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Warwick Farm Racing Tips: Wednesday, October 13th

Billy Bestford previews every race today, with his best bet coming in the last.

Warwick Farm Racing

Midweek racing heads to Warwick Farm today and we have a strong eight race card to get stuck into. 

The track is currently rated a soft 5 and the rail is out 3 metres the entire circuit.

Billy Bestford previews every race on the card, with his best bet coming up in Race 8. 

Find our full preview and Warwick Farm racing tips below!

Best Bet: Race 8 – (12) Six Again

TAB Sky Racing

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Race 1

Merchant Navy @ Coolmore Mdn (1200m)
1:15pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Merchant Navy @ Coolmore Mdn (1200m)
1:15pm (AEDT)

1. Armour Force (7) J: Tommy Berry (57kg) T: R & M Freedman
7.57.57.57.57.57.5
2. Gracilistyla (1) J: Hugh Bowman (57kg) T: C J Waller
3. Strombus (4) J: Nash Rawiller (57kg) T: J A O'shea
4. Uncaged (3) J: Tim Clark (57kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
1212141312.814
5. Arranmore (5) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (55kg) T: C J Waller
9.59.5998.69.5
6. Espiona (2) J: James Mcdonald (55kg) T: C J Waller
1.351.41.41.41.411.35
7. Lady Piaf (8) J: Jason Collett (55kg) T: C J Waller
1212131110.612
8. Lovero (6) J: Robbie Dolan (55kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou

Odds Last Updated: October 13, 2021, 1:16pm (AEDT)

She’s extremely short but (6) Espiona will just be winning this on debut. Her trials have been very impressive and looks a serious horse for Waller. Jmac goes straight on today and I think barring any big dramas, she’ll be too good for these and can go onto some bigger and better races. Looks a good anchor leg for any multis throughout the day. 

(5) Arranmore was a touch unlucky on debut but he’ll benefit plenty from that experience. She finished off the race strongly and I think she’ll win a race soon.

Tip: (6) Espiona - $1.65 at TopSport

Betting Strategy: No Bet

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Race 2

Admire Mars At Arrowfield Mdn (1400m)
1:50pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Admire Mars At Arrowfield Mdn (1400m)
1:50pm (AEDT)

1. Wolves (1) J: Brock Ryan (59kg) T: Anthony Mountney
2. Podium (6) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (58.5kg) T: C J Waller
55555.25
3. Ramses (3) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (58.5kg) T: Craig Carmody
616781818981
4. Yagoona (5) J: Hugh Bowman (58.5kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
3.33.13.132.83.1
5. Gracilistyla (2) J: James Mcdonald (58kg) T: C J Waller
2.352.32.32.42.42.3
6. Reginald (4) J: Glen Boss (58kg) T: A J Cummings
1616161517.818
7. Vanburg (7) J: Nash Rawiller (57.5kg) T: M J Dunn
1314151613.614
8. Mystic Mermaid (9) J: Tommy Berry (57kg) T: C J Waller
9. Sword Point (10) J: Unknown (57kg) T: C J Waller
10. Rivaldo (11) J: Sam Clipperton (56.5kg) T: M J Dunn
232626262826
11. Rogue Algorithm (8) J: Jason Collett (56kg) T: C E Conners
151516151715

Odds Last Updated: October 13, 2021, 1:51pm (AEDT)

(8) Mystic Mermaid was impressive on debut, only narrowly going down over 1200m. Should strip fitter for that and she showed enough there to make me think she’s a big winning chance now. The extra 200m should suit. 

(5) Gracilistyla caught the eye on debut, finishing 2nd on the Kenso track. He was then caught wide last start and did well to finish as close as he did there. Will be a big improver from a good draw today and should go close. 

(4) Yagoona comes out of that same maiden as the favourite and beat him home that day. Should enjoy run of the race for Bowman today. 

Tip: (8) Mystic Mermaid - $3.40 at Ladbrokes SCRATCHED

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Race 3

Vinery (Bm72) (1100m)
2:25pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Vinery (Bm72) (1100m)
2:25pm (AEDT)

1. Mnementh (4) J: Glen Boss (58.5kg) T: Mitchell Beer
2. Jerle (9) J: James Mcdonald (58kg) T: James Cummings
2.72.72.72.92.72.7
3. Super Contender (7) J: Tommy Berry (57.5kg) T: C J Waller
7787.56.87
4. Moralist (6) J: Jason Collett (56kg) T: Matthew Smith
555555
5. Major Murphy (5) J: Ms Rachel King (55.5kg) T: Andrew Macdonald
66666.36
6. Star Of Harada (1) J: Brock Ryan (55kg) T: Ms W Roche
1414151514.415
7. Cinzento (8) J: Sam Clipperton (54kg) T: Joseph Pride
232626312326
8. French Marine (2) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (54kg) T: K A Lees
6.565.55.56.66
9. Scalded (3) J: Jeff Penza (54kg) T: Rob Potter
2019191820.521

Odds Last Updated: October 13, 2021, 2:26pm (AEDT)

(2) Jerle looks ready to win now 3rd up following a good run last start, making up plenty of ground in the straight. He’s on the quick backup from last week so is clearly going well. He draws wider for McDonald which should suit as he’s a horse who needs room to wind up. Expect he can be too strong for these late in the piece. 

(1) Mnementh is airborne this prep, winning two from two in strong fashion. He’s no stranger to carrying big weights and he should be able to roll forward from the low draw and can win again. 

(8) French Marine has scope to improve and was good winning at Armidale at short odds. He can measure up here.

Tip: (2) Jerle - $2.45 at TopSport

Betting Strategy: 2u WIN Jerle

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Race 4

Ranvet (Bm78) (1600m)
3:00pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Ranvet (Bm78) (1600m)
3:00pm (AEDT)

1. Milk Man (1) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (60kg) T: Matthew Smith
6.577777
2. Prompt Prodigy (6) J: Glyn Schofield (60kg) T: Edward Cummings
3. Jazzland (8) J: Joshua Parr (59kg) T: Ms K Buchanan
7.57.587.56.97.5
4. Monsieur Sisu (5) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (57.5kg) T: W P Cave
6.566.575.66.5
5. From The Bush (3) J: Tim Clark (57kg) T: Ms G Williams
4.854.255.65
6. Grande Rumore (7) J: Jason Collett (57kg) T: K A Lees
3332.93.053
7. The Grinder (4) J: Hugh Bowman (56.5kg) T: C J Waller
65.565.55.55.5
8. No Impediment (2) J: Ms Rachel King (54kg) T: Ms A Turner
3131413429.534

Odds Last Updated: October 13, 2021, 3:01pm (AEDT)

(7) The Grinder can win here now 3rd up and ready to peak. Was good at big odds last start, closing off well into 3rd behind Ma And Pa. Gets down in the weights now and draws well in gate 4. He races very well at Warwick Farm and the wet conditions will suit. 

(6) Grand Ramore is another who is ready to win now 3rd up and race fit. This is a much easier race than he tackled last start and out to the mile now is much more suitable for him. 

(5) From The Bush is airborne this prep and just knows how to win. It was a very impressive win over 1800m in the Bathurst Cup last start and can win again. 

Tip: (7) The Grinder - $7.50 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 0.5u WIN The Grinder

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Race 5

The Agency Real Estate (Bm72) (2400m)
3:35pm (AEDT)

Race 5

The Agency Real Estate (Bm72) (2400m)
3:35pm (AEDT)

1. Savvy Valentino (6) J: Ms Rachel King (61kg) T: Bjorn Baker
1110101010.69
2. Montabot (7) J: Hugh Bowman (60kg) T: Matthew Smith
6.57776.57
3. New World Tapestry (1) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (59kg) T: Bjorn Baker
4. Sound Of Cannons (9) J: James Mcdonald (59kg) T: J A O'shea
3.23.33.33.53.053.3
5. Arabolini (10) J: Glen Boss (56.5kg) T: J D Cooper
3.944.244.454
6. Merlinite (11) J: Jason Collett (56kg) T: Bjorn Baker
888.598.48.5
7. Birdonawinningpost (8) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (55.5kg) T: William Freedman
101011101010
8. Zudin (5) J: Tommy Berry (55kg) T: C J Waller
7.576.57.56.66.5
9. Phelan Thirsty (2) J: Jeff Penza (54kg) T: G W Murray
10. Enduring Night (3) J: Robbie Dolan (54kg) T: J C Coyle
11. Eerised (4) J: Jean Van Overmeire (54kg) T: M & D Kearney
515161515151

Odds Last Updated: October 13, 2021, 3:36pm (AEDT)

Pretty keen on (4) Sound Of Cannons here well back in grade today. He was far from disgraced in the Colin Stephen behind Entente and while the winning strike rate is an obvious concern, this looks a winnable race for him. 

(8) Zudin was good last start over 2100m and I think he’ll enjoy getting out to 2400m for the first time. He’s a much better horse with some give in the ground. 

(5) Arobilini is a genuine swimmer and is honest and tough up in the lead. Will lead them up again here and is going well. 

Tip: (4) Sound Of Cannons - $3.40 at Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Sound Of Cannons

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Race 6

Yulong (Bm72) (1400m)
4:15pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Yulong (Bm72) (1400m)
4:15pm (AEDT)

1. Grande Rumore (7) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (62kg) T: K A Lees
2. Majella (11) J: Glyn Schofield (59.5kg) T: Matthew Smith
11109.51010.89.5
3. Harlem Luya (8) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (58.5kg) T: P & P Snowden
4. Daralina Belle (2) J: James Mcdonald (58kg) T: Matthew Smith
1.41.41.41.451.371.4
5. Parachuter (5) J: Tim Clark (58kg) T: Joseph Pride
666.576.36
6. Rebel Rama (9) J: Jason Collett (58kg) T: M C Conners
1516161817.216
7. Either Oar (1) J: Joshua Parr (56.5kg) T: Ms G Markwell
1514141514.414
8. Nothinsweetaboutme (3) J: Regan Bayliss (56.5kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
9. Sky Diamonds (6) J: Brock Ryan (55.5kg) T: K R Dryden
10. Mookareena (10) J: Ms Rachel King (54.5kg) T: B Joseph & P & M Jones
313131313231
11. Louder (4) J: Jay Ford (54kg) T: Brad Widdup
2021263123.523

Odds Last Updated: October 13, 2021, 4:16pm (AEDT)

Looking forward to seeing (4) Daralina Belle come to town after three on the bounce. She rounded out last prep with a 4L romp and has since been wound up with a 7L trial win. Looks a very exciting horse for Matt Smith and this is the beginning of her quest towards the Four Pillars race in a few weeks time. She’ll be able to possie up nicely on the back of the speed and with even luck she will be winning. 

(5) Parachuter looks the only real other winning chance and should be ready to peak 4th up from a spell.

Tip: (4) Daralina Belle - $1.60 at Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: No Bet

200001

Race 7

Keeneland (Bm78) (1200m)
4:55pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Keeneland (Bm78) (1200m)
4:55pm (AEDT)

1. Oxford Tycoon (1) J: Brock Ryan (60.5kg) T: Ms K Waugh
2. Exceltic (11) J: Hugh Bowman (59kg) T: G Portelli
7776.57.17
3. Dunbrody Power (6) J: Joshua Parr (58.5kg) T: John Thompson
4. Stolen Jade (8) J: Tommy Berry (58kg) T: C E Conners
121310121214
5. Promotions (9) J: Nash Rawiller (57kg) T: James Cummings
6.55.566.55.56
6. Partners (3) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (56kg) T: S I Singleton
910101011.410
7. Mollycoddle (5) J: James Mcdonald (55.5kg) T: James Cummings
5.55555.65
8. Zorocat (4) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (55.5kg) T: D Lane
7.57.587.58.38
9. Torun (10) J: Sam Clipperton (55kg) T: Joseph Pride
3.43.43.23.43.13.6
10. Propose To Me (7) J: Jason Collett (54.5kg) T: Matthew Dale
1715151617.214
11. Missile Heat (2) J: Robbie Dolan (54kg) T: Joseph Pride
212121212021

Odds Last Updated: October 13, 2021, 4:56pm (AEDT)

(10) Propose To Me looks a big price and I think he can run a cheeky race first up. He’s unbeaten in two first up runs and has four wins from nine career starts. He handles all conditions and 1200m is suitable fresh. 

(7) Mollycoddle is a smart horse and goes well fresh. Will enjoy every favour from barrier 5 and Jmac should be able to give him the run of the race.

(9) Torun looks ready to win now 4th up. His efforts have been good this prep in a similar grade and has a race fitness edge on some of the key rivals today.

Tip: (10) Propose To Me - $19/$5.00 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 0.5u EACH WAY Propose To Me

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Race 8

Tab (Bm72) (1100m)
5:35pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Tab (Bm72) (1100m)
5:35pm (AEDT)

1. Lady Brook (1) J: Tim Clark (60kg) T: Joseph Pride
6.5666.56.65.5
2. Zoumist (3) J: Regan Bayliss (59.5kg) T: R & M Freedman
3. Delacour (5) J: Jeff Penza (59kg) T: N F Gardner
2119212127.519
4. The Neon Knight (6) J: Jean Van Overmeire (59kg) T: J N Englebrecht
1012121311.812
5. Tiny (12) J: James Mcdonald (58kg) T: James Cummings
5.55.55.564.95.5
6. Anagain (4) J: Jason Collett (57.5kg) T: G L Frazer
7. Sequana (8) J: Hugh Bowman (57.5kg) T: K A Lees
9.591099.710
8. Pick The Score (11) J: Brock Ryan (57kg) T: C E Conners
9. Ruby Kisses (10) J: James Innes Jnr (56.5kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
7.58887.38
10. Praline (9) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (56kg) T: Dar Lunn
2326262126.526
11. Sonnet Star (14) J: Robbie Dolan (56kg) T: D Lane
12. Six Again (2) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (55.5kg) T: M J Dunn
3.73.43.53.53.73.5
13. Your Too Good (13) J: Sam Clipperton (55kg) T: Mark Newnham
665.56.55.26.5
14. Flash Point (7) J: Ms Rachel King (54.5kg) T: John Thompson

Odds Last Updated: October 13, 2021, 5:36pm (AEDT)

(12) Six Again absolutely bolted in fresh having first run for the new stable and he looks a promising horse. Should be able to sit up on the speed from barrier 2 and the rise to 1200m now looks ideal. 

(9) Ruby Kisses is building a handy record and has won two of her last three starts. This looks a suitable rise in grade for her and she can fight out the finish for sure. 

(13) Your Too Good was heavily backed last start and was only run down late. Should take plenty from that outing and he can go one better today. 

(1) Lady Brook is 3/3 first up and will likely lead from barrier 1 for Tim Clark. Has been trialling well for new stable and wouldn’t surpise.

 

Tip: (12) Six Again - $3.95 at Boombet

Betting Strategy: 2u WIN Six Again

Billy has been an avid racing fan ever since he and a few mates started a punters club once they turned 18. Following the initial punters clubs, he was properly hooked after landing a nice collect on Admire Rakti in the 2014 Caulfield Cup and has had a soft spot for Japanese horses ever since. Is a massive fan of 'blinkers first time' and has been known to enjoy a 'Hail Mary' multi. Loves punting across metro Sydney and Melbourne every Saturday but isn't scared to venture West late in the day to find a Pikey special.

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