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Sandown Racing Tips: Wednesday, June 16th

Racing at Sandown Lakeside and Trent Crebbin has previewed every race below.

Sandown Racing Tips

Racing at Sandown Lakeside this Wednesday and Trent Crebbin is looking to keep the hot streak going, making a roughie his best bet of the day!

The track is rated a soft 7 and the rail is true.

Best Bet- Race 5 (14) Ready To Indulge

Best Value- Race 8 (4) Minyinga

0

Race 1

Clanbrooke Racing (Bm78) (2400m)
12:25pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Clanbrooke Racing (Bm78) (2400m)
12:25pm (AEDT)

1. Mr Joobs (4) J: Ben Allen (58kg) T: P Stokes
5.55.55.55.55.65.5
2. Marcolt (2) J: Ms Michelle Payne (56.5kg) T: Patrick Payne
2.12.122.222
3. Eco Warrior (7) J: Damian Lane (56kg) T: M Ellerton & S Zahra
6665.55.56
4. Token Spirit (5) J: Daniel Moor (55.5kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
3.83.83.83.83.853.8
5. Shilajit (3) J: Will Price (54kg) T: Dan O'sullivan
262631343131
6. Blazing Lace (1) J: Ms Alana Kelly (54kg) T: Dan O'sullivan
232634413826
7. Maradona (6) J: Damien Thornton (54kg) T: K L Corstens

Odds Last Updated: June 16, 2021, 12:27pm (AEDT)

Pretty weak race. A few of the horses are coming out of the Saturday 2000m races which I think are very weak. (2) Marcolt was heavily backed two starts ago when right down in the weights but was just fair last time and gets back up in the weights with Michelle Payne riding.

(1) Mr Joobs brings the different form and perhaps it is better, as we saw with Namakwa winning at Flemington off a synthetic bm58. He’ll have no problems with the 2400m whereas a few others haven’t been past 2000m.

(4) Token Spirit is going okay in those 3yo city races and is in the mix.

Tip: (1) Mr Joobs- $5.80 at Sportsbetting

Betting Strategy: No Bet

0

Race 2

Tile Importer Hcp (1300m)
1:00pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Tile Importer Hcp (1300m)
1:00pm (AEDT)

1. Douceur (6) J: Ms Michelle Payne (59kg) T: Patrick Payne
2.22.22.052.12.152
2. Messignadi (2) J: Harry Coffey (59kg) T: A R Coffey
1818182119.818
3. Crazy Ladies (9) J: Craig Newitt (58.5kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
9.59.59.51099.5
4. Gotta Pulse (8) J: Thomas Stockdale (58.5kg) T: Shane Stockdale
1718181719.219
5. Avangard (5) J: Jamie Mott (58kg) T: John Mcardle
232121212223
6. Kaveri (1) J: Damian Lane (58kg) T: M Ellerton & S Zahra
161615171316
7. Whatafox (3) J: Ms Jamie Kah (58kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
2.93332.952.8
8. Celtic Glory (4) J: Will Price (56.5kg) T: Dan O'sullivan
354141344741
9. Vancity (7) J: Daniel Moor (56.5kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
353434515141

Odds Last Updated: June 16, 2021, 1:01pm (AEDT)

(1) Douceur has been very well backed since markets opened off the back of a very good trial at Traralgon where she cruised to the line under a hold. Her debut was also very good, beating a subsequent winner, notably on a heavy track. My query is Michelle Payne and not Billy Egan riding, who did in the trial, so I think she’ll drift a bit from $2.30 given the jockey/trainer combo of the 2nd favourite.

I speak of (7) Whatafox who is from the Maher/Eustace stable and ridden by J Kah. She was rock solid on debut and looks suited up in trip, although 1000m to 1300m is a small query. Hoping the Kah/trainer combo keeps her short so we get a better price about Douceur.

(6) Kaveri can improve after getting back in the field on debut. Lane takes the ride from barrier 1.

Playing Douceur late on the exchange, doubt she gets much shorter than $2.40.

Tip: (1) Douceur- $2.40 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Douceur (BSP)

0

Race 3

Ladbrokes Hcp (C1) (1300m)
1:35pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Ladbrokes Hcp (C1) (1300m)
1:35pm (AEDT)

1. Highland Jakk (7) J: Jack Hill (60kg) T: Robert Hickmott
2. Crestani (5) J: Patrick Moloney (59kg) T: P G Carey
3.83.73.844.13.8
3. Amfissa (2) J: Damien Thornton (58kg) T: C J Waller
65.55.55.55.35.5
4. Ocean's Jen (1) J: Daniel Moor (57.5kg) T: D J Arnold
4.24.24.24.24.454
5. Always In Moment (9) J: Damian Lane (57kg) T: M C Kent
4.64.54.44.64.454.4
6. Avenue Of Pleasure (12) J: Michael Dee (57kg) T: G M Begg
1615151514.614
7. Scientific (11) J: Damien Oliver (57kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
1718202115.218
8. Worsfold (8) J: Ms Jamie Kah (57kg) T: Nick Smart
9. Hochadel (6) J: Ms Alexandra Bryan (56.5kg) T: Rhiannon Schiffer
353131343534
10. Our Little Ripper (4) J: Daniel Stackhouse (56.5kg) T: Ms L Tolson & Ms L Proctor
2320212119.819
11. Polina (10) J: Matthew Cartwright (56.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
12. La Croft (3) J: Brett Prebble (56kg) T: K L Corstens
8.598.5999

Odds Last Updated: June 16, 2021, 1:36pm (AEDT)

Tough race. (5) Always In Moment started $3.30 against Nikau Spur in a better race last start but pulled up with EIPH in a clear forgive when last. That was 8 weeks ago but he’s jumped out very stylishly at Cranbourne since. A wet track is a big query which is enough to scare me off.

(8) Worsfold destroyed his rivals on debut but struggled in two SA runs. He’s been spelled, gets Kah and blinkers on first time which is a scary proposition. How far back he gets on a wet track is the worry.

(4) Ocean’s Jen won well first up and could get a similar run here from barrier one. Don’t think a wet track will be an issue off breeding, and she wasn’t beaten all that far in a handy maiden on a soft track last prep.

Tip: (4) Ocean’s Jen- $5.10 at Sportsbetting

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Ocean’s Jen

0

Race 4

Ladbrokes Same Race Multi-Bm70 (1600m)
2:10pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Ladbrokes Same Race Multi-Bm70 (1600m)
2:10pm (AEDT)

1. Star Of Eden (9) J: Lewis German (60.5kg) T: M D Moroney
7.57.57.57.56.77.5
2. Succeed Indeed (4) J: Lachlan King (59.5kg) T: L & T Corstens
3. Montia (7) J: Matthew Cartwright (58.5kg) T: T Dabernig & B Hayes
7.57786.37
4. Spooning (1) J: Ms Jamie Kah (58kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
2.72.72.72.82.82.7
5. Cafe Rizu (3) J: Craig Newitt (57.5kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
1211121311.210
6. Miss Tainui (6) J: Will Price (56.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
665666
7. Merle The Pearl (5) J: Luke Currie (56kg) T: Charlotte Littlefield
1313141513.813
8. Seduce (8) J: Damian Lane (56kg) T: D T O'brien
1313141312.813
9. Haveyouzeena (2) J: Declan Bates (55.5kg) T: Charlotte Littlefield
2020202118.819
10. Promada (10) J: Michael Dee (55.5kg) T: A W Noonan
119111110.212
11. Rosenstrasse (12) J: Lachlan Neindorf (55.5kg) T: J F Moloney
676781817971
12. Cristofina (11) J: Ms Alana Kelly (55kg) T: Henry Dwyer

Odds Last Updated: June 16, 2021, 2:11pm (AEDT)

(4) Spooning was clearly the run of the race that most of the chances come out of. She was a touch slow away and wasn’t ridden with any intent from there on, settling last after leading in SA the start before. If she jumps as usual she should be much closer in the run and hard to beat.

(1) Star Of Eden won that race but had absolutely every favour and gets a trickier set up here from a wide gate and apprentice on.

(3) Montia gets the 3kg claim for Cartwright and was rock solid in 2nd sitting on speed there. She’s consistent and should run well again.

(7) Merle The Pearl creates some interest coming off a 5L $1.60 maiden synthetic win. Stepping up to the 1400m looked to suit, although she is now 4 weeks between runs onto a wet track.

Tip: (4) Spooning- $2.90 at Sportsbetting

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Spooning

0

Race 5

Ladbrokes Switch (Bm64) (1600m)
2:45pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Ladbrokes Switch (Bm64) (1600m)
2:45pm (AEDT)

1. Leale (3) J: Ms Alana Kelly (61.5kg) T: M C Kent
1111101011.211
2. Desert Realm (14) J: Thomas Stockdale (61kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
1919181717.819
3. Perennial (12) J: Will Price (61kg) T: P G Moody
4.243.94.23.853.9
4. Lindhout (9) J: Michael Dee (60kg) T: E Jusufovic
5. Livvy Lass (13) J: Damian Lane (60kg) T: M D Moroney
111110109.911
6. Mostly Sunny (5) J: Ms Madison Lloyd (59.5kg) T: P L Caboche
1211111111.612
7. Opoho Dreaming (6) J: Luke Currie (59kg) T: M D Moroney
2120202118.219
8. Pindi Pride (10) J: Lachlan Neindorf (59kg) T: P E Kramer
1515151516.215
9. Stratessa (2) J: Ben Allen (59kg) T: Henry Dwyer
1111111112.211
10. Elvaric (8) J: Patrick Moloney (58.5kg) T: Susie Wells
343434343734
11. Make Mine Hennessy (4) J: Lachlan King (58.5kg) T: Saab Hasan
12. She's A Karaka (11) J: Dean Yendall (58.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
9.59.59.598.79.5
13. Cicero Field (16) J: Damien Oliver (57.5kg) T: J Warren & D Krongold
7.57787.47
14. Ready To Indulge (1) J: Matthew Cartwright (57.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
7.576.57.56.97.5
15. Grazie Mille (7) J: Craig Newitt (56.5kg) T: A W Keenan
414151515351
16. Annalova (15) J: Ms Alexandra Bryan (54.5kg) T: I M Pankhurst
81126101101151151

Odds Last Updated: June 16, 2021, 2:46pm (AEDT)

(14) Ready To Indulge could be value here. Both runs this time in have been sound and she should be approaching peak fitness 3rd up. The run last start was good, and she does drop down to 54.5kg from barrier 1. She has a liking for wet ground and if the fence is racing well I think she’ll run well. Lunch Session, who finished just ahead of her last start, has since run very well in a bm70 at Swan Hill.

(11) Make Mine Hennessey wasn’t beaten too far in a strong race at Flemington behind Snickerdoodledandy and this is much easier. Up to 1600m looks to suit although she might prefer drier ground.

(4) Lindhout is a tricky one. I think she’s crying out for a senior rider, and gets Dee replacing Hefel here. She did plenty wrong last start and came very wide but has never seen a wet track and goes 1300m up to 1600m, drawing wide. Still has upside against these but seems very short.

(3) Perennial is pattern dependent. If they’re making ground out wide, she’ll be right in the game because she loves wet tracks and comes out of a strong race but she’ll get back in the field and might have too much to do.

Copped a few deductions with Ready To Indulge, who is into $9.50 which still looks acceptable.

Tip: (14) Ready To Indulge- $21.00/6.00 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 0.5/1 units E/W Ready To Indulge

0

Race 6

Ladbroke It (Bm78) (2100m)
3:20pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Ladbroke It (Bm78) (2100m)
3:20pm (AEDT)

1. Tavirun (11) J: Thomas Stockdale (62kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
2. Converging (5) J: Damian Lane (58kg) T: Matthew Cumani
1212111312.212
3. Duke Of Plumpton (8) J: Ms Tahlia Hope (58kg) T: Patrick Payne
8.58.5998.79.5
4. Tolemac (7) J: Will Price (57.5kg) T: F G Finnegan
2326212626.526
5. Jayrod Too (4) J: Ms Madison Lloyd (57kg) T: Julius Sandhu
6. Roland Garros (10) J: Matthew Cartwright (56.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
2121212120.523
7. Crimson Ace (14) J: Brett Prebble (56kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
7.57.57.588.27.5
8. Euroman (2) J: Lachlan King (55.5kg) T: Maddie Raymond
151126101151161151
9. Pissaro (3) J: Ms Alana Kelly (55.5kg) T: M C Kent
262631263534
10. Dirty Deeds (15) J: Ms Jamie Kah (55kg) T: M Ellerton & S Zahra
54.855.54.754.6
11. Smokin' Romans (6) J: Dean Yendall (55kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
2.152.152.12.122.1
12. Lofty Heights (1) J: Ms Madison Lloyd (54kg) T: Julius Sandhu
13. Epsom Days (9) J: Ms Alexandra Bryan (54kg) T: P G Carey
313434343534
14. Arcadia King (12) J: Ms Tatum Bull (54kg) T: P A Preusker
2726212126.531
15. Heartland Raider (13) J: Craig Newitt (54kg) T: C Gafa

Odds Last Updated: June 16, 2021, 3:21pm (AEDT)

(12) Lofty Heights fits the recent mould of horses getting right down in the weights on wet tracks, and able to settle on speed. He gets in with 51kg here 2nd up, where he’s run 2nd twice from 3 starts, and he is unbeaten on heavy tracks. 1500m to 2100m is an obvious query but barrier one looks good and he should lob in a nice spot.

(14) Arcadia King is never a horse I’ve thought has much talent, especially compared to his sister, but he’s another that gets in very light with 51kg and looks suited up in trip. Both runs this prep have been solid and he should’ve finished closer last start. This is much harder and I expect he’ll start even longer than $51.

(2) Converging failed last start behind Heart Of Puissance but was racing well prior. Back to 2100m is some query but she maps beautifully.

(11) Smokin’ Romans was ridden more negatively last start and that may have cost him behind Over The Sky. Steps up to 2100m, past a mile for the first time, but my main query is a wet track. His one run on a properly rain affected track was a failure and I’m happy to play around him.

Lofty Heights scratched which is a shame because I thought he was the best value of the day. Can’t really find an angle I’m keen on now, but if Smokin’ Romans stays under $3.00 I think he’s definitely layable.

Tip: (2) Converging- $12.00 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: No Bet

0

Race 7

Ladbrokes Easy Form (Bm70) (1400m)
3:55pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Ladbrokes Easy Form (Bm70) (1400m)
3:55pm (AEDT)

1. Kalashani Lad (8) J: Lewis German (63kg) T: T T Walsh
2. Redefine (16) J: Ms Alana Kelly (62kg) T: Ms R Frost
414161615161
3. Final Man (7) J: Daniel Stackhouse (61kg) T: N J Harnett
1414141414.214
4. Orleans Rock (12) J: Ben Melham (60.5kg) T: P A Preusker
76.56.576.76.5
5. Scantoon (14) J: Michael Dee (60.5kg) T: G M Begg
4.44.444.444.2
6. Love Broker (9) J: Damien Thornton (59.5kg) T: G Eurell
101010109.910
7. Mean Mister (6) J: Ms Tahlia Hope (59.5kg) T: Jarrod Robinson
2321262626.526
8. Raise 'Em Up (5) J: Ms Alexandra Bryan (59.5kg) T: Matthew Brown
6.56.55.56.56.66.5
9. Kraquante (18) J: Declan Bates (59kg) T: Archie Alexander
313134413934
10. Larrikin (4) J: Will Price (59kg) T: Brian Mcgrath
101126101101131126
11. Peidra (10) J: Jamie Mott (58.5kg) T: T Dabernig & B Hayes
273126343034
12. Heaven's Gift (13) J: Luke Currie (58kg) T: T & C Mcevoy
2021212123.523
13. Influential Jack (15) J: Damian Lane (58kg) T: M Ellerton & S Zahra
11109118.610
14. Knock Knock (3) J: Lachlan Neindorf (58kg) T: P A Preusker
8.587.58.58.67.5
15. Whittington Stone (11) J: Jake Noonan (58kg) T: M D Moroney
1414131314.214
16. Shezawitness (1) J: Matthew Cartwright (56kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
272631313031
17. Unfair Dismissal (17) J: Campbell Rawiller (58kg) T: D M Noonan
126126101101131151
18. Onslaught (2) J: Thomas Stockdale (58kg) T: Shawn Mathrick

Odds Last Updated: June 16, 2021, 3:56pm (AEDT)

(5) Scantoon on top. He’s clearly come back well, running 2nd to Seb Song first up before winning well on the Hillside track last start. He likes wet tracks but there is stacks of speed here and draws wide. If he can slot in just behind the speed I think he’ll be hard to beat.

(6) Love Broker led and bolted in last start at Sale and wasn’t far off Midships and Sir Kalahad the start prior which now reads very well, given Midships won the Golden Topaz and Sir Kalahad bolted in on Saturday.

(8) Raise Em Up is airborne and tactically versatile. He led and won two back then sat just off them and won well again last start. Loves wet tracks and should measure up.

(4) Orleans Rock was good late behind Love Broker first up and can improve. He’s definitely good enough and is 1/1 on heavy.

Tip: (5) Scantoon- $4.40 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Scantoon

0

Race 8

Ladbrokes Bet Ticker (Bm70) (1200m)
4:30pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Ladbrokes Bet Ticker (Bm70) (1200m)
4:30pm (AEDT)

1. National Choice (8) J: Matthew Cartwright (61kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
3.43.53.43.63.553.4
2. Cielo D'oro (11) J: Thomas Stockdale (60.5kg) T: T Dabernig & B Hayes
1414141512.814
3. Gennady (12) J: Michael Dee (60.5kg) T: E Jusufovic
4. Minyinga (4) J: Ms Madison Lloyd (60kg) T: Jamie Edwards
999999
5. Paperboy (5) J: Brian Higgins (60kg) T: J W Price
141515151416
6. Kuzco Lad (7) J: Damien Oliver (59.5kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
7.58887.58
7. Rolling Moss (1) J: Ms Mikaela Lawrence (59.5kg) T: Shawn Mathrick
1212111112.212
8. Wilde Gem (9) J: Craig Newitt (59kg) T: N J Harnett
1111111110.612
9. Ellis Park (10) J: Ms Jamie Kah (58kg) T: M A Kavanagh
77776.87
10. Cliffs Of Belaura (3) J: Jamie Mott (57.5kg) T: John Mcardle
111111111111
11. Teramia (2) J: Daniel Stackhouse (56.5kg) T: M M Laurie
12. Llessur (6) J: Damian Lane (56kg) T: Scott Cameron
13. Villianaire (13) J: Will Price (56kg) T: C J Davis
9.599999

Odds Last Updated: June 16, 2021, 4:31pm (AEDT)

Bit of value in the last with (4) Minyinga. She resumed first up over 1100m and got a mile out of her ground, hitting the line well behind Kalkarni Royale and Zorro’s Dream. She finished 6th when 2nd up last prep but that was a clear forgive because she knuckled at the start and ended up last, only beaten 2.5L in the finish. She is a horse that can race on speed and form barrier 4 with the 3kg claim I think she’ll run well. 

(1) National Choice’s form jumps off the page having run 3rd to Crosshaven and Amish Boy towards the end of last prep. He’s been off nearly a year since the Caulfield Guineas and has jumped out well enough.

(6) Kuzco Lad will roll forward and has won fresh in the past, and at 1200m. Soft track poses no issue and he should be in this a long way.

(8) Wilde Gem is 4/4 on heavy tracks and comes out of a stronger race behind The Gauch where he ran well, albeit at $151.

 

Tip: (4) Minyinga- $15.00 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 0.25/0.75 units E/W Minyinga

Trent’s interest in the thoroughbred started out as a spark with Black Caviar, became a flame with Winx, and has now intensified into a burning obsession with Arcadia Queen. He started out throwing loose change on random trifectas at the pub, but it wasn’t long before he was watching replays and looking at sectionals, weights and markets. Trent specializes in Victorian racing and hopes his first winner as an owner is just around the corner.

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