Race 1
Lyttelton Hcp (C5) (1650m)
8:45pm (AEDT)
Race 1Lyttelton Hcp (C5) (1650m) |
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1. Smart Cousin
J: J Moreira (60.5kg)
T: C H Yip |
6 | 6 | 5 | 5.5 | 5.3 | |
2. Speed To Exceed
J: A Badel (60kg)
T: Richard Gibson |
9.5 | 10 | 9.5 | 10 | 9.3 | |
3. Shanghai Grace
J: M F Poon (59kg)
T: Y S Tsui |
6.5 | 6 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6.1 | |
4. Diamond Star
J: V Borges (58kg)
T: J J Size |
20 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 19 | |
5. Wonder Express
J: C Y Ho (58kg)
T: K H Ting |
11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10.4 | |
6. Apolar Warrior
J: H Bentley (57kg)
T: P Yiu |
8.5 | 9 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 8.5 | |
7. Brave Power
J: M Chadwick (56.5kg)
T: A S Cruz |
51 | 51 | 51 | 51 | 47 | |
8. Laos Enlightenment
J: K C Leung (56.5kg)
T: L Ho |
51 | 51 | 41 | 41 | 41 | |
9. Red Majesty
J: Z Purton (56kg)
T: D A Hayes |
5 | 5.5 | 5 | 5 | 4.85 | |
10. Even Keel
J: K Teetan (55.5kg)
T: A T Millard |
6 | 6.5 | 7 | 7 | 6.5 | |
11. Blazing Partners
J: R Maia (52kg)
T: D Ferraris |
7.5 | 7 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.1 | |
12. Keep Winning
J: M L Yeung (51.5kg)
T: C W Chang |
26 | 26 | 21 | 21 | 22.5 |
Odds Last Updated: April 28, 2021, 8:47pm (AEDT)
Interesting to see Joao Moreira booked on (1) Smart Cousin here for trainer Dennis Yip. He drops back into Clas 5 tonight after five runs in Class 4. His last victry came in this class over a similar distance here at Happy Vallye, where he started from barrier 12 and carried a similar weight to what he does tonight. Drawn well in barrier 3, he looks a great chance back in grade with Moreira up. $6.00 is a good price.
I’ll also be on Purton’ mount (9) Red Majesty. Zac rode this horse last week and it was little surprise to see him improve markedly. He comes into tonight on the quick back-up and Purton elects to stick with him. Jumps sharply from 1200m to 1600m which is a slight query but on last week’s effort he sould be hard to beat.
Happy to back both at $6.00 and $4.40 respectively.
(11) Blazing Partners doesn’t win out of turn but can be competitive from a low draw with no weight. It’s been three years since he raced at Happy Valley and he should find this easier than Sha Tin.
Tip: (1) Smart Cousin $6.00 Bet365
Also Backing: (9) Red Majesty $4.40 TopSport
Betting Strategy: 0.75 units WIN Red Majesty, 0.5 units WIN Smart Cousin
Race 2
Conduit Hcp (C4) (1200m)
9:15pm (AEDT)
Race 2Conduit Hcp (C4) (1200m) |
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1. Family Folks
J: A Hamelin (60.5kg)
T: C W Chang |
3.9 | 3.9 | 3.7 | 3.8 | 3.75 | |
2. Telecom Smart
J: K Teetan (58.5kg)
T: Y S Tsui |
4.2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3.9 | |
3. Noir Rider
J: R Maia (58kg)
T: T P Yung |
8.5 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 9.6 | |
4. Amazement
J: A Badel (57kg)
T: J J Size |
10 | 9.5 | 8 | 7.5 | 9.2 | |
5. Blissful Star
J: Z Purton (57kg)
T: K H Ting |
8.5 | 7.5 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 7.7 | |
6. Universal Go Go
J: J Moreira (56kg)
T: K W Lui |
7 | 7.5 | 6.5 | 7 | 6.9 | |
7. Coby Oppa
J: T Piccone (56kg)
T: W Y So |
81 | 81 | 71 | 71 | 69 | |
8. Street Scream
J: H Bentley (56kg)
T: D J Hall |
17 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 15.4 | |
9. Super Flames
J: M F Poon (56kg)
T: L Ho |
151 | 126 | 151 | 151 | 111 | |
10. Mudita
J: C Schofield (55.5kg)
T: P D O'sullivan |
5 | 5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 4.95 | |
11. The Elites
J: C Y Ho (54kg)
T: F C Lor |
91 | 81 | 71 | 71 | 73 | |
12. California Legend
J: M L Yeung (52kg)
T: A S Cruz |
41 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27.5 |
Odds Last Updated: April 28, 2021, 9:17pm (AEDT)
Race 3
Kotewall Hcp (C4) (2200m)
9:45pm (AEDT)
Race 3Kotewall Hcp (C4) (2200m) |
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1. Clement Legend
J: K Teetan (60.5kg)
T: C S Shum |
8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7.9 | |
2. Play Wise
J: M F Poon (58kg)
T: C H Yip |
9 | 8 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.9 | |
3. Wind Glider
J: K C Leung (57kg)
T: P D O'sullivan |
17 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 16 | |
4. Kungfumaster Panda
J: A Hamelin (56kg)
T: P D O'sullivan |
18 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 18 | |
5. Dionysus Collin
J: C Y Ho (56kg)
T: K W Lui |
14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12.8 | |
6. Bright Vision
J: A Badel (55.5kg)
T: P Yiu |
5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4.95 | |
7. Donc Je Suis
J: Z Purton (55.5kg)
T: D A Hayes |
3.3 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.3 | |
8. Magnetism
J: V Borges (53kg)
T: D Ferraris |
31 | 26 | 21 | 21 | 25 | |
9. Nuremberg
J: M Chadwick (52.5kg)
T: A S Cruz |
5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.3 | |
10. Perfect To Play
J: J Moreira (52.5kg)
T: C Fownes |
11 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9.8 | |
11. Lucky Missile
J: H N Wong (51.5kg)
T: D J Hall |
34 | 41 | 41 | 41 | 40 | |
12. Bullish Glory
J: M L Yeung (51.5kg)
T: C W Chang |
41 | 41 | 51 | 51 | 41 |
Odds Last Updated: April 28, 2021, 9:47pm (AEDT)
I really think (7) Donc Je Suis gets his chance to win tonight. He’s been around the mark in most of his starts and he gets a perfect set up tonight. Barrier 1 over the 2200m with the rail in the C+3 position can be a godsend, especially with Purton retaining the ride. He had to go all the way back from the wide gate at Sha Tin last start, but from the inside gate tonight he can position much closer to the speed and get all the favours. There’s been four horses start from barrier 1 over this distance on the C+3 course this season, and the furthest back they’ve finished has been 4th. I never really bet each way at these prices, but with $3.90/$1.80 available, I can make an exception tonight.
(1) Clement Legend is a track and distance specialist and drops back into Class 4 tonight. He won last time he was in this class, and he then went on to win twice more in Class 3, so he’s more than capable. Draws well and really should be very competitive.
Always wary when Moreira and Fownes team up, so watch (10) Perfect To Play at odds.
Tip: (7) Donc Je Suis $3.90/$1.80 Bet365
Betting Strategy: 1 unit E/W Donc Je Suis
Race 4
Lyttelton Hcp (C5) (1650m)
10:15pm (AEDT)
Race 4Lyttelton Hcp (C5) (1650m) |
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1. Manna From Heaven
J: C Schofield (60.5kg)
T: K L Man |
4.8 | 4.8 | 5 | 5 | 4.7 | |
2. Swot Troopers Wind
J: K C Leung (60kg)
T: D J Hall |
6.5 | 6.5 | 7 | 7 | 6.3 | |
3. Tailor Made
J: C Y Ho (60kg)
T: C Fownes |
6.5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | |
4. Ka Fortune
J: R Maia (59.5kg)
T: P D O'sullivan |
31 | 31 | 34 | 34 | 29.5 | |
5. President Star
J: Z Purton (59kg)
T: C S Shum |
6.5 | 6 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.7 | |
6. Regency Gem
J: K Teetan (58.5kg)
T: W Y So |
4.8 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4.85 | |
7. Virtus Star
J: A Badel (58.5kg)
T: F C Lor |
10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 9.8 | |
8. African Sky
J: M Chadwick (58kg)
T: T P Yung |
201 | 201 | 201 | 201 | 171 | |
9. Speed Force
J: H Bentley (57.5kg)
T: D Whyte |
17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15.8 | |
10. Centenary Ibis
J: A Hamelin (57kg)
T: A T Millard |
41 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 34 | |
11. Nitro Express
J: J Moreira (56.5kg)
T: D Ferraris |
6.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.4 | |
12. Enjoyable Success
J: Alex Lai (54kg)
T: Y S Tsui |
31 | 26 | 21 | 21 | 25.5 |
Odds Last Updated: April 28, 2021, 10:17pm (AEDT)
Race 5
Hatton Hcp (C4) (1650m)
10:45pm (AEDT)
Race 5Hatton Hcp (C4) (1650m) |
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1. Piano Solo
J: Z Purton (60.5kg)
T: C S Shum |
6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5.7 | |
2. Toycoon
J: M Chadwick (59kg)
T: P Yiu |
6.5 | 6 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.7 | |
3. Chater Pins
J: A Badel (58.5kg)
T: D A Hayes |
8.5 | 9 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 7.9 | |
4. Nunchuks
J: A K Chan (58.5kg)
T: C Fownes |
20 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 18 | |
5. King Dragon
J: K C Leung (57.5kg)
T: K L Man |
9.5 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8.4 | |
6. Divine Unicorn
J: K Teetan (55.5kg)
T: W Y So |
5 | 5.5 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 4.95 | |
7. Fa Fa
J: C Y Ho (55.5kg)
T: F C Lor |
10 | 10 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 9.4 | |
8. Pearl Champion
J: J Moreira (54.5kg)
T: C H Yip |
7 | 6.5 | 4.8 | 5 | 5.8 | |
9. Shadow Breaker
J: C Schofield (54kg)
T: K H Ting |
8 | 8.5 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 8.2 | |
10. Thunder Stomp
J: M F Poon (53.5kg)
T: Y S Tsui |
13 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10.2 | |
11. Dazzling Feeling
J: V Borges (52.5kg)
T: D Ferraris |
91 | 91 | 81 | 81 | 75 | |
12. Grand Power
J: H T Mo (52kg)
T: C W Chang |
201 | 201 | 201 | 201 | 181 |
Odds Last Updated: April 28, 2021, 10:47pm (AEDT)
(1) Piano Solo gets my favourite Hong Kong set up tonight with Zac Purton jumping on for the first time as he drops in class, and he gets the added bonus of barrier 1, which is a big advantage over 1650m on the C+3 course. He’s been batting around in Class 3 but drops to Class 4 for the first time tonight, gets the huge jockey change and the good draw. Looks a terrific set up and $5.50 looks a great price.
(7) Fa Fa comes to Happy Valley for the first time in his career. He improved last start to finish midfield and ran the second-fastest final 400m in the process. It wouldn’t shock if he were to improve again at double figure odds.
The other thing that caught my eye in this race was Joao Moreira booked on (8) Pearl Champion for his stable debut for Dennis Yip. His form is hardly anything to get excited by and he’s drawn out in barrier 12 but it’s a notable booking noentheless.
(2) Toycoon copped a very strange steer from the inside gate last start and must be respected with a good draw tonight.
Tip: (1) Piano Solo $5.50 TopSport
Value: (7) Fa Fa $13 Bet365
Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Piano Solo, 0.5 units WIN Fa Fa
Race 6
Bonham Hcp (C3) (1200m)
11:15pm (AEDT)
Race 6Bonham Hcp (C3) (1200m) |
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1. Sparkling Dragon
J: A Hamelin (60.5kg)
T: A T Millard |
8.5 | 8.5 | 10 | 10 | 8.6 | |
2. Beauty Rush
J: Z Purton (60kg)
T: J J Size |
4.6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4.85 | |
3. Snap Fit
J: A K Chan (60kg)
T: C Fownes |
7 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8.7 | |
4. California Concord
J: J Moreira (59.5kg)
T: A S Cruz |
3.6 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.5 | |
5. Lincoln Bright
J: K C Leung (58.5kg)
T: Richard Gibson |
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6. Triple Triple
J: M F Poon (56.5kg)
T: F C Lor |
4.6 | 4.8 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 4.6 | |
7. Stoicism
J: H Bentley (55kg)
T: D Ferraris |
17 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 15.2 | |
8. King's Capital
J: M L Yeung (54.5kg)
T: D A Hayes |
9.5 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 10 | 9.3 | |
9. Mehboob
J: M Chadwick (53.5kg)
T: P D O'sullivan |
16 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 15.8 | |
10. Jazz Steed
J: K Teetan (53kg)
T: C Fownes |
7 | 7 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 6.9 |
Odds Last Updated: April 28, 2021, 11:17pm (AEDT)
Race 7
Conduit Hcp (C4) (1200m)
11:45pm (AEDT)
Race 7Conduit Hcp (C4) (1200m) |
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1. Ares
J: M F Poon (60.5kg)
T: F C Lor |
6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | |
2. Jolly Good Heart
J: K Teetan (59.5kg)
T: T P Yung |
9.5 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 10 | |
3. Ever Joy
J: Z Purton (56.5kg)
T: P D O'sullivan |
11 | 10 | 9 | 9.5 | 9.4 | |
4. Xponential
J: B Shinn (56kg)
T: D Whyte |
10 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 16.6 | |
5. Chikorita
J: A Hamelin (56kg)
T: C W Chang |
9.5 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9.8 | |
6. Star Of Wuyi
J: J Moreira (56kg)
T: K W Lui |
3.8 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.65 | |
7. Good Buddy
J: A Badel (55kg)
T: D J Hall |
19 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 17.2 | |
8. Hero Star
J: K C Leung (55kg)
T: K L Man |
12 | 11 | 9.5 | 10 | 10.8 | |
9. Sight Hero
J: C Schofield (55kg)
T: D A Hayes |
6.5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5.9 | |
10. Silvery Warrior
J: H Bentley (54.5kg)
T: Richard Gibson |
101 | 101 | 101 | 101 | 97 | |
11. Destine Jewellery
J: H N Wong (53kg)
T: J J Size |
41 | 34 | 26 | 26 | 33 | |
12. Happily Friends
J: V Borges (51.5kg)
T: K H Ting |
9.5 | 9.5 | 10 | 11 | 9.5 |
Odds Last Updated: April 28, 2021, 11:47pm (AEDT)
Very interested in (3) Ever Joy on debut here for Paul O’Sullian and Zac Purton. It’s always hard for horses to win on debut at Happy Valley, but Purton’s ridden this horse in all four of his jumpouts and jumps off two other horses in this race to ride him. Drawn midfield in barrier 7, expecting a decent showing.
I dare say Purton would have also been offered the ride on (1) Ares who drops back into Class 4 tonight. Purton has ridden him in both career victories. Barrier 1 over the 1200m is premium so with that drop in class and the good draw, he can be competitive.
(6) Stare Of Wuyi is obviously knocking on the door.
Tip: (3) Ever Joy $7.00/$2.50 Sportsbet
Betting Strategy: 0.5 units E/W Ever Joy
Race 8
Breezy Hcp (C3) (1650m)
12:15am (AEDT)
Race 8Breezy Hcp (C3) (1650m) |
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1. Super Buddy
J: B Shinn (60.5kg)
T: D A Hayes |
46 | 41 | 41 | 41 | 35 | |
2. Tashidelek
J: T Piccone (60.5kg)
T: D Whyte |
51 | 41 | 34 | 34 | 35 | |
3. Alpha Hedge
J: Z Purton (58kg)
T: K W Lui |
5.5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5.8 | |
4. Farshad
J: K Teetan (57.5kg)
T: Y S Tsui |
10 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 10 | 8.9 | |
5. Helene Wisdom Star
J: J Moreira (57kg)
T: A S Cruz |
3.9 | 4.2 | 4.6 | 5 | 3.8 | |
6. Turin Redstar
J: R Maia (57kg)
T: C H Yip |
31 | 31 | 26 | 26 | 29.5 | |
7. Star Of Glory
J: H T Mo (56kg)
T: C W Chang |
101 | 91 | 71 | 71 | 69 | |
8. Villa Fionn
J: H Bentley (54.5kg)
T: P Yiu |
21 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 18 | |
9. Bundle Of Delight
J: C Y Ho (54kg)
T: D J Hall |
14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 12.2 | |
10. Exceptional Nice
J: A Badel (53kg)
T: W Y So |
6.5 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6.4 | |
11. Fast Pace
J: M Chadwick (53kg)
T: C Fownes |
3.4 | 3.4 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 3.45 |
Odds Last Updated: April 29, 2021, 10:03am (AEDT)
Race 9
Babington Hcp (C3) (1000m)
12:50am (AEDT)
Race 9Babington Hcp (C3) (1000m) |
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1. Harmony And Rich
J: M Chadwick (60.5kg)
T: Y S Tsui |
12 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13.8 | |
2. Larson
J: Z Purton (59.5kg)
T: F C Lor |
6.5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5.9 | |
3. Elon
J: A Badel (59kg)
T: J J Size |
51 | 41 | 61 | 61 | 29.5 | |
4. Brilliant Fortune
J: J Moreira (58kg)
T: C Fownes |
2.8 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.4 | |
5. Heart Conquered
J: T Piccone (57kg)
T: Richard Gibson |
20 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 17.6 | |
6. Eight Trigrams
J: H T Mo (54.5kg)
T: D J Hall |
101 | 91 | 81 | 81 | 63 | |
7. Nordic Wellstar
J: C Y Ho (54.5kg)
T: D Whyte |
13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13.2 | |
8. Super Axiom
J: C Schofield (54.5kg)
T: D A Hayes |
3.9 | 3.9 | 3.7 | 3.8 | 3.95 | |
9. Falcon Turbo
J: H Bentley (53.5kg)
T: A T Millard |
17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | |
10. Momentum Galaxy
J: A Hamelin (53.5kg)
T: K H Ting |
51 | 41 | 41 | 41 | 36 | |
11. Fabulous Eight
J: H N Wong (53kg)
T: P Yiu |
51 | 51 | 51 | 51 | 40 | |
12. Harrier Jet
J: V Borges (53kg)
T: P D O'sullivan |
15 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 17.2 |
Odds Last Updated: April 29, 2021, 10:03am (AEDT)
The best bet of the night looks to be the favourite (4) Brilliant Fortune in the last. He’s had two starts in Hong Kong and has run 2nd on both occasions. Both were at Sha Tin behind two pretty smart horses, in particular Winner Method who is undefeated. This is a bit different tonight as he comes to the Valley for the first time rather than racing down the Sha Tin straight, but Casper Fownes runners normally excel here. I’d probably be declaring him a moral if he had have drawn inside barrier 3, but so long as he gets a decent trip from barrier 8, I expect him to be exceptionally hard to beat.
Tip: (4) Brilliant Fortune $2.20 Ladbrokes
Betting Strategy: 3 units WIN Brilliant Fortune