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Happy Valley Racing Tips: Wednesday, March 3rd

Hong Kong racing continues at Happy Valley on Wednesday night and Tim Geers has highlighted four bets on the card.

Happy Valley Racing Tips

Hong Kong racing continues at Happy Valley on Wednesday night and Tim Geers has highlighted four bets on the card.

He’s keen to get stuck in early, with bets coming up in Race 1, Race 2 and Race 3, before his best bet of the night goes around in Race 7.

Find his betting tips and analysis of those races below.

Best Bet: Race 7 – (8) Wealthy Delight

0

Race 1

Tin Lok Hcp (C5) (1650m)
9:45pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Tin Lok Hcp (C5) (1650m)
9:45pm (AEDT)

1. Baby Storm (9) J: A Hamelin (59kg) T: L Ho
1514131313.4
2. All Best Friends (2) J: Alex Lai (58.5kg) T: K L Man
1211101010.6
3. Tailor Made (3) J: C Y Ho (58.5kg) T: C Fownes
444.24.24.05
4. Can't Touch This (10) J: T Piccone (58kg) T: K H Ting
201151151151151
5. Humble Steed (11) J: A Badel (58kg) T: T P Yung
1817181816.6
6. Big Bang Bong (1) J: H N Wong (57.5kg) T: C W Chang
1416171715.4
7. Galaxy Racer (5) J: Z Purton (56kg) T: Richard Gibson
55554.9
8. Lucky Turbo (12) J: R Maia (56kg) T: A S Cruz
819110110187
9. Fairy Floss (8) J: B Shinn (55.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan
99998.7
10. Happy Hour (6) J: M F Poon (55.5kg) T: C H Yip
98.5888.2
11. Nitro Express (4) J: K Teetan (55.5kg) T: D Ferraris
54.85.55.55.3
12. Strapping Bauhinia (7) J: H T Mo (53.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
3126343430
13. Speed Force (13) J: Jerry Chau (57.5kg) T: D Whyte
14. Virtus Star (14) J: (57.5kg) T: F C Lor

Odds Last Updated: March 4, 2021, 10:36am (AEDT)

Pretty keen to get stuck into an 18-start maiden to open the card here (seriously). (7) Galaxy Racer was huge in defeat last start, in fact he should have won. He travelled beautifully along the rails but when he needed luck at a crucial stage, he didn’t get any. Matthew Poon had to change course a few times in the straight but once he balanced up, he really hit the line well. Zac Purton goes on tonight in a big jockey change, he draws well in barrier 5 and he’s ready to win third up.

Tip: (7) Galaxy Racer $4.20 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Galaxy Racer

0

Race 2

Morrison Hill Hcp (C4) (1650m)
10:15pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Morrison Hill Hcp (C4) (1650m)
10:15pm (AEDT)

1. Blazing Beat (9) J: K Teetan (60.5kg) T: K H Ting
2326212122.5
2. Lady First (7) J: Jerry Chau (58.5kg) T: A S Cruz
4.24.24.44.44.1
3. Owners' Star (8) J: Z Purton (57.5kg) T: C S Shum
6.56.56.56.56.4
4. Cosmo Classic (6) J: M L Yeung (57kg) T: D A Hayes
8191818181
5. The Submarine (12) J: R Maia (56kg) T: Y S Tsui
101151151151141
6. Aerosonic (5) J: A Hamelin (55.5kg) T: J J Size
3534343434
7. Nunchuks (1) J: C Y Ho (55.5kg) T: C Fownes
2.82.9332.85
8. Lucky Missile (2) J: M F Poon (55kg) T: D J Hall
1212111111.4
9. Savvy Kingman (10) J: B Shinn (55kg) T: F C Lor
1415151514.6
10. Run Run Good (3) J: M Chadwick (53.5kg) T: K L Man
6171517169
11. Gold 'N' Bold (11) J: V Borges (52.5kg) T: W Y So
1515141414.8
12. Smiling Face (4) J: A Badel (52.5kg) T: D Whyte
77.57.57.57.2
13. Mister Arm (13) J: (55kg) T: Y S Tsui

Odds Last Updated: March 4, 2021, 10:36am (AEDT)

Barrier 1 over the 1650m is gold and that goes the way of (7) Nunchucks for Casper Fownes and Vincent Ho. He was beaten less than a length here last start, which was his first run back from a short freshen up. He gets the plum draw and he’s won second up tonight and it’s not often a meeting goes past where Fownes doesn’t train a winner. He should be very hard to beat.

Tip: (7) Nunchucks $2.90 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Nunchucks

0

Race 3

Matheson Hcp (C4) (1200m)
10:45pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Matheson Hcp (C4) (1200m)
10:45pm (AEDT)

1. Noir Rider (12) J: V Borges (60.5kg) T: T P Yung
2. Mercurial (7) J: Jerry Chau (59.5kg) T: A S Cruz
3. Wood On Fire (11) J: Z Purton (59.5kg) T: L Ho
4. Shadow Runner (2) J: B Shinn (59kg) T: P D O'sullivan
5. Sunny Baby (10) J: M L Yeung (56.5kg) T: D A Hayes
6. Universal Go Go (6) J: M F Poon (56kg) T: K W Lui
7. Dazzling Feeling (1) J: H N Wong (55kg) T: D Ferraris
8. Gallant Legacy (3) J: K Teetan (55kg) T: C W Chang
9. Young Victory (4) J: T Piccone (55kg) T: W Y So
10. Focus (8) J: R Maia (53kg) T: P Yiu
11. Mission Smart (5) J: C Y Ho (53kg) T: F C Lor
12. Lucky Puzzle (9) J: M Chadwick (51.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
13. Destine Jewellery (13) J: (53.5kg) T: J J Size
14. Sure Winner (14) J: (56.5kg) T: K L Man

Odds Last Updated: March 4, 2021, 10:36am (AEDT)

I had something small on (11) Mission Smart first up and I thought his run was terrific. In fact, I tweeted at the time that he was a good thing licked. he drew barrier 12, bombed the start by 3L and charged home to be beaten less than a length. Positive jockey change tonight with Vincent Ho going on and he gets a much better draw to go with it, so if he jumps cleanly, he should be very competitive.

Tip: (11) Mission Smart $5.00 TopSport

0

Race 4

Percival Hcp (C4) (1800m)
11:15pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Percival Hcp (C4) (1800m)
11:15pm (AEDT)

1. Dynamic Eagle (9) J: A Badel (60.5kg) T: C S Shum
1111111111
2. Methane (5) J: K Teetan (58kg) T: D Ferraris
7.577.57.57.1
3. Red Elysees (12) J: A Hamelin (58kg) T: K L Man
1111101010.6
4. Divine Unicorn (11) J: Jerry Chau (57.5kg) T: W Y So
1311101010.8
5. Bright Vision (6) J: R Maia (57kg) T: P Yiu
2731343430
6. California Levee (3) J: M Chadwick (56.5kg) T: A S Cruz
1514151514.6
7. Dionysus Collin (2) J: C Y Ho (56kg) T: K W Lui
76.56.56.56.3
8. Donc Je Suis (7) J: B Shinn (55kg) T: D A Hayes
1011101211
9. Bullish Glory (8) J: M F Poon (53.5kg) T: C W Chang
3541343435
10. Kungfumaster Panda (1) J: V Borges (53.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan
1012121212
11. Perfect To Play (10) J: T Piccone (53.5kg) T: C Fownes
2121262121
12. Smart Cousin (4) J: Z Purton (53.5kg) T: C H Yip
3.83.943.93.9
13. Thunder Stomp (13) J: (53.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
14. Cheerful Star (14) J: (52.5kg) T: F C Lor

Odds Last Updated: March 4, 2021, 10:36am (AEDT)

0

Race 5

Matheson Hcp (C4) (1200m)
11:45pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Matheson Hcp (C4) (1200m)
11:45pm (AEDT)

1. Sprint Forward (6) J: Jerry Chau (60.5kg) T: D A Hayes
2. Shining On (8) J: C Y Ho (59.5kg) T: K W Lui
3. Ruby Stars (12) J: Alex Lai (59kg) T: K L Man
4. Superb Daddy (4) J: A Badel (58kg) T: D Ferraris
5. Hurry Hurry Gain (9) J: Z Purton (57.5kg) T: F C Lor
6. Allez (2) J: B Shinn (57kg) T: C Fownes
7. Street Scream (5) J: M F Poon (56.5kg) T: D J Hall
8. King's Trooper (1) J: R Maia (56kg) T: P Yiu
9. Happy Ruby (11) J: V Borges (54.5kg) T: A T Millard
10. Bond A Star (3) J: H N Wong (54kg) T: C H Yip
11. Majestic Conqueror (10) J: K Teetan (52.5kg) T: T P Yung
12. Fortune Hero (7) J: M Chadwick (52kg) T: Richard Gibson
13. Pichu (13) J: (56kg) T: K H Ting
14. Valiant Elegance (14) J: (52kg) T: D Whyte

Odds Last Updated: March 4, 2021, 10:36am (AEDT)

0

Race 6

Matheson Hcp (C4) (1200m)
12:15am (AEDT)

Race 6

Matheson Hcp (C4) (1200m)
12:15am (AEDT)

1. Ever Force (1) J: Z Purton (60.5kg) T: C S Shum
2.252.352.352.42.25
2. Cheeky Prawn (2) J: K Teetan (57.5kg) T: J J Size
1313141412.8
3. Figures Two (10) J: R Maia (57.5kg) T: A T Millard
6791919187
4. Spontaneous (6) J: V Borges (57.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan
5554.85
5. The Mint (8) J: A Badel (57.5kg) T: K H Ting
3126262625.5
6. Sea Elite (5) J: Jerry Chau (56.5kg) T: D Whyte
87.5677.3
7. Maximize Heart (3) J: A Hamelin (56kg) T: C H Yip
1617151516.2
8. E Honey (12) J: A K Chan (56kg) T: C Fownes
2726212125
9. Gracylove (11) J: B Shinn (56kg) T: D J Hall
1513141512.8
10. Sky Champion (7) J: H N Wong (54.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
8171818177
11. Split Of A Second (9) J: M F Poon (54.5kg) T: W Y So
1716161616
12. Supreme Plus (4) J: C Y Ho (54kg) T: F C Lor
98.58.588.5
13. Joyful Moments (13) J: (53kg) T: C W Chang
14. Carry The Diamond (14) J: (52.5kg) T: Richard Gibson

Odds Last Updated: March 4, 2021, 10:36am (AEDT)

0

Race 7

Canal Hcp (C3) (1650m)
12:45am (AEDT)

Race 7

Canal Hcp (C3) (1650m)
12:45am (AEDT)

1. Yo Beauty (12) J: V Borges (60.5kg) T: A S Cruz
2. Indicative Vote (8) J: B Shinn (59.5kg) T: K W Lui
3. Parterre (3) J: A Hamelin (59.5kg) T: A T Millard
4. King Opie (4) J: T Piccone (59kg) T: F C Lor
5. Royal Bomb (1) J: C Y Ho (59kg) T: C Fownes
6. Turin Redstar (7) J: M F Poon (56.5kg) T: C H Yip
7. Harmony Spirit (6) J: Jerry Chau (55.5kg) T: D Whyte
8. Wealthy Delight (5) J: Z Purton (55kg) T: J J Size
9. Smoothies (2) J: K Teetan (53.5kg) T: C S Shum
10. Villa Fionn (10) J: R Maia (53.5kg) T: P Yiu
11. Hardly Swears (9) J: M L Yeung (52.5kg) T: K H Ting
12. Exceptional Nice (11) J: A Badel (51.5kg) T: W Y So
13. Casimiro (13) J: (54.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan
14. Ming Warrior (14) J: (51.5kg) T: D Ferraris

Odds Last Updated: March 4, 2021, 10:36am (AEDT)

This looks a race in two between (5) Royal Bomb and (8) Wealthy Delight.

These two met last start and neither really had things go their way. Royal Bomb took up the lead but then Wealthy Delight made a mid-race move and chopped him in half as he crossed down to the rail. Wealthy Delight ended up running 2nd, while Royal Bomb had excuses in 4th.

Royal Bomb comes up with barrier 1 tonight which is a big advantage for him, but Wealthy Delight gets Purton on board for John Size and also draws well in barrier 5. I think from that good draw, Wealthy Delight can settle where comfortable and won’t have to rush forward like he did last start. If they’re both set to fight it out at the top of the straight, I’d be backing Wealthy Delight to prove the superior horse.

Tip: (8) Wealthy Delight $2.50 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 2.5 units WIN Wealthy Delight

0

Race 8

Bowrington Hcp (C3) (1200m)
1:15am (AEDT)

Race 8

Bowrington Hcp (C3) (1200m)
1:15am (AEDT)

1. Inner Flame (7) J: Jerry Chau (60.5kg) T: D Whyte
4.44.54.64.64.45
2. Royal Agility (3) J: T Piccone (60.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
8181818179
3. Joyful Union (10) J: R Maia (59kg) T: T P Yung
2726262625.5
4. Wind N Grass (2) J: Z Purton (57kg) T: J J Size
3.132.933
5. Sunshine Supreme (8) J: A Badel (56kg) T: Richard Gibson
9.511111110.6
6. Triple Triple (12) J: M F Poon (56kg) T: F C Lor
99.58.58.58.9
7. Most Welcome (4) J: V Borges (55kg) T: D A Hayes
1717171716.8
8. Swift Spirit (6) J: H N Wong (54.5kg) T: K H Ting
10110110110199
9. Winston's Lad (9) J: C Y Ho (54kg) T: K W Lui
2626262625.5
10. Excellent Chariot (5) J: M Chadwick (52kg) T: P Yiu
5.54.64.84.85
11. Jazz Steed (1) J: K Teetan (52kg) T: C Fownes
6.57776.9
12. Sunny Lad (11) J: M L Yeung (51.5kg) T: A S Cruz
6151616151

Odds Last Updated: March 4, 2021, 10:36am (AEDT)

0

Race 9

Canal Hcp (C3) (1650m)
1:50am (AEDT)

Race 9

Canal Hcp (C3) (1650m)
1:50am (AEDT)

1. Savaquin (10) J: Z Purton (60.5kg) T: J J Size
2.72.62.52.52.55
2. E Star (5) J: A Hamelin (60kg) T: K L Man
2026262624.5
3. Naboo Star (9) J: C Y Ho (58.5kg) T: D A Hayes
7.576.56.56.9
4. Sunny Star (4) J: A Badel (57.5kg) T: K W Lui
4.24.24.44.44.15
5. Heavenly Thought (11) J: M F Poon (57kg) T: F C Lor
3431343433
6. Gift Of Lifeline (2) J: R Maia (56.5kg) T: A T Millard
676.56.56.4
7. Turquoise Alpha (1) J: M L Yeung (56kg) T: P D O'sullivan
8181818179
8. Piano Solo (12) J: M Chadwick (54kg) T: C S Shum
8181818179
9. Surrealism (8) J: T Piccone (53.5kg) T: D Ferraris
2326262625
10. Total Power (6) J: H T Mo (53kg) T: D J Hall
4641515141
11. Nothing New (3) J: V Borges (52.5kg) T: C W Chang
2121191920
12. Farshad (7) J: K Teetan (52kg) T: Y S Tsui
6.57.56.56.56.9
13. Smiling City (13) J: Jerry Chau (55.5kg) T: D Whyte
14. Skyey Supreme (14) J: (53kg) T: K W Lui

Odds Last Updated: March 4, 2021, 10:36am (AEDT)

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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