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Moonee Valley Racing Tips: Saturday, January 22nd

Racing at Moonee Valley on Saturday and Trent Crebbin has tips for every race.

Back to Moonee Valley for Saturday racing.

Trent Crebbin is back to preview every race, with his best bet in Race 7.

The track is rated a good 4 and the rail is true.

Best Bet- Race 7 (4) Fundraiser

Best Value- Race 6 (10) Invincible Jet & (1) Deep Dive

TAB Sky Racing

207611

Race 1

Dominant.Com.Au (Bm70) (1000m)
12:40pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Dominant.Com.Au (Bm70) (1000m)
12:40pm (AEDT)

1. Unflinching (4) J: Damien Thornton (59kg) T: A & S Freedman
21.92
2. The Superintendent (6) J: Jamie Mott (58.5kg) T: Ben & J D Hayes
9.51010.2
3. Rock Artist (1) J: Mark Zahra (58kg) T: K & K Keys
9.5108.4
4. Obsessive Nature (3) J: Craig Newitt (56.5kg) T: Craig Blackshaw
262626.5
5. Duchy Of Savoy (2) J: Jye Mcneil (55kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
2.42.452.2
6. Return With Reward (7) J: Ms Madison Lloyd (54.5kg) T: Nathan Hobson
414143
7. Better Than Flying (5) J: Will Price (54kg) T: R J Meunier
201151221

Does look a race in two and I’m just leaning to (5) Duchy Of Savoy who has returned very well, bolting in at Sandown. The 3.5L margin could’ve been closer to 5L if fully extended and she did take on some hot races last prep. She gets 4kg off the favourite and can hopefully tag him wherever he goes.

(1) Unflinching will no doubt be hard to run down. He’s been too fast at both career runs, the latest at this T/D in this grade. He’s up 3.5kg in weight but likely finds the front again and if he doesn’t get attacked he’s probably the one to beat.

Tip: (5) Duchy Of Savoy- $2.45 at TopSport

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Duchy Of Savoy

207611

Race 2

Dominant Cleaning Solution Hcp (1200m)
1:15pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Dominant Cleaning Solution Hcp (1200m)
1:15pm (AEDT)

1. Bill Boulder (6) J: Jamie Mott (58kg) T: Ben & J D Hayes
262621.5
2. Counttheheadlights (5) J: Ben Allen (58kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
4.64.44.85
3. Eros (3) J: Mark Zahra (58kg) T: A & S Freedman
2.42.352.15
4. Kokonotsu (9) J: Joe Bowditch (58kg) T: Ms W Kelly
262626.5
5. Reservoir Dog (2) J: Craig Newitt (58kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
888.6
6. Booboo Boogie (7) J: Damian Lane (56kg) T: D T O'brien
7. Laurie Blue (8) J: Damien Thornton (56kg) T: Colin Scott
716757
8. Sumatra (4) J: Ms Jamie Kah (56kg) T: James Cummings
3.33.23.4
9. Hoops (1) J: Jye Mcneil (55.5kg) T: D T O'brien
191815.4

(3) Eros on top. He ran very well on debut at $1.80, sitting outside the leader & winner but just going down by a nose. They gapped 3rd and the overall time was solid, especially the late splits which were strong. Expect he lobs in the first few from barrier 3 and is hard to beat.

(8) Sumatra has won a trial in NSW leading into this, and Kah jumps off Eros to ride which is interesting. She didn’t show heaps of early speed and did have to be ridden out a bit but coasted through the line well. 1200m looks a good starting point for her but expect she gets over a bit further. 

(5) Reservoir Dog has jumped out well enough to be a good chance on debut.

Tip: (3) Eros- $2.40 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Eros

207611

Race 3

Mirasan.Com (Bm100) (2500m)
1:50pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Mirasan.Com (Bm100) (2500m)
1:50pm (AEDT)

1. Good Idea (5) J: Damian Lane (58kg) T: P Stokes
3.83.83.85
2. In A Twinkling (1) J: Jarrod Fry (58kg) T: L Smith
77.56
3. Starcaster (3) J: Ms Linda Meech (57kg) T: A & S Freedman
4.64.64.1
4. Blenheim Palace (4) J: Teodore Nugent (53.5kg) T: Simon Ryan
191915.4
5. Daqiansweet Junior (6) J: Ms Jamie Kah (53kg) T: P Stokes
2.452.32.55
6. Our Mantra (2) J: Josh Richards (53kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
343427
7. Guns Ablazing (7) J: Craig Newitt (53kg) T: Amy & Ash Yargi
121212.2

I thought the favourite (5) Daqiansweet Junior was short enough. He’s progressive and coming off three straight wins, but they’ve all been by narrow margins and this is a big step up from last start. 

(1) Good Idea comes out of the best race, the listed Bagot Handicap. He wasn’t particularly well weighted there carrying 60kg but battled strongly in a very fast early race shape. He looks well placed here with 58kg in benchmark grade and should be hard to beat.

(3) Starcaster races best at The Valley, having won 2/3 at this T/D. He was okay last start in a 2000m bm100 when leading as usual but is a listed winner here and if rated correctly can be hard to run down. 

(2) In A Twinkling the other that can run well, although Good Idea easily had his measure in the Pakenham Cup.

Fairly keen to back Good Idea and Starcaster to beat Daqiansweet Junior. Slightly better result Good Idea.

Tip: (1) Good Idea- $3.80 at TAB

Also Backing: (3) Starcaster- $5.00 at TAB

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Good Idea, 1 unit WIN Starcaster

207611

Race 4

Mia Kleer Hand Sanitiser-Bm70 (2500m)
2:25pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Mia Kleer Hand Sanitiser-Bm70 (2500m)
2:25pm (AEDT)

1. Saving (5) J: Thomas Stockdale (60.5kg) T: Andrea Leek
3.93.64.05
2. Salto Angel (3) J: Damian Lane (59kg) T: D T O'brien
4.64.64.2
3. Coup De Tonnerre (10) J: Ms Jamie Kah (58.5kg) T: Matthew Cumani
99.59.6
4. Lost Impact (1) J: Ms Alana Kelly (58.5kg) T: L Smith
4.54.43.9
5. Packer's Bond (7) J: Blaike Mcdougall (58.5kg) T: Henry Dwyer
151512.4
6. Swelter Magic (4) J: Teodore Nugent (58kg) T: K L Corstens
9.59.59.6
7. Wellsford (9) J: Dean Holland (58kg) T: Jarrod Robinson
65.56.6
8. Eaton (2) J: Patrick Moloney (56.5kg) T: M & L Cerchi
202016.8
9. Alienated (6) J: Jason Benbow (55kg) T: C G Murray
414145
10. My Buttons Bigger (8) J: Ms Madison Lloyd (54kg) T: Patrick Keane
10110185

(7) Wellsford comes out of the strongest race behind Seawhatyouthink and whilst he was beaten 6L, he did still beat Brilliant Venture home, who came out and bolted in at Caulfield, beating a couple that line up here. The start prior at this T/D he was a touch unlucky and this looks the right race for him.

(1) Saving is a tricky one. If he gets everything his way, he looks super and wins well. He got that last start and won, but the start prior he had to work a bit early and got keen, not able to finish off. He’s back to 2500m but did beat Bagot winner Tigertiger by 6L at this T/D earlier in the prep, again when able to dictate. 

(2) Salto Angel should be at peak fitness now after running well behind Brilliant Venture last start. She was only 3rd up there but it was a very slowly run race. 

(4) Lost Impact next best.

Tip: (7) Wellsford- $6.50 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Wellsford

207611

Race 5

Ladbrokes Fast Withdrawal-Bm78 (1000m)
3:00pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Ladbrokes Fast Withdrawal-Bm78 (1000m)
3:00pm (AEDT)

1. Grandview Avenue (1) J: Ms Tatum Bull (65kg) T: K M Elford
212121.5
2. Yulong Command (6) J: Matthew Cartwright (61kg) T: A & S Freedman
2.252.152.15
3. Sam's Image (3) J: Ms Laura Lafferty (60kg) T: J D Sadler
665.5
4. Music Addition (2) J: Jason Maskiell (58kg) T: Peter Gelagotis
414131
5. Winsum (5) J: Jye Mcneil (57.5kg) T: K & K Keys
2.92.92.95
6. Mister Yu Shu (8) J: Ms Alana Kelly (56kg) T: J T Conlan
181615.6
7. The Last Napoleon (4) J: Will Price (55.5kg) T: Kylie Vella
121211.2
8. Pravro (7) J: Josh Richards (55kg) T: Ms G Johnstone
212026.5

This is a great little match race between (2) Yulong Command and (5) Winsum who have clashed a couple of times before. 

(2) Yulong Command was no match for Scorched Earth down the straight last start and is better suited around a bend. His run prior at listed level when leading was very good, only beaten 1.5L by Enthaar. In their two meetings, Yulong Command is 1-1 all with Winsum, although the advantage came over 1200m. 

(5) Winsum is best kept to the 1000m. He resumed with a strong win at Pakenham and has been kept fresh for this. Interesting to note he’s started $4 against Yulong Command’s $21 both times they’ve met, which has never been at 1000m. I think both are suited at the trip, but Winsum a touch more so. Winsum can land midfield and Yulong Command may have to work a bit with Grandview Avenue and Sam’s Image drawn inside which has me leaning to Winsum.

Tip: (5) Winsum- $2.90 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Winsum

207611

Race 6

Dominant Protect Brand (Bm70) (1200m)
3:40pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Dominant Protect Brand (Bm70) (1200m)
3:40pm (AEDT)

1. Deep Dive (1) J: Logan Mcneil (63kg) T: A & S Freedman
10108.4
2. Threeandfourpence (4) J: Lachlan Neindorf (63kg) T: C I Brown
313124.5
3. Japery (6) J: Ms Alana Kelly (60.5kg) T: Patrick Payne
191916.4
4. Alburq (5) J: Matthew Cartwright (60kg) T: M D Moroney
8.58.59.1
5. Mr Moppett (9) J: Josh Richards (60kg) T: P A Sweeney
616163
6. Rogue Star (2) J: Jye Mcneil (60kg) T: Andrew Noblet
10108.9
7. Write Your Name (11) J: Ms Melissa Julius (60kg) T: L Smith
161517.2
8. National Choice (10) J: Patrick Moloney (59.5kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
121213
9. Marimenko (7) J: Fred Kersley (59kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
3.73.73.65
10. Invincible Jet (3) J: Jordan Childs (58.5kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
9.58.57.8
11. Sharp Response (8) J: Beau Mertens (58kg) T: Julius Sandhu
3.63.53.7

Competitive little race. (10) Invincible Jet is ready now 3rd up. The first up run was a touch plain but he improved 2nd up behind In The Boat, looking like he needed 1200m which he gets here. He’ll get a soft run on speed from the gate.

(1) Deep Dive is in a similar boat. He’s run well at both starts this prep and is ready now. He may even try to lead from barrier 1 and will take some running down.

(11) Sharp Response returned with a very good run down the straight behind Clemenceau, just missing. 2nd up in his first prep he ran 2nd to Jigsaw which was solid form at the time, although he’ll have to give some fit, older horses a head start here.

(9) Marimenko has upside after a very good first prep here. He’s got good early speed but it’ll be interesting to see what they do with him from a sticky gate. 

Backing Invincible Jet and Deep Dive 1×3, meaning if either places we make small profit which I think at least one will.

Tip: (10) Invincible Jet- $10.00/3.10 at Bet365


Also Backing: (1) Deep Dive- $10.00/3.10 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 0.25/0.75 units E/W Invincible Jet, 0.25/0.75 units E/W Deep Dive

207611

Race 7

Mirasan Hand Sanitiser (Bm84) (1500m)
4:20pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Mirasan Hand Sanitiser (Bm84) (1500m)
4:20pm (AEDT)

1. Le Baol (4) J: Ethan Brown (60kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
212021.5
2. Neighbourhood (5) J: Lachlan Neindorf (58.5kg) T: E Jusufovic
141513.8
3. Eureka Street (1) J: Mark Zahra (58kg) T: J Warren & D Krongold
514134
4. Fundraiser (3) J: Jye Mcneil (58kg) T: Ben & J D Hayes
3.43.53.3
5. Surreal Image (2) J: Brian Higgins (57kg) T: K L Corstens
344128
6. High 'N' Dry (9) J: Matthew Cartwright (56.5kg) T: M J Ellerton
8.58.58.6
7. Muswellbrook (6) J: Jake Noonan (56kg) T: Ben & J D Hayes
161613
8. Red Kelly (11) J: Blaike Mcdougall (56kg) T: P G Moody
262623
9. Garimpeiro (8) J: Craig Newitt (55.5kg) T: L Smith
141215
10. Galactic Fury (7) J: Josh Richards (54kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
87.58.1
11. New Choice (12) J: Ms Madison Lloyd (54kg) T: C Vidotto & C Beasy
151513.6
12. Unanimous (10) J: Ms Jamie Kah (54kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
3.23.43.25

Keen on (4) Fundraiser here. He was very good first up down the straight over an unsuitable 1200m, running on well with 61kg. 2nd up last prep he was a touch unlucky but ran on well at Caulfield behind Corner Pocket which is good form. He’s quickly up to 1500m here but expecting the stable have him fit enough and he can land much closer from the gate.

(12) Unanimous is racing well but this is harder. He’s down in the weights but just a query where he gets to on the map from the wide gate.

(10) Galactic Fury drops 10kg in weight after recording a strong win last start. This is much harder but he’ll be hard to hold out. 

(6) High ’n’ Dry next best.

Tip: (4) Fundraiser- $3.50 at TopSport

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Fundraiser

207611

Race 8

Dominant Sanitation (Bm84) (1200m)
5:00pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Dominant Sanitation (Bm84) (1200m)
5:00pm (AEDT)

1. Curran (12) J: Matthew Cartwright (61.5kg) T: Ms L Tolson & Ms L Proctor
8.59.57.2
2. Ocean Beyond (14) J: Thomas Stockdale (60.5kg) T: Daniel Bowman
211917.8
3. Titan Blinders (11) J: Logan Mcneil (60.5kg) T: L & T Corstens
414131
4. Vainstream (7) J: Craig Newitt (60.5kg) T: John Pascoe
515151
5. Midnight Storm (9) J: Blaike Mcdougall (60kg) T: L Macdonald & A Gluyas
201823.5
6. Exeter (13) J: Damian Lane (59.5kg) T: D T O'brien
141411.2
7. Midships (10) J: Ms Laura Lafferty (59.5kg) T: D R Brideoake
343131
8. Pioneer River (4) J: Josh Richards (59kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
7.57.56.8
9. Broadwayandfourth (8) J: Mark Zahra (57.5kg) T: Mitchell Freedman
9.51010.2
10. Great Leveller (6) J: Ms Jamie Kah (57.5kg) T: Jon O'connor
101011.2
11. In The Boat (5) J: Ms Alana Kelly (57kg) T: L Smith
2.92.83
12. Free To Move (1) J: Ms Madison Lloyd (55kg) T: K & K Keys
918165
13. Sacred Palace (2) J: Michael Poy (55kg) T: L Smith
8.58.59.1
14. Florescent Star (3) J: Dean Holland (54.5kg) T: Amy & Ash Yargi
151512.2

See no reason why (11) In The Boat won’t be too fast again. He was given a great front running ride by Kelly last start at Caulfield to hold off Marine One and up to 1200m is no issue at all. With 55kg, he’s rock hard fit and finds the front again.

(1) Curran has been mixing his form but went well behind Marabi last start which is obviously good form. Back to a bm84 suits although I’d prefer him at Caulfield. 

(7) Midships races well fresh and the golden topaz win says he’s clearly up to these. Draw is a bit sticky however.

(13) Sacred Palace will need some luck from barrier 2 but if the gaps come he’ll be charging at them late. 

Tip: (11) In The Boat- $3.00 at TAB

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN In The Boat

207611

Race 9

Dominant Powered Cleaning-Bm70 (1200m)
5:40pm (AEDT)

Race 9

Dominant Powered Cleaning-Bm70 (1200m)
5:40pm (AEDT)

1. Galgani (10) J: Josh Richards (61kg) T: Ms N Burke
151514.4
2. Mariamia (1) J: Thomas Stockdale (60.5kg) T: Shane Stockdale
5.55.56.1
3. Apres La Mer (9) J: Damien Thornton (59kg) T: D Binaisse
151515.4
4. What A Smasher (8) J: Jake Noonan (59kg) T: A W Noonan
817155
5. Demando (5) J: Jye Mcneil (58kg) T: Andrew Noblet
343125.5
6. Gabeira (11) J: Damian Lane (58kg) T: C J Waller
665.5
7. Gloves Are Off (2) J: Teodore Nugent (58kg) T: K Hann
119.510.6
8. Way To Go Paula (6) J: Ms Jamie Kah (58kg) T: P Stokes
777.6
9. Hamslette (4) J: Blaike Mcdougall (57.5kg) T: Andrew Noblet
181714.4
10. Estoril Park (3) J: Matthew Cartwright (57kg) T: L & T Corstens
6.56.56.5
11. Patrika Gold (7) J: Ms Tahlia Hope (56.5kg) T: Mitchell Freedman
4.54.83.95
12. Night Of Delight (12) J: Ms Alana Kelly (55.5kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
212123.5

Toughest race of the day. (6) Gabeira was very good first up behind In The Boat and Marine One, running the 2nd fastest lat 600/400m of the race. The wide gate is the query but last prep he drew wide a few times and went forward, so perhaps they do so again despite Waller’s pattern.

(11) Patrika Gold was far too good on debut at Terang, leading all the way. This is harder but she’s promising. 

(10) Estoril Park ran well last start in a strong bm64. She drops 3kg and maps for a soft run here.

(2) Mariamia bolted in here a few runs back when able to lead and dictate. Doubt that happens here but she’s racing well.

Tip: (6) Gabeira- $6.00 at TAB

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Gabeira

Trent’s interest in the thoroughbred started out as a spark with Black Caviar, became a flame with Winx, and has now intensified into a burning obsession with Arcadia Queen. He started out throwing loose change on random trifectas at the pub, but it wasn’t long before he was watching replays and looking at sectionals, weights and markets. Trent specializes in Victorian racing and hopes his first winner as an owner is just around the corner.

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