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Sandown Racing Tips: Wednesday, May 11th

Billy Bestford previews every race at Sandown this Wednesday.

Racing this Wednesday in Melbourne heads to Sandown for a good eight race card.

The track is rated a soft 6 with the rail out 5 metres the entire track.

Billy Bestford has previewed every race today and has found his best bets and value plays for the afternoon.

Best Bet: Race 2 – (4) State Squad

Best Value: Race 6 – (14) Sunday’s Best

Moneyball

216103

Race 1

Ladbroke It Mdn Plate (1000m)
12:25pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Ladbroke It Mdn Plate (1000m)
12:25pm (AEDT)

1. Atmosphere (1) J: Damien Oliver (58kg) T: James Cummings
181817.2
2. Breaking Ground (11) J: Brett Prebble (58kg) T: C J Waller
554.75
3. Russian Mint (2) J: Mark Zahra (58kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
2.933.05
4. Shambo (10) J: Jye Mcneil (58kg) T: Clayton Douglas
88.57.3
5. The Guava (6) J: Billy Egan (58kg) T: Patrick Payne
717151
6. The Real Thing (8) J: Damien Thornton (58kg) T: G Eurell
343426.5
7. Valenconi (7) J: Ethan Brown (58kg) T: J Warren & D Krongold
343433
8. Bel Thronum (9) J: Craig Williams (56kg) T: Jerome Hunter
9. Navy Girl (12) J: Ms Linda Meech (56kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
151312.4
10. Nixie (5) J: Michael Dee (56kg) T: G M Begg
212121
11. She Daresthe Devil (4) J: Beau Mertens (56kg) T: R J Besanko
181814.8
12. Yaltara (3) J: Ms Jamie Kah (56kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
3.73.73.75

Odds Last Updated: May 11, 2022, 12:29pm (AEDT)

(3) Russian Mint looks to be speedy and draws low here today. Has won two jumpouts leading into debut today and I think he could be pretty smart. Expect he can land prominent in the run and will be tough to get past. This looks a hot maiden but this horse has a heap of upside and I like how he maps.

(2) Breaking Ground has been given a quiet time of it at a couple of recent trials and has looked good. Expect a forward showing on debut here.

(4) Shambo comes through some jump outs which have produced some recent winners and he is right up to this by the looks of things.

(12) Yaltara looks another strong winning chance for an in-form stable.

Tip: (3) Russian Mint - $2.95 at BoomBet

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Russian Mint

216103

Race 2

Ladbrokes Switch (Bm70) (2400m)
1:00pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Ladbrokes Switch (Bm70) (2400m)
1:00pm (AEDT)

1. Tarn's Prince (5) J: Logan Mcneil (63kg) T: Matthew Cumani
141314
2. Irish Butterfly (9) J: Ms Alana Kelly (60kg) T: Henry Dwyer
4.854.3
3. Frankenstar (1) J: Craig Williams (56.5kg) T: Ms K Durden
414143
4. State Squad (4) J: Jye Mcneil (56.5kg) T: J T Conlan
3.63.63.65
5. Teofilo Star (7) J: Michael Dee (56.5kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
4.44.24.3
6. Eaton (6) J: Teodore Nugent (56kg) T: M & L Cerchi
7.578.1
7. Flying Agent (8) J: Declan Bates (56kg) T: Amy Mcdonald
312635
8. Sound Of Cannons (2) J: Ms Jamie Kah (56kg) T: J A O'shea
4.54.64.05
9. Anchorman (3) J: Will Price (54kg) T: Brian Mcgrath
414133

Odds Last Updated: May 11, 2022, 1:04pm (AEDT)

(4) State Squad has been building nicely this prep and a win looks very close. The horse he nearly beat last start looks above average and I really like him stepping up to 2400m off the back of that. Only career win came when 3rd up last prep.

(5) Teofilo Star will lead them up again and will be fitter for the last start effort. Still only lightly raced and probably yet to reach his ceiling.

(6) Eaton drops in grade for this and is as genuine as they come. Doesn’t know how to run a poor race and the form around Witchita Star looks better every week.

(8) Sound Of Cannons comes to Victoria and that might be the change he needs to finally notch another win.

Tip: (4) State Squad - $3.65 at BoomBet

Betting Strategy: 1.5u WIN State Squad

216103

Race 3

Thoroughbred Club (Bm64) (1300m)
1:35pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Thoroughbred Club (Bm64) (1300m)
1:35pm (AEDT)

1. Blistering (6) J: Lewis German (61.5kg) T: John Pascoe
4.64.84.85
2. Verbano (4) J: Ms Laura Lafferty (61kg) T: Scott Brunton
7.577.6
3. Naples (11) J: Ms Alana Kelly (60kg) T: James Cummings
171714.4
4. Defrosted (7) J: Michael Dee (59.5kg) T: G M Begg
343428
5. Ojosan (10) J: Patrick Moloney (59.5kg) T: D J Bourne
6.586.7
6. Solstice (5) J: Harry Coffey (59.5kg) T: Ben & J D Hayes
7.577.6
7. Mayatrix (13) J: Declan Bates (59kg) T: N M Kelson
312635
8. Miss Middle Park (3) J: Ms Jamie Kah (59kg) T: A & S Freedman
5.56.55.6
9. Pick Za Beans (8) J: Luke Nolen (59kg) T: P G Moody
151513
10. Romany Rocks (12) J: Mark Zahra (59kg) T: Symon Wilde
999.1
11. All About Eve (9) J: Will Price (58.5kg) T: Andrew Noblet
343428
12. Fiasco Tess (2) J: Daniel Moor (58.5kg) T: D R Brideoake
151514.4
13. Gymnastics (14) J: Damien Oliver (57kg) T: James Cummings
262621.5
14. Wine I Am (1) J: Craig Williams (56kg) T: C J Waller
212121.5

Odds Last Updated: May 11, 2022, 1:35pm (AEDT)

(10) Romany Rocks is still lightly raced and think she has some class about her. She’d jumped out well leading into the fresh run but was caught wide. Map again looks sticky here but out to 1300m a big plus. The price seems fair enough and her best form is better than 64 grade.

Really liked the run of (14) Wine I Am 2nd up and showed a stack of improvement having first run in Melbourne. Not sure where he gets to from gate 1 but Willo taking over is a positive. Looks the value.

(1) Blistering drops out of open grade and off the back of her last two runs she should be hard to beat.

(5) Ojosan ran 2nd to Red Hot Nicc last start and that form looks pretty strong. 3rd up now and out in trip is a good setup for her.

(8) Miss Middle Park has been freshened and usually races best first up. Super consistent and jumped out well leading into this.

Tip: (10) Romany Rocks - $9.10 at BoomBet

Betting Strategy: No Bet

216103

Race 4

The Big Screen Company (Bm64) (1000m)
2:10pm (AEDT)

Race 4

The Big Screen Company (Bm64) (1000m)
2:10pm (AEDT)

1. Sniper Legend (7) J: Arron Lynch (61.5kg) T: J D Sadler
66.56.6
2. Super Thief (1) J: Ms Laura Lafferty (60.5kg) T: Ben & J D Hayes
777.1
3. Tycoon Humma (14) J: Jamie Mott (60.5kg) T: John Mcardle
182015
4. Almighty Rising (6) J: Beau Mertens (59kg) T: Julius Sandhu
5. Hold On Honey (13) J: Jamie Kah (59kg) T: Joseph Pride
6. Miss Balvenie (9) J: Josh Richards (59kg) T: Tom Dabernig
5.555.6
7. Beneficio (8) J: Ms Alana Kelly (58kg) T: G Eurell
5.56.55.6
8. Bifrost (12) J: Patrick Moloney (58kg) T: E & D Browne
262621
9. Burum (15) J: Ms Linda Meech (57.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
5.565.1
10. Esprit Effort (2) J: Craig Williams (57.5kg) T: Jerome Hunter
414143
11. Ravaged Award (4) J: Michael Dee (57kg) T: L & T Corstens
121211.6
12. Starlea (16) J: Daniel Moor (57kg) T: M J Ellerton
141511.4
13. Maggie Now (3) J: Ms Celine Gaudray (56.5kg) T: D R Brideoake
192019.4
14. Rowdy Rebel (11) J: Matthew Cartwright (56.5kg) T: S P Nichols
675173
15. Teluici (10) J: Jye Mcneil (56.5kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
212117.4
16. Tinge (5) J: Damien Oliver (55kg) T: James Cummings
212019.8

Odds Last Updated: May 11, 2022, 2:15pm (AEDT)

(1) Sniper Legend was a really nice return when just missing an in-form horse. 2nd up he is sure to improve off that and is a winner at only run at this track/trip. He was a nose off beating Midwest last prep so clearly is good enough for something like this.

Also going to have something on (9) Burum who resumes from a long break. Was dominant winning on debut and quickly spelled by the stable. Has had some issues but a recent jump out was as dominant as you will see. How good?

(2) Super Thief has form behind Profiteer last prep and looks suited resuming in a midweek 64. Been scratched a couple of times this prep so watch the market.

(6) Miss Balvenie was an impressive winner fresh and is now two wins from three. Promising.

Tip: (1) Sniper Legend - $6.60 at BoomBet

Also Backing: (9) Burum - $6.00 at PlayUp

Betting Strategy: 0.5u WIN Sniper Legend, 0.5u WIN Burum

216103

Race 5

Ladbrokes Blended Bets (Bm70) (1000m)
2:45pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Ladbrokes Blended Bets (Bm70) (1000m)
2:45pm (AEDT)

1. Bulletin (2) J: Lewis German (61.5kg) T: Ben Brisbourne
818183
2. Kalashani Lad (12) J: Declan Bates (61.5kg) T: Mark Stephenson
818183
3. Imperial Hilton (3) J: Ms Celine Gaudray (60.5kg) T: Patrick Payne
54.85.1
4. South Parade (15) J: Matthew Cartwright (60.5kg) T: J D Sadler
121210
5. Stay In Touch (7) J: Josh Richards (60.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
43.94.05
6. Darceandermill (5) J: Beau Mertens (58.5kg) T: J Warren & D Krongold
888.6
7. Hickok (6) J: Jake Noonan (58.5kg) T: A W Noonan
151412.8
8. Red Hot Nicc (16) J: Zac Spain (58.5kg) T: Phillip Stokes
9. All Stardom (10) J: Craig Williams (58kg) T: Jerome Hunter
202116.4
10. Coolshot (9) J: Jamie Mott (58kg) T: John Mcardle
161613.2
11. Libertus (8) J: Craig Newitt (58kg) T: Shea Eden
343428.5
12. Enigma (4) J: Ms Jamie Kah (57kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
777.1
13. Invincibilus (11) J: Jye Mcneil (56.5kg) T: Ben & J D Hayes
776.7
14. Our Free Spirit (13) J: Ms Alana Kelly (56.5kg) T: A W Noonan
343426.5
15. Wise Hero (1) J: Michael Poy (56kg) T: Geon Singh
126101131
16. Strad (14) J: Daniel Moor (55.5kg) T: J T Conlan
262620.5

Odds Last Updated: May 11, 2022, 2:50pm (AEDT)

Hard to knock (5) Stay In Touch who has hardly put a foot wrong in five career starts, winning four and running 2nd in the other. Puts herself up near the speed and shows good fight in the straight every time. One comfortably in this grade last time out and gets a good apprentice claim to offset the big weight. Goes close again.

(7) Hickock drops in grade and should be fitter now. Was a touch unlucky last start and can be an improver here.

(13) Invincibilus is in good form and has won two on the bounce. Wide draw no issue for her and will have plenty of room to wind up and run on hard yet again.

(3) Imperial Hilton flies fresh but didn’t see the best of him last prep. Keep an eye on the market because his best form will be tough to beat.

Tip: (5) Stay In Touch - $4.00 at Moneyball

Betting Strategy: 0.5u WIN Stay In Touch

216103

Race 6

Ladbrokes Mates Mode (Bm64) (1800m)
3:20pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Ladbrokes Mates Mode (Bm64) (1800m)
3:20pm (AEDT)

1. Heljami (14) J: Logan Mcneil (64kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
262623.5
2. Manasa (4) J: Craig Newitt (60.5kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
171716.8
3. Queen Of Wizardry (5) J: Ms Alana Kelly (60.5kg) T: N A Blackiston
343426.5
4. Entitled Princess (3) J: Billy Egan (60kg) T: B J Goodwin
121212.2
5. Hereforagoodtime (9) J: Damien Thornton (60kg) T: Peter Gelagotis
111212.2
6. Not A Brass Razoo (18) J: Daniel Moor (59.5kg) T: Andrew Noblet
262620.5
7. Oceana Blue (16) J: Luke Nolen (59.5kg) T: P G Moody
4.24.23.75
8. Sigourney (1) J: Mark Zahra (59.5kg) T: M D Moroney
131515
9. Aravene (8) J: Brett Prebble (59kg) T: Caroline Jennings
3.53.33.55
10. Heleva Deel (7) J: Will Price (59kg) T: Henry Dwyer
414143
11. Lady Proisir (6) J: Craig Williams (58.5kg) T: C J Waller
212020
12. Miss Keeler (11) J: Ms Jamie Kah (58.5kg) T: J T Conlan
151414.4
13. Sheza Sniper (13) J: Zac Spain (58.5kg) T: P Stokes
313122.5
14. Sunday's Best (10) J: Jye Mcneil (58.5kg) T: D T O'brien
171614
15. Five Foot Eight (17) J: Laura Lafferty (57kg) T: Peter Lafferty
16. Korobeiniki (12) J: Patrick Moloney (57kg) T: N J Harnett
262120.5
17. She's A Karaka (2) J: Matthew Cartwright (57kg) T: P L Caboche
616153
18. Sweet Pickings (15) J: Ms Carleen Hefel (54.5kg) T: Timothy Beggs
9191111

Odds Last Updated: May 11, 2022, 3:25pm (AEDT)

(14) Sunday’s Best looks a touch of value off the back of a good win over 1600m. Can’t see the 1800 stopping him and he has been in good form all prep. Tougher task here but is on the up.

(11) Lady Proisir comes to Melbourne in search of dry tracks and think that is a key for her today. I think she’s got a heap of upside and looks a big price.

(9) Aravene comes out of a strong Flemington race fresh and ran better than the 5th that she finished. Fitter now and this is easier while she maps to lead this in a race that lacks a bit of speed.

(7) Oceana Blue won impressively on debut back on Boxing Day and was quickly put away. First up at 1800m is interesting but have to trust the stable on the placement. Think she improves off whatever she does today.

 

Tip: (14) Sunday's Best - $17 at Ladbrokes

Value: (11) Lady Proisir - $21 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 0.25u WIN Sunday's Best, 0.25u WIN Lady Proisir

216103

Race 7

Ladbrokes Same Race Multi-Bm70 (1800m)
3:55pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Ladbrokes Same Race Multi-Bm70 (1800m)
3:55pm (AEDT)

1. Excelleration (4) J: Thomas Stockdale (61.5kg) T: Richard Cully
43.94.05
2. Irish Playboy (14) J: Arron Lynch (61.5kg) T: Henry Dwyer
263121.5
3. Tibetan (8) J: Ms Alana Kelly (61.5kg) T: M J Enright
818175
4. Midterm (15) J: Patrick Moloney (61kg) T: M & L Cerchi
126101101
5. Reuber (6) J: Ethan Brown (60.5kg) T: Ms C Alderson
666.1
6. Eaglemont (16) J: Jye Mcneil (60kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
6.576
7. Threeandfourpence (7) J: Josh Richards (60kg) T: C I Brown
161614.2
8. Token Spirit (11) J: Daniel Moor (60kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
343428.5
9. Savaheat (12) J: Jason Maskiell (59.5kg) T: Shawn Mathrick
818177
10. Bottom Line (1) J: Ben Allen (59kg) T: P Stokes
212121.5
11. Pepper's Ghost (2) J: Damien Thornton (59kg) T: M J Ellerton
212020
12. Laybuy (5) J: Jake Noonan (58.5kg) T: M D Moroney
6.56.56.6
13. Border Leicester (3) J: Craig Newitt (58kg) T: E & D Browne
1018175
14. Agrimony (13) J: Craig Williams (56.5kg) T: C J Waller
141312.2
15. Larrikin (10) J: Will Price (56kg) T: Brian Mcgrath
201921.5
16. Kwoi Hoi (9) J: Beau Mertens (55.5kg) T: C I Brown
8.587.9

Odds Last Updated: May 11, 2022, 3:55pm (AEDT)

(1) Excelleration can find form quickly and knows how to string together wins. It was a gutsy win last start over this trip and expect he can continue to improve now 3rd up. Has a solid record here at Sandown and gets in well after the 2kg claim.

Not sure what to make of (6) Eaglemont who has been very flat in two runs following a dominant fresh win. Started $1.90 in a similar race to this two back.

(14) Agrimony drops in grade for this and expecting he can improve 4th up now and out in trip.

(15) Larrikin next best.

Tip: (1) Excelleration - $4.05 at BoomBet

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Excelleration

216103

Race 8

Ladbrokes Punter Assist (Bm78) (1400m)
4:30pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Ladbrokes Punter Assist (Bm78) (1400m)
4:30pm (AEDT)

1. Akecheta (2) J: Ms Carleen Hefel (61kg) T: P G Moody
111213
2. Left Hand Man (6) J: Will Price (60.5kg) T: Jon O'connor
263132
3. Maximus Prime (15) J: Declan Bates (59.5kg) T: Archie Alexander
161814.6
4. Mr Tipla (16) J: Beau Mertens (59kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
212016.8
5. Reckoning (18) J: Billy Egan (59kg) T: Nick Ryan
313425.5
6. Amboone (14) J: Ms Alana Kelly (58.5kg) T: J D Sadler
212618.6
7. Jaguary (9) J: Damien Oliver (58.5kg) T: Travis Doudle
344136
8. Orleans Rock (13) J: Mark Zahra (58.5kg) T: P A Preusker
212616
9. Grey Khan (1) J: Unknown (58kg) T: Peter Gelagotis
151151181
10. Visinari (7) J: Ms Jamie Kah (58kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
1.851.91.92
11. Influential Jack (19) J: Daniel Moor (57.5kg) T: Simon Zahra
677145
12. Adandiman (20) J: Brett Prebble (56.5kg) T: Mitchell Freedman
131410.6
13. Air Defence (8) J: Damien Thornton (56kg) T: S Fliedner
202122.5
14. Black Bolt (17) J: Teodore Nugent (56kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
161812.8
15. Rock In The Park (5) J: Craig Newitt (56kg) T: Shea Eden
515147
16. Rhinoceros (11) J: Michael Dee (55.5kg) T: E & D Browne
202119.8
17. That's Incranibull (4) J: Ms Mikaela Lawrence (56kg) T: Patrick Payne
678183
18. King Of The Castle (12) J: Craig Williams (55.5kg) T: Joseph Pride
19. Marimenko (10) J: Jye Mcneil (55kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
88.56.3
20. California Longbow (3) J: Unknown (55kg) T: Kane Harris
677167

Odds Last Updated: May 11, 2022, 4:35pm (AEDT)

(10) Visinari was visually dominant having first start for new stable, romping in by 7.5L. That backed up some hot work at the jump outs and I expect he can continue to progress now. He ran good time in that run and Kah takes over for this today. 

(1) Akecheta has good 2nd up form and can improve with fitness following the first up effort. Will be up on speed and give himself every chance.

(8) Orleans Rock has a good record at this track and will enjoy the strong tempo in this race. Expect him to be hitting the line hard from the back.

 

Tip: (10) Visinari - $1.90 at TopSport

Betting Strategy: 2.5u WIN Visinari

Billy has been an avid racing fan ever since he and a few mates started a punters club once they turned 18. Following the initial punters clubs, he was properly hooked after landing a nice collect on Admire Rakti in the 2014 Caulfield Cup and has had a soft spot for Japanese horses ever since. Is a massive fan of 'blinkers first time' and has been known to enjoy a 'Hail Mary' multi. Loves punting across metro Sydney and Melbourne every Saturday but isn't scared to venture West late in the day to find a Pikey special.

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