Racing Tips

Randwick-Kensington Racing Tips: Wednesday, September 15th

Billy Bestford previews every race today, with his best bet coming up in race 5.

by
Billy Bestford
14 September 2021

Racing returns to Randwick-Kensington this Wednesday and we’ve once again got you covered with our comprehensive free racing tips.

The track is currently rated a Soft 6 and the rail is out 5m the entire circuit.

We have 7 races on the card and Billy Bestford has his best bet coming up in Race 5

Find his full preview, tips and best bets below!

Race 1

Vinery Mdn Hcp (1400m)
1:25pm (AEDT)

Race 1 Vinery Mdn Hcp (1400m) 1:25pm (AEDT)
1. Antonio Giovanni (8) J: James Mcdonald (58kg) T: C J Waller	3.3	3.3	3.3	3.2	3.55	3.3
2. Moridan (6) J: Jason Collett (58kg) T: A J Cummings	7.5	7.5	8	8	7.1	7.5
3. Vyner (5) J: Joshua Parr (58kg) T: Mark Newnham	6	6	6.5	6	6.1	6
4. Mokulua (2) J: Nash Rawiller (57.5kg) T: C E Conners
5. Clyde (4) J: Tom Sherry (56kg) T: G Portelli
6. Willowy (9) J: Hugh Bowman (56kg) T: James Cummings	4.8	4.6	4.6	4.8	4.85	4.6
7. You Are Persistent (3) J: Glen Boss (56kg) T: C J Waller	17	16	19	21	17.4	17
8. Brave Boy (7) J: Jay Ford (55.5kg) T: Brad Widdup	35	34	34	41	40	41
9. Otelo (10) J: Sam Clipperton (55.5kg) T: David Payne	4.6	4.6	4.6	4.6	4.25	4.6
10. Mikasa (1) J: Ms Rachel King (54.5kg) T: John Thompson	14	14	15	14	13.8	14

Odds Last Updated: September 15, 2021, 1:26pm (AEDT)

Reasonably open race to start the day but (1) Antonio Giovanni has looked the part in a few trials and finally makes his debut today. Mcdonald goes straight on here and we know the incredible strike rate that Waller and himself have recently. I think at the price currently he looks a bet and might go on to win a few good races.

(4) Mokula will have race fitness on her side and looks ready to win now 3rd up from a spell. She flew home behind the smart Profondo two weeks ago and that form might end up being very strong.

(9) Otelo is another who looks close to breaking through today following multiple placings this prep. Rise to 1400 will suit.

Tip: (1) Antonio Giovanni - $6.00 at TopSport

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Antonio Giovanni

Race 2

1St Magna Grecia Foals Mdn (1100m)
2:00pm (AEDT)

Race 2 1St Magna Grecia Foals Mdn (1100m) 2:00pm (AEDT)
1. Air Command (3) J: Jean Van Overmeire (57kg) T: A J Cummings	21	21	20	21	23	21
2. Gracilistyla (11) J: Hugh Bowman (57kg) T: C J Waller	7	7	7	7	6.3	7
3. Mandalong Cash (5) J: Brock Ryan (57kg) T: G R Nickson	13	14	13	14	13.6	13
4. Riviera Blue (10) J: Joshua Parr (57kg) T: G K White	16	15	15	16	16	15
5. The Poacher (9) J: Jay Ford (57kg) T: Brad Widdup	4.8	5	5	4.8	5.1	5
6. Facetime (7) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (55kg) T: G R Nickson	71	81	101	151	101	81
7. I Am Brazen (8) J: Ms Rachel King (55kg) T: John Thompson	5	5	5	5	5.4	5.5
8. Lady Fraulein (4) J: Robbie Dolan (55kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace	11	10	10	10	10.8	9.5
9. Lady Medaglia (6) J: Sam Clipperton (55kg) T: J G Sargent	19	19	19	21	20	19
10. Lady Piaf (2) J: James Mcdonald (55kg) T: C J Waller
11. Lovin' Feelin' (12) J: Tim Clark (55kg) T: J G Sargent	15	15	15	16	14	15
12. Mayrose (1) J: Jason Collett (55kg) T: J G Sargent	4	4	4	4.2	3.95	3.9

Odds Last Updated: September 15, 2021, 2:01pm (AEDT)

(7) I Am Brazen was absolutely smashed in the market on debut following some handy lead up work. She didn’t finish off well enough there and I think it could be worth forgiving there due to the wet conditions. She’ll be better for that experience and won’t be a maiden for too long.

(12) Mayrose has been unlucly in both starts so far, arguably should have won at least one of those. She should go forward from barrier 1 here and take luck out of the equation, will be hard to beat.

Tip: (7) I Am Brazen - $6.00 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN I Am Brazen

Race 3

Buy @ Irish Sales Online-Bm72 (1800m)
2:35pm (AEDT)

Race 3 Buy @ Irish Sales Online-Bm72 (1800m) 2:35pm (AEDT)
1. California Longbow (4) J: Tom Sherry (61kg) T: P & P Snowden	6.5	6.5	5.5	6.5	5.5	7
2. Amoretti (5) J: Ms Ellen Hennessy (60kg) T: G Portelli	19	19	19	21	20	19
3. Dream Runner (7) J: Hugh Bowman (59kg) T: K R Dryden	5	5	4.8	5	5.1	4.8
4. Shibli (9) J: Tim Clark (57kg) T: C J Waller
5. Dinado (6) J: Joshua Parr (56kg) T: R & M Freedman	8	8	9	8.5	8.6	8.5
6. Khaalis (3) J: James Mcdonald (55kg) T: C J Waller	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.4	3.2
7. Conegliano (8) J: Brock Ryan (54kg) T: Annabel Neasham
8. Narrated (1) J: Ms Rachel King (54kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace	6	5.5	5	6	5.5	5.5
9. Chateaux Park (2) J: Robbie Dolan (54kg) T: J C Coyle	6	6	6.5	6	6	6

Odds Last Updated: September 15, 2021, 2:36pm (AEDT)

Another very tough race here but (4) Shibli goes on top for me. The quick backup tells me he’s pulled up fine from last week’s decent performance behind a smart one and should be ready to win now. 1800m should suit and should find a nice back to follow from barrier 9.

(7) Conegliano has a bit of X Factor about him, winning his last two starts. The most recent of those was full of merit, coming up the inside where it was inferior ground on the day. Gets in very light after the claim for Brock Ryan and fill a hole.

(3) Dream Runner is one of the few horses here who’s proven over this trip and I don’t mind him dropping back from 2400m. That was a stronger race than this and he continues to run well this prep.

With the scratching of our top two picks, Dream Runner goes on top but it’s now a no bet race.

Tip: (3) Dream Runner - $5.50 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: No Bet

Race 4

Admire Mars @ Arrowfield-Bm72 (1550m)
3:10pm (AEDT)

Race 4 Admire Mars @ Arrowfield-Bm72 (1550m) 3:10pm (AEDT)
1. Come Along (7) J: Joshua Parr (60kg) T: J G Sargent	10	10	11	10	9.4	10
2. Balansa (5) J: Andrew Adkins (58kg) T: K R Dryden	26	21	21	21	23.5	23
3. Jojo Was A Man (8) J: Hugh Bowman (57.5kg) T: John Thompson
4. Mightybeel (9) J: Tim Clark (57.5kg) T: C J Waller
5. Head Of State (10) J: James Mcdonald (56kg) T: C J Waller	4.5	4.4	4.6	4.8	4.25	4.4
6. Ita (3) J: Jason Collett (56kg) T: Bjorn Baker	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.6	2.5
7. Crazy Train (4) J: Sam Clipperton (55.5kg) T: M J Dunn	3.6	3.6	3.6	3.6	3.65	3.6
8. Segrill (6) J: Brock Ryan (55kg) T: C E Conners	26	26	31	31	29	26
9. Buba (2) J: Robbie Dolan (54kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
10. Salsonic (1) J: Tom Sherry (54kg) T: J C Coyle	10	10	10	10	9.4	10

Odds Last Updated: September 15, 2021, 3:11pm (AEDT)

(3) Jojo Was A Man has been a bit costly in his short career so far but I thought his last start run here was full of merit. Made a heap of ground late on and was doing his best work the further they went. The rise in trip here looks ideal and I’m happy to see Bowman has stuck again for the ride. Small field today should help his chances as well.

Can’t knock the form of (6) Ita who has really hit her straps for Bjorn Baker this prep. She’s strung two good wins together now and deserves a crack in this grade.

(7) Crazy Train was an easy winner last start following a little freshen up. He can once again measure up today.

With the scratching of Jojo Was A Man, Crazy Train goes on top in a no bet race.

Tip: (7) Crazy Train - $3.40 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: No Bet

Race 5

Tab (Bm72) (1300m)
3:45pm (AEDT)

Race 5 Tab (Bm72) (1300m) 3:45pm (AEDT)
1. Express Princess (1) J: Brock Ryan (62.5kg) T: R & M Freedman
2. Splendiferous (2) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (61kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott	12	11	11	11	11.2	11
3. Eight Diamonds (8) J: James Mcdonald (60.5kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes	5	5	5.5	5	5	5
4. Calgary Queen (3) J: Jason Collett (60kg) T: Brad Widdup	5.5	5.5	6	5.5	5.3	5.5
5. French Bonnet (5) J: Jay Ford (59.5kg) T: Ms K Waugh	10	10	10	10	10.2	10
6. Promise Of Success (9) J: Hugh Bowman (58kg) T: J A O'shea	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.6	2.6	2.5
7. Rathvilly Miss (7) J: Ms Rachel King (57kg) T: G D Hickman	11	11	9.5	10	10.6	10
8. Found Our Thrill (6) J: Tim Clark (55.5kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott	9.5	9	8.5	10	9.1	8.5
9. Elusive Jewel (4) J: Andrew Adkins (54.5kg) T: John Thompson	41	41	41	51	39	41

Odds Last Updated: September 15, 2021, 3:46pm (AEDT)

(6) Promise Of Success is another who’s been costly to punters but you could argue she’s been very unlucky in a few of those starts. Her pattern doesn’t help but she has plenty of upside and I think the freshen up will have done her a world of good and should be ready to fire first up here. Thinking the wide draw will be of benefit and in the small field she shouldn’t find herself too far off the leaders. Hoping the track plays pretty fair and she’ll be strongest late.

While I’m pretty confident Promise Of Success will be winning, (7) Rathvilly Miss looks a great value chance. Is a pretty bombproof horse in these midweek bm72s. She keeps defying her market price and looks ready for a big performance 3rd up.

Nothing wrong with the first up win of (4) Calgary Queen who looks to have come back in terrific order. Loves racing here and has been a winner 2nd up before. Handles all conditions and just knows how to win.

(3) Eight Diamonds has been well fancied in tougher races than this lately. Jmac jumps on here and she can regain some form back in this grade.

Tip: (6) Promise Of Success - $2.80 at Bet365

Value: (7) Rathvilly Miss - $12 at TAB

Betting Strategy: 2u WIN Promise Of Success, 0.5u WIN Rathvilly Miss

Race 6

Earthlight @ Darley (Bm72) (1150m)
4:20pm (AEDT)

Race 6 Earthlight @ Darley (Bm72) (1150m) 4:20pm (AEDT)
1. I Say Hello (7) J: Hugh Bowman (60.5kg) T: K A Lees	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.9	6.5
2. Kosciusko (11) J: Jean Van Overmeire (59.5kg) T: J & G Lee	31	26	31	31	32	34
3. Superior Witness (10) J: Jay Ford (59kg) T: Luke A Thomas	21	21	26	21	23.5	23
4. Coolotta (5) J: Brock Ryan (58.5kg) T: G W Murray	41	51	51	61	57	51
5. Torun (13) J: Regan Bayliss (58kg) T: Joseph Pride	5.5	5.5	4.8	5	5.3	5.5
6. Juan Diva (6) J: Joshua Parr (57.5kg) T: R & M Freedman
7. Longbottom (14) J: Tim Clark (57.5kg) T: K A Lees	18	18	18	18	19.2	19
8. Escape Artist (9) J: Ms Rachel King (56.5kg) T: Mark Newnham
9. Overmann (8) J: James Mcdonald (56.5kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes	3.9	3.9	4	4	3.75	4
10. Oh Please Dianna (3) J: Nash Rawiller (56kg) T: Annabel Neasham	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5
11. A Very Fine Red (12) J: Tom Sherry (55.5kg) T: Mark Newnham	6.5	6	5.5	6.5	6	5.5
12. Kalino (4) J: Jason Collett (55kg) T: C J Waller	8.5	9	9	9.5	8.7	9
13. Cassy's Sister (1) J: Unknown (55.5kg) T: Troy O'neile
14. Kattegat (2) J: Unknown (57kg) T: Natalie Jarvis

Odds Last Updated: September 15, 2021, 4:21pm (AEDT)

Thinking (11) A Very Fine Red looks a good winning chance here. Found the line pretty well first up on a heavy track here, which I don’t think she fully enjoyed. Should get more suitable conditions today and they take the blinkers off.

(9) Overmann is a classy 3yo who finished last prep tackling the G1 JJ Atkins. He was outclassed there but he proved himself as a top class horse and if he’s taken any improvement into this season, he’ll be winning a few. Not sure if he’ll be sharp enough for some of these over 1150m though.

(1) I Say Hello flies fresh and has trialled well for her return. She’s only missed the trifecta once in six starts.

(6) Juan Diva is talented and her best is definetely good enough here. Was unlucky not to win a similar race to this first up last prep and maps for a nice run.

Tip: (11) A Very Fine Red - $6.50 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN A Very Fine Red

Race 7

Heineken (Bm72) (1400m)
4:55pm (AEDT)

Race 7 Heineken (Bm72) (1400m) 4:55pm (AEDT)
1. Darleb (6) J: Regan Bayliss (60.5kg) T: K A Lees	15	15	15	14	16.2	17
2. Ashim (8) J: Tom Sherry (60kg) T: Matthew Smith	14	14	14	14	13.6	15
3. Promotions (4) J: Ms Rachel King (60kg) T: James Cummings	6	5.5	5	5	5	5.5
4. The Grinder (7) J: Brock Ryan (60kg) T: C J Waller	8	8	6	8	8.1	8
5. Escaped (14) J: Nash Rawiller (58.5kg) T: J C Deamer	9	9	9	8.5	9.1	9
6. Secretly Awesome (11) J: Joshua Parr (58.5kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou	20	21	20	21	19.8	23
7. Super Contender (13) J: James Mcdonald (58.5kg) T: C J Waller	4.5	4.5	4.4	4.6	4.35	4.4
8. Buzz (1) J: James Innes Jnr (57kg) T: Craig Carmody
9. Sequana (10) J: Hugh Bowman (56kg) T: K A Lees	5	5	4.6	5.5	5.6	5
10. Obvious Step (3) J: Sam Clipperton (55.5kg) T: David Payne	13	14	14	14	14.2	14
11. Bluff 'N' Bluster (2) J: Jason Collett (56kg) T: J C Coyle	8.5	8.5	7	8	8.3	8.5
12. Anotherthinkcomin' (12) J: Tim Clark (56kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
13. Ladies' Gem (9) J: Glen Boss (55.5kg) T: J & G Lee
14. Eden Vale (5) J: Jay Ford (54kg) T: Mark De Montfort

Odds Last Updated: September 15, 2021, 4:56pm (AEDT)

Another tough race to finish the day. Will put (11) Bluff ‘n’ Bluster on top with little confidence. He was very good last start behind Brookspire here three weeks ago and he runs a strong 1400m. Hoping he can go one better today.

(9) Sequana looks another strong chance following two improving runs this prep. Ready for 1400 now and Bowman should be able to follow something into the race and let down late.

(7) Super Contender was probably a big beneficiary of the on-speed bias here last time out but Jmac sticks, he is proven in this grade and will take improvement out of the first up performance.

If (5) Escaped can find the front without too much trouble he’ll be in the finish as well. Back onto dry should suit.

Could easily have still missed the winner.

Tip: (11) Bluff 'n' Bluster - $13 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: No Bet

Billy Bestford

Billy has been an avid racing fan ever since he and a few mates started a punters club once they turned 18. Following the initial punters clubs, he was properly hooked after landing a nice collect on Admire Rakti in the 2014 Caulfield Cup and has had a soft spot for Japanese horses ever since. Is a massive fan of 'blinkers first time' and has been known to enjoy a 'Hail Mary' multi. Loves punting across metro Sydney and Melbourne every Saturday but isn't scared to venture West late in the day to find a Pikey special.