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Warrnambool Racing Tips: Thursday, May 5th

Tim Geers previews the Listed Warrnambool Cup on the final day of the carnival.

warrnambool cup 2022

Day 3 of the Warrnambool carnival features the Listed Warrnambool Cup over 2350m, which comes up as Race 9 on the card.

Tim Geers has previewed the day’s feature race below, with a horse at each way odds on top!

Scroll down to find his free analysis.

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215559

Race 1

Hammonds Paints Novice Hrdl (3200m)
11:15am (AEDT)

Race 1

Hammonds Paints Novice Hrdl (3200m)
11:15am (AEDT)

1. Brungle Bertie (3) J: Lee Horner (70kg) T: Henry Dwyer
2.5
2. Pueblo (9) J: Will Gordon (68kg) T: David & Coral Feek
8.5
3. Hush Writer (7) J: Ronan Short (68kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
5
4. Blandford Lad (8) J: Steven Pateman (68kg) T: Peter Gelagotis
3.4
5. Roland Garros (1) J: William Mc Carthy (67kg) T: Ciaron Maher & David Eustace
6. El Diez (10) J: Darryl Horner (Jnr) (67kg) T: E V Musgrove
26
7. Cernan (5) J: Chris Mccarthy (67kg) T: E V Musgrove
20
8. Devon Miss (2) J: Richard O'donoghue (66kg) T: Ms B Simpson
41
9. Onset (6) J: Aaron Kuru (65kg) T: E V Musgrove
20
10. Arlington Valley (4) J: (65kg) T: Eric Musgrove
215559

Race 2

Tab (Bm70) (1400m)
11:45am (AEDT)

Race 2

Tab (Bm70) (1400m)
11:45am (AEDT)

1. Zerelle (4) J: Craig Newitt (60kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
191919.2
2. Tilianam (5) J: Jordan Childs (59.5kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
212020.5
3. Ceasar (8) J: John Allen (59kg) T: M D Moroney
33.33.25
4. Pocket Change (6) J: Dean Holland (58kg) T: J P Salanitri
6.56.56.4
5. Cheerful Moment (11) J: Ms Melissa Julius (57kg) T: L Smith
121312.8
6. Imposing Brook (13) J: Billy Egan (57kg) T: Patrick Payne
111010.4
7. Chorizama (12) J: Ms Linda Meech (56.5kg) T: Symon Wilde
10119.4
8. Mingora (2) J: Damien Oliver (56kg) T: L Smith
314143
9. Sachem (3) J: Daniel Moor (56kg) T: M J Williams
7.57.58.1
10. Henty (7) J: Chad Schofield (55.5kg) T: D R Brideoake
87.57.9
11. Rusheen (9) J: J Noonan (55kg) T: Tony Noonan
12. Dustland Fairytale (10) J: Jarrod Fry (54kg) T: L Smith
171918.8
13. Fiasco Tess (1) J: Daniel Moor (54kg) T: David Brideoake

Odds Last Updated: May 5, 2022, 11:49am (AEDT)

215559

Race 3

The Standard (Bm78) (1100m)
12:15pm (AEDT)

Race 3

The Standard (Bm78) (1100m)
12:15pm (AEDT)

1. Silent Command (7) J: John Allen (59.5kg) T: Nick Smart
616143
2. Ashford Street (10) J: Teodore Nugent (59kg) T: K M Elford
4.44.23.9
3. Can't Be Done (8) J: Chad Schofield (59kg) T: Danny O'Brien
4. Ocular (5) J: Craig Newitt (59kg) T: Shea Eden
5.566
5. Colsridge (9) J: Harry Coffey (58.5kg) T: A G Pace
888.1
6. The General (3) J: Dean Holland (58.5kg) T: Richard Laming
54.85
7. Magnajet (12) J: Craig Newitt (57.5kg) T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young
8. Our Wind Spirit (2) J: Damien Oliver (57.5kg) T: L Smith
66.56.6
9. Cecil Street Lad (14) J: Thomas Stockdale (57kg) T: Richard Laming
10. Realeza (1) J: Beau Mertens (57kg) T: Gavin Bedggood
11. Capriccio (4) J: Daniel Moor (55kg) T: Daniel Bowman
12. Fiery Red (6) J: Ms Jamie Kah (55kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
3.333.1
13. Mckeever (11) J: Linda Meech (55kg) T: Symon Wilde
14. Home Rule (13) J: (54kg) T: Maddie Raymond

Odds Last Updated: May 5, 2022, 12:15pm (AEDT)

215559

Race 4

Catanachs Jewellers (Bm70) (1400m)
12:45pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Catanachs Jewellers (Bm70) (1400m)
12:45pm (AEDT)

1. La Spezia (4) J: Jordan Childs (59.5kg) T: Jamie Edwards
2. Millennial Girl (7) J: Ethan Brown (59.5kg) T: S R Fisher
3. Puckapunyal (3) J: Jarrod Fry (59.5kg) T: L Smith
54.85.1
4. Queen Zyrah (13) J: Harry Coffey (59.5kg) T: Symon Wilde
87.57.7
5. Wanalirri (15) J: Chad Schofield (59.5kg) T: P F Ryan
8108.9
6. Picaroon (5) J: Dom Tourneur (59kg) T: Michael O'Leary
7. Wish I Might (1) J: Daniel Moor (59kg) T: Daniel Bowman
8. Love Takes Time (11) J: Ms Jamie Kah (58kg) T: A & S Freedman
2.72.52.5
9. Stratessa (2) J: Will Price (58kg) T: Henry Dwyer
9109.5
10. Aberlady (10) J: Thomas Stockdale (57.5kg) T: Andrew Homann
11. Till It's Over (6) J: Declan Bates (57.5kg) T: Paul Preusker
12. Pankhurst (16) J: John Allen (56.5kg) T: M J Williams
3.63.73.4
13. Audrey Girl (9) J: Craig Newitt (56kg) T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young
14. Romany Rocks (14) J: Damien Oliver (56kg) T: Symon Wilde
15. Nuriya (12) J: Ms Laura Lafferty (55kg) T: Ms J Baker
413437
16. Fiable (8) J: Dean Holland (54kg) T: Aaron Purcell
343431

Odds Last Updated: May 5, 2022, 12:50pm (AEDT)

215559

Race 5

Ludeman Real Estate (Bm64) (2000m)
1:15pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Ludeman Real Estate (Bm64) (2000m)
1:15pm (AEDT)

1. Auf Weidersehen (5) J: Craig Newitt (61.5kg) T: Shea Eden
212121.5
2. King Of Pharaohs (6) J: Jarrod Fry (61.5kg) T: L Smith
2.62.52.5
3. Zoffala (14) J: Chad Schofield (61.5kg) T: T & C Mcevoy
212018.6
4. Witsabouthim (4) J: Daniel Moor (61kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
171818.2
5. Antilles (7) J: Jordan Childs (60.5kg) T: Emma Collins
301201151
6. Miss Tenthousand (9) J: Tatum Bull (60.5kg) T: Matthew Williams
7. Fabalot (13) J: Billy Egan (60kg) T: Maddie Raymond
313123.5
8. Serenade The Stars (12) J: Will Price (60kg) T: E V Musgrove
151101161
9. Equine Philosopher (10) J: Ms Mikaela Lawrence (59.5kg) T: Jarrod Robinson
313135
10. Springvale Road (19) J: Declan Bates (59.5kg) T: L Smith
151515.2
11. The Amazonian (11) J: Jamie Kah (59.5kg) T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr
12. Accuse (18) J: John Allen (59kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
5.555.7
13. Almsgiver (2) J: Damien Oliver (59kg) T: M J Williams
111110.4
14. Copu (17) J: Ethan Brown (59kg) T: Lindsey Smith
15. Sky Hero (20) J: Will Gordon (59kg) T: Richard Cully
262122
16. Power Of Song (1) J: Joe Bowditch (57.5kg) T: Symon Wilde
6.565.6
17. Tavisteel (3) J: Ms Alana Kelly (56.5kg) T: Simon Zahra
212120
18. Fiji (15) J: Ms Linda Meech (58.5kg) T: Aaron Purcell
262126.5
19. Dunmam (8) J: Harry Coffey (58.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
313128.5
20. Catskill Mountain (16) J: Blaike Mcdougall (58kg) T: Andrew Bobbin

Odds Last Updated: May 5, 2022, 1:20pm (AEDT)

215559

Race 6

Evergreen Turf N. Wilson-Bm70 (1700m)
1:50pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Evergreen Turf N. Wilson-Bm70 (1700m)
1:50pm (AEDT)

1. Irish Playboy (11) J: A Lynch (61.5kg) T: Henry Dwyer
2. Prospectus (7) J: Ms Linda Meech (61.5kg) T: Aaron Purcell
616147
3. Rudhyar (12) J: Jarrod Fry (60.5kg) T: L Smith
4.64.44.7
4. Sarodec (5) J: Dean Holland (60.5kg) T: Richard Laming
554.7
5. Marchons Ensemble (13) J: Jordan Childs (60kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
141512.2
6. Worsfold (14) J: John Allen (59.5kg) T: Nick Smart
3.12.83.2
7. Cabinho (4) J: Ms Jamie Kah (59kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
4.64.83.95
8. Spanish Snitzel (15) J: Daniel Moor (58.5kg) T: C V Kelly
9. Mark Of The Man (2) J: Linda Meech (57.5kg) T: Aaron Purcell
10. Testa Life (8) J: Harry Coffey (56.5kg) T: Ms J Duncan
343435
11. Moscow Red (1) J: Will Price (56kg) T: Henry Dwyer
151613.4
12. Feargal (3) J: Ms Laura Lafferty (55kg) T: Ms J Baker
191918.2
13. The Yachtsman (6) J: Neil Farley (54.5kg) T: K T Bourke
263130
14. Andress (10) J: Declan Bates (54kg) T: L Smith
615151
15. Anewdaydawning (16) J: Teodore Nugent (54kg) T: M A Townsend
15110197
16. Mont Agel (9) J: Harry Grace (54kg) T: P F Ryan
341963

Odds Last Updated: May 5, 2022, 1:54pm (AEDT)

215559

Race 7

Lyndoch Grand Annual Stpl (5500m)
2:30pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Lyndoch Grand Annual Stpl (5500m)
2:30pm (AEDT)

1. Bit Of A Lad (8) J: Steven Pateman (69kg) T: Ciaron Maher & David Eustace
2. Police Camp (7) J: Darryl Horner (Jnr) (64kg) T: Simon Ryan
313132
3. Getting Leggie (1) J: Ross O'sullivan (64kg) T: Nick Smart
171718.2
4. Britannicus (9) J: (64kg) T: Symon Wilde
5. Master Poet (10) J: Aaron Kuru (64kg) T: Amy Mcdonald
9.59.510.2
6. Vanguard (12) J: Will Gordon (64kg) T: Symon Wilde
21.91.84
7. Heberite (4) J: William Mccarthy (64kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
3.73.53.5
8. Budd Fox (6) J: A Lynch (64kg) T: Henry Dwyer
9. American In Paris (11) J: Ronan Short (64kg) T: Symon Wilde
776.8
10. San Remo (5) J: Lee Horner (64kg) T: Dane Smith
121312.6
11. My King's Counsel (2) J: Richard O'donoghue (64kg) T: Ms K Durden
918193
12. Eyes Are Blue (3) J: Selim Agbal (64kg) T: Declan Maher
918193

Odds Last Updated: May 5, 2022, 2:34pm (AEDT)

215559

Race 8

Kia Hcp (1400m)
3:15pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Kia Hcp (1400m)
3:15pm (AEDT)

1. Proconsent (1) J: Ethan Brown (59kg) T: L Smith
313435
2. Biometric (3) J: Regan Bayliss (58.5kg) T: Ben & Jd Hayes
3. Morrissy (11) J: Harry Grace (57kg) T: Simon Ryan
4. Tuvalu (6) J: Jarrod Fry (55kg) T: L Smith
2.352.152.2
5. Cambourne (8) J: Ms Jamie Kah (54kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
4.24.23.85
6. Our Birdsong (13) J: Patrick Moloney (54kg) T: Michael Moroney
7. Polanco (10) J: Craig Newitt (54kg) T: Shea Eden
263132
8. Chief Altony (7) J: Chad Schofield (54kg) T: Alexander Rae
555.1
9. Mr Tipla (5) J: Patrick Moloney (54kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
11910
10. Vasmee (9) J: Thomas Stockdale (54kg) T: Nathan Dunn
9.599.8
11. Kissinger (4) J: Declan Bates (54kg) T: L Smith
212020
12. Orleans Rock (12) J: Dean Holland (54kg) T: Paul Preusker
13. Seiners Express (2) J: Harry Coffey (54kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
151613.8

Odds Last Updated: May 5, 2022, 3:19pm (AEDT)

215559

Race 9

Sungold Milk Warrnambool Cup (2350m)
3:55pm (AEDT)

Race 9

Sungold Milk Warrnambool Cup (2350m)
3:55pm (AEDT)

1. Warning (3) J: John Allen (60.5kg) T: A & S Freedman
999.1
2. Grandslam (5) J: Ms Jamie Kah (57kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
2.72.452.4
3. Milford (1) J: Patrick Moloney (55.5kg) T: Michael Moroney
4. Nerve Not Verve (2) J: Regan Bayliss (55.5kg) T: M D Moroney
3.73.63.75
5. Future Score (7) J: Fred Kersley (55kg) T: Matthew Cumani
887.1
6. Maserartie Bay (6) J: Teodore Nugent (54kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
151413.6
7. White Hawk (10) J: Mehmet Ulucinar (54kg) T: Angela Brakey
818183
8. Angel Rock (11) J: Harry Coffey (54kg) T: Tom Dabernig
161516.2
9. Queen Takes King (8) J: Declan Bates (54kg) T: L Smith
263132
10. Constantinople (9) J: Ms Linda Meech (54kg) T: Aaron Purcell
313125
11. Witchachar Star (4) J: Beau Mertens (54kg) T: C F Hyland
999.6

Odds Last Updated: May 5, 2022, 3:59pm (AEDT)

Going to have a small each way bet on (8) Angel Rock here at double figure odds. She’s in super form and has been for a long time, with nine consecutive top three finishes. She ran 2nd to Nerve Not Verve at The Valley three starts back and meets that horse 1.5kg better at the weights today for a 0.75L defeat. Nerve Not Verve is $3.60 while Angel Rock is $15. Six of the past eight winners of this race have drawn barrier 9 or wider, and they’ll likely be using plenty of the track at this late stage of the carnival. So the draw in 11 looks good. Each way.

Tip: (8) Angel Rock $15/$3.80 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units E/W Angel Rock

215559

Race 10

No Fuss Event Hire (Bm64) (1300m)
4:30pm (AEDT)

Race 10

No Fuss Event Hire (Bm64) (1300m)
4:30pm (AEDT)

1. Easy Beast (5) J: (66kg) T: Richard Laming
2. Peidra (4) J: John Allen (62.5kg) T: Tom Dabernig
111011
3. Hinto Blue (17) J: H Coffey (62kg) T: Ben & Jd Hayes
4. Mister Dynamix (3) J: Jordan Childs (61.5kg) T: Q J Scott
192021.5
5. Nerone (7) J: (61.5kg) T: Richard Laming
6. Thunder Point (15) J: Joe Bowditch (61kg) T: Symon Wilde
5.55.54.85
7. Zagusto (6) J: Patrick Moloney (60.5kg) T: M D Moroney
5.55.55.4
8. Helvetian (13) J: Will Gordon (60kg) T: C J Cassar
171618.2
9. Bellman (12) J: Jarrod Fry (59.5kg) T: Lindsey Smith
10. Dangers (11) J: Craig Newitt (59kg) T: Shea Eden
212121.5
11. Fast Melody (2) J: Declan Bates (59kg) T: V L Malady
514153
12. Launch Pad (16) J: Blaike Mcdougall (59kg) T: Tom Dabernig
5.55.54.9
13. Netanyahu (10) J: Damien Oliver (59kg) T: L & T Corstens
4.64.44.1
14. Mighty Ganges (20) J: Ms Linda Meech (58.5kg) T: Aaron Purcell
343127
15. Pentire's Spirit (18) J: Ethan Brown (58kg) T: L Smith
515141
16. Scenic Host (19) J: Ms Jamie Kah (58kg) T: M A O'leary
119.512.2
17. Beachhaven (1) J: Billy Egan (58kg) T: Maddie Raymond
191920.5
18. Bull Dust (8) J: Ms Melissa Julius (58kg) T: Q J Scott
676149
19. Kannenbergs Road (14) J: Jason Benbow (55kg) T: Eric Musgrove
20. Lucas The Younger (9) J: Ms Laura Lafferty (57kg) T: N M Kelson
343130

Odds Last Updated: May 5, 2022, 4:34pm (AEDT)

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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