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Belmont Racing Tips: Saturday, July 10th

After Wednesday’s meeting was washed out, we have a monster 11-race card at Belmont today. Find Tim Geers’ preview below!

belmont racing tips

After Wednesday’s meeting was washed out, we have an enormous 11-race card at Belmont in WA today.

The track is in the heavy range after the torrential rain throughout the week, and the rail is out 13m.

Normally the heavy tracks bring about some sketchy results and conservative betting, but Tim Geers is keen on a number of runners throughout the day.

Find his preview, tips and best bets below!

Best Bet: Race 4 – (3) Zaratite

Best Value: Race 10 – (7) Miss Maranta (also backing Costa Del Santo)

PlayUp

192236

Race 1

Morley Growers Market (Rs0mw) (1200m)
12:48pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Morley Growers Market (Rs0mw) (1200m)
12:48pm (AEDT)

1. American Troop (6) J: Shaun O'donnell (57kg) T: C & M Gangemi
87.57.587.27.5
2. Best Testimony (8) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (57kg) T: E A Martinovich
272121262521
3. Bigideas (3) J: Laqdar Ramoly (57kg) T: N D Parnham
998.58.58.38
4. Kelora (1) J: Steven Parnham (57kg) T: N D Parnham
1616161715.216
5. Lazerscan (10) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (57kg) T: S J Miller
414151514051
6. Pert Remarks (4) J: Keshaw Dhurun (57kg) T: S & J Casey
2321262119.823
7. Seeable (7) J: Brad Rawiller (57kg) T: Brock Lewthwaite
8. Galaxy Cat (5) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (55kg) T: D R Harrison
98.59.57.59.79.5
9. Vranyo (9) J: Ms Holly Watson (55kg) T: Simon Miller
2.62.62.452.452.72.5
10. Kelly's Lassie (2) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (55kg) T: A G Durrant
3.63.63.53.73.553.4

Odds Last Updated: July 10, 2021, 12:51pm (AEDT)

192236

Race 2

Tabtouch Better Your Bet-Rs0mw (1200m)
1:23pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Tabtouch Better Your Bet-Rs0mw (1200m)
1:23pm (AEDT)

1. Hear Me Sing (10) J: Peter Knuckey (57kg) T: S J Wolfe
76.56.5776
2. Saintly City (6) J: Steven Parnham (57kg) T: N D Parnham
1312101010.212
3. First Missile (3) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (57kg) T: Ms P Wagg
1817161516.816
4. I'm So Lucky (12) J: Brad Rawiller (57kg) T: T M Andrews
3434343427.534
5. Civvy Street (1) J: Keshaw Dhurun (57kg) T: S & J Casey
1919171719.219
6. It'sarayday (2) J: Patrick Carbery (57kg) T: Simon Miller
3.83.743.93.53.9
7. Wise Words (8) J: Joseph Azzopardi (55kg) T: D & B Pearce
8. Allaboutthecraic (4) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (55kg) T: A W Maley
414141414341
9. Oh Sophia (7) J: Jason Whiting (55kg) T: D R Harrison
9.59999.69
10. The Front Bar (14) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (55kg) T: A G Durrant
55.566.56.65.5
11. Our Electra (9) J: William Pike (55kg) T: Misty Bazeley
1818192121.518
12. Vitalize (11) J: Chris Parnham (55kg) T: N D Parnham
141313131412
13. Feels Danish (13) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (55kg) T: S J Miller
14. The Velvet Queen (5) J: Ms Chloe Azzopardi (55kg) T: D T Mcauliffe
6.56.5775.87

Odds Last Updated: July 10, 2021, 1:26pm (AEDT)

I think David Harrison has a two-year-old with some ability here in the form of (9) Oh Sophia, who ran one of the best 5th’s you will see first up behind Astrape. She bombed the start by two or three lengths and then worked home really strongly between runners under limited pressure in the straight. She ran the second-fastest final 400m and 200m of the race. She was one of only five runners from the entire meeting to break 23 seconds for her final 400m. Gets the ear muffs on pre-race today, which hopefully keeps her more settled and allows her to jump out of the gates better. If she does, she’ll be very hard to hold out here at each way odds.

(14) The Velvet Queen is the sister to The Velvet King, who is an absolute swimmer. He won his debut by 6L at a similar stage of the year on a rain-affected track at Belmont, so if she is anything like him, she will give this a real shake.

Tip: (9) Oh Sophia $8.50/$2.80 Sportsbet

Also Backing: (14) The Velvet Queen $6.50 BlueBet

Betting Strategy: 1 unit E/W Oh Sophia, 0.5 units WIN The Velvet Queen

192236

Race 3

Tabtouch Westspeed (Rs0mw) (1300m)
2:02pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Tabtouch Westspeed (Rs0mw) (1300m)
2:02pm (AEDT)

1. Ohbeeh (10) J: Ms Holly Watson (61kg) T: J P Taylor
3.63.63.73.83.653.6
2. Fiery Water (5) J: William Pike (58.5kg) T: A G Durrant
555555
3. Lies 'N' Deception (2) J: Keshaw Dhurun (58.5kg) T: Raymond Vincent
2020191919.219
4. Porphyrio (7) J: Laqdar Ramoly (58.5kg) T: Brett Pope
1514151616.215
5. Vital Blast (6) J: Shaun O'donnell (58kg) T: Ms J Erkelens
98.58.598.98.5
6. Classy Macro (8) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (57.5kg) T: S J Rowe
2.92.82.82.82.72.6
7. Granrandell (4) J: Brad Rawiller (56.5kg) T: J N Pateman
353434343334
8. Megadon (9) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (55.5kg) T: A W Maley
2726263128.531
9. Smile For Me (1) J: Ms Victoria Corver (55.5kg) T: V A Brockman
1717171716.816
10. Advocator (3) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (54kg) T: F R Kersley
353434313434

Odds Last Updated: July 10, 2021, 2:06pm (AEDT)

192236

Race 4

Amelia Park (Bm72+) (1650m)
2:42pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Amelia Park (Bm72+) (1650m)
2:42pm (AEDT)

1. Playing Marika (3) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (59kg) T: Ms S Bakranich
2. Lordhelpmerun (5) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (58kg) T: S J Wolfe
192020212021
3. Zaratite (7) J: William Pike (58kg) T: G & A Williams
1.81.81.851.81.821.75
4. Salon Du Cheval (8) J: Ms Holly Watson (57kg) T: N Parker
2119181919.221
5. Gates Of Babylon (1) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (56.5kg) T: Brett Pope
6.5666.566.5
6. Bad Wolf (4) J: Chris Parnham (56kg) T: A W Maley
5.55.55.565.55
7. Lonsdale Lady (6) J: Shaun O'donnell (55.5kg) T: Kieran Mcdonagh
8.5887.58.78.5
8. Karijini Aurora (2) J: Joseph Azzopardi (54kg) T: Summer Dickson
1917161516.218

Odds Last Updated: July 10, 2021, 2:46pm (AEDT)

The $1.80 for (3) Zaratite looks about right, he looks incredibly hard to beat. His first up run was sensational, finishing half-a-length off Naughty By Nature, who then went on to win the Strickland Stakes. That was his first run for 93 weeks and he should improve considerably off that. Handles wet ground, goes very well here and should be winning.

Tip: (3) Zaratite $1.80 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 4 units WIN Zaratite

192236

Race 5

Crown Perth Plate (1400m)
3:22pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Crown Perth Plate (1400m)
3:22pm (AEDT)

1. Guard The Safe (12) J: Joseph Azzopardi (58kg) T: F R Kersley
2019192119.619
2. Bandalera Beau (3) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (57kg) T: F R Kersley
131312131312
3. Ground Braker (10) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (57kg) T: E A Martinovich
1312131312.613
4. Canny Jack (7) J: Shaun O'donnell (57kg) T: Ms C Stelmach
2726262627.526
5. Multinational (13) J: Chris Parnham (57kg) T: N D Parnham
4.84.855.54.955
6. Searchin' Roc's (4) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (56kg) T: D R Harrison
3.33.33.33.33.23.3
7. Mountain Ash (5) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (56kg) T: A G Durrant
998.58.59.19
8. Needs Time (9) J: Ryan Hill (56kg) T: E A Martinovich
101126101101111126
9. Elite Fighter (6) J: Patrick Carbery (56kg) T: Holly Taylor
514141414751
10. Bronze Command (11) J: Steven Parnham (56kg) T: N D Parnham
917167819181
11. So Likable (8) J: Brad Rawiller (56kg) T: Brock Lewthwaite
1919191717.419
12. Wise Words (2) J: William Pike (54kg) T: D & B Pearce
443.93.83.94
13. Feels Danish (1) J: Jason Whiting (54kg) T: S J Miller
126101101126111126

Odds Last Updated: July 10, 2021, 3:26pm (AEDT)

(6) Searchin’ Roc’s ran the best 5th you will ever see on debut, where she raced very greenly and had no luck at all in the straight. We followed her off that run and she came out and saluted at double figure odds last start, racing much more professionally and scoring very impressively. She gets a good draw today and can win again – she looks to have plenty of talent. Heavy track a clear unknown but that applies to most here.

Tip: (6) Searchin’ Roc’s $3.10 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Searchin' Roc's

192236

Race 6

Pennisula Dining Room (Bm62+) (1200m)
3:58pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Pennisula Dining Room (Bm62+) (1200m)
3:58pm (AEDT)

1. Reign Of Fire (10) J: Troy Turner (59kg) T: C H Webster
1112121211.212
2. Ghost Who Walks (6) J: Laqdar Ramoly (58.5kg) T: N D Parnham
9.598.589.59
3. How's The Serenity (9) J: Ms Holly Watson (58.5kg) T: Simon Miller
1111101111.210
4. All Day Session (11) J: Brad Rawiller (58kg) T: A W Maley
151516151615
5. Nobel Laurence (4) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (58kg) T: D E Skipworth
1818181717.219
6. Astro Warrior (2) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (56.5kg) T: Summer Dickson
465151614151
7. Cross Statement (12) J: Jason Brown (56kg) T: J P Taylor
877.597.67.5
8. Secret Plan (1) J: William Pike (56kg) T: G & A Williams
2.352.452.42.352.32.4
9. Cable Boy (7) J: Peter Knuckey (55.5kg) T: S J Wolfe
353434343534
10. Powerful (3) J: Steven Parnham (55.5kg) T: N D Parnham
464161515351
11. Trade War (5) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (55.5kg) T: M L Lane
313131313331
12. Born Spicy (8) J: Joseph Azzopardi (54kg) T: D & B Pearce
716781818381
13. Smashing (13) J: Chris Parnham (54kg) T: N D Parnham
7.57877.97.5

Odds Last Updated: July 10, 2021, 4:01pm (AEDT)

192236

Race 7

Mrs Macs (Rs1mw) (1000m)
4:33pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Mrs Macs (Rs1mw) (1000m)
4:33pm (AEDT)

1. Vane Tempest (3) J: Ms Victoria Corver (61.5kg) T: Ms P Kenney
2.152.152.12.152.22.1
2. Ay Tee Emm (10) J: Troy Turner (59.5kg) T: Greg Cave
55554.45
3. Express Time (7) J: Steven Parnham (58.5kg) T: N D Parnham
9.599109.79
4. Forest War (5) J: Jason Brown (58.5kg) T: J P Taylor
6.566.57.56.96
5. Mastering (6) J: Mitchell Pateman (58.5kg) T: C & M Gangemi
2021212119.621
6. Super Ex (1) J: William Pike (58kg) T: Luke Fernie
1514131413.614
7. Olga Louisa (2) J: Jason Whiting (57kg) T: G C Ballantyne
232626262326
8. City Circle (4) J: Chris Parnham (56kg) T: N D Parnham
272631343031
9. Lonehand Larry (8) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (55.5kg) T: Hayden Ballantyne
1616151513.817
10. Tovarich (9) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (55.5kg) T: Ms R Lockwood
71818110197101

Odds Last Updated: July 10, 2021, 4:36pm (AEDT)

(1) Vane Tempest is absolutely airborne this prep, with three wins and a 0.02L defeat to Timely Outburst. Goes up a couple of kilos for her victory over track and distance last start, but she handles wet ground, draws well and makes her own luck. She’ll be very hard to beat again.

(2) Ay Tee Emm was backed from enormous odds into $6.00 last start and absolutely towelled his rivals down the straight at Pinjarra, which followed up a very good trial. He looks to be kept to sprinting trips this time in after getting out to 2200m last prep. He’s so far struggled here at Belmont but he loves the wet ground and off that first up win, has to be respected.

Tip: (1) Vane Tempest $2.25 Sportsbetting

Also Backing: (2) Ay Tee Emm $7.00 TopSport

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Vane Tempest, 0.5 units WIN Ay Tee Emm

192236

Race 8

Beaufine Stakes (1000m)
5:10pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Beaufine Stakes (1000m)
5:10pm (AEDT)

1. Nerodio (8) J: Laqdar Ramoly (58kg) T: Ms S Bakranich
9.59.59.5109.39.5
2. Yeah Dardy (2) J: Shaun O'donnell (56kg) T: Ms J Erkelens
272626313226
3. Gemma's Son (6) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (55.5kg) T: D R Harrison
4.243.33.83.853.8
4. Mervyn (3) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (55.5kg) T: Luke Fernie
3131313129.531
5. Amasenus (4) J: Chris Parnham (54kg) T: Simon Miller
66.56.56.56.66.5
6. Long Beach (1) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (54kg) T: C & M Gangemi
66665.66
7. Miss Conteki (9) J: William Pike (54kg) T: Simon Miller
2.52.62.62.72.62.6
8. Multiverse (7) J: Jason Whiting (54kg) T: G A Crispin
464141414951
9. Tycoon Storm (5) J: Joseph Azzopardi (54kg) T: L Smith
2726212626.523

Odds Last Updated: July 10, 2021, 5:11pm (AEDT)

Decent amount of speed in this, which should set it up for Simon Miller’s two runners settling back in the field.

(7) Miss Conteki suffered her second career defeat last start at the ands of Long Beach, who she meets again here. Hard to knock her record and Pike goes on today with Parnham choosing to go with the stablemate. With the likes of Mervyn in the race, this could be run at a brutal speed, which she should appreciate.

(5) Amasenus continues to drift in betting and continues to win. She’s now won six straight and the pre-race drift has already begun, with her currently as much as $6.50. She just continues to raise the bar and she’s another that will appreciate the tempo here. Parnham chooses to stick with her over Miss Conteki as he believes she will be better on heavy ground. Will be backing her at Betfair SP, expecting her to continue to drift.

Tip: (5) Amasenus $6.50 TopSport (take Betfair SP)

Also Backing: (7) Miss Conteki $3.00 TopSport

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Miss Conteki, 1 unit WIN Amasenus

192236

Race 9

Furphy (Bm66+) (2100m)
5:45pm (AEDT)

Race 9

Furphy (Bm66+) (2100m)
5:45pm (AEDT)

1. Black Shadow (4) J: Laqdar Ramoly (60kg) T: J P Taylor
3.132.833.152.8
2. Cousin Ivan (8) J: Shaun O'donnell (59.5kg) T: D L Morton
3. Gunnago (12) J: Brad Rawiller (58.5kg) T: J N Pateman
99999.39.5
4. Secret Pearl (18) J: Keshaw Dhurun (58.5kg) T: Ricky Moss
776.57.57.66.5
5. Sowar (1) J: Peter Knuckey (57.5kg) T: S J Wolfe
1313131314.214
6. British Bessy (11) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (56.5kg) T: Ms S L Miller
2321212119.626
7. Arnie's Boy (14) J: Chris Parnham (56kg) T: A W Maley
8.598.58.57.99.5
8. Decoy Noxious (9) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (56kg) T: Summer Dickson
10110110110193101
9. Treasured Crown (10) J: William Pike (56kg) T: A G Durrant
6.565.565.55.5
10. Mosseratti (2) J: Steven Parnham (55.5kg) T: C R Green
11. All Man (13) J: Jason Whiting (55kg) T: Ms S Bakranich
2626262621.526
12. Choose Freedom (6) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (55kg) T: Jade Tangaroa
464141414341
13. Elafella (17) J: Joseph Azzopardi (55kg) T: L Smith
212121211921
14. Shake The Bloom (5) J: Troy Turner (55kg) T: Jeremy Easthope
676771676181
15. Sugar Cain (16) J: Ms Holly Watson (55kg) T: G & A Williams
262621212026
16. Unending (3) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (55kg) T: C H Webster
343431263341
17. Al Mahalo (15) J: Unknown (55kg) T: C H Webster
18. Celtic Diva (7) J: Patrick Carbery (55kg) T: A D Mathews
313131313634

Odds Last Updated: July 10, 2021, 5:46pm (AEDT)

I typically hate horses stepping up sharply in distance (more than 400m) but I’m going to stick with (7) Arnie’s Boy here, who goes from 1400m to 2100m. This horse has had the least luck of any horse in WA. His last four starts read: four-wide the trip, held up for majority of straight, three-wide the trip, and too far back. Draws wide again today which isn’t ideal as he’s likely to be a mile off them, but Parnham sticks, he has a decent record on wet ground and he’s racing like he needs ground. Small each way.

Tip: (7) Arnie’s Boy $8.50/$2.90 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units E/W Arnie's Boy

192236

Race 10

All Flags Signs&Banners-Rs1mw (1400m)
6:15pm (AEDT)

Race 10

All Flags Signs&Banners-Rs1mw (1400m)
6:15pm (AEDT)

1. Costa Del Santo (12) J: Mitchell Pateman (60kg) T: Ms J Panizza
1415131314.817
2. Sentimental Queen (10) J: Ms Holly Watson (59.5kg) T: Hayden Ballantyne
7.57.5888.17.5
3. Skinnen Tins (15) J: Brad Rawiller (59.5kg) T: A W Maley
313131313131
4. Beat The Bro (16) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (59kg) T: Ms S L Miller
111011111010
5. Seminole Brave (18) J: Shaun O'donnell (58.5kg) T: G P Poletti
2326262621.526
6. Fairedu (17) J: Jason Brown (58kg) T: T R Harvey
516767615361
7. Miss Maranta (6) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (58kg) T: Vaughn Sigley
272126263231
8. Peppijack (19) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (58kg) T: J E Grieve
131414141113
9. The Great One (1) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (58kg) T: S J Wolfe
1921262119.421
10. Campese (9) J: Chris Parnham (57kg) T: M L Lane
11. Sentimental Hero (2) J: William Pike (57kg) T: G & A Williams
2.82.62.62.72.652.5
12. Blow Me Out (11) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (56kg) T: Brett Pope
272626262831
13. Peko (13) J: Ms Victoria Corver (56kg) T: Jordan Rolfe
14. Brave Dream (20) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (55kg) T: A G Durrant
1920212118.621
15. Regal Magic (5) J: Joseph Azzopardi (55kg) T: E A Martinovich
2321213128.523
16. Little Flirt (4) J: Jason Whiting (54.5kg) T: R W Matthews
17. Recharger (7) J: Steven Parnham (56kg) T: C R Green
18. Enduring Moment (14) J: Unknown (55.5kg) T: Ms R L Williams
19. Celebrity Man (8) J: Unknown (54.5kg) T: G & A Williams
6.565.55.566.5
20. Time Scale (3) J: Patrick Carbery (55.5kg) T: Simon Miller

Odds Last Updated: July 10, 2021, 6:16pm (AEDT)

Playing two at big odds here.

(1) Costa Del Santo carries top weight here but his return from a spell was very good and he bounced off a similar run last prep to win easily second up. Goes well on rain-affected ground, goes well at the distance and just needs some luck from the wide draw.

(7) Miss Maranta was our best bet last Wednesday and saluted after drifting out to $12. She is flying this prep, every single run has been a beauty. She ran the fastest final 400m of the meeting when winning last week and her win had to be seen to be believed. The obvious query is whether she is up to this grade as it’s a steep rise in class, but she deserves her chance and at $31 today, I have to go again.

Tip: (7) Miss Maranta $31/$8.50 Unibet

Also Backing: (1) Costa Del Santo $11 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Costa Del Santo, 0.5 units E/W Miss Maranta

192236

Race 11

Western Racepix (Bm72+) (1200m)
6:55pm (AEDT)

Race 11

Western Racepix (Bm72+) (1200m)
6:55pm (AEDT)

1. Don't Fuss (5) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (60kg) T: D & B Pearce
1716151515.816
2. Ambiente (4) J: Laqdar Ramoly (59.5kg) T: Ms E Strempel
202121212021
3. Reflectivity (12) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (59.5kg) T: C & M Gangemi
414151514751
4. Puli (6) J: Ms Holly Watson (58.5kg) T: Darren Taylor
2.62.62.52.72.72.5
5. Magniforce (7) J: Patrick Carbery (58kg) T: T D Tasker
312631313231
6. Speeding Comet (10) J: Mitchell Pateman (57kg) T: Mitchell Pateman
7. Eeyore Wayz (1) J: Craig Staples (55.5kg) T: Raquel Reid
8. Special Choice (3) J: William Pike (55.5kg) T: A G Durrant
3.93.93.944.053.9
9. Comes A Time (11) J: Chris Parnham (54.5kg) T: J T Warwick
5.55.55.55.55.35.5
10. Diablerie (14) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (54kg) T: Summer Dickson
262626262631
11. Fa'lion Maschine (8) J: Jason Whiting (54kg) T: G C Ballantyne
313134343034
12. Notorious One (9) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (54kg) T: C & M Gangemi
998.598.58.5
13. Turbo Power (2) J: Steven Parnham (54kg) T: N D Parnham
6167811017981
14. What About Moses (13) J: Peter Knuckey (54kg) T: S J Wolfe
353434314141

Odds Last Updated: July 10, 2021, 6:56pm (AEDT)

Looks a very good chance again today (4) Puli, who loves it here at Belmont and loves the wet tracks. He’s got four wins and a 2nd from five starts at the track and distance and had to carry 62kg last start. Now drops back to 55.5kg with the rise in grade and should find the front and be hard to run down.

(9) Comes A Time is racing very well, just doesn’t get a lot of luck. Ran 2nd to Amasenus two starts ago and then sat three-wide the trip when beaten 0.35L by the same horse last start. Needs some luck from barrier 11 but looks the danger.

Tip: (4) Puli $2.20 Sportsbetting

Also Backing: (9) Comes A Time $7.00 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Puli, 0.5 units WIN Comes A Time

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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