Race 1
Free Entry Belmont Park-Rs0ly (1300m)
3:34pm (AEDT)
Race 1Free Entry Belmont Park-Rs0ly (1300m) |
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1. Magic To Exceed
J: Keshaw Dhurun (59.5kg)
T: S & J Casey |
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2. Astrape
J: Chris Parnham (59kg)
T: D L Morton |
2.2 | 2.3 | 2.35 | 2.35 | 2.1 | 2.4 |
3. Kentucky Blue
J: Steven Parnham (57.5kg)
T: N D Parnham |
18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 18.2 | 18 |
4. Isola Bay
J: Ms Victoria Corver (57kg)
T: A G Durrant |
4 | 3.9 | 3.7 | 4 | 4.4 | 3.6 |
5. Ultimate Style
J: Clint Johnston-Porter (57kg)
T: D & B Pearce |
19 | 21 | 21 | 26 | 16.6 | 21 |
6. Yes Man
J: Andrew Castle (57kg)
T: M Knox |
19 | 18 | 15 | 14 | 14.4 | 18 |
7. My Boy Eddy
J: Patrick Carbery (56kg)
T: A D Mathews |
7 | 7 | 7 | 7.5 | 6.5 | 7 |
8. My Dilemma
J: William Pike (56kg)
T: Brock Lewthwaite |
4.5 | 4.4 | 4 | 4 | 4.55 | 4.4 |
(2) Astrape was terrible last start but she did have to do some early work the find the front over the 1000m and was gone fairly quickly upon straightening. Up to 1300m today means the tempo won’t be as fierce early and Chris Parnham takes over from the apprentice with the inside draw to boot.
(6) Yes Man is a decent price here. He ran 4th to Thomas Magnum first up despite sitting wide and then won at Narrogin. Obviously this is a stiffer test but it’s not a race with a huge amount of depth.
(7) My Boy Eddie was a good run first up from the wide draw after getting well back. That form behind Acefire looks pretty strong and from the lower draw today he could settle a touch closer.
(8) My Dilemma has obvious claims with Pike on for Brock Lewthwaite.
Tip: (6) Yes Man E/W $26 Sportsbet
Betting Strategy: No bet
Race 2
Tabtouch Better Your Bet Mdn (1400m)
4:09pm (AEDT)
Race 2Tabtouch Better Your Bet Mdn (1400m) |
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1. Count Grundy
J: Brad Rawiller (58kg)
T: R W Price |
7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6.5 | 7 |
2. Market Stryke
J: Patrick Carbery (58kg)
T: Simon Miller |
2 | 2 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.86 | 2 |
3. It's Just A Gift
J: Brad Parnham (58kg)
T: Ryan Hill |
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4. Phelamanga
J: Jason Whiting (58kg)
T: W J Bradshaw |
91 | 101 | 101 | 101 | 89 | 101 |
5. The Panzer
J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (56.5kg)
T: F R Kersley |
35 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 30 | 34 |
6. Petite La Femme
J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (56kg)
T: C G Willis |
26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 22 | 26 |
7. Ishinca View
J: Clint Johnston-Porter (56kg)
T: Ms A King |
35 | 31 | 34 | 34 | 32 | 34 |
8. Mia Nobile
J: Taj Dyson (56kg)
T: G N Davies |
16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 14.6 | 16 |
9. Chad's Me Dad
J: Ms Holly Watson (56kg)
T: Ms P Kenney |
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10. Hart Trader
J: Peter Knuckey (54.5kg)
T: F R Kersley |
2.7 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 2.95 | 2.8 |
11. Devil Girl
J: Keshaw Dhurun (54.5kg)
T: N D Parnham |
23 | 26 | 21 | 26 | 26.5 | 23 |
12. Elite Jewel
J: Steven Parnham (54.5kg)
T: N D Parnham |
61 | 71 | 71 | 71 | 55 | 71 |
13. It's Just A Gift
J: Brad Parnham (58kg)
T: Ryan Hill |
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14. Chad's Me Dad
J: Ms Holly Watson (56kg)
T: Ms P Kenney |
(2) Market Stryke looks hard to go past here. Has been knocking on the door in his first three career starts and finds a nice race today.
(10) Hart Trader looks the only danger in the race. Ran well without much luck first up and ran home strongly for 2nd last time out. Market Stryke will have a big head start which could be the telling factor.
(1) Count Grundy was fair first up and will continue to improve up in dsitance.
Tip: (2) Market Stryke $2.00 Sportsbet
Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Market Stryke
Race 3
Amelia Park Mdn (1400m)
4:44pm (AEDT)
Race 3Amelia Park Mdn (1400m) |
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1. Keep It Hush
J: Taj Dyson (58kg)
T: Daniel O'connor |
61 | 67 | 61 | 61 | 53 | 71 |
2. Roch Legacy
J: William Pike (58kg)
T: D & B Pearce |
9 | 9.5 | 10 | 10 | 8.4 | 10 |
3. Darn Noble
J: Jason Whiting (58kg)
T: Ms S L Miller |
18 | 18 | 17 | 19 | 19.2 | 17 |
4. Unitool
J: Ms Angela Johnston (58kg)
T: Kirryn Scallan |
251 | 301 | 201 | 201 | 201 | 251 |
5. Westriver Miracle
J: Patrick Carbery (58kg)
T: Ms A King |
2.5 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.65 | 2.6 |
6. War Plan
J: Shaun O'donnell (58kg)
T: Theres Andersson |
151 | 151 | 101 | 101 | 121 | 151 |
7. Almaher Man
J: Brad Parnham (56.5kg)
T: F R Kersley |
2.9 | 3 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 2.75 | 3 |
8. I Can See Clara
J: Clint Johnston-Porter (56.5kg)
T: T M Andrews |
16 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 13.4 | 15 |
9. City Of Sin
J: Troy Turner (56.5kg)
T: Tiarnna Robertson |
18 | 19 | 19 | 21 | 18.4 | 19 |
10. Vital Times
J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (56kg)
T: Fenella Martin |
14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 13.8 | 14 |
11. Rubilicious Rose
J: Andrew Castle (56kg)
T: Brian Rogers |
71 | 81 | 71 | 71 | 81 | 81 |
12. Dark Gossip
J: Ms Lucy Warwick (56kg)
T: Ricky Moss |
91 | 91 | 81 | 91 | 65 | 81 |
13. Rommel's War
J: Steven Parnham (54.5kg)
T: N D Parnham |
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14. Rommel's War
J: Steven Parnham (54.5kg)
T: N D Parnham |
(5) Westriver Miracle was the run of the day first up, flashing home from nearly last, which was against the pattern of the day. Then last start was completely and utterly slaughtered, held up the entire straight after leading early. Back to a maiden today, gets the senior jockey on and with any luck looks awfully hard to beat. The premium Discord group locked in $3.50 yesterday and it’s now into $2.30 best price.
Only danger in my opinion is the co-favourite (7) Almaher Man who was plunged in betting last start and ran 2nd to a smart one in Kolchino. Goes forward and is the one Westriver Miracle has to run down. Be very surprised if one of these two didn’t win the race. Backing Westriver Miracle and saving on Almaher Man.
Tip: (5) Westriver Miracle $2.30 Bet365
Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Westriver Miracle
Race 4
The Tabtouch Masters Hcp (C1) (1000m)
5:19pm (AEDT)
Race 4The Tabtouch Masters Hcp (C1) (1000m) |
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1. Storm Commander
J: Chris Parnham (60.5kg)
T: N D Parnham |
9.5 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 8.7 | 10 |
2. He's On Fire
J: Keshaw Dhurun (60kg)
T: S & J Casey |
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3. Bitofmerit
J: Ms Lucy Warwick (59.5kg)
T: Michael Campbell |
2 | 1.95 | 2 | 1.9 | 1.82 | 2.15 |
4. Crypto Queen
J: Brad Parnham (59.5kg)
T: Brian Kersley |
5.5 | 5.5 | 5 | 5.5 | 5.7 | 5 |
5. Nobel Knight
J: Shaun O'donnell (59.5kg)
T: M J Duffy |
35 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 36 | 34 |
6. Paeroa Lad
J: Laqdar Ramoly (59.5kg)
T: M W Bairstow |
21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21.5 | 21 |
7. Eliminate
J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (58.5kg)
T: N D Parnham |
23 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 23.5 | 26 |
8. Looksnoteverything
J: Ms Kristy Bennett (58kg)
T: Ms C Godden |
81 | 81 | 71 | 81 | 83 | 71 |
9. Saasmit
J: Ms Holly Watson (57.5kg)
T: Luke Fernie |
23 | 26 | 21 | 26 | 25.5 | 23 |
10. Story Book
J: William Pike (57.5kg)
T: T M Andrews |
4.4 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.15 | 4.2 |
11. Extorio
J: Taj Dyson (54.5kg)
T: M Santich |
35 | 34 | 31 | 34 | 34 | 31 |
12. He's On Fire
J: Keshaw Dhurun (60kg)
T: S & J Casey |
(3) Bitofmerit looks a great bet. Backed up his very good trials last prep with a dominant debut victory over Buzzoom, who then went on to win in Stakes grade this prep. Only query is carrying 59.5kg first up with no public trial but think he’s a good horse and can take care of this field. We took the opening price yesterday of $2.70 and he’s been heavily backed into even money.
Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Bitofmerit
Race 5
Crown Perth Hcp (C1) (2000m)
5:54pm (AEDT)
Race 5Crown Perth Hcp (C1) (2000m) |
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1. Pale Rider
J: Mitchell Pateman (60.5kg)
T: E A Martinovich |
2.5 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 3 | 2.65 | 2.9 |
2. Savvy Dan
J: Brad Rawiller (59.5kg)
T: D L Morton |
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3. Arnray
J: Jason Whiting (59kg)
T: Kirryn Scallan |
34 | 31 | 31 | 34 | 35 | 31 |
4. Mong Khon
J: Ms Victoria Corver (59kg)
T: J N Pateman |
21 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 16 | 21 |
5. Red Hot Hope
J: Steven Parnham (59kg)
T: N D Parnham |
8.5 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 9.1 | 9 |
6. Calling Card
J: Ms Kate Witten (58kg)
T: K R Mahoney |
101 | 126 | 101 | 101 | 131 | 126 |
7. Dancing Jack
J: Troy Turner (58kg)
T: Anthony Oram |
14 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 10.6 | 13 |
8. Circle The Sun
J: Clint Johnston-Porter (57.5kg)
T: A G Durrant |
5.5 | 5.5 | 5 | 5.5 | 4.8 | 5 |
9. Lady Of Babylon
J: Brad Parnham (57.5kg)
T: V A Brockman |
6.5 | 6 | 5.5 | 6 | 6.8 | 5.5 |
10. Frequent Friar
J: Shaun Mcgruddy (57kg)
T: Hayden Ballantyne |
14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 11.8 | 14 |
11. Paigey's Turn
J: Chris Parnham (55.5kg)
T: Ms S L Miller |
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12. Fairdelicious
J: Patrick Carbery (54kg)
T: B M Smithall |
41 | 41 | 41 | 41 | 41 | 41 |
13. Fuel The Friar
J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (54kg)
T: D R Harrison |
35 | 34 | 34 | 41 | 26 | 34 |
14. Bryce Road
J: Ms Natasha Faithfull (55kg)
T: K J Reeves |
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15. Bandalera Miss
J: William Pike (54kg)
T: F R Kersley |
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16. Royal Choisir
J: Unknown (54kg)
T: Vaughn Sigley |
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17. Paigey's Turn
J: Chris Parnham (55.5kg)
T: Ms S L Miller |
(1) Pale Rider carries top weight from the wide gate today but drops heavily in class today. He ran 3rd behind It’sarayday in the Fairetha Stakes two starts ago and then failed in the WA Guineas last time out. Now drops back to a Class 1 and steps up to 2000m for the first time. Class should take him a long way.
(9) Lady of Babylon broke the maiden last start and I think is capable of making the step up to this company. Draws well and goes close today I think.
(4) Mong Khon will go forward and is always around the mark in these sorts of races. He just tends to find one or two too good.
(5) Red Hot Hope was good last start from the back of the field but does draw wide again and will have plenty to do.
(2) Arnray hit the line well last start and should enjoy a good run again. Was awful two starts ago but either side of that he’s run well. Racing out of his grade though.
Value: (9) Lady of Babylon $6.60 BoomBet
Betting Strategy: No bet
Race 6
Morley Growers Market Hcp (C3) (1650m)
6:35pm (AEDT)
Race 6Morley Growers Market Hcp (C3) (1650m) |
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1. Great Waters
J: Mitchell Pateman (60kg)
T: Martin Allan |
6.5 | 6.5 | 6 | 6 | 6.6 | 6.5 |
2. Sentimental Friend
J: Shaun O'donnell (59.5kg)
T: Ms K Pisconeri |
6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5.1 | 6 |
3. He's A Lucky Lad
J: Clint Johnston-Porter (59kg)
T: A G Durrant |
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4. Cable Guy
J: Andrew Castle (57.5kg)
T: M Knox |
11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11.4 | 11 |
5. Wakan Tanka
J: Steven Parnham (57kg)
T: N D Parnham |
16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 13.2 | 15 |
6. Holyoake
J: Chris Parnham (55.5kg)
T: Brett Pope |
13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11.2 | 13 |
7. Playing Up
J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (55kg)
T: Fenella Martin |
20 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 20.5 | 19 |
8. Champagne Gal
J: Troy Turner (54kg)
T: Ms C Stelmach |
21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 17.8 | 21 |
9. Missalfie
J: Jason Whiting (54kg)
T: W J Bradshaw |
35 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 36 | 34 |
10. Richardson
J: Ms Fiona Bell (54kg)
T: G L Carige |
91 | 101 | 81 | 81 | 69 | 101 |
11. Sporty Spice
J: Ms Kristy Bennett (54kg)
T: Matthew Scott |
126 | 151 | 101 | 101 | 131 | 151 |
12. He's A Lucky Lad
J: Clint Johnston-Porter (59kg)
T: A G Durrant |
(3) He’s A Lucky Lad won two on the bounce before a midfield finish in the G2 WA Guineas last start. Drops back to a Class 3 today and should be winning this with any luck.
(2) Sentimental Friend improved last start and goes well third up so can improve again but doubt it can beat the favourite.
Tip: (3) He's A Lucky Lad $1.80 BlueBet
Betting Strategy: No bet
Race 7
Western Racepix Hcp (C3) (1200m)
7:10pm (AEDT)
Race 7Western Racepix Hcp (C3) (1200m) |
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1. Cross Statement
J: Ms Holly Watson (60.5kg)
T: J P Taylor |
2 | 2.05 | 2 | 1.95 | 2.05 | 2.1 |
2. Johnny Angel
J: Chris Parnham (59kg)
T: Michael Grantham |
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3. Lil' Red Bikini
J: Ms Lucy Warwick (58kg)
T: P W Mcleod |
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4. Oceanzara
J: Taj Dyson (57.5kg)
T: Kirsten Melis |
14 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 15.2 | 13 |
5. The Anvil
J: Jason Whiting (57.5kg)
T: G A Crispin |
16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 14.8 | 16 |
6. Miss Quoted
J: Shaun O'donnell (57kg)
T: G M Ayres |
17 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 13.8 | 15 |
7. Saturn Black
J: Laqdar Ramoly (56kg)
T: Deborah Murphy |
5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 6 | 4.95 | 5.5 |
8. Tibetan Black
J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (55kg)
T: Ms S L Miller |
31 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 32 | 34 |
9. Western Rhythm
J: William Pike (54.5kg)
T: Brock Lewthwaite |
5 | 5 | 5 | 5.5 | 5.1 | 5 |
10. Alexis Olympia
J: Ms Natasha Faithfull (54kg)
T: Michael Hackett |
23 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 23.5 | 23 |
11. Sea Waif
J: Troy Turner (54kg)
T: Brett Pope |
16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 12.8 | 16 |
12. Lil' Red Bikini
J: Ms Lucy Warwick (58kg)
T: P W Mcleod |
(1) Cross Statement is racing in good form and clung on for a deserved win last start after two 2nds to open the campaign. Goes forward and takes catching again in a weak field.
(9) Western Rhythm gets Pike on first up with no trial for Brock Lewthwaite. This horse showed plenty of talent early but failed to go on with it. Can run a big race fresh today if he has it right.
(7) Saturn Black was fair first up and (10) Alexis Olympia has been good in recent starts.
Tip: (9) Western Rhythm $5.50 TopSport
Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Western Rhythm
Race 8
Quayclean Hcp (C3) (1200m)
7:40pm (AEDT)
Race 8Quayclean Hcp (C3) (1200m) |
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1. War Warrior
J: Brad Rawiller (61kg)
T: D L Morton |
3.1 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 2.85 | 3.2 |
2. Blow Me Out
J: Taj Dyson (59kg)
T: Brett Pope |
6 | 6 | 6 | 6.5 | 6.6 | 6 |
3. Weona Brute
J: Austin Galati (59kg)
T: Steele Casey |
15 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 15.2 | 15 |
4. Red Inferno
J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (58kg)
T: G M Ayres |
6.5 | 6 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 |
5. Cheval De Vaga
J: Keshaw Dhurun (57kg)
T: Meryl Hayley |
17 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 18.2 | 16 |
6. Gold Merits
J: Ms Holly Watson (56.5kg)
T: J P Taylor |
27 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 20.5 | 26 |
7. Looks Like Magic
J: Shaun O'donnell (56kg)
T: B H Hyde |
21 | 19 | 17 | 17 | 21 | 19 |
8. Reaction
J: Jason Whiting (56kg)
T: D J Waldock |
17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17.2 | 17 |
9. Reciting
J: Troy Turner (55.5kg)
T: C H Webster |
18 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 18 |
10. My Marlaina
J: William Pike (54.5kg)
T: Brock Lewthwaite |
3.6 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 3.8 |
11. Amber Mamba
J: Ms Lisa Staples (54kg)
T: Bill Spencer |
61 | 67 | 61 | 67 | 63 | 61 |
(1) War Warrior carries the full 61kg today from a wide gate but it might not stop him winning. He’s nominated to go around on the weekend as well so if he wins this we may well see him in Saturday company in a matter of days.
(10) My Marlaina looks the danger with Pike taking over. Will go forward and be the horse War Warrior has to chase down.
(2) Red Inferno is racing in good form but steps up to 1200m and has failed in two attempts in the past at this trip.
Tip: (1) War Warrior $3.40 BetDeluxe
Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN War Warrior
Race 9
Salinger (Rs0ly) (1000m)
8:10pm (AEDT)
Race 9Salinger (Rs0ly) (1000m) |
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1. My Demi
J: Ms Kate Southam (61kg)
T: Michael Hackett |
19 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 20.5 | 19 |
2. Wiener Waltz
J: Ms Rosie Mahony (60kg)
T: Steele Casey |
16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17.2 | 17 |
3. Eeyore Wayz
J: Craig Staples (59.5kg)
T: Raquel Reid |
5.5 | 6 | 6 | 6.5 | 6.4 | 6 |
4. Human Nature
J: Steven Parnham (59kg)
T: Sean Rains |
12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13.2 | 12 |
5. Go Forward
J: Brad Parnham (56.5kg)
T: C & M Gangemi |
2.2 | 2.2 | 2.15 | 2.1 | 2 | 2.25 |
6. Requisition
J: Ms Lucy Warwick (56.5kg)
T: Brett Pope |
7 | 7 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 7.1 | 7 |
7. Agent Kensington
J: Chris Parnham (56kg)
T: L P Luciani |
9 | 8.5 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 8 |
8. Blankenberge
J: Ms Victoria Corver (56kg)
T: Brock Lewthwaite |
14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12.4 | 12 |
9. Gessato
J: Peter Knuckey (54.5kg)
T: S & J Casey |
31 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 25.5 | 26 |
10. Stable Secret
J: Ms Sasha Starley (54.5kg)
T: B P Graham |
35 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 36 | 34 |
11. Boyish
J: Ms Angela Johnston (54kg)
T: Ms K Farrell |
101 | 101 | 101 | 101 | 91 | 101 |
12. Dam Ready
J: Troy Turner (54kg)
T: M W Bairstow |
26 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 24 | 41 |
13. Wednesday
J: Shaun O'donnell (54kg)
T: C R Green |
(5) Go Forward was super two starts ago when bolting in by 3.5L. Last start he just got way too far back but ran home in by far the fastest final 400m of the meeting. Happy to go again today from the better draw.
I don’t think there’s anything in the race that can beat him and once again, the Premium Discord group took a good price yesterday locking in $2.60.
Tip: (5) Go Forward $2.25 Bet365
Betting Strategy: 3 units WIN Go Forward