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Warwick Farm Racing Tips: Monday, October 4th

Billy Bestford previews every race on a cracking card of racing this Monday.

WarwickFarmRacecourse

It’s a Public Holiday in NSW which means we’ve got some strong racing lined up for your Monday to see out the long weekend. 

Warwick Farm will play host to an eight race card with the track rated a soft 6 and the rail in the true. 

Billy Bestford previews every race today while his best bet comes up in Race 3.

199134

Race 1

Bowermans Furniture Mdn (1400m)
1:25pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Bowermans Furniture Mdn (1400m)
1:25pm (AEDT)

1. Castlereagh Kid (7) J: Nash Rawiller (57kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
55.55.55.54.955.5
2. Edmonton (5) J: Hugh Bowman (57kg) T: C J Waller
119.5111110.810
3. Greater Harlem (4) J: Tommy Berry (57kg) T: C J Waller
7.57.55.56.56.47
4. Hollywood North (9) J: Unknown (57kg) T: C J Waller
5. Pacific Warrior (8) J: Jason Collett (57kg) T: A J Cummings
515171915961
6. Semeco (3) J: Joshua Parr (57kg) T: David Payne
2621212124.521
7. Sir Savaluca (1) J: Regan Bayliss (57kg) T: Joseph Pride
161617181517
8. Coudreau (2) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (55kg) T: C J Waller
9. Hoover Lucy (6) J: James Mcdonald (55kg) T: C J Waller
1.61.61.61.651.661.55

Odds Last Updated: October 4, 2021, 1:26pm (AEDT)

(9) Hoover Lucy will be all the rage here and looks pretty hard to tip against. Worked through her gears nicely 2nd up and should be primed for this now. This bigger track will suit her.

(3) Greater Harlem could be the danger coming off a nice trial win in between runs. They’ve taken the blinkers off here and the little freshen up might do him a world of good. 

(1) Castlereagh Kid did well on debut finishing 2nd over this trip to Clyde. Arguably should have won there with even luck so he can bounce back with more upside than some of these. 

Fav looks hard to beat but at the price I think GH could be worth a nibble.

Tip: (3) Greater Harlem - $6.00 at TopSport

Betting Strategy: 0.5u WIN Greater Harlem

199134

Race 2

The Agency Real Estate (Bm72) (2110m)
2:00pm (AEDT)

Race 2

The Agency Real Estate (Bm72) (2110m)
2:00pm (AEDT)

1. Torrens (1) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (62.5kg) T: Lauri Parker
7.57.5888.17.5
2. Our Bambino (2) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (58kg) T: R & L Price
555555
3. Dhakuri (7) J: James Mcdonald (57.5kg) T: James Cummings
1.81.851.81.851.781.8
4. Shadow Girl (8) J: Ms Rachel King (57kg) T: G K White
1414141514.214
5. Clem Fandango (4) J: Ms Alysha Collett (54kg) T: Matthew Dale
212026262321
6. Phelan Thirsty (3) J: Jeff Penza (54kg) T: G W Murray
272626313026
7. Joe's Joy (6) J: Robbie Dolan (54kg) T: Richard Litt
2019192118.618
8. The Guru (5) J: Andrew Adkins (54kg) T: Ms T Bateup
9.51011109.510

Odds Last Updated: October 4, 2021, 2:01pm (AEDT)

Think (3) Dhakuri looks hard to beat here on the back of a dominant 2nd up win. He will have to rise in grade again but I think this horse is on the improve and 2100m should be no issues with the way he handled 1800 last start. Has been a winner 3rd up previously as well. 

(4) Shadow Girl looks a touch overs and was a winner 4th up last prep. She’s also a winner over this trip and looks to be building towards a peak performance. 

(2) Our Bambino is another who looks primed for a strong run now getting out to 2100m 4th up. He’s been good this prep without winning and just needs clear air in the straight. 

Tip: (3) Dhakuri - $2.00 at Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 1.5u WIN Dhakuri

199134

Race 3

Vinery (Bm68) (1100m)
2:35pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Vinery (Bm68) (1100m)
2:35pm (AEDT)

1. Aslav (1) J: Hugh Bowman (59kg) T: C J Waller
9.599.51010.29.5
2. Frostin' (2) J: Sam Clipperton (58.5kg) T: P & P Snowden
2120211920.518
3. Hammoon Star (5) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (57kg) T: K A Lees
1614171918.414
4. Battleton (3) J: Jason Collett (56.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker
4.84.84.64.84.854.6
5. Your Too Good (10) J: Joshua Parr (56.5kg) T: Mark Newnham
4.24.43.844.054.2
6. Speech (8) J: James Mcdonald (55.5kg) T: James Cummings
2.152.22.152.152.052.15
7. Dash Dash Dash (9) J: Jeff Penza (55kg) T: I B Finn
151126151151141126
8. Heavenly Field (6) J: Ms Alysha Collett (55kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
272631313231
9. Divine Kamehalani (4) J: Ms Rachel King (54kg) T: J C Coyle
10110115110199101
10. Headliner (7) J: Tommy Berry (54kg) T: C J Waller

Odds Last Updated: October 4, 2021, 2:36pm (AEDT)

(6) Speech looks a promising horse and that debut win was as dominant as you’ll see. She travelled into that race so well and for a horse having her first start, did things very professionally. She’ll only take a heap if improvement from that and now gets Jmac on. Should be able to follow something into the race and round them up. 

(4) Battleton is another who comes of a debut win. He was hammered that day in the market and clearly has scope to improve. Would expect he’ll be out the back with the other fav making their runs together. 

(1) Aslav looks the big query runner having his first start since May. Won on debut over this trip before tackling some black type. Looks the other logical threat.

Tip: (6) Speech - $2.40 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 2u WIN Speech

199134

Race 4

Cactus Imaging (Bm72) (1400m)
3:10pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Cactus Imaging (Bm72) (1400m)
3:10pm (AEDT)

1. Think Free (6) J: Ms Laura Lafferty (62kg) T: K A Lees
98.59.510108
2. Bowery Breeze (8) J: Unknown (60.5kg) T: W P Cave
3. French Bonnet (4) J: Hugh Bowman (59.5kg) T: Ms K Waugh
66665.76
4. Takissacod (2) J: Ms Rachel King (59kg) T: Ms D Scott
1313121313.212
5. Atonement (1) J: Tommy Berry (58kg) T: Matthew Smith
1311121413.611
6. Onedayclosertoyou (5) J: James Mcdonald (58kg) T: C J Waller
2.92.92.93.22.92.8
7. Rock My Wand (9) J: Jason Collett (58kg) T: Matthew Smith
3.23.22.83.13.23.2
8. Obvious Step (3) J: Glyn Schofield (56.5kg) T: David Payne
1312111111.412
9. Mascherata (7) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (54kg) T: J A O'shea

Odds Last Updated: October 4, 2021, 3:11pm (AEDT)

(1) Think Free can run well here dropping out of a Group 3. The 3kg claim is a big positive and she maps for a nice run from gate 6. Was a winner her only start here at WF and she’ll give this a good shake. 

(6) Onedayclosertoyou is making her way through the grades nicely and looks to have found some good form this prep. She’ll be up near the speed and will be given her chance. 

(3) French Bonnet was a tad dissapointing first up last start. She’s a much better horse with a run under the belt so wouldn’t surprise to see her bounce back. 

Tip: (1) Think Free - $5.00 at TAB

Betting Strategy: 0.5u WIN Think Free

199134

Race 5

Tab (Bm72) (1600m)
3:45pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Tab (Bm72) (1600m)
3:45pm (AEDT)

1. Monsieur Sisu (10) J: Unknown (61kg) T: W P Cave
2. So United (7) J: Jean Van Overmeire (60kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
54.85.5555
3. The Grinder (4) J: Hugh Bowman (59.5kg) T: C J Waller
151417171414
4. Van Gogh (8) J: Regan Bayliss (58.5kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
8.588.59.58.18.5
5. Agrimony (2) J: James Mcdonald (58kg) T: C J Waller
6. Ma And Pa (1) J: Nash Rawiller (58kg) T: C J Waller
1.951.951.921.921.9
7. Alvin The Bold (5) J: Joshua Parr (56.5kg) T: G K White
5.55.5555.55
8. French Response (6) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (56kg) T: M S Minervini
9. Lease (3) J: Jason Collett (54kg) T: A J Cummings
151516161516
10. No Escape (9) J: James Innes Jnr (54kg) T: T P Croft
464167514751

Odds Last Updated: October 4, 2021, 3:46pm (AEDT)

Hard to knock the form of (6) Ma And Pa who looks a horse on the up. Another low draw will suit perfectly for Nash to go straight to the front and should be too strong again. Might be able to take a sit off the Gaibott runners here and should be hard fit now 3rd up. The horse he beat last start has come out and won by 7L since.

Wish it was a touch wetter for (3) The Grinder who looks the value runner here for me. Was average fresh but 2nd up is always his go and I’m thinking we could see improvement stretching out to the mile in a race with a heap of speed on.

(2) So United was good rising straight to the mile last start and was only run down late by a couple of smart ones. Will be better for that and could be hard to run down here.

Tip: (6) Ma And Pa - $2.40 at Bet365

Value: (3) The Grinder - $16 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Ma And Pa, 0.25u WIN The Grinder

199134

Race 6

Precise Air (Bm78) (1400m)
4:20pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Precise Air (Bm78) (1400m)
4:20pm (AEDT)

1. Soami (4) J: Hugh Bowman (60.5kg) T: M J Dunn
3.53.53.43.73.653.3
2. Snowfire (3) J: Tommy Berry (60kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
3. Lord Ardmore (7) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (59kg) T: C J Waller
6.56.5665.86
4. Above And Beyond (9) J: Ms Alysha Collett (58.5kg) T: G Portelli
1817181916.817
5. High Court (2) J: Sam Clipperton (58.5kg) T: J N Englebrecht
2321262626.523
6. Escaped (12) J: Nash Rawiller (58kg) T: J C Deamer
7. Suave (1) J: James Mcdonald (57.5kg) T: James Cummings
1.851.851.851.91.861.85
8. Aeecee Express (8) J: Tim Clark (54kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
9. Heza Gentleman (10) J: Jason Collett (54kg) T: M & D Kearney
141416171614
10. Whasir (11) J: Jeff Penza (54kg) T: I B Finn
415167515151
11. Nicochet (6) J: Unknown (54kg) T: J C Coyle
12. Salsonic (5) J: Ms Rachel King (54kg) T: J C Coyle

Odds Last Updated: October 4, 2021, 4:21pm (AEDT)

(1) Suave should be suited back in this smaller field and was a pass mark when resuming at Randwick over this trip. He races well here at the track and barrier 1 will give McDonald options in the run. Looks hard to beat but the $1.95 looks rock bottom.

(1) Soami comes out of the same race as Suave and beat him by 0.5L. He rises 1kg on that run however and I’m just wondering if he’s come to the end of his prep. 

(5) High Court next best. Gets his favoured dry track and 1400m today.

Tip: (1) Suave - $1.95 at Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 2u WIN Suave

199134

Race 7

Ranvet Hcp (1000m)
4:55pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Ranvet Hcp (1000m)
4:55pm (AEDT)

1. Special Reward (10) J: Hugh Bowman (61.5kg) T: K A Lees
212120192023
2. Varda (3) J: James Mcdonald (58kg) T: James Cummings
5.55655.65
3. Enchanted Heart (2) J: Nash Rawiller (57.5kg) T: K A Lees
109121111.29
4. Marway (4) J: Joshua Parr (55.5kg) T: Mark Newnham
2.92.82.82.82.72.8
5. Star Boy (5) J: Jason Collett (54kg) T: B F Cavanough
353434414034
6. Mossman Gorge (1) J: Tim Clark (54kg) T: Matthew Dale
1817171818.217
7. Lord Olympus (7) J: Robbie Dolan (54kg) T: Mark Newnham
77.56.587.17.5
8. Valaquenta (8) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (54kg) T: James Cummings
88.587.57.78.5
9. Plague Stone (9) J: Jean Van Overmeire (54kg) T: T Sergi
10. Mamaragan (6) J: Ms Rachel King (54kg) T: John Thompson
66.55.56.566.5

Odds Last Updated: October 4, 2021, 4:56pm (AEDT)

Good race for the speedsters here and I’ll be backing two horses. 

(4) Marway is a jet out of the gates and should put himself up on the speed and can prove hard to run down. Especially with a run under the belt now he will be primed and his 2nd up record reads 3 wins from 5 starts. Drops in the weights for this and was scratched from Saturday with this in mind. 

(8) Valaquenta can bounce back here on a dry track. Just doesn’t have the same turn of foot in the wet conditions last start and I like the drop back to 1000m. Can wind up late and should benefit from the hot tempo up front. 

(2) Varda flies fresh and has winning form in much stronger races than this. Not sold on the trials though and she looks short enough. 

(6) Mossman Gorge can win fresh and will only carry the minimum for Tim Clark. Maps for a nice run.

Tip: (4) Marway - $3.50 at Bet365

Also Backing: (8) Valaquenta - $10 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Marway, 0.5u WIN Valaquenta

199134

Race 8

Xxxx (Bm72) (1200m)
5:30pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Xxxx (Bm72) (1200m)
5:30pm (AEDT)

1. Zoushack (14) J: Nash Rawiller (61.5kg) T: Joseph Pride
3.23.2333.053.1
2. Newsreader (2) J: Ms Laura Lafferty (59kg) T: J A O'shea
87.58.587.87.5
3. Ocean Emperor (9) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (59kg) T: Bjorn Baker
4. Bowery Breeze (6) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (58.5kg) T: W P Cave
1717171516.217
5. Nictock (3) J: Joshua Parr (58.5kg) T: M C Conners
353434414134
6. Atlantic King (1) J: Jason Collett (57.5kg) T: M J Dunn
1614151516.214
7. Quiet Riot (7) J: Hugh Bowman (57.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker
664.85.55.65.5
8. Bullet Rider (11) J: Sam Clipperton (57kg) T: Mark Newnham
2726312621.526
9. Kattegat (13) J: Ms Rachel King (57kg) T: Natalie Jarvis
2121212121.521
10. Wander (5) J: Ms Alysha Collett (57kg) T: Richard Litt
616167616361
11. Le Vizir (15) J: Robbie Dolan (56.5kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
1210131310.413
12. Patrolling (12) J: Tim Clark (55kg) T: Joseph Pride
4.84.84.64.64.44.8
13. Pumbaa Rua (8) J: Unknown (55kg) T: Grant Allard
14. Shelby Sixtysix (4) J: Tommy Berry (55kg) T: D A Williams
312634313226
15. Kobestar (10) J: Unknown (54kg) T: R & L Price

Odds Last Updated: October 4, 2021, 5:31pm (AEDT)

They’ve taken plenty of time with (2) Newsreader following the one fail last prep in the Denise Joy. She started $4 favourite there and clearly had excuses. The stable put her away and she’s had four trials since then leading into today. The work there has been good and gets in well after the claim today for Laura Lafferty. Her best form wins this race. 

(1) Zoushack was very good in first start for the airborne Joe Pride stable. Finished 2nd to Count De Rupee there and has won twice when 2nd up in the past. Will improve here today but the big weight and wide draw is some query.

(12) Patrolling will carry race fitness on his side and looks close to a win.  

Tip: (2) Newsreader - $4.60 at TAB

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Newsreader

Billy has been an avid racing fan ever since he and a few mates started a punters club once they turned 18. Following the initial punters clubs, he was properly hooked after landing a nice collect on Admire Rakti in the 2014 Caulfield Cup and has had a soft spot for Japanese horses ever since. Is a massive fan of 'blinkers first time' and has been known to enjoy a 'Hail Mary' multi. Loves punting across metro Sydney and Melbourne every Saturday but isn't scared to venture West late in the day to find a Pikey special.

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