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Ascot Racing Tips: Wednesday, April 28th

Tim Geers previews every race on Wednesday’s card at Ascot with his tips and betting strategy below.

ascot-racecourse

Ascot hosts a seven-race card on Wednesday afternoon for midweek metro racing in the West.

The first race is set to get underway at 1.14pm local time, with the track rated a Good 4 and the rail out 11m the entire circuit.

It looks a tricky betting card overall, with a number of short-priced favourites over the course of the day.

Tim Geers has previewed every race on the card with his tips and betting strategy below.

Best Bet: Race 3 – (6) Buzzoom

BlueBet

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Race 1

Glenroy Chaff (Rs0ly) (1600m)
3:14pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Glenroy Chaff (Rs0ly) (1600m)
3:14pm (AEDT)

1. Chiclett (1) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (60kg) T: D & B Pearce
2.82.82.72.92.952.8
2. Big Screen (3) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (58.5kg) T: Ms J Erkelens
3.63.63.43.43.553.6
3. The Verdict (6) J: Jordan Turner (58kg) T: C H Webster
77.577.57.47
4. Snip'n'tuck (4) J: Chris Parnham (57.5kg) T: A G Durrant
87.5787.77.5
5. Piccola Signora (5) J: Laqdar Ramoly (56.5kg) T: N D Parnham
6.575.566.57
6. Dark Lass (2) J: William Pike (54.5kg) T: G & A Williams
88.58.58.57.58.5

Odds Last Updated: April 28, 2021, 3:17pm (AEDT)

On class, (1) Chiclett should be winning this. She’s had three starts in this grade leading into today and has won two of them. She drops out of some very good Saturday races back to a no-metro-win Wednesday race and with even luck from the inside gate, she looks the one to beat.

(2) Big Screen was dominant two starts back and started a clear favourite last start. He raced a bit fiercely there and didn’t see out the mile, so the blinkers come off today to help him settle better.

(3) The Verdict comes into this off back-to-back wins and looks the value in the race at $7.00.

Tip: (1) Chiclett $2.80 TAB

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Chiclett

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Race 2

Tabtouch-Better Your Bet (C1) (1000m)
3:49pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Tabtouch-Better Your Bet (C1) (1000m)
3:49pm (AEDT)

1. Strike (7) J: Laqdar Ramoly (60kg) T: C & M Gangemi
8.598.59.58.59
2. Apple Schnapps (3) J: William Pike (59.5kg) T: L Smith
4.54.24.244.14
3. Timely Outburst (4) J: Ms Nicole Hopwood (58kg) T: S J Miller
1.41.451.451.451.441.4
4. Rock The Planet (1) J: Ms Simone Altieri (57.5kg) T: Peter Farrell
1515161616.215
5. Barnsley Boy (6) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (57kg) T: S J Rowe
414151614951
6. Femme Puissante (5) J: Colin Haddon (57kg) T: T N Pike
353441414334
7. Sunol (2) J: Jason Whiting (54.5kg) T: Ms R Lockwood
515161716161

Odds Last Updated: April 28, 2021, 3:52pm (AEDT)

(3) Timely Outburst just looks better than these. He was dominant on debut at Pinjarra down the 1000m straight, winning by 2.7L. Has trialled well leading into his return today and should be very hard to beat.

Tip: (3) Timely Outburst $1.55 TopSport

Betting Strategy: No bet

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Race 3

Crown Towers (Rs0mw) (1100m)
4:24pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Crown Towers (Rs0mw) (1100m)
4:24pm (AEDT)

1. Canny Jack (9) J: William Pike (57kg) T: Ms C Stelmach
1313111613.211
2. Cold Shizzle (1) J: Chris Parnham (57kg) T: D T Mcauliffe
776.56.56.47
3. Master Buddha (8) J: Chris Graham (57kg) T: Joshua Mcleod
151151101101131151
4. Ruthless Tycoon (7) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (57kg) T: S J Miller
5. Twice Lucky (6) J: Shaun O'donnell (57kg) T: Rhys Radford
353431413531
6. Buzzoom (5) J: Brad Parnham (56kg) T: D L Morton
2.0521.92.121.9
7. Hannele (3) J: Patrick Carbery (55kg) T: Simon Miller
232126313221
8. Silver Sax (10) J: Troy Turner (55kg) T: F R Kersley
81818110111181
9. Dadirra (4) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (55kg) T: F R Kersley
9.59.599.59.69
10. Ponyo (2) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (55kg) T: T R Harvey
3.43.53.53.33.13.4

Odds Last Updated: April 28, 2021, 4:27pm (AEDT)

Another favourite looks hard to beat here in the form of (6) Buzzoom who was very well backed on debut and produced a terrific finishing burst to win well. Some query today dropping back from 1200m to 1100m but draws better in barrier 5 and looks to have plenty of talent. Confident she wins again.

(9) Dadirra might be the value at $9.00. She trialled well leading into her debut behind Buzzoom, where she started ahead of her in the market. She was held up the entire straight and the race was over by the time she got out. Respect her SP in that race and we’re getting a much better price today.

Tip: (6) Buzzoom $2.00 Sportsbet

Value: (9) Dadirra $9.00 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 3 units WIN Buzzoom, 0.5 units WIN Dadirra

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Race 4

Amelia Park Lodge Mdn (1400m)
4:59pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Amelia Park Lodge Mdn (1400m)
4:59pm (AEDT)

1. Forgotten War (8) J: William Pike (58kg) T: Russell Stewart
1515151613.215
2. War Warrior (2) J: Brad Rawiller (57.5kg) T: D L Morton
2.252.252.22.22.12.25
3. Famous Jurney (7) J: Jason Brown (57.5kg) T: J P Taylor
4.84.64.655.14.6
4. Mudchukka (5) J: Ms Victoria Corver (57.5kg) T: E D Philp
201201151151221251
5. Cape Choice (1) J: Joseph Azzopardi (57.5kg) T: A G Durrant
7181818183101
6. Teamwork (10) J: Laqdar Ramoly (57.5kg) T: N D Parnham
677161815981
7. Fairouge (3) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (56kg) T: C G Willis
8. Red Cadillac (4) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (55.5kg) T: P V Morley
1513141615.213
9. Star Storm (11) J: Brad Parnham (55.5kg) T: Simon Miller
1512131312.812
10. Uni Queen (9) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (53kg) T: Ms J Erkelens
3.43.33.43.43.43.3
11. Dash Of Brandy (6) J: Ms Madi Derrick (53kg) T: G C Ballantyne
414134314141

Odds Last Updated: April 28, 2021, 5:02pm (AEDT)

(10) Uni Queen was well backed first up behind Buzzoom and ran on well from the back of the field. Some query today from barrier 9 with the rail out, but the step up in trip should suit and she’ll be hitting the line hard.

(2) War Warrior led last start and was run down by English Heritage. He now steps up to 1400m but he didn’t exactly finish off his race last start like he was looking for extra ground, so that’s my concern with him.

(3) Famous Jurney should roll forward to take up a position on speed and he’ll be thereabouts in the finish.

Tip: (10) Uni Queen $3.50 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Uni Queen

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Race 5

Flying Colours Restaurant-C3 (1200m)
5:35pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Flying Colours Restaurant-C3 (1200m)
5:35pm (AEDT)

1. Excelestial (1) J: Patrick Carbery (59.5kg) T: H S Mclaren
1515151614.214
2. Trevello (5) J: Jett Stanley (59.5kg) T: G & A Williams
6.56.5776.96.5
3. Beau Zoom (2) J: Brad Parnham (59kg) T: N D Parnham
3.23.23333.2
4. Chix Chatter (3) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (59kg) T: D R Harrison
1918181618.219
5. How's The Serenity (4) J: Peter Knuckey (59kg) T: Simon Miller
1.751.751.751.81.721.7
6. Metallic Queen (7) J: Jason Whiting (55kg) T: Nakita Barber
414134344351
7. Princess Shari (6) J: Colin Haddon (55kg) T: T N Pike
10110110110111181

Odds Last Updated: April 28, 2021, 5:37pm (AEDT)

Doesn’t look to be that much speed engaged here so I’ll go with (3) Beau Zoom who should appreciate a better barrier draw today. He was huge in defeat last start, sitting parked three-wide without cover with 60kg the entire trip. Softer draw toady means he can lead without too much fuss and he’ll take some running down with the rail out.

(5) How’s The Serenity finished off well behind the talented Kaptain Kaos last start, which looks a very reliable form reference for a race like this. Should sit one-out, one-back and be right in the finish.

Tip: (3) Beau Zoom $3.10 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Beau Zoom

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Race 6

Iron Jack (Rs0ly) (1000m)
6:15pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Iron Jack (Rs0ly) (1000m)
6:15pm (AEDT)

1. Highland Beat (1) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (61.5kg) T: C & M Gangemi
4444.23.954
2. Danny George (8) J: Laqdar Ramoly (60kg) T: Brett Pope
181718211818
3. Wiener Waltz (3) J: Ms Mollie Clark (57.5kg) T: Steele Casey
4. Forest War (7) J: Chris Nicoll (56.5kg) T: Gavin Foster
141412121313
5. Lies 'N' Deception (2) J: Keshaw Dhurun (56.5kg) T: Raymond Vincent
312621212626
6. Just A Pinch (5) J: Peter Knuckey (55.5kg) T: S & J Casey
2.452.452.52.52.52.4
7. Dam Ready (9) J: Jason Whiting (54.5kg) T: M W Bairstow
617171717781
8. Eliminate (6) J: Chris Parnham (54kg) T: N D Parnham
4.54.44.24.44.254.2
9. Spinifex Fairy (4) J: William Pike (54kg) T: Ms M Tyson
77777.47

Odds Last Updated: April 28, 2021, 6:17pm (AEDT)

(6) Just A Pinch has returned in great order this prep. First up she sat three-wide the trip when beaten 0.3L, and she atoned for that with a good win last start over track and distance. Can win again.

(1) Highland Beat gets a huge drop in grade, along with the blinkers back on third up from a spell so no surprise to see the money has come for him. He’s never won third up though so I’ll be opposing him.

(2) Danny George is racing well and looks a good price but does get the pads on his feet today which is never ideal.

(8) Eliminate next best, might be looking for further than this.

Tip: (6) Just A Pinch $2.70 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Just A Pinch

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Race 7

Ascend Sales Trophies Hcp-C3 (1400m)
6:55pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Ascend Sales Trophies Hcp-C3 (1400m)
6:55pm (AEDT)

1. Sentimental Queen (1) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (60kg) T: Hayden Ballantyne
2.352.42.452.82.72.4
2. Divine Quest (3) J: Peter Knuckey (59kg) T: C H Webster
87.5887.87.5
3. Al Magico (10) J: Ms Shelby Bowtell (57.5kg) T: J M Bowtell
7.57.5867.57.5
4. Dustypark (4) J: Chris Parnham (56.5kg) T: N D Parnham
262621212023
5. Looks Like Magic (8) J: Ms Madi Derrick (56.5kg) T: Tracey Diederich
111111101011
6. Power And Passion (6) J: Ryan Hill (56.5kg) T: P H Jordan
1716181416.416
7. Alluring (9) J: Keshaw Dhurun (56kg) T: N D Parnham
9.59.59.59.58.910
8. Oihana (5) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (55.5kg) T: Ivan Haggerty
6.566666
9. High Energy (2) J: Laqdar Ramoly (55kg) T: M G Reed
1817181614.617
10. Winnie's Wine (7) J: Jason Whiting (55kg) T: G C Ballantyne
2321212119.823

Odds Last Updated: April 28, 2021, 6:57pm (AEDT)

(1) Sentimental Queen resumes over 1400m today, just like it did when it broke its maiden first up last prep. She went on to win over much further than this but this looks a good starting point for her on the back of a good recent trial.

(2) Divine Quest was a good effort first up after sitting wide throughout. Was only beaten 3.6L and from a much better draw today, can figure in the finish.

Interesting move for (9) High Energy which is first up for a new stable and has been $31 into $13.

Tip: (1) Sentimental Queen $2.70 Bet365

Also Backing: (2) Divine Quest $6.00 Sportsbetting

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Sentimental Queen, 0.5 units WIN Divine Quest

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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