Ballarat Racing Tips: Wednesday, April 28th

Race 1 Cardno Tgm Mdn Plate (1600m) 1:35pm (AEDT)
1. Banderas (9) J: Damien Thornton (58kg) T: J T Conlan	31	31	34	31	26.5	31
2. Domfiore (1) J: Jake Noonan (58kg) T: A W Noonan
3. Let It Rip Reggie (10) J: Lachlan King (58kg) T: Denis Pagan	7.5	7.5	7	7.5	6.8	7.5
4. Miles Ahead (8) J: Declan Bates (58kg) T: Archie Alexander	20	21	26	21	22	23
5. Oak Bridge (3) J: Ms Christine Puls (58kg) T: B & A Mcknight	23	21	26	26	24	23
6. Black Monsoon (4) J: Joe Bowditch (56kg) T: Chris Calthorpe	21	20	26	26	26.5	21
7. Cornucopia (7) J: Luke Currie (56kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock	9.5	9	11	11	8.8	9
8. Escentual (6) J: Daniel Moor (56kg) T: M Ellerton & S Zahra	18	18	17	21	19.2	19
9. Jumpin' Jaguar (2) J: Ms Madison Lloyd (56kg) T: Russell Osborne	46	51	61	61	57	61
10. Magnolia Rose (5) J: Craig Newitt (56kg) T: Dane Smith	7	7	7.5	7	7.6	7
11. Uniquely (11) J: Will Price (56kg) T: Dan O'sullivan	1.65	1.6	1.65	1.7	1.62	1.55

Odds Last Updated: April 28, 2021, 1:37pm (AEDT)

(11) Uniquely has been knocking on the door and has been well backed early. Draws wide but the last run behind French Moon at Stawell reads well for this.

(7) Cornucopia ran on well last start at Pakenham in a strong maiden. She’s consistent but does get back.

(2) Domfiore was good in the same race at a shorter price and draws the inside here.

Pretty average maiden. Uniquely will be hard to beat if she produces her last start effort but the price is short enough now.

Tip: (11) Uniquely- $2.30 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: No Bet

Race 2 Whitford Liquid Waste Mdn (1000m) 2:10pm (AEDT)
1. Kooky Kangaroo (10) J: Jake Noonan (59kg) T: Russell Osborne	51	61	81	71	65	71
2. Ronin Man (6) J: Will Price (59kg) T: Ms M Cunningham	20	21	21	26	21.5	23
3. Steel The Moment (8) J: Dean Holland (59kg) T: Shay Keating	6	5.5	5.5	6	5.8	5.5
4. Onemorehost (3) J: Kevin Bohorun (57.5kg) T: J G Brooks	101	151	151	151	161	151
5. Versaider (11) J: Neil Farley (57.5kg) T: K G Mccartin	101	151	201	151	201	151
6. Winter Pinter (2) J: Damien Thornton (57.5kg) T: G A Thornton	2.35	2.3	2.15	2.2	2.25	2.3
7. Write To Rossa (5) J: Craig Newitt (57.5kg) T: Scott Cameron	23	21	20	19	24.5	26
8. Delightful Savings (4) J: Ms Madison Lloyd (57kg) T: G A Osborne	19	21	21	21	18.8	23
9. Francine (9) J: Daniel Moor (57kg) T: Aaron Purcell
10. Starmania (1) J: John Allen (57kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock	46	51	51	41	47	51
11. Who Runs The World (7) J: Luke Currie (57kg) T: T & C Mcevoy	2.35	2.45	2.45	2.5	2.3	2.5

Odds Last Updated: April 28, 2021, 2:12pm (AEDT)

(11) Who Runs The World was good first up over 1050m at Morphettville but was a bit weak 2nd up over 1200m. The drop back in trip looks suitable.

(6) Winter Pinter has jumped out well enough to be competitive here and draws nicely in barrier 2.

(3) Steel The Moment should push forward from barrier 8 on debut.

Another maiden I don’t think there’s much value.

Tip: (11) Who Runs The World- $2.25 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: No Bet

Race 3 Evergreen Turf Mdn Plate (1200m) 2:45pm (AEDT)
1. Abraxos (4) J: Neil Farley (59.5kg) T: Alan Hanrahan	46	41	51	51	45	41
2. Equally (8) J: Jarrod Fry (59.5kg) T: Rodney Foster	81	91	91	101	99	101
3. Beaven Lane (9) J: Dean Holland (59kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes	3	3	2.8	3	2.55	2.9
4. Bengal Bandit (1) J: Zac Spain (59kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr	1.8	1.8	1.75	1.85	1.86	1.8
5. Solistas (10) J: Neil Farley (59kg) T: N A Blackiston
6. Zuiichi (3) J: Craig Newitt (59kg) T: G A Osborne	14	13	16	17	16.6	13
7. All Lokt'n'loaded (6) J: Craig Robertson (57.5kg) T: M Sell	31	31	41	41	38	34
8. Storming Princesse (5) J: Will Price (57.5kg) T: K G Mccartin	51	51	61	81	83	61
9. Eleanor River (7) J: Ms Lucinda Boyd (57kg) T: Ms M Cunningham	51	61	67	71	63	61
10. Scardancer (2) J: John Allen (57kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace	6	5.5	6.5	6	6.1	5.5

Odds Last Updated: April 28, 2021, 2:47pm (AEDT)

(3) Beaven Lane is an interesting Hawkes debutant. Holland takes the ride with so many of the stable’s riders not at the meeting. The son of Redoute’s Choice has jumped out well and looks a good chance on debut.

(4) Bengal Bandit is the favourite, also on debut for the Price/Kent yard. Draws barrier one which should help the Brazen Beau gelding.

They dominate the market from (10) Scardancer who drops back in trip but has been well beaten at two starts.

The rest look out of place in the city.

Tip: (3) Beaven Lane- $3.30 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: No Bet

Race 4 Hygain Winners Choice (Bm70) (1200m) 3:20pm (AEDT)
1. Wilmot Pass (12) J: Josh Richards (61kg) T: A & S Freedman	10	10	11	11	9.9	10
2. Gennady (6) J: Michael Dee (60.5kg) T: E Jusufovic	8	8	8.5	8	7.6	8.5
3. Soul Fire (3) J: Jacob Opperman (60.5kg) T: Ms J Gow-Whyte	51	67	71	81	73	61
4. Angry Annie (10) J: Ms Tatum Bull (60kg) T: Tiarnna Robertson	71	81	91	101	101	81
5. Demonstrate (7) J: Jake Duffy (60kg) T: G G Kirkup	71	91	151	101	131	101
6. Scottish Rogue (4) J: Daniel Moor (60kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young	23	26	21	26	24	26
7. Chief Altony (11) J: Damien Oliver (58.5kg) T: Alexander Rae	5	5	4.6	5	4.85	4.6
8. Corner Pocket (2) J: Declan Bates (58.5kg) T: L Smith	3.2	3.2	3.3	3.5	3.5	3.3
9. The Natural (8) J: Luke Currie (58kg) T: T & C Mcevoy	4.2	4.2	3.9	4	3.95	4.4
10. Lovin' Laughs (1) J: Jack Hill (57.5kg) T: M Sell	34	34	34	34	30	34
11. Marketing (5) J: John Allen (57.5kg) T: Ray Matthews	34	41	51	41	53	41
12. A Pinch Of Luck (9) J: Daniel Stackhouse (56.5kg) T: M M Laurie	8.5	8.5	8.5	9	8.2	9

Odds Last Updated: April 28, 2021, 3:22pm (AEDT)

Finally a race with a bit of interest. (8) Corner Pocket is a handy horse resuming and is coming off two wins. The most recent won at The Valley over Harpuna and Night Passage was very strong and he’s jumped out well. Should land leader’s back from barrier 2 and be hard to beat.

(9) The Natural looks the leader coming off an all the way win at Cranbourne over 1200m. Gets regular rider Luke Currie back on which suits and she looks to control the race again. I think Corner Pocket has more upside but The Natural has the map favours and fitness.

(1) Wilmot Pass is the best performed horse in the race but has a shocking map with a 3kg apprentice Josh Richards on. I think he’ll get too far back from barrier 12.

(7) Chief Altony is a good horse and has never missed a place at 1200m but two of those races were in maidens and I think he’s better over further.

Tip: (8) Corner Pocket- $3.50 at TAB

Also Backing: (9) The Natural- $4.60 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Corner Pocket, 1.5 units WIN The Natural

Race 5 Porter Plant Hcp (C1) (1100m) 3:55pm (AEDT)
1. Don't Doubt Nic (9) J: Daniel Stackhouse (59kg) T: G M Begg	4.4	4.4	4.2	4.6	4.3	4.4
2. Inspired Sun (5) J: Zac Spain (59kg) T: V L Malady	4.2	4.2	3.7	4	3.95	4.6
3. Octagon (10) J: Jack Hill (58.5kg) T: P & P Snowden	12	13	13	13	11.6	14
4. Audacious Heart (7) J: Mark Zahra (57.5kg) T: A & S Freedman
5. Bossy Chloe (2) J: Daniel Moor (57kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young	8	8	8	9	8.2	8.5
6. Kaniva (1) J: Damien Oliver (57kg) T: R G Symons	3.2	3.2	3.1	3.3	3.35	3.3
7. Maddox (8) J: Jarrod Fry (57kg) T: J F Moloney	11	11	10	12	10.4	10
8. Sure Am Invincible (6) J: Luke Nolen (57kg) T: John Mcardle	12	13	13	15	11.8	14
9. Fields Of Barley (3) J: John Allen (56.5kg) T: L Smith	13	15	14	17	15.8	12
10. Honey Go Lightly (4) J: Unknown (55.5kg) T: Brett Campbell

Odds Last Updated: April 28, 2021, 3:57pm (AEDT)

(1) Don’t Doubt Nic was an impressive maiden winner last start and this looks a suitable class 1 to progress to. The query here is the draw because he got a lovely run last start from an inside gate on speed. If they go forward from barrier 9 he looks hard to beat.

(5) Bossy Chloe sat on speed first up and fell in a three way go to the line. Should improve off that and will be on speed.

(6) Kaniva looks a good chance. She was wide no cover and only finished 3L off Okay To Pay with Yosemite and Diamonds who won yesterday. Draws barrier one here so there should be no chance of getting caught wide and Olly sticks.

(2) Inspired Sun has the best form around this grade, with solid runs in bm70 grade last prep but he does get back in the field and 1100m is as short as he wants it.

Tip: (1) Don’t Doubt Nic- $6.00 at Bet365

Also Backing: (6) Kaniva- $5.50 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Don’t Doubt Nic, 0.5 units WIN Kaniva

Race 6 Sportsbet-Makes It Easy-Bm64 (1400m) 4:30pm (AEDT)
1. Alexander Hamilton (2) J: Remi Tremsal (61kg) T: Ms R Frost	23	26	26	26	26.5	26
2. Excuses Excuses (5) J: Ms Tatum Bull (60.5kg) T: P A Preusker	12	13	14	13	12.2	13
3. Garimpeiro (12) J: Craig Newitt (60.5kg) T: L Smith
4. Peronne (9) J: John Allen (60.5kg) T: Symon Wilde	35	41	41	41	37	51
5. Zoumanor (14) J: Beau Mertens (60kg) T: M C Kent
6. Crafty Tycoon (4) J: Daniel Moor (59.5kg) T: David Pfieffer	14	16	17	17	16.6	18
7. Adversary (1) J: Patrick Moloney (59kg) T: J F Moloney	12	13	12	12	11.2	14
8. Cheeky Peaky (3) J: Brett Prebble (59kg) T: P A Preusker	4.2	4.2	4	4.4	4.1	4
9. Fabian's Spirit (15) J: Will Price (59kg) T: D F Daffy	14	14	14	15	13.6	14
10. Faithful Diamond (6) J: Dean Holland (59kg) T: J S Bull	5	5	5	4.8	5.4	5.5
11. The Krone (11) J: Luke Currie (59kg) T: T & C Mcevoy	6	6	6	6.5	6	6
12. Jessica Rae (10) J: Daniel Stackhouse (58kg) T: G M Begg
13. Insaaf (13) J: Zac Spain (57kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr	7	6.5	6	6.5	6.6	6
14. Magic Reward (7) J: Jarrod Fry (57kg) T: Peter Hardacre	14	15	15	15	14.2	16
15. Summaroca (8) J: Daniel Moor (58kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young	23	26	26	26	22.5	26
16. Squami (16) J: Damien Thornton (57.5kg) T: M Ellerton & S Zahra

Odds Last Updated: April 28, 2021, 4:32pm (AEDT)

(11) The Krone didn’t get much peace out in front first up over 1400m in a race dominated by swoopers. He battled on well behind the likes of Redwood Shadow who went enormous at Flemington on Sunday. Should take plenty of improvement from that and be in the finish.

(13) Insaaf is another first up and draws wide. She generally settles just off the speed but her last six runs have all been from barrier 1-3. Definite chance and has been backed.

(10) Faithful Diamond won a bm58 first up last prep and ran some good races in this sort of company. Maps fairly well and should run a good race.

(8) Cheeky Peaky looks suited stepping back up to 1400m after a good run over 1200m last start. The run prior over the mile was solid and she maps well.

Tip: (11) The Krone- $4.00 at Sportsbetting

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN The Krone

Race 7 Hygain Winners Choice (Bm70) (1600m) 5:05pm (AEDT)
1. Tan Check (3) J: Dean Holland (61.5kg) T: J S Bull	8.5	8.5	7.5	8	8.6	8.5
2. Kipketer (1) J: Luke Nolen (60kg) T: John Mcardle	16	17	17	17	15.6	19
3. Zero Doubt (5) J: Zac Spain (60kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr	15	16	16	16	16.8	18
4. Almighty Will (6) J: Jack Hill (59.5kg) T: Liam Howley	21	26	26	26	26.5	26
5. Smokin' Romans (12) J: John Allen (59.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.9	2.6	2.8
6. Stretto (11) J: Fred W Kersley (58kg) T: Matthew Cumani	11	11	11	11	10.2	12
7. Paint Me Red (2) J: Daniel Stackhouse (57.5kg) T: Brett Scott	18	19	18	18	19.6	21
8. Billy Mav (9) J: Ms Tatum Bull (57kg) T: P A Preusker	35	34	51	34	35	34
9. Cash For Diamonds (8) J: Luke Nolen (57kg) T: John Mcardle
10. Angel Rock (7) J: Craig Newitt (55.5kg) T: T Dabernig & B Hayes
11. Benefactress (13) J: Daniel Moor (55.5kg) T: M Ellerton & S Zahra	67	67	81	81	79	61
12. The Brumby (10) J: Damien Thornton (55kg) T: T & C Mcevoy	14	14	15	15	12.8	15
13. Under My Spell (4) J: Michael Dee (55kg) T: N A Blackiston	3.1	3.1	2.9	3.1	3.15	3

Odds Last Updated: April 28, 2021, 5:07pm (AEDT)

(5) Smokin’ Romans got the blinkers last start and it did the trick, sitting handy and putting 2L on Americain Angel who started $1.55 and probably should’ve won on the weekend. Should be at peak fitness and if he finds cover from the outside draw, I think he goes close again.

The danger is (1) Tan Check who has an excellent first up record. First up last prep over this trip she ran 1.7L 3rd to Think ‘n’ Fly and I think she gets a nice map here from 3.

(13) Under My Spell was good first up behind Zousonic in mare’s grade. She’s another that maps excellently on speed and should run well.

(6) Stretto next best.

Tip: (5) Smokin’ Romans- $3.40 at BlueBet

Value: (1) Tan Check- $6.50 at BlueBet

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Smokin’ Romans, 0.5 units WIN Tan Check