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Eagle Farm Racing Tips: Saturday, June 5th

It’s Queensland Oaks day at Eagle Farm on Saturday and Tim Geers provides his thoughts on every race below!

eaglefarm-brc

The Brisbane winter carnival enters its fourth week of Group 1 racing, with Saturday headlined by the Queensland Oaks at Eagle Farm.

The Oaks sees the three-year-old fillies battle it out over 2200m, with four Listed races and a Group 2 supporting the day’s feature.

Tim Geers has previewed every race on the card below, complete with his tips, best bets and betting strategy.

His best bet comes up in the Group 1, while his best value bet comes up in Race 5.

Best Bet: Race 8 – (1) Duais & (6) Grace And Harmony

Best Value: Race 5 – (3) Scallopini

PlayUp

0

Race 1

Tab Venue Mode (Bm80) (1810m)
11:29am (AEDT)

Race 1

Tab Venue Mode (Bm80) (1810m)
11:29am (AEDT)

1. Happy Go Plucky (9) J: Hugh Bowman (60kg) T: J A Gilmore
1111111111.611
2. Masaff (2) J: Jim Byrne (58.5kg) T: C J Waller
5.565.55.55.25.5
3. Tavion Prince (3) J: Ryan Maloney (58.5kg) T: T J Gollan
1718171716.819
4. Prince Of Arragon (10) J: Craig Williams (58kg) T: John Thompson
3.23.13.13.12.953
5. Spencer (12) J: Joshua Parr (58kg) T: Bjorn Baker
6. Safin (4) J: Baylee Nothdurft (57.5kg) T: K R Kemp
3134344127.534
7. Cellarmaid (8) J: James Orman (57kg) T: K M Schweida
8. Picka Plum (11) J: Ben Thompson (57kg) T: P P Jenkins
354141413941
9. Southern Swing (7) J: Nash Rawiller (57kg) T: M J Dunn
191920192319
10. Traduce (1) J: Robbie Fradd (57kg) T: Ms M Brosnan
98.58.58.59.18.5
11. Incentivise (6) J: Anthony Allen (54kg) T: S P Tregea
3.73.73.53.83.63.6
12. The Dark (5) J: Mark Du Plessis (54kg) T: S J Morrisey
2121262623.523

Odds Last Updated: June 5, 2021, 11:32am (AEDT)

Keen on the Waller runner (2) Masaff, who absolutely bolted in to win his first start in Queensland. It was only a lowly Class 1 at Ipswich, but his winning time was 0.77sec (4.5L) quicker than the BM78 over the same distance on the day. When these Waller runners come to Queensland and strike winning form, they often keep it and from the low draw, he should be very competitive.

(4) Prince Of Arragon has been super impressive this preparation, winning three from three. He saluted over 2000m at Doomben last start and while he drops back to 1800m today, he has to be a leading chance.

(11) Incentivise is another that has won his past three starts, with his latest win at Toowoomba being by 7L. All three of those have been on soft ground though, and he drops from 2150m to 1800m.

Tip: (2) Masaff $5.00 BlueBet

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Masaff

0

Race 2

Authentic Security The Phoenix (1500m)
12:04pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Authentic Security The Phoenix (1500m)
12:04pm (AEDT)

1. Why We Drink (2) J: Glen Boss (57kg) T: Jan Pritchard
1112111212.412
2. Cape Breton (7) J: James Mcdonald (57kg) T: C J Waller
3. Minto's Paradise (10) J: Matthew Mcgillivray (57kg) T: L D Kelly
1212121212.213
4. Verbek (9) J: Nash Rawiller (57kg) T: R & L Price
6.5666.56.66
5. Tutukaka (8) J: Michael Cahill (57kg) T: A W Pike
5.5555.54.755
6. Bayerische (3) J: James Orman (57kg) T: S W Kendrick
466167616361
7. Kaytee Reinado (6) J: Robbie Fradd (57kg) T: D Chujo
101126201151221151
8. London Bell (1) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (57kg) T: B & D Guy
1111111012.212
9. Volcanic Rock (4) J: Craig Williams (57kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
2.82.82.72.82.852.6
10. It's All Talk (11) J: Ms Stephanie Thornton (55kg) T: S O'dea & M Hoysted
7.5877.57.28
11. Pick Za Beans (5) J: Ben Thompson (55kg) T: S W Kendrick
181819212018

Odds Last Updated: June 5, 2021, 12:07pm (AEDT)

(9) Volcanic Rock looks the one to beat after a good effort first up behind Overmann in Sydney. He was entered in a race at Rosehill but they’ve elected to come here instead. He should jump and lead from barrier 4 and will take plenty of beating.

(3) Minto’s Paradise bumped into the very smart Maotai on debut and then took care of his rivals with ease at his second start. I think the Maotai form is obviously very strong and at $13 he looks a bit of value here.

(8) London Bell was well supported at odds on debut and ran on OK into 5th behind Minto’s Paradise. Drawn the inside and gets Kerrin McEvoy on board here so has claims.

(5) Tutukaka next best.

Tip: (3) Minto’s Paradise $13 Bet365

Also Backing: (8) London Bell $21 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Minto's Paradise, 0.5 units WIN London Bell

0

Race 3

Captain Morgan Tropical Qlty (1300m)
12:39pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Captain Morgan Tropical Qlty (1300m)
12:39pm (AEDT)

1. Red Chase (2) J: Jim Byrne (59kg) T: Desleigh Forster
4.64.54.84.84.654.2
2. Boomsara (3) J: Hugh Bowman (58kg) T: Chris Munce
7.57.5777.37.5
3. Mishani Hustler (1) J: Mark Du Plessis (58kg) T: L G Ross
9.599.599.48.5
4. Macewen (10) J: Ryan Maloney (56kg) T: T J Gollan
8.58.59.5988
5. Bold Style (5) J: Ben Thompson (54kg) T: G K Taylor
4.44.54.24.44.554.4
6. Colpo Di Tamburo (4) J: Ms Samantha Collett (54kg) T: L J Roche
313131313534
7. Great Powers (7) J: Ms Stephanie Thornton (54kg) T: M A Currie
616771616971
8. Tumbler Ridge (8) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (54kg) T: S O'dea & M Hoysted
77.57777
9. Red Bloom (6) J: Ms Rachel King (54kg) T: Tony & Maddysen Sears
1111101110.610
10. Safework (9) J: Robbie Fradd (54kg) T: S J Morrisey
1111121111.212

Odds Last Updated: June 5, 2021, 12:42pm (AEDT)

This race might be out of the class of (6) Colpo Di Tamburo but I don’t think he’s hopeless at $31. He ran well first up on the Gold Coast, sitting four-wide the trip with the apprentice on board and still managing to run 2nd. He has a good second up record, with two wins and two 2nds from eight starts. Yet to figure from four starts at Eagle Farm but he draws well and looks a knockout chance.

(8) Tumbler Ridge also isn’t a bad price at $8.00. He won over the mile two starts ago at Doomben before finishing 4th behind Private Eye in the Queensland Guineas last start. The form out of that race has been very good, with Kukeracha since winning the Derby and Apache Chase beating Ayrton last weekend. He’s been freshened up and drops back to the 1300m here. He has a good record at this distance, won his only start at this track and distance and getting back onto a firmer surface also looks a positive.

(5) Bold Style ran really well last weekend and almost made it in my ‘horses to follow’ file. He settled back in the field and worked home well without a lot of clear room.

(4) Macewen loves it here at Eagle Farm.

Tip: (6) Colpo Di Tamburo $31 TopSport

Also Backing: (8) Tumbler Ridge $8.00 TopSport

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Colpo Di Tamburo, 0.5 units WIN Tumbler RIdge

0

Race 4

Grinders Coffee Lightning Hcp (1000m)
1:14pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Grinders Coffee Lightning Hcp (1000m)
1:14pm (AEDT)

1. Usmanov (6) J: Baylee Nothdurft (59kg) T: A J & T Edmonds
3.73.83.73.73.753.8
2. Varda (9) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (56.5kg) T: James Cummings
3. Spurcraft (5) J: Brad Stewart (56.5kg) T: K M Schweida
776.576.77
4. Tycoon Ace (8) J: Michael Cahill (55kg) T: Tony & Maddysen Sears
1516161815.816
5. Boomtown Lass (10) J: Glen Boss (54.5kg) T: Chris Anderson
2.82.82.72.82.852.7
6. Hail Manhattan (4) J: Adin Thompson (54.5kg) T: P & W Hulbert
192021212021
7. Doctor Zous (2) J: Ben Thompson (54kg) T: D J Hansen
66.566.566
8. Snow Valley (1) J: Ms Kate Cowan (54kg) T: S P Ryan
121111119.711
9. Nicconita (3) J: Mark Du Plessis (54kg) T: B J Lockwood
516171617151
10. Voulait (7) J: Ms Stephanie Thornton (54kg) T: M F Hemmings
81101151101141101

Odds Last Updated: June 5, 2021, 1:17pm (AEDT)

Keen to be with (5) Boomtown Lass here. We saw Profit win first up last weekend from this stable and Boomtown Lass looks to have been set for this fresh. Her first up record is outstanding, with two wins and four 2nd placings from six starts. She only has the one win from 10 starts at Eagle Farm, but she has placed in six of those. Her only start at this track and distance was a 0.1L 2nd to Usmanov, who she meets again here and he comes up favourite. However, Boomtown Lass has a 2.5kg weight swing on him from that meeting. Not thrilled with the jockey booking but with any luck from the draw, I think she’ll go extremely close here.

(1) Usmanov appreciated the drop in grade last start, returning to Queensland with a win in the Bat Out Of Hell. No doubt he’ll be competitive.

(6) Hail Manhattan finished last campaign with three straight wins. 1000m likely to be too short for him but he does go well fresh and gets the blinkers on for the first time.

(7) Doctor Zous and (8) Snow Valley also chances.

Tip: (5) Boomtown Lass $3.70 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Boomtown Lass

0

Race 5

Ascot Green Moreton Cup (1200m)
1:53pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Ascot Green Moreton Cup (1200m)
1:53pm (AEDT)

1. Splintex (1) J: Joshua Parr (57kg) T: Mark Newnham
2.92.92.732.93
2. Special Reward (5) J: Hugh Bowman (56.5kg) T: K A Lees
1313131410.814
3. Scallopini (3) J: Baylee Nothdurft (56kg) T: S O'dea & M Hoysted
54.84.64.64.754.8
4. Baller (6) J: Glen Boss (55.5kg) T: T J Gollan
1213111212.212
5. Wisdom Of Water (8) J: Craig Williams (55kg) T: Annabel Neasham
1211111011.811
6. Stampe (4) J: Larry Cassidy (55kg) T: Chris Munce
1616161615.615
7. The Astrologist (9) J: Ben Thompson (55kg) T: L & T Corstens
109.5999.79
8. Varda (2) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (53.5kg) T: James Cummings
6.566.566.75.5
9. Zaniah (7) J: Andrew Mallyon (53.5kg) T: K A Lees
232126212623

Odds Last Updated: June 5, 2021, 1:57pm (AEDT)

Think (3) Scallopini is a decent each way bet here at $12. He didn’t come up at his best last preparation but if you ignore that, his form prior to that campaign would see him go well here. He has a terrific first up record, with four wins and two placings from eight starts, and he’s never missed a place from six starts at the track and distance. Draws well in barrier 3 and looks a good bet at the price.

(8) Varda was enormous winning over 1100m at Doomben last start, coming from nearly last to win. Has a good third up record and should go well again.

(4) Baller won his first start for Tony Gollan last start. Four of his five career wins have come at this distance so he has to be included again.

(6) Stampe has had excuses in his past two starts, caught wide without cover in both. Drawn well today and can go better than the double figure odds suggest.

(1) Splintex is favourite and comes up with barrier 1. Finished midfield behind Eduardo in the G1 Doomben 10,000 last start so should find this easier, but I thought he was short enough and happy to oppose.

Tip: (3) Scallopini E/W $12/$3.10

Betting Strategy: 1 unit E/W Scallopini

0

Race 6

Nuturf Spear Chief Hcp (1500m)
2:33pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Nuturf Spear Chief Hcp (1500m)
2:33pm (AEDT)

1. Groundswell (9) J: Nash Rawiller (58kg) T: A & S Freedman
44.23.84.23.74.2
2. Dealmaker (2) J: Glen Boss (55kg) T: C J Waller
3. Flash Aah (12) J: Ms Rachel King (55kg) T: M J Fry
7776.56.97
4. Love You Lucy (8) J: Mark Du Plessis (54kg) T: B J Squair
2326262126.526
5. Le Castile (4) J: Michael Cahill (54kg) T: J G Sargent
516761815371
6. Charleise (13) J: Jye Mcneil (54kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
6.56.56.56.56.66.5
7. Luvoir (6) J: Jim Byrne (54kg) T: R & M Freedman
3.33.233.43.253.3
8. Immortal Love (7) J: Ben Thompson (54kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
2726312625.526
9. Goldifox (3) J: Craig Williams (54kg) T: A J & T Edmonds
1414151415.213
10. Fort Wayne (5) J: Ms Stephanie Thornton (54kg) T: S W Kendrick
617191819381
11. East Asia (11) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (54kg) T: R L Heathcote
1717181718.216
12. Sokudo (10) J: Vishan Venkaya (54kg) T: G R Ryan
126151201151191151
13. Itz Lily (1) J: Andrew Mallyon (54kg) T: K A Lees
131212141410

Odds Last Updated: June 5, 2021, 2:37pm (AEDT)

(6) Charleise is flying this prep. She bolted in at Sandown three starts back, before running into Bons Abroad who then won again. Last start she went to Sydney and once again won easily over this distance. The draw likely means she’s going to be a long way back in the run, but if they are able to make ground during the day, she should be flashing home late.

(10) Fort Wayne is a blowout chance. Probably outclassed here but did run well first up and is undefeated from two starts when second up. Something small on at huge odds.

(5) Le Castille makes her Australian debut. Has some talent but comes here out of form. Blinkers off, back onto firmer ground and drawn well. Worth including at big odds.

(1) Groundswell comes up favourite. He won back-to-back races in Adelaide before failing in the G3 BRC Sprint last start. No surprise to see them lead here with Nash booked but I thought he was short enough on the back of that last run.

Tip: (6) Charleise $6.00 Bet365

Value: (10) Fort Wayne $47 Sportsbetting

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Charleise, 0.25 units WIN Fort Wayne

0

Race 7

Magic Millions Nat. Classic (1600m)
3:13pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Magic Millions Nat. Classic (1600m)
3:13pm (AEDT)

1. Nettoyer (4) J: James Mcdonald (57kg) T: Ms W Roche
3.53.53.23.23.353.4
2. Polly Grey (8) J: Nash Rawiller (57kg) T: C J Waller
776.56.56.57
3. Rocha Clock (13) J: Ms Rachel King (57kg) T: J A O'shea
6.56.5776.46.5
4. In Good Health (5) J: Jim Byrne (57kg) T: P G Moody
7.587.586.67.5
5. Nudge (10) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (57kg) T: C J Waller
5.55.55.55.55.65
6. Fabric (6) J: Craig Williams (57kg) T: D T O'brien
151517161515
7. Yamazaki (7) J: Hugh Bowman (57kg) T: M J Dunn
1617181817.217
8. Aliferous (2) J: Andrew Mallyon (57kg) T: K A Lees
414161514551
9. Walking Flying (12) J: Brad Stewart (57kg) T: A J & T Edmonds
343441414041
10. Gem Of Scotland (3) J: Glen Boss (57kg) T: R G Lipp
272626262726
11. Akari (9) J: Joshua Parr (57kg) T: Brad Widdup
12. Purrfect Deal (11) J: Ben Thompson (57kg) T: Michael Costa
313434343531
13. Shop Til I Drop (1) J: Ryan Maloney (57kg) T: T & C Mcevoy
354151414341

Odds Last Updated: June 5, 2021, 3:17pm (AEDT)

Could make a genuine case for six or seven runners here.

(1) Nettoyer will be suited in a WFA fillies and mares race after finishing 4th behind Zaaki in the G1 Doomben Cup, but she was still beaten 10L there and is a hard horse to catch.

(2) Polly Grey is flying, winning three of her past four races, but the key to her is striking wet tracks, which she won’t get here. She’s had nine runs on good ground and is yet to win.

(3) Rocha Clock is also in great form, winning her past two. She draws wide here but she tends to get back in her races anyway. She beat Nudge two starts ago, who then came to Brisbane and won, and she beat the in-form Missile Mantra last time out. If she doesn’t get too far out of her ground, she should be very competitive.

(4) In Good Health will lead at a good clip. They let her roll along last start and she just ran her opposition off her legs, winning by 4L in Adelaide. Drops back to the mile here which probably suits her high cruising speed.

(5) Nudge had been knocking on the door in Sydney and she got a deserved win last start, finishing over the top of her rivals in the Pam O’Neill. The race was completely set up for her though, with Bowman taking off mid-race on Yamazaki to inject plenty of speed into it. If In Good Health sets a good tempo, Nudge will be finishing hard once again.

(6) Fabric was disappointing last start but I’m not convinced wet tracks are her go. All her best form (and all six career wins) has been on firmer surfaces so that could be the key to her bouncing back here. Reloaded has also franked the form out of that race.

(12) Purrfect Deal is the complete blowout in the field.

Will be backing three runners in an open race: Rocha Clock, Nudge and Fabric.

Tip: (3) Rocha Clock $7.00 Bet365

Also Backing: (5) Nudge $4.20 Ladbrokes

Value: (6) Fabric $15 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Nudge, 0.75 unit WIN Rocha Clock, 0.25 units WIN Fabric

0

Race 8

James Squire Queensland Oaks (2200m)
3:53pm (AEDT)

Race 8

James Squire Queensland Oaks (2200m)
3:53pm (AEDT)

1. Duais (12) J: Hugh Bowman (56.5kg) T: Edward Cummings
2.92.92.62.72.92.8
2. Media Award (5) J: John Allen (56.5kg) T: Chris Calthorpe
3. Bargain (4) J: Joshua Parr (56.5kg) T: Mark Newnham
554.8554.8
4. Only Words (13) J: Craig Williams (56.5kg) T: C J Waller
998.58.58.49
5. Easifar (10) J: Luke Dittman (56.5kg) T: C J Waller
1817312115.815
6. Grace And Harmony (3) J: James Mcdonald (56.5kg) T: C J Waller
6.56.5776.47
7. Good Soize (1) J: Ryan Maloney (56.5kg) T: T J Gollan
2731313128.534
8. Charms Star (6) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (56.5kg) T: C J Waller
887.57.588
9. Rebel Rama (8) J: Ms Mikayla Weir (56.5kg) T: M C Conners
616781817961
10. Signora Nera (7) J: Opie Bosson (56.5kg) T: C J Waller
1716141616.616
11. Splendiferous (2) J: Nash Rawiller (56.5kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
414141413741
12. Yatton (11) J: Ben Thompson (56.5kg) T: M D Moroney
126201151151181201
13. Ruru (14) J: Glen Boss (56.5kg) T: C J Waller
91101101126101126
14. Mishani Whisper (9) J: James Orman (56.5kg) T: Ms K Purdy
251301201401421251

Odds Last Updated: June 5, 2021, 3:57pm (AEDT)

The day’s feature is the G1 Queensland Oaks for the three-year-old fillies over 2200m. Keen on two runners here and have made them my best of the day.

(1) Duais went into my ‘horses to follow’ file after her effort in the Australian Oaks behind Hungry Heart, with the thought that she may end up in South Australia or Queensland for a race like this. She came from last on that occasion and didn’t get the clearest of runs in the straight, but still finished off well to run 2nd. I think that’s probably the best form line for this race and despite the wide draw, I’m keen to be with her.

I was with (6) Grace And Harmony in The Roses last start and I’ll be sticking with her for the grand final today. She drew wide, ended up back in the field and JMac tried to loop them, but the race was dominated by horses that settled closer to the speed. He comes up with barrier 3 today so expect a much more positive ride from that gate, and I think that could be the difference. Think she’s the best of the Waller brigade and the good draw just reinforces that.

Both of them are backable at $5.50 apiece.

Waller has six in the race, so it’s anyone’s guess which ones fill the placings behind the two mentioned above.

Keen to oppose (3) Bargain who hasn’t been running poorly by any stretch, but has certainly had her chances from good draws and I don’t think this is any easier.

Tip: (6) Grace And Harmony $5.50 PlayUp

Also Backing: (1) Duais $5.50 PlayUp

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Grace And Harmony, 1.5 units WIN Duais

0

Race 9

Nova 106.9 Queensland Day Stks (1200m)
4:29pm (AEDT)

Race 9

Nova 106.9 Queensland Day Stks (1200m)
4:29pm (AEDT)

1. Rocketing By (14) J: Nash Rawiller (57kg) T: M J Dunn
6.576.56.577
2. Wisdom Of Water (12) J: Craig Williams (57kg) T: Annabel Neasham
3. Mass Destruction (9) J: Hugh Bowman (57kg) T: T J Gollan
665.565.56
4. Tumbler Ridge (8) J: Baylee Nothdurft (57kg) T: S O'dea & M Hoysted
5. Our Playboy (5) J: Ben Thompson (57kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
7.57.57.577.47.5
6. Blondeau (11) J: James Mcdonald (57kg) T: C J Waller
7. Tramonto (2) J: Joshua Parr (57kg) T: Jonny Field
1413151614.412
8. Setanta (6) J: Ryan Maloney (57kg) T: T J Gollan
262626262226
9. Streaka (4) J: Glen Boss (57kg) T: Chris Anderson
2626263129.526
10. Garoppolo (1) J: Robbie Fradd (57kg) T: Ms M Brosnan
415151515351
11. Kisukano (7) J: Mark Du Plessis (55kg) T: M G Nolan
4.44.24.24.64.454.4
12. Georgie's Pride (13) J: Jim Byrne (55kg) T: Desleigh Forster
4.24.24.24.24.13.9
13. Zeftabrook (10) J: Andrew Mallyon (55kg) T: K A Lees
414141414151
14. Fleet Dove (3) J: Ms Rachel King (55kg) T: K M Schweida
1816171917.415

Odds Last Updated: June 5, 2021, 4:32pm (AEDT)

(5) Our Playboy went into the ‘horses to follow’ file after his first up run. That was his first start as a gelding, he settled back in the field and worked home nicely to finish midfield, beaten 1.8L. Should take good improvement from that run and happy to have something on at each way odds.

(12) Georgie’s Pride is the other horse I’ll be backing. It’s hard to knock her form, with five wins and a 2nd from six starts this preparation. She’s won five from seven at the track, three from four at this track and distance, and with any luck going forward from the wide gate, she should be very hard to beat once again.

(3) Mass Destruction and (11) Kisukano obvious chances.

Tip: (12) Georgie’s Pride $3.50 Bet365

Also Backing: (5) Our Playboy $7.00 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Georgie's Pride, 1 unit WIN Our Playboy

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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