Racing Tips

Happy Valley Racing Tips: Wednesday, March 3rd

Hong Kong racing continues at Happy Valley on Wednesday night and Tim Geers has highlighted four bets on the card.

by
Tim Geers
2 March 2021

Hong Kong racing continues at Happy Valley on Wednesday night and Tim Geers has highlighted four bets on the card.

He’s keen to get stuck in early, with bets coming up in Race 1, Race 2 and Race 3, before his best bet of the night goes around in Race 7.

Find his betting tips and analysis of those races below.

Best Bet: Race 7 – (8) Wealthy Delight

Race 1

Tin Lok Hcp (C5) (1650m)
9:45pm (AEDT)

Race 1 Tin Lok Hcp (C5) (1650m) 9:45pm (AEDT)
1. Baby Storm (9) J: A Hamelin (59kg) T: L Ho	15	14	13	13	13.4
2. All Best Friends (2) J: Alex Lai (58.5kg) T: K L Man	12	11	10	10	10.6
3. Tailor Made (3) J: C Y Ho (58.5kg) T: C Fownes	4	4	4.2	4.2	4.05
4. Can't Touch This (10) J: T Piccone (58kg) T: K H Ting	201	151	151	151	151
5. Humble Steed (11) J: A Badel (58kg) T: T P Yung	18	17	18	18	16.6
6. Big Bang Bong (1) J: H N Wong (57.5kg) T: C W Chang	14	16	17	17	15.4
7. Galaxy Racer (5) J: Z Purton (56kg) T: Richard Gibson	5	5	5	5	4.9
8. Lucky Turbo (12) J: R Maia (56kg) T: A S Cruz	81	91	101	101	87
9. Fairy Floss (8) J: B Shinn (55.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan	9	9	9	9	8.7
10. Happy Hour (6) J: M F Poon (55.5kg) T: C H Yip	9	8.5	8	8	8.2
11. Nitro Express (4) J: K Teetan (55.5kg) T: D Ferraris	5	4.8	5.5	5.5	5.3
12. Strapping Bauhinia (7) J: H T Mo (53.5kg) T: Y S Tsui	31	26	34	34	30
13. Speed Force (13) J: Jerry Chau (57.5kg) T: D Whyte
14. Virtus Star (14) J: (57.5kg) T: F C Lor

Odds Last Updated: March 4, 2021, 10:36am (AEDT)

Pretty keen to get stuck into an 18-start maiden to open the card here (seriously). (7) Galaxy Racer was huge in defeat last start, in fact he should have won. He travelled beautifully along the rails but when he needed luck at a crucial stage, he didn’t get any. Matthew Poon had to change course a few times in the straight but once he balanced up, he really hit the line well. Zac Purton goes on tonight in a big jockey change, he draws well in barrier 5 and he’s ready to win third up.

Tip: (7) Galaxy Racer $4.20 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Galaxy Racer

Race 2

Morrison Hill Hcp (C4) (1650m)
10:15pm (AEDT)

Race 2 Morrison Hill Hcp (C4) (1650m) 10:15pm (AEDT)
1. Blazing Beat (9) J: K Teetan (60.5kg) T: K H Ting	23	26	21	21	22.5
2. Lady First (7) J: Jerry Chau (58.5kg) T: A S Cruz	4.2	4.2	4.4	4.4	4.1
3. Owners' Star (8) J: Z Purton (57.5kg) T: C S Shum	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.4
4. Cosmo Classic (6) J: M L Yeung (57kg) T: D A Hayes	81	91	81	81	81
5. The Submarine (12) J: R Maia (56kg) T: Y S Tsui	101	151	151	151	141
6. Aerosonic (5) J: A Hamelin (55.5kg) T: J J Size	35	34	34	34	34
7. Nunchuks (1) J: C Y Ho (55.5kg) T: C Fownes	2.8	2.9	3	3	2.85
8. Lucky Missile (2) J: M F Poon (55kg) T: D J Hall	12	12	11	11	11.4
9. Savvy Kingman (10) J: B Shinn (55kg) T: F C Lor	14	15	15	15	14.6
10. Run Run Good (3) J: M Chadwick (53.5kg) T: K L Man	61	71	51	71	69
11. Gold 'N' Bold (11) J: V Borges (52.5kg) T: W Y So	15	15	14	14	14.8
12. Smiling Face (4) J: A Badel (52.5kg) T: D Whyte	7	7.5	7.5	7.5	7.2
13. Mister Arm (13) J: (55kg) T: Y S Tsui

Odds Last Updated: March 4, 2021, 10:36am (AEDT)

Barrier 1 over the 1650m is gold and that goes the way of (7) Nunchucks for Casper Fownes and Vincent Ho. He was beaten less than a length here last start, which was his first run back from a short freshen up. He gets the plum draw and he’s won second up tonight and it’s not often a meeting goes past where Fownes doesn’t train a winner. He should be very hard to beat.

Tip: (7) Nunchucks $2.90 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Nunchucks

Race 3

Matheson Hcp (C4) (1200m)
10:45pm (AEDT)

Race 3 Matheson Hcp (C4) (1200m) 10:45pm (AEDT)
1. Noir Rider (12) J: V Borges (60.5kg) T: T P Yung
2. Mercurial (7) J: Jerry Chau (59.5kg) T: A S Cruz
3. Wood On Fire (11) J: Z Purton (59.5kg) T: L Ho
4. Shadow Runner (2) J: B Shinn (59kg) T: P D O'sullivan
5. Sunny Baby (10) J: M L Yeung (56.5kg) T: D A Hayes
6. Universal Go Go (6) J: M F Poon (56kg) T: K W Lui
7. Dazzling Feeling (1) J: H N Wong (55kg) T: D Ferraris
8. Gallant Legacy (3) J: K Teetan (55kg) T: C W Chang
9. Young Victory (4) J: T Piccone (55kg) T: W Y So
10. Focus (8) J: R Maia (53kg) T: P Yiu
11. Mission Smart (5) J: C Y Ho (53kg) T: F C Lor
12. Lucky Puzzle (9) J: M Chadwick (51.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
13. Destine Jewellery (13) J: (53.5kg) T: J J Size
14. Sure Winner (14) J: (56.5kg) T: K L Man

Odds Last Updated: March 4, 2021, 10:36am (AEDT)

I had something small on (11) Mission Smart first up and I thought his run was terrific. In fact, I tweeted at the time that he was a good thing licked. he drew barrier 12, bombed the start by 3L and charged home to be beaten less than a length. Positive jockey change tonight with Vincent Ho going on and he gets a much better draw to go with it, so if he jumps cleanly, he should be very competitive.

Tip: (11) Mission Smart $5.00 TopSport

Race 4

Percival Hcp (C4) (1800m)
11:15pm (AEDT)

Race 4 Percival Hcp (C4) (1800m) 11:15pm (AEDT)
1. Dynamic Eagle (9) J: A Badel (60.5kg) T: C S Shum	11	11	11	11	11
2. Methane (5) J: K Teetan (58kg) T: D Ferraris	7.5	7	7.5	7.5	7.1
3. Red Elysees (12) J: A Hamelin (58kg) T: K L Man	11	11	10	10	10.6
4. Divine Unicorn (11) J: Jerry Chau (57.5kg) T: W Y So	13	11	10	10	10.8
5. Bright Vision (6) J: R Maia (57kg) T: P Yiu	27	31	34	34	30
6. California Levee (3) J: M Chadwick (56.5kg) T: A S Cruz	15	14	15	15	14.6
7. Dionysus Collin (2) J: C Y Ho (56kg) T: K W Lui	7	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.3
8. Donc Je Suis (7) J: B Shinn (55kg) T: D A Hayes	10	11	10	12	11
9. Bullish Glory (8) J: M F Poon (53.5kg) T: C W Chang	35	41	34	34	35
10. Kungfumaster Panda (1) J: V Borges (53.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan	10	12	12	12	12
11. Perfect To Play (10) J: T Piccone (53.5kg) T: C Fownes	21	21	26	21	21
12. Smart Cousin (4) J: Z Purton (53.5kg) T: C H Yip	3.8	3.9	4	3.9	3.9
13. Thunder Stomp (13) J: (53.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
14. Cheerful Star (14) J: (52.5kg) T: F C Lor

Odds Last Updated: March 4, 2021, 10:36am (AEDT)

Race 5

Matheson Hcp (C4) (1200m)
11:45pm (AEDT)

Race 5 Matheson Hcp (C4) (1200m) 11:45pm (AEDT)
1. Sprint Forward (6) J: Jerry Chau (60.5kg) T: D A Hayes
2. Shining On (8) J: C Y Ho (59.5kg) T: K W Lui
3. Ruby Stars (12) J: Alex Lai (59kg) T: K L Man
4. Superb Daddy (4) J: A Badel (58kg) T: D Ferraris
5. Hurry Hurry Gain (9) J: Z Purton (57.5kg) T: F C Lor
6. Allez (2) J: B Shinn (57kg) T: C Fownes
7. Street Scream (5) J: M F Poon (56.5kg) T: D J Hall
8. King's Trooper (1) J: R Maia (56kg) T: P Yiu
9. Happy Ruby (11) J: V Borges (54.5kg) T: A T Millard
10. Bond A Star (3) J: H N Wong (54kg) T: C H Yip
11. Majestic Conqueror (10) J: K Teetan (52.5kg) T: T P Yung
12. Fortune Hero (7) J: M Chadwick (52kg) T: Richard Gibson
13. Pichu (13) J: (56kg) T: K H Ting
14. Valiant Elegance (14) J: (52kg) T: D Whyte

Odds Last Updated: March 4, 2021, 10:36am (AEDT)

Race 6

Matheson Hcp (C4) (1200m)
12:15am (AEDT)

Race 6 Matheson Hcp (C4) (1200m) 12:15am (AEDT)
1. Ever Force (1) J: Z Purton (60.5kg) T: C S Shum	2.25	2.35	2.35	2.4	2.25
2. Cheeky Prawn (2) J: K Teetan (57.5kg) T: J J Size	13	13	14	14	12.8
3. Figures Two (10) J: R Maia (57.5kg) T: A T Millard	67	91	91	91	87
4. Spontaneous (6) J: V Borges (57.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan	5	5	5	4.8	5
5. The Mint (8) J: A Badel (57.5kg) T: K H Ting	31	26	26	26	25.5
6. Sea Elite (5) J: Jerry Chau (56.5kg) T: D Whyte	8	7.5	6	7	7.3
7. Maximize Heart (3) J: A Hamelin (56kg) T: C H Yip	16	17	15	15	16.2
8. E Honey (12) J: A K Chan (56kg) T: C Fownes	27	26	21	21	25
9. Gracylove (11) J: B Shinn (56kg) T: D J Hall	15	13	14	15	12.8
10. Sky Champion (7) J: H N Wong (54.5kg) T: Y S Tsui	81	71	81	81	77
11. Split Of A Second (9) J: M F Poon (54.5kg) T: W Y So	17	16	16	16	16
12. Supreme Plus (4) J: C Y Ho (54kg) T: F C Lor	9	8.5	8.5	8	8.5
13. Joyful Moments (13) J: (53kg) T: C W Chang
14. Carry The Diamond (14) J: (52.5kg) T: Richard Gibson

Odds Last Updated: March 4, 2021, 10:36am (AEDT)

Race 7

Canal Hcp (C3) (1650m)
12:45am (AEDT)

Race 7 Canal Hcp (C3) (1650m) 12:45am (AEDT)
1. Yo Beauty (12) J: V Borges (60.5kg) T: A S Cruz
2. Indicative Vote (8) J: B Shinn (59.5kg) T: K W Lui
3. Parterre (3) J: A Hamelin (59.5kg) T: A T Millard
4. King Opie (4) J: T Piccone (59kg) T: F C Lor
5. Royal Bomb (1) J: C Y Ho (59kg) T: C Fownes
6. Turin Redstar (7) J: M F Poon (56.5kg) T: C H Yip
7. Harmony Spirit (6) J: Jerry Chau (55.5kg) T: D Whyte
8. Wealthy Delight (5) J: Z Purton (55kg) T: J J Size
9. Smoothies (2) J: K Teetan (53.5kg) T: C S Shum
10. Villa Fionn (10) J: R Maia (53.5kg) T: P Yiu
11. Hardly Swears (9) J: M L Yeung (52.5kg) T: K H Ting
12. Exceptional Nice (11) J: A Badel (51.5kg) T: W Y So
13. Casimiro (13) J: (54.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan
14. Ming Warrior (14) J: (51.5kg) T: D Ferraris

Odds Last Updated: March 4, 2021, 10:36am (AEDT)

This looks a race in two between (5) Royal Bomb and (8) Wealthy Delight.

These two met last start and neither really had things go their way. Royal Bomb took up the lead but then Wealthy Delight made a mid-race move and chopped him in half as he crossed down to the rail. Wealthy Delight ended up running 2nd, while Royal Bomb had excuses in 4th.

Royal Bomb comes up with barrier 1 tonight which is a big advantage for him, but Wealthy Delight gets Purton on board for John Size and also draws well in barrier 5. I think from that good draw, Wealthy Delight can settle where comfortable and won’t have to rush forward like he did last start. If they’re both set to fight it out at the top of the straight, I’d be backing Wealthy Delight to prove the superior horse.

Tip: (8) Wealthy Delight $2.50 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 2.5 units WIN Wealthy Delight

Race 8

Bowrington Hcp (C3) (1200m)
1:15am (AEDT)

Race 8 Bowrington Hcp (C3) (1200m) 1:15am (AEDT)
1. Inner Flame (7) J: Jerry Chau (60.5kg) T: D Whyte	4.4	4.5	4.6	4.6	4.45
2. Royal Agility (3) J: T Piccone (60.5kg) T: Y S Tsui	81	81	81	81	79
3. Joyful Union (10) J: R Maia (59kg) T: T P Yung	27	26	26	26	25.5
4. Wind N Grass (2) J: Z Purton (57kg) T: J J Size	3.1	3	2.9	3	3
5. Sunshine Supreme (8) J: A Badel (56kg) T: Richard Gibson	9.5	11	11	11	10.6
6. Triple Triple (12) J: M F Poon (56kg) T: F C Lor	9	9.5	8.5	8.5	8.9
7. Most Welcome (4) J: V Borges (55kg) T: D A Hayes	17	17	17	17	16.8
8. Swift Spirit (6) J: H N Wong (54.5kg) T: K H Ting	101	101	101	101	99
9. Winston's Lad (9) J: C Y Ho (54kg) T: K W Lui	26	26	26	26	25.5
10. Excellent Chariot (5) J: M Chadwick (52kg) T: P Yiu	5.5	4.6	4.8	4.8	5
11. Jazz Steed (1) J: K Teetan (52kg) T: C Fownes	6.5	7	7	7	6.9
12. Sunny Lad (11) J: M L Yeung (51.5kg) T: A S Cruz	61	51	61	61	51

Odds Last Updated: March 4, 2021, 10:36am (AEDT)

Race 9

Canal Hcp (C3) (1650m)
1:50am (AEDT)

Race 9 Canal Hcp (C3) (1650m) 1:50am (AEDT)
1. Savaquin (10) J: Z Purton (60.5kg) T: J J Size	2.7	2.6	2.5	2.5	2.55
2. E Star (5) J: A Hamelin (60kg) T: K L Man	20	26	26	26	24.5
3. Naboo Star (9) J: C Y Ho (58.5kg) T: D A Hayes	7.5	7	6.5	6.5	6.9
4. Sunny Star (4) J: A Badel (57.5kg) T: K W Lui	4.2	4.2	4.4	4.4	4.15
5. Heavenly Thought (11) J: M F Poon (57kg) T: F C Lor	34	31	34	34	33
6. Gift Of Lifeline (2) J: R Maia (56.5kg) T: A T Millard	6	7	6.5	6.5	6.4
7. Turquoise Alpha (1) J: M L Yeung (56kg) T: P D O'sullivan	81	81	81	81	79
8. Piano Solo (12) J: M Chadwick (54kg) T: C S Shum	81	81	81	81	79
9. Surrealism (8) J: T Piccone (53.5kg) T: D Ferraris	23	26	26	26	25
10. Total Power (6) J: H T Mo (53kg) T: D J Hall	46	41	51	51	41
11. Nothing New (3) J: V Borges (52.5kg) T: C W Chang	21	21	19	19	20
12. Farshad (7) J: K Teetan (52kg) T: Y S Tsui	6.5	7.5	6.5	6.5	6.9
13. Smiling City (13) J: Jerry Chau (55.5kg) T: D Whyte
14. Skyey Supreme (14) J: (53kg) T: K W Lui

Odds Last Updated: March 4, 2021, 10:36am (AEDT)

Tim Geers

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.