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Eagle Farm Racing Tips: Saturday, June 26th

Tim Geers previews every race on the card at Eagle Farm on the final day of the Brisbane winter carnival, G1 Tatts Tiara day.

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The final day of the Brisbane winter carnival takes place at Eagle Farm this Saturday, June 26th.

The meeting is headlined by the Group 1 Tattersalls Tiara, which is the final Group 1 of the 2020/21 racing season.

There are nine races on Saturday’s card, with the track is currently rated a Good 4 with the rail out 6m.

Tim Geers has previewed every race on the card, with his best bet coming in Race 4, and his best value in Race 9.

Find his preview, tips and betting strategy below!

Best Bet: Race 4 – (6) La Grisa E/W

Best Value: Race 9 – (10) Hail Manhattan

PlayUp

191043

Race 1

Tattersalls Life Member Stks (1830m)
11:43am (AEDT)

Race 1

Tattersalls Life Member Stks (1830m)
11:43am (AEDT)

1. General Wolffe (5) J: Andrew Spinks (57kg) T: R L Cameron
87.588.57.37
2. Balmaurice (3) J: Ben Thompson (57kg) T: R G Lipp
443.83.84.154
3. Tutukaka (4) J: James Mcdonald (57kg) T: A W Pike
1.41.451.41.451.391.45
4. Kaytee Reinado (2) J: Noriyuki Masuda (57kg) T: D Chujo
6167911016371
5. Calpurnia (1) J: Ron Stewart (55kg) T: J H Manzelmann
353461513241

Odds Last Updated: June 26, 2021, 11:46am (AEDT)

(3) Tutukaka just needs to turn up to be winning this. He nearly went in the list of horses to follow after his last run here three weeks ago in The Phoenix, where he came from near last and ran home strongly into 3rd. Up in distance to 1830m now which should really suit him and with even luck he’s the horse to beat.

Tip: (3) Tutukaka $1.40 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: No bet

191043

Race 2

Ernie Ward Memorial Hcp (1200m)
12:18pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Ernie Ward Memorial Hcp (1200m)
12:18pm (AEDT)

1. Redoute's Image (4) J: Craig Williams (59kg) T: K A Lees
2.52.62.452.72.652.5
2. Dragon Miss (5) J: Ms Rikki Palmer (58kg) T: John Thomas
2121262126.521
3. Hancora Field (12) J: Ms Madeleine Wishart (57.5kg) T: L G Ross
1515151615.416
4. Better Than Best (3) J: Ryan Maloney (56.5kg) T: Tony & Maddysen Sears
5.55.565.55.35.5
5. Seleque (2) J: James Mcdonald (56.5kg) T: C J Waller
6. Dejanova (8) J: Ms Stephanie Thornton (56kg) T: Natalie Mccall
212121212323
7. Bellissimi Amici (6) J: Robbie Fradd (55.5kg) T: R L Heathcote
1516161614.416
8. Eloquently (10) J: Anthony Allen (55.5kg) T: S P Tregea
9. Microwave Jenny (9) J: Ben Thompson (54kg) T: T J Gollan
443.843.854
10. Super One Susie (7) J: Ms Skye Bogenhuber (54kg) T: Donald Baker
999.59.58.69.5
11. Jinabelle (1) J: Mrs Hannah Richardson (54kg) T: R B Williams
414151615351
12. Kukinta (11) J: Andrew Spinks (54kg) T: Ms T Cotsiopoulos
6161671017381

Odds Last Updated: June 26, 2021, 12:21pm (AEDT)

I think (1) Redoute’s Image is well and truly short enough here at her odds-on quote. She bolted in at the Sunshine Coast last start but that was a weak race and she got the dream ride and run from Craig Williams. She steps up in grade here and will face a firm Eagle Farm track, so it’s a bit of a stiffer test than what she had last time, literally.

(3) Hancora Field had good juvenile form before failing to replicate that last prep. She’s had a decent break leading into her first up run today. She’s undefeated at the track and distance and if she was able to replicate her two-year-old form, she’d be a blowout chance at $20 here.

(4) Better Than Best comes off a first up run that was just fair, but she put in a similar effort first up last prep before bolting in second up. That was on her home track at Toowoomba, not here at Eagle Farm, so that’s a query, but strong jockey booking with Ryan Maloney up today. Has won two from three when second up and draws well. Looks a value chance at $9.50.

(9) Microwave Jenny was good enough first up and did win second up last prep. Respect.

Tip: (4) Better Than Best $9.50 TopSport

Also Backing: (3) Hancora Field $20 TopSport

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Better Than Best, 0.25 units WIN Hancora Field

191043

Race 3

Winning Edge Presentations Hcp (1200m)
12:53pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Winning Edge Presentations Hcp (1200m)
12:53pm (AEDT)

1. Mass Destruction (2) J: Hugh Bowman (59kg) T: T J Gollan
4444.24.253.9
2. Kavak (8) J: Tommy Berry (56kg) T: Chris Munce
1617191717.418
3. Acrobatic (3) J: Jim Byrne (54.5kg) T: K M Schweida
1111111110.812
4. Battle Through (4) J: Robbie Fradd (54kg) T: Bradley Smith
313131263534
5. Kingston's Here (11) J: Ben Thompson (54kg) T: S O'dea & M Hoysted
221.92.051.822
6. Garoppolo (12) J: Jaden Lloyd (54kg) T: Ms M Brosnan
6666.56.56
7. Mishani Fraudster (1) J: Ms Alex Patis (54kg) T: L G Ross
313131313534
8. I'mtwentyfourseven (6) J: Ms Rachel King (54kg) T: K R Kemp
516171818361
9. Oregon (9) J: Ms Stephanie Thornton (54kg) T: Ms G Heinrich
9191101151131101
10. Better Get Ready (7) J: Unknown (54kg) T: R L Heathcote
11. Super Gorgeous (10) J: Unknown (54kg) T: B J Smith
12. Kudu (5) J: Mark Du Plessis (54kg) T: Melissa Taylor
273131263331

Odds Last Updated: June 26, 2021, 12:56pm (AEDT)

Tony Gollan pretty well declared (1) Mass Destruction here. He’s had six starts this prep for five minor placings, and has run 2nd at his past three starts. Never missed a place here at Eagle Farm, draws well, gets Ryan Maloney on and was only beaten a nose last start. Gollan couldn’t have sounded more confident in his chances. The query for mine is a) his inability to win this prep and b) the extra weight he has to give his rivals, but I do think he brings the best form and gets his chance.

(5) Kingston’s Here bolted in first up at the Gold Coast but that was only a Class 1. Compare that to the Listed race Mass Destruction ran 0.1L 2nd in last start and it’s hard to get him $2.30 in my opinion.

(6) Garoppolo gets an 8kg weight swing on Mass Destruction from last start after finishing less than 2L behind him. Just don’t know how well he’s going.

(3) Acrobatic has ability and looks the value chance at double figure odds.

Tip: (1) Mass Destruction $3.30 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Mass Destruction

191043

Race 4

97.3 Tattersalls Gold Crown (2137m)
1:28pm (AEDT)

Race 4

97.3 Tattersalls Gold Crown (2137m)
1:28pm (AEDT)

1. Polly Grey (8) J: Tommy Berry (57.5kg) T: C J Waller
2.72.72.62.92.552.6
2. Maid Of Ore (4) J: Bobby El-Issa (56.5kg) T: N J Olive
141313161515
3. Walking Flying (9) J: Ben Thompson (56kg) T: A J & T Edmonds
6.56.566.57.26.5
4. Cellarmaid (2) J: James Orman (56kg) T: K M Schweida
1819191920.521
5. Windermere (11) J: Jim Byrne (56kg) T: Edward O'rourke
10109.59.510.210
6. La Grisa (1) J: James Mcdonald (56kg) T: J A O'shea
7.57.58.58.57.47.5
7. Zayydani (7) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (56kg) T: Ben & Jd Hayes
554.854.95
8. Deepwood Vale (5) J: Craig Williams (56kg) T: Paul Messara
191918192021
9. Isabella's Spring (6) J: Mark Du Plessis (56kg) T: B J Lockwood
231926212021
10. Wild Sheila (10) J: Larry Cassidy (56kg) T: K A Lees
8181151101111101
11. Nothing Compares (3) J: Jason Collett (56kg) T: Matthew Dale

Odds Last Updated: June 26, 2021, 1:31pm (AEDT)

I concede (1) Polly Grey brings the best form to this race, but I can’t get her $2.30 based on her previous good track form. Every single one of her career wins have come on rain-affected ground, and she’s yet to break through from 10 starts on firm tracks. She may well be good enough but I have to take her on at that price.

Keen to be with (6) La Grisa who is almost the opposite – all four career wins have been on good ground, while she’s never won from 10 starts on wet ground. Her first two runs in Sydney can be forgiven for that reason and she looks suited here third up, up in distance, back on good ground and with the inside draw. Each way price available.

(5) Windermere has run 3rd in both starts back from a spell. Those formlines have proved to be OK, with Happy Go Plucky coming out of her last start and running 2nd to Incentivise before winning the Ipswich Cup. She has a good third up record with two wins and a 3rd from three starts, so despite the wide draw, she has to be included at $11.

(7) Zayydani next best.

Tip: (6) La Grisa $5.50/$1.91 Bet365

Value: (5) Windermere $11 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN, 2 units PLACE La Grisa, 0.5 units WIN Windermere

191043

Race 5

Battle Of The Bush Final-Rs0ly (1200m)
2:03pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Battle Of The Bush Final-Rs0ly (1200m)
2:03pm (AEDT)

1. Bollente (2) J: Ashley Butler (62kg) T: Nick Walsh
4.44.44.24.64.054.2
2. Tango Rain (18) J: Ric Mcmahon (62kg) T: Jay Morris
4.24.43.744.454
3. Raiden (21) J: Ryan Wiggins (59.5kg) T: J H Manzelmann
1311141512.412
4. Ahwahneechee (11) J: Hugh Bowman (58.5kg) T: R B Williams
4.84.84.655.14.6
5. Shiranda (13) J: Ron Stewart (57kg) T: J H Manzelmann
415151414741
6. Fully Maxed (3) J: Jim Byrne (56kg) T: Todd Austin
8.598.598.59
7. Rather Salubrious (9) J: Ms Wendy Peel (55kg) T: David Reynolds
1012141513.213
8. Oh Why (16) J: Tommy Berry (55kg) T: Pat W Webster
181718211517
9. Manila Miss (10) J: Ben Thompson (55kg) T: K J Miller
1818171816.419
10. Galapagos (5) J: Robert Faehr (55kg) T: R T Hay
6781911019381
11. Trommelschlagen (20) J: Michael Schrapel (55kg) T: J R Patterson
126151151151151151
12. Eskdale Girl (7) J: Luke Tarrant (55kg) T: R G Coveney
212126212123
13. Sweet Venom (1) J: Mrs Hannah Richardson (55kg) T: Glenn Richardson
616781918371
14. Hit Snooze (14) J: Bobby El-Issa (55kg) T: Georgina Bourke
516167714561
15. Zilitor (17) J: Michael Cahill (55kg) T: David Rewald
126151201151161201
16. Evil Eye Mac (15) J: Larry Cassidy (55kg) T: Nicole Homann
616781915581
17. Boingo (19) J: Ms Emma Bell (55kg) T: R Little
18. Midnight Matinee (12) J: Ms Stephanie Thornton (55kg) T: P R Clarke
19. Mac's Gal (4) J: Unknown (55kg) T: B P Park
20. Miss Bulitz (6) J: Unknown (55kg) T: David Reynolds
21. My Cousin Bossy (8) J: Unknown (55kg) T: J R Patterson
22. Music Scene (22) J: Unknown (55kg) T: David Reynolds

Odds Last Updated: June 26, 2021, 2:06pm (AEDT)

Literally a race for the QLD picnic horses here, of which I have less than 0 idea about.

I’ll follow the old Barcaldine formlines here with (4) Ahwahneechee and (6) Fully Maxed. Ahwahneechee has won four of his past five starts, with only defeat being by a nose two starts ago. He started $2.30 last start at Barcaldine and won comfortably, while Fully Maxed started $2.00 after bolting in his first two starts this prep. Humongous jockey upgrade for Fully Maxed today, along with a better barrier draw. Those are the two for me at $5.00 and $10 respectively.

Tip: (4) Ahwahneechee $5.00 Sportsbet

Value: (6) Fully Maxed $10 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: No bet

191043

Race 6

Tattersalls Cup (2400m)
2:42pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Tattersalls Cup (2400m)
2:42pm (AEDT)

1. Mirage Dancer (5) J: James Mcdonald (59kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
888988
2. Southern France (4) J: Craig Williams (57.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
5.55.555.55.25.5
3. Romakash (3) J: Larry Cassidy (55kg) T: M A Kropp
414151616341
4. Incentivise (6) J: Anthony Allen (55kg) T: S P Tregea
1.351.351.31.41.361.35
5. Traduce (7) J: Robbie Fradd (55kg) T: Ms M Brosnan
2626262626.523
6. Gaelic (10) J: Michael Cahill (55kg) T: Ms K Loy
126126501251221151
7. Savvy Oak (2) J: Ben Thompson (55kg) T: R L Heathcote
2726313125.526
8. Badge Of Gameness (1) J: Michael Schrapel (55kg) T: D & G Lane
126151301251281151
9. Wild Sheila (8) J: Ms Rachel King (53kg) T: K A Lees
10. Marecat (9) J: Noriyuki Masuda (53kg) T: D Chujo
151151401251221151

Odds Last Updated: June 26, 2021, 2:46pm (AEDT)

(4) Incentivise shows up here, probably to get his rating up before he heads down to Melbourne. He’s won his past three starts by a combined margin of 25.8L. The horse he beat by 9L two starts ago then came out and won the Ipswich Cup, so there’s plenty to like about him. Obviously there is a query whether this is an afterthought and also that he tackles one or two actual horses here, but he’s going to be too good in any case.

Tip: (4) Incentivise $1.40 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: No bet

191043

Race 7

Edward Street Brisbane (Bm80) (1000m)
3:22pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Edward Street Brisbane (Bm80) (1000m)
3:22pm (AEDT)

1. Wudang Blade (2) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (60.5kg) T: Marcus Wilson
313441413731
2. Desert Man (8) J: Ms Alex Patis (60kg) T: K M Schweida
1919192118.617
3. Ditmas (6) J: Andrew Mallyon (60kg) T: M T Eggleston
2326262625.526
4. Devil's Temptation (4) J: Ryan Maloney (58.5kg) T: Tony & Maddysen Sears
7.57.5787.17
5. Genzai The Wolf (9) J: Justin Huxtable (58kg) T: David Murphy
7.57.5787.27.5
6. Shooting For Gold (7) J: Baylee Nothdurft (58kg) T: S O'dea & M Hoysted
1.851.951.751.91.921.95
7. One Stryke (5) J: Hugh Bowman (57.5kg) T: Lauren Abbott
313141313034
8. Spirit's Choice (10) J: Ms Madeleine Wishart (57.5kg) T: M A Kropp
2626262625.526
9. The Sinner (12) J: James Orman (57.5kg) T: Natalie Mccall
2120212123.523
10. Unguarded (1) J: Larry Cassidy (57kg) T: Chris Munce
1515151814.614
11. Iced (13) J: Ben Thompson (55kg) T: Ms J Crompton
12. Koonunga (11) J: Craig Williams (54kg) T: Matthew Smith
1212121211.813
13. Runsis (3) J: Chris Caserta (54kg) T: Christopher Zintilis
101126151101131151

Odds Last Updated: June 26, 2021, 3:26pm (AEDT)

(6) Shooting For Gold looks hard to beat fresh here in a suitable race. Has a good first up record, won first up last prep, trialled well recently and has room to go to a new level this time in.

(9) The Sinner has the ability to be competitive in a race like this. He’s also got a good firs tup record and also has three wins over the 1000m. Two preps ago he was dominant fresh and there’s been some money in early betting to suggest he’s going well.

(3) Ditmas didn’t fire fresh last prep but he has three wins from five starts first up and also goes well here at Eagle Farm. He resumes off a long spell but is one to include at $21.

(4) Devil’s Temptation was dominant last start and gets Maloney on from a good draw.

Tip: (6) Shooting For Gold $2.50 Bet365

Also Backing: (9) The Sinner $13 Bet365

Value: (3) Ditmas $20 BlueBet

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Shooting For Gold, 0.5 units WIN The Sinner, 0.25 units WIN Ditmas

191043

Race 8

Sky Racing Tattersalls Tiara (1400m)
3:58pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Sky Racing Tattersalls Tiara (1400m)
3:58pm (AEDT)

1. Tofane (14) J: Craig Williams (57kg) T: M D Moroney
3.63.73.43.63.53.4
2. Savatiano (16) J: Joshua Parr (57kg) T: James Cummings
6.576.56.56.77
3. Mizzy (13) J: Tommy Berry (57kg) T: Annabel Neasham
171718181517
4. Flit (20) J: Ryan Maloney (57kg) T: James Cummings
343434313034
5. Madam Rouge (7) J: Luke Dittman (57kg) T: C J Waller
1818201917.218
6. Sweet Deal (3) J: James Orman (57kg) T: John Thompson
2326262626.526
7. Brooklyn Hustle (12) J: Michael Cahill (57kg) T: J Warren & D Krongold
1414131413.814
8. Subpoenaed (2) J: Hugh Bowman (57kg) T: C J Waller
10999.59.99
9. Nudge (8) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (57kg) T: C J Waller
1617171817.618
10. Rocha Clock (10) J: Ms Rachel King (57kg) T: J A O'shea
11. Lyre (17) J: Ben Thompson (57kg) T: A & S Freedman
414141413851
12. Coventina Bay (11) J: Ms Samantha Collett (57kg) T: R J Patterson
272626263226
13. Reelem In Ruby (1) J: Ron Stewart (57kg) T: P & P Snowden
7181919185101
14. Yamazaki (18) J: Ms Stephanie Thornton (57kg) T: M J Dunn
414151514551
15. Emeralds (6) J: Jason Collett (57kg) T: J G Sargent
414141314141
16. Odeum (15) J: James Mcdonald (55.5kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
6.56.56.56.56.46.5
17. Dame Giselle (19) J: Jim Byrne (55.5kg) T: P & P Snowden
262631262226
18. Sierra Sue (4) J: Robbie Fradd (57kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
414141414341
19. Charleise (5) J: Ben Thompson (57kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
20. Jen Rules (9) J: Larry Cassidy (57kg) T: P & P Snowden

Odds Last Updated: June 26, 2021, 4:01pm (AEDT)

The G1 Tatts Tiara rounds out the Brisbane winter carnival and is the final major of the current racing season.

(16) Odeum was enormous in the Dane Ripper Stakes, which is a reliable form reference for the Tatts Tiara. She sat four-wide the trip, hit the front and only got run down late by Brooklyn Hustle who had the perfect suck into the race. Odeum carried 58kg on that occasion but drops to 55.5kg here. The huge negative is that James McDonald can’t ride due to covid and has been replaced by Andrew Mallyon. Still, at $6.00 she is a bet.

(1) Tofane backed up her good run second up with victory in the Stradbroke Handicap last start. She’s now a dual Group 1 winner and this is her best distance at this stage of her career. Gets a wide draw but C Williams sticks and she’ll be very hard to beat in her swansong.

(3) Mizzy throws a real curve ball into this race. She’s been very competitive at Group 1 level not long ago, and she switches stables from Anthony Cummings to Annabel Neasham for her final start, which is a huge stable upgrade in my opinion. Unconventional lead in to this race but if she turns up and improves on her best form, she’ll be going close enough to winning.

(7) Brooklyn Hustle is starting to put it all together. She won the Dane Ripper, which as I said before is a reliable form reference for the Tatts Tiara. She did get a blessed run/ride last start to win, but she’ll be in the right part of the track again here.

If (18) Sierra Sue gets a run, throw her in exotics at $61. She wasn’t bad with no luck last start, gets blinkers on for the first time here and a good draw.

Have to include (5) Madam Rouge and (8) Subpoenaed, with Bowman jumping off the former to ride the latter today.

Tip: (16) Odeum $6.00 Ladbrokes

Value: (3) Mizzy $18 Ladbrokes

Saver: (1) Tofane $5.00 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Odeum, 0.5 units WIN Tofane, 0.5 units WIN Brooklyn Hustle, 0.25 units WIN Mizzy

191043

Race 9

Eureka Stud W.J. Healy Stakes (1200m)
4:34pm (AEDT)

Race 9

Eureka Stud W.J. Healy Stakes (1200m)
4:34pm (AEDT)

1. Baller (10) J: James Mcdonald (59kg) T: T J Gollan
2. Usmanov (2) J: Baylee Nothdurft (59kg) T: A J & T Edmonds
1313131414.213
3. Exhilarates (4) J: Hugh Bowman (58kg) T: James Cummings
1211131312.410
4. Redouble (5) J: Paul Hammersley (58kg) T: Ms S Kumpikas
616771617371
5. Hightail (12) J: Tommy Berry (55.5kg) T: P & P Snowden
11109.5109.39.5
6. Away Game (11) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (54.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
54.84.44.64.754.6
7. Zaniah (15) J: Andrew Mallyon (54.5kg) T: K A Lees
1213111111.813
8. King Of Hastings (9) J: Jim Byrne (54.5kg) T: A & S Freedman
111110119.511
9. Jen Rules (7) J: Ms Rachel King (54kg) T: P & P Snowden
4.64.54.44.64.44.4
10. Hail Manhattan (13) J: Ron Stewart (54kg) T: P & W Hulbert
262634313334
11. Hilo (3) J: Michael Cahill (54kg) T: Ms G Heinrich
2321262124.526
12. In Good Time (6) J: Mark Du Plessis (54kg) T: T J Bartley
516161615761
13. Inanup (1) J: Robbie Fradd (54kg) T: B J Lockwood
1921202121.521
14. Doctor Zous (14) J: Ben Thompson (54kg) T: D J Hansen
273134313534
15. Bella Nipotina (8) J: Craig Williams (54kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
7.57.577.57.68

Odds Last Updated: June 26, 2021, 4:36pm (AEDT)

(10) Hail Manhattan went in the horses to follow file after his first up run over 1000m. I noted that day that he is probably looking for 1600m, but he did win second up over 1200m last preparation. He hit the line well in inferior ground and I thought it was a good return. This is an open race but I wouldn’t put it past him to be right in the finish at $18.

(6) Away Game was good first up, not beaten far after leading. Might be ridden a bit colder from the wide draw today. Can go close.

(9) Jen Rules is an emergency for the Tatts Tiara. She’ll line up here though. Was only beaten 1.25L last start in the Dane Ripper, which looks the best form line for the Group 1. Has to be competitive here.

(15) Bella Nipotina has her first start for the Maher/Eustace stable and gets C Williams booked to ride first up. A few gear changes and plenty of early money to suggest she’ll go well. She ran 3rd behind Isotope and Odeum two starts ago which looks very good form.

(3) Exhilarates was poor last start but is better than that.

Tip: (10) Hail Manhattan $18/$5 TAB

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN/1 unit PLACE

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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