Unknown (55.5kg) T: Mark De Montfort
7. Sliders (3) J: Jason Collett (55kg) T: James Cummings	12	12	13	14	10.2	13
8. Huzzah (8) J: Tim Clark (54kg) T: James Cummings	7.5	7	7	7.5	6.1	7

Odds Last Updated: October 27, 2021, 3:14pm (AEDT)

Pretty keen to see (5) Zarastro back at the races after a very nice debut in what has turned out to be an extremely handy 2yo race. He finished 2nd to Paulele that day, which obviously stacks up pretty well for this sort of race. Was put away quickly following that and has been given three spaced trials since. The most recent of those was some of his best work, crossing the line under a hold and I think Chris Waller will have him primed to run well fresh. 

(3) King Kapa resumes for the new stable and brings some strong form from QLD. Was last seen finishing 4th in the G2 Champagne Classic, 3L off Prince Of Boom. Looked good at a recent trial and the Joe Pride yard is flying at the moment. 

Tip: (5) Zarastro - $2.60 at TAB

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Zarastro

Race 4 Keeneland (Bm72) (1250m) 3:50pm (AEDT)
1. El Buena (2) J: Jason Collett (59.5kg) T: C J Waller
2. Tectonicus (8) J: Robbie Dolan (59.5kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou	9.5	9	11	11	9.2	11
3. Mnementh (6) J: Joshua Parr (58.5kg) T: Mitchell Beer	11	9.5	9.5	9.5	11.2	9.5
4. Speed Legend (3) J: Brock Ryan (58.5kg) T: L J Bridge	3.6	3.4	3.4	3.4	3.1	3.4
5. Tim's Principal (5) J: Ms Rachel King (58.5kg) T: J R Gask	12	12	12	12	12.8	13
6. Budhwar (4) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (58kg) T: D Lane	3.8	4.4	3.9	3.7	4.45	4.2
7. More Sundays (7) J: Tim Clark (57.5kg) T: Sam Kavanagh	8.5	8.5	8	8	9.1	9
8. Rubamos (1) J: Tommy Berry (57.5kg) T: C J Waller	3.3	3.2	3.1	3.3	2.95	3

Odds Last Updated: October 27, 2021, 3:54pm (AEDT)

(4) Speed Legend has got to be one of the most interesting runners here today, resuming from a very long spell. He previously raced under a different name “Thanks To you” and was last seen on race day back in February 2020 before being shipped off to Hong Kong following a couple of good wins in his first prep. Things clearly didn’t work out over there and he’s since joined the Les Bridge yard. His two recent trials have been very impressive considering the time he’s had off and I think he could have a bit of X Factor about him. 

(8) Rubamos is a good fresh horse and comes into this off the back of a trial win. He will roll to the lead from gate 1 for Tommy Berry and could be hard to run down. 

(3) Mnemeth is flying this time in for Mitch Beer and deserves a crack in this sort of company. He’s a pretty bulletproof kind of horse and will give you a good sight.

Tip: (4) Speed Legend - $3.60 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Speed Legend

Race 5 Tab (Bm72) (1900m) 4:30pm (AEDT)
1. True Marvel (2) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (61kg) T: Matthew Smith	6.5	6	5.5	6	6.6	5.5
2. Monsieur Sisu (6) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (60.5kg) T: P & M Cave	8	7.5	7	7.5	6.9	7
3. California Longbow (10) J: Jason Collett (59.5kg) T: P & P Snowden	8	8	7.5	7.5	6.9	8.5
4. Fortified (1) J: Glyn Schofield (59.5kg) T: C J Waller	6	6	5.5	5.5	6	6
5. Wichita Warrior (5) J: Unknown (57kg) T: K R Dryden
6. Comme Bella Fille (3) J: Tommy Berry (55.5kg) T: J A O'shea	2.6	2.7	2.6	2.6	2.7	2.7
7. Kermatin (4) J: Unknown (54kg) T: K R Dryden
8. Narrated (8) J: Ms Rachel King (54kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace	4.6	4.6	4.6	4.8	4.65	4.6
9. Za Ceibas (9) J: Unknown (54kg) T: C J Waller
10. Zudin (7) J: Tim Clark (54kg) T: C J Waller	14	14	14	15	12.4	14

Odds Last Updated: October 27, 2021, 4:34pm (AEDT)

You couldn’t miss the run of (6) Comme Bella Fille first up. She was hammered in betting that day but just got too far out of her ground, flashing home for a good 2nd from well back in the field. She was five months between runs there so has plenty of improvement to come. Getting out to 1900m is certainly no knock and Tommy Berry sticks for the ride today. She shouldn’t have to get too far back today in the smaller field. 

(6) Narrated was competitive in this grade last start, finishing 2nd to Mightybeel who has since won again. She’ll make her own luck up front and could get away with this if she has it her own way. 

Can’t knock anything (1) True Marvel has done recently, winning two on the bounce now over long staying trips. Has had a little freshen up here for this much shorter trip but can’t be counted out.

Tip: (6) Comme Bella Fille - $2.60 at TAB

Betting Strategy: 3u WIN Comme Bella Fille

Race 6 Harry Angel @ Darley (Bm72) (1100m) 5:10pm (AEDT)
1. Black Duke (8) J: Robbie Dolan (60kg) T: Richard Litt	9.5	11	11	12	9.7	11
2. El Buena (3) J: Glyn Schofield (59.5kg) T: C J Waller	10	9.5	9.5	10	10.2	9.5
3. Rammstein (10) J: Tommy Berry (59.5kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou	3.5	3.3	3.2	3.2	3.3	3.3
4. Amiche (11) J: Unknown (59kg) T: Edward Cummings
5. Loch Lomond (6) J: Jason Collett (58.5kg) T: K A Lees	9	9.5	10	11	10.4	10
6. Shadow Bridge (1) J: Joshua Parr (58.5kg) T: Mark Newnham	9	8.5	8	8	9.1	8.5
7. More Sundays (4) J: Ms Rachel King (57.5kg) T: Sam Kavanagh
8. Moralist (9) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (56.5kg) T: Matthew Smith	9	9.5	9	9	9.4	9.5
9. Tiny (5) J: Tim Clark (56.5kg) T: James Cummings	3.8	4	4	4.2	3.8	4
10. Celer (2) J: Ms Alysha Collett (56kg) T: Ms K Waugh	35	34	41	41	32	41
11. Little River (7) J: Jay Ford (55kg) T: Joseph Pride	7	6.5	5.5	5.5	6.3	6

Odds Last Updated: October 27, 2021, 5:14pm (AEDT)

(9) Tiny was very good fresh on a wet track behind a pretty smart horse in Six Again. They beat the rest of the field pretty comfortably and she will take improvement out of that run. 2nd up form is very good and she looks hard to beat here.

(6) Shadow Bridge looks the value in the race and I’m keen to have something on him at the price. Goes much better with a run under the belt and just went way too hard in the lead fresh. From barrier 1 he can have it all his own way. 

(3) Rammstein flies first up and was competitive in stronger races than this last prep. Will just need a touch of luck from the wide gate. 

Tip: (9) Tiny - $4.20 at TopSport

Value: (6) Shadow Bridge - $9.10 at Boombet

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Tiny, 0.5u WIN Shadow Bridge