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Randwick Racing Tips: Saturday, January 22nd

Tim Geers returns to the Sydney scene to preview Saturday’s 10-race card at Randwick!

randwick-racing

The Listed Carrington Stakes headlines a 10-race card at Randwick on Saturday.

Tim Geers is back from a short spell and returns to the Sydney scene ahead of the Autumn carnival!

He’s previewed all 10 races below with his racing tips, best bets and betting strategy.

Scroll down or create a FREE account to find his Randwick racing tips below!

Best Bet: Race 6 – (4) Toomuchtobear

Best Value: Race 8 – (9) True Detective

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207601

Race 1

Petaluma (Bm72) (1100m)
12:25pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Petaluma (Bm72) (1100m)
12:25pm (AEDT)

1. Capital Reign (5) J: Tyler Schiller (61.5kg) T: G Portelli
55.55.1
2. Quick Tempo (2) J: Tom Sherry (61kg) T: M S Minervini
5.556.1
3. Subterranean (1) J: Nash Rawiller (60.5kg) T: M J Dunn
10910
4. Silent Impact (3) J: Tim Clark (58kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
2.82.72.7
5. Flying Crazy (4) J: Hugh Bowman (56.5kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
98.57.7
6. Moridan (7) J: Tommy Berry (56kg) T: A J Cummings
212116.8
7. Spellcatcher (8) J: Reece Jones (55.5kg) T: K A Lees
6.56.55.8
8. Mabel (6) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (54kg) T: T J Bartley
202016.2

Nice little three-year-old race to kick things off but not a betting proposition for me.

(4) Silent Impact won his first two starts before encountering a bit of trouble when last seen in the Dulcify Stakes. Has trialled up well twice leading into his reappearance.

(1) Capital Reign has to carry weight, even with the 2kg claim. Has built a good record with four wins from six starts and bolted in to win his recent trial.

Speaking of nice records, (2) Quick Tempo can’t have done any more with five from five to open his career. Steps up to city grade for the first time now.

(5) Flying Crazy next best and Bowman is a notable booking for the Ryan and Alexiou stable.

Tip: (4) Silent Impact $2.50 TAB

Betting Strategy: No bet

207601

Race 2

Heineken 3 Hcp (1000m)
1:00pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Heineken 3 Hcp (1000m)
1:00pm (AEDT)

1. Zambezi River (8) J: Hugh Bowman (58.5kg) T: C J Waller
4.84.44.25
2. Emperor (14) J: Nash Rawiller (58kg) T: M J Dunn
7.57.56.5
3. Density (12) J: Chad Schofield (57kg) T: David Payne
212617.4
4. Northumbria (5) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (57kg) T: James Cummings
667.1
5. Richon (15) J: Rory Hutchings (57kg) T: Peter Robl
212120.5
6. Sir Artie (2) J: Joshua Parr (57kg) T: P & P Snowden
5.55.56.1
7. Cythera (9) J: Sam Clipperton (55kg) T: P & P Snowden
8. Deep Expectation (3) J: Regan Bayliss (55kg) T: Peter Robl
171714
9. Good Girl (10) J: Jason Collett (55kg) T: Annabel Neasham
10. Mrs Patmore (11) J: (55kg) T: Annabel Neasham
11. Plymstock (7) J: Tim Clark (55kg) T: James Cummings
121212
12. Rare Beauty (1) J: Brock Ryan (55kg) T: R & L Price
121213.2
13. Sumatra (4) J: Ms Rachel King (55kg) T: James Cummings
14. Wild Calm (13) J: Tommy Berry (55kg) T: Annabel Neasham
5.55.54.9
15. Fire And Ice (6) J: Tom Sherry (57kg) T: M S Minervini
202020.5

Two-year-old race with six of the runners on debut, leave me out.

(1) Zambezi River ran 2nd in the Breeder’s Plate behind Sejardan, who then went on to win the Golden Gift at his next start. Looks a good form reference.

(2) Emperor draws of the track here but comes out of that Breeder’s Plate behind Sejardan and Zambezi River.

(14) Wild calm is another that draws off the track but recorded the fastest final 600m in defeat behind Coolangatta on debut in the Gimcrack Stakes.

(4) Northumbira can improve on a disappointing debut where he pulled up with a slow recovery.

Tip: (1) Zambezi River $4.80 TAB

Betting Strategy: No bet

207601

Race 3

Tab Highway Hcp (C2) (1100m)
1:35pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Tab Highway Hcp (C2) (1100m)
1:35pm (AEDT)

1. Shelby Sixtysix (5) J: Reece Jones (58.5kg) T: D A Williams
54.84.85
2. Great Buy (8) J: James Innes Jnr (57kg) T: Brett Robb
161519.2
3. Extravagent Lad (12) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (56.5kg) T: Scott Collings
3.843.95
4. Danzadel (13) J: Tommy Berry (56kg) T: T J Robinson
4.44.44.05
5. Our Blue Moon (7) J: Ms Alysha Collett (56kg) T: D R Mirfin
262622.5
6. Gannett Peak (9) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (56kg) T: M G Cooper
262634
7. Platara (16) J: Brendan Ward (56kg) T: Mark Gee
212124
8. Markwell Dreamer (1) J: Jason Collett (55.5kg) T: Joseph Burges
171717.4
9. Our Baez (19) J: Tyler Schiller (55kg) T: C Heywood
212117
10. Imatruestar (14) J: (55kg) T: Grant Jobson
11. Last War (6) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (54.5kg) T: C Heywood
151616
12. Fifty Carats (4) J: Ms Jess Taylor (54kg) T: C Heywood
181921.5
13. Upside (17) J: Robbie Dolan (54kg) T: Justin Bowen
262620.5
14. Poetic Miss (18) J: Brock Ryan (54kg) T: Warren Ganderton
414130
15. Just Cosmos (3) J: Unknown (54kg) T: Sally Taylor
262632
16. Fangela (2) J: Nash Rawiller (57.5kg) T: K R Dryden
88.58.2
17. Brothers Of Antrim (11) J: Unknown (57.5kg) T: Doug Gorrel
181822.5
18. Devils Triangle (15) J: Sam Clipperton (54kg) T: Matthew Dale
11129.9
19. The Phantom Bantam (20) J: Unknown (54kg) T: J A Sylvester
817153
20. Pee Dee (10) J: Unknown (54kg) T: P M Farrell
676163

You can also leave me out of the Highway with a field of 14 going around.

(16) Fangela is currently first emergency at the time of writing. If he gets a run, I expect him to be very competitive for the Keith Dryden/Nash Rawiller combination. Drawn well, lightly-raced with two wins from four starts and did start $5.00 in a Class 3 Highway at the end of last prep.

(12) Fifty Carats can give some cheek at big odds. Has a very good second up record and just never got into the race as the $2.40 favourite on the Heavy 10 first up.

(1) Shelby Sixtysix has had a strange prep, going 1300m-1600m-1000m-1400m and now back to 1100m.

Tip: (16) Fangela $6.00 BetDeluxe

Value: (12) Fifty Carats $21 BetDeluxe

Betting Strategy: No bet

207601

Race 4

City Tattersalls Group (Bm78) (1600m)
2:10pm (AEDT)

Race 4

City Tattersalls Group (Bm78) (1600m)
2:10pm (AEDT)

1. Arctic Thunder (4) J: Tyler Schiller (61.5kg) T: G Portelli
76.57.1
2. Fleetwood Maca (2) J: Jason Collett (58kg) T: Annabel Neasham
151612.2
3. Majella (8) J: Glyn Schofield (56kg) T: Matthew Smith
141313
4. Meg (11) J: Sam Clipperton (55.5kg) T: Matthew Dale
121213.2
5. Zou De Moon (3) J: Tim Clark (55.5kg) T: J C Deamer
10109.9
6. Sur La Mer (10) J: Tommy Berry (54.5kg) T: C J Waller
554.45
7. And We Danced (5) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (54kg) T: C J Waller
3.23.23.25
8. She's All In (6) J: Ms Alysha Collett (53kg) T: B Joseph & P & M Jones
211923.5
9. Penso A Lei (7) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (52kg) T: Joseph Pride
161614.4
10. Awesome Choice (9) J: Ms Rachel King (52kg) T: Joseph Pride
998.3
11. Room Number (1) J: Quayde Krogh (52kg) T: B Joseph & P & M Jones
343435

Tricky race.

(7) And We Danced was well backed on Australian debut last start, where she was run down by Arctic Thunder, who she now meets 1kg worse at the weights. Expect her to improve off that run though.

(1) Arctic Thunder hasn’t done much wrong this prep, with two wins from three starts. Had excuses when beaten second up and with the claim, gets in well at the weights.

(3) Majella put in two good runs (including a win) before tackling Group 3 company last start. Back down in grade, can go well at double figure odds.

(6) Sur La Mer ran 2nd to Toomuchtobear two starts ago.

Tip: (7) And We Danced $3.30 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: No bet

207601

Race 5

Midway (Bm72) (1800m)
2:45pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Midway (Bm72) (1800m)
2:45pm (AEDT)

1. Brown Thomas (15) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (61.5kg) T: T P Croft
262630
2. Jungle Book (7) J: Jason Collett (57kg) T: Clare Cunningham
4.64.44.95
3. Mr Bond (8) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (57kg) T: Brad Widdup
7.588
4. Canyonero (11) J: Hugh Bowman (56.5kg) T: Richard Litt
191915.2
5. Time Raid (14) J: Rory Hutchings (56.5kg) T: C Karakatsanis
131313.4
6. Viren (12) J: Chad Schofield (55.5kg) T: David Payne
5.564.8
7. White Boots (4) J: Tyler Schiller (55kg) T: Ms K Waugh
886.7
8. Stolen Glance (9) J: Ms Rachel King (54.5kg) T: Ms G Markwell
161717.6
9. Real Peace (5) J: Reece Jones (54.5kg) T: C E Conners
7.587
10. Songbird Serenade (1) J: Brendan Ward (54kg) T: Richard Litt
8.598.2
11. Dream Maiden (13) J: Ms Jess Taylor (53kg) T: J C Coyle
151516.4
12. Main Stage (10) J: Unknown (54kg) T: Ms G Markwell
212123
13. Bak Da Man (2) J: Unknown (54kg) T: Nathan Doyle
999.9
14. Sapphires Son (16) J: Unknown (54kg) T: T J Bartley
414127
15. Josephus (17) J: Unknown (54kg) T: Ms G Markwell
161518.6
16. Champagne Vega (3) J: Unknown (54kg) T: Joseph Ible
262624
17. Clear Blonde (6) J: Unknown (52kg) T: J C Coyle
202022.5

(1) Brown Thomas might be gone but he has a terrific third up record which interests me here. He’s never won from 12 starts when first or second up, but has three wins from five starts when third up, including a 4L demolition job last prep.

(11) Dream Maiden will be an ugly watch for backers but at $26 at least we’re getting a price for the pain. Changed tactics past two starts to ride her cold and she’s gone much better. No luck at all last start at Canterbury when she never saw daylight. Can win.

(2) Jungle Book is ready to win.

Tip: (11) Dream Maiden $26 Sportsbet

Value: (1) Brown Thomas $41 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 0.25 units E/W Dream Maiden, 0.25 units E/W Brown Thomas

207601

Race 6

Precise Air (Bm88) (2000m)
3:20pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Precise Air (Bm88) (2000m)
3:20pm (AEDT)

1. Lord Belvedere (13) J: Tyler Schiller (63kg) T: Annabel Neasham
192015.8
2. Our Candidate (12) J: Hugh Bowman (60.5kg) T: K A Lees
191919.2
3. Desert Icon (10) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (59kg) T: C J Waller
6.566.6
4. Toomuchtobear (1) J: Jason Collett (56kg) T: C J Waller
2.22.152.15
5. So Wicked (2) J: Tommy Berry (55.5kg) T: C J Waller
202116.8
6. Flambeur (11) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (54.5kg) T: Matthew Smith
616171
7. Southern Lights (4) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (54kg) T: Annabel Neasham
262620
8. My Demetra (3) J: Sam Clipperton (54kg) T: P & P Snowden
131310.6
9. Greek Hero (5) J: Ms Rachel King (52kg) T: J C Deamer
7.57.56.9
10. Kaapfever (7) J: Ms Alysha Collett (52kg) T: Joseph Pride
313424.5
11. Maid Of Ore (6) J: Brock Ryan (52kg) T: N J Olive
999.6
12. Criminal Code (8) J: Reece Jones (60.5kg) T: C J Waller
131213
13. Mr Satchmo (9) J: Unknown (58.5kg) T: William Freedman
616173

A Sydney staying race which Waller has a stranglehold on, you wouldn’t read about it.

(4) Toomuchtobear comes up against a pretty ordinary field here, many of which are badly out of form. Draws the inside to either lead or box seat and gets up to 2000m for the first time this prep with a senior jockey taking over. Looks very hard to beat.

(3) Desert Icon comes to Sydney having run 3rd in Melbourne last start. Third up and up to 2000m looks a good formula for him to go well.

(5) So Wicked was beaten out of sight last start before pulling up with cardiac arrhythmia. Went back to the trials and looked OK and has been backed in early markets, despite failing to beat a runner home in her past two starts. Hmm..

Tip: (4) Toomuchtobear $2.20 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Toomuchtobear

207601

Race 7

Acy Securities (Bm78) (1100m)
4:00pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Acy Securities (Bm78) (1100m)
4:00pm (AEDT)

1. Lancaster Bomber (3) J: Tyler Schiller (60.5kg) T: Richard Litt
9107.9
2. Royal Witness (11) J: Chris Williams (60kg) T: Brad Widdup
415132
3. Shadow Crush (8) J: Tom Sherry (60kg) T: Mark Newnham
11119.4
4. Our Bellagio Miss (2) J: Brock Ryan (59.5kg) T: R & L Price
202120
5. Broken Arrows (10) J: Reece Jones (59.5kg) T: M J Dunn
109.59.4
6. Lunakorn (7) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (59kg) T: K A Lees
161716.2
7. Salina Dreaming (1) J: Hugh Bowman (58kg) T: Angela Davies
3.43.43.45
8. Nikohli Beagle (4) J: Ms Jess Taylor (57.5kg) T: J M Austin
76.57.6
9. Moonshine Lady (5) J: Koby Jennings (57kg) T: Ms K Buchanan
7.57.57.6
10. Osamu (6) J: Jason Collett (56.5kg) T: Annabel Neasham
87.57
11. Superior Witness (9) J: Jake Pracey-Holmes (55kg) T: Luke A Thomas
111111.2

The bandages on for the first time is the only real concern I have with (7) Salina Dreaming here. If she turns up in the same fashion she did first up last prep, she’ll win this. She was absolutely dominant over this distance at Warwick Farm back in March, belting her rivals by 3L. Bowman booked from the inside gate on soft ground are all big ticks.

(8) Nikohli Beagle resumed with a good win on the Kensington track but if the track remains in the soft range I have a query on his suitability to it.

(1) Lancaster Bomber might just need one run before showing his best.

Tip: (7) Salina Dreaming $3.40 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Salina Dreaming

207601

Race 8

The Agency Carrington Stakes (1400m)
4:40pm (AEDT)

Race 8

The Agency Carrington Stakes (1400m)
4:40pm (AEDT)

1. Special Reward (2) J: Glyn Schofield (59kg) T: K A Lees
7.57.58.6
2. Purple Sector (6) J: Hugh Bowman (58kg) T: John Thompson
776.2
3. Laure Me In (4) J: Sam Clipperton (57.5kg) T: M J Dunn
262122
4. Prime Candidate (8) J: Jason Collett (57kg) T: Bjorn Baker
7.57.57.4
5. Ziegfeld (1) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (56kg) T: James Cummings
181915.2
6. Looks Like Elvis (14) J: Nash Rawiller (55.5kg) T: J M Austin
141314.8
7. Steely (9) J: Tim Clark (55kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
109.59
8. Charmmebaby (5) J: Reece Jones (54kg) T: R R Milligan
212121.5
9. True Detective (3) J: Tommy Berry (54kg) T: C J Waller
161513.6
10. Invinciano (13) J: Regan Bayliss (54kg) T: Joseph Pride
262621
11. Holyfield (11) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (53.5kg) T: Annabel Neasham
7.57.57
12. No Compromise (10) J: Ms Alysha Collett (53.5kg) T: C J Waller
817159
13. Through The Cracks (12) J: Ms Rachel King (53.5kg) T: Angela Davies
4.24.64.65
14. Petronius (7) J: Brock Ryan (53kg) T: G W Moore
343127

(9) True Detective poses a bit of value here in the Listed Carrington Stakes. He was tough winning first up in a BM88 over 1200m at Rosehill. Coincidentally, last year’s winner of this race (Bandersnatch) was beaten 0.1L in a near-identical race before winning this. Tommy Berry gets on, draws well and is down in the weights. Worth a spec.

(13) Through The Cracks was sound first up in the Christmas Classic at Canterbury. Has three wins from four starts when second up and is undefeated at this distance. Carries no weight so with any luck from the wide gate, will be charging home late.

(6) Looks Like Elvis is flying in Melbourne. Hard to line that form up but the horse is going super.

(2) Purple Sector is knocking on the door and looks primed third up, while (7) Steely has been freshened up for this.

Tip: (9) True Detective $19/$5.00 TAB

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units E/W True Detective

207601

Race 9

Ranvet (Bm88) (1600m)
5:20pm (AEDT)

Race 9

Ranvet (Bm88) (1600m)
5:20pm (AEDT)

1. Countofmontecristo (2) J: Jason Collett (61.5kg) T: K A Lees
343433
2. Criminal Code (9) J: Tyler Schiller (60.5kg) T: C J Waller
262626.5
3. Bottega (7) J: Nash Rawiller (59.5kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
887.4
4. Mr Satchmo (6) J: Tom Sherry (58.5kg) T: William Freedman
151101161
5. Yiyi (11) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (58kg) T: C J Waller
3.83.93.95
6. Opacity (8) J: Reece Jones (57.5kg) T: J A O'shea
161513.6
7. Lackeen (1) J: Tim Clark (57kg) T: James Cummings
65.55.2
8. Kingsheir (10) J: Hugh Bowman (56.5kg) T: C J Waller
4.84.64.5
9. Wairere Falls (3) J: Tommy Berry (56.5kg) T: C J Waller
887.4
10. Canasta (12) J: Joshua Parr (55kg) T: Bjorn Baker
5.566.1
11. O'mudgee (5) J: Ms Rachel King (54.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker
12. King Ratel (4) J: Ms Alysha Collett (54kg) T: Bryce Heys
818193

Hard to go past (5) Yiyi who ran 2nd to Kingsheir first up and gets a 5kg swing in the weights today. Hasn’t missed a placing in his last eight starts now and just needs to overcome the wide gate here.

(6) Opacity does tend to improve second and third up and gets the blinkers back on today, so expect some improvement from him.

(8) Kingsheir won well fresh off a short let-up. Bowman takes over from the 3kg apprentice today so has to give significant weight to what it beat last start but he’s a pretty smart horse on his day.

The inside draw will suit (7) Lackeen better today.

Tip: (5) Yiyi $3.60 TopSport

Value: (6) Opacity $15 TopSport

Betting Strategy: No bet

207601

Race 10

Bowermans (Bm78) (1400m)
6:00pm (AEDT)

Race 10

Bowermans (Bm78) (1400m)
6:00pm (AEDT)

1. Bring The Ransom (2) J: Tyler Schiller (62.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker
9.59.510
2. O'mudgee (3) J: Reece Jones (59.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker
8.589.1
3. I Am Vinnie (7) J: Rory Hutchings (59kg) T: David & Coral Feek
192118.8
4. Papal Warrior (9) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (58.5kg) T: C J Waller
11129.5
5. Trajection (8) J: Nash Rawiller (58kg) T: Ms K Waugh
111111.2
6. Cafe Royal (11) J: Koby Jennings (57.5kg) T: Nathan Doyle
666.1
7. Badoosh (6) J: Hugh Bowman (57kg) T: M J Dunn
141413.4
8. Holy Reign (12) J: Tom Sherry (56.5kg) T: Ms K Waugh
192018.8
9. Yukon (4) J: Chad Schofield (56kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
8.58.57.7
10. Waihaha Falls (10) J: Tommy Berry (55.5kg) T: J A O'shea
3.93.83.5
11. More Sundays (1) J: Ms Rachel King (54kg) T: Sam Kavanagh
10109.7
12. Zaidin (5) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (52kg) T: D S Smith
151101161

(5) Trajection won a BM72 Mares race last start at Warwick Farm and may be able to graduate with a BM78 Saturday race here against the boys. She is unbeaten third up from a spell, has six wins from 10 starts at the distance, and five wins from eight starts on soft ground.

(6) Café Royal sat three-wide on speed first up and battled on well to run 2nd.

(4) Papal Warrior will be ready third up now, while (1) Bring The Ransom and (2) O’mudgee both have claims.

Tip: (5) Trajection $13/$3.90 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units E/W Trajection

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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