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Ascot Racing Tips: Sunday, March 7th

Tim Geers previews Sunday’s Supremacy Stakes meeting at Ascot, with three best bets on the card.

ascot-racecourse

It’s a rare Sunday meeting at Ascot this week after yesterday’s standalone Bunbury Cup meeting.

The Listed Supremacy Stakes headlines the meeting and there looks to be a few decent betting races throughout the card.

The track is rated a Good 4 and the rail is out 10m.

Tim Geers has highlighted his best bets below, which come up in Race 2, Race 3 and Race 6.

0

Race 1

International Womens Day Mdn (1500m)
4:10pm (AEDT)

Race 1

International Womens Day Mdn (1500m)
4:10pm (AEDT)

1. Bachelor Boy (10) J: Ms Victoria Corver (58kg) T: S J Ryan
515141417341
2. Mine Detector (3) J: Steven Parnham (57kg) T: N D Parnham
777877
3. Exonett (9) J: Craig Staples (57kg) T: Garry Hampson
414141414541
4. Top Pocket (4) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (57kg) T: Luke Fernie
414151514041
5. Tumivet (6) J: Mitchell Pateman (57kg) T: Martin Allan
2.52.62.52.52.72.8
6. Reciting (8) J: Troy Turner (55kg) T: C H Webster
5.554.655.14.6
7. Rebel Tail (7) J: Peter Knuckey (55kg) T: Tiarnna Robertson
8. Kazoku (1) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (55kg) T: J F Miller
3.83.73.63.83.73.5
9. Savanik (2) J: Jason Brown (55kg) T: Simon Miller
202021211921
10. Saint Clements (5) J: Chris Parnham (55kg) T: Simon Miller
98.588.58.59
11. False Evidence (11) J: Ryan Hill (55kg) T: Jade Tangaroa
3134313128.534

Odds Last Updated: March 7, 2021, 4:11pm (AEDT)

0

Race 2

Vale Ron Wells Hcp (C3) (1000m)
4:50pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Vale Ron Wells Hcp (C3) (1000m)
4:50pm (AEDT)

1. King's Authority (7) J: Keshaw Dhurun (61.5kg) T: N D Dellar
1111121212.612
2. Okina Kuri (1) J: Ms Victoria Corver (61.5kg) T: V A Brockman
1918161621.516
3. Our Boy Dylan (6) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (60kg) T: N Parker
4.44.44.44.64.34.4
4. Tovarich (3) J: Ms Madi Derrick (59.5kg) T: Ms R Lockwood
1819171721.519
5. Holy Ghost (5) J: Steven Parnham (59kg) T: N D Parnham
5.55.555.55.25
6. She's Enchanted (8) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (59kg) T: Brett Pope
6.56.5666.66
7. Devine Beast (2) J: Mitchell Pateman (57.5kg) T: Luke Fernie
66666.26.5
8. Excelestial (9) J: Patrick Carbery (57.5kg) T: H S Mclaren
212121212321
9. Amasenus (10) J: Chris Parnham (56kg) T: Simon Miller
44443.954
10. Weld (4) J: Jason Whiting (55kg) T: J G Pike
819181918981

Odds Last Updated: March 7, 2021, 4:51pm (AEDT)

(9) Amasenus was a moral beat last start. She drew barrier 11, was taken back to last, and Chris Parnham used inside runs to come up along the rail in the straight. He was nearly put through the running rail about 300m from home, getting stopped completely in his tracks. He then zoomed home to finish 4th, beaten 1.4L. No doubt in my mind she would have won had she not got chopped in half, so I have to back up on her again today.

(5) Holy Ghost is back to his best this prep, with an eye-catching first up run followed by a terrific effort in defeat last start. That was in the same race as Amasenus. Third up now, which is when he won his only career start to date, drawn to sit a touch closer from barrier 5 and that could be the key.

Tip: (9) Amasenus $3.80 Ladbrokes

Also Backing: (5) Holy Ghost $6.00 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1.25 units WIN Amasenus, 1 unit WIN Holy Ghost

0

Race 3

The Geoff Pratt (Rs0ly) (1200m)
5:30pm (AEDT)

Race 3

The Geoff Pratt (Rs0ly) (1200m)
5:30pm (AEDT)

1. Vane Tempest (8) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (59kg) T: Ms P Kenney
2.12.0522.12.31.95
2. Iseered Iseered (1) J: Mitchell Pateman (58.5kg) T: Luke Fernie
3. Cable Boy (7) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (58kg) T: A G Durrant
777777
4. North Lane (9) J: Jordan Turner (57kg) T: F R Kersley
232626262726
5. Purple Pearl (2) J: Ms Fiona Bell (57kg) T: W J Bradshaw
1618171618.419
6. Miss Vasari (4) J: Chris Parnham (56kg) T: D L Morton
2.62.62.72.62.52.7
7. Standout Rose (3) J: Jason Whiting (56kg) T: B V Watkins
101111111011
8. Pouakai (6) J: Shaun O'donnell (55kg) T: Ms J Erkelens
9. Blazing Passion (5) J: Ms Lisa Staples (54kg) T: P H Jordan
10. Denzoe (10) J: Ms Michelle Hagley (54kg) T: A W Maley
718181919981

Odds Last Updated: March 7, 2021, 5:32pm (AEDT)

(1) Vane Tempest looks extremely hard to beat here. She’s been terrific this prep. She won easily first up, got butchered second up, ran 2nd to Kissonallforcheeks third up and then won again last start. Kissonallforcheeks won again at Bunbury yesterday and that looks a terrific form line, so there’s no reason she shouldn’t be able to take care of this field here today.

Tip: (1) Vane Tempest $1.92 Sportsbetting

Betting Strategy: 3 units WIN Vane Tempest

0

Race 4

Crown Towers Hcp (C1) (1200m)
6:10pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Crown Towers Hcp (C1) (1200m)
6:10pm (AEDT)

1. Ginger Knight (10) J: Jason Whiting (60kg) T: J G Pike
1919192019.819
2. Noble Savage (12) J: Mark Forder (60kg) T: M R Forder
516151517361
3. Trade Master (7) J: Alan Kennedy (60kg) T: E A Martinovich
353431314141
4. Katona (11) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (59.5kg) T: R G Turrell Jnr
7.57.57.57.577.5
5. Doowahdiddy (4) J: Mitchell Pateman (58.5kg) T: Martin Allan
4.84.854.84.355
6. Shooting Shirocco (2) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (58kg) T: Patrick Keating
7.57.57.57.58.17
7. Hell's Belle (9) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (57.5kg) T: Rhys Radford
3.33.22.93.23.43.1
8. Regal Dividend (1) J: Steven Parnham (57kg) T: N D Parnham
9. Zadok (5) J: Joseph Azzopardi (57kg) T: D R Harrison
777777
10. Zip Zam Zoom (8) J: Chris Parnham (56kg) T: F R Kersley
777777
11. Little Miss Pro (3) J: Keshaw Dhurun (54kg) T: M Santich
465141414951
12. Rexford (6) J: Troy Turner (54kg) T: Ms R Lockwood
2121212619.823

Odds Last Updated: March 7, 2021, 6:11pm (AEDT)

0

Race 5

Amelia Park Beef Hcp (C1) (1600m)
6:50pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Amelia Park Beef Hcp (C1) (1600m)
6:50pm (AEDT)

1. Holy Enchantment (11) J: Chris Parnham (60.5kg) T: S J Miller
2. Tick Along (7) J: Mitchell Pateman (59.5kg) T: Brett Pope
9.59.59.5109.19.5
3. Float Our Boat (9) J: Ryan Hill (59kg) T: Tina Glasson
1717181818.218
4. Lincoln's Law (6) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (59kg) T: S J Miller
2.152.12.12.22.052.1
5. Broadway Girl (8) J: Shaun O'donnell (58.5kg) T: Ms K Pisconeri
66.566.56.76
6. Redmill (1) J: Ms Madi Derrick (58.5kg) T: K J Reeves
232621212626
7. Gin 'N' Swanic (5) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (58kg) T: D L Morton
1010101010.210
8. Smoking Barrel (3) J: Steven Parnham (58kg) T: E S Wake
1718181815.819
9. The Thunderess (2) J: Joseph Azzopardi (57kg) T: L Smith
10. Holyoake (10) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (56.5kg) T: Brett Pope
1416161613.616
11. Fuel The Friar (4) J: Jason Whiting (56kg) T: D R Harrison
1314131212.215
12. Tabella (12) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (54.5kg) T: A H Mortimer
99.5999.99.5

Odds Last Updated: March 7, 2021, 6:51pm (AEDT)

0

Race 6

Tabtouch-Better Your Bet (C3) (1800m)
7:20pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Tabtouch-Better Your Bet (C3) (1800m)
7:20pm (AEDT)

1. Outback Jack (4) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (60.5kg) T: S J Miller
2.92.92.82.82.952.9
2. Indominus (1) J: Troy Turner (59.5kg) T: C H Webster
5.55.555.565
3. Interstate (3) J: Steven Parnham (59kg) T: N D Parnham
9.59.599.59.59
4. The Last Breeze (11) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (59kg) T: Brett Pope
141514141315
5. Bombardment (6) J: Chris Parnham (58kg) T: N D Parnham
5.55.555.55.15
6. Twentythree Red (7) J: Ms Victoria Corver (56.5kg) T: Rhys Radford
6.577.57.56.97.5
7. Cable Guy (8) J: Chris Graham (56kg) T: M Knox
1717161515.819
8. Koranis (2) J: Patrick Carbery (56kg) T: Jarrad Noske
1717171717.618
9. Designer Prince (9) J: Ms Natasha Faithfull (55.5kg) T: B Monteleone
414141514941
10. Golden Bonney (5) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (54.5kg) T: Patrick Keating
273131313134
11. Wild Galah (10) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (54kg) T: Ms C Stelmach
2731313129.534

Odds Last Updated: March 7, 2021, 7:21pm (AEDT)

(1) Outback Jack has now won three of his six career starts, placing in two others, and steps up to 1800m now after winning over 1500m last start. He ran 4th over an unsuitable distance first up behind Gemma’s Son, who has come out and won again since, so the form around him looks solid. He carries top weight here but I think he’s the best horse in the race and can win again.

(4) The Last Breeze has a poor draw in 11 but might be ready to go close now third up from a spell. Both career wins have come third up from a spell so after placing last start, he might be able to run a decent race at double figure odds.

Tip: (1) Outback Jack $2.40 Sportsbet

Value: (4) The Last Breeze $16 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Outback Jack, 0.5 units WIN The Last Breeze

0

Race 7

Supremacy Stakes (1000m)
7:55pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Supremacy Stakes (1000m)
7:55pm (AEDT)

1. Spin The Knife (13) J: Mitchell Pateman (57.5kg) T: Luke Fernie
66665.16
2. Heavenly Waters (3) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (56.5kg) T: Roy Rogers
6.56.5777.17
3. Policiere (11) J: Joseph Azzopardi (56.5kg) T: D & B Pearce
3.93.9443.84
4. Fatale Femme (1) J: Peter Knuckey (56.5kg) T: S & J Casey
4.84.84.64.85.14.6
5. Featherweight (10) J: Chris Parnham (56kg) T: D L Morton
1312121212.212
6. Forever Autumn (6) J: Paul Harvey (56kg) T: T M Andrews
171615171815
7. Wuhan Warrior (4) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (56kg) T: Hayden Ballantyne
1413121514.812
8. Pixie Chix (9) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (55.5kg) T: D R Harrison
109.59109.89
9. Hoi An (12) J: Shaun O'donnell (54kg) T: Roy Rogers
1919192019.419
10. Snippagem (7) J: Chris Nicoll (54kg) T: Roy Rogers
126126101101131101
11. Safety Fuse (2) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (54kg) T: D L Morton
354134343841
12. Liwa (5) J: Patrick Carbery (54kg) T: Simon Miller
2126212122.526
13. Come To Me (8) J: Jason Whiting (54kg) T: D R Harrison

Odds Last Updated: March 7, 2021, 7:58pm (AEDT)

0

Race 8

Flying Colours Rest. (Rs0ly) (1400m)
8:30pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Flying Colours Rest. (Rs0ly) (1400m)
8:30pm (AEDT)

1. Tinsnip (7) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (59kg) T: A G Durrant
4.54.64.64.84.354.6
2. Tradensia (2) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (59kg) T: M L Lane
3. Invictus Domini (11) J: Mitchell Pateman (58.5kg) T: Adrian Tiver
332.933.252.9
4. Bruce Almighty (5) J: Chris Parnham (57.5kg) T: N D Parnham
3.93.93.94.23.53.8
5. Luke's Choice (3) J: Ms Jerry Noske (57.5kg) T: B M Kay
1010101010.810
6. Astronomite (1) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (57kg) T: Martin Allan
2626262625.526
7. Kakadu (4) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (57kg) T: V A Brockman
161717181617
8. Whim Creek (10) J: Ryan Hill (56.5kg) T: N D Dellar
1212111013.213
9. Caerhelan (9) J: Joseph Azzopardi (54.5kg) T: R W Price
1313111014.814
10. King Of Judah (8) J: Patrick Carbery (54.5kg) T: Summer Dickson
718161616971
11. Greco (6) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (54kg) T: P R Bamford
2120192121.519

Odds Last Updated: March 7, 2021, 8:31pm (AEDT)

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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