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Belmont Racing Tips: Saturday, July 17th

Tim Geers highlights his best bets on Belmont Classic day in WA.

belmont racing tips

Winter racing continues at Belmont in WA on Saturday, where conditions have been very soggy for the past couple of weeks.

The track has come up a heavy 9 but the rail moves back to the true position, which is fresh ground.

The feature of the day is the Listed Belmont Classic, which is Race 5 on the card.

Tim Geers has picked out his best bets of the day below, betting in Race 3, Race 5, Race 8 and Race 9.

Best Bet: Race 9 – (2) The Spruiker

Best Value: Race 8 – (1) London Miss

PlayUp

192790

Race 1

Free Entry To Belmont Park 2Yo (1200m)
2:07pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Free Entry To Belmont Park 2Yo (1200m)
2:07pm (AEDT)

1. Storm Commander (7) J: Chris Parnham (58kg) T: N D Parnham
2.52.452.52.62.452.4
2. Guard The Safe (1) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (58kg) T: F R Kersley
1111111110.811
3. Toppa The Mountain (6) J: Paul Harvey (58kg) T: D L Morton
11119.51111.210
4. Gorgeous Gossip (5) J: Ms Lisa Staples (56kg) T: P H Jordan
2326312626.526
5. Forever Autumn (2) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (56kg) T: T M Andrews
5.55555.55
6. My Boy Chris (3) J: Joseph Azzopardi (56kg) T: Daniel O'connor
212126212021
7. Knot Secret (4) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (56kg) T: S J Wolfe
443.743.953.8
8. Born To Be Lucky (9) J: Shaun O'donnell (54kg) T: J N Pateman
232126212423
9. She's Artie (8) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (54kg) T: A W Maley
343434343334

Odds Last Updated: July 17, 2021, 2:11pm (AEDT)

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Race 2

Tabtouch Westspeed (Rs0mw) (1000m)
2:47pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Tabtouch Westspeed (Rs0mw) (1000m)
2:47pm (AEDT)

1. Express Time (5) J: Laqdar Ramoly (60kg) T: N D Parnham
3.23.23.23.23.153.2
2. Bedouin Belle (1) J: William Pike (58.5kg) T: L P Luciani
4.54.54.64.84.454.6
3. Snippy Miss (3) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (58kg) T: A G Durrant
443.83.94.453.8
4. City Circle (9) J: Chris Parnham (57.5kg) T: N D Parnham
109.510118.99
5. Dark City (8) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (56kg) T: Ms A King
111110119.611
6. Indigo Wild (7) J: Ms Madi Derrick (55.5kg) T: J N Pateman
1413131310.215
7. She's Vital (4) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (55.5kg) T: Fenella Martin
716761816771
8. Advocator (2) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (54.5kg) T: F R Kersley
9.59.59.5109.49
9. Looks Like Magic (6) J: Shaun O'donnell (54.5kg) T: B H Hyde
615151616151

Odds Last Updated: July 17, 2021, 2:51pm (AEDT)

192790

Race 3

Glenroy Chaff (Bm66+) (1000m)
3:23pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Glenroy Chaff (Bm66+) (1000m)
3:23pm (AEDT)

1. Captain Kink (6) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (60.5kg) T: Brett Pope
4.24.23.84.24.34.2
2. Mankind (4) J: Ms Holly Watson (59.5kg) T: Hayden Ballantyne
1414131212.613
3. Guns Of Navarone (2) J: Brad Parnham (58.5kg) T: N D Parnham
2121212121.519
4. Comes A Time (3) J: Chris Parnham (57.5kg) T: J T Warwick
2.72.72.62.82.72.6
5. Silkinize (8) J: Paul Harvey (57.5kg) T: D R Harrison
66666.16
6. Material Witness (5) J: William Pike (55.5kg) T: A G Durrant
6.565.56.56.15.5
7. Our Danni (1) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (55kg) T: Luke Fernie
1011101110.410
8. Dia De La Raza (7) J: Patrick Carbery (54kg) T: Vaughn Sigley
262631262931

Odds Last Updated: July 17, 2021, 3:26pm (AEDT)

(4) Comes A Time finally draws a gate today. He’s been racing very consistently all preparation but it’s been marred with hard luck stories and bad gates. Comes up with barrier 3 today, Chris Parnham sticks, and he drops back to 1000m. Has had three starts at this track and distance for two wins and a 2nd. Looks very hard to beat.

(5) Silkinize ran 2nd to Amasenus last start, which is good form for a race like this, while (6) Material Witness comes to Belmont for the first time and will be swooping home over the top.

Tip: (4) Comes A Time $3.20 TAB

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Comes A Time

192790

Race 4

Amelia Park (Rs1mw) (2100m)
4:03pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Amelia Park (Rs1mw) (2100m)
4:03pm (AEDT)

1. Blackwater Bay (6) J: Laqdar Ramoly (60kg) T: A G Durrant
4.64.64.655.14.8
2. Kallaroo (4) J: Brad Parnham (59.5kg) T: D L Morton
5.55.55.55.55.85.5
3. Melarab (2) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (58kg) T: F R Kersley
1616161616.216
4. Sluice Box (7) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (57.5kg) T: A W Maley
66666.66
5. Sugar Cain (3) J: William Pike (57kg) T: G & A Williams
4.64.54.64.84.84.8
6. Choose Freedom (8) J: Ryan Hill (56kg) T: Jade Tangaroa
1514151516.216
7. San Crispino (5) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (56kg) T: Ms S L Miller
7.57.576.56.67
8. All Man (1) J: Jason Whiting (55kg) T: Ms S Bakranich
6.57665.76.5

Odds Last Updated: July 17, 2021, 4:06pm (AEDT)

192790

Race 5

Drummond Golf Belmont Classic (2200m)
4:38pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Drummond Golf Belmont Classic (2200m)
4:38pm (AEDT)

1. Kerman Rock (6) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (56.5kg) T: C G Willis
7.5887.578
2. Tena Koutou (2) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (56.5kg) T: A G Durrant
2.352.352.152.32.32.25
3. Tradem' In (3) J: Paul Harvey (56.5kg) T: T R Harvey
101011101010
4. Truly Reliable (1) J: Ms Shelby Bowtell (56.5kg) T: Raymond Vincent
87.588.587.5
5. Chili Is Hot (5) J: Jason Whiting (54.5kg) T: G C Ballantyne
555.5555
6. Baronova (4) J: William Pike (54.5kg) T: J T Warwick
5555.55.45

Odds Last Updated: July 17, 2021, 4:41pm (AEDT)

(2) Tena Koutou is flying, winning his past three straight. Gets up to 2200m now and there’s no reason he can’t win again, though sometimes these small fields can throw up weird results. He’s undefeated from three starts on soft ground so the heavy track should pose no problem.

(5) Chili Is Hot caused a boilover in the Belmont Oaks last start, fighting off Sheza Chalmer. She didn’t have any luck in the lead up to that race and was good prior to it so she’s not hopeless again here.

Tip: (2) Tena Koutou $2.40 Ladbrokes

Saver: (5) Chili Is Hot $5.50 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Tena Koutou, 0.5 units WIN Chili Is Hot

192790

Race 6

Perth Racing Club Mship-Bm78+ (1600m)
5:15pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Perth Racing Club Mship-Bm78+ (1600m)
5:15pm (AEDT)

1. Friar Fox (1) J: Ms Kate Southam (61.5kg) T: Ms J Erkelens
3121212626.519
2. Flow (7) J: Chris Parnham (59kg) T: Martin Allan
1210111211.412
3. Friaresque (3) J: Laqdar Ramoly (57.5kg) T: Ms E Strempel
7.577776.5
4. The Big Show (5) J: Ms Chloe Azzopardi (57.5kg) T: D T Mcauliffe
616151516341
5. True Attraction (8) J: William Pike (56kg) T: A G Durrant
2.32.32.352.52.42.3
6. Fuhrer (2) J: Craig Staples (55kg) T: Debra Lewis
65.55.5655
7. Playing Marika (6) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (54.5kg) T: Ms S Bakranich
443.93.83.94.2
8. Red Publisher (4) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (54kg) T: A W Maley
171717171818

Odds Last Updated: July 17, 2021, 5:16pm (AEDT)

192790

Race 7

Crown Perth (Bm62+) (1000m)
5:50pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Crown Perth (Bm62+) (1000m)
5:50pm (AEDT)

1. Brooklyn Pier (11) J: Laqdar Ramoly (60.5kg) T: N D Parnham
2.73.63.53.83.653.4
2. Starfield Impact (10) J: Ms Holly Watson (58.5kg) T: M Santich
2021212021.523
3. All Day Session (4) J: Brad Rawiller (56kg) T: A W Maley
6.555555
4. Excerpt (5) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (55.5kg) T: A G Durrant
8.58.58.598.78.5
5. Choice Bid (1) J: Chris Parnham (54kg) T: N D Parnham
1313121214.213
6. Janaura (6) J: Craig Staples (54kg) T: P H Jordan
232121202023
7. Poker Face (7) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (54kg) T: Ms P Kenney
8. Queenship (9) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (54kg) T: J T Warwick
413434344034
9. Sketta (8) J: William Pike (54kg) T: F R Kersley
3.12.82.82.82.852.8
10. Type Won (3) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (54kg) T: Kieran Mcdonagh
2019181719.619
11. Vicinity (2) J: Ms Madi Derrick (54kg) T: C G Willis
101126151201171126

Odds Last Updated: July 17, 2021, 5:51pm (AEDT)

192790

Race 8

Seacorp (Rs1mw) (1200m)
6:20pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Seacorp (Rs1mw) (1200m)
6:20pm (AEDT)

1. Agent Jay (6) J: Ms Holly Watson (61.5kg) T: S J Miller
554.64.855
2. London Miss (1) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (58.5kg) T: B V Watkins
1611121211.212
3. Campese (2) J: Brad Rawiller (57kg) T: M L Lane
4. Marlize (5) J: Jordan Turner (56.5kg) T: G W Dupre
343431313634
5. Approach (4) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (56kg) T: Ms A King
1712131310.413
6. Jag The Joker (10) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (56kg) T: A W Maley
887.57.57.88
7. Wakan Tanka (9) J: Steven Parnham (56kg) T: N D Parnham
161616151316
8. Devoted Star (7) J: Chris Parnham (55kg) T: G & A Williams
55.5786.86
9. Real Grace (8) J: William Pike (55kg) T: G & A Williams
2.252.352.72.82.42.5
10. Rocky Path (3) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (54.5kg) T: Vaughn Sigley
1816141415.614

Odds Last Updated: July 17, 2021, 6:21pm (AEDT)

Good race this, which is dominated by the cerise and white colours, but I think (2) London Miss is over the odds here. She travelled into the race well first up but the jockey lost her irons rounding the turn and she dropped out to finish last. Forgive her for that run. 1200m might be a touch short of her best but she gets the senior rider on today, gets barrier 1 and should improve a touch second up. The main query is the wet track given she’s yet to win from five starts on soft ground, but one of those was first up and the rest were during the prep she didn’t come up. Something small each way (half fixed, half betfair SP).

Tip: (2) London Miss $19/$4.20 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units E/W London Miss

192790

Race 9

Salinger (Bm69+) (1400m)
7:00pm (AEDT)

Race 9

Salinger (Bm69+) (1400m)
7:00pm (AEDT)

1. Kelly's Callisto (6) J: Ms Holly Watson (59kg) T: A G Durrant
2321212119.223
2. The Spruiker (5) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (57kg) T: S J Wolfe
2.62.82.82.82.952.8
3. Picture Perfect (7) J: William Pike (56.5kg) T: G & A Williams
1111111210.211
4. Aberdeen Queen (8) J: Chris Parnham (56kg) T: L Smith
3.83.73.73.83.753.7
5. Cambist (3) J: Shaun O'donnell (56kg) T: Ms R Lockwood
1718181819.219
6. Special Choice (10) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (56kg) T: A G Durrant
1314141412.814
7. Speedy Miss (2) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (55.5kg) T: D & B Pearce
1212111111.812
8. Tiff Has Spoken (4) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (54.5kg) T: Ms S L Miller
5.5555.555
9. Megazone (9) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (54kg) T: A W Maley
3131313127.534
10. Turbo Power (1) J: Steven Parnham (54kg) T: N D Parnham
616771816771

Odds Last Updated: July 17, 2021, 7:02pm (AEDT)

(2) The Spruiker is undefeated this preparation and his form continues to stack up, with two subsequent winners out of his last start. He should land in a perfect spot once again from barrier 5 and so long as he handles the heavy ground, should win again.

(4) Aberdeen Queen has been running super all prep. She just has a bad habit of getting way too far out of her ground and giving herself too much to do. Chris Parnham goes back on today but once again she has an awkward barrier to deal with. Has three wins on soft ground but has never run on heavy.\

(5) Cambist always runs well first up and can be included at $17, while (3) Picture Perfect is looking for more ground but that doesn’t always stop these Peters horses firing first up.

Tip: (2) The Spruiker $2.40 TAB

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN The Spruiker

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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