Racing Tips

Happy Valley Racing Tips: Wednesday, April 21st

Tim Geers picks out his three best bets on Wednesday night’s card at Happy Valley.

by
Tim Geers
20 April 2021

Hong Kong racing takes place at Happy Valley on Wednesday night, where the city track hosts a nine-race card.

Tim Geers has picked out his three best bets on the card, which come up in Race 6, Race 8 and Race 9.

Find his preview and tips below, complete with his betting strategy.

Best Bet: Race 8 – (1) Capital Star

Race 1

Pottinger Hcp (C3) (2200m)
8:45pm (AEDT)

Race 1 Pottinger Hcp (C3) (2200m) 8:45pm (AEDT)
1. Golden Spectrum (4) J: Z Purton (60.5kg) T: A S Cruz	3.8	4	3.9	3.9	3.75
2. Vincy (2) J: H Bentley (59kg) T: D Whyte	8	8.5	8.5	8.5	8.1
3. Arrogant (1) J: J Moreira (56.5kg) T: C Fownes	2.8	2.9	2.9	2.9	2.75
4. Xiang Bai Qi (5) J: K Teetan (56kg) T: D Ferraris	7.5	8	8	8	7.7
5. Above (3) J: A Hamelin (56kg) T: A T Millard	9	9.5	9.5	9.5	9.1
6. Dynamic Eagle (7) J: M Chadwick (55kg) T: C S Shum	7.5	8	8	8	7.7
7. Pakistan Friend (8) J: T Piccone (55kg) T: W Y So	9.5	10	10	10	9.6
8. Murray's Partners (6) J: K C Leung (53.5kg) T: C H Yip	15	16	16	16	15.4

Race 2

Duddell Hcp (C5) (1200m)
9:15pm (AEDT)

Race 2 Duddell Hcp (C5) (1200m) 9:15pm (AEDT)
1. Split Of A Second (7) J: A Hamelin (60.5kg) T: W Y So	8	8	8	8	7.7
2. Valiant Elegance (2) J: J Moreira (60.5kg) T: D Whyte	4.6	4.8	4.4	4.4	4.65
3. Vital Spring (5) J: C Y Ho (59.5kg) T: K W Lui	5	5	5.5	5.5	4.9
4. Winning Strikes (8) J: K C Leung (59.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan	13	14	14	14	13.4
5. Apollos Bow (1) J: H Bentley (59kg) T: Y S Tsui	5.5	5.5	6	6	5.4
6. Supreme Patrol (4) J: B Shinn (58kg) T: D Ferraris	19	20	18	18	18.4
7. Joy Avenue (10) J: K Teetan (57kg) T: C H Yip	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.3
8. Rosse Scarpe (11) J: Alex Lai (57kg) T: K L Man	81	91	91	91	87
9. Cruciatus (12) J: H T Mo (56kg) T: C W Chang	61	61	61	61	59
10. Red Majesty (6) J: Z Purton (56kg) T: D A Hayes	12	13	13	13	12.4
11. Can't Touch This (9) J: H N Wong (55.5kg) T: K H Ting	26	26	26	26	25
12. Flying Monkey (3) J: M F Poon (53.5kg) T: T P Yung	8	8	8	8	7.7

Race 3

Duddell Hcp (C5) (1200m)
9:45pm (AEDT)

Race 3 Duddell Hcp (C5) (1200m) 9:45pm (AEDT)
1. Winner's Heart (4) J: C Y Ho (60.5kg) T: F C Lor	7	7	7	7	6.9
2. After Me (6) J: Alex Lai (60kg) T: D Ferraris	16	17	17	17	16.8
3. Jade Theatre (11) J: K Teetan (59.5kg) T: P Yiu	11	11	11	11	10.8
4. Smiling Face (1) J: H Bentley (59.5kg) T: D Whyte	7	7	7	7	6.9
5. Star Superior (8) J: T Piccone (58kg) T: C W Chang	16	17	17	17	16.8
6. Victorious Leader (9) J: K C Leung (57kg) T: C H Yip	14	14	15	15	14
7. Great Harvest (10) J: Z Purton (56.5kg) T: K L Man	4.4	4.6	4.2	4.2	4.35
8. Yee Cheong Lucky (2) J: V Borges (56.5kg) T: C S Shum	12	12	12	12	11.8
9. Alloy King (3) J: A Hamelin (56kg) T: K H Ting	18	26	21	21	21
10. Tigerlad (12) J: M Chadwick (54.5kg) T: A T Millard	15	16	16	16	15.8
11. Wonder Brahma (7) J: J Moreira (53kg) T: C Fownes	4	4	4.2	4.2	4
12. Happy Winner (5) J: M L Yeung (52.5kg) T: L Ho	26	26	26	26	25.5

Race 4

Edinburgh Hcp (C4) (1650m)
10:15pm (AEDT)

Race 4 Edinburgh Hcp (C4) (1650m) 10:15pm (AEDT)
1. Bright Kid (4) J: Z Purton (60.5kg) T: W Y So	4	4.2	4.2	4.2	4.1
2. More Than Enough (7) J: J Moreira (59.5kg) T: A S Cruz	3.4	3.5	3.5	3.5	3.4
3. Ming Warrior (10) J: B Shinn (58kg) T: D Ferraris	46	51	51	51	49
4. Oscar Glory (1) J: K Teetan (56.5kg) T: F C Lor	7	7	7	7	6.8
5. Land Power (5) J: A K Chan (56kg) T: C Fownes	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.3
6. Strong Alliance (3) J: V Borges (54.5kg) T: K H Ting	41	41	41	41	40
7. Thunder Stomp (9) J: M F Poon (54kg) T: Y S Tsui	7.5	7.5	7.5	7.5	7.3
8. Cheeky Prawn (6) J: A Hamelin (53.5kg) T: J J Size	18	19	19	19	18.6
9. All Joyful (2) J: M Chadwick (52.5kg) T: T P Yung	18	19	19	19	18.6
10. All Best Friends (8) J: Alex Lai (51.5kg) T: K L Man	8	8.5	8.5	8.5	8.3

Race 5

Edinburgh Hcp (C4) (1650m)
10:45pm (AEDT)

Race 5 Edinburgh Hcp (C4) (1650m) 10:45pm (AEDT)
1. Fearless Fire (4) J: B Shinn (60.5kg) T: D A Hayes	13	14	13	13	12.8
2. Pure Legend (6) J: H Bentley (60.5kg) T: C Fownes	9.5	10	10	10	9.7
3. Swift Spirit (8) J: A Hamelin (60.5kg) T: K H Ting	46	51	51	51	49
4. V Chevaliers (2) J: K C Leung (60.5kg) T: K L Man	6.5	6.5	7	7	6.4
5. Zhan Jiang Rocks (9) J: Z Purton (60kg) T: W Y So	5	5	5.5	5.5	4.9
6. Brave King (7) J: K Teetan (59kg) T: A S Cruz	8.5	9	9	9	8.7
7. Seaweed Fortune (10) J: C Y Ho (58.5kg) T: K W Lui	12	13	13	13	12.6
8. Savvy Kingman (3) J: J Moreira (56kg) T: F C Lor	3.3	3.5	3.3	3.3	3.3
9. Mister Arm (1) J: H N Wong (54.5kg) T: Y S Tsui	8	8.5	8.5	8.5	8.2
10. Swot Troopers Wind (5) J: M F Poon (52kg) T: D J Hall	8.5	9	9	9	8.7

Race 6

Garden Hcp (C4) (1200m)
11:15pm (AEDT)

Race 6 Garden Hcp (C4) (1200m) 11:15pm (AEDT)
1. Bullish Brother (3) J: A K Chan (60kg) T: A S Cruz	20	21	21	21	20.5
2. Flaming Passion (2) J: K Teetan (59kg) T: F C Lor	3.9	4	4	4	3.9
3. Monster Kaka (11) J: Z Purton (59kg) T: D J Hall	9.5	10	10	10	9.7
4. Telecom Puma (8) J: B Shinn (59kg) T: C Fownes	12	12	12	12	11.6
5. Immense Hedge (10) J: K C Leung (58.5kg) T: J J Size	20	21	21	21	20.5
6. Legend Goes (1) J: C Y Ho (58.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan	17	18	18	18	17.4
7. Takingufurther (12) J: C Wong (58kg) T: K H Ting	11	11	11	11	10.6
8. Fire Ball (5) J: J Moreira (57.5kg) T: C H Yip	2.7	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.7
9. Telecom Rocket (7) J: M F Poon (57kg) T: Y S Tsui	8.5	9	9	9	8.7
10. Magic Bonus (9) J: M L Yeung (56.5kg) T: D A Hayes	41	41	41	41	40
11. Dollar Reward (6) J: A Hamelin (55kg) T: C S Shum	20	21	21	21	20.5
12. Champion Pride (4) J: V Borges (53.5kg) T: D Ferraris	31	31	31	31	30

Having a small bet on (2) Flaming Passion here, who steps up to 1200m for the first time in his career tonight. He ran well two starts ago when he finished 3rd over the 1000m. Travel Datuk finished ahead of him in 2nd that night and then came out and won his next start, where Flaming Passion ran 4th. He covered a bit of ground that night and looked the winner at about the 100m mark, but he just ran out of gas late. He steps up to 1200m tonight and draws ideally in barrier 2. That’s the best draw over this distance on the C course, so with a suck run he should be right in the finish.

Tip: (2) Flaming Passion $4.20 Bluebet

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Flaming Passion

Race 7

Pedder Hcp (C4) (1000m)
11:45pm (AEDT)

Race 7 Pedder Hcp (C4) (1000m) 11:45pm (AEDT)
1. Harmony Fire (11) J: C Y Ho (60kg) T: D Whyte	4.8	5	5	5	4.85
2. Joyful Win (7) J: K C Leung (59.5kg) T: P Yiu	8	8.5	8.5	8.5	8.2
3. Cantstopthefeeling (3) J: V Borges (59kg) T: K L Man	13	14	14	14	13.4
4. Victory In Hand (8) J: T Piccone (59kg) T: K W Lui	13	13	13	13	12.6
5. My My My (9) J: J Moreira (56.5kg) T: F C Lor	9.5	10	10	10	9.7
6. Spicy So Good (2) J: Z Purton (56.5kg) T: C S Shum	3.7	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.7
7. Allez (4) J: B Shinn (56kg) T: C Fownes	26	26	26	26	25
8. Amazing Rocky (6) J: K Teetan (56kg) T: T P Yung	9.5	10	10	10	9.7
9. Forever City (12) J: M L Yeung (55.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan	31	31	31	31	30
10. Travel Datuk (1) J: M Chadwick (55kg) T: Richard Gibson	11	11	11	11	10.6
11. Steel Win (5) J: A Hamelin (54.5kg) T: C W Chang	9.5	10	10	10	9.7
12. Oversubscribed (10) J: M F Poon (53.5kg) T: D J Hall	16	17	17	17	16.4

Race 8

Queens Road Central Hcp (C3) (1200m)
12:15am (AEDT)

Race 8 Queens Road Central Hcp (C3) (1200m) 12:15am (AEDT)
1. Capital Star (2) J: J Moreira (60.5kg) T: C Fownes	2.15	2.2	2.2	2.2	2.15
2. Noble Steed (4) J: V Borges (59kg) T: K W Lui	17	18	18	18	17.6
3. Mig Energy (3) J: Z Purton (58kg) T: A S Cruz	7	7	7	7	6.9
4. Alcari (5) J: K C Leung (56kg) T: P Yiu	12	13	13	13	12.8
5. Ping Hai Galaxy (1) J: A Hamelin (56kg) T: J J Size	11	11	11	11	10.8
6. Meridian Genius (7) J: C Y Ho (54.5kg) T: A T Millard	20	21	21	21	20.5
7. Most Welcome (8) J: H Bentley (54.5kg) T: D A Hayes	31	31	31	31	30
8. Winston's Lad (10) J: H N Wong (54.5kg) T: K W Lui	41	41	41	41	40
9. The Runner (11) J: M F Poon (54kg) T: F C Lor	12	12	12	12	11.8
10. Hercules (6) J: M Chadwick (53.5kg) T: C H Yip	16	17	17	17	16.6
11. H Z Tourbillon (9) J: K Teetan (53kg) T: C S Shum	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.4

(1) Capital Star started $1.40 last start and although he finished 4th, it was a sound effort in defeat. He led and copped plenty of pressure throughout from a horse that pestered him for the lead on his outside. He kicked away at the top of the straight but got tired and was run down late by the swoopers. He draws perfectly in barrier 2 tonight so expect him to lead or be box seat at worst, and with even luck (and less pressure), he looks a really good chance of atoning for that defeat. Respect his SP profile – he started $1.40 last start and we’re getting $2.00 tonight. Happy to have a decent sized bet at that price.

Tip: (1) Capital Star $2.00 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 4 units WIN Capital Star

Race 9

Queens Road Central Hcp (C3) (1200m)
12:50am (AEDT)

Race 9 Queens Road Central Hcp (C3) (1200m) 12:50am (AEDT)
1. Yoo Yoo King (12) J: M L Yeung (60.5kg) T: K H Ting	61	67	67	67	61
2. Be Ready (6) J: Z Purton (59.5kg) T: F C Lor	3.9	3.9	3.9	3.9	3.85
3. Lifeline Vision (1) J: B Shinn (57.5kg) T: D A Hayes	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.4
4. Shouson (8) J: M F Poon (57kg) T: A T Millard	26	26	26	26	23
5. High Rise Soldier (3) J: C Y Ho (56kg) T: K W Lui	9	9	9	9	8.9
6. Aurora Pegasus (9) J: J Moreira (55.5kg) T: C Fownes	12	13	11	11	12.6
7. Ever Force (2) J: K Teetan (54.5kg) T: C S Shum	4	4	4.2	4.2	4
8. Goodluck Goodluck (5) J: K C Leung (54kg) T: W Y So	11	12	9.5	9.5	11.4
9. Island Shine (4) J: A Hamelin (54kg) T: P Yiu	5	5	5	5	4.95
10. Happy Good Guys (11) J: H N Wong (53.5kg) T: P Yiu	31	31	31	31	30
11. Armor Star (10) J: C Wong (53kg) T: F C Lor	41	41	41	41	40
12. Simply Fluke (7) J: M Chadwick (53kg) T: D Whyte	34	34	34	34	33

Final race of the night and I’m keen to stick with (2) Be Ready for Frankie Lor and Zac Purton. Notably, Purton chooses to ride this horse over another last-start winner in the form of (7) Ever Force.

Be Ready was a 2.5L winner over this track and distance in this grade last start, while Ever Force has won his past two in easier class and now steps up to Class 3 for the first time. Ever Force gets the better draw in barrier 2 but backing Purton’s judgement here and sticking with Be Ready, which also comes up a better price.

Tip: (2) Be Ready $4.00 TAB

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Be Ready

Tim Geers

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.