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Ascot Racing Tips: Wednesday, October 13th

Tim Geers gives his thoughts on all eight races at Ascot on Wednesday afternoon.

ascot-racecourse

Ascot hosts its first midweek race meeting of the season on Wednesday, with an eight-race card set to kick off at 1.07pm local time (AWST).

The track has come up a Soft 5 with the rail out 9m, but with sunny weather should improve to a Good 4 at some stage of the meeting.

Tim Geers has done the form for every race and provided his racing tips below.

His best bet comes up in Race 7 and his best value bet is in Race 2.

Scroll down to read the full preview!

Best Bet: Race 7 – (8) Standout Rose

Best Value: Race 2 – (2) Kolchino

TAB Sky Racing

200007

Race 1

Wiluna Mining (Rs0ly) (1400m)
4:07pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Wiluna Mining (Rs0ly) (1400m)
4:07pm (AEDT)

1. Green And Shady (2) J: William Pike (59kg) T: Luke Fernie
666.566.46.5
2. Success Play (5) J: Steven Parnham (59kg) T: N D Parnham
3. Buzzoom (3) J: Chris Parnham (58.5kg) T: D L Morton
2.32.32.252.22.42.4
4. Pray Again (6) J: Unknown (58kg) T: N D Parnham
5. English Bay (1) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (56kg) T: Martin Allan
1617171717.817
6. Noble Born (4) J: Ms Natasha Faithfull (56kg) T: Simon Miller
2.052.12222.1

Odds Last Updated: October 13, 2021, 4:11pm (AEDT)

Keen to stick with (6) Noble Born here. Has been very good in two career runs to date and looked to bump into a smart one in Devoted last start at Northam. Looks to find the front fairly easily here and is going to take plenty of catching.

(3) Buzzoom hasn’t done much wrong but has had her fair share of opportunities to win again since her debut victory.

(1) Green And Shady and (5) English Bay look up against it.

Tip: (6) Noble Born $2.20 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Noble Born

200007

Race 2

Maca Mining Mdn (1500m)
4:47pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Maca Mining Mdn (1500m)
4:47pm (AEDT)

1. Gold Friars (6) J: Paul Harvey (58kg) T: D R Harrison
101110111111
2. Kolchino (5) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (58kg) T: Darren Taylor
999.599.49.5
3. I Can See Clara (4) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (56kg) T: T M Andrews
7.5888.578
4. Beloved Star (7) J: William Pike (56kg) T: G & A Williams
2.22.252.22.22.12.15
5. Act Innocent (3) J: Ms Shelby Bowtell (56kg) T: Raymond Vincent
262621212626
6. Mahaleo (1) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (56kg) T: F R Kersley
3.43.43.63.53.53.4
7. Mia Nobile (9) J: Troy Turner (56kg) T: G N Davies
616167615951
8. Into The Flames (2) J: Peter Knuckey (56kg) T: S J Rowe
12612615181111101
9. Reel Safe (8) J: Joseph Azzopardi (54kg) T: D & B Pearce
1919181818.419

Odds Last Updated: October 13, 2021, 4:51pm (AEDT)

(4) Beloved Star went down at $1.28 at Northam last start. We are getting a much better price today with even money available but I’ll be betting around him again here. He draws a tricky barrier 7 and there is absolutely no speed on paper.

(6) Mahaleo drops out of Saturday grade back to the midweeks and now carries just 53kg after the claim. Inside draw today and no speed in the race, so I’d be very surprised if we didn’t see them more positive here. Can win with luck.

(2) Kolchino costs himself by jumping away awfully slowly. He’s been very poor out of the gates in all of his trials and his only start in a race. He reeled off the fastest final 400m and 200m in defeat last start so if McGruddy can get him to jump at all, he’ll be a live chance in this.

(9) Reel Safe might roll forward from the wide gate today.

Tip: (6) Mahaleo $3.80 Bet365

Value: (2) Kolchino $9.00 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Mahaleo, 0.5 units WIN Kolchino

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Race 3

Murlpirrmarra Connection Mdn (1500m)
5:27pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Murlpirrmarra Connection Mdn (1500m)
5:27pm (AEDT)

1. Rocaroyale (7) J: Laqdar Ramoly (58kg) T: Anthony Oram
1313121211.811
2. Lookonchina (12) J: Chris Nicoll (58kg) T: T N Pike
465151515151
3. Hear Me (2) J: Paul Harvey (58kg) T: Luke Fernie
4.64.44.84.84.454.2
4. Meritia (9) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (58kg) T: D R Harrison
77776.37.5
5. Our Charlie Boy (6) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (58kg) T: Vaughn Sigley
212121262121
6. Inside Voice (8) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (58kg) T: Ms M Campbell
151126201151161151
7. Arnray (11) J: Jason Whiting (58kg) T: Kirryn Scallan
272631262726
8. Duchees Demerit (4) J: Keshaw Dhurun (58kg) T: P E Roberts
676791515571
9. I'm A Dreamer (1) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (56kg) T: A G Durrant
3.53.63.73.73.93.8
10. Aztec Gold (3) J: Patrick Carbery (56kg) T: B A Miller
4.44.24.44.44.44.4
11. Kentucky Blue (10) J: Steven Parnham (56kg) T: N D Parnham
2326342623.526
12. Testifying (5) J: Jason Brown (54kg) T: J P Taylor
1112101210.410

Odds Last Updated: October 13, 2021, 5:31pm (AEDT)

(9) I’m A Dreamer was OK in his first two starts before copping a fair bit of interference last start, so happy to forgive him for that. Draws the inside today and finds a very winnable race.

(10) Aztec Gold was good first up and should improve out of that race. The winner has since won again so the form has stacked up.

(4) Meritia gets up in trip third up from a spell so should be ready to show something today.

(3) Hear Me next best.

Happy to sit out of this one.

Tip: (9) I'm A Dreamer $3.55 BoomBet

Betting Strategy: No bet

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Race 4

Dp & Lk Patten Hcp (C3) (1600m)
6:07pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Dp & Lk Patten Hcp (C3) (1600m)
6:07pm (AEDT)

1. Beanie (3) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (59kg) T: F R Kersley
3.33.43.43.53.253.4
2. Savanik (2) J: Chris Parnham (58kg) T: Simon Miller
2.252.32.32.32.32.3
3. Yulong Wall (10) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (56.5kg) T: Joshua Krispyn
313441413141
4. Zadar Rock (7) J: Jason Brown (56.5kg) T: J P Taylor
76.5676.66
5. Jadavi (9) J: Keshaw Dhurun (56kg) T: I F Shield
7.5777.57.67
6. Night Session (4) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (55.5kg) T: R W Price
191919212019
7. Golden Bonney (6) J: Peter Knuckey (54.5kg) T: Ms J Mclaughlin
1718161519.219
8. Danish Gem (5) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (54kg) T: Ms K D'orsogna
9. Nodustonme (1) J: Shaun O'donnell (54kg) T: P D Tapper
465141415351
10. Texas Moon (8) J: Taj Dyson (54kg) T: Ms K Kersley
676761615571

Odds Last Updated: October 13, 2021, 6:11pm (AEDT)

Going to bet the drift here on (4) Zadar Rock. He trialled the house down leading into his debut but didn’t fire a shot, however pulled up with an issue. Bounced back in style last start, bolting in to win by more than 3L. The horse that ran 2nd then came out and won. Should lead and take catching.

(2) Savanik won her first two starts this prep before a midfield finish in the Ladies Day Cup at Northam last start. Finds an easier race today, draws well and should be very hard to beat.

(1) Beanie has returned from the freshen up in very good form.

(6) Night Session and (7) Golden Bonney two to throw in at big odds.

Tip: (4) Zadar Rock $4.45 BoomBet

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Zadar Rock

200007

Race 5

Swick Mining Services Hcp (C1) (1800m)
6:42pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Swick Mining Services Hcp (C1) (1800m)
6:42pm (AEDT)

1. Mong Khon (8) J: Brad Rawiller (60kg) T: J N Pateman
65.555.55.35.5
2. Antique Jewel (7) J: William Pike (59kg) T: A G Durrant
2.72.833.12.852.9
3. Circle The Sun (6) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (59kg) T: A G Durrant
1414131212.215
4. Dance Of The South (4) J: Ms Kate Witten (59kg) T: Greg Cave
717151516971
5. Prince Of Guelph (1) J: Patrick Carbery (59kg) T: Vaughn Sigley
11119.59.51110
6. There's A Thought (9) J: Keshaw Dhurun (59kg) T: D L Morton
6.56.55.566.36
7. Tibetan Black (11) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (59kg) T: Ms S L Miller
77.577.57.58
8. Fairdelicious (10) J: Jason Whiting (57.5kg) T: B M Smithall
414134414541
9. Recalled (2) J: Chris Parnham (57.5kg) T: D T Mcauliffe
7777.56.77
10. Bring Euro (3) J: Steven Parnham (55kg) T: Ms K Farrell
344134343134
11. Hard Too Cee (5) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (55kg) T: Matthew Scott
717161616971

Odds Last Updated: October 13, 2021, 6:46pm (AEDT)

Impossible race.

(1) Mong Khon should have finished closer last start but ran into traffic wherever he went in the straight. Slightly awkward draw here with some speed drawn underneath but with even luck should be thereabouts.

(2) Antique Jewel goes from 1300m straight up to 1800m with the blinkers back on. Not convinced its any good though.

(6) There’s A Thought won well last start and can be competitive once again but goes from Chris Parnham to Keshaw Dhurun and draws awkwardly. Could be three-wide.

(7) Tibetan Black also draws wide but can go either forward or back and isn’t hopeless after a good run without much luck last start.

(8) Fairdelicious a complete blowout at huge odds.

Tip: (1) Mong Khon $5.50 TAB

Betting Strategy: No bet

200007

Race 6

Cooper Fluid Systems Hcp (C3) (1100m)
7:17pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Cooper Fluid Systems Hcp (C3) (1100m)
7:17pm (AEDT)

1. Ghost Who Walks (9) J: Laqdar Ramoly (60kg) T: N D Parnham
272626343026
2. Love Drunk Baby (2) J: Jett Stanley (59kg) T: D & B Pearce
1616151619.615
3. Pick Your Battles (3) J: Jason Whiting (58.5kg) T: G C Ballantyne
1920181616.221
4. Storm Commander (4) J: Chris Parnham (58.5kg) T: N D Parnham
66665.66
5. Tovarich (13) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (58.5kg) T: Ms R Lockwood
101101101101161151
6. Westernize (8) J: Joseph Azzopardi (58.5kg) T: D R Harrison
126126101101101126
7. Go Forward (10) J: Brad Parnham (57.5kg) T: C & M Gangemi
8. Type Won (1) J: Taj Dyson (57.5kg) T: Kieran Mcdonagh
314134514934
9. Purple Pearl (6) J: Ms Fiona Bell (56.5kg) T: W J Bradshaw
81818110197101
10. Sumusu (5) J: Paul Harvey (56.5kg) T: L Smith
354151614341
11. Ayasha (12) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (55.5kg) T: Stephen Sheehy
151151151101171151
12. Safety Fuse (7) J: Keshaw Dhurun (54.5kg) T: D L Morton
171716161618
13. Treasured Star (11) J: William Pike (54.5kg) T: G & A Williams
1.41.351.351.351.381.35

Odds Last Updated: October 13, 2021, 7:21pm (AEDT)

(13) Treasured Star draws awkwardly in barrier 11 but it shouldn’t matter, she’s the best horse in the race. Won well first up at Northam defeating Electric Rose and looks well and truly capable of winning this race. Price about right so will be sitting out.

Tip: (13) Treasured Star $1.55 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: No bet

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Race 7

Gtt Ventures Trophy (Rs0ly) (1200m)
7:52pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Gtt Ventures Trophy (Rs0ly) (1200m)
7:52pm (AEDT)

1. Proconsent (6) J: Ms Victoria Corver (62.5kg) T: A G Durrant
1920192119.419
2. Gates Of Babylon (1) J: Ms Hannah Fitzgerald (60kg) T: Brett Pope
4.64.855.55.45
3. Moet De Vega (4) J: Keshaw Dhurun (59kg) T: S & J Casey
3.943.83.83.74
4. Native Chimes (3) J: Ms Holly Watson (58kg) T: Ms P Kenney
2121212119.821
5. Enticing (7) J: Jason Brown (57kg) T: J P Taylor
11119.59.511.210
6. Mantelli (9) J: Shaun O'donnell (57kg) T: C & M Gangemi
1516161613.216
7. Stable Secret (10) J: Ryan Hill (56kg) T: B P Graham
202021212119
8. Standout Rose (8) J: Jason Whiting (56kg) T: B V Watkins
3.63.63.53.53.753.7
9. Pastry (2) J: William Pike (55kg) T: Luke Fernie
6.5666.56.26
10. Vacate (11) J: Colin Haddon (54.5kg) T: T N Pike
101101101101111126
11. Southern Turf (5) J: Craig Staples (54kg) T: T N Pike
126126101101111126

Odds Last Updated: October 13, 2021, 7:56pm (AEDT)

Surely today is the day for (8) Standout Rose. She was completely unsuited first up when the track was completely biased to those on speed and on the rail. She copped a similar track last start and still ran home strongly for 2nd, with the winner sneaking up along the inside on the better ground. Third up now, hpefully a much fairer track at Ascot, should go very close.

(6) Mantelli should improve from the first up run and gets the senior jockey on second up today. At his best he’d be very competitive in a race like this.

(9) Pastry had no luck at all last start at Kalgoorlie when badly held up in the straight. Pike keeps the ride so will be keen to make amends and at double figure odds he appeals as some value.

(2) Gates Of Babylon has a terrific record at this track and distance with three wins from four starts. Hasn’t raced in Wednesday grade for a long time so if he’s at his best, he’d be the horse to beat without doubt. Will need some luck from the inside barrier with the 3kg apprentice booked though.

Tip: (8) Standout Rose $2.90 Bet365

Value: (9) Pastry $10 BlueBet

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Standout Rose, 0.5 units WIN Pastry

200007

Race 8

Parvate Collective Hcp (C1) (1200m)
8:30pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Parvate Collective Hcp (C1) (1200m)
8:30pm (AEDT)

1. Cross Statement (2) J: Ms Holly Watson (60.5kg) T: J P Taylor
4.84.64.23.54.755
2. Mercanto (5) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (60kg) T: C & M Gangemi
7777.56.47
3. Sootie Boy (10) J: Taj Dyson (60kg) T: Jayce Buckley
516151616361
4. Winsalot (8) J: Laqdar Ramoly (59kg) T: L P Luciani
5. God's Business (9) J: Brad Parnham (58.5kg) T: Ms P Kenney
6. Powerful (4) J: Keshaw Dhurun (57kg) T: N D Parnham
2121212621.521
7. Eye Of The Day (11) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (56.5kg) T: Sue Olive
2626212624.526
8. Jay Dee (3) J: Jason Whiting (56.5kg) T: G J Mcpherson
2321212621.526
9. Iconic Skill (13) J: Troy Turner (56kg) T: J G Pike
151151101101141126
10. Mystery Moment (7) J: William Pike (56kg) T: G & A Williams
2.42.32.152.32.452.25
11. Yemen Lass (12) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (56kg) T: Luke Fernie
12. Rebelzone (1) J: Chris Parnham (55kg) T: D T Mcauliffe
3.73.944.23.63.7
13. Lady Hatras (6) J: Patrick Carbery (54.5kg) T: B M Smithall
151151101101161151

Odds Last Updated: October 13, 2021, 8:31pm (AEDT)

The seven weeks between runs and the big betting drift is cause for concern with (10) Mystery Moment but I’m just going to bank on her being the best horse in the race. She was very heavily backed on debut at Pinjarra and showed a good turn of foot when she eventually got clear running. Not sure she did much but she won with a bit in hand I think.

(1) Cross Statement resumes from a spell with blinkers back on for apprentice Holly Watson. Should go straight to the front and will take some catching.

(12) Rebelzone was good winning on debut at Kalgoorlie and can measure up for sure.

Will take Betfair SP for Mystery Moment.

Tip: (10) Mystery Moment $2.36 Betfair

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Mystery Moment (Betfair SP)

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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