Racing Tips

Warrnambool Racing Tips: Thursday, May 5th

Tim Geers previews the Listed Warrnambool Cup on the final day of the carnival.

by
Tim Geers
5 May 2022

Day 3 of the Warrnambool carnival features the Listed Warrnambool Cup over 2350m, which comes up as Race 9 on the card.

Tim Geers has previewed the day’s feature race below, with a horse at each way odds on top!

Scroll down to find his free analysis.

Race 1

Hammonds Paints Novice Hrdl (3200m)
11:15am (AEDT)

Race 1 Hammonds Paints Novice Hrdl (3200m) 11:15am (AEDT)
1. Brungle Bertie (3) J: Lee Horner (70kg) T: Henry Dwyer		2.5
2. Pueblo (9) J: Will Gordon (68kg) T: David & Coral Feek		8.5
3. Hush Writer (7) J: Ronan Short (68kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott		5
4. Blandford Lad (8) J: Steven Pateman (68kg) T: Peter Gelagotis		3.4
5. Roland Garros (1) J: William Mc Carthy (67kg) T: Ciaron Maher & David Eustace
6. El Diez (10) J: Darryl Horner (Jnr) (67kg) T: E V Musgrove		26
7. Cernan (5) J: Chris Mccarthy (67kg) T: E V Musgrove		20
8. Devon Miss (2) J: Richard O'donoghue (66kg) T: Ms B Simpson		41
9. Onset (6) J: Aaron Kuru (65kg) T: E V Musgrove		20
10. Arlington Valley (4) J: (65kg) T: Eric Musgrove

Race 2

Tab (Bm70) (1400m)
11:45am (AEDT)

Race 2 Tab (Bm70) (1400m) 11:45am (AEDT)
1. Zerelle (4) J: Craig Newitt (60kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young	19	19	19.2
2. Tilianam (5) J: Jordan Childs (59.5kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott	21	20	20.5
3. Ceasar (8) J: John Allen (59kg) T: M D Moroney	3	3.3	3.25
4. Pocket Change (6) J: Dean Holland (58kg) T: J P Salanitri	6.5	6.5	6.4
5. Cheerful Moment (11) J: Ms Melissa Julius (57kg) T: L Smith	12	13	12.8
6. Imposing Brook (13) J: Billy Egan (57kg) T: Patrick Payne	11	10	10.4
7. Chorizama (12) J: Ms Linda Meech (56.5kg) T: Symon Wilde	10	11	9.4
8. Mingora (2) J: Damien Oliver (56kg) T: L Smith	31	41	43
9. Sachem (3) J: Daniel Moor (56kg) T: M J Williams	7.5	7.5	8.1
10. Henty (7) J: Chad Schofield (55.5kg) T: D R Brideoake	8	7.5	7.9
11. Rusheen (9) J: J Noonan (55kg) T: Tony Noonan
12. Dustland Fairytale (10) J: Jarrod Fry (54kg) T: L Smith	17	19	18.8
13. Fiasco Tess (1) J: Daniel Moor (54kg) T: David Brideoake

Odds Last Updated: May 5, 2022, 11:49am (AEDT)

Race 3

The Standard (Bm78) (1100m)
12:15pm (AEDT)

Race 3 The Standard (Bm78) (1100m) 12:15pm (AEDT)
1. Silent Command (7) J: John Allen (59.5kg) T: Nick Smart	61	61	43
2. Ashford Street (10) J: Teodore Nugent (59kg) T: K M Elford	4.4	4.2	3.9
3. Can't Be Done (8) J: Chad Schofield (59kg) T: Danny O'Brien
4. Ocular (5) J: Craig Newitt (59kg) T: Shea Eden	5.5	6	6
5. Colsridge (9) J: Harry Coffey (58.5kg) T: A G Pace	8	8	8.1
6. The General (3) J: Dean Holland (58.5kg) T: Richard Laming	5	4.8	5
7. Magnajet (12) J: Craig Newitt (57.5kg) T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young
8. Our Wind Spirit (2) J: Damien Oliver (57.5kg) T: L Smith	6	6.5	6.6
9. Cecil Street Lad (14) J: Thomas Stockdale (57kg) T: Richard Laming
10. Realeza (1) J: Beau Mertens (57kg) T: Gavin Bedggood
11. Capriccio (4) J: Daniel Moor (55kg) T: Daniel Bowman
12. Fiery Red (6) J: Ms Jamie Kah (55kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott	3.3	3	3.1
13. Mckeever (11) J: Linda Meech (55kg) T: Symon Wilde
14. Home Rule (13) J: (54kg) T: Maddie Raymond

Odds Last Updated: May 5, 2022, 12:15pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Catanachs Jewellers (Bm70) (1400m)
12:45pm (AEDT)

Race 4 Catanachs Jewellers (Bm70) (1400m) 12:45pm (AEDT)
1. La Spezia (4) J: Jordan Childs (59.5kg) T: Jamie Edwards
2. Millennial Girl (7) J: Ethan Brown (59.5kg) T: S R Fisher
3. Puckapunyal (3) J: Jarrod Fry (59.5kg) T: L Smith	5	4.8	5.1
4. Queen Zyrah (13) J: Harry Coffey (59.5kg) T: Symon Wilde	8	7.5	7.7
5. Wanalirri (15) J: Chad Schofield (59.5kg) T: P F Ryan	8	10	8.9
6. Picaroon (5) J: Dom Tourneur (59kg) T: Michael O'Leary
7. Wish I Might (1) J: Daniel Moor (59kg) T: Daniel Bowman
8. Love Takes Time (11) J: Ms Jamie Kah (58kg) T: A & S Freedman	2.7	2.5	2.5
9. Stratessa (2) J: Will Price (58kg) T: Henry Dwyer	9	10	9.5
10. Aberlady (10) J: Thomas Stockdale (57.5kg) T: Andrew Homann
11. Till It's Over (6) J: Declan Bates (57.5kg) T: Paul Preusker
12. Pankhurst (16) J: John Allen (56.5kg) T: M J Williams	3.6	3.7	3.4
13. Audrey Girl (9) J: Craig Newitt (56kg) T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young
14. Romany Rocks (14) J: Damien Oliver (56kg) T: Symon Wilde
15. Nuriya (12) J: Ms Laura Lafferty (55kg) T: Ms J Baker	41	34	37
16. Fiable (8) J: Dean Holland (54kg) T: Aaron Purcell	34	34	31

Odds Last Updated: May 5, 2022, 12:50pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Ludeman Real Estate (Bm64) (2000m)
1:15pm (AEDT)

Race 5 Ludeman Real Estate (Bm64) (2000m) 1:15pm (AEDT)
1. Auf Weidersehen (5) J: Craig Newitt (61.5kg) T: Shea Eden	21	21	21.5
2. King Of Pharaohs (6) J: Jarrod Fry (61.5kg) T: L Smith	2.6	2.5	2.5
3. Zoffala (14) J: Chad Schofield (61.5kg) T: T & C Mcevoy	21	20	18.6
4. Witsabouthim (4) J: Daniel Moor (61kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young	17	18	18.2
5. Antilles (7) J: Jordan Childs (60.5kg) T: Emma Collins	301	201	151
6. Miss Tenthousand (9) J: Tatum Bull (60.5kg) T: Matthew Williams
7. Fabalot (13) J: Billy Egan (60kg) T: Maddie Raymond	31	31	23.5
8. Serenade The Stars (12) J: Will Price (60kg) T: E V Musgrove	151	101	161
9. Equine Philosopher (10) J: Ms Mikaela Lawrence (59.5kg) T: Jarrod Robinson	31	31	35
10. Springvale Road (19) J: Declan Bates (59.5kg) T: L Smith	15	15	15.2
11. The Amazonian (11) J: Jamie Kah (59.5kg) T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr
12. Accuse (18) J: John Allen (59kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace	5.5	5	5.7
13. Almsgiver (2) J: Damien Oliver (59kg) T: M J Williams	11	11	10.4
14. Copu (17) J: Ethan Brown (59kg) T: Lindsey Smith
15. Sky Hero (20) J: Will Gordon (59kg) T: Richard Cully	26	21	22
16. Power Of Song (1) J: Joe Bowditch (57.5kg) T: Symon Wilde	6.5	6	5.6
17. Tavisteel (3) J: Ms Alana Kelly (56.5kg) T: Simon Zahra	21	21	20
18. Fiji (15) J: Ms Linda Meech (58.5kg) T: Aaron Purcell	26	21	26.5
19. Dunmam (8) J: Harry Coffey (58.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace	31	31	28.5
20. Catskill Mountain (16) J: Blaike Mcdougall (58kg) T: Andrew Bobbin

Odds Last Updated: May 5, 2022, 1:20pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Evergreen Turf N. Wilson-Bm70 (1700m)
1:50pm (AEDT)

Race 6 Evergreen Turf N. Wilson-Bm70 (1700m) 1:50pm (AEDT)
1. Irish Playboy (11) J: A Lynch (61.5kg) T: Henry Dwyer
2. Prospectus (7) J: Ms Linda Meech (61.5kg) T: Aaron Purcell	61	61	47
3. Rudhyar (12) J: Jarrod Fry (60.5kg) T: L Smith	4.6	4.4	4.7
4. Sarodec (5) J: Dean Holland (60.5kg) T: Richard Laming	5	5	4.7
5. Marchons Ensemble (13) J: Jordan Childs (60kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young	14	15	12.2
6. Worsfold (14) J: John Allen (59.5kg) T: Nick Smart	3.1	2.8	3.2
7. Cabinho (4) J: Ms Jamie Kah (59kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr	4.6	4.8	3.95
8. Spanish Snitzel (15) J: Daniel Moor (58.5kg) T: C V Kelly
9. Mark Of The Man (2) J: Linda Meech (57.5kg) T: Aaron Purcell
10. Testa Life (8) J: Harry Coffey (56.5kg) T: Ms J Duncan	34	34	35
11. Moscow Red (1) J: Will Price (56kg) T: Henry Dwyer	15	16	13.4
12. Feargal (3) J: Ms Laura Lafferty (55kg) T: Ms J Baker	19	19	18.2
13. The Yachtsman (6) J: Neil Farley (54.5kg) T: K T Bourke	26	31	30
14. Andress (10) J: Declan Bates (54kg) T: L Smith	61	51	51
15. Anewdaydawning (16) J: Teodore Nugent (54kg) T: M A Townsend	151	101	97
16. Mont Agel (9) J: Harry Grace (54kg) T: P F Ryan	34	19	63

Odds Last Updated: May 5, 2022, 1:54pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Lyndoch Grand Annual Stpl (5500m)
2:30pm (AEDT)

Race 7 Lyndoch Grand Annual Stpl (5500m) 2:30pm (AEDT)
1. Bit Of A Lad (8) J: Steven Pateman (69kg) T: Ciaron Maher & David Eustace
2. Police Camp (7) J: Darryl Horner (Jnr) (64kg) T: Simon Ryan	31	31	32
3. Getting Leggie (1) J: Ross O'sullivan (64kg) T: Nick Smart	17	17	18.2
4. Britannicus (9) J: (64kg) T: Symon Wilde
5. Master Poet (10) J: Aaron Kuru (64kg) T: Amy Mcdonald	9.5	9.5	10.2
6. Vanguard (12) J: Will Gordon (64kg) T: Symon Wilde	2	1.9	1.84
7. Heberite (4) J: William Mccarthy (64kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace	3.7	3.5	3.5
8. Budd Fox (6) J: A Lynch (64kg) T: Henry Dwyer
9. American In Paris (11) J: Ronan Short (64kg) T: Symon Wilde	7	7	6.8
10. San Remo (5) J: Lee Horner (64kg) T: Dane Smith	12	13	12.6
11. My King's Counsel (2) J: Richard O'donoghue (64kg) T: Ms K Durden	91	81	93
12. Eyes Are Blue (3) J: Selim Agbal (64kg) T: Declan Maher	91	81	93

Odds Last Updated: May 5, 2022, 2:34pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Kia Hcp (1400m)
3:15pm (AEDT)

Race 8 Kia Hcp (1400m) 3:15pm (AEDT)
1. Proconsent (1) J: Ethan Brown (59kg) T: L Smith	31	34	35
2. Biometric (3) J: Regan Bayliss (58.5kg) T: Ben & Jd Hayes
3. Morrissy (11) J: Harry Grace (57kg) T: Simon Ryan
4. Tuvalu (6) J: Jarrod Fry (55kg) T: L Smith	2.35	2.15	2.2
5. Cambourne (8) J: Ms Jamie Kah (54kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr	4.2	4.2	3.85
6. Our Birdsong (13) J: Patrick Moloney (54kg) T: Michael Moroney
7. Polanco (10) J: Craig Newitt (54kg) T: Shea Eden	26	31	32
8. Chief Altony (7) J: Chad Schofield (54kg) T: Alexander Rae	5	5	5.1
9. Mr Tipla (5) J: Patrick Moloney (54kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young	11	9	10
10. Vasmee (9) J: Thomas Stockdale (54kg) T: Nathan Dunn	9.5	9	9.8
11. Kissinger (4) J: Declan Bates (54kg) T: L Smith	21	20	20
12. Orleans Rock (12) J: Dean Holland (54kg) T: Paul Preusker
13. Seiners Express (2) J: Harry Coffey (54kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace	15	16	13.8

Odds Last Updated: May 5, 2022, 3:19pm (AEDT)

Race 9

Sungold Milk Warrnambool Cup (2350m)
3:55pm (AEDT)

Race 9 Sungold Milk Warrnambool Cup (2350m) 3:55pm (AEDT)
1. Warning (3) J: John Allen (60.5kg) T: A & S Freedman	9	9	9.1
2. Grandslam (5) J: Ms Jamie Kah (57kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace	2.7	2.45	2.4
3. Milford (1) J: Patrick Moloney (55.5kg) T: Michael Moroney
4. Nerve Not Verve (2) J: Regan Bayliss (55.5kg) T: M D Moroney	3.7	3.6	3.75
5. Future Score (7) J: Fred Kersley (55kg) T: Matthew Cumani	8	8	7.1
6. Maserartie Bay (6) J: Teodore Nugent (54kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace	15	14	13.6
7. White Hawk (10) J: Mehmet Ulucinar (54kg) T: Angela Brakey	81	81	83
8. Angel Rock (11) J: Harry Coffey (54kg) T: Tom Dabernig	16	15	16.2
9. Queen Takes King (8) J: Declan Bates (54kg) T: L Smith	26	31	32
10. Constantinople (9) J: Ms Linda Meech (54kg) T: Aaron Purcell	31	31	25
11. Witchachar Star (4) J: Beau Mertens (54kg) T: C F Hyland	9	9	9.6

Odds Last Updated: May 5, 2022, 3:59pm (AEDT)

Going to have a small each way bet on (8) Angel Rock here at double figure odds. She’s in super form and has been for a long time, with nine consecutive top three finishes. She ran 2nd to Nerve Not Verve at The Valley three starts back and meets that horse 1.5kg better at the weights today for a 0.75L defeat. Nerve Not Verve is $3.60 while Angel Rock is $15. Six of the past eight winners of this race have drawn barrier 9 or wider, and they’ll likely be using plenty of the track at this late stage of the carnival. So the draw in 11 looks good. Each way.

Tip: (8) Angel Rock $15/$3.80 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units E/W Angel Rock

Race 10

No Fuss Event Hire (Bm64) (1300m)
4:30pm (AEDT)

Race 10 No Fuss Event Hire (Bm64) (1300m) 4:30pm (AEDT)
1. Easy Beast (5) J: (66kg) T: Richard Laming
2. Peidra (4) J: John Allen (62.5kg) T: Tom Dabernig	11	10	11
3. Hinto Blue (17) J: H Coffey (62kg) T: Ben & Jd Hayes
4. Mister Dynamix (3) J: Jordan Childs (61.5kg) T: Q J Scott	19	20	21.5
5. Nerone (7) J: (61.5kg) T: Richard Laming
6. Thunder Point (15) J: Joe Bowditch (61kg) T: Symon Wilde	5.5	5.5	4.85
7. Zagusto (6) J: Patrick Moloney (60.5kg) T: M D Moroney	5.5	5.5	5.4
8. Helvetian (13) J: Will Gordon (60kg) T: C J Cassar	17	16	18.2
9. Bellman (12) J: Jarrod Fry (59.5kg) T: Lindsey Smith
10. Dangers (11) J: Craig Newitt (59kg) T: Shea Eden	21	21	21.5
11. Fast Melody (2) J: Declan Bates (59kg) T: V L Malady	51	41	53
12. Launch Pad (16) J: Blaike Mcdougall (59kg) T: Tom Dabernig	5.5	5.5	4.9
13. Netanyahu (10) J: Damien Oliver (59kg) T: L & T Corstens	4.6	4.4	4.1
14. Mighty Ganges (20) J: Ms Linda Meech (58.5kg) T: Aaron Purcell	34	31	27
15. Pentire's Spirit (18) J: Ethan Brown (58kg) T: L Smith	51	51	41
16. Scenic Host (19) J: Ms Jamie Kah (58kg) T: M A O'leary	11	9.5	12.2
17. Beachhaven (1) J: Billy Egan (58kg) T: Maddie Raymond	19	19	20.5
18. Bull Dust (8) J: Ms Melissa Julius (58kg) T: Q J Scott	67	61	49
19. Kannenbergs Road (14) J: Jason Benbow (55kg) T: Eric Musgrove
20. Lucas The Younger (9) J: Ms Laura Lafferty (57kg) T: N M Kelson	34	31	30

Odds Last Updated: May 5, 2022, 4:34pm (AEDT)

Tim Geers

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.