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Flemington Racing Tips: Saturday, May 14th

Billy Bestford previews every race at Flemington this Saturday.

It’s another huge day at Flemington today with a big nine race card, headlined by the running of the Andrew Ramsden with a golden ticket into the Melbourne Cup awaiting the winner.

The track is currently rated a good 4 with the rail out 2 metres. Fine and sunny conditions are expected and we should see perfect racing conditions.

Billy Bestford has once again cast his eye across the whole meeting and brings you his free race by race preview, best bets and value bets to help you find some winners this Saturday.

Best Bet: Race 8 – (17) Triple Missile

Best Value: Race 4 – (2) Butter Chicken

Moneyball

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Race 1

Next Generation Sprinters 2Yo (1100m)
11:55am (AEDT)

Race 1

Next Generation Sprinters 2Yo (1100m)
11:55am (AEDT)

1. Don't Change (8) J: Jamie Mott (57kg) T: Nick Ryan
4.84.85.1
2. Nothing Silly (4) J: Matthew Cartwright (57kg) T: K L Corstens
777.6
3. Gold Bucket (10) J: Craig Newitt (57kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
121112
4. Atlantic Ocean (7) J: Brett Prebble (57kg) T: C J Waller
151512.6
5. Aurolaa (11) J: Damien Thornton (57kg) T: Simon Zahra
202121.5
6. Doull (3) J: Jye Mcneil (57kg) T: A & S Freedman
3.53.63.65
7. El Soleado (9) J: Ms Linda Meech (57kg) T: R E Laing
141712.6
8. Magnaspin (2) J: Craig Williams (57kg) T: L & T Corstens
89.56.9
9. Uptown Jazz (5) J: Cory Parish (57kg) T: Michael Jones
15110197
10. Royal Signal (6) J: Jack Hill (55kg) T: Ms W Kelly
8.57.57.7
11. Impel (1) J: Michael Dee (55kg) T: G M Begg
151415.2

Odds Last Updated: May 14, 2022, 11:59am (AEDT)

(6) Doull was a $1.2m purchase and has looked sharp at a couple of jump outs. Showed decent enough speed in those and expect he can be tough to beat on debut today. Pretty exciting prospect and get the feeling he could blitz them here if right.

(1) Don’t Change hit the line well in The Showdown at just his second start and is sure to take improvement out of that. Still does a bit wrong but is ready to win now 3rd up.

(3) Gold Bucket was super impressive winning at Cranbourne last time out. He looks a progressive type and Newitt sticks for the ride here.

(2) Nothing Silly won a strong form race on debut and returns to the track today off a short break. Expect he is ready to fire here first up. Recent jump out was encouraging.

Tip: (6) Doull - $3.65 at BoomBet

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Doull

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Race 2

Flemington Sprint (Bm78) (1100m)
12:30pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Flemington Sprint (Bm78) (1100m)
12:30pm (AEDT)

1. I Am Me (6) J: Jye Mcneil (58kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
2. Morning Melody (5) J: Patrick Moloney (55.5kg) T: N J Harnett
191917
3. Commands The Field (4) J: Craig Newitt (54.5kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
3.83.33.95
4. Moon And Back (3) J: Dean Holland (54.5kg) T: Andrew Noblet
161813.4
5. No Way Ever (7) J: Matthew Cartwright (54.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
5.565
6. Arranmore (9) J: Brett Prebble (54kg) T: C J Waller
5.565.3
7. Miss Melbourne (1) J: Damien Thornton (54kg) T: D T O'brien
665.6
8. Lady Adelaide (2) J: Josh Richards (54kg) T: Patrick Payne
9.51010.2
9. Ravaged Award (8) J: Craig Williams (54kg) T: L & T Corstens
555.1

Odds Last Updated: May 14, 2022, 12:34pm (AEDT)

Will put (9) Ravaged Award on top who showed promise in debut campaign. Won well first up and then had a few excuses in a strong bm64. A recent jump out was very encouraging and think we can see the best of her this prep.

(3) Commands The Field never runs poorly and was very good last start against the older horses. Maps for all the favours again.

(7) Miss Melbourne looks a progressive type and goes in search of her 3rd win five starts. Dominant last start at Geelong but might need luck from the low draw.

(6) Arranmore on best form would be very hard to beat.

Tip: (9) Ravaged Award - $5.50 at TopSport

Betting Strategy: No Bet

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Race 3

Mahogany Challenge Series Hcp (1700m)
1:05pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Mahogany Challenge Series Hcp (1700m)
1:05pm (AEDT)

1. Umgawa (7) J: Craig Williams (58kg) T: L & T Corstens
54.84.75
2. Carlisle (1) J: Jamie Mott (56.5kg) T: J F Moloney
777.1
3. British Columbia (9) J: Michael Dee (54.5kg) T: G M Begg
776.9
4. General Firepower (8) J: Jye Mcneil (54kg) T: M D Moroney
776.8
5. Sonora (6) J: Harry Coffey (54kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
6.56.56.6
6. Aktolgali (4) J: Patrick Moloney (54kg) T: Robert Hickmott
191919
7. Flash Feeling (10) J: Matthew Cartwright (54kg) T: J D Sadler
5.55.54.95
8. Playing It Safe (5) J: Will Price (54kg) T: L Smith
263132
9. Kyokushin (11) J: Ms Alana Kelly (54kg) T: G A Osborne
191920.5
10. Not A Brass Razoo (3) J: Dean Holland (54kg) T: Andrew Noblet
131313.2
11. Bring The Stars (2) J: Craig Newitt (54kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
263130

Odds Last Updated: May 14, 2022, 1:05pm (AEDT)

(7) Flash Feeling was very unlucky in a strong race at Caulfield two back – he ran past subsequent G1 winner Glint Of Hope there. Was in the worst ground last start and can bounce back now.

(3) British Columbia is on the up and won well last start at Pakenham. Expect they will find the front today from the wide draw and he looks a super tough horse to run down when he gets thing in his favour.

(5) Sonora has been flying this prep and finished hard last start. Looks ready to win again.

(2) Carlisle beat a few of these key rivals last start and is now 2/2 this prep. Form is stacking up around him and is sure to give another good sight.

Tip: (7) Flash Feeling - $5.00 at Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: No Bet

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Race 4

Leilani Series (Bm78) (1400m)
1:40pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Leilani Series (Bm78) (1400m)
1:40pm (AEDT)

1. Vespertine (12) J: Logan Mcneil (60.5kg) T: G M Begg
4.54.44.85
2. Butter Chicken (2) J: Craig Williams (60kg) T: G M Begg
88.58.6
3. Need New Friends (17) J: Jye Mcneil (59kg) T: D T O'brien
212117.2
4. Saigon (13) J: Craig Newitt (59kg) T: C J Waller
8.58.58.6
5. Laffalong (16) J: Michael Dee (58.5kg) T: N A Blackiston
415131
6. Witchfulthinking (11) J: Patrick Moloney (58kg) T: Andrew Noblet
11119.4
7. It's Kind Of Magic (10) J: Harry Coffey (57kg) T: Brent Stanley
88.58.6
8. The Stylist (3) J: Teodore Nugent (56.5kg) T: Deanne Taylor
515139
9. Tripoli (15) J: Ms Celine Gaudray (56.5kg) T: P G Carey
919159
10. Adele Amour (1) J: Ms Alana Kelly (56kg) T: J D Sadler
4.54.44.85
11. Tilianam (5) J: Ms Linda Meech (56kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
414131
12. Gunna Gunna (8) J: Jack Hill (55.5kg) T: Chris Calthorpe
514139
13. Kiss And Cry (14) J: Josh Richards (55.5kg) T: M C Kent
515139
14. La Spezia (7) J: Zac Spain (55.5kg) T: Jamie Edwards
212117.6
15. Millennial Girl (4) J: Dean Holland (55.5kg) T: S R Fisher
126101101
16. Starring Role (9) J: Fred Kersley (54.5kg) T: M D Hinton
111110.4
17. Florent (6) J: Matthew Cartwright (54kg) T: A W Noonan
212621.5

Odds Last Updated: May 14, 2022, 1:44pm (AEDT)

Hoping we can see the best of the best-named horse in Australia, (2) Butter Chicken and if so, he is much better than this grade. Nothing went right last prep and if you look back at his debut campaign he looked an exciting talent. This is the easiest race he’s seen for a while and taking the chance he’s come back improved.

(7) It’s Kind Of Magic was a big run last start to just miss in a similar race to this. 3rd up now and rising to this trip looks ideal.

(10) Adele Armour will enjoy the drop in grade and has been going well this prep. Back to 1400m suits.

(1) Vespertine gets in well after an apprentice claim and finds an easier race than what she’s been going around in. Can improve.

Tip: (2) Butter Chicken - $9.10/$3.00 at BoomBet

Betting Strategy: 0.5u/1u Butter Chicken

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Race 5

2022 Lexus Melb. Cup Tour-Bm78 (1600m)
2:15pm (AEDT)

Race 5

2022 Lexus Melb. Cup Tour-Bm78 (1600m)
2:15pm (AEDT)

1. Typhoon Harmony (19) J: Jye Mcneil (61kg) T: Peter Gelagotis
11119.1
2. Hezashocka (6) J: Patrick Moloney (60.5kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
262626
3. Duke Of Plumpton (7) J: Unknown (60kg) T: Patrick Payne
414136
4. Kipps (2) J: Ethan Brown (60kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
131418.2
5. The Regiment (14) J: Ms Linda Meech (60kg) T: J F Moloney
717159
6. Petruchio (13) J: Josh Richards (59.5kg) T: Archie Alexander
263129
7. The Big Buzz (12) J: Ms Celine Gaudray (59.5kg) T: D R Brideoake
415138
8. Beltoro (5) J: Logan Mcneil (59kg) T: Robert Hickmott
3.84.24.45
9. Lyrical Lad (4) J: Jamie Mott (59kg) T: P Stokes
10119.8
10. Beaufort Park (8) J: Fred Kersley (58.5kg) T: Saab Hasan
262620
11. Slipintothis (1) J: Unknown (58.5kg) T: Patrick Payne
263126
12. Coolth (9) J: Damien Thornton (57.5kg) T: T & C Mcevoy
889.5
13. Highland Jakk (3) J: Michael Dee (57.5kg) T: Robert Hickmott
131110.8
14. Hype (11) J: Ms Alana Kelly (57kg) T: Robert Hickmott
91012.2
15. Barretta (16) J: Harry Coffey (56kg) T: Ben & J D Hayes
7.576.4
16. Vegas Knight (18) J: Teodore Nugent (56kg) T: J T Conlan
616145
17. Austrata (20) J: Craig Williams (56kg) T: C J Waller
171713.8
18. Tinandali (15) J: Unknown (56kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
212621.5
19. Sindacato (10) J: Craig Newitt (56kg) T: C J Waller
151612.2
20. Vitruvius (17) J: Brett Prebble (55.5kg) T: P A Preusker
4.44.23.85

Odds Last Updated: May 14, 2022, 2:19pm (AEDT)

Was keen to follow (12) Coolth off the back of a very good fresh run over an unsuitable trip. Gets out to the mile now and has a good record 2nd up. Maps to bet a nice trail into the straight and think he can explode late.

(8) Beltoro has been game all prep and deserves a win off the back of some good runs without much luck. This probably a touch easier.

(20) Vitruvius is still an emergency but has been desperately close to winning at both runs this prep. If gets a run, 3rd up now he will be hitting the line strongly again.

(15) Baretta can bounce back after pulling up with some issues last start as a $3 chance behind Uncle Bryn. The fresh win was very good.

Tip: (12) Coolth - $9.50 at Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 0.5u WIN Coolth

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Race 6

Silver Bowl Series Hcp (1400m)
2:50pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Silver Bowl Series Hcp (1400m)
2:50pm (AEDT)

1. Blazerro (14) J: Craig Williams (58kg) T: P Stokes
262622.5
2. Tonneofgrit (5) J: Jye Mcneil (58kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
171615.6
3. Subterranean (11) J: Damien Thornton (56kg) T: M J Dunn
515141
4. The Art Of Flying (15) J: Harry Coffey (56kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
131314.2
5. Ice Pick Nick (1) J: Ms Linda Meech (54.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
444.05
6. Star Of Chaos (2) J: Will Price (54.5kg) T: T & C Mcevoy
8.59.59.6
7. Daily Bugle (3) J: Matthew Cartwright (54kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
313128.5
8. Jimmy The Bear (13) J: Teodore Nugent (54kg) T: Patrick Payne
313426.5
9. Arran Bay (7) J: Ms Alana Kelly (54kg) T: P Stokes
3.73.63.75
10. Deprivation (4) J: Craig Newitt (54kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
161714.6
11. Volcanic Rock (12) J: Dean Holland (54kg) T: M & L Cerchi
201151101
12. Sempreinte (9) J: Brett Prebble (54kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
202120
13. Cardinal Gem (6) J: Michael Dee (54kg) T: G M Begg
8.58.58.1
14. Cheerful Moment (10) J: Patrick Moloney (54kg) T: L Smith
515153
15. Bella Rouge (16) J: Unknown (54kg) T: C J Waller
192020.5
16. Rusheen (8) J: Josh Richards (54kg) T: A W Noonan
126101101

Odds Last Updated: May 14, 2022, 2:54pm (AEDT)

(5) Ice Pick Nick was far from disgraced in a strong race last start off the back of two good wins. Will find the front from barrier 1 and has one of the best front-running jocks on board. Expect he gives a great sight.

(9) Arran Bay threw away the race first up when laying in. Clearly come back in top order and has been a winner 2nd up in the past.

(8) Jimmy The Bear wouldn’t shock me stepping up to a more suitable trip. He looked pretty smart last prep and can improve here.

(13) Cardinal Gem ran on strongly last start behind a smart one. Better for that run under the belt and looks ready now.

Tip: (5) Ice Pick Nick - $3.65 at BoomBet

Value: (8) Jimmy The Bear - $23 at TAB

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Ice Pick Nick, 0.25u WIN Jimmy The Bear

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Race 7

Lexus Andrew Ramsden (2800m)
3:30pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Lexus Andrew Ramsden (2800m)
3:30pm (AEDT)

1. Warning (8) J: Jamie Mott (58.5kg) T: A & S Freedman
9108.5
2. Luncies (11) J: Craig Williams (58.5kg) T: K A Lees
6.566
3. Harmysian (9) J: Harry Coffey (58.5kg) T: Clayton Douglas
414133
4. Redjina (5) J: Jack Hill (58.5kg) T: Noel Watson
201151141
5. Sound Of Cannons (1) J: Zac Spain (58.5kg) T: J A O'shea
213120
6. English King (3) J: Michael Dee (58.5kg) T: M D Moroney
212620
7. Snowalot (12) J: Damien Thornton (58.5kg) T: J D Sadler
414133
8. Through Irish Eyes (6) J: Jye Mcneil (58kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
666.1
9. Horrifying (7) J: Fred Kersley (58kg) T: Mark & Levi Kavanagh
414133
10. Point Nepean (10) J: Ms Alana Kelly (58kg) T: Robert Hickmott
43.94.05
11. Splendiferous (2) J: Brett Prebble (56kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
3.63.73.75
12. Zoumon (4) J: Ms Linda Meech (54kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
171515.4
13. Turn It Up Tommy (13) J: Patrick Moloney (54kg) T: Denis Pagan
10110179

Odds Last Updated: May 14, 2022, 3:35pm (AEDT)

Feature race of the day with the Andrew Ramsden and a spot in the Melbourne Cup awaits the winner.

Winning form is good form for a field like this and (11) Splendiferous has improved out of sight since coming to Mlebourne in search of dry ground. Last start was super impressive racing away from them and running good time. Can’t see 2800m stopping him and the stable will have him cherry ripe.

(2) Luncies should be a big improver finally getting on top of the ground. He’s one of the class horses in this field and expect to see him right in the finish.

(8) Through Irish Eyes is knocking on the door for another win and was very good last start. He’s a winner over this trip.

(1) Warning won the Victoria Derby here and is clearly the best credentialled horse in this race. Not sure how good he is going at the minute?

(10) Point Nepean has been running very well from the front at last couple and looks next best.

Tip: (11) Splendiferous - $4.05 at BoomBet

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Splendiferous

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Race 8

Vrc-Crv Winter Cship (Bm100) (1400m)
4:10pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Vrc-Crv Winter Cship (Bm100) (1400m)
4:10pm (AEDT)

1. Justacanta (10) J: Ms Celine Gaudray (60kg) T: Patrick Payne
161714.2
2. Begood Toya Mother (4) J: Harry Coffey (59kg) T: Daniel Bowman
212619
3. Morvada (11) J: Ms Linda Meech (59kg) T: P W Jolly
666.2
4. Great Again (16) J: Will Price (57.5kg) T: L Smith
161715.6
5. Lightning Jack (9) J: Fred Kersley (57.5kg) T: Annabel Neasham
77.58.2
6. Superium (20) J: Jye Mcneil (57kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
12129.8
7. Edison (12) J: Patrick Moloney (56kg) T: Nick Ryan
212618
8. Bold Star (8) J: Matthew Cartwright (54kg) T: G Richards & D Moyle
121316.2
9. Biometric (18) J: Michael Dee (53.5kg) T: Ben & J D Hayes
141512.2
10. Mystery Shot (6) J: Craig Newitt (53.5kg) T: L Smith
8.599.2
11. Parure (13) J: Craig Williams (53kg) T: Ben & J D Hayes
212618
12. Paul's Regret (3) J: Damien Thornton (53kg) T: P A Chow
171917
13. Matowi (5) J: Teodore Nugent (53kg) T: Mitchell Beer
919167
14. Morrissy (17) J: Dean Holland (53kg) T: Simon Ryan
678151
15. Stay Gold (14) J: Josh Richards (53kg) T: D T O'brien
131410.6
16. Aquagirl (2) J: Ms Alana Kelly (53kg) T: P Stokes
9.5910.6
17. Triple Missile (7) J: Craig Newitt (53kg) T: L Smith
3.93.74.1
18. Beehunter (15) J: Ms Alana Kelly (53kg) T: J D Sadler
8.57.56.7
19. Mr Exclusive (1) J: Unknown (53kg) T: Matthew Brown
616749
20. He's The Real Deel (19) J: Unknown (53kg) T: Matthew Brown
171617

Odds Last Updated: May 14, 2022, 4:15pm (AEDT)

(17) Triple Missile looks the standout bet on the card to my eye. Was doing best work late on a very wet Warnambool track where it was tough to make up a lot of ground. That was his first run since February and looks ready to win now 2nd up onto drier ground. Maps for every favour and am confident he goes very close.

(10) Mystery Shot comes out of that same race and is a much better 2nd up horse. Up to 1400m is a big tick for him as well. Looks the danger and don’t want to lose on him.

(16) Aquagirl is on the quick backup from last week where she was only narrowly beaten. Clearly going very well and will be given every chance in the run.

(3) Morvada next best.

Tip: (17) Triple Missile - $3.30 at Ladbrokes

Saver: (10) Mystery Shot - $12 at Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 3u WIN Triple Missile, 0.25u WIN Mystery Shot

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Race 9

Santa Ana Lane Sprint (Bm84) (1000m)
4:45pm (AEDT)

Race 9

Santa Ana Lane Sprint (Bm84) (1000m)
4:45pm (AEDT)

1. Dosh (10) J: Logan Mcneil (60.5kg) T: G M Begg
444.05
2. How Womantic (2) J: Josh Richards (60.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
7.57.58.1
3. Falls (13) J: Ethan Brown (58.5kg) T: M C Kent
10110181
4. Ashford Street (3) J: Teodore Nugent (58kg) T: K M Elford
131311.8
5. Fine Dane (4) J: Patrick Moloney (57.5kg) T: J F Moloney
343429.5
6. Young Liam (12) J: Dean Holland (57.5kg) T: M & L Cerchi
171715.4
7. Rock Prophet (5) J: Craig Newitt (56.5kg) T: R J Besanko
343429.5
8. Sam's Image (1) J: Matthew Cartwright (56kg) T: J D Sadler
262622.5
9. Huffington (8) J: Zac Spain (55.5kg) T: P Stokes
343435
10. Twist Of Fury (6) J: Ms Celine Gaudray (55.5kg) T: D R Brideoake
9.51011.2
11. Whipcracker Way (9) J: Ms Alana Kelly (55.5kg) T: P Stokes
8.58.58
12. Easy Single (7) J: Jye Mcneil (54.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
66.55.7
13. Winsum (11) J: Craig Williams (54.5kg) T: K & K Keys
666.1

Odds Last Updated: May 14, 2022, 4:49pm (AEDT)

(1) Dosh beat Snapdancer in a recent jump out and has very good 1000m record. Likes the Flem straight and keen to see what she can do this prep.

(12) Easy Single is another who has a very good record over this trip and a recent jump out was as impressive as they get. Toughest test to date but trust the stable with the placement.

(2) How Womantic hasn’t won for a while but has looked good at the jump outs and can sprint very well fresh.

(6) Young Liam and (10) Twist Of Fury next best.

Tip: (1) Dosh - $4.45 at BoomBet

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Dosh

Billy has been an avid racing fan ever since he and a few mates started a punters club once they turned 18. Following the initial punters clubs, he was properly hooked after landing a nice collect on Admire Rakti in the 2014 Caulfield Cup and has had a soft spot for Japanese horses ever since. Is a massive fan of 'blinkers first time' and has been known to enjoy a 'Hail Mary' multi. Loves punting across metro Sydney and Melbourne every Saturday but isn't scared to venture West late in the day to find a Pikey special.

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