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Belmont Racing Tips: Wednesday, August 18th

Tim Geers provides his thoughts on all nine races at Belmont on Wednesday.

belmont racing tips

It’s a nine-race card for the midweek racing today at Belmont in Perth.

For the first time in weeks, we’re back on a Good track after a break in the weather. The rail moves out 14m.

Tim Geers has previewed every race on the card below, complete with his analysis, tips, best bets and betting strategy.

Scroll down or sign up for a FREE RacingBet account to access the full preview!

Best Bet: Race 3 – (7) Hardly Ever

Best Value: Race 7 – (2) Indominus

PlayUp

195432

Race 1

Tabtouch - Better Your Bet Mdn (1000m)
2:04pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Tabtouch - Better Your Bet Mdn (1000m)
2:04pm (AEDT)

1. The Invisible Man (3) J: Brad Rawiller (58kg) T: J N Pateman
2.72.452.72.72.552.6
2. Tiny Santini (7) J: Ryan Hill (58kg) T: Ms R Lockwood
10191676110181
3. Pearlcanto (9) J: Jordan Turner (58kg) T: C & M Gangemi
413426264334
4. Fruit Loops (8) J: Joseph Azzopardi (58kg) T: D & B Pearce
2726262626.531
5. Nitro Fred (1) J: Jason Brown (58kg) T: J P Taylor
9.599.598.49
6. Ain't I A Woman (2) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (56kg) T: Robert Payton
463434344334
7. Peppi Grove (10) J: Paul Harvey (56kg) T: J E Grieve
616781815581
8. Destructor (6) J: Brad Parnham (55.5kg) T: N D Parnham
2321211923.523
9. Tiny'n'tuff (5) J: Craig Staples (53.5kg) T: Matthew Scott
2626262626.526
10. Smiling Girl (11) J: Ms Victoria Corver (53.5kg) T: V A Brockman
353431314334
11. Finest Clobber (4) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (53.5kg) T: A G Durrant
1.951.951.921.941.9

Odds Last Updated: August 18, 2021, 2:06pm (AEDT)

Not overly keen to get involved in the first race, with two horses both sharing the top of the market at 42.40.

(1) The Invisible Man has been good in his two runs to date, only run down very late last start. With the rail out 14m, he should be tough to chase down once again.

Adam Durrant has saddled up several debut winners in recent months and he has a first starter in the form of (11) Finest Clobber here. Comes out of a strong trial which produced Secret Deploy who won on debut, so no surprise to see him win this.

Tip: (11) Finest Clobber $2.30 TAB

Betting Strategy: No bet

195432

Race 2

Crown Perth Mdn (1000m)
2:39pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Crown Perth Mdn (1000m)
2:39pm (AEDT)

1. Smokey Bay (5) J: Ryan Hill (58kg) T: V A Brockman
3126212626.523
2. Endless Bounty (1) J: Jason Whiting (58kg) T: G C Ballantyne
2018181715.617
3. Nobel Prince (11) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (58kg) T: D R Harrison
212119171521
4. Takemehometonight (4) J: Chris Parnham (56kg) T: Martin Allan
555.555.55
5. Come Magic (12) J: Brad Parnham (56kg) T: D M Luciani
6. Rulelee (9) J: Patrick Carbery (56kg) T: Vaughn Sigley
1515151515.215
7. Seekanugget (10) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (56kg) T: P D Tapper
151151101151161126
8. Comanche Kat (8) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (56kg) T: R W Matthews
11109.51010.210
9. Kandaka (6) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (56kg) T: A G Durrant
10. Prince Ragnar (3) J: William Pike (55.5kg) T: G & A Williams
1.91.951.91.951.941.9
11. War Gem (2) J: Steven Parnham (55.5kg) T: N D Parnham
7.5776.57.67
12. Bin Shalaa (7) J: Peter Knuckey (53.5kg) T: R W Price
1719181818.419

Odds Last Updated: August 18, 2021, 2:41pm (AEDT)

(10) Prince Ragnar looks very hard to beat here. He comes into this off a trial win, where he led all the way to beat Secret Deploy and Finest Clobber. Secret Deploy came out and won on debut, while Finest Clobber ran 3rd in the first race today. Prince Ragnar was under the whip in the trial but he did respond OK for pressure and the strength of the form out of the trial should make him very hard to hold out.

(3) Nobel Prince can be included at $21. Comes out of a decent form reference on debut and has won a trial leading into his return today. Stable going well.

(6) Rulelee was good on debut at Northam and can be competitive again today.

(8) Comanche Kat resumes from a 60-week spell and has trialled OK.

Tip: (10) Prince Ragnar $2.10 Bet365

Value: (3) Nobel Prince $21 TAB

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Prince Ragnar, 0.25 units Nobel Prince

195432

Race 3

Amelia Park (Rsoly) (1000m)
3:14pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Amelia Park (Rsoly) (1000m)
3:14pm (AEDT)

1. Defending (3) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (60kg) T: D & B Pearce
3.43.23.13.23.353
2. Golden Rack (9) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (59kg) T: D R Harrison
354141413741
3. Simple Logic (6) J: Steven Parnham (59kg) T: N D Parnham
4. Stars Aplenty (4) J: Troy Turner (59kg) T: C H Webster
1111111011.211
5. Story Book (7) J: Paul Harvey (58kg) T: T M Andrews
9.5991010.29
6. The Lady Is A Vamp (2) J: Laqdar Ramoly (58kg) T: L P Luciani
7.598.5878.5
7. Hardly Ever (10) J: Patrick Carbery (57kg) T: Simon Miller
2.72.62.52.82.72.6
8. Heavenly Miss (8) J: Chris Parnham (57kg) T: N D Parnham
262631313226
9. Minno (5) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (57kg) T: A G Durrant
77.57.57.56.77.5
10. Amelia's Belief (1) J: Chris Graham (55.5kg) T: Brian Rogers
101101101101111101

Odds Last Updated: August 18, 2021, 3:16pm (AEDT)

(7) Hardly Ever trialled like a gazelle back in March but was put away after that. Returned to the trials 10 days ago where she wasn’t anywhere near as dynamic, but she also wasn’t fully tested. The money has come for it and from this camp, that’s always a good lead.

(4) Stars Aplenty was well backed on debut at Pinjarra but didn’t fire. Blinkers go straight on and we’re getting $15 today so probably over the odds considering the SP on debut.

(1) Defending was only run down very late last start and with the rail out 14m today, should take some catching.

(9) Minno next best.

Tip: (7) Hardly Ever $3.00 Bet365

Value: (4) Stars Aplenty $15 TopSport

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Hardly Ever, 0.5 units WIN Stars Aplenty

195432

Race 4

Seacorp Hcp (C1) (1200m)
3:49pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Seacorp Hcp (C1) (1200m)
3:49pm (AEDT)

1. Gorgeous Gus (8) J: Keshaw Dhurun (60kg) T: S & J Casey
6.5666.56.66
2. Le Grand Risque (2) J: Mitchell Pateman (60kg) T: Martin Allan
354134343941
3. Atlantis Beach (3) J: Steven Parnham (59kg) T: C R Green
8.57.58997.5
4. Trade War (9) J: Chris Parnham (59kg) T: M L Lane
3.93.83.73.93.73.7
5. Mong Khon (4) J: Brad Rawiller (58.5kg) T: J N Pateman
3.9443.93.74
6. Competitor (5) J: Laqdar Ramoly (58kg) T: Michael Grantham
99.5999.39.5
7. Kelora (6) J: Brad Parnham (57.5kg) T: N D Parnham
5.55.55.56.56.45.5
8. Master Moore (1) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (57.5kg) T: Rhys Radford
9.5108.597.810
9. Seminyak (7) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (57kg) T: Ms S L Miller

Odds Last Updated: August 18, 2021, 3:51pm (AEDT)

(6) Competitor resumes today and makes his stable debut for Michael Grantham, who has his stable going really well. The horse won first up in Esperence last prep and while that’s hardly any form for a metro race, it shows that he can fire fresh.

The money has come for (5) Mong Khon first up. Went close first up last prep so has to be respected.

Tip: (6) Competitor E/W $11/$3.10 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units E/W Competitor

195432

Race 5

Schweppes Hcp (C1) (1000m)
4:24pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Schweppes Hcp (C1) (1000m)
4:24pm (AEDT)

1. Mystery Man (4) J: Laqdar Ramoly (61kg) T: G W Dupre
3.53.53.53.83.53.4
2. Ozzy Boy (8) J: Brad Rawiller (60kg) T: J N Pateman
101010121010
3. Agent Kensington (3) J: Paul Harvey (58kg) T: L P Luciani
4.2444.44.454
4. Vicinity (5) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (58kg) T: C G Willis
2321212123.523
5. Type Won (2) J: Chris Parnham (57.5kg) T: Kieran Mcdonagh
2.92.92.82.82.92.8
6. Spirit Of Prophecy (7) J: Ms Chloe Azzopardi (57kg) T: Alistair Chegwidden
8191717173101
7. Promission (9) J: Ryan Hill (56.5kg) T: Michael Grantham
2321192121.521
8. Not My Fight (10) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (55.5kg) T: Aaron Pateman
616141415371
9. Eye Of The Day (1) J: Keshaw Dhurun (55kg) T: Sue Olive
464141414351
10. Magnuson Man (11) J: Peter Knuckey (55kg) T: C H Webster
1414121211.214
11. Winnie's Wine (6) J: Jason Whiting (54kg) T: G C Ballantyne
232121212123

Odds Last Updated: August 18, 2021, 4:26pm (AEDT)

Another one for the Michael Grantham train here with (7) Promission who resumes from a spell. Much like his stablemate in the previous race, this horse won first up last preparation. Has placed in all three starts when fresh and has been somewhat competitive in this grade before, so happy to spec at the $21.

Plenty of other chances in an open race.

Tip: (7) Promission E/W $20/$5.00 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units E/W Promission

195432

Race 6

Free Entry To Belmont Park-C1 (1200m)
5:00pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Free Entry To Belmont Park-C1 (1200m)
5:00pm (AEDT)

1. Starlift (13) J: Ms Victoria Corver (60kg) T: Ms P Kenney
7.577.587.67.5
2. City Cruiser (11) J: Laqdar Ramoly (59.5kg) T: Russell Stewart
1920212623.521
3. Just Peachy (3) J: Mitchell Pateman (59.5kg) T: Tameeka Brown
7.57.56.587.47.5
4. Oceanzara (8) J: Taj Dyson (59.5kg) T: Kirsten Melis
313434343534
5. The White Witch (5) J: Patrick Carbery (59.5kg) T: Ms S Evans
131210101312
6. Wise Cracker (10) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (59.5kg) T: D R Harrison
1817161718.216
7. Nobellity (9) J: Ms Madi Derrick (59kg) T: M Santich
11109.59.5109.5
8. Smashing (4) J: Chris Parnham (59kg) T: N D Parnham
2.32.251.852.22.252.2
9. What Planet You On (7) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (58kg) T: Ms J Erkelens
678181918181
10. Superlove (6) J: Joseph Azzopardi (57.5kg) T: D & B Pearce
2731313424.531
11. Ginger Locks (12) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (57kg) T: B V Watkins
1413131413.213
12. Marlini (1) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (57kg) T: Ms D Baillie
1919192119.619
13. Port Beach (2) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (57kg) T: F R Kersley
3541343429.541

Odds Last Updated: August 18, 2021, 5:01pm (AEDT)

No bet here, with several of these runners going from a wet track back to firm ground today, which can see some big form reversals.

(8) Smashing is favourite dropping back to a Class 1, which she really should be wining, but I’m not convinced at all she should be $2.40.

(5) The White Witch was very heavily backed first up but failed to handle the track conditions so she is one that could turn her form around.

(7) Nobellity is ready now third up from a spell.

(13) Port Beach not completely hopeless at $71.

Tip: (7) Nobellity E/W $10 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: No bet

195432

Race 7

All Flags Signs & Banners (C3) (1400m)
5:35pm (AEDT)

Race 7

All Flags Signs & Banners (C3) (1400m)
5:35pm (AEDT)

1. Karijini Aurora (9) J: William Pike (60kg) T: Summer Dickson
3.53.53.43.43.353.4
2. Indominus (7) J: Jordan Turner (59.5kg) T: C H Webster
2019192119.219
3. Sweet Strawberry (11) J: Brad Rawiller (59kg) T: Brock Lewthwaite
4. Trump This (1) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (59kg) T: Tiarnna Robertson
1716171816.216
5. Call Again (10) J: Paul Harvey (58.5kg) T: Rhys Radford
554.84.85.24.8
6. Block Of Land (4) J: Brad Parnham (58kg) T: C & M Gangemi
1920202117.819
7. Pambella (5) J: Steven Parnham (58kg) T: N D Parnham
5.55.5655.45.5
8. Zac Luvs To Fly (6) J: Troy Turner (58kg) T: Ms C Stelmach
7.57.57.58.57.57.5
9. Holyoake (8) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (57kg) T: Brett Pope
1312131312.212
10. Tumivet (2) J: Mitchell Pateman (57kg) T: Martin Allan
131413141113
11. Celebrity Witness (3) J: Joseph Azzopardi (56.5kg) T: D & B Pearce
109.59.5910.29

Odds Last Updated: August 18, 2021, 5:36pm (AEDT)

Going to try my hand with three at good odds here, currently $7, $12 and $21.

(5) Call Again just wasn’t suited at all first up, having to chase the tearaway leader Elafella, who led by about 6L and kept going. Not ideal for a horse to resume over 1400m and do that work, but hopefully that toughens him up and brings him on for this race today. He’s got a good second up record, winning easily at Bunbury second up last prep. Might be in need of a bit more ground but he finds a suitable race.

(4) Trump This is very likely to be last in running. This horse just leaves itself way too much to do with its racing pattern. Often out of sight at the 400m before flashing home. Has placed in six of eight starts when first up though, and gets the bar plates off today.

(2) Indominus is way over the odds. Always needs the run first up but improves second up. Last prep ran 7th of 10 first up before finishing 2nd second up. Struck a heavy track first up this time in so should improve sharply back onto firm gorund.

Tip: (5) Call Again $7.00 PlayUp

Also Backing: (4) Trump This $12 PlayUp

Value: (2) Indominus $21 PlayUp

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Call Again, 0.5 units WIN Trump This, 0.5 units WIN Indominus

195432

Race 8

Morley Growers Market Hcp (C3) (2100m)
6:15pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Morley Growers Market Hcp (C3) (2100m)
6:15pm (AEDT)

1. Buster Bash (1) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (60.5kg) T: D R Harrison
443.943.853.8
2. Run D'affaire Run (2) J: Ms Tyla Becker (59.5kg) T: G C Ballantyne
121210101011
3. Axel 'R' Eight (3) J: Mitchell Pateman (59kg) T: D T Mcauliffe
3.33.33.33.43.33.1
4. Red Dwarf (6) J: Joseph Azzopardi (58kg) T: Dom Celisano
1413141313.814
5. Surf Point (9) J: Ms Madi Derrick (58kg) T: D L Morton
1617171616.616
6. Mood Goddess (8) J: Peter Knuckey (57.5kg) T: S J Wolfe
1413141414.213
7. Run Like Fire (12) J: Jason Whiting (56.5kg) T: Ms J Clements
2321212123.523
8. Choose Freedom (4) J: Ryan Hill (56kg) T: Jade Tangaroa
109.51099.99.5
9. Cosmic Haze (13) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (56kg) T: Fenella Martin
516167616361
10. Juliette (14) J: Brad Parnham (56kg) T: T R Harvey
1313131213.213
11. Blaiszen Cazah (7) J: Troy Turner (55kg) T: Ms C Stelmach
1413131313.613
12. Talented Escape (10) J: Jett Stanley (54.5kg) T: Holly Taylor
354134343334
13. Time Stands Still (5) J: Steven Parnham (54kg) T: Deborah Hagan
101126151101131126
14. Abeldane (11) J: Ms Victoria Corver (54kg) T: A H Mortimer
465151514751

Odds Last Updated: August 18, 2021, 6:16pm (AEDT)

Really ugly race to get involved in, a 2100m Class 1 with a very long tail.

(3) Axel ‘R’ Eight went close on his return to the races last start, beaten 0.02L. Should improve with the run under the belt, has won on good ground, has won over 2000m, draws well, will be on speed and should be hard to run down.

Tip: (3) Axel 'R' Eight $3.50 TAB

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Axel 'R' Eight

195432

Race 9

Horsepower (Rs0ly) (1300m)
6:55pm (AEDT)

Race 9

Horsepower (Rs0ly) (1300m)
6:55pm (AEDT)

1. Pearls And Prawns (12) J: Brad Rawiller (60kg) T: Brock Lewthwaite
887.58.58.38
2. Rebel Knight (7) J: Mitchell Pateman (60kg) T: D T Mcauliffe
1111111110.811
3. Thrilled (9) J: William Pike (59.5kg) T: Brock Lewthwaite
3.23.233.23.353
4. Masquerade (3) J: Laqdar Ramoly (58.5kg) T: Ms K L Grantham
202121212021
5. Super Teroitoa (13) J: Ms Tyla Becker (58kg) T: C H Webster
1515151615.615
6. Little Flirt (6) J: Jason Whiting (57kg) T: R W Matthews
6.56.56.56.56.36.5
7. Cristal Dane (8) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (56kg) T: Ms S L Miller
10910119.810
8. Choice Command (2) J: Keshaw Dhurun (55.5kg) T: Martin Allan
2326262626.526
9. Mickey Blue Eyes (5) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (55kg) T: C & M Gangemi
5.55.565.555.5
10. Willow River (4) J: Patrick Carbery (54.5kg) T: Holly Taylor
465151515151
11. I'm Icey (11) J: Steven Parnham (54kg) T: N D Parnham
191917161919
12. Sound Of Fury (10) J: Ms Victoria Corver (54kg) T: Robert Payton
414134344351
13. Wild Galah (1) J: Troy Turner (54kg) T: Ms C Stelmach
818181818181

Odds Last Updated: August 18, 2021, 6:56pm (AEDT)

Really only two I’m interested in here.

(3) Thrilled was ridden dead cold last start and ran the fastest final 400m of the entire meeting when closing into 3rd. Pike goes on today, the horse went close second up last prep and with any luck should be going close.

Think today is the day for (9) Mickey Blue Eyes. Trialled well but struck a heavy track first up behind the flying Wilchino. Back on firm ground, blinkers back on, expecting this is a race he can be very competitive in.

Backing Mickey Blue Eyes, saving Thrilled.

Tip: (9) Mickey Blue Eyes - $5.00 at BoomBet

Saver: (3) Thrilled - $3.70 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Mickey Blue Eyes, 0.5 units WIN Thrilled

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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