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Belmont Racing Tips: Saturday, September 11th

Tim Geers highlights his two best bets on the card at Belmont on Saturday.

belmont racing tips

Racing today at Belmont in the West as the countdown to the return of Ascot continues.

The Listed Farnley Stakes headlines today’s meeting, which comes up as Race 7 on the nine-race card.

The track is rated a Soft 7 with the rail out 3m the entire circuit.

Tim Geers has highlighted his best bets on the card, which come up in Race 2 and Race 7.

Find his analysis and Belmont racing tips below.

TAB Sky Racing

197358

Race 1

Glenroy Chaff Plate (1200m)
2:43pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Glenroy Chaff Plate (1200m)
2:43pm (AEDT)

1. Michelada (5) J: Chris Parnham (56kg) T: Simon Miller
191919181919
2. Kaymay (7) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (56kg) T: Sue Olive
1514141414.813
3. Marzipan Lad (4) J: Peter Knuckey (56kg) T: S & J Casey
988.598.29
4. Red Fifty Three (6) J: William Pike (56kg) T: G & A Williams
44.24.244.253.9
5. War Gem (1) J: Steven Parnham (56kg) T: N D Parnham
99987.68.5
6. Leocardo (3) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (56kg) T: Luke Fernie
414141313334
7. Harmika (2) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (54kg) T: A G Durrant
1.81.81.81.91.861.8

Odds Last Updated: September 11, 2021, 2:46pm (AEDT)

197358

Race 2

Free Entry To Belmont Park Mdn (1400m)
3:19pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Free Entry To Belmont Park Mdn (1400m)
3:19pm (AEDT)

1. Forty Niner (6) J: Mitchell Pateman (58kg) T: Felicity Forbes-Ives
6.55.5666.86
2. Traded Crown (3) J: Jordan Turner (58kg) T: G W Dupre
161515141316
3. Hoover (9) J: Brad Parnham (58kg) T: S J Miller
3.73.73.73.63.43.7
4. Renegade Ruler (8) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (58kg) T: Kieran Mcdonagh
5. Do It Right (10) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (58kg) T: D M Luciani
2726312627.526
6. Zeewijk (12) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (58kg) T: Aaron Pateman
414151415141
7. Red Hot Hope (1) J: Steven Parnham (58kg) T: N D Parnham
9.59.59.598.99.5
8. Atlantis Beach (4) J: Shaun O'donnell (58kg) T: C R Green
3.43.53.33.33.553.5
9. Westriver Miracle (11) J: Unknown (58kg) T: F R Kersley
10. Sootie Boy (5) J: Unknown (58kg) T: Jayce Buckley
11. Mia Nobile (2) J: Andrew Castle (56kg) T: G N Davies
414134343941
12. Ocean Aura (7) J: Troy Turner (56kg) T: P E Roberts
4.44.24.44.24.454

Odds Last Updated: September 11, 2021, 3:21pm (AEDT)

Very keen to follow in (2) Hoover here. It was a horror show first up at Northam – he was outpaced early, got spat out the back mid-race and then laid in badly under pressure at the top of the straight. When he straightened up and got to the outside, he really hit top gear and flew home to run 2nd. The step up to 1400m here is a massive plus and that should allow him to roll forward and take up a position on speed. From there he’s going to be very hard to beat.

(12) Ocean Aura ran well on debut and should improve plenty from that experience. Happy to save on her.

Tip: (2) Hoover $4.00 Bet365

Saver: (12) Ocean Aura $4.00 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Hoover, 0.5 units WIN Ocean Aura

197358

Race 3

Amelia Park (Bm72+) (1000m)
3:59pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Amelia Park (Bm72+) (1000m)
3:59pm (AEDT)

1. State Attorney (6) J: Chris Parnham (60kg) T: Michael Grantham
11101091010
2. Starfield Impact (5) J: Laqdar Ramoly (59.5kg) T: M Santich
1211121112.211
3. False Statement (2) J: Mitchell Pateman (58.5kg) T: Felicity Forbes-Ives
121214131212
4. This'll Testya (4) J: William Pike (58.5kg) T: A G Durrant
22.052.052.152.12
5. Night Voyage (1) J: Brad Rawiller (57.5kg) T: Summer Dickson
212120192021
6. Policiere (3) J: Joseph Azzopardi (56kg) T: D & B Pearce
2.82.72.62.62.652.6

Odds Last Updated: September 11, 2021, 4:01pm (AEDT)

197358

Race 4

Tabtouch-Wspeed Platinum-Rs0mw (1400m)
4:38pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Tabtouch-Wspeed Platinum-Rs0mw (1400m)
4:38pm (AEDT)

1. Speedy Miss (4) J: Laqdar Ramoly (60kg) T: D & B Pearce
87787.67
2. Beat The Bell (8) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (58kg) T: Ms S L Miller
65.55.55.55.95.5
3. Ginger Flyer (1) J: Chris Parnham (57.5kg) T: Simon Miller
2.52.452.42.52.42.4
4. Justhandy (5) J: Ryan Hill (57kg) T: R C Mcpherson
6.56.5666.66
5. Snippy Miss (7) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (56.5kg) T: A G Durrant
10109.510109.5
6. Al Di La (6) J: William Pike (56kg) T: P W Mcleod
77.57.587.47.5
7. Cocky Dodd (3) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (55kg) T: T W Crosby
262626262626
8. Blue Horse (2) J: Steven Parnham (54kg) T: A W Maley
1617181818.218

Odds Last Updated: September 11, 2021, 4:41pm (AEDT)

197358

Race 5

Ascend Sales Trophies (Rs1mw) (1000m)
5:20pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Ascend Sales Trophies (Rs1mw) (1000m)
5:20pm (AEDT)

1. Don's Legacy (5) J: Ms Victoria Corver (60kg) T: D R Harrison
1111111110.211
2. Bedouin Belle (7) J: Laqdar Ramoly (57kg) T: L P Luciani
3. Requisition (3) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (56.5kg) T: Brett Pope
1312101011.212
4. Devine Beast (8) J: Chris Parnham (56kg) T: Luke Fernie
4.44.244.44.454
5. My Blueboy (6) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (55.5kg) T: P E Roberts
1514141415.214
6. Stigwood (9) J: Shaun O'donnell (55kg) T: C R Green
515151515951
7. Type Won (4) J: Brad Parnham (54.5kg) T: Kieran Mcdonagh
7.57.5777.27
8. Come Magic (2) J: William Pike (54kg) T: D M Luciani
1.951.951.95221.95
9. Horizon (1) J: Jason Whiting (54kg) T: G L Carige
1817151516.217

Odds Last Updated: September 11, 2021, 5:21pm (AEDT)

197358

Race 6

Crown Towers (Rs1mw) (1600m)
5:55pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Crown Towers (Rs1mw) (1600m)
5:55pm (AEDT)

1. Giant Leap (6) J: Laqdar Ramoly (60.5kg) T: G & A Williams
2.452.52.52.72.62.5
2. Ouqba Ted (8) J: Troy Turner (60.5kg) T: C H Webster
2626212625.526
3. Karijini Aurora (1) J: William Pike (58.5kg) T: Summer Dickson
3.73.73.33.43.53.7
4. General Grant (5) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (58kg) T: S J Miller
9.58.58.58.59.17.5
5. Al Mahalo (4) J: Peter Knuckey (57.5kg) T: C H Webster
1616161716.216
6. Glamour Packed (2) J: Jordan Turner (55.5kg) T: C H Webster
65.55.55.55.65.5
7. Megadon (9) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (55kg) T: A W Maley
192020191921
8. Recharger (7) J: Steven Parnham (55kg) T: C R Green
1819192016.419
9. The Cat Ratcher (3) J: Joseph Azzopardi (54kg) T: D R Harrison
313126262831

Odds Last Updated: September 11, 2021, 5:56pm (AEDT)

197358

Race 7

Hahn Superdry - Farnley Stakes (1400m)
6:30pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Hahn Superdry - Farnley Stakes (1400m)
6:30pm (AEDT)

1. Trap For Fools (2) J: Mitchell Pateman (62kg) T: L Smith
191818191718
2. Neufbosc (4) J: Brad Parnham (60.5kg) T: N D Parnham
2726263129.526
3. Paddy's Shadow (6) J: Shaun O'donnell (56.5kg) T: Ms R L Williams
1511016751151101
4. Western Temple (3) J: William Pike (56.5kg) T: P J Fernie
555.566.15.5
5. Tellem We're Comin (1) J: Brad Rawiller (55.5kg) T: D L Morton
4.44.244.244.2
6. Media Baron (7) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (55kg) T: D R Harrison
2121211821.521
7. Notorious One (5) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (54kg) T: C & M Gangemi
1.651.651.651.651.621.65

Odds Last Updated: September 11, 2021, 6:31pm (AEDT)

This looks a two-horse race the more I look at it.

(7) Notorious One has had four starts this preparation and should be undefeated. He had absolutely no luck when he ran 3rd but he’s made up for that with two subsequent wins. He’s had six starts here at Belmont for five wins and that 3rd just mentioned, so really he should be a clean 6/6 here. Gets his soft conditions that he likes and continues to handle whatever is thrown at him.

(5) Tellem We’re Comin draws the inside and can sit handier in the run. He’s been super in two runs for Dan Morton and Brad Rawiller gets down to 55.5kg to ride him. Gets a stack of gear changes today with the blinkers, lugging bit and tongue tie all coming off. Looks the danger and fairly confident one of the two win.

Tip: (7) Notorious One $2.25 TAB

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Notorious One

197358

Race 8

Schweppes (Bm66+) (1400m)
7:05pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Schweppes (Bm66+) (1400m)
7:05pm (AEDT)

1. Miracle Man (3) J: William Pike (61kg) T: Jordan Rolfe
9.510111312.211
2. Temptacion (1) J: Brad Rawiller (58.5kg) T: D L Morton
65.55565.5
3. Downforce (4) J: Steven Parnham (58kg) T: N D Parnham
3.83.93.8443.8
4. Skinnen Tins (7) J: Chris Parnham (58kg) T: A W Maley
66666.66
5. Miss Marietta (9) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (57.5kg) T: Brett Pope
6. Point Taken (6) J: Laqdar Ramoly (56.5kg) T: J P Taylor
2626212124.523
7. Diablerie (8) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (55.5kg) T: Summer Dickson
141311111213
8. Avalon Bay (5) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (55kg) T: T R Harvey
5.55.5555.15.5
9. Zero Demerits (10) J: Jason Whiting (54.5kg) T: G A Crispin
2726262623.526
10. Peppijack (2) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (54kg) T: J E Grieve
66665.36

Odds Last Updated: September 11, 2021, 7:07pm (AEDT)

197358

Race 9

Seacorp (Bm66+) (1200m)
7:35pm (AEDT)

Race 9

Seacorp (Bm66+) (1200m)
7:35pm (AEDT)

1. Puli (6) J: Shaun O'donnell (62kg) T: Darren Taylor
65.55.565.95.5
2. River Dance (10) J: Ms Victoria Corver (62kg) T: A P Scally
3. Cliffs Of Comfort (3) J: Laqdar Ramoly (60kg) T: D & B Pearce
4.44.44.24.24.44.4
4. Em Tee Aye (13) J: Brad Rawiller (58.5kg) T: T M Andrews
2626262626.526
5. Our Danni (9) J: Chris Parnham (55.5kg) T: Luke Fernie
1816161617.217
6. Power Of St George (4) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (55.5kg) T: D R Harrison
109.59.5109.69.5
7. Mystical View (8) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (55kg) T: Sue Olive
8.588987.5
8. Three Secrets (5) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (55kg) T: S J Wolfe
343131313034
9. Yadreamin' (11) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (55kg) T: C R Green
616771678381
10. Bumper Humper (12) J: Brad Parnham (54kg) T: D M Luciani
2621212123.523
11. Dunbar (2) J: William Pike (54kg) T: G & A Williams
2.92.92.92.92.752.9
12. Megazone (1) J: Steven Parnham (54kg) T: A W Maley
313131313034
13. Sir Snugalot (7) J: Peter Knuckey (54kg) T: S J Wolfe
515141616351

Odds Last Updated: September 11, 2021, 7:36pm (AEDT)

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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