Flemington Racing Tips: Friday, January 21st

Race 1 Eynesbury Golf Mdn Plate (1000m) 3:00pm (AEDT)
1. Iron One (10) J: Craig Newitt (60.5kg) T: G A Osborne		126		101	87
2. Elite Icon (11) J: Jye Mcneil (59kg) T: T & C Mcevoy		3		2.8	3.05
3. Maranzano (13) J: Patrick Moloney (59kg) T: Lloyd Kennewell		20		20	19.4
4. Silly Salmon (14) J: Josh Richards (59kg) T: Michael Huglin		26		26	20.5
5. Vinlago (8) J: Dean Holland (59kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock		7		7	6.1
6. Precious Socks (7) J: Ms Jamie Kah (58.5kg) T: Glenn Cross		34		34	26
7. Better Than Flying (2) J: Jarrod Fry (57kg) T: R J Meunier
8. Madame Du Gast (12) J: Matthew Cartwright (57kg) T: T Rogers		5		5	5.1
9. Rocking Pretty (1) J: Damien Thornton (57kg) T: L & T Corstens		9		9	8.3
10. Seydoux (4) J: Damian Lane (57kg) T: J T Conlan		12		12	10
11. Shadesofmidnight (6) J: Declan Bates (57kg) T: P L Caboche		126		101	89
12. Smokin' Holly (5) J: Brett Prebble (57kg) T: Dale Short		4.5		4.6	4.65
13. Westminster Abbe (9) J: Unknown (60.5kg) T: S S Cunningham		126		101	97
14. Bay Wave (3) J: Unknown (60.5kg) T: Andrew Homann		61		61	51

(2) Elite Icon has jumped out very well for his debut, winning both. The raced form isn’t all that flash so he won’t need to be a star to win this. Interested to see where they head given all races are down the straight.

(5) Vinlago was just fair behind the dominant Duchy Of Savoy last start but wasn’t far off the 2nd horse. He might be a wet tracker given his two heavy runs have been much better than his good track runs.

(10) Seydoux is an interesting one. The debut run last prep is easily good enough form to be going close in this, running 2nd to Cecil Street Lad. The two subsequent runs were a bit poor, but he’s jumped out well at Balnarring and D Lane on first up interests me. 

Tip: (10) Seydoux- $13.00/3.80 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 0.25/0.75 units E/W Seydoux

Race 2 Leap Real Estate Sprint (Bm64) (1200m) 3:30pm (AEDT)
1. Cadboll (1) J: Will Gordon (61.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace		9		8	9.6
2. Daytona Bay (6) J: Michael Dee (60kg) T: P G Moody		4.4		4.4	4.5
3. Place Of Gold (8) J: Craig Newitt (59.5kg) T: C I Brown		3.5		3.6	3.1
4. Treporti (9) J: Jye Mcneil (59.5kg) T: D T O'brien		4.6		4.6	4.45
5. Get On The Gas (5) J: Patrick Moloney (59kg) T: Lloyd Kennewell		16		16	14.4
6. Imposing Brook (2) J: Josh Richards (59kg) T: Patrick Payne		12		13	13
7. Otelo (7) J: Dean Holland (59kg) T: Ben Brisbourne		19		20	18.2
8. Strike Eagle (3) J: Ms Jamie Kah (59kg) T: T & C Mcevoy		9.5		9.5	9.7
9. Kit And Caboodle (10) J: Jarrod Fry (58.5kg) T: J P Salanitri		26		26	23.5
10. Bay Of Islands (4) J: Matthew Cartwright (57kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace		13		13	13.2

(3) Place Of Gold on top. The debut win at Mornington was good in solid overall time. He sat wide without cover, although many winners came wide that day but there were gaps through the field and the 2nd placegetter has since run very well in another strong maiden. 

(4) Treporti was just too strong breaking his maiden two back before stepping up in grade and whilst he wasn’t beaten far, he had every chance and they went very slowly there and outside of Decent Raine I don’t think that race is much good.

(2) Daytona Bay won in okay fashion on debut at The Valley, leading all the way. The late splits were strong after going slowly early and he can definitely figure. 

Tip: (3) Place Of Gold- $3.60 at TopSport

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Place Of Gold

Race 3 Resimax Jockeys Chall. (Bm64) (1200m) 4:00pm (AEDT)
1. Encircle (12) J: Declan Bates (61kg) T: Craig Weeding		19		20	17.6
2. Yosemite (6) J: Brett Prebble (60kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock		5.5		5.5	5.3
3. Fortune Rose (3) J: Will Gordon (59.5kg) T: Jamie Edwards		26		26	23
4. Longtimedreaming (8) J: Michael Dee (59.5kg) T: P A Preusker		9		9	9.1
5. Changing Tracks (4) J: Craig Newitt (58.5kg) T: Paul & Tracey Templeton		19		18	21.5
6. I Am Ready (7) J: Jye Mcneil (58.5kg) T: Lloyd Kennewell		10		10	8.6
7. Isolating (2) J: Patrick Moloney (58.5kg) T: Rachael Cunningham		26		26	26.5
8. For Real Life (10) J: Josh Richards (58kg) T: L & T Corstens		3.1		3	3.1
9. Rapid Ruby (1) J: Dean Holland (57kg) T: Nick Ryan		4.6		4.8	4.6
10. Fashion Avenue (5) J: Ms Jamie Kah (57kg) T: Ben & J D Hayes		9		9.5	7.5
11. Fi Style (9) J: Jarrod Fry (57kg) T: Ms H White		41		41	43
12. Destiny's Dee Day (11) J: Matthew Cartwright (57kg) T: C J Davis		101		101	97

(8) For Real Life gets her chance to win at this level after just being run down late by subsequent bm70 winner Danny’s St Darci. She ran down the straight on debut and was well beaten in a very strong maiden by Argentia, but that experience should hold her in good stead. She’s had a freshen but with 56kg she should be hard to run down.

(9) Rapid Ruby was too good at $1.55 at Stony Creek last start. This is much harder but the start prior she was solid behind Antipodes.

(4) Longtimedreaming chased well behind an all the way winner first up at Geelong. There’s been winning form out of that race and she might be ready to show her best here, drawn to swoop.

(2) Yosemite can mix her form but her best form would go close to winning this. She’s 1/1 at 1200m and her only go down the straight she was only beaten 4.1L by September Run at listed level. 

Tip: (8) For Real Life- $3.20 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: No Bet

Race 4 Yum Sing House Sprint (C1) (1000m) 4:30pm (AEDT)
1. Barney's Blaze (8) J: Damien Thornton (60kg) T: F Stockdale		11		11	11.2
2. Gaius (11) J: Damian Lane (59.5kg) T: Henry Dwyer		16		18	15.8
3. Signor Fangio (4) J: Declan Bates (59.5kg) T: Lloyd Kennewell		15		15	14.4
4. Expect The Best (9) J: Brett Prebble (59kg) T: Ms N Burke		81		101	67
5. Our John Boy (6) J: Will Gordon (59kg) T: Ms W Kelly		26		26	27.5
6. Red Hawk (1) J: Michael Dee (59kg) T: T & C Mcevoy		2		2	1.86
7. Alfoil (3) J: Craig Newitt (58.5kg) T: L & T Corstens		11		12	12.2
8. Belaqua Belle (12) J: Jye Mcneil (58kg) T: A W Noonan		12		11	12.2
9. Aqua Lady (5) J: Patrick Moloney (57.5kg) T: Saab Hasan		31		31	32
10. Joseylin (14) J: Josh Richards (57kg) T: Ben & J D Hayes		5.5		6	5.1
11. Glamour And Glory (2) J: Dean Holland (57kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes		18		18	14.6
12. Hybrid Theory (10) J: Ms Jamie Kah (57kg) T: K L Corstens		41		41	43
13. Openhimup (7) J: Unknown (57kg) T: P F Maher		41		51	41
14. Boom Girl (13) J: Unknown (57kg) T: Louisa Dove		101		101	111

Interesting race with (6) Red Hawk the even money favourite first up. He bolted in as a short favourite on debut, leading all the way on the synthetic. The race didn’t rate that well considering how big the margin was and whilst he’s won a jumpout in good fashion I thought he was beatable.

(10) Joselyin just missed in this grade last start, the race won by Sniper Legend who is quite handy. The maiden win prior over a decent horse in Tranquil Bay was good and with 55kg drawn out wide she can do her own thing, whereas Red Hawk might have horses all around him and he does look a fairly big colt.

(2) Gaius is the other capable of threatening. He had no luck first up, barely getting out the entirety and D Lane takes the ride from a wide gate. He can be included at double figures.

Tip: (10) Joselyin- $6.00 at TopSport

Value: (2) Gaius- $18.00/3.90 at TopSport

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Joseylin, 0.25/0.75 units E/W Gaius

Race 5 Adelphi Hotel Plate (Bm64) (1100m) 5:00pm (AEDT)
1. Yulong Knight (7) J: Jarrod Fry (63kg) T: R J Blacker		26		26	20
2. El Salto (5) J: Matthew Cartwright (61kg) T: Brent Stanley		5		5	5.1
3. Our Free Spirit (6) J: Damien Thornton (60.5kg) T: A W Noonan		7.5		7.5	6.8
4. Tax Free Prophet (1) J: Damian Lane (60.5kg) T: J Warren & D Krongold		4		4.4	4.15
5. Dynamic Sensation (12) J: Declan Bates (60kg) T: J E & C Ledger		26		26	22.5
6. Broadside Armour (3) J: Brett Prebble (59.5kg) T: P F Maher		31		31	29.5
7. Space Force (10) J: Will Gordon (59.5kg) T: Ben & J D Hayes		10		10	8.8
8. Strategy (13) J: Michael Dee (59.5kg) T: Lloyd Kennewell		9		9.5	7.5
9. Fortune Follows (4) J: Craig Newitt (59kg) T: P L Caboche		12		11	11.8
10. Kerioth (9) J: Jye Mcneil (59kg) T: G A Osborne		12		11	10.8
11. Lumber Punk (11) J: Patrick Moloney (57.5kg) T: L & T Corstens		8		8.5	8.6
12. Ultra Smart (2) J: Josh Richards (57kg) T: Tori Madigan		18		18	19.2
13. Villianaire (8) J: Unknown (57kg) T: C J Davis		91		91	65

(2) El Salto is racing well and probably wins last start with a bit better luck, running 2nd to Titans who has won again since. His one run down the straight was a solid 8th, beaten 3.4L in a much harder bm80 behind It’sourtime. This looks a good race for him.

(4) Tax Free Prophet probably would’ve gone on top if he’d drawn out, but barrier 1 is a bit sticky. He ran on well at The Valley last start and I think he’ll suit the straight, it’s just how much room he gets and where the jockeys are steering to. 

(3) Our Free Spirit next best, but I think one of the top two win.

Tip: (2) El Salto- $5.50 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN El Salto

Race 6 Silverpoint Homes Sprint-Bm70 (1000m) 5:30pm (AEDT)
1. Tony Nicconi (1) J: Dean Holland (62kg) T: D Karp		14		15	11.4
2. Cosmic Rhapsody (4) J: Ms Jamie Kah (59.5kg) T: Ms M Cunningham		7.5		7	7
3. A Good Yarn (3) J: Jarrod Fry (59kg) T: M J Mckenzie		8		8	7.9
4. Mount Mitty (2) J: Matthew Cartwright (59kg) T: Heath Chalmers		26		26	26.5
5. The Running Man (11) J: Damien Thornton (59kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock		7.5		7.5	7.3
6. Big Day Out (5) J: Damian Lane (57.5kg) T: Craig Weeding		6		6	6.1
7. Royal Marine (9) J: Declan Bates (57.5kg) T: R J Besanko		13		14	10.8
8. Charm Wing (10) J: Brett Prebble (57kg) T: Jamie Scott		20		20	16.8
9. Hills (8) J: Will Gordon (57kg) T: Will Clarken		3.3		3.4	3.45
10. Was Written (12) J: Michael Dee (57kg) T: Ms G Johnstone		17		17	17
11. Gottaluvjimmy (6) J: Craig Newitt (57kg) T: Mark Pegus		21		21	17.4
12. Areyoulistening (7) J: Jye Mcneil (57kg) T: Shawn Mathrick		21		21	21.5

Tough race. (9) Hills comes here fresh and looks up to this grade. The first up run behind Winning Weather in SA last prep is solid enough for this and she’s still on the up.

(1) Tony Nicconi hasn’t won in a long time but typically does his best racing fresh. He ran well behind Sartorial Splendor first up last prep which reads well. Not sure about him down the straight.

(3) A Good Yarn is in the mix, as is (2) Cosmic Rhapsody.

Couldn’t find a betting angle here.

Tip: (3) A Good Yarn- $8.50 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: No Bet

Race 7 Tick Homes Dash (Rs0mw) (1200m) 6:00pm (AEDT)
1. Design Rouge (2) J: Patrick Moloney (61.5kg) T: S P Nichols		26		26	20.5
2. As I Please (6) J: Josh Richards (60kg) T: Symon Wilde		4		3.7	4.25
3. Joltin' Joe (1) J: Dean Holland (60kg) T: Paul & Tracey Templeton		4.8		4.6	5.1
4. Mr Moppett (10) J: Ms Jamie Kah (60kg) T: P A Sweeney		17		16	18.2
5. Black Toff Affair (12) J: Jarrod Fry (59kg) T: David & Coral Feek
6. Magnavale (9) J: Matthew Cartwright (59kg) T: G M Duryea		19		19	19.8
7. Starden Lass (3) J: Damien Thornton (57kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace		6		5.5	6
8. Queen Of Sass (5) J: Damian Lane (57kg) T: M J Ellerton		6		6	5.1
9. Wegobam (8) J: Declan Bates (57kg) T: L & T Corstens		5		5	4.45
10. Son Of Bielski (13) J: Brett Prebble (57kg) T: S V Brown		31		31	23.5
11. Keep The Magic (4) J: Will Gordon (57kg) T: R J Linnell		126		101	131
12. Buddy For Nothing (7) J: Michael Dee (57kg) T: Stephen Field		126		101	131
13. Grand Pope (11) J: Unknown (57kg) T: Nick Ryan		9		8.5	7.4

Different scenario than last time down the straight for (3) Joltin’ Joe, now drawn barrier 1. He was very good in that run when drawn wide and getting into 2nd behind good straight tracker Pioneer River. He’ll need some luck from barrier 1 but is racing very well. 

(9) Wegobam is another racing very well. I don’t mind her back to 1200m and down 3kg in the weights. She should’ve gone close to winning at this T/D two back, beating home (7) Starden Lass who was rock solid. 

(8) Queen Of Sass has come back well winning both runs this prep. She had every possible chance leading last start but is hard to knock.

Backing Wegobam, saving Joltin’ Joe. 

Tip: (9) Wegobam- $5.00 at TAB

Saver: (3) Joltin’ Joe- $5.00 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 0.75 units WIN Wegobam, 0.25 units WIN Joltin’ Joe