Finals day at Flemington saw Mongolian Marshall cause a boilover in the Winter Championship Final with a Betfair starting price of $69, leaving Dice Roll backers on the floor. Punters saw the Victorian Sprint Series Final a bit better, with The Astrologist holding off Trent Crebbin’s top selection Banquo (🤮) to record back-to-back wins.
In Sydney, there was very little to talk about from the first of the newly-introduced 10-race cards at Rosehill. However, there are a couple of horses from the meeting that are nominated to race again this week, and Tim Geers thinks both will be very good winning chances.
HORSES TO FOLLOW
Regulus (R1) – Loomed up to win the race and probably got a bit lost on debut. His 600-400m split was the fastest of the race but he just battled a bit late. I think he’ll be better suited over further in time and can win next start.
Royalzel (R4) – If he keeps racing against this average bunch, he’ll keep winning, easily. Very strong win and looks a horse with plenty of upside. My only query is he’s now 5 runs in his first prep and might be headed for a spell before potentially trying to target some early 3yo races.
Furrion (R6) – Was keen to follow him from his first up run and he’s gone very well again, settling closer and only run down late. Up to 1800m next start would be ideal and he doesn’t have any SP anchors. The horse I’m most keen to follow from the meeting – he can win a good race this prep around that 2000m range.
HORSES TO SACK
Aidensfield (R5) – Had every chance here and whilst she didn’t run badly, she was beaten nearly 3L. Her first up run was similar and she might not get back to her guineas prelude form.
Odeon (R6) – Just doesn’t win enough to keep going around single figures. Had his chance again and was plain. If Kah keeps riding him, he’ll especially keep going around under the odds.
Mongolian Marshall storms home over the top to win the Winter Championship Final at Flemington at a whopping Betfair SP of $69 🤒
Dice Roll not as effective today after having to lead.
— RacingBet (@RacingBetAU) July 3, 2021
HORSES TO FOLLOW
Ibaraki (R4) – The Hawkes-trained galloper trialled well leading into his debut, which he won at $1.50. Then stepped straight up from maiden grade to a BM72 on the weekend and finished off very well from back and wide, when it looked to be favouring those on the inside. Looks very progressive and is one we can follow with confidence.
Wander (R5) – Ran home really well first up as expected, running 3rd as our best value bet. He was held up early in the straight as well, which didn’t help (he wouldn’t have won even if he did get clear earlier). He always goes well first up and also on wet ground, and he does have two wins from four starts when second up. If he can find a similar race next start and draw better, he can win.
Harpo Marx (R9) – I said he’d improve sharply second up and he did, but I also said we might be going off one run early as he tends to peak third up. He ran home in the fastest final 400m and 200m of the race and he’s nominated for a race over 2000m this weekend, where he will be third up on the quick back up. Looks a perfect set up!
Berdibek (R9) – Another one out of that race was Berdibek, who carried top weight of 66kg. He ran home in the second-fastest final 200m which was a good effort and he now lines up in Thursday’s Grafton Cup with 54kg. Five-day back-up, big drop in weight and I think the horse is going absolutely super. He’s a $6.00 chance and is very worthy of a bet in that race.
Lackeen holds on for 2nd after leading the entire 💪 pic.twitter.com/4zUzoD6Aip
— SKY Racing (@SkyRacingAU) July 3, 2021
HORSES TO SACK
Cognac (R8) – The European import did very little in his first two starts on Australian soil before being sent for a spell, and his effort on the weekend wasn’t much more encouraging. He finished last and given he’d been given a good hitout at the trials leading in, as well as having the blinkers applied, they pretty well threw everything at him to show some spark fresh. Might well come good with time but not until he shows anything.
Mollycoddle (R8) – Mollycoddle wasn’t much better than Cognac in the same race. Was backed in to start $5 but ran second last. Her past three starts after her first up win at Canterbury have all been ordinary. Was happy to bin her before the weekend and even happier to now.