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Happy Valley Racing Tips: Wednesday, April 28th

Hong Kong racing heads to the city circuit for nine races on Wednesday evening and Tim Geers has provided his preview and tips below.

Happy Valley Racing Tips

Hong Kong racing heads to the city circuit at Happy Valley for nine races on Wednesday evening and Tim Geers has provided his preview and tips below.

Racing will be on the C+3 course tonight, which is the widest rail position at the track and inside barriers are typically favoured.

The first race is set to jump at 6.45pm local time, with our best bet coming in the very last race at 10.50pm.

We’ll be betting into Race 1, Race 3, Race 5, Race 7 and Race 9.

Best Bet: Race 9 – (4) Brilliant Fortune

Best Value: Race 5 – (1) Piano Solo & (7) Fa Fa

BlueBet

0

Race 1

Lyttelton Hcp (C5) (1650m)
8:45pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Lyttelton Hcp (C5) (1650m)
8:45pm (AEDT)

1. Smart Cousin (3) J: J Moreira (60.5kg) T: C H Yip
6655.55.3
2. Speed To Exceed (7) J: A Badel (60kg) T: Richard Gibson
9.5109.5109.3
3. Shanghai Grace (10) J: M F Poon (59kg) T: Y S Tsui
6.566.56.56.1
4. Diamond Star (11) J: V Borges (58kg) T: J J Size
2020212119
5. Wonder Express (1) J: C Y Ho (58kg) T: K H Ting
1111111110.4
6. Apolar Warrior (5) J: H Bentley (57kg) T: P Yiu
8.599.59.58.5
7. Brave Power (8) J: M Chadwick (56.5kg) T: A S Cruz
5151515147
8. Laos Enlightenment (12) J: K C Leung (56.5kg) T: L Ho
5151414141
9. Red Majesty (6) J: Z Purton (56kg) T: D A Hayes
55.5554.85
10. Even Keel (2) J: K Teetan (55.5kg) T: A T Millard
66.5776.5
11. Blazing Partners (4) J: R Maia (52kg) T: D Ferraris
7.577.57.57.1
12. Keep Winning (9) J: M L Yeung (51.5kg) T: C W Chang
2626212122.5

Odds Last Updated: April 28, 2021, 8:47pm (AEDT)

Interesting to see Joao Moreira booked on (1) Smart Cousin here for trainer Dennis Yip. He drops back into Clas 5 tonight after five runs in Class 4. His last victry came in this class over a similar distance here at Happy Vallye, where he started from barrier 12 and carried a similar weight to what he does tonight. Drawn well in barrier 3, he looks a great chance back in grade with Moreira up. $6.00 is a good price.

I’ll also be on Purton’ mount (9) Red Majesty. Zac rode this horse last week and it was little surprise to see him improve markedly. He comes into tonight on the quick back-up and Purton elects to stick with him. Jumps sharply from 1200m to 1600m which is a slight query but on last week’s effort he sould be hard to beat.

Happy to back both at $6.00 and $4.40 respectively.

(11) Blazing Partners doesn’t win out of turn but can be competitive from a low draw with no weight. It’s been three years since he raced at Happy Valley and he should find this easier than Sha Tin.

Tip: (1) Smart Cousin $6.00 Bet365

Also Backing: (9) Red Majesty $4.40 TopSport

Betting Strategy: 0.75 units WIN Red Majesty, 0.5 units WIN Smart Cousin

0

Race 2

Conduit Hcp (C4) (1200m)
9:15pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Conduit Hcp (C4) (1200m)
9:15pm (AEDT)

1. Family Folks (6) J: A Hamelin (60.5kg) T: C W Chang
3.93.93.73.83.75
2. Telecom Smart (4) J: K Teetan (58.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
4.24443.9
3. Noir Rider (2) J: R Maia (58kg) T: T P Yung
8.5912129.6
4. Amazement (12) J: A Badel (57kg) T: J J Size
109.587.59.2
5. Blissful Star (3) J: Z Purton (57kg) T: K H Ting
8.57.56.56.57.7
6. Universal Go Go (10) J: J Moreira (56kg) T: K W Lui
77.56.576.9
7. Coby Oppa (11) J: T Piccone (56kg) T: W Y So
8181717169
8. Street Scream (8) J: H Bentley (56kg) T: D J Hall
1716171715.4
9. Super Flames (7) J: M F Poon (56kg) T: L Ho
151126151151111
10. Mudita (1) J: C Schofield (55.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan
555.55.54.95
11. The Elites (5) J: C Y Ho (54kg) T: F C Lor
9181717173
12. California Legend (9) J: M L Yeung (52kg) T: A S Cruz
4126262627.5

Odds Last Updated: April 28, 2021, 9:17pm (AEDT)

0

Race 3

Kotewall Hcp (C4) (2200m)
9:45pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Kotewall Hcp (C4) (2200m)
9:45pm (AEDT)

1. Clement Legend (3) J: K Teetan (60.5kg) T: C S Shum
88887.9
2. Play Wise (8) J: M F Poon (58kg) T: C H Yip
987.57.57.9
3. Wind Glider (12) J: K C Leung (57kg) T: P D O'sullivan
1716171716
4. Kungfumaster Panda (11) J: A Hamelin (56kg) T: P D O'sullivan
1818191918
5. Dionysus Collin (4) J: C Y Ho (56kg) T: K W Lui
1413131312.8
6. Bright Vision (6) J: A Badel (55.5kg) T: P Yiu
55554.95
7. Donc Je Suis (1) J: Z Purton (55.5kg) T: D A Hayes
3.33.43.33.33.3
8. Magnetism (9) J: V Borges (53kg) T: D Ferraris
3126212125
9. Nuremberg (10) J: M Chadwick (52.5kg) T: A S Cruz
5.55.55.55.55.3
10. Perfect To Play (7) J: J Moreira (52.5kg) T: C Fownes
1110999.8
11. Lucky Missile (5) J: H N Wong (51.5kg) T: D J Hall
3441414140
12. Bullish Glory (2) J: M L Yeung (51.5kg) T: C W Chang
4141515141

Odds Last Updated: April 28, 2021, 9:47pm (AEDT)

I really think (7) Donc Je Suis gets his chance to win tonight. He’s been around the mark in most of his starts and he gets a perfect set up tonight. Barrier 1 over the 2200m with the rail in the C+3 position can be a godsend, especially with Purton retaining the ride. He had to go all the way back from the wide gate at Sha Tin last start, but from the inside gate tonight he can position much closer to the speed and get all the favours. There’s been four horses start from barrier 1 over this distance on the C+3 course this season, and the furthest back they’ve finished has been 4th. I never really bet each way at these prices, but with $3.90/$1.80 available, I can make an exception tonight.

(1) Clement Legend is a track and distance specialist and drops back into Class 4 tonight. He won last time he was in this class, and he then went on to win twice more in Class 3, so he’s more than capable. Draws well and really should be very competitive.

Always wary when Moreira and Fownes team up, so watch (10) Perfect To Play at odds.

Tip: (7) Donc Je Suis $3.90/$1.80 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1 unit E/W Donc Je Suis

0

Race 4

Lyttelton Hcp (C5) (1650m)
10:15pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Lyttelton Hcp (C5) (1650m)
10:15pm (AEDT)

1. Manna From Heaven (3) J: C Schofield (60.5kg) T: K L Man
4.84.8554.7
2. Swot Troopers Wind (6) J: K C Leung (60kg) T: D J Hall
6.56.5776.3
3. Tailor Made (7) J: C Y Ho (60kg) T: C Fownes
6.56666
4. Ka Fortune (8) J: R Maia (59.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan
3131343429.5
5. President Star (5) J: Z Purton (59kg) T: C S Shum
6.565.55.55.7
6. Regency Gem (2) J: K Teetan (58.5kg) T: W Y So
4.85554.85
7. Virtus Star (4) J: A Badel (58.5kg) T: F C Lor
101011119.8
8. African Sky (11) J: M Chadwick (58kg) T: T P Yung
201201201201171
9. Speed Force (10) J: H Bentley (57.5kg) T: D Whyte
1716161615.8
10. Centenary Ibis (1) J: A Hamelin (57kg) T: A T Millard
4134343434
11. Nitro Express (9) J: J Moreira (56.5kg) T: D Ferraris
6.55.55.55.55.4
12. Enjoyable Success (12) J: Alex Lai (54kg) T: Y S Tsui
3126212125.5

Odds Last Updated: April 28, 2021, 10:17pm (AEDT)

0

Race 5

Hatton Hcp (C4) (1650m)
10:45pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Hatton Hcp (C4) (1650m)
10:45pm (AEDT)

1. Piano Solo (1) J: Z Purton (60.5kg) T: C S Shum
66665.7
2. Toycoon (3) J: M Chadwick (59kg) T: P Yiu
6.565.55.55.7
3. Chater Pins (8) J: A Badel (58.5kg) T: D A Hayes
8.598.58.57.9
4. Nunchuks (9) J: A K Chan (58.5kg) T: C Fownes
2019181818
5. King Dragon (2) J: K C Leung (57.5kg) T: K L Man
9.59998.4
6. Divine Unicorn (5) J: K Teetan (55.5kg) T: W Y So
55.54.84.84.95
7. Fa Fa (6) J: C Y Ho (55.5kg) T: F C Lor
10109.59.59.4
8. Pearl Champion (12) J: J Moreira (54.5kg) T: C H Yip
76.54.855.8
9. Shadow Breaker (4) J: C Schofield (54kg) T: K H Ting
88.59.59.58.2
10. Thunder Stomp (7) J: M F Poon (53.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
1311111110.2
11. Dazzling Feeling (11) J: V Borges (52.5kg) T: D Ferraris
9191818175
12. Grand Power (10) J: H T Mo (52kg) T: C W Chang
201201201201181

Odds Last Updated: April 28, 2021, 10:47pm (AEDT)

(1) Piano Solo gets my favourite Hong Kong set up tonight with Zac Purton jumping on for the first time as he drops in class, and he gets the added bonus of barrier 1, which is a big advantage over 1650m on the C+3 course. He’s been batting around in Class 3 but drops to Class 4 for the first time tonight, gets the huge jockey change and the good draw. Looks a terrific set up and $5.50 looks a great price.

(7) Fa Fa comes to Happy Valley for the first time in his career. He improved last start to finish midfield and ran the second-fastest final 400m in the process. It wouldn’t shock if he were to improve again at double figure odds.

The other thing that caught my eye in this race was Joao Moreira booked on (8) Pearl Champion for his stable debut for Dennis Yip. His form is hardly anything to get excited by and he’s drawn out in barrier 12 but it’s a notable booking noentheless.

(2) Toycoon copped a very strange steer from the inside gate last start and must be respected with a good draw tonight.

Tip: (1) Piano Solo $5.50 TopSport

Value: (7) Fa Fa $13 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Piano Solo, 0.5 units WIN Fa Fa

0

Race 6

Bonham Hcp (C3) (1200m)
11:15pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Bonham Hcp (C3) (1200m)
11:15pm (AEDT)

1. Sparkling Dragon (8) J: A Hamelin (60.5kg) T: A T Millard
8.58.510108.6
2. Beauty Rush (7) J: Z Purton (60kg) T: J J Size
4.65554.85
3. Snap Fit (9) J: A K Chan (60kg) T: C Fownes
710998.7
4. California Concord (1) J: J Moreira (59.5kg) T: A S Cruz
3.63.63.73.73.5
5. Lincoln Bright (5) J: K C Leung (58.5kg) T: Richard Gibson
6. Triple Triple (4) J: M F Poon (56.5kg) T: F C Lor
4.64.84.64.64.6
7. Stoicism (6) J: H Bentley (55kg) T: D Ferraris
1716141315.2
8. King's Capital (3) J: M L Yeung (54.5kg) T: D A Hayes
9.59.59.5109.3
9. Mehboob (2) J: M Chadwick (53.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan
1616181815.8
10. Jazz Steed (10) J: K Teetan (53kg) T: C Fownes
777.57.56.9

Odds Last Updated: April 28, 2021, 11:17pm (AEDT)

0

Race 7

Conduit Hcp (C4) (1200m)
11:45pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Conduit Hcp (C4) (1200m)
11:45pm (AEDT)

1. Ares (1) J: M F Poon (60.5kg) T: F C Lor
66666
2. Jolly Good Heart (9) J: K Teetan (59.5kg) T: T P Yung
9.510121210
3. Ever Joy (7) J: Z Purton (56.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan
111099.59.4
4. Xponential (8) J: B Shinn (56kg) T: D Whyte
1016181716.6
5. Chikorita (5) J: A Hamelin (56kg) T: C W Chang
9.51010109.8
6. Star Of Wuyi (11) J: J Moreira (56kg) T: K W Lui
3.83.73.63.63.65
7. Good Buddy (10) J: A Badel (55kg) T: D J Hall
1918191917.2
8. Hero Star (6) J: K C Leung (55kg) T: K L Man
12119.51010.8
9. Sight Hero (3) J: C Schofield (55kg) T: D A Hayes
6.56665.9
10. Silvery Warrior (12) J: H Bentley (54.5kg) T: Richard Gibson
10110110110197
11. Destine Jewellery (4) J: H N Wong (53kg) T: J J Size
4134262633
12. Happily Friends (2) J: V Borges (51.5kg) T: K H Ting
9.59.510119.5

Odds Last Updated: April 28, 2021, 11:47pm (AEDT)

Very interested in (3) Ever Joy on debut here for Paul O’Sullian and Zac Purton. It’s always hard for horses to win on debut at Happy Valley, but Purton’s ridden this horse in all four of his jumpouts and jumps off two other horses in this race to ride him. Drawn midfield in barrier 7, expecting a decent showing.

I dare say Purton would have also been offered the ride on (1) Ares who drops back into Class 4 tonight. Purton has ridden him in both career victories. Barrier 1 over the 1200m is premium so with that drop in class and the good draw, he can be competitive.

(6) Stare Of Wuyi is obviously knocking on the door.

Tip: (3) Ever Joy $7.00/$2.50 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units E/W Ever Joy

0

Race 8

Breezy Hcp (C3) (1650m)
12:15am (AEDT)

Race 8

Breezy Hcp (C3) (1650m)
12:15am (AEDT)

1. Super Buddy (3) J: B Shinn (60.5kg) T: D A Hayes
4641414135
2. Tashidelek (10) J: T Piccone (60.5kg) T: D Whyte
5141343435
3. Alpha Hedge (11) J: Z Purton (58kg) T: K W Lui
5.56665.8
4. Farshad (7) J: K Teetan (57.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
109.59.5108.9
5. Helene Wisdom Star (2) J: J Moreira (57kg) T: A S Cruz
3.94.24.653.8
6. Turin Redstar (9) J: R Maia (57kg) T: C H Yip
3131262629.5
7. Star Of Glory (4) J: H T Mo (56kg) T: C W Chang
10191717169
8. Villa Fionn (5) J: H Bentley (54.5kg) T: P Yiu
2120181818
9. Bundle Of Delight (8) J: C Y Ho (54kg) T: D J Hall
1414141412.2
10. Exceptional Nice (6) J: A Badel (53kg) T: W Y So
6.56.56.56.56.4
11. Fast Pace (1) J: M Chadwick (53kg) T: C Fownes
3.43.43.23.13.45

Odds Last Updated: April 29, 2021, 10:03am (AEDT)

0

Race 9

Babington Hcp (C3) (1000m)
12:50am (AEDT)

Race 9

Babington Hcp (C3) (1000m)
12:50am (AEDT)

1. Harmony And Rich (7) J: M Chadwick (60.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
1215141413.8
2. Larson (6) J: Z Purton (59.5kg) T: F C Lor
6.56665.9
3. Elon (5) J: A Badel (59kg) T: J J Size
5141616129.5
4. Brilliant Fortune (8) J: J Moreira (58kg) T: C Fownes
2.82.72.72.72.4
5. Heart Conquered (4) J: T Piccone (57kg) T: Richard Gibson
2019212117.6
6. Eight Trigrams (11) J: H T Mo (54.5kg) T: D J Hall
10191818163
7. Nordic Wellstar (10) J: C Y Ho (54.5kg) T: D Whyte
1313141413.2
8. Super Axiom (2) J: C Schofield (54.5kg) T: D A Hayes
3.93.93.73.83.95
9. Falcon Turbo (3) J: H Bentley (53.5kg) T: A T Millard
1717171716
10. Momentum Galaxy (12) J: A Hamelin (53.5kg) T: K H Ting
5141414136
11. Fabulous Eight (9) J: H N Wong (53kg) T: P Yiu
5151515140
12. Harrier Jet (1) J: V Borges (53kg) T: P D O'sullivan
1517191917.2

Odds Last Updated: April 29, 2021, 10:03am (AEDT)

The best bet of the night looks to be the favourite (4) Brilliant Fortune in the last. He’s had two starts in Hong Kong and has run 2nd on both occasions. Both were at Sha Tin behind two pretty smart horses, in particular Winner Method who is undefeated. This is a bit different tonight as he comes to the Valley for the first time rather than racing down the Sha Tin straight, but Casper Fownes runners normally excel here. I’d probably be declaring him a moral if he had have drawn inside barrier 3, but so long as he gets a decent trip from barrier 8, I expect him to be exceptionally hard to beat.

Tip: (4) Brilliant Fortune $2.20 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 3 units WIN Brilliant Fortune

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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