Connect with us

Feature Articles

Horses to follow: Saturday, July 10th

Tim Geers and Trent Crebbin list their horses to follow from Randwick, Caulfield and Belmont on Saturday.

HARPO-MARX

It was all about Jamie Kah on Saturday at Caulfield, as the superstar jockey became the first rider to claim 100 Victorian metro winners in a season, the milestone coming in Race 2 upon Deep Speed. In the feature, it was a case of #WestIsBest in the Group 3 Sir John Monash Stakes, with Red Can Man narrowly edging out favourite Malkovich.

At Randwick , muddy conditions suited leaders for the first eight races before the meeting was called off, making Harpo Marx’s win from last even more impressive as Tim Geers‘ best bet of the day. He thinks the horse can continued to be followed, whilst at Belmont, he’s labelled a ‘borderline moral’ next start. 

Get Trent Crebbin and Tim Geers‘ horses to follow from Caulfield, Randwick and Belmont below.

PlayUp

Caulfield

HORSES TO FOLLOW

Jumbo Ozaki (Caulfield R9)– Was the obviously unlucky runner and probably should’ve won when held up and through the worse ground nearer the inside. His first up run off a long break was also very encouraging and although the market won’t miss him next start, he’s bursting to win.

Grinzinger Allee (Caulfield R9)– Just got too far back first up over 1400m and was left with too much to do. His 400-200m split was the fastest of the race before just peaking on his run. That’s a good recipe to follow a horse next start, and the market support was encouraging.

HORSES TO SACK

Hai Sun (Caulfield R4)– Maybe a bit harsh for a horse of 5 starts, but I think the race she won two back was legless and she had every possible chance here and wasn’t up to them. Back to midweek grade she could be found, but I don’t think that was a particularly strong race either and once the better filly’s start coming back she’ll really struggle 

Chief Altony* (Caulfield R7)– I think he might need a wet track to perform in Saturday grade. Had the same task as the winner and just battled to the line on the good 4. With the right placement he can win again, but I’d be wary of him when the forecast looks good.

Think ‘n’ Fly (Caulfield R7)– Just a very disappointing run after being backed and getting every chance. 3rd up is generally when he peaks but he went backwards on Saturday and that’s enough for me to be rid of him.

Randwick

HORSES TO FOLLOW

Harpo Marx (Randwick R5) – Was clearly the win of the day at Randwick (God bless him), coming from last to storm home over the top of his rivals. While track bias isn’t as much of a thing in staying races, he did what no other horse could do on the day. Only going to improve up in distance again and can be followed with confidence.

Monte (Randwick R5) – Made good improvement behind Harpo Marx on the weekend and he’s really going to flourish when getting out to 2400m. The French import won over 2100m and twice over 2400m back in France, so his run on the weekend over 2000m was very encouraging, especially given it was only his second start here and he was stepping up from 1500m.

HORSES TO SACK

De Grawin (Randwick R4) – They threw everything at this horse on the weekend with blinkers going on third up on wet ground, and seemingly had no excuses for the defeat. Happy to continue to oppose.

Belmont

HORSES TO FOLLOW

Searchin’ Roc’s (Belmont R5) – Really like this Awesome Rock filly from the David Harrison yard. She ra the best 5th you’ll ever see on debut and has followed that up with consecutive wins. What I like is that she’s shown versatility – her win two starts ago was when she was able to build momentum from the back of the field, but she had to sit, take a split and sprint on Saturday, which she did well.

Nobel Laurence (Belmont R6) – Had his first start for a new stable on the weekend and he made a super return, finishing off well over 1200m to run 2nd to the very smart Secret Plan. He ran well first up over that distance last prep before bolting in over 1400m second up. He’s a borderline moral in a 1400m race next start.

HORSES TO SACK

Vranyo (Belmont R1) – Continues to start short in betting and continues to come up short. I’m sure there will be a race for her somewhere but if she keeps starting short in town, I’ll keep opposing her. Now been beaten at $2.05, $3.40 and $2.90 her past three starts.

Fiery Water (Belmont R3) – Similar to Vranyo, keeps starting well in the market and keeps getting beat. Since than a weak Westspeed Platinum win five starts ago, has been beaten at $3.50m $5.50, $8.50 (big drifter) and $5.50.

RacingBet provides free horse racing content for Australian and International race meetings. Our expert team of analysts have a proven history of profit and provide analysis and betting tips on RacingBet daily.

Advertisement WinnersBet
Advertisement
Advertisement
Advertisement BetDeluxe

More in Feature Articles