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Flemington Racing Tips: Friday, January 21st

Rapid Racing at Flemington and Trent Crebbin has previewed every race down the straight.

Melbourne Cup Day Flemington

It’s Rapid Racing at Flemington on Friday afternoon!

Every race takes place down the straight, with 30 minutes between races.

Trent Crebbin has previewed every race and his best bet comes up in Race 5.

The track is rated a good 4 and the rail is out 12 metres.

Best Bet- Race 5 (2) El Salto

Best Value- Race 4 (2) Gaius

TAB Sky Racing

207607

Race 1

Eynesbury Golf Mdn Plate (1000m)
3:00pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Eynesbury Golf Mdn Plate (1000m)
3:00pm (AEDT)

1. Iron One (10) J: Craig Newitt (60.5kg) T: G A Osborne
12610187
2. Elite Icon (11) J: Jye Mcneil (59kg) T: T & C Mcevoy
32.83.05
3. Maranzano (13) J: Patrick Moloney (59kg) T: Lloyd Kennewell
202019.4
4. Silly Salmon (14) J: Josh Richards (59kg) T: Michael Huglin
262620.5
5. Vinlago (8) J: Dean Holland (59kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
776.1
6. Precious Socks (7) J: Ms Jamie Kah (58.5kg) T: Glenn Cross
343426
7. Better Than Flying (2) J: Jarrod Fry (57kg) T: R J Meunier
8. Madame Du Gast (12) J: Matthew Cartwright (57kg) T: T Rogers
555.1
9. Rocking Pretty (1) J: Damien Thornton (57kg) T: L & T Corstens
998.3
10. Seydoux (4) J: Damian Lane (57kg) T: J T Conlan
121210
11. Shadesofmidnight (6) J: Declan Bates (57kg) T: P L Caboche
12610189
12. Smokin' Holly (5) J: Brett Prebble (57kg) T: Dale Short
4.54.64.65
13. Westminster Abbe (9) J: Unknown (60.5kg) T: S S Cunningham
12610197
14. Bay Wave (3) J: Unknown (60.5kg) T: Andrew Homann
616151

(2) Elite Icon has jumped out very well for his debut, winning both. The raced form isn’t all that flash so he won’t need to be a star to win this. Interested to see where they head given all races are down the straight.

(5) Vinlago was just fair behind the dominant Duchy Of Savoy last start but wasn’t far off the 2nd horse. He might be a wet tracker given his two heavy runs have been much better than his good track runs.

(10) Seydoux is an interesting one. The debut run last prep is easily good enough form to be going close in this, running 2nd to Cecil Street Lad. The two subsequent runs were a bit poor, but he’s jumped out well at Balnarring and D Lane on first up interests me. 

Tip: (10) Seydoux- $13.00/3.80 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 0.25/0.75 units E/W Seydoux

207607

Race 2

Leap Real Estate Sprint (Bm64) (1200m)
3:30pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Leap Real Estate Sprint (Bm64) (1200m)
3:30pm (AEDT)

1. Cadboll (1) J: Will Gordon (61.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
989.6
2. Daytona Bay (6) J: Michael Dee (60kg) T: P G Moody
4.44.44.5
3. Place Of Gold (8) J: Craig Newitt (59.5kg) T: C I Brown
3.53.63.1
4. Treporti (9) J: Jye Mcneil (59.5kg) T: D T O'brien
4.64.64.45
5. Get On The Gas (5) J: Patrick Moloney (59kg) T: Lloyd Kennewell
161614.4
6. Imposing Brook (2) J: Josh Richards (59kg) T: Patrick Payne
121313
7. Otelo (7) J: Dean Holland (59kg) T: Ben Brisbourne
192018.2
8. Strike Eagle (3) J: Ms Jamie Kah (59kg) T: T & C Mcevoy
9.59.59.7
9. Kit And Caboodle (10) J: Jarrod Fry (58.5kg) T: J P Salanitri
262623.5
10. Bay Of Islands (4) J: Matthew Cartwright (57kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
131313.2

(3) Place Of Gold on top. The debut win at Mornington was good in solid overall time. He sat wide without cover, although many winners came wide that day but there were gaps through the field and the 2nd placegetter has since run very well in another strong maiden. 

(4) Treporti was just too strong breaking his maiden two back before stepping up in grade and whilst he wasn’t beaten far, he had every chance and they went very slowly there and outside of Decent Raine I don’t think that race is much good.

(2) Daytona Bay won in okay fashion on debut at The Valley, leading all the way. The late splits were strong after going slowly early and he can definitely figure. 

Tip: (3) Place Of Gold- $3.60 at TopSport

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Place Of Gold

207607

Race 3

Resimax Jockeys Chall. (Bm64) (1200m)
4:00pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Resimax Jockeys Chall. (Bm64) (1200m)
4:00pm (AEDT)

1. Encircle (12) J: Declan Bates (61kg) T: Craig Weeding
192017.6
2. Yosemite (6) J: Brett Prebble (60kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
5.55.55.3
3. Fortune Rose (3) J: Will Gordon (59.5kg) T: Jamie Edwards
262623
4. Longtimedreaming (8) J: Michael Dee (59.5kg) T: P A Preusker
999.1
5. Changing Tracks (4) J: Craig Newitt (58.5kg) T: Paul & Tracey Templeton
191821.5
6. I Am Ready (7) J: Jye Mcneil (58.5kg) T: Lloyd Kennewell
10108.6
7. Isolating (2) J: Patrick Moloney (58.5kg) T: Rachael Cunningham
262626.5
8. For Real Life (10) J: Josh Richards (58kg) T: L & T Corstens
3.133.1
9. Rapid Ruby (1) J: Dean Holland (57kg) T: Nick Ryan
4.64.84.6
10. Fashion Avenue (5) J: Ms Jamie Kah (57kg) T: Ben & J D Hayes
99.57.5
11. Fi Style (9) J: Jarrod Fry (57kg) T: Ms H White
414143
12. Destiny's Dee Day (11) J: Matthew Cartwright (57kg) T: C J Davis
10110197

(8) For Real Life gets her chance to win at this level after just being run down late by subsequent bm70 winner Danny’s St Darci. She ran down the straight on debut and was well beaten in a very strong maiden by Argentia, but that experience should hold her in good stead. She’s had a freshen but with 56kg she should be hard to run down.

(9) Rapid Ruby was too good at $1.55 at Stony Creek last start. This is much harder but the start prior she was solid behind Antipodes.

(4) Longtimedreaming chased well behind an all the way winner first up at Geelong. There’s been winning form out of that race and she might be ready to show her best here, drawn to swoop.

(2) Yosemite can mix her form but her best form would go close to winning this. She’s 1/1 at 1200m and her only go down the straight she was only beaten 4.1L by September Run at listed level. 

Tip: (8) For Real Life- $3.20 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: No Bet

207607

Race 4

Yum Sing House Sprint (C1) (1000m)
4:30pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Yum Sing House Sprint (C1) (1000m)
4:30pm (AEDT)

1. Barney's Blaze (8) J: Damien Thornton (60kg) T: F Stockdale
111111.2
2. Gaius (11) J: Damian Lane (59.5kg) T: Henry Dwyer
161815.8
3. Signor Fangio (4) J: Declan Bates (59.5kg) T: Lloyd Kennewell
151514.4
4. Expect The Best (9) J: Brett Prebble (59kg) T: Ms N Burke
8110167
5. Our John Boy (6) J: Will Gordon (59kg) T: Ms W Kelly
262627.5
6. Red Hawk (1) J: Michael Dee (59kg) T: T & C Mcevoy
221.86
7. Alfoil (3) J: Craig Newitt (58.5kg) T: L & T Corstens
111212.2
8. Belaqua Belle (12) J: Jye Mcneil (58kg) T: A W Noonan
121112.2
9. Aqua Lady (5) J: Patrick Moloney (57.5kg) T: Saab Hasan
313132
10. Joseylin (14) J: Josh Richards (57kg) T: Ben & J D Hayes
5.565.1
11. Glamour And Glory (2) J: Dean Holland (57kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
181814.6
12. Hybrid Theory (10) J: Ms Jamie Kah (57kg) T: K L Corstens
414143
13. Openhimup (7) J: Unknown (57kg) T: P F Maher
415141
14. Boom Girl (13) J: Unknown (57kg) T: Louisa Dove
101101111

Interesting race with (6) Red Hawk the even money favourite first up. He bolted in as a short favourite on debut, leading all the way on the synthetic. The race didn’t rate that well considering how big the margin was and whilst he’s won a jumpout in good fashion I thought he was beatable.

(10) Joselyin just missed in this grade last start, the race won by Sniper Legend who is quite handy. The maiden win prior over a decent horse in Tranquil Bay was good and with 55kg drawn out wide she can do her own thing, whereas Red Hawk might have horses all around him and he does look a fairly big colt.

(2) Gaius is the other capable of threatening. He had no luck first up, barely getting out the entirety and D Lane takes the ride from a wide gate. He can be included at double figures.

Tip: (10) Joselyin- $6.00 at TopSport

Value: (2) Gaius- $18.00/3.90 at TopSport

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Joseylin, 0.25/0.75 units E/W Gaius

207607

Race 5

Adelphi Hotel Plate (Bm64) (1100m)
5:00pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Adelphi Hotel Plate (Bm64) (1100m)
5:00pm (AEDT)

1. Yulong Knight (7) J: Jarrod Fry (63kg) T: R J Blacker
262620
2. El Salto (5) J: Matthew Cartwright (61kg) T: Brent Stanley
555.1
3. Our Free Spirit (6) J: Damien Thornton (60.5kg) T: A W Noonan
7.57.56.8
4. Tax Free Prophet (1) J: Damian Lane (60.5kg) T: J Warren & D Krongold
44.44.15
5. Dynamic Sensation (12) J: Declan Bates (60kg) T: J E & C Ledger
262622.5
6. Broadside Armour (3) J: Brett Prebble (59.5kg) T: P F Maher
313129.5
7. Space Force (10) J: Will Gordon (59.5kg) T: Ben & J D Hayes
10108.8
8. Strategy (13) J: Michael Dee (59.5kg) T: Lloyd Kennewell
99.57.5
9. Fortune Follows (4) J: Craig Newitt (59kg) T: P L Caboche
121111.8
10. Kerioth (9) J: Jye Mcneil (59kg) T: G A Osborne
121110.8
11. Lumber Punk (11) J: Patrick Moloney (57.5kg) T: L & T Corstens
88.58.6
12. Ultra Smart (2) J: Josh Richards (57kg) T: Tori Madigan
181819.2
13. Villianaire (8) J: Unknown (57kg) T: C J Davis
919165

(2) El Salto is racing well and probably wins last start with a bit better luck, running 2nd to Titans who has won again since. His one run down the straight was a solid 8th, beaten 3.4L in a much harder bm80 behind It’sourtime. This looks a good race for him.

(4) Tax Free Prophet probably would’ve gone on top if he’d drawn out, but barrier 1 is a bit sticky. He ran on well at The Valley last start and I think he’ll suit the straight, it’s just how much room he gets and where the jockeys are steering to. 

(3) Our Free Spirit next best, but I think one of the top two win.

Tip: (2) El Salto- $5.50 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN El Salto

207607

Race 6

Silverpoint Homes Sprint-Bm70 (1000m)
5:30pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Silverpoint Homes Sprint-Bm70 (1000m)
5:30pm (AEDT)

1. Tony Nicconi (1) J: Dean Holland (62kg) T: D Karp
141511.4
2. Cosmic Rhapsody (4) J: Ms Jamie Kah (59.5kg) T: Ms M Cunningham
7.577
3. A Good Yarn (3) J: Jarrod Fry (59kg) T: M J Mckenzie
887.9
4. Mount Mitty (2) J: Matthew Cartwright (59kg) T: Heath Chalmers
262626.5
5. The Running Man (11) J: Damien Thornton (59kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
7.57.57.3
6. Big Day Out (5) J: Damian Lane (57.5kg) T: Craig Weeding
666.1
7. Royal Marine (9) J: Declan Bates (57.5kg) T: R J Besanko
131410.8
8. Charm Wing (10) J: Brett Prebble (57kg) T: Jamie Scott
202016.8
9. Hills (8) J: Will Gordon (57kg) T: Will Clarken
3.33.43.45
10. Was Written (12) J: Michael Dee (57kg) T: Ms G Johnstone
171717
11. Gottaluvjimmy (6) J: Craig Newitt (57kg) T: Mark Pegus
212117.4
12. Areyoulistening (7) J: Jye Mcneil (57kg) T: Shawn Mathrick
212121.5

Tough race. (9) Hills comes here fresh and looks up to this grade. The first up run behind Winning Weather in SA last prep is solid enough for this and she’s still on the up.

(1) Tony Nicconi hasn’t won in a long time but typically does his best racing fresh. He ran well behind Sartorial Splendor first up last prep which reads well. Not sure about him down the straight.

(3) A Good Yarn is in the mix, as is (2) Cosmic Rhapsody.

Couldn’t find a betting angle here.

Tip: (3) A Good Yarn- $8.50 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: No Bet

207607

Race 7

Tick Homes Dash (Rs0mw) (1200m)
6:00pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Tick Homes Dash (Rs0mw) (1200m)
6:00pm (AEDT)

1. Design Rouge (2) J: Patrick Moloney (61.5kg) T: S P Nichols
262620.5
2. As I Please (6) J: Josh Richards (60kg) T: Symon Wilde
43.74.25
3. Joltin' Joe (1) J: Dean Holland (60kg) T: Paul & Tracey Templeton
4.84.65.1
4. Mr Moppett (10) J: Ms Jamie Kah (60kg) T: P A Sweeney
171618.2
5. Black Toff Affair (12) J: Jarrod Fry (59kg) T: David & Coral Feek
6. Magnavale (9) J: Matthew Cartwright (59kg) T: G M Duryea
191919.8
7. Starden Lass (3) J: Damien Thornton (57kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
65.56
8. Queen Of Sass (5) J: Damian Lane (57kg) T: M J Ellerton
665.1
9. Wegobam (8) J: Declan Bates (57kg) T: L & T Corstens
554.45
10. Son Of Bielski (13) J: Brett Prebble (57kg) T: S V Brown
313123.5
11. Keep The Magic (4) J: Will Gordon (57kg) T: R J Linnell
126101131
12. Buddy For Nothing (7) J: Michael Dee (57kg) T: Stephen Field
126101131
13. Grand Pope (11) J: Unknown (57kg) T: Nick Ryan
98.57.4

Different scenario than last time down the straight for (3) Joltin’ Joe, now drawn barrier 1. He was very good in that run when drawn wide and getting into 2nd behind good straight tracker Pioneer River. He’ll need some luck from barrier 1 but is racing very well. 

(9) Wegobam is another racing very well. I don’t mind her back to 1200m and down 3kg in the weights. She should’ve gone close to winning at this T/D two back, beating home (7) Starden Lass who was rock solid. 

(8) Queen Of Sass has come back well winning both runs this prep. She had every possible chance leading last start but is hard to knock.

Backing Wegobam, saving Joltin’ Joe. 

Tip: (9) Wegobam- $5.00 at TAB

Saver: (3) Joltin’ Joe- $5.00 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 0.75 units WIN Wegobam, 0.25 units WIN Joltin’ Joe

Trent’s interest in the thoroughbred started out as a spark with Black Caviar, became a flame with Winx, and has now intensified into a burning obsession with Arcadia Queen. He started out throwing loose change on random trifectas at the pub, but it wasn’t long before he was watching replays and looking at sectionals, weights and markets. Trent specializes in Victorian racing and hopes his first winner as an owner is just around the corner.

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