Racing Tips

Happy Valley Racing Tips: Wednesday, July 14th

Tim Geers previews the final meeting of the Hong Kong racing season at Happy Valley on Wednesday night.

by
Tim Geers
13 July 2021

Wednesday nights brings to an end the 2020/21 Hong Kong racing season, with a nine-race card at Happy Valley.

The meeting is on the B-course, with the first race set to get underway at 6.45pm local time (8.45pm AEST).

Tim Geers is hoping to finish off with a bang and has picked out three races to bet in on the card, which are Race 1, Race 4 and Race 9.

Find his preview and betting tips below.

Best Bet: Race 1 – (1) Perfect To Play

Race 1

Ventris Hcp (C5) (1800m)
8:45pm (AEDT)

Race 1 Ventris Hcp (C5) (1800m) 8:45pm (AEDT)
1. Perfect To Play (8) J: J Moreira (60.5kg) T: C Fownes	4	4	4	4	3.9
2. Hay Run (7) J: K C Leung (59.5kg) T: L Ho	14	14	14	14	13.8
3. Light My Day (11) J: B Shinn (59kg) T: C H Yip	27	26	26	26	26
4. Gold 'N' Bold (2) J: A Hamelin (58.5kg) T: W Y So	26	26	31	31	25
5. Grand Power (1) J: T Piccone (58kg) T: C W Chang	71	67	61	61	61
6. Shanghai Grace (12) J: C Wong (57kg) T: Y S Tsui	20	20	21	21	19.4
7. Virtus Star (6) J: C Y Ho (56.5kg) T: F C Lor	13	12	12	12	12
8. Righteous Win (4) J: H Bentley (56kg) T: P Yiu	5.5	5	5	5	5
9. Success Allstars (9) J: K Teetan (55.5kg) T: D Ferraris	4.8	4.6	4.6	4.6	4.55
10. Shinealot (5) J: V Borges (55kg) T: P D O'sullivan	9.5	9.5	10	10	9.2
11. Wealthy Employee (10) J: C Schofield (54.5kg) T: K H Ting	10	10		10	10
12. General Dino (3) J: Alex Lai (51.5kg) T: D Whyte	9.5	9.5	9.5	9.5	9

Odds Last Updated: July 14, 2021, 8:46pm (AEDT)

I’m wasting no time tonight, with (1) Perfect To Play being my best bet on the card to kick things off. This looks a complete set up job from the champion trainer Caspar Fownes. The horse’s last nine starts have all been in Class 4 but he drops back into Class 5 tonight and Joao Moreira is booked to ride. Last time this horse raced in Class 5, he won over 1650m here with Moreira aboard carrying the same weight. He’s had eight weeks off with a trial in between and I reckon they’ve set him up to win this after dropping to this handicap mark.

(8) Righteous Win looks the danger.

Tip: (1) Perfect To Play $4.20 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Perfect To Play

Race 2

Link Hcp (C5) (1000m)
9:15pm (AEDT)

Race 2 Link Hcp (C5) (1000m) 9:15pm (AEDT)
1. Alloy King (0) J: (57kg) T: K H Ting
2. Good Luck Money (12) J: T Piccone (60.5kg) T: Richard Gibson	71	71	71	71	59
3. After Me (9) J: Alex Lai (60kg) T: D Ferraris	19	18	17	17	17.8
4. E Honey (10) J: J Moreira (60kg) T: C Fownes	11	9.5	10	10	8.3
5. Multiple Star (6) J: H Bentley (60kg) T: C H Yip	101	101	101	126	79
6. Bond A Star (1) J: B Shinn (59kg) T: C H Yip	41	41	51	51	34
7. Dr Proactive (5) J: C Schofield (59kg) T: K H Ting	7	7	7	7	6.4
8. Telecom Missile (3) J: A K Chan (58.5kg) T: C Fownes	6	4.8	5	6	4.85
9. Chunghwa Jingshen (11) J: K Teetan (57.5kg) T: L Ho	5.5	5.5	5.5	4.8	5.4
10. Kelmimi Wins (4) J: Jerry Chau (57kg) T: D Whyte	14	13	13	12	10.4
11. Flying Monkey (8) J: K C Leung (54.5kg) T: T P Yung	5	4.8	4.6	4.2	4.15
12. Shanghai Power (2) J: C Wong (54.5kg) T: Y S Tsui	4	4.2	4.4	4	4.1
13. Winning Warrior (7) J: V Borges (51.5kg) T: K L Man	31	26	26	21	22.5

Odds Last Updated: July 14, 2021, 9:16pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Sung Tak Hcp (C4) (1200m)
9:45pm (AEDT)

Race 3 Sung Tak Hcp (C4) (1200m) 9:45pm (AEDT)
1. Casa De Forca (9) J: V Borges (60.5kg) T: W Y So	67	67	71	71	57
2. Most Welcome (11) J: C Schofield (59kg) T: D A Hayes	15	14	13	13	14.4
3. Ice Legend (8) J: J Moreira (58kg) T: C Fownes	3.7	3.7	3.8	3.8	3.55
4. Amigos Giggle (3) J: K Teetan (57kg) T: C W Chang	4.8	4.8	5	5	4.6
5. Orion Patch (6) J: R Maia (57kg) T: K W Lui	101	101	101	101	99
6. Loriz (5) J: A Hamelin (56.5kg) T: P Yiu	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.9
7. Monster Kaka (7) J: B Shinn (55.5kg) T: D J Hall	8.5	8	7.5	7.5	8.4
8. Superb Daddy (4) J: T Piccone (55kg) T: D Ferraris	8.5	8.5	8.5	8.5	8.3
9. So Awesome (12) J: Alex Lai (54.5kg) T: Y S Tsui	20	19	19	19	19.8
10. Top Military (10) J: H T Mo (54.5kg) T: T P Yung	101	101	101	126	95
11. Happily Friends (1) J: C Y Ho (53kg) T: K H Ting	4.8	4.8	5	5	4.75
12. Top Accolade (2) J: C Wong (52kg) T: C H Yip	34	34	34	34	31

Odds Last Updated: July 14, 2021, 9:47pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Sung Tak Hcp (C4) (1200m)
10:15pm (AEDT)

Race 4 Sung Tak Hcp (C4) (1200m) 10:15pm (AEDT)
1. Island Shine (12) J: K Teetan (60.5kg) T: P Yiu	7	7	7	7	6.9
2. Daily Beauty (8) J: J Moreira (58.5kg) T: C Fownes	11	10	10	10	10.6
3. Hero Star (7) J: K C Leung (57.5kg) T: K L Man	4.5	4.4	4.4	4.4	4.3
4. Happy Profit (2) J: C Y Ho (57kg) T: C S Shum	3.2	3.3	3.2	3.4	3.2
5. Flying Sword (4) J: A Hamelin (56.5kg) T: D A Hayes	18	15	17	16	17
6. Good Shot (3) J: H Bentley (56.5kg) T: D J Hall	6	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5
7. Ares (9) J: C Schofield (59.5kg) T: F C Lor
8. Master Of Fun (1) J: T Piccone (53.5kg) T: C H Yip	51	51	61	61	47
9. Xponential (11) J: Jerry Chau (53.5kg) T: D Whyte	12	11	11	11	10.6
10. Fortune Happiness (10) J: R Maia (53kg) T: K W Lui	67	71	81	81	65
11. Happy Time (6) J: V Borges (52.5kg) T: W Y So	8.5	7.5	7	7	7.4
12. Sincere Boy (5) J: H T Mo (51.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan	101	101	101	101	97

Odds Last Updated: July 14, 2021, 10:17pm (AEDT)

Sticking with (4) Happy Profit here, who went close last start but was denied by a head. He had a bit of trouble getting fully clear that night, and he gets circumstances to suit tonight. The inside three barriers have a huge advantage over this distance on the B-course at Happy Valley, so he comes up with a perfect draw in 2. With any luck in running he should be fighting out the finish.

Tip: (4) Happy Profit $3.20 PlayUp

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Happy Profit

Race 5

Hau Tak Hcp (C4) (1650m)
10:45pm (AEDT)

Race 5 Hau Tak Hcp (C4) (1650m) 10:45pm (AEDT)
1. Cheerful Leader (4) J: K C Leung (60.5kg) T: P Yiu	19	21	26	26	19.8
2. Strive For Glory (1) J: K Teetan (60.5kg) T: F C Lor	21	21	21	21	20
3. Super Fast (10) J: Jerry Chau (60.5kg) T: K W Lui	6	6	5	6	5.4
4. Blazing Beat (7) J: R Maia (58kg) T: C W Chang	61	61	61	61	59
5. Land Power (6) J: A K Chan (58kg) T: C Fownes	6	6	5.5	6	5.4
6. Zhan Jiang Rocks (12) J: A Hamelin (57kg) T: W Y So	14	13	12	13	13
7. Sun Of Makfi (5) J: C Schofield (55.5kg) T: D J Hall	3.9	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.65
8. Charizard (11) J: T Piccone (55kg) T: D Ferraris	14	13	12	13	11.4
9. Manna From Heaven (8) J: H Bentley (55kg) T: K L Man	14	15	14	16	13
10. On Excel Star (9) J: J Moreira (53.5kg) T: C H Yip	6.5	6.5	7	7	6.3
11. Red Impact (2) J: C Y Ho (53.5kg) T: D A Hayes	6.5	6	6	6	5.9
12. Prime Star (3) J: H T Mo (52.5kg) T: A T Millard	101	91	67	81	87

Odds Last Updated: July 14, 2021, 10:46pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Oi Kwan Hcp (C3) (1800m)
11:15pm (AEDT)

Race 6 Oi Kwan Hcp (C3) (1800m) 11:15pm (AEDT)
1. Righteous Doctrine (3) J: T Piccone (59.5kg) T: C W Chang	13	13	12	12	12.8
2. King Opie (6) J: C Schofield (59kg) T: F C Lor	31	26	26	26	26
3. Golden Spectrum (11) J: N Callan (58.5kg) T: A S Cruz	4.5	4.5	4.6	4.6	4.35
4. Cinquante Cinq (9) J: R Maia (57.5kg) T: T P Yung	26	26	31	31	26
5. Indicative Vote (1) J: H Bentley (57.5kg) T: C S Shum	9	8.5	7	8	8.4
6. Super Buddy (12) J: B Shinn (57kg) T: D A Hayes	46	41	41	41	39
7. Chancheng Prince (8) J: C Y Ho (56.5kg) T: K W Lui	21	19	17	17	19.4
8. Exceptional Nice (4) J: A Hamelin (55.5kg) T: W Y So	5	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.95
9. Leap Of Faith (10) J: J Moreira (55kg) T: J J Size	4.6	4.4	4.2	4.2	4.35
10. Surrealism (7) J: K Teetan (55kg) T: D Ferraris	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.4
11. Yoo Yoo King (2) J: V Borges (55kg) T: K H Ting	41	34	34	34	36
12. Bundle Of Delight (5) J: Jerry Chau (53.5kg) T: D J Hall	10	10	10	10	9.9

Odds Last Updated: July 14, 2021, 11:26pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Broadwood Hcp (C3) (1000m)
11:45pm (AEDT)

Race 7 Broadwood Hcp (C3) (1000m) 11:45pm (AEDT)
1. Be Ready (1) J: C Schofield (60.5kg) T: F C Lor	7.5	7.5	7.5	7.5	7.4
2. High Rise Soldier (3) J: C Y Ho (60kg) T: K W Lui	8.5	8.5	8.5	8.5	8.2
3. Metro Warrior (6) J: B Shinn (60kg) T: D A Hayes	7	7	7	7	6.8
4. Quadruple Double (10) J: H T Mo (59kg) T: D J Hall	18	18	18	18	18
5. Storm Warnings (8) J: Jerry Chau (59kg) T: D Whyte	6	6	6	6	6
6. Brilliant Fortune (4) J: J Moreira (57.5kg) T: C Fownes	3.1	3.1	3.3	3.3	2.95
7. Sky Forever (9) J: K C Leung (56.5kg) T: K L Man	71	71	71	71	71
8. Heart Conquered (11) J: T Piccone (56kg) T: Richard Gibson	8.5	8	8	8	8.4
9. Resolute (7) J: H Bentley (54.5kg) T: A T Millard	16	15	13	13	15.8
10. Wild West Wing (12) J: K Teetan (53.5kg) T: J J Size	11	12	14	14	11.8
11. Smart Leader (5) J: V Borges (52.5kg) T: W Y So	81	81	81	81	77
12. Sparkling Knight (2) J: H W Lai (52.5kg) T: C H Yip	23	21	21	21	22

Odds Last Updated: July 14, 2021, 11:56pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Wong Nai Chung Hcp (C2) (1650m)
12:15am (AEDT)

Race 8 Wong Nai Chung Hcp (C2) (1650m) 12:15am (AEDT)
1. Flagship Glory (11) J: C Y Ho (59.5kg) T: F C Lor	4.8	4.8	5	5	4.7
2. Beauty Fit (12) J: J Moreira (59kg) T: J J Size	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.1
3. Green Laser (9) J: A Hamelin (59kg) T: D Ferraris	126	101	101	101	97
4. Lakeshore Eagle (2) J: Jerry Chau (58.5kg) T: D Whyte	8.5	8.5	8.5	8.5	8.1
5. Holy Heart (4) J: H Bentley (58kg) T: K W Lui	21	21	21	21	19.8
6. Lobo's Legend (5) J: V Borges (58kg) T: P D O'sullivan	91	91	101	101	87
7. Magnificent (7) J: H T Mo (58kg) T: K H Ting	20	20	21	21	19.4
8. Telecom Fighters (8) J: T Piccone (57.5kg) T: Y S Tsui	6	6	6	6	5.8
9. Helene Wisdom Star (6) J: N Callan (56kg) T: A S Cruz	7	7	7.5	7.5	7
10. Gift Of Lifeline (3) J: K Teetan (56kg) T: A T Millard	6	6	6	6	5.9
11. Hall Of Champ (10) J: K C Leung (56kg) T: C Fownes	10	10	10	10	9.6
12. Kasi Farasi (1) J: C Wong (53kg) T: C H Yip	35	34	34	34	33

Odds Last Updated: July 15, 2021, 10:02am (AEDT)

Race 9

Sports Road Hcp (C2) (1200m)
12:50am (AEDT)

Race 9 Sports Road Hcp (C2) (1200m) 12:50am (AEDT)
1. Golden Dash (12) J: H Bentley (60.5kg) T: C S Shum	41	41	41	41	39
2. Amazing One Plus (10) J: A Hamelin (59kg) T: T P Yung	126	126	151	151	111
3. Mr Croissant (5) J: T Piccone (59kg) T: W Y So	21	21	21	21	19.8
4. Sparkling Dragon (4) J: K C Leung (58kg) T: A T Millard	10	11	11	11	10.8
5. Igniting (3) J: C Y Ho (57.5kg) T: K W Lui	4.8	5	5.5	5.5	4.85
6. Loving A Boom (8) J: Jerry Chau (57.5kg) T: Richard Gibson	7.5	7.5	8	8	7.3
7. All In Mind (9) J: N Callan (56.5kg) T: A S Cruz	8.5	8	8	8	7.9
8. When You Believe (7) J: B Shinn (56kg) T: F C Lor	7.5	7	7	7	7.2
9. Super Winner (2) J: J Moreira (52.5kg) T: C H Yip	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.2
10. Family Folks (11) J: H T Mo (51.5kg) T: C W Chang	34	34	31	31	32
11. War Weapon (1) J: K Teetan (51.5kg) T: C Fownes	5	5	5	5	4.85
12. Baby (6) J: V Borges (51.5kg) T: K H Ting	34	31	31	31	31

Odds Last Updated: July 15, 2021, 10:02am (AEDT)

Really competitive restricted Class 2 to finish off the season here, with many winning chances. I’ll be spreading my wings over three horses here.

(3) Mr Croissant is big odds at $19. He’s had three runs back from a spell, all at Sha Tin. He ran 2nd second up and then drew wide and had to go all the way back last start. Ran home in the same final 400m as the winner so I think he’s going alright, and he comes up with a better draw tonight in barrier 5.

(9) Super Winner won three straight before going down last start. He copped a bit of interference more than once in that race, so his effort to get as close as he did was good. The query for him is he’s been racing over 1400m in all his recent starts and now drops back to 1200m at The Valley, but he’s flying this prep, Moreira sticks and he draws a great barrier in 2.

(11) War Weapon is a three-year-old taking on older horses in a restricted Class 2, which isn’t easy to do, but he’s knocking on the door. He ran 2nd two starts ago when he drew barrier 12, and then he got caught wide last start when finishing 5th. Now comes to Happy Valley with 51.5kg on his back and draws the inside gate, which is a huge plus over this distance.

Tip: (9) Super Winner $6.50 Bet365

Also Backing: (11) War Weapon $5.50 Bet365

Value: (3) Mr Croissant $20 PlayUp

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Super Winner, 1 unit WIN War Weapon, 0.5 units WIN Mr Croissant

Tim Geers

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.