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Belmont Racing Tips: Wednesday, June 23rd

It’s a big 10-race card at Belmont on Wednesday afternoon and Tim Geers has provided his tips and betting strategy for every race below.

belmont racing tips

It’s a big 10-race card at Belmont on Wednesday afternoon for midweek racing in Western Australia.

The track is rated a Soft 6 with the rail out 21m, with a cutaway in the straight.

Tim Geers has carefully selected races to target throughout the day, with a number of tricky contests on the card.

He’s provided his thoughts on all 10 races below, along with his tips, best bets and betting strategy.

Best Bet: Race 10 – (2) Said No One Ever

Best Value: Race 7 – (2) Beau Zoom & (3) Comealilbitcloser

190870

Race 1

Glenroy Chaff (Rs0mw) (1000m)
1:24pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Glenroy Chaff (Rs0mw) (1000m)
1:24pm (AEDT)

1. Canny Jack (4) J: William Pike (57kg) T: Ms C Stelmach
101010109.710
2. Rommel's Jeuney (8) J: Steven Parnham (57kg) T: N D Parnham
413431344034
3. First Missile (3) J: Troy Turner (57kg) T: Ms P Wagg
1415161414.416
4. Isola Bay (6) J: Chris Parnham (57kg) T: A G Durrant
8.5888.57.89
5. Nights Mystery (1) J: Mitchell Pateman (57kg) T: Mitchell Pateman
3.83.63.53.63.753.2
6. Via Monte (12) J: Brad Parnham (57kg) T: D L Morton
2626262621.526
7. Galaxy Cat (11) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (55kg) T: D R Harrison
99.58.599.510
8. Vranyo (9) J: Patrick Carbery (55kg) T: Simon Miller
2.82.82.72.82.852.6
9. Allaboutthecraic (7) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (55kg) T: A W Maley
2726262627.526
10. The Front Bar (2) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (55kg) T: A G Durrant
121213119.913
11. Hot Blooded (10) J: Unknown (57kg) T: L P Luciani
12. Augusta Red (5) J: Craig Staples (55kg) T: A W Maley

Odds Last Updated: June 23, 2021, 1:26pm (AEDT)

The first of two two-year-old races to kick off the card, and I won’t be playing big here.

(5) Night’s Mystery trialled exceptionally well over 400m last Monday and comes straight to the races. He looked very good and ran good time, so he’s clearly got some talent, but I don’t necessarily like seeing them debut off one 400m trial.

I think the one at good odds to be with is (4) Isola Bay for Adam Durrant and Chris Parnham. Durrant has two runners in this race and Parnham trialled both of them, and chooses to stick with this one. He also jumps off the favourite Vranyo to ride this horse.

The other one is (7) Galaxy Cat who ran in some good races in its debut prep and resumed in a strong race on a Saturday. Back to Wednesday grade today, should improve and hopefully goes forward from the gate.

(8) Vranyo looks well and truly short enough to me at $2.50. Led last start from a low draw and was turned over at even money. Granted, the horse that finished 2nd ahead of her then came out and won on Saturday, so the form looks sound, but she gets barrier 9 today and Parnham jumps off.

(2) Rommel’s Jeuney had a complete meltdown on debut so if he behaves himself better before the race, he can improve sharply.

Tip: (4) Isola Bay $14 TopSport

Also Backing: (7) Galaxy Cat $10 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 0.25 units WIN Isola Bay, 0.25 units WIN Galaxy Cat

190870

Race 2

Tabtouch-Better Your Bet-Rs0mw (1000m)
2:04pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Tabtouch-Better Your Bet-Rs0mw (1000m)
2:04pm (AEDT)

1. Tunk (7) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (57kg) T: B P Fitzgerald
464141413941
2. Awesome Chatter (2) J: Joseph Azzopardi (57kg) T: A G Durrant
1717171714.617
3. Civvy Street (8) J: Peter Knuckey (57kg) T: S & J Casey
232121212021
4. Divine Mercy (6) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (57kg) T: S J Wolfe
343431342834
5. Hootie Da Blowfish (9) J: Troy Turner (57kg) T: Joshua Mcleod
2121212119.821
6. Mountain Ash (11) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (57kg) T: A G Durrant
151414151214
7. Astrape (3) J: Chris Parnham (55kg) T: D L Morton
1.651.651.651.651.721.55
8. No Dice (13) J: Brad Parnham (55kg) T: Ms S Evans
1111101212.211
9. Oh Sophia (4) J: Jason Whiting (55kg) T: D R Harrison
1816141514.214
10. Gypsy Gee (10) J: Patrick Carbery (55kg) T: Ms R Nairn
66666.65
11. Wuhan Warrior (5) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (57kg) T: Hayden Ballantyne
12. Frosted Star (12) J: Steven Parnham (57kg) T: N D Parnham
13. Pilbara Song (1) J: Chris Graham (57kg) T: Brian Rogers

Odds Last Updated: June 23, 2021, 2:06pm (AEDT)

Surely, SURELY today is the day for (7) Astrape, though I’ve been saying that for a while now. She’s had absolutely no luck at all in recent starts and has been running some very admirable races. She finally comes up with a draw that should just allow Chris Parnham to settle her wherever she’s comfortable, rather than getting too far back or caught wide. Unfortunately, we’re not getting any sort of price about her today as the main danger failed to gain a run. If she drifts out to around even money on Betfair though, could be a late play.

Tip: (7) Astrape $1.65 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: No bet

190870

Race 3

Peninsula Dining Room Mdn (1200m)
2:39pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Peninsula Dining Room Mdn (1200m)
2:39pm (AEDT)

1. Choice Bid (4) J: Chris Parnham (58kg) T: N D Parnham
3.63.53.73.63.553.6
2. Celebrity Man (3) J: William Pike (58kg) T: G & A Williams
1.551.551.551.651.51.5
3. Traded Crown (5) J: Jordan Turner (58kg) T: G W Dupre
1515131415.214
4. Sir Rachelot (8) J: Unknown (58kg) T: Brett Pope
5. Steel's The Deel (2) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (58kg) T: C & M Gangemi
1314131512.813
6. Gilt Dragon (6) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (58kg) T: S J Wolfe
343131343534
7. Water Horse (7) J: Ms Holly Watson (56kg) T: A W Maley
8. Shoulder Strap (1) J: Peter Knuckey (56kg) T: S & J Casey
2726312629.526
9. Madam Trinity (11) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (56kg) T: Ivan Haggerty
716771717381
10. Hot Blooded (10) J: Jason Whiting (55.5kg) T: L P Luciani
2321212123.523
11. Music Machine (9) J: Ms Lisa Staples (58kg) T: Raquel Reid
414134344334

Odds Last Updated: June 23, 2021, 2:41pm (AEDT)

You’d be a brave man taking $1.45 for (2) Celebrity Man but he really should be winning a race like this. He’s gone down at $1.95, $1.95 and $1.35 so there’s no sane human who would be launching at his price today.

Tip: (2) Celebrity Man $1.45 Bet365

Betting Strategy: No bet

190870

Race 4

Amelia Park Mdn (1200m)
3:14pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Amelia Park Mdn (1200m)
3:14pm (AEDT)

1. Kill The Lights (3) J: Troy Turner (58kg) T: Brett Pope
88.5888.28.5
2. Dorado (12) J: Brad Parnham (58kg) T: H S Mclaren
516171677371
3. Comanche Chant (7) J: William Pike (58kg) T: R N Harvey Jnr
8.5887.58.48
4. Stylax (4) J: Joseph Azzopardi (58kg) T: F R Kersley
2.252.252.12.32.42.2
5. Meet Joe Black (5) J: Jason Brown (58kg) T: J P Taylor
676161716361
6. Ornamental Belle (6) J: Ms Chloe Azzopardi (56kg) T: Alistair Chegwidden
352626213526
7. Takemehometonight (2) J: Paul Harvey (56kg) T: J T Warwick
3.73.73.63.73.553.6
8. Just Peachy (11) J: Chris Parnham (56kg) T: Tameeka Brown
202019192021
9. Artienne (10) J: Jason Whiting (56kg) T: L P Luciani
71911019175101
10. She's A Sweet Deel (9) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (56kg) T: C & M Gangemi
7.57.57.57.56.97.5
11. Dance Of The South (1) J: Unknown (56kg) T: Greg Cave
12. Vitai Lampada (8) J: Craig Staples (58kg) T: M H Miller

Odds Last Updated: June 23, 2021, 3:16pm (AEDT)

Will be keeping this one pretty simple.

(4) Stylax returned with a terrific run at Pinjarra, coming from last to record the fastest final 400m and 200m of the entire meeting. He was beaten 4L but it was a big run to get that close. Blinkers go on for the first time today, draws low so should sit closer and will be very hard to beat.

(3) Comanche Chant debuted in a strong 3YO No-Metro-Wins race, which isn’t an easy starting point. He ran last there but his trials leading into that race were good and he gets Pike on today dropping back to a maiden.

(7) Takemehometonight was sound first up at Pinjarra and did beat home Comanche Chant in a trial before that. Has to be respected from the good draw.

Backing Stylax, saving Comanche Chant.

Tip: (4) Stylax $2.80 Unibet

Saver: (3) Comanche Chant $5.00 Unibet

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Stylax, 0.5 units WIN Comanche Chant

190870

Race 5

Byron Bay Premium Lager Hcp-C1 (1300m)
3:49pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Byron Bay Premium Lager Hcp-C1 (1300m)
3:49pm (AEDT)

1. Precautionary (7) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (59.5kg) T: F R Kersley
1011101210.610
2. Black Lightning (1) J: Laqdar Ramoly (58kg) T: D & B Pearce
1716151617.215
3. Dance Shoes (9) J: Patrick Carbery (58kg) T: Simon Miller
2726262627.526
4. Real Charisma (4) J: William Pike (58kg) T: G & A Williams
21.951.921.981.9
5. Saturn Black (2) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (58kg) T: Deborah Murphy
4.84.84.84.84.44.8
6. Western Rhythm (8) J: Brad Rawiller (57kg) T: Brock Lewthwaite
6.56666.36
7. Arracity (5) J: Brad Parnham (56kg) T: Brian Kersley
1818192119.818
8. Blonde Warrior (6) J: Chris Parnham (55.5kg) T: D L Morton
171818191717
9. Martarello (3) J: Ms Tyla Becker (55kg) T: Ms J Clements
414141414341

Odds Last Updated: June 23, 2021, 3:51pm (AEDT)

Open race this. (4) Real Charisma brings strong form upon her return to the races today. She ran into Hot Zed on debut, which is a very good form reference, then ran the fastest 400m in defeat second up before bolting in at Ascot third up. Returns on the back of a decent trial, draws well and should be hard to beat.

(5) Saturn Black was very heavily backed last start but the run was a bit hard to assess. Looked under a lot of pressure early in the straight and looked beaten, before picking up late and running onto heels. Prior to that was good first up after sitting wide. Senior jockey on today with a good draw, can go close.

(7) Arracity has ability but her last run was disappointing.

(6) Western Rhythm also has ability but there’s two versions of her. Has been well backed this morning which is a positive sign and has run 2nd in both starts when first up.

(8) Blonde Warrior makes its stable debut for Dan Morton and Chris Parnham goes straight on, so he’s also not hopeless at big odds.

Tip: (4) Real Charisma $2.15 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: No bet

190870

Race 6

Quayclean Hcp (C1) (1300m)
4:24pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Quayclean Hcp (C1) (1300m)
4:24pm (AEDT)

1. Ghobella (4) J: Keshaw Dhurun (59kg) T: Ms S Bakranich
666.56.56.86
2. Bread To Flirt (2) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (58kg) T: C & M Gangemi
87.57.5877.5
3. Gold Merits (6) J: Laqdar Ramoly (58kg) T: J P Taylor
65.54.866.15
4. Perfect Gem (7) J: William Pike (58kg) T: G & A Williams
54.655.54.754.4
5. Sketta (1) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (58kg) T: F R Kersley
2.52.62.452.42.52.6
6. Star Storm (5) J: Ms Holly Watson (58kg) T: Simon Miller
1111111211.211
7. Blue Horse (8) J: Chris Parnham (56.5kg) T: A W Maley
273126262734
8. Lady Hatras (3) J: Patrick Carbery (55.5kg) T: B M Smithall
101126101101131151
9. Validation (9) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (54kg) T: Kereena Crowe
126201151151201251

Odds Last Updated: June 23, 2021, 4:26pm (AEDT)

Not often I tip Fred Kersley runners, let alone two in one day, but (5) Sketta does look a good chance here. She ran the fastest final 400m of the meeting on debut back in December before going for a spell. She resumed with a sound win at Pinjarra, where she beat the likes of Short Talk, who came out and won last week. Gets barrier 1 here and will be hard to beat again.

(4) Perfect Gem didn’t get the greatest of luck last start but I’m not sure she would have won anyway.

(1) Ghobella resumes having trialled well recently. Has a win over Son Son which reads very well. Will be right in the finish.

Tip: (5) Sketta $3.50 Bet365

Saver: (1) Ghobella $5.00 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1.5 unit WIN Sketta, 0.5 units WIN Ghobella

190870

Race 7

Crown Towers Hcp (C1) (1300m)
5:00pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Crown Towers Hcp (C1) (1300m)
5:00pm (AEDT)

1. Empire Reign (3) J: Keshaw Dhurun (61.5kg) T: D L Morton
44444.154
2. Beau Zoom (1) J: Laqdar Ramoly (61kg) T: N D Parnham
8.5888.587.5
3. Comealilbitcloser (10) J: William Pike (60.5kg) T: L P Luciani
10991099
4. Sentimental Hero (7) J: Jett Stanley (60.5kg) T: G & A Williams
3.33.33.33.33.23.1
5. Apache Patrol (6) J: Brad Parnham (60kg) T: S J Miller
119.510109.410
6. Ginger Mack (13) J: Troy Turner (60kg) T: Greg Cave
343131313534
7. Regal City (5) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (60kg) T: A W Maley
3126312628.531
8. Rosso Tempesta (2) J: Paul Harvey (60kg) T: T R Harvey
2021212118.823
9. Saigon Sizzler (11) J: Chris Parnham (60kg) T: Brett Pope
101011108.710
10. Rock Hard Omaru (4) J: Brad Rawiller (59kg) T: Kirsten Melis
887.57.58.67.5
11. Surrender Talks (9) J: Unknown (59kg) T: L P Luciani
12. Yankee Lima (8) J: Ms Lisa Staples (57kg) T: Rhys Radford
13. Doctor On Ice (12) J: Unknown (54kg) T: R G Brown

Odds Last Updated: June 23, 2021, 5:01pm (AEDT)

This race has given me a headache.

(4) Sentimental Hero won on debut like he was the next Arcadia Queen, and then failed to go on with it in his next three starts. He resumes from a spell today with two trials under the belt – the first one has no vision available and the second one was pretty good. I thought he picked up well when Pike gave him one on the backside. Big question mark today is putting the 3kg claimer on in a race where every horse carries between 59-61.5kg. It makes him get in with the lightest weight in the field and if he reproduced what he did on debut, he’d be winning. The market support is there to suggest he will too, as he’s been $6 into $3 since markets opened.

Outside of him, I could make a good case for a few others. (2) Beau Zoom has had more chances than he deserves but he drops back to a midweek Class 1 now with Laqdar Ramoly booked. He ran 3rd in a similar race five starts back.

(3) Comealilbitcloser was sound first up and should improve. He doesn’t win out of turn but Pike sticks and if he can overcome the wide draw, he’ll be in the finish.

(10) Rock Hard Omaru sat three-wide the trip at his first start for the new stable and wasn’t beaten far. Can run well today from a good draw.

Will play equal stakes on Comealilbitcloser, Beau Zoom and Sentimental Hero to cover bases.

Tip: (3) Comealilbitcloser $9.00 Bet365

Also Backing: (2) Beau Zoom $9.50 Ladbrokes

Saver: (4) Sentimental Hero $3.00 Unibet

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Comealilbitcloser, 0.5 units WIN Beau Zoom, 0.5 units WIN Sentimental Hero

190870

Race 8

Mrs Macs Hcp (C3) (2200m)
5:35pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Mrs Macs Hcp (C3) (2200m)
5:35pm (AEDT)

1. Al Mahalo (7) J: Troy Turner (60kg) T: C H Webster
6.56.56.56.56.16
2. Luke's Choice (8) J: Keshaw Dhurun (60kg) T: Jarrad Noske
887.57.58.18
3. Trade Thunder (10) J: Mitchell Pateman (59.5kg) T: Tiarnna Robertson
88888.18
4. Aragain (9) J: Brad Parnham (59kg) T: D L Morton
3.53.43.33.43.253.2
5. Gee Force (3) J: William Pike (59kg) T: J F Miller
1413121311.413
6. Baronova (1) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (58kg) T: J T Warwick
65.55.555.95.5
7. Miss Dominican (4) J: Joseph Azzopardi (58kg) T: F R Kersley
1616171615.217
8. Pearls From Heaven (2) J: Peter Knuckey (58kg) T: C H Webster
464151414341
9. Showaddywaddy (5) J: Brad Rawiller (57kg) T: D L Morton
87.57.58.57.97.5
10. Juliette (14) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (56.5kg) T: J T Warwick
1515151515.416
11. Unending (12) J: Jordan Turner (56.5kg) T: C H Webster
12. Choose Freedom (6) J: Ryan Hill (58kg) T: Jade Tangaroa
13. Fairdelicious (13) J: Patrick Carbery (55.5kg) T: B M Smithall
14. King Of Judah (11) J: Unknown (54.5kg) T: Summer Dickson

Odds Last Updated: June 23, 2021, 5:36pm (AEDT)

(4) Aragain drops back to a very suitable race today. She’s raced in harder races than this her past two starts and she didn’t have much luck in her first two starts of the prep. Has had the run over this distance last start, back in class, should go forward from the gate and be hard to run down.

(6) Baranova has won her past two which have been over similar distances and comes up with the inside draw.

(1) Al Mahalo steps up in distance now after consecutive placings and gets conditions to suit.

On best form, (8) Pearls From Heaven would give this a real shake but she’s been dreadful her past two starts.

Tip: (4) Aragain $3.80 Bet365

Betting Strategy: No bet

190870

Race 9

All Flags Signs (Rs0ly) (1700m)
6:10pm (AEDT)

Race 9

All Flags Signs (Rs0ly) (1700m)
6:10pm (AEDT)

1. Elafella (6) J: William Pike (59.5kg) T: L Smith
4.64.244.43.553.7
2. Dad's Bigheaded (2) J: Ryan Hill (59kg) T: Fenella Martin
1211111210.210
3. Tradem' In (9) J: Ms Kate Southam (58.5kg) T: T R Harvey
4.24.244.43.754
4. Truly Reliable (8) J: Ms Shelby Bowtell (58.5kg) T: Raymond Vincent
232121212526
5. Chaluke (1) J: Unknown (58kg) T: Brett Pope
6. Free Solo (7) J: Brad Parnham (58kg) T: S J Miller
4.244.244.654.2
7. Sunsphere (4) J: Chris Parnham (58kg) T: A G Durrant
66666.46.5
8. Adore Me (3) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (57kg) T: A G Durrant
7.57.5778.27.5
9. Fletcher Road (11) J: Jason Whiting (56kg) T: R C Mcpherson
414141414041
10. Mightiness (5) J: Patrick Carbery (56kg) T: A G Durrant
313134313034
11. Spring To Life (10) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (54.5kg) T: Luke Fernie
354151414361

Odds Last Updated: June 23, 2021, 6:11pm (AEDT)

Happy to oppose (1) Elafella here, who won last start thanks largely to being on the fast lane on the inside.

(3) Tradem’ In should have bolted in last start but was held up horribly in the straight and got out when it was all over. Awkward draw today and they stick with the apprentice which is the query.

(6) Free Solo broke through for a deserved win last start and now he’s won one, he might be able to go on with it. Stepping up in distance should suit him.

(7) Sunsphere came from a long way off them to get up in the final stride last start. He actually beat Free Solo in that race and ran a fastest final 400m than him, but Free Solo was getting warm through the line. He was only first up there and gets up in distance now, which should also suit him.

Tip: (6) Free Solo $4.40 TAB

Value: (7) Sunsphere $11 TopSport

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Free Solo, 0.5 units WIN Sunsphere

190870

Race 10

Cool Ridge (Rs0ly) (1700m)
6:47pm (AEDT)

Race 10

Cool Ridge (Rs0ly) (1700m)
6:47pm (AEDT)

1. Salon Du Cheval (6) J: Ms Holly Watson (61.5kg) T: N Parker
343451413441
2. Said No One Ever (4) J: Chris Parnham (59kg) T: D L Morton
1.851.851.81.91.81.8
3. Cuban Twist (11) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (58.5kg) T: D M Luciani
6.56.56.56.566
4. Bollinger Boy (8) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (57.5kg) T: A G Durrant
121213131213
5. Overthought (5) J: Ryan Hill (57kg) T: Fenella Martin
192021212021
6. Street Fair (2) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (56kg) T: Brett Pope
666.5666
7. San Crispino (7) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (55.5kg) T: Ms S L Miller
141415141414
8. Conquered Zone (9) J: Jett Stanley (55kg) T: G & A Williams
272631262626
9. One Point Lady (1) J: Steven Parnham (54kg) T: C R Green
10. Stockyard Gossip (12) J: Ms Chloe Azzopardi (54kg) T: Ivan Haggerty
202121212121
11. Interstate (3) J: Unknown (54.5kg) T: N D Parnham
313434343441
12. Al Magico (10) J: Unknown (54kg) T: J M Bowtell

Odds Last Updated: June 23, 2021, 6:51pm (AEDT)

I think (2) Said No One Ever is the best bet on the card by some distance. Won three starts back, copped an awful run two starts ago, but destroyed his rivals last start when he got the best ride he’s had this prep. Chris Parnham sticks with today, gets the same barrier draw, and if he gets the same run as he did last start, there’s no reason he can’t win again.

(3) Cuban Twist is likely to come across from the wide gate to take up a position on speed. Keeps running well and looks the logical danger to the favourite.

(4) Bollinger Boy is ready to win at his third run back now. Has been good in his two starts back from a spell and the horse that beat him last start has since won again.

Tip: (2) Said No One Ever $2.45 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 3 units WIN Said No One Ever

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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