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Belmont Racing Tips: Wednesday, November 17th

Tim Geers previews Wednesday’s nine-race card at Belmont in the west.

belmont racing tips

Midweek racing continues at Belmont in WA on Wednesday, with a nine-race card set to begin at 12.49pm AWST.

After a few hot days in Perth, the track is rated a Good 4 with the rail in the 6m position. We saw Ascot play very quick and firm on Saturday and we could get the same here, with runners on pace likely to be favoured.

Tim Geers has previewed all nine races on the card below with his tips and best bets.

Best Bet: Race 6 – (2) Go Forward (save War Warrior)

Best Value: Race 9 – (5) Savvy Dan

TAB Play Central

202819

Race 1

Budget Car & Truck Rental Mdn (1000m)
3:49pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Budget Car & Truck Rental Mdn (1000m)
3:49pm (AEDT)

1. Man Crush (6) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (57kg) T: Luke Fernie
1.81.952.12.12.1
2. Turkish Lad (3) J: Ms Holly Watson (57kg) T: M Santich
31262620.526
3. Smile Alot (2) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (55kg) T: Ms J Mitchell
2726212523
4. Costume Party (7) J: Chris Parnham (55kg) T: Luke Fernie
5.554.64.354.6
5. Elite Impact (1) J: Laqdar Ramoly (55kg) T: M Santich
31262620.526
6. Itsatrap (4) J: Brad Parnham (55kg) T: D M Luciani
5.5554.85
7. Vampi At Play (5) J: Steven Parnham (55kg) T: N D Parnham
54.64.24.554.2

The small field has been further decimated by scratchings, leaving just four runners for the two-year-old race.

(4) Costume Party goes on top after a decent trial behind Itsatrap, which should be good enough to win this race. I don’t think it’s a superstar but he won’t have to be here.

No point getting involved at $1.50.

Tip: (4) Costume Party $1.50 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: No bet

202819

Race 2

Ascend Sales Trophies-Rs0mwly (1000m)
4:24pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Ascend Sales Trophies-Rs0mwly (1000m)
4:24pm (AEDT)

1. Wuhan Warrior (4) J: Ms Holly Watson (59.5kg) T: Hayden Ballantyne
1.851.91.951.881.95
2. Dynamite Grey (2) J: Laqdar Ramoly (57kg) T: M Santich
20181715.217
3. Have A Go Beau (8) J: Keshaw Dhurun (57kg) T: Coreen Maynard
6767614761
4. Rockin' Rupert (6) J: Peter Knuckey (57kg) T: S & J Casey
2.12.051.952.151.95
5. Townsville (1) J: Shaun O'donnell (57kg) T: Ms J Erkelens
4641413341
6. Story Book (5) J: Joseph Azzopardi (56kg) T: T M Andrews
910129.512
7. Extorio (7) J: Taj Dyson (54kg) T: M Santich
3534313031
8. Tipsy Angel (3) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (54kg) T: Ms J Mitchell
8181717371

(1) Wuhan Warrior has the race experience on his side and returns to the track today after three months off. He bolted in by 6L when allowed to lead and dictate, and then was worn down late by the promising Trix Of The Trade. He should find the rail and the experience might get him over the line.

(4) Rockin’ Rupert won his recent trial by 6L and that was the second-quickest time of the day. He looks full of speed but he might have to settle outside Wuhan Warrior today. He doesn’t have race experience on his side so that might be the telling factor.

Tip: (1) Wuhan Warrior $2.05 Bet365

Betting Strategy: No bet

202819

Race 3

The Tabtouch Masters Mdn (1200m)
4:59pm (AEDT)

Race 3

The Tabtouch Masters Mdn (1200m)
4:59pm (AEDT)

1. Miami City (2) J: Ms Kate Witten (58kg) T: Brett Pope
3131342434
2. Noble Scot (6) J: Ms Holly Watson (58kg) T: Ms P Kenney
16171813.818
3. Ivonic (9) J: Steven Parnham (58kg) T: C R Green
201301201191251
4. Gilt Dragon (1) J: Brad Parnham (58kg) T: Aaron Pateman
819110191101
5. Acefire (7) J: William Pike (56kg) T: Roy Rogers
2.0521.9521.95
6. Hola Marea (11) J: Jordan Turner (56kg) T: S & J Casey
4.655.555.5
7. My Boy Eddy (10) J: Patrick Carbery (56kg) T: A D Mathews
1098.510.28.5
8. City Of Sin (4) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (56kg) T: Tiarnna Robertson
2326262026
9. Manhattan Demon (8) J: Chris Parnham (56kg) T: Luke Fernie
8.58.597.39
10. Glacier Miss (3) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (54kg) T: D R Harrison
8888.18
11. Private Scene (5) J: Joseph Azzopardi (54kg) T: D T Mcauliffe
14161815.618

The RacingBet Premium Discord group are well-positioned for this race with early bets on Acefire at $2.10 and Hola Marea at $9.00, which are now $2.00 and $4.40.

(5) Acefire ran last in the Belgravia Stakes first up before dropping back to a midweek maiden with a 3kg apprentice. Sat wide throughout and still hit the line well to run 3rd. Now turns up in a similar race six days later with Pike on and looks the horse to beat.

(6) Hola Marea trialled well before debuting in a 3YO Graduation Handicap on debut. The rail was on fire that day so having to come three and four-wide around the turn wasn’t the best place to be. Wasn’t beaten far and now drops back to a midweek maiden, should go very close.

Hard to put a betting strategy here with the group locked in at early prices.

Tip: (5) Acefire $2.00 TAB

202819

Race 4

Crown Perth Mdn (1200m)
5:38pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Crown Perth Mdn (1200m)
5:38pm (AEDT)

1. Count Grundy (1) J: Brad Rawiller (58kg) T: R W Price
2026312031
2. Colour Me Son (11) J: Shaun O'donnell (58kg) T: C R Green
4141513151
3. Darn Noble (4) J: Jason Whiting (58kg) T: Ms S L Miller
31262620.526
4. My Friend Ken (9) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (58kg) T: B S Seinor
2026342434
5. Cold Shizzle (5) J: Chris Parnham (56kg) T: D T Mcauliffe
2.42.352.22.32.3
6. Roey Clam (8) J: Joseph Azzopardi (56kg) T: A W Maley
31262628.526
7. Carlin Road (2) J: Laqdar Ramoly (56kg) T: Indianna Weinert
7191101111101
8. Border Force (6) J: Jordan Turner (56kg) T: S & J Casey
1011121012
9. Cocobomo (3) J: Brad Parnham (56kg) T: Martin Allan
12121210.212
10. Too Much Talk (10) J: Troy Turner (56kg) T: Jarrad Humphries
26262621.526
11. Beauty In Me (7) J: William Pike (54kg) T: J F Miller
2.32.252.152.42.15

(11) Beauty In Me opened $1.80 and is now out to $2.70, which is a backable price I think. Drew wide and went back on debut behind the promising Thomas Magnum, which is a horse I have a bit of time for. Pike sticks today and although likely to be back in the field again, I think he can win this.

(5) Cold Shizzle is the horse the market has really come for, $2.60 into $2.00. Ran placings behind Ponyo and Ain’t No Other Man last prep before finishing 4th at $1.90 last time we saw him. Returns with two trials under the belt, Parnham goes on and will obviously take some beating.

(4) My Friend Ken and (1) Count Grundy can be included.

Tip: (11) Beauty In Me $2.80 TopSport

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Beauty In Me

202819

Race 5

Tabtouch Better Your Bet (C1) (1000m)
6:15pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Tabtouch Better Your Bet (C1) (1000m)
6:15pm (AEDT)

1. Astrape (3) J: Keshaw Dhurun (59.5kg) T: D L Morton
2.32.352.42.452.4
2. Paeroa Lad (2) J: Laqdar Ramoly (59.5kg) T: M W Bairstow
18192116.621
3. Crypto Queen (7) J: Brad Parnham (59kg) T: Brian Kersley
3.83.63.33.63.3
4. Eliminate (8) J: Chris Parnham (58.5kg) T: N D Parnham
6.56.56.55.66.5
5. Imprudent (4) J: Joseph Azzopardi (58.5kg) T: B R Larsson
3131343534
6. Let's Cut Loose (1) J: William Pike (58kg) T: Simon Miller
5.55555
7. Saturn Black (6) J: Jason Whiting (58kg) T: Deborah Murphy
18171614.216
8. Wednesday (5) J: Shaun O'donnell (57kg) T: C R Green
16161714.417

(1) Astrape is very well placed here. Just found Sparkling Blue a touch too strong first up in a 3YO No Metro Wins race and now drops back to a Class 1 on a Wednesday. Has never finished worse than 4th in eight starts, including seven placings. Gets in very well with the 3kg claim and Dan Morton’s stable is running red-hot at present.

(3) Crypto Queen trialled very well but ran up to the drift first up. Can improve and does have four 2nds from five starts at the track and distance.

(7) Saturn Black ran 3rd after sitting wide behind the likes of Crypto Queen first up last preparation. Shouldn’t be $18 here with Crypto Queen $3.50.

Tip: (1) Astrape $2.60 Bet365

Value: (7) Saturn Black $18 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Astrape, 0.25 units WIN Saturn Black

202819

Race 6

Free Entry To Belmont Park-C3 (1200m)
6:50pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Free Entry To Belmont Park-C3 (1200m)
6:50pm (AEDT)

1. Standout Rose (11) J: Ms Holly Watson (60.5kg) T: B V Watkins
88.5989
2. Go Forward (10) J: Brad Parnham (59.5kg) T: C & M Gangemi
4.2443.94
3. War Warrior (6) J: Brad Rawiller (59.5kg) T: D L Morton
54.64.24.754.2
4. Airlie Queen (1) J: William Pike (58.5kg) T: G & A Williams
4.64.64.844.8
5. Captain Burglar (8) J: Chris Parnham (58.5kg) T: N D Parnham
3541413041
6. Enticing (5) J: Laqdar Ramoly (58kg) T: J P Taylor
23263120.531
7. Lucky Heart (3) J: Peter Knuckey (57kg) T: Tracey Diederich
2321212121
8. Looks Like Magic (9) J: Shaun O'donnell (56.5kg) T: B H Hyde
4141414341
9. Magic Of Zeus (7) J: Joseph Azzopardi (56kg) T: D & B Pearce
91126101121126
10. Sniparoochy (4) J: Jason Brown (56kg) T: S J Miller
33.13.13.353.1
11. The Finest (2) J: Unknown (54kg) T: R C Mcpherson

Pretty keen to follow up on (2) Go Forward here after his first two runs this prep. First up ran 3rd behind Triple Missile on a Saturday, then bolted in by 3.5L over 1100m last start. Draws wide and will get back again, and has to carry 59.5kg, but the stable are deadset airborne and I think he can handle the step up in class.

(3) War Warrior won well enough first up over track and distance first up. Dan Morton’s stable is another that is flying and the horse is sure to be thereabouts again from the decent draw. Happy to save on him.

(4) Airlie Queen will be better suited with the inside draw today compared to the wide draw last time out.

Happy to oppose (10) Sniparoochy who hasn’t done a whole lot wrong, but I think the jury is out.

Tip: (2) Go Forward $3.40 Bet365

Saver: (3) War Warrior $5.00 BoomBet

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Go Forward, 0.5 units WIN War Warrior

202819

Race 7

Amelia Park Hcp (C1) (1300m)
7:25pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Amelia Park Hcp (C1) (1300m)
7:25pm (AEDT)

1. Benji's (3) J: Steven Parnham (60.5kg) T: C R Green
1212139.813
2. Comealilbitcloser (2) J: Chris Parnham (59.5kg) T: L P Luciani
31262620.526
3. Magic To Exceed (7) J: Laqdar Ramoly (59kg) T: S & J Casey
3.43.73.93.653.9
4. Westriver Miracle (6) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (59kg) T: Ms A King
987.59.17.5
5. Memorable Miss (4) J: William Pike (58.5kg) T: G & A Williams
3.53.43.23.353.2
6. Above The Peg (5) J: Joseph Azzopardi (58kg) T: Simon Miller
9.59.5109.110
7. Dais (12) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (58kg) T: D & B Pearce
9.59.5108.410
8. Magnificent Andy (8) J: Brad Parnham (58kg) T: S J Miller
4.84.84.84.854.8
9. Man Of The Hour (9) J: Brad Rawiller (58kg) T: D L Morton
10. Canto De Guerra (10) J: Ms Shelby Bowtell (55.5kg) T: Raymond Vincent
4141413141
11. Global Ruler (1) J: Shaun O'donnell (54kg) T: Andrew Dickson
126151151101151
12. Merivale Magic (11) J: Ms Holly Watson (54kg) T: B H Hyde
6781817181

Good little race this.

(1) Benji’s went around in races like the Raconteur and Belmont Guineas last preparation, and his trial leading into today was very good. Draws well in barrier 3 here and might run a race at double figure odds.

(3) Magic To Exceed resumed with a 3rd placing behind Sparking Blue and Astrape. If Astrape comes out and wins earlier in the meeting it will be a great sign for the form.

(4) Westriver Miracle was one of the runs of the day first up over 1400m here at Belmont. Settled well back in the field and flew home to run 3rd. I’ve always had an opinion of this horse and his trial a couple of months ago was enormous. Big query dropping back to 1300m and stepping up to a Class 1 as a maiden though.

Hard to knock (7) Dais.

Tip: (1) Benji's $8.50 Bet365

Betting Strategy: No bet

202819

Race 8

Heineken 3 Hcp (C3) (1600m)
8:05pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Heineken 3 Hcp (C3) (1600m)
8:05pm (AEDT)

1. Inflation (10) J: Ms Holly Watson (61kg) T: Mitchell Pateman
7.5776.77
2. Off Wego (7) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (59.5kg) T: A G Durrant
7.588.58.58.5
3. Stellar Vista (2) J: Patrick Carbery (57.5kg) T: Simon Miller
3.73.73.73.33.7
4. Special Picture (6) J: Ms Shelby Bowtell (57kg) T: Raymond Vincent
87.578.17
5. Pray Again (1) J: Brad Parnham (56kg) T: N D Parnham
4.24.44.63.94.6
6. Holyoake (3) J: Chris Parnham (55.5kg) T: Brett Pope
13131313.213
7. Main Engine (5) J: Joseph Azzopardi (55.5kg) T: T M Andrews
109.59.510.29.5
8. Costa Zou (4) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (55kg) T: Joshua Krispyn
4141413741
9. Champagne Gal (9) J: Troy Turner (54kg) T: Ms C Stelmach
109.5910.29
10. Master Moore (8) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (54kg) T: Rhys Radford
31313424.534
11. Missalfie (11) J: Ms Fiona Bell (54kg) T: W J Bradshaw
3434343534

(2) Off Wego resumed with a 3rd placing at Geraldton, coming from back in the field and working home well. Won his only start over this track and distance and rates highly with CJP aboard.

(5) Pray Again landed very good bets here last start and draws barrier 1 for a charmed run. Goes close again.

(11) Missalfie was held up the entire straight first up at Northam and the tactics were deservedly queried. No surprise to see a good run at big odds here.

(1) Inflation was a good run first up.

Tip: (2) Off Wego $5.00 Bet365

Betting Strategy: No bet

202819

Race 9

Drummond Golf (Rs0mwly) (2200m)
8:42pm (AEDT)

Race 9

Drummond Golf (Rs0mwly) (2200m)
8:42pm (AEDT)

1. Miracle Man (8) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (61kg) T: Jordan Rolfe
18181818.218
2. Crezee (12) J: Jett Stanley (57.5kg) T: H S Mclaren
17192118.421
3. Vintage Stock (7) J: Patrick Carbery (56.5kg) T: A D Mathews
4.64.64.84.84.8
4. Brother Paddy (11) J: Laqdar Ramoly (56kg) T: Coreen Maynard
11101010.610
5. Savvy Dan (5) J: Chris Parnham (55.5kg) T: D L Morton
1212131013
6. Al Di La (9) J: Jason Brown (55kg) T: P W Mcleod
1717181418
7. Antique Jewel (4) J: William Pike (55kg) T: A G Durrant
2.352.452.52.352.5
8. Dance Of The South (3) J: Shaun O'donnell (54kg) T: Greg Cave
13121111.811
9. Dancing Jack (1) J: Joseph Azzopardi (54kg) T: Anthony Oram
8.57.578.37
10. Frequent Friar (2) J: Steven Parnham (54kg) T: Hayden Ballantyne
3131342434
11. Praying With God (6) J: Troy Turner (54kg) T: Ms S L Miller
21212121.521
12. The Woolsack (10) J: Keshaw Dhurun (54kg) T: Brian Carey
12615115191151

(5) Savvy Dan looks suited here at double figure odds for the in-form Dan Morton and Chris Parnham combination. Has run over 1400m and 1600m this preparation and although he hasn’t done much, he performed similarly last preparation before really coming good when he got up to this distance. It was third up over 2200m that he broke his maiden at Northam, so today looks a good set up for him to run well.

(7) Antique Jewel won a Class 1 over this track and distance last start and now steps up to a No Metro Win race with a plum draw. Goes close again.

(8) Dance Of The South comes out of that same race as Antique Jewel, where she ran 3rd. Draws well and will stay all day.

Tip: (5) Savvy Dan E/W $11/$3.30 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units E/W Savvy Dan

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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