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Belmont Racing Tips: Wednesday, September 8th

Tim Geers previews the seven-race card at Belmont today with his analysis, tips and best bets below.

belmont racing tips

Belmont hosts seven races for midweek racing today, with the first set to jump at 1.49pm AWST.

The track has dried out to be a Good 4, courtesy of some warm weather in the West in recent days, while the rail moves out 13m for the entire circuit.

Tim Geers has previewed the meeting below with his analysis and racing tips for every race.

His best bet comes up in Race 6 and his best value bet goes around in Race 5.

Login and scroll down or create a free RacingBet account to access the full preview!

Best Bet: Race 6 – (1) Standout Rose

Best Value: Race 5 – (3) Jarman

TAB Sky Racing

197170

Race 1

Free Entry To Belmont Park Mdn (2100m)
3:49pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Free Entry To Belmont Park Mdn (2100m)
3:49pm (AEDT)

1. Rocaroyale (7) J: Laqdar Ramoly (58kg) T: Anthony Oram
98.58.58.58.38.5
2. Kebalah (3) J: Ms Tyla Becker (58kg) T: B S Seinor
251201101101201151
3. Bentley Beau (10) J: Peter Knuckey (58kg) T: Tiarnna Robertson
665.5665.5
4. Hear Me (5) J: William Pike (58kg) T: Luke Fernie
3.33.23.13.23.23.1
5. Ripon Falls (6) J: Joseph Azzopardi (58kg) T: Brian Carey
1717151517.216
6. Egg White (2) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (58kg) T: A G Durrant
2121191817.821
7. Just Jerry (8) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (58kg) T: Brett Pope
887.5877.5
8. Northern Link (1) J: Brad Rawiller (58kg) T: Brett Pope
9. Xcavate (9) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (56kg) T: C G Willis
1717161616.617
10. Feuding (4) J: Chris Parnham (55.5kg) T: D T Mcauliffe
3.23.23.23.33.253.2

Odds Last Updated: September 8, 2021, 3:51pm (AEDT)

Simply a race that is impossible to bet in to open the meeting – a maiden over 2100m.

(4) Hear Me jumped from 1400m to 2200m last start and very nearly stole it. Sure to strip fitter with that run under the belt but there’s big concerns over the strength of that form.

(10) Feuding probably comes out of the best form race behind Celevacci and Via Monte and gets up to this distance for the first time. Uncertain as to whether he’s desperate for this distance but should be competitive off his last run.

(3) Bentley Beau and (7) Just Jerry come out of the same race. The former has run four consecutive 2nd placings, while the latter looks to be suited getting up to this trip today.

We saw significant improvement from (5) Ripon Falls second up last prep when he got to this sort of distance and it would be no surprise to see similar today at knockout odds.

Keep your powder dry.

Tip: (5) Ripon Falls E/W $17 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: No bet

197170

Race 2

Tabtouch - Better Your Bet-C1 (1000m)
4:24pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Tabtouch - Better Your Bet-C1 (1000m)
4:24pm (AEDT)

1. Rain God (1) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (60kg) T: A G Durrant
2.352.32.32.32.352.4
2. Choice Bid (3) J: Chris Parnham (59.5kg) T: N D Parnham
4.44.44.24.24.44.4
3. My Hidden Journey (2) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (59kg) T: John Doyle
1110111211.411
4. Under The Radar (7) J: Ms Chloe Azzopardi (57.5kg) T: D T Mcauliffe
1210111614.210
5. Nobellity (6) J: Taj Dyson (56.5kg) T: M Santich
1313141413.813
6. Eye Of The Day (8) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (56kg) T: Sue Olive
7.588.576.77.5
7. Sumusu (5) J: William Pike (56kg) T: L Smith
77.57.586.87.5
8. Global Ruler (4) J: Shaun O'donnell (54.5kg) T: Andrew Dickson
413434344341

Odds Last Updated: September 8, 2021, 4:26pm (AEDT)

The favourite (1) Rain God should prove hard to beat here. He won on debut before bumping into the likes of Panzdown at his second start, which has proven to be exceptionally good form. The stable is going super at the minute and you’d expect him to be the one they have to beat first up today.

I do think the $8 about (7) Sumusu is appealing with William Pike booked for Lindsey Smith. This horse had unfavourable conditions last start with the wet track but the form out of that race has stood up, with Special View since winning in Saturday grade. Back on firm ground is a major tick – she’s placed in eight of her 11 starts on the surface – and back to 1000m off an eight-week freshen is always worth taking note of with this stable.

Tip: (7) Sumusu $8.00 TopSport

Saver: (1) Rain God $2.30 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Sumusu, 0.5 units WIN Rain God

197170

Race 3

Amelia Park Lodge (Rs0ly) (1000m)
4:59pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Amelia Park Lodge (Rs0ly) (1000m)
4:59pm (AEDT)

1. Diamond Blue (6) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (60kg) T: E A Martinovich
111110121010
2. Marzipan Lad (1) J: Peter Knuckey (60kg) T: S & J Casey
3. War Gem (8) J: Steven Parnham (60kg) T: N D Parnham
4. Bitofmerit (10) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (59kg) T: Michael Campbell
4444.24.154
5. Mahaleo (9) J: William Pike (59kg) T: F R Kersley
554.84.85.35
6. Pale Rider (4) J: Mitchell Pateman (59kg) T: E A Martinovich
1514131514.213
7. Buzzoom (5) J: Chris Parnham (58.5kg) T: D L Morton
2.62.62.52.52.552.5
8. Champagne Dame (7) J: Ms Chloe Azzopardi (57kg) T: D T Mcauliffe
88.5887.88.5
9. Night Shift (3) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (57kg) T: Ms R L Williams
272621262323
10. Reel Safe (2) J: Joseph Azzopardi (57kg) T: D & B Pearce
2726263122.523

Odds Last Updated: September 8, 2021, 5:01pm (AEDT)

This is actually a very hot race for a midweek at Belmont.

(7) Buzzoom resumes with Chris Parnham booked for Dan Morton today on the back of one trial. Won very stylishly on debut over 1200m before failing in two subsequent runs. Resumes over 1000m today which is some query and at the shorts in a race like this I’ll be happy to sit out.

(5) Mahaleo was OK on debut over 1400m and has been back to the trials. Went very well in its trial and gets Pike sticking with today. Drops back to 1000m which is an odd set up but should be competitive.

(4) Bitofmerit has trialled enormously, jumping to the front in its two outings and coasting home. Does find a very strong race to contest on debut which is the query but they don’t trial much better.

(8) Champagne Dame has won four of its five trials leading into debut but again, might bump into some smart ones.

Tip: (4) Bitofmerit $4.00 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Bitofmerit

197170

Race 4

Heineken 3 Hcp (C1) (1400m)
5:35pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Heineken 3 Hcp (C1) (1400m)
5:35pm (AEDT)

1. Scorpion Stormz (1) J: Chris Parnham (60.5kg) T: Joshua Krispyn
2.72.72.732.852.6
2. Precautionary (9) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (59kg) T: F R Kersley
8.58.59998.5
3. Trade Master (8) J: Joseph Azzopardi (59kg) T: E A Martinovich
272621212326
4. Tumivet (6) J: Ryan Hill (58.5kg) T: Martin Allan
65.555.55.35.5
5. Dream Evil (7) J: Jordan Turner (57.5kg) T: G W Dupre
1515161613.415
6. Gallant Ranger (2) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (57.5kg) T: M L Lane
8.58887.78
7. Reguardless (10) J: William Pike (57.5kg) T: Ms P Kenney
554.84.84.755
8. Domineer (3) J: Brad Parnham (56kg) T: N D Parnham
1415161614.815
9. Port Beach (5) J: Taj Dyson (55kg) T: F R Kersley
272621262626
10. Vengeance Of War (4) J: Jett Stanley (54kg) T: Ms J Mclaughlin
10110110110185101

Odds Last Updated: September 8, 2021, 5:36pm (AEDT)

I think today is the day for (1) Scorpion Stormz who is knocking on the door for his second career win. He was good first up in a Graduation Handicap in Saturday grade before going down narrowly in a Class 3 last start. Drops back to a Class 1 today, draws the inside, Chris Parnham sticks and he’s up to 1400m so he ticks plenty of boxes.

(2) Precautionary ran well over this track and distance last start behind General Grant, who has since come out and won a Saturday race.

Pike goes on (7) Reguardless first up which catches the eye, while (9) Port Beach could be a complete blowout chance.

Tip: (1) Scorpion Stormz $2.50 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Scorpion Stormz

197170

Race 5

Western Racepix Hcp (C3) (1200m)
6:10pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Western Racepix Hcp (C3) (1200m)
6:10pm (AEDT)

1. To Rise Again (10) J: Troy Turner (60kg) T: C H Webster
76.5776.96.5
2. Sun Chacen (4) J: Joseph Azzopardi (59.5kg) T: B P Fitzgerald
9.599.5109.99
3. Jarman (6) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (59kg) T: G P Jones
3.83.83.83.83.93.8
4. Katona (5) J: Patrick Carbery (59kg) T: R G Turrell Jnr
9.59.599.599.5
5. King Cruzer (3) J: Shaun O'donnell (59kg) T: Ms J Erkelens
1110111110.410
6. The Republican (7) J: Brad Rawiller (59kg) T: D F Wilson
6.56.566.56.46
7. Powerful (8) J: Steven Parnham (57.5kg) T: N D Parnham
999.598.89
8. Saturday Sun (1) J: Paul Harvey (57.5kg) T: D R Harrison
5.55.5555.25.5
9. Richardson (2) J: Jason Whiting (57kg) T: G L Carige
414141513641
10. Rexford (9) J: Peter Knuckey (55kg) T: Ms R Lockwood
516161716551

Odds Last Updated: September 8, 2021, 6:11pm (AEDT)

(3) Jarman looks a good each way bet here at $6.50. He was huge in defeat first up at Pinjarra when coming from near last on the rail to be beaten 0.25L. He then went to Northam where he probably should have won but was held up the majority of the straight. Third up, up to 1200m and back on firm ground all suit. Just needs clear air and hopefully isn’t left with too much ground to make up.

(7) Powerful is an out-and-out dry tracker and improved as expected last start. Can run well again.

Paul Harvey goes back on (8) Saturday Sun so no surprise to see improvement from him too.

Tip: (3) Jarman E/W $6.50/$2.25 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1 unit E/W Jarman

197170

Race 6

Peninsula Dining Room Hcp (C3) (1200m)
6:45pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Peninsula Dining Room Hcp (C3) (1200m)
6:45pm (AEDT)

1. Standout Rose (6) J: Jason Whiting (59kg) T: B V Watkins
3.9444.244
2. Starlift (5) J: William Pike (59kg) T: Ms P Kenney
3.83.93.83.93.753.8
3. Agent Kensington (1) J: Paul Harvey (58.5kg) T: L P Luciani
3.43.33.33.53.33.3
4. Arracity (12) J: Brad Parnham (58.5kg) T: Brian Kersley
1816161618.216
5. Excelestial (8) J: Patrick Carbery (58.5kg) T: H S Mclaren
131211121312
6. Igarashi (4) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (58.5kg) T: D T Mcauliffe
312626312626
7. Looks Like Magic (2) J: Shaun O'donnell (57.5kg) T: B H Hyde
151514141515
8. Military Beat (7) J: Chris Parnham (55.5kg) T: N D Parnham
273134343034
9. Advocator (3) J: Taj Dyson (55kg) T: F R Kersley
2326202120.523
10. Fuel The Friar (10) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (54.5kg) T: D R Harrison
616141415151
11. Superlove (11) J: Joseph Azzopardi (54.5kg) T: D & B Pearce
272621212023
12. Paris Girl (9) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (54kg) T: F R Kersley
8181811017981

Odds Last Updated: September 8, 2021, 6:46pm (AEDT)

(1) Standout Rose brings some very strong formlines to this race first up. She beat Miss Vasari first up last prep, before bumping into the likes of Billy Ain’t Silly and Notorious One. If she brings that form to this race, she’ll be very hard to beat.

(3) Agent Kensington draws the inside and is racing in great form, but the 1200m remains a slight query for her.

Tip: (1) Standout Rose $3.00 TAB

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Standout Rose

197170

Race 7

Morley Growers Market Hcp (C5) (1400m)
7:25pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Morley Growers Market Hcp (C5) (1400m)
7:25pm (AEDT)

1. Avalon Bay (1) J: Paul Harvey (59kg) T: T R Harvey
2. He's All Mighty (9) J: Joseph Azzopardi (58.5kg) T: A G Durrant
9.59.5108.59.69
3. Brother Paddy (5) J: Patrick Carbery (57kg) T: Coreen Maynard
464141314341
4. Fire Maker (3) J: Ms Chloe Azzopardi (57kg) T: Ms J Panizza
272626212026
5. Little Flirt (2) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (57kg) T: R W Matthews
4.64.64.44.64.64.4
6. Smashing (4) J: Chris Parnham (56.5kg) T: N D Parnham
1.81.81.851.91.921.8
7. Rock'n'ruler (11) J: Jordan Turner (56kg) T: G P Poletti
12612610110171101
8. Arnie's Boy (8) J: William Pike (55.5kg) T: A W Maley
4.64.84.84.64.34.8
9. Hyperspace (7) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (55kg) T: D T Mcauliffe
353434312934
10. Argent D'or (10) J: Taj Dyson (54kg) T: Ms K Kersley
11. Family Discussion (6) J: Steven Parnham (54kg) T: Summer Dickson
201201151151141151

Odds Last Updated: September 8, 2021, 7:26pm (AEDT)

Looks another nice race for (6) Smashing who is looking or three wins on the bounce. Should get a gun run from barrier 4 once again and should be winning, but the $1.80 is short enough.

(2) He’s All Mighty is 2/2 when third up from a spell and did win at Ascot after racing at Geraldton last prep, so even though he got beat at Kalgoorlie last start I wouldn’t be ruling him out.

(5) Little Flirt tends to mix her form a bit but her best is certainly good enough. Just whether she’d prefer a wet track.

Pike goes on (8) Arnie’s Boy for Ash Maley who comes into this off a run in the Junction Cup. Was contesting harder races before that so does drop in grade but is a hard horse to catch.

Tip: (6) Smashing $1.80 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: No bet

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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