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Flemington Racing Tips: Saturday, March 5th

Billy Bestford brings you his full preview of a huge day of racing at headquarters this Saturday.

Degraves-Flemington

It’s Australian Guineas day on a cracking card of racing at Flemington.

Billy Bestford is in the chair to preview every race, with his best bet coming up in Race 3.

The track is currently rated a good 4 with the rail out 2 metres.

Best Bet: Race 3 – (9) Rose Quartz

Best Value: Race 5 – (11) Shadow Devil

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Race 1

The Aust Childhood Foundation (1000m)
12:35pm (AEDT)

Race 1

The Aust Childhood Foundation (1000m)
12:35pm (AEDT)

1. Mumbai Jewel (4) J: Mark Zahra (57kg) T: Annabel Neasham
444.25
2. Superset (10) J: Ben Melham (57kg) T: Shea Eden
8.58.59.1
3. Sketched (1) J: Craig Newitt (57kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
191919.2
4. Blue Chair Bay (6) J: Jamie Mott (57kg) T: T J Andrews
818159
5. Cannon (8) J: Jye Mcneil (57kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
121210.2
6. Crystalist (2) J: Damian Lane (57kg) T: M J Ellerton
665.4
7. Millane (3) J: Luke Nolen (57kg) T: P G Moody
7.57.56.6
8. Veloce Carro (5) J: John Allen (57kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
9. Bohemian Daisy (7) J: Fred Kersley (55kg) T: Annabel Neasham
887.1
10. Wee Nessy (9) J: Ms Jamie Kah (55kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
3.63.63.65

Odds Last Updated: March 5, 2022, 12:39pm (AEDT)

(1) Mumbai Jewel has the benefit of race experience here and was impressive winning the Pierro up in Sydney. That was a big final 600m and I think they’ve worked out how to ride her. She’s progressive and looks a big chance.

(10) Wee Nessy has a few wraps on her coming off an impressive jumpout win and Jamie Kah is booked for the debut. Really put them away when asked for an effort in that jumpout and she could be anything.

(7) Millane was an expensive purchase and has had the benefit of a few jumpouts. Looked good winning two of those and running 2nd in the other two. Expect the stable have him very forward and ready to fire.

(2) Superset next best.

Tip: (1) Mumbai Jewel - $4.25 at BoomBet

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Mumbai Jewel

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Race 2

Roy Higgins Qlty (2600m)
1:10pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Roy Higgins Qlty (2600m)
1:10pm (AEDT)

1. Future Score (3) J: Mark Zahra (58kg) T: Matthew Cumani
141411.6
2. Good Idea (4) J: Brett Prebble (58kg) T: P Stokes
202116.8
3. South Pacific (1) J: Craig Williams (55.5kg) T: Richard Litt
141414
4. Crystal Pegasus (2) J: Ms Jamie Kah (55kg) T: C J Waller
1.751.751.72
5. Tigertiger (7) J: Damien Oliver (54.5kg) T: R J Blacker
4.855.1
6. Playoffs (8) J: John Allen (54kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
6.56.56
7. Salto Angel (6) J: Jye Mcneil (54kg) T: D T O'brien
161716
8. Wertheimer (9) J: (54kg) T: Michael Hickmott
9. Lion's Share (5) J: Robbie Dolan (54kg) T: Steven Pateman
414147

Odds Last Updated: March 5, 2022, 1:14pm (AEDT)

Looking forward to seeing promising stayer (4) Crystal Pegasus step up to this sort of trip for the first time. Was extremely good late on last start to storm home and win when staying at 2000m so everything points to him relishing this trip. He’s unbeaten from two 4th up runs and is at peak fitness now, gets a nice drop in the weights and Jamie Kah jumps on board from a good gate.

(7) Salto Angel can fill a placing here at a big price. Doesn’t win out of turn but is ultra consistent and will be suited onto the big Flemington track.

(5) Tigertiger was a pass mark first up over 2000m with a big weight. That run under the belt should suit and rising in trip is certainly no negative. Knows how to find the line and looks a big threat.

(6) Playoffs is next best and is a winner over 2500m so you can guarantee he will run the trip.

Tip: (4) Crystal Pegasus - $1.90 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 2u WIN Crystal Pegasus

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Race 3

The Resimax Group (Bm90) (1200m)
1:45pm (AEDT)

Race 3

The Resimax Group (Bm90) (1200m)
1:45pm (AEDT)

1. Vassilator (5) J: Jordan Childs (63kg) T: Lisa Jones
615163
2. Superium (6) J: Jye Mcneil (62kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
131310.6
3. Imperial Lad (3) J: Ms Linda Meech (58.5kg) T: J F Moloney
121212.2
4. Vainstream (1) J: Ethan Brown (58.5kg) T: John Pascoe
262626.5
5. Rich Itch (11) J: Ben Melham (57kg) T: Shawn Mathrick
101101111
6. Rainbiel (2) J: Dean Holland (56.5kg) T: Anthony Chibnall
888.1
7. Bermadez (10) J: Damien Oliver (55.5kg) T: M D Moroney
554.45
8. Bons Abroad (8) J: Matthew Cartwright (54kg) T: K L Corstens
101011.2
9. Rose Quartz (4) J: Michael Dee (54kg) T: G M Begg
2.352.352.4
10. Evening Glory (9) J: Ms Jamie Kah (54kg) T: A & S Freedman
99.57.8
11. The Siscos Kid (7) J: Damien Thornton (54kg) T: Henry Dwyer
414131

Odds Last Updated: March 5, 2022, 1:49pm (AEDT)

Pretty keen on the chances of (9) Rose Quartz who is absolutely flying this prep. She was unlucky not to win two back but loved having an easy lead last start and bolted in. She takes the logical step up in grade here and she is 2/2 at this track and trip. Maps well and she is going better than most of these. She’s my best on the card.

If there’s a danger it looks to be front-running (7) Bermadez who has proved himself a genuine fresh horse. 3/3 first up off a spell and he does like Flemington. A narrow 2nd to Lighthouse has turned into A grade form. 1200m?

(3) Imperial Lad the best EW chance for mine and first up over 1200m is a pretty good recipe for his success. He’s got genuine speed and he is proven in this grade. I don’t want to lose on him.

(10) Evening Glory is ready to do something 3rd up and form has stacked up around his two runs this prep.

Tip: (9) Rose Quartz - $2.40 at Bet365

Saver: (3) Imperial Lad - $12 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 3u WIN Rose Quartz, 0.25u WIN Imperial Lad

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Race 4

Furphy Frances Tressady Stakes (1400m)
2:20pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Furphy Frances Tressady Stakes (1400m)
2:20pm (AEDT)

1. Quantum Mechanic (11) J: Damian Lane (58.5kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
191916.4
2. Electric Girl (4) J: Damien Oliver (58.5kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
11129.5
3. Sirileo Miss (10) J: Ms Linda Meech (58kg) T: Symon Wilde
3.53.43.65
4. Zou Dancer (6) J: John Allen (58kg) T: D T O'brien
998.1
5. Annavisto (8) J: Ms Jamie Kah (57kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
4.54.64.4
6. More Prophets (5) J: Craig Williams (57kg) T: John Thompson
141412.4
7. Bring The Ransom (3) J: Joshua Parr (56kg) T: Bjorn Baker
262620.5
8. Excelida (2) J: Brett Prebble (56kg) T: Ben & J D Hayes
99.59.6
9. Vespertine (1) J: Jordan Childs (56kg) T: G M Begg
111112
10. Maracana (9) J: Damien Thornton (54kg) T: D T O'brien
343426.5
11. Jal Lei (7) J: Jye Mcneil (54kg) T: J A O'shea
101010.2

Odds Last Updated: March 5, 2022, 2:24pm (AEDT)

Tough to split the top two here but I’m going to side with (5) Annavisto who has jumped out really nicely behind Lightsaber in the lead up to this. Flies fresh, looks to get more map favours than key rival and I think she can go to another level this prep.

(3) Sirileo Miss is hard to knock and went through last prep in almost faultless fashion. She’s unbeaten from three first up runs and has also looked good at the jumpouts. Might need a good ride from Linda from the gate.

(4) Zou Dancer probably the main threat to the top two and really liked what she did in a recent trial. She can run time and impressed when winning first up last prep.

Tip: (5) Annavisto - $4.80 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Annavisto

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Race 5

Inglis Sprint (1200m)
3:00pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Inglis Sprint (1200m)
3:00pm (AEDT)

1. Overpass (13) J: Joshua Parr (59.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker
2.252.152.05
2. He's Xceptional (11) J: Mark Zahra (58.5kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
1919.2
3. Daily Bugle (10) J: Damian Lane (58kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
515138
4. Sneaky Five (1) J: Ms Linda Meech (57.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
7.57.58.1
5. Baranof (4) J: Jordan Childs (57kg) T: John Thompson
101101101
6. Pegasi (2) J: Damien Thornton (57kg) T: T & C Mcevoy
615151
7. The Art Of Flying (6) J: John Allen (57kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
262632
8. Lord Paramount (5) J: Jye Mcneil (57kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
344129
9. Able Willie (3) J: Craig Williams (57kg) T: C J Waller
554.6
10. Spellcatcher (7) J: Ben Melham (57kg) T: K A Lees
151515.2
11. Shadow Devil (12) J: Damien Oliver (57kg) T: Mark Newnham
76.57.1
12. Zetarita (9) J: Brett Prebble (55kg) T: K A Lees
817183
13. Well In Sight (8) J: Craig Newitt (55kg) T: Mitchell Beer
313435

Odds Last Updated: March 5, 2022, 3:00pm (AEDT)

Think (11) Shadow Devil can run a race here at an EW price. Is unbeaten through two career starts and the last start win was incredible. The stable clearly have an opinion throwing him straight in the deep end and while it’s not easy to jump from 64 grade to this but I think there’s some X factor about him.

Obviously (1) Overpass is the one to beat and there is no knock on him from me. Brings serious form into this and could just win this with a leg in the air. He’s never been one of mine and at the current price I will be leaving him.

(9) Able Willie will be suited getting to 1200m and things just didn’t pan out for him the way the race was run last start. He’s ready to win now.

(4) Sneaky Five has only been beaten once (in a Manikato!) Won twice when fresh and she has flown under the radar in this field for mine.

Tip: (11) Shadow Devil - $7.50 at Bet365

Also Backing: (4) Sneaky Five - $8.00 at TopSport

Betting Strategy: 0.5u WIN Shadow Devil, 0.5u WIN Sneaky Five

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Race 6

Tab Blamey Stakes (1600m)
3:40pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Tab Blamey Stakes (1600m)
3:40pm (AEDT)

1. Zaaki (1) J: Ms Jamie Kah (59kg) T: Annabel Neasham
2.22.252.1
2. Lunar Fox (2) J: Brett Prebble (59kg) T: P A Preusker
126101111
3. Bankers Choice (9) J: Mark Zahra (57kg) T: M D Moroney
343425.5
4. King Magnus (8) J: Damien Oliver (56kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
262623.5
5. Mr Brightside (4) J: Craig Williams (56kg) T: Ben & J D Hayes
4.64.44.9
6. Corner Pocket (3) J: Declan Bates (56kg) T: L Smith
9.598.9
7. King Of Leogrance (5) J: Jye Mcneil (55kg) T: Robert Hickmott
413430
8. Purple Sector (6) J: Jordan Childs (55kg) T: John Thompson
343425
9. Pondus (10) J: Ben Melham (55kg) T: Robert Hickmott
414130
10. Inspirational Girl (7) J: Damian Lane (53kg) T: D T O'brien
3.93.93.95

Odds Last Updated: March 5, 2022, 3:44pm (AEDT)

No doubt Zaaki will be tough to beat but I think at the price (10) Inspirational Girl can give this a good shake. Down on the 53.5kg, she flies 2nd up winning 3 from 3 while she’s also unbeaten at the mile so the stats are there. She was pretty good fresh considering the slow speed where she flew home running some quick late sectionals. She is ready to win now.

(1) Zaaki is a gun and we saw what he did last prep. Only proven G1 horse in this field and he was a super winner when first up last time in work. Could just be too good for these!

(5) Mr Brightside proved himself to be group-class last prep and it was a very encouraging return from him. He charged late and looks ready for the mile where he is 5 wins from 6 starts.

Tip: (10) Inspirational Girl - $3.95 at TopSport

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Inspirational Girl

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Race 7

Australian Guineas (1600m)
4:20pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Australian Guineas (1600m)
4:20pm (AEDT)

1. Hitotsu (2) J: John Allen (57kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
4.54.44.65
2. Captivant (10) J: Ms Jamie Kah (57kg) T: P & P Snowden
6.56.55.7
3. Profondo (15) J: Robbie Dolan (57kg) T: Richard Litt
4.54.44.65
4. Forgot You (6) J: Mark Zahra (57kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
7.588.1
5. Alegron (3) J: Damien Oliver (57kg) T: James Cummings
676749
6. Coastwatch (18) J: Craig Williams (57kg) T: Chris Waller
7. Lightsaber (4) J: Luke Nolen (57kg) T: P G Moody
161614
8. Ranch Hand (9) J: Craig Williams (57kg) T: C J Waller
181815
9. Pinstriped (11) J: Michael Dee (57kg) T: E Jusufovic
7.57.57.2
10. Rhinoceros (5) J: Jamie Mott (57kg) T: E & D Browne
919197
11. Spirit Of Gaylard (8) J: Jordan Childs (57kg) T: Mitchell Freedman
515147
12. Sharp Response (12) J: Beau Mertens (57kg) T: Julius Sandhu
414133
13. Prix De Turn (16) J: Ben Allen (57kg) T: Matthew Brown
414147
14. Zerelle (17) J: Craig Newitt (57kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
716159
15. Pascero (7) J: Damian Lane (57kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
181915
16. Bon's A Pearla (13) J: Brett Prebble (55kg) T: K L Corstens
6151
17. Maurice's Medad (14) J: Joshua Parr (57kg) T: Bjorn Baker
3131
18. Corona Lad (1) J: Thomas Stockdale (57kg) T: Nathan Dunn
919171

Odds Last Updated: March 5, 2022, 4:24pm (AEDT)

Having two bets in the feature race of the day.

(2) Captivant is primed to run a peak here 3rd up and has been building very nicely with this race in mind. He was good running home last start with a big weight and up to the mile with Jamie Kah booked is a big tick. Gate 10 keeps him out of trouble and I think the race fitness edge is going to be key to this race.

With that in mind (9) Pinstriped is the other horse I want to have something on. How good is this guy? He’s 3/3 now and has been running serious closing sectionals to win his last couple. Love the upside and X factor about him and guarantee he will be flying late.

No doubt (3) Profondo can win but first up at 1600 I’m happy to let him go around against some of these fitter horses. He’s proven himself as one of the best colts in the country and will be right in this.

(1) Hitotsu was as good a Vic Derby win as you’ll see at the end of last prep and while he might be better over further you cannot count this stable out for getting them ready for this big ones.

(7) Lightsaber the value for me with a complete forgive run last start when missing kick in Orr. First up run was very good and he’s unbeaten 3rd up. If he jumps with them he can be the speed horse that could get away with this.

Tip: (2) Captivant - $7.00 at TAB

Also Backing: (9) Pinstriped - $6.50 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Captivant, 1u WIN Pinstriped

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Race 8

Ata/Bob Hoysted (1000m)
5:00pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Ata/Bob Hoysted (1000m)
5:00pm (AEDT)

1. Trekking (3) J: Damien Oliver (63kg) T: James Cummings
171715.4
2. Brooklyn Hustle (5) J: Ms Jamie Kah (57kg) T: J Warren & D Krongold
788.1
3. Hi Stranger (12) J: Damien Thornton (56.5kg) T: S Fliedner
414140
4. Malkovich (8) J: Joshua Parr (56kg) T: Bjorn Baker
4.54.64.3
5. Express Pass (6) J: Fred Kersley (54.5kg) T: Nick Ryan
171613.8
6. Fituese (7) J: Jordan Childs (54.5kg) T: John Thompson
7. Mileva (1) J: Brett Prebble (54.5kg) T: P Stokes
5.55.55.6
8. Enthaar (13) J: Ms Linda Meech (54kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
77.56.6
9. Sword Of Mercy (9) J: Damian Lane (54kg) T: M J Ellerton
88.56.9
10. Dirty Thoughts (10) J: Michael Dee (54kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
262620.5
11. All Banter (2) J: Craig Williams (54kg) T: R & C Jolly
9.58.59.6
12. It's Me (4) J: Jye Mcneil (54kg) T: B F Cavanough
141513.2
13. Esta La Roca (11) J: Joe Bowditch (54kg) T: Lloyd Kennewell
212023

Odds Last Updated: March 5, 2022, 5:04pm (AEDT)

I’ll put (2) Brooklyn Hustle on top who just never seems to help herself with racing pattern, but the talent is there. Was extremely unlucky not to win Oakleigh Plate first up last prep and was good here over 1400 at the end of that prep. She deserves another win.

(12) It’s Me looks a big price coming down from Sydney. That was her first run in a long time when first up following a few issues. She’s unbeaten at 1000m and that run under the belt might have done a world of good. I like the Sydney Form as a point of difference.

(9) Sword Of Mercy is a much better horse 2nd up and the two horses that beat beat her home last start have franked the form since. She can win!

(4) Malkovich is speedy and there’s no real knock on him besides the price. Can’t get him that short in comparison to a few of these.

Tip: (2) Brooklyn Hustle - $8.00 at Sportsbet

Also Backing: (12) It's Me - $15/$4.40 at TAB

Betting Strategy: 0.5u WIN Brooklyn Hustle, 0.5/1u It's Me

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Race 9

The Schweppes (Bm84) (1600m)
5:35pm (AEDT)

Race 9

The Schweppes (Bm84) (1600m)
5:35pm (AEDT)

1. Gentleman Roy (8) J: Luke Nolen (59.5kg) T: Ben & J D Hayes
4.84.84.85
2. High 'N' Dry (7) J: Matthew Cartwright (59.5kg) T: M J Ellerton
263124
3. Nicolini Vito (16) J: Josh Richards (59.5kg) T: Ben & J D Hayes
121210.2
4. Portland Jimmy (6) J: Thomas Stockdale (58.5kg) T: Patrick Payne
917193
5. Heavenly Emperor (14) J: Ben Allen (58kg) T: S V Brown
343431
6. O'mudgee (10) J: Joshua Parr (58kg) T: Bjorn Baker
262625.5
7. Savaheat (15) J: Ben Melham (58kg) T: Shawn Mathrick
919179
8. Chantrea (5) J: Declan Bates (57kg) T: L Smith
616163
9. Ripper Rita (12) J: Damian Lane (56.5kg) T: G Eurell
161615.8
10. Yonce (2) J: John Allen (56kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
3.133.15
11. Basarwa (1) J: Jye Mcneil (55.5kg) T: D T O'brien
776
12. Savannah Cloud (13) J: Zac Spain (55kg) T: P Stokes
7.587
13. Unique Artist (9) J: Ms Jamie Kah (54.5kg) T: P Stokes
131414.2
14. Fleetwood Maca (11) J: Fred Kersley (54kg) T: Annabel Neasham
313128
15. Divine Diosa (3) J: Damien Thornton (54kg) T: Simon Zahra
16. Upswing (4) J: Michael Dee (54kg) T: Patrick Payne
677147

Odds Last Updated: March 5, 2022, 5:39pm (AEDT)

(10) Yonce has proven herself to be a very versatile horse with the way she’s put together four straight wins. I don’t see any reason to jump off her here depending how bad this rain hits. If we’re racing on a 6 or better she looks hard to beat. Maps well from 2 and is airborne.

Speaking of airbone, (1) Gentleman Roy knocked off the smart Tuvalu last start, taking his record to 4 wins from his last 5 starts. You know what you get with him and he will lead these up and will take some running down.

(12) Savannah Cloud was the last horse to beat Roy and gets a big weight swing in his favour today. Super consistent and dropping in the weights could be key.

(9) Ripper Rita is fitter now and that first up run was good. She’s suited getting to the mile now and looks a good value chance.

No knock (11) Basarwa who is also flying and the win last start was that of a horse who is working it all out now. Tougher here but stable will have him ready.

Tip: (10) Yonce - $3.05 at BoomBet

Betting Strategy: 2u WIN Yonce

Billy has been an avid racing fan ever since he and a few mates started a punters club once they turned 18. Following the initial punters clubs, he was properly hooked after landing a nice collect on Admire Rakti in the 2014 Caulfield Cup and has had a soft spot for Japanese horses ever since. Is a massive fan of 'blinkers first time' and has been known to enjoy a 'Hail Mary' multi. Loves punting across metro Sydney and Melbourne every Saturday but isn't scared to venture West late in the day to find a Pikey special.

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