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Ascot Racing Tips: Saturday, October 16th

Tim Geers previews Northerly Stakes day at Ascot and picks out his best bets on the card.

Ascot-Racing

A good day of racing today at Ascot in the West with the Group 3 Northerly Stakes and the Listed Crawford Stakes headlining a nine-race card.

The track is rated a Good 4 with the rail out 5m.

Tim Geers has picked out his best bets on the card, which come up in Race 1, Race 7 and Race 8.

Scroll down to find our Ascot racing tips below!

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200192

Race 1

Happy 70Th Reg Bartle (Rs1mw) (1200m)
3:36pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Happy 70Th Reg Bartle (Rs1mw) (1200m)
3:36pm (AEDT)

1. Multinational (9) J: Brad Parnham (59.5kg) T: N D Parnham
1413121210.813
2. Devoted (4) J: William Pike (58kg) T: G & A Williams
2.32.352.32.42.32.25
3. Six Carat (7) J: Craig Staples (58kg) T: P H Jordan
1019181916581
4. Buzzoom (5) J: Chris Parnham (59kg) T: D L Morton
54.84.64.64.954.8
5. Hardly Ever (2) J: Patrick Carbery (57kg) T: Simon Miller
2.82.92.82.82.952.9
6. Plemont (1) J: Joseph Azzopardi (56kg) T: F R Kersley
171818201918
7. Yemen Lass (8) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (56kg) T: Luke Fernie
4134343426.534
8. The Lady Is A Vamp (6) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (55.5kg) T: L P Luciani
3431313124.531
9. Dadirra (3) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (55kg) T: F R Kersley
232019191619

Odds Last Updated: October 16, 2021, 3:36pm (AEDT)

Keen to be with the very promising (5) Hardly Ever who was backed as if unbeatable on debut and delivered by producing a barnstorming finish from the back of the field. Looks to be a serious filly for the Simon Miller stable and I expect her to be very hard to beat again today.

(2) Devoted beat Noble Born on debut at Northam and they pulled nearly 7L clear of the rest of the field, but Noble Born failed to win on Wednesday so there is a small query over just how good that form is.

(6) Plemont is still a maiden but I think has some talent and did trial well. Can be included at $20.

Tip: (5) Hardly Ever $2.75 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Hardly Ever

200192

Race 2

Morley Growers Market (Bm72+) (2200m)
4:19pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Morley Growers Market (Bm72+) (2200m)
4:19pm (AEDT)

1. Roman Flirt (5) J: William Pike (60kg) T: D & B Pearce
2.22.352.42.42.42.4
2. Baramagic (6) J: Brad Parnham (58kg) T: Brian Kersley
5.55554.555
3. Final Chill (1) J: Shaun O'donnell (57.5kg) T: Kieran Mcdonagh
191615151515
4. Saxon Saxoff (7) J: Ms Holly Watson (57kg) T: K M Green
514141413241
5. Queen Takes King (3) J: Chris Parnham (56.5kg) T: L Smith
6.56.56.575.76.5
6. Secret Pearl (2) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (56.5kg) T: Ricky Moss
887.588.17.5
7. Regal City (8) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (55kg) T: P J Fernie
765.567.15.5
8. Schooling (4) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (55kg) T: J J Enright
413434343434
9. Trade Master (9) J: Joseph Azzopardi (55kg) T: E A Martinovich
1818181814.818

Odds Last Updated: October 16, 2021, 4:21pm (AEDT)

200192

Race 3

Tabtouch Platinum (Rs0mw) (1200m)
4:55pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Tabtouch Platinum (Rs0mw) (1200m)
4:55pm (AEDT)

1. Apple Schnapps (7) J: William Pike (61kg) T: L Smith
4.24.44.44.44.64.4
2. Image Keeper (1) J: Laqdar Ramoly (59kg) T: Brock Lewthwaite
3.333.13.23.353.2
3. Flicka's Chance (3) J: Jason Whiting (57.5kg) T: Ms S Bakranich
4.23.93.63.53.53.8
4. Pink 'N' Gray (4) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (57.5kg) T: G P Evans
2321182017.418
5. Jaguar Grey (10) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (56.5kg) T: B V Watkins
101010109.410
6. Smashing (6) J: Chris Parnham (56kg) T: N D Parnham
6.5777.56.27
7. Miss Quoted (8) J: Ms Victoria Corver (55kg) T: G M Ayres
353434343134
8. Winsalot (5) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (55kg) T: L P Luciani
1515141515.214
9. Advocator (9) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (54kg) T: F R Kersley
3434313425.531
10. Rexford (11) J: Peter Knuckey (54kg) T: Ms R Lockwood
10112610110187126
11. Rock Hard Omaru (2) J: Joseph Azzopardi (54kg) T: Kirsten Melis
3131263122.526

Odds Last Updated: October 16, 2021, 4:56pm (AEDT)

200192

Race 4

Seacorp (Bm72+) (1600m)
5:44pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Seacorp (Bm72+) (1600m)
5:44pm (AEDT)

1. Staralign (8) J: Paul Harvey (60kg) T: P J Fernie
54.84.44.45.14.8
2. Karijini Aurora (6) J: William Pike (58kg) T: Summer Dickson
3.43.53.53.53.53.5
3. Miracle Man (4) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (57.5kg) T: Jordan Rolfe
414134413634
4. Son Of Bacchus (5) J: Shaun O'donnell (57.5kg) T: Rhys Radford
4.54.244.44.14
5. Rebel Knight (1) J: Chris Parnham (57kg) T: D T Mcauliffe
4.84.64.64.64.354.6
6. No Apology (3) J: Brad Parnham (56.5kg) T: S J Miller
6.56.56.575.96.5
7. Miss Marietta (7) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (55kg) T: Brett Pope
1212111211.211
8. Yadreamin' (2) J: Steven Parnham (55kg) T: C R Green
413434343134

Odds Last Updated: October 16, 2021, 5:46pm (AEDT)

200192

Race 5

Glenroy Chaff (Rs1mw) (1500m)
6:27pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Glenroy Chaff (Rs1mw) (1500m)
6:27pm (AEDT)

1. Outback Jack (10) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (59.5kg) T: S J Miller
9.59997.99
2. Little Flirt (7) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (59kg) T: R W Matthews
1515141412.415
3. Celebrity Witness (8) J: Joseph Azzopardi (57.5kg) T: D & B Pearce
887.588.17.5
4. Jag The Joker (5) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (56.5kg) T: A W Maley
232121212023
5. Jarman (9) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (56kg) T: G P Jones
1516161613.216
6. Spritely Star (2) J: William Pike (55.5kg) T: G & A Williams
1.71.751.71.71.821.75
7. The Roan Ranger (6) J: Troy Turner (55.5kg) T: P E Roberts
414141413341
8. Costa Lante (4) J: Jason Whiting (54kg) T: Joshua Mcleod
101101101101111101
9. My Fury (3) J: Chris Parnham (54kg) T: D T Mcauliffe
5.55.555.55.25
10. Special Picture (1) J: Ms Shelby Bowtell (54kg) T: Raymond Vincent
2726262627.526

Odds Last Updated: October 16, 2021, 6:31pm (AEDT)

200192

Race 6

Brava Mento Rec. Holder-Rs1mw (1000m)
7:05pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Brava Mento Rec. Holder-Rs1mw (1000m)
7:05pm (AEDT)

1. Double Jeopardy (11) J: William Pike (60kg) T: Tiarnna Robertson
12111111.611
2. Triple Missile (5) J: Brad Rawiller (59.5kg) T: L Smith
2.152.152.152.12.15
3. Desert Thorn (6) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (59kg) T: J J Enright
5141415341
4. Forest War (3) J: Laqdar Ramoly (59kg) T: J P Taylor
1211101110
5. Vadette De Star (10) J: Chris Parnham (57.5kg) T: Simon Miller
3.13.13.133.1
6. Cockyjoy (1) J: Steven Parnham (56.5kg) T: J E Grieve
20212117.223
7. Blankenberge (9) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (55.5kg) T: Brock Lewthwaite
4141414341
8. Requisition (2) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (55.5kg) T: Brett Pope
1921212023
9. Katona (12) J: Patrick Carbery (55kg) T: R G Turrell Jnr
4134342634
10. My Blueboy (7) J: Keshaw Dhurun (55kg) T: P E Roberts
31262628.526
11. Strike (8) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (54.5kg) T: C & M Gangemi
12. Go Forward (4) J: Brad Parnham (54kg) T: C & M Gangemi
14131210.412

Odds Last Updated: October 16, 2021, 7:06pm (AEDT)

200192

Race 7

Furphy - R.S. Crawford Stakes (1000m)
7:42pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Furphy - R.S. Crawford Stakes (1000m)
7:42pm (AEDT)

1. Elite Street (2) J: Brad Rawiller (59.5kg) T: D L Morton
5.554.84.85.15
2. Indian Pacific (9) J: Brad Parnham (57.5kg) T: N D Parnham
3.13.23.13.13.553.2
3. Flirtini (10) J: Joseph Azzopardi (56.5kg) T: Simon Miller
998.598.88.5
4. Stageman (5) J: William Pike (56.5kg) T: A G Durrant
4444.24.154
5. Mervyn (6) J: Chris Parnham (56.5kg) T: Luke Fernie
1212121310.812
6. Bam's On Fire (7) J: Steven Parnham (55.5kg) T: N D Parnham
4134343426.534
7. Rock Magic (4) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (55kg) T: C & M Gangemi
1211109.5911
8. Carocapo (3) J: Jason Brown (55kg) T: J P Taylor
4141344129.534
9. Don't Fuss (8) J: Shaun O'donnell (55kg) T: D & B Pearce
3534313425.531
10. River Beau (1) J: Jason Whiting (55kg) T: B V Watkins
998.597.58.5

Odds Last Updated: October 16, 2021, 7:46pm (AEDT)

Cracking edition of the Crawford here with a very strong field.

I think we’ll see the old boy (7) Rock Magic run a cracker here. The 12-year-old normally runs very well first up. Last prep he flashed home in the Northam Stakes, the prep before that he did similar when 3rd in the Prince Of Wales’ Stakes, and this time two years ago he ran 4th in a Manikato. Draws well, very well weighted with 55kg here and has to be a strong place chance.

(1) Elite Street will win this if he turns up at his absolute best but that’s the obvious concern.

(2) Indian Pacific is better suited here than he was in the Newmarket with 61.5kg. Down to 57.5kg today and gets back to Ascot where he absolutely loves this track and distance.

Tip: (7) Rock Magic to place $3.00 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units PLACE Rock Magic

200192

Race 8

Crown Perth - Northerly Stakes (1400m)
8:18pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Crown Perth - Northerly Stakes (1400m)
8:18pm (AEDT)

1. Regal Power (2) J: Patrick Carbery (60.5kg) T: G & A Williams
1213131313.213
2. Valour Road (6) J: Brad Rawiller (58.5kg) T: Simon Miller
5.55.554.855.5
3. Neufbosc (12) J: Jason Brown (58.5kg) T: N D Parnham
414141413841
4. Western Empire (5) J: William Pike (58.5kg) T: G & A Williams
332.93.13.152.9
5. Kay Cee (11) J: Steven Parnham (57.5kg) T: N D Parnham
181818202017
6. Taxagano (7) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (57.5kg) T: F R Kersley
354141413041
7. Massimo (13) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (57.5kg) T: C & M Gangemi
5.554.84.84.85
8. Uni Time (3) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (57.5kg) T: Ms S L Miller
9. Platoon (10) J: Chris Parnham (56.5kg) T: N D Parnham
1414141411.814
10. Last Of The Line (1) J: Ryan Hill (56.5kg) T: S J Miller
212019201919
11. Dance Music (8) J: Brad Parnham (55.5kg) T: Simon Miller
77776.57
12. Naughty By Nature (9) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (55.5kg) T: J F Miller
2019181919.818
13. Vital Silver (4) J: Joseph Azzopardi (55kg) T: D & B Pearce
273131312431

Odds Last Updated: October 16, 2021, 8:21pm (AEDT)

(13) Massimo ran a belter first up for the Gangemi yard and that was after a hoof issue which meant he had to wear a bar plate. The bar plate comes off today so if he improves with normal shoes on, he’s going to be very hard to beat. Should sit outside the lead and be hard to run down.

(2) Valour Road also ran particularly well in that Black Heart Bart Stakes, and should be suited second up at 1400m. Looks to sit one-one for an ideal run.

(11) Dance Music should lead but with the others having a run under their belts, I think they may just prove too strong today.

(10) Last Of The Line and (12) Naughty By Nature blowout chances.

Tip: (13) Massimo $4.40 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Massimo

200192

Race 9

Amelia Park (Bm66+) (1400m)
8:55pm (AEDT)

Race 9

Amelia Park (Bm66+) (1400m)
8:55pm (AEDT)

1. Moschard (3) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (61kg) T: P J Fernie
98.5899.18
2. Majinika (8) J: Ms Holly Watson (60.5kg) T: Summer Dickson
414134413034
3. Position Of Power (7) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (59.5kg) T: D R Harrison
313126312726
4. Red Publisher (11) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (58.5kg) T: A W Maley
2726262627.526
5. Em Tee Aye (2) J: Brad Rawiller (58kg) T: T M Andrews
4.8555.55.35
6. Beret (6) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (56.5kg) T: A G Durrant
7.57.57.57.58.17.5
7. Downforce (4) J: Steven Parnham (56.5kg) T: N D Parnham
1414141511.814
8. Point Taken (1) J: Laqdar Ramoly (56kg) T: J P Taylor
2321212117.421
9. Island Missile (9) J: Brad Parnham (55kg) T: C & M Gangemi
9.598.597.68.5
10. Tiff Has Spoken (5) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (55kg) T: Ms S L Miller
1717171714.417
11. My Fair Balentine (12) J: Joseph Azzopardi (54.5kg) T: Daniel O'connor
515151513851
12. Real Charisma (10) J: William Pike (54kg) T: G & A Williams
2.52.452.352.32.552.5

Odds Last Updated: October 16, 2021, 8:56pm (AEDT)

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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