Racing Tips

Kembla Grange Racing Tips: Thursday, July 22nd

Billy Bestford has done the form and is keen to back a couple of runners later in the day.

by
Billy Bestford
22 July 2021

They’re racing today at Kembla Grange and it’s expected to be a fine and sunny afternoon. The track is currently rated a good 4 and the rail is out 9 metres from the 1100 to the post, and out 6m the remainder.

Billy Bestford is keen to back a couple of horses towards the end of the meeting so read on to find his best bets today.

Race 1

Frank Powyer Mdn Hcp (1400m)
11:45am (AEDT)

Race 1 Frank Powyer Mdn Hcp (1400m) 11:45am (AEDT)
1. Kennedy Choice (3) J: Unknown (59kg) T: David Payne
2. Mystic Rebel (1) J: Ms Rachel King (58.5kg) T: Mark Newnham	1.8	1.75	1.75	1.8	1.8	1.75
3. King Of Hearts (8) J: James Mcdonald (57kg) T: Craig Carmody	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.3	6
4. Bacio Del Mist (6) J: Jean Van Overmeire (56.5kg) T: Lee & Cherie Curtis	34	34	41	41	39	34
5. Dundeel Star (9) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (56kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott	4.4	4.6	4.8	4.4	4.25	4.8
6. So Incisive (4) J: Tom Sherry (56kg) T: C E Conners	91	126	151	126	111	126
7. Thrillology (7) J: Grant Buckley (56kg) T: Bryce Heys	35	41	51	51	45	41
8. C'mon Reg (2) J: Glen Boss (55.5kg) T: Ms G Markwell	23	26	26	26	23	23
9. Bhutan (5) J: Sam Clipperton (55kg) T: K J Parker	51	61	67	71	67	51
10. Contract Signed (10) J: Regan Bayliss (55kg) T: Joseph Pride	8	8	9	7.5	7.6	8.5

Race 2

Billy Prain Mdn Hcp (1200m)
12:20pm (AEDT)

Race 2 Billy Prain Mdn Hcp (1200m) 12:20pm (AEDT)
1. Bulls Blood (5) J: Tommy Berry (59kg) T: G D Hickman	3.2	3.1	2.9	3	3.15	3
2. Emerald Princess (4) J: Tim Clark (57kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott	8.5	9	9	9	8.1	8.5
3. Uncle Al Pal (9) J: Brock Ryan (57kg) T: R & L Price	23	21	26	26	23	26
4. Single Tonite (11) J: Brenton Avdulla (56.5kg) T: J A O'shea	3.9	4	4.4	4	3.75	4
5. Borsalina (8) J: Grant Buckley (55.5kg) T: Mick Attard	7	7.5	8	7.5	7.6	7.5
6. Poetic Miss (2) J: Tom Sherry (55.5kg) T: Warren Ganderton	34	41	34	41	41	34
7. Comeback Star (1) J: Glen Boss (55kg) T: Ms G Markwell	6.5	6.5	4.8	6.5	6.2	6
8. Miss Tulip (3) J: Ms Rachel King (55kg) T: Ms G Markwell	16	17	16	17	16.8	16
9. The Gift (10) J: Sam Clipperton (55kg) T: K J Parker	91	101	101	126	131	151
10. Zattastar (6) J: Jean Van Overmeire (55kg) T: Lee & Cherie Curtis	15	15	16	15	15.2	15
11. Appetite For Risk (7) J: Unknown (55.5kg) T: Bryce Heys

Odds Last Updated: July 22, 2021, 12:21pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Ron Quinton Mdn Plate (1000m)
12:55pm (AEDT)

Race 3 Ron Quinton Mdn Plate (1000m) 12:55pm (AEDT)
1. Air Command (9) J: Glen Boss (57kg) T: A J Cummings	31	31	34	34	32	34
2. Casan Geal (3) J: Tom Sherry (57kg) T: R & L Price	34	34	41	41	40	34
3. Fear Index (6) J: Brock Ryan (57kg) T: Ms G Markwell	14	14	16	15	15	15
4. National Security (10) J: Jay Ford (57kg) T: G M Brown	81	91	101	126	131	101
5. Wine Talks (11) J: James Mcdonald (57kg) T: C J Waller	4.8	5	4.6	4.6	4.45	5
6. Girl Mania (2) J: Jean Van Overmeire (55kg) T: Jean Dubois	2.45	2.35	2.6	2.6	2.65	2.3
7. Loving Angel (4) J: Tommy Berry (55kg) T: P & P Snowden	4.2	4.2	4.4	4.4	4.1	4.4
8. Queen Of Dubai (7) J: Tim Clark (55kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott	7	7.5	6.5	7	6.2	7.5
9. Tapis Magique (1) J: Regan Bayliss (55kg) T: David Payne	31	26	31	34	34	31
10. Vesuvio (5) J: Sam Clipperton (55kg) T: R J Quinton	10	10	10	12	10	10
11. New York Gal (8) J: Regan Bayliss (55kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott

Odds Last Updated: July 22, 2021, 12:56pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Darren Beadman Mdn Plate (1000m)
1:35pm (AEDT)

Race 4 Darren Beadman Mdn Plate (1000m) 1:35pm (AEDT)
1. As You Were (6) J: James Mcdonald (57kg) T: Bryce Heys	6	5.5	5.5	6.5	6.6	5.5
2. Fabulous Choice (2) J: Tommy Berry (57kg) T: R & M Freedman	15	15	15	17	16.8	14
3. Fox Fighter (10) J: Sam Clipperton (57kg) T: David Payne	4.6	4.6	4.4	4.4	4	4.6
4. Russian Standard (1) J: Tom Sherry (57kg) T: Mark Newnham	3.5	3.5	3.5	3.6	3.55	3.5
5. Camplin (9) J: Ms Rachel King (55kg) T: James Cummings	5.5	5	5.5	6	5.1	5
6. Flying Squad (4) J: Glen Boss (55kg) T: Ms G Markwell	10	10	11	10	10.2	10
7. Our Filly (5) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (55kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott	27	31	31	31	26.5	31
8. Saadara (3) J: Regan Bayliss (55kg) T: P & P Snowden	46	61	51	61	53	51
9. Smokeshow (8) J: Brenton Avdulla (55kg) T: J A O'shea	6.5	7	6.5	7	6.1	6.5
10. Zou Lover (7) J: Tim Clark (55kg) T: Matthew Smith	35	41	41	41	38	41
11. Sing For Stella (11) J: Unknown (55kg) T: Paul Murray

Odds Last Updated: July 22, 2021, 1:37pm (AEDT)

Race 5

David Green (Bm68) (1300m)
2:10pm (AEDT)

Race 5 David Green (Bm68) (1300m) 2:10pm (AEDT)
1. A Magic Zariz (1) J: Ms Ellen Hennessy (63.5kg) T: Brett Robb	7	7	7.5	8	8.1	7
2. No Impediment (7) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (60kg) T: Ms A Turner	4.8	4.6	4.8	5	4.85	4.4
3. Noble Soldier (4) J: Brock Ryan (57.5kg) T: R & L Price	3	3	3.2	3.3	2.95	3
4. Roman Wolf (5) J: Jean Van Overmeire (57kg) T: J M Austin
5. Real Key (2) J: Sam Clipperton (56kg) T: Ms T Bateup	3.7	3.8	3.4	3.5	3.65	3.8
6. Dynamited (6) J: Tom Sherry (55.5kg) T: Richard Litt	9.5	9.5	9	10	8.2	9.5
7. Micks New Chick (3) J: Ms Madison Waters (55kg) T: B M Lazzarini	17	18	19	18	16.2	19
8. Hard Lady (8) J: Grant Buckley (55kg) T: B M Lazzarini	9.5	9.5	8.5	9.5	10.2	10

Odds Last Updated: July 22, 2021, 2:11pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Maurice Logue Mdn Hcp (1300m)
2:50pm (AEDT)

Race 6 Maurice Logue Mdn Hcp (1300m) 2:50pm (AEDT)
1. Mirror One (4) J: Hugh Bowman (60kg) T: M J Dunn	2.35	2.4	2.1	2.4	2.4	2.25
2. Kennedy Choice (8) J: Tim Clark (59kg) T: David Payne	6	6	5.5	5.5	5.3	6
3. Carlisle Bay (10) J: Jean Van Overmeire (57kg) T: M & D Kearney	7	7	7	7	7.1	7
4. Esteemed Lady (12) J: Glen Boss (57kg) T: Ms G Markwell	31	31	34	41	31	34
5. El Lago (1) J: Brock Ryan (56.5kg) T: Paul Murray	12	14	12	15	13.4	12
6. Regal Pom (11) J: James Mcdonald (56.5kg) T: Annabel Neasham
7. Amarantz (5) J: Regan Bayliss (55kg) T: J A O'shea	18	21	19	21	17.4	21
8. Kamea (9) J: Jay Ford (55kg) T: Lauri Parker	27	31	26	34	35	34
9. Mystic Lily (2) J: Ms Ellen Hennessy (55kg) T: K J Parker	81	101	101	126	131	126
10. Sizzle Chic (3) J: Ms Rachel King (55kg) T: G Portelli	6.5	6.5	5	7	6.5	6.5
11. Verdier (7) J: Tommy Berry (55kg) T: R & M Freedman	6	6	5.5	6	5.3	6
12. King Of Hearts (6) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (57kg) T: Craig Carmody

Odds Last Updated: July 22, 2021, 2:53pm (AEDT)

Hugh Bowman comes to Kembla today for just the three rides and he will partner (1) Mirror One here who looks a big chance of breaking through at start no 2. His debut was very good only narrowly being beaten over 1200m and the slight rise in trip here looks ideal. Will take a heap of benefit from that performance and be hard to beat.

(11) Verdier has had two trials in town and looked handy enough in those. Berry booked to ride and should get every chance from gate 7.

(2) Kennedy Choice deserves a win, on the back of four straight minor placings but is running out of chances.

Tip: (1) Mirror One - $2.50 at TAB

Betting Strategy: 2 unit WIN Mirror One

Race 7

Gordon Spinks (Bm64) (1000m)
3:25pm (AEDT)

Race 7 Gordon Spinks (Bm64) (1000m) 3:25pm (AEDT)
1. Stoical (3) J: Tommy Berry (60.5kg) T: P & P Snowden	2.8	2.8	2.7	2.8	2.75	2.7
2. Shapur (9) J: Ms Madison Waters (59.5kg) T: R & L Price	61	67	71	71	73	71
3. Conglomerate (12) J: Unknown (59kg) T: P & P Snowden
4. Young Heart (6) J: Sam Clipperton (59kg) T: R & L Price	9	9	9.5	9.5	9	9.5
5. Stormborn (5) J: Tom Sherry (58kg) T: Mark Newnham	2.8	2.7	2.6	2.8	2.65	2.6
6. Eliseo (2) J: Jean Van Overmeire (57.5kg) T: James Ponsonby	14	16	16	16	16.4	17
7. Designer Maid (7) J: Grant Buckley (56kg) T: Blake Fitzpatrick	12	12	13	12	12.6	13
8. Nostro Re (1) J: Ms Nyssa Burrells (56kg) T: Ms A Turner	16	18	18	18	19.2	19
9. Eveleigh (8) J: Jay Ford (55.5kg) T: Lauri Parker	51	61	67	61	59	71
10. Kittyhawk Flyer (10) J: Ms Rachel King (55.5kg) T: Mark Newnham	12	12	10	9.5	10.8	12
11. Charm Offensive (4) J: Glen Boss (56kg) T: Ms G Markwell	10	10	11	11	9	11
12. Advance Party (11) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (55kg) T: Bryce Heys

Odds Last Updated: July 22, 2021, 3:26pm (AEDT)

Race 8

John Duggan (Bm64) (1500m)
4:05pm (AEDT)

Race 8 John Duggan (Bm64) (1500m) 4:05pm (AEDT)
1. East Indiaman (11) J: Ms Ellen Hennessy (62kg) T: James Ponsonby	35	34	41	41	33	41
2. Canyonero (9) J: Regan Bayliss (60kg) T: Richard Litt	34	34	34	34	33	34
3. So Sneeky (14) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (59kg) T: Ms A Turner	4.2	4.2	4.2	4.2	4.25	4.2
4. Zudin (7) J: James Mcdonald (59kg) T: C J Waller	15	15	15	15	14.8	15
5. Nikau (16) J: Tommy Berry (58.5kg) T: James Cummings	7.5	7.5	7.5	7.5	7.5	7.5
6. Tic Tock Man (4) J: Ms Rachel King (58.5kg) T: Ms G Markwell	27	26	31	26	23.5	31
7. Edge Of Darkness (18) J: Tom Sherry (58kg) T: Mark Newnham
8. Greenspan (13) J: Brenton Avdulla (58kg) T: K J Parker	26	26	21	26	21	26
9. Nicochet (8) J: Jean Van Overmeire (58kg) T: J C Coyle	46	41	51	51	41	51
10. Super Solar (12) J: Sam Clipperton (58kg) T: J G Sargent	12	12	11	11	10.8	12
11. Supreme Leader (6) J: Jay Ford (58kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou	16	16	16	16	15	16
12. Azaryah (3) J: Brock Ryan (57kg) T: Ms G Markwell	61	61	61	61	59	61
13. Crazy Train (17) J: Ms Rachel King (57kg) T: M J Dunn
14. Obiri (10) J: Grant Buckley (56kg) T: Edward Cummings	101	126	101	126	99	126
15. Command King (2) J: Hugh Bowman (58kg) T: John Thompson	2.2	2.2	2.15	2.25	2.3	2.15
16. Librarian (15) J: Glen Boss (57.5kg) T: Ms G Markwell	21	21	20	19	20	23
17. The Cartoonist (5) J: Grant Buckley (57.5kg) T: W P Cave
18. Tongariro (1) J: Unknown (57.5kg) T: Ms G Markwell

Odds Last Updated: July 22, 2021, 4:06pm (AEDT)

(15) Command King will have plenty of support today following two good 2nds and now looks ready to peak 3rd up. Gets Bowman today from the perfect draw and should see every favour in the run. Ready to win.

I’ll be saving on the Goldolphin (5) Nikau who has one win from one start here at Kembla and arguably finds an easier race today than recent runs. Has been getting back and hitting the line well recently and should be doing the same today from the wide draw.

Tip: (15) Command King - $2.50 at Ladbrokes

Also Backing: (5) Nikau - $8.00 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 2.5 unit WIN Command King, 0.5 unit WIN Nikau

Race 9

Theo Green (Bm64) (2000m)
4:40pm (AEDT)

Race 9 Theo Green (Bm64) (2000m) 4:40pm (AEDT)
1. Gunaluva (15) J: Lee Magorrian (60.5kg) T: J G Sargent	21	21	21	21	19.6	23
2. Deadly Impact (10) J: Hugh Bowman (60kg) T: M J Dunn	3	3	2.9	3.3	3.25	2.9
3. Tochi (17) J: Brock Ryan (60kg) T: R & L Price	21	21	21	21	22	23
4. Sepulchre (6) J: Ms Rachel King (59kg) T: Joseph Ible	10	10	11	10	11.2	10
5. Duchess Of Windsor (7) J: Brenton Avdulla (58.5kg) T: Matthew Smith	11	11	11	10	9.9	11
6. Antigonus (16) J: Glen Boss (57.5kg) T: Ms G Markwell
7. Aperol Sprint (12) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (57.5kg) T: Matthew Smith	26	26	26	21	24.5	26
8. Lady Azamour (11) J: Unknown (57kg) T: Matthew Smith
9. Rukita (1) J: Jean Van Overmeire (57kg) T: Joseph Pride	14	14	14	14	13.8	14
10. Squanto (4) J: Tommy Berry (57kg) T: G Portelli	3.3	3.3	3.2	3.4	3.35	3.2
11. Joe's Joy (5) J: Tom Sherry (56.5kg) T: Richard Litt	10	10	9.5	9.5	10	10
12. Pensera (18) J: Sam Clipperton (56.5kg) T: Brad Widdup	41	41	41	41	34	41
13. Airfree (8) J: Jean Van Overmeire (55.5kg) T: Natalie Jarvis
14. High Tribute (14) J: Regan Bayliss (55kg) T: Joseph Pride	23	21	21	21	19	26
15. De Valera (9) J: Ms Ellen Hennessy (56kg) T: Clare Cunningham	16	16	16	15	13.4	17
16. Crown Affair (2) J: Unknown (55kg) T: Joseph Ible
17. Happy Hustler (13) J: Grant Buckley (55kg) T: Ms E Potowski	81	81	91	81	79	81
18. Spinpix (3) J: Jay Ford (55kg) T: Ms D Poidevin-Laine

Odds Last Updated: July 22, 2021, 4:42pm (AEDT)

Billy Bestford

Billy has been an avid racing fan ever since he and a few mates started a punters club once they turned 18. Following the initial punters clubs, he was properly hooked after landing a nice collect on Admire Rakti in the 2014 Caulfield Cup and has had a soft spot for Japanese horses ever since. Is a massive fan of 'blinkers first time' and has been known to enjoy a 'Hail Mary' multi. Loves punting across metro Sydney and Melbourne every Saturday but isn't scared to venture West late in the day to find a Pikey special.