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Belmont Racing Tips: Wednesday, July 21st

Midweek racing continues at Belmont on Wednesday with seven races on the card and Tim Geers has previewed every race below.

belmont racing tips

We’re back at Belmont for midweek racing in WA, with another seven races on what will be a tiring track.

The rail moves out a whopping 21 meters today, with a cutaway in the straight. Expecting it to play fairly given they raced on the inner part of the straight on Saturday.

Tim Geers has previewed every race on the card with his tips, best bets and betting strategy below.

Best Bet: Race 5 – (2) Holy Ghost

Best Value: Race 2 – (10) Port Beach

PlayUp

193160

Race 1

Tabtouch-Better Your Bet Mdn (1000m)
3:14pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Tabtouch-Better Your Bet Mdn (1000m)
3:14pm (AEDT)

1. Cured (7) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (58kg) T: Roy Rogers
677181818371
2. Missile (6) J: Brad Parnham (58kg) T: N D Parnham
554.8555
3. Pearlcanto (9) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (58kg) T: C & M Gangemi
4. The Invisible Man (8) J: Brad Rawiller (58kg) T: J N Pateman
11109.5108.610
5. Troodles (5) J: Ms Kate Southam (56kg) T: E A Martinovich
414141414741
6. Takemehometonight (3) J: Chris Parnham (56kg) T: Martin Allan
2.52.52.42.62.62.5
7. Somethingready (1) J: Paul Harvey (56kg) T: R W Price
3.43.33.133.252.9
8. Hot Tonic (4) J: Ms Holly Watson (56kg) T: Simon Miller
8.58.58.59.57.38.5
9. Amelia's Belief (10) J: Chris Graham (55.5kg) T: Brian Rogers
101919191101101
10. Maximum Impact (2) J: Ms Madi Derrick (55.5kg) T: M Santich
232121262023

Odds Last Updated: July 21, 2021, 3:16pm (AEDT)

(6) Takemehometonight makes her stable debut for Martin Allan here, having previously raced for Justin Warwick. They paid quite a bit for this filly and they can make an immediate return here in a suitable race.

(7) Somethingready was luckless in defeat at Northam last start, held up badly late in the race. Probably would have won with any luck there. Drop back to 1000m some query but draws the inside and the cutaway in the straight means she will definitely get a run this time around. Hard to beat.

(8) Hot Tonic should go well on debut for Simon Miller, while (2) Missile failed on debut but did start $3.40 there so has to be respected first up with no trial.

Tip: (6) Takemehometonight $2.70 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Takemehometonight

193160

Race 2

Free Entry To Belmont Park-C1 (1700m)
3:49pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Free Entry To Belmont Park-C1 (1700m)
3:49pm (AEDT)

1. Bryce Road (9) J: Ms Madi Derrick (60kg) T: K J Reeves
6781818111181
2. Buster Bash (7) J: Jett Stanley (60kg) T: D R Harrison
5.55555.25
3. Le Grand Risque (8) J: Chris Parnham (60kg) T: Martin Allan
1211121212.211
4. Ghobella (5) J: Laqdar Ramoly (59kg) T: Ms S Bakranich
3.43.43.43.43.43.3
5. Barging Tess (3) J: Ms Chloe Azzopardi (58kg) T: Ms D Mann
1818191818.819
6. Fletcher Road (11) J: Ryan Hill (58kg) T: R C Mcpherson
99999.19
7. Chokslam (13) J: Jason Whiting (57.5kg) T: G A Crispin
1312121212.212
8. See Ya Champ (1) J: Mitchell Pateman (57.5kg) T: G C Ballantyne
3.83.8443.74
9. Talented Escape (12) J: William Pike (57kg) T: Holly Taylor
111111111011
10. Port Beach (4) J: Joseph Azzopardi (55.5kg) T: F R Kersley
2621212625.523
11. Time Stands Still (6) J: Unknown (54.5kg) T: Deborah Hagan
12. King Cabernet (10) J: Unknown (54kg) T: Brian Rogers
13. Saving Memphis (2) J: Unknown (56kg) T: P H Jordan

Odds Last Updated: July 21, 2021, 3:51pm (AEDT)

(4) Ghobella was good in defeat last start I thought. She had to do some work to kick up and sit outside the leader, she hit the front a long way out and just got left a sitting duck for those coming from behind her. This is D-day for her.

(10) Port Beach tackles the 1700m first up, but that’s not unusual from the Fred Kersley stable. Joe Azzopardi booked straight away and this horse did race well fresh last campaign. Expecting a good run and looks value at $26.

Tip: (4) Ghobella $3.00 Bet365

Value: (10) Port Beach $26/$5.50 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1.5 unit WIN Ghobella, 0.5 units E/W Port Beach

193160

Race 3

Amelia Park Plate (Rs0mw) (1400m)
4:24pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Amelia Park Plate (Rs0mw) (1400m)
4:24pm (AEDT)

1. Ground Braker (12) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (58kg) T: E A Martinovich
121212121112
2. Canny Jack (11) J: Brad Rawiller (58kg) T: Ms C Stelmach
1313131414.213
3. Galaxy Cat (6) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (56kg) T: D R Harrison
999.510109
4. Mountain Ash (7) J: Chris Parnham (56kg) T: A G Durrant
55554.85
5. Cheerful Moment (2) J: Paul Harvey (56kg) T: L Smith
2.252.252.22.32.22.15
6. Civvy Street (1) J: Keshaw Dhurun (56kg) T: S & J Casey
232126212226
7. American Troop (5) J: Shaun O'donnell (56kg) T: C & M Gangemi
1313141313.213
8. So Likable (9) J: William Pike (56kg) T: Brock Lewthwaite
76.56.575.96.5
9. Vitalize (4) J: Steven Parnham (54kg) T: N D Parnham
464151515351
10. Goldfrapp (3) J: Ms Chloe Azzopardi (54kg) T: D T Mcauliffe
464141513641
11. Saintly City (8) J: Unknown (56kg) T: N D Parnham
12. Bobalong Bob (10) J: Unknown (56kg) T: T M Andrews

Odds Last Updated: July 21, 2021, 4:26pm (AEDT)

(5) Cheerful Moment made an eye-catching WA debut last start, coming from last to run 3rd. Draws an inside gate today so may be ridden more positively and should be going very close here.

Pike goes on (8) So Likeable for Brock Lewthwaite, and these two always have to be respected when they combine. Was given a very easy time of things late last start but with Pike going on, looks ready to do something.

Tip: (5) Cheerful Moment $2.70 TopSport

Also Backing: (8) So Likeable $6.00 TAB

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Cheerful Moment, 0.75 units WIN So Likeable

193160

Race 4

Crown Towers Hcp (C3) (1400m)
5:00pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Crown Towers Hcp (C3) (1400m)
5:00pm (AEDT)

1. Karijini Aurora (8) J: William Pike (60kg) T: Summer Dickson
2.42.32.22.42.252.3
2. Cornflower (2) J: Patrick Carbery (57.5kg) T: A D Mathews
66666.55.5
3. Divine Quest (10) J: Peter Knuckey (57.5kg) T: C H Webster
5554.85.55
4. Cosmic Haze (5) J: Ryan Hill (57kg) T: Fenella Martin
1414161612.215
5. Phantom's Star (6) J: Shaun O'donnell (56.5kg) T: Russell Stewart
2626312626.526
6. Dance Shoes (4) J: Brad Parnham (56kg) T: Simon Miller
1817181719.219
7. Gold Merits (1) J: Laqdar Ramoly (55kg) T: J P Taylor
555.5555
8. Stella Fair (7) J: Chris Parnham (54.5kg) T: A G Durrant
9. Metallic Queen (9) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (54kg) T: Nakita Barber
1918181917.619
10. Trilli Filly (3) J: Jason Whiting (54kg) T: D S Barker
676771677981

Odds Last Updated: July 21, 2021, 5:01pm (AEDT)

Happy to sit out of this race as there’s plenty of horses out of form.

(1) Karjini Aurora really gets its chance to win, dropping from a Saturday 72+ grade race back to a Class 3 fillies and mares on a Wednesday. Pike goes on and she really should be very competitive today.

Tip: (1) Karijini Aurora $3.00 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: No bet

193160

Race 5

Western Racepix Hcp (C3) (1400m)
5:35pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Western Racepix Hcp (C3) (1400m)
5:35pm (AEDT)

1. Artie's Comet (8) J: Jason Whiting (60kg) T: Roy Rogers
1212111313.211
2. Holy Ghost (5) J: Steven Parnham (59.5kg) T: N D Parnham
3.93.9443.953.9
3. Irritable Rodnee (7) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (59.5kg) T: S J Miller
1.851.91.91.91.81.9
4. Trump This (10) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (59.5kg) T: Tiarnna Robertson
5. Cape Reign (11) J: Chris Parnham (59kg) T: Martin Allan
2020192121.519
6. Run Like Fire (3) J: Shaun O'donnell (57.5kg) T: Ms J Clements
343134313534
7. Oxbridge (4) J: Peter Knuckey (57kg) T: S J Wolfe
8.588.58.598
8. Frosty Beverage (9) J: Ms Madi Derrick (56.5kg) T: Roy Rogers
272626343226
9. Mims Win (6) J: Ms Holly Watson (55.5kg) T: G L Carige
1312131513.813
10. Saving Memphis (1) J: Craig Staples (54.5kg) T: P H Jordan
616161717361
11. Shecky's Mate (2) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (54.5kg) T: Darren Taylor
3131343127.531

Odds Last Updated: July 21, 2021, 5:36pm (AEDT)

Looks a two-horse race here between (2) Holy Ghost and (3) Irritable Rodnee. The market has come for Irritable Rodnee who is currently the short-priced favourite after winning easily first up in wet conditions at Pinjarra. That was a Class 1 and he steps up to a Class 3 now, and he does look the horse to beat.

At the prices though, I’ll be on Holy Ghost, who just always runs a good race and now finds a very suitable contest. He struggles to win, with just one victory from 22 starts, but he’s been racing in Saturday grade for most of the prep and now drops back to a Class 3 on a Wednesday. Last time he raced in this company he ran 2nd to the talented Kaptain Kaos. Think he is very hard to beat here.

Tip: (2) Holy Ghost $3.80 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Holy Ghost

193160

Race 6

Schweppes (Rs0ly) (1200m)
6:15pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Schweppes (Rs0ly) (1200m)
6:15pm (AEDT)

1. Ghost Who Walks (3) J: Laqdar Ramoly (61kg) T: N D Parnham
6.576.576.46.5
2. Devine Beast (4) J: Ms Tyla Becker (59kg) T: Luke Fernie
1819191919.219
3. Cross Statement (6) J: Jason Brown (58.5kg) T: J P Taylor
32.82.92.92.92.9
4. Hell Raider (12) J: Mitchell Pateman (58kg) T: G C Ballantyne
1717171615.818
5. Hot Mix (1) J: Paul Harvey (58kg) T: Martin Allan
6. Miss Vasari (9) J: Chris Parnham (57.5kg) T: D L Morton
3.33.43.23.53.353.2
7. Smashing (2) J: Brad Parnham (56.5kg) T: N D Parnham
1211121210.412
8. Blazing Passion (8) J: Ms Lisa Staples (56kg) T: P H Jordan
7181819111181
9. Dream Evil (7) J: William Pike (56kg) T: G W Dupre
6.56.56.57.56.76.5
10. Star Storm (10) J: Ms Holly Watson (56kg) T: Simon Miller
1212121312.212
11. Powerful (5) J: Steven Parnham (57kg) T: N D Parnham
12. Port Beach (11) J: Unknown (54kg) T: F R Kersley

Odds Last Updated: July 21, 2021, 6:16pm (AEDT)

(6) Miss Vasari returns from a spell for Dan Morton and Chris Parnham. Won well on debut and then was competitive at her next two starts, running 2nd to Standout Rose and Iseered Iseered. Looks hard to beat if she’s at her best.

(3) Cross Statement comes out of a strong race behind Secret Plan and Nobel Laurence. Back to Wednesday grade now, will go forward and be hard to run down.

(1) Ghost Who Walks beat Cross Statement a couple of starts ago so has to be respected, while Pike goes on (9) Dream Evil who was a good winner first up at Pinjarra.

Tip: (6) Miss Vasari $2.90 Bet365

Betting Strategy: No bet

193160

Race 7

Perth Racing Club Mship-Rs0ly (1200m)
6:55pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Perth Racing Club Mship-Rs0ly (1200m)
6:55pm (AEDT)

1. Zephyr Queen (11) J: Ms Holly Watson (60kg) T: J P Taylor
4.84.84.64.84.854.6
2. First Law (7) J: Chris Parnham (59kg) T: Simon Miller
4.54.54.64.44.354.6
3. Forest War (10) J: Laqdar Ramoly (59kg) T: J P Taylor
3.23.13.13.43.352.9
4. Diablerie (4) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (58.5kg) T: Summer Dickson
8887.57.98.5
5. Mastering (9) J: Mitchell Pateman (58.5kg) T: C & M Gangemi
7.57776.57
6. Super Ex (8) J: Ms Tyla Becker (57.5kg) T: Luke Fernie
7. Sun Chacen (5) J: Joseph Azzopardi (55kg) T: B P Fitzgerald
8. Kakadu (6) J: Keshaw Dhurun (54.5kg) T: V A Brockman
9.59.59.598.79.5
9. Tonkatuff (3) J: Patrick Carbery (54.5kg) T: B P Graham
343434343734
10. I'm Icey (1) J: Steven Parnham (54kg) T: N D Parnham
1616171614.816
11. Dolly Em (2) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (54kg) T: D Miller
818181918981

Odds Last Updated: July 21, 2021, 6:56pm (AEDT)

(3) Forest War is racing well and drops from a Saturday race to a Wednesday race here. Did win two starts ago and handles these conditions. Just needs a bit of luck from barrier 10.

(5) Mastering wasn’t too bad first up and should improve second up today.

(2) First Law pulled up lame last start and won prior to that so can bounce back.

Tip: (5) Mastering E/W $7.00 BetDeluxe

Betting Strategy: No bet

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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