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Happy Valley Racing Tips: Wednesday, July 7th

Tim Geers highlights his best bets for Happy Valley racing on Wednesday evening.

Happy Valley Racing Tips

We’re back at Happy Valley for Wednesday evening racing in Hong Kong, as the season gradually comes to its conclusion.

We’re racing on the A-course tonight and have nine races to look forward to, with the first set to jump at 8.45pm AEST.

Tim Geers has assessed the form and provided his best bets of the night below, with Race 1, Race 2, Race 4 and Race 9 previewed.

PlayUp

192135

Race 1

Briar Hcp (C5) (1650m)
8:45pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Briar Hcp (C5) (1650m)
8:45pm (AEDT)

1. Top Score (7) J: T Piccone (60.5kg) T: Richard Gibson
4141515138
2. Sure Win Win (1) J: Jerry Chau (60kg) T: T P Yung
5.55.5665.3
3. Run Run Good (10) J: N Callan (59.5kg) T: K L Man
3534313133
4. Jimmu (3) J: J Moreira (59kg) T: Y S Tsui
55.5665.3
5. Lucky Missile (8) J: Z Purton (59kg) T: D J Hall
55554.95
6. Diamond Star (12) J: K Teetan (56.5kg) T: J J Size
1212131311.6
7. Apolar Warrior (2) J: H Bentley (56kg) T: P Yiu
4.543.73.74.1
8. Go Ballistic (4) J: Alex Lai (55.5kg) T: D Ferraris
2326262622
9. Wonderful Tiger (11) J: A Hamelin (55.5kg) T: W Y So
1616171715.6
10. Big Bang Bong (6) J: R Maia (55kg) T: C W Chang
1717171716.6
11. Happy Hour (9) J: V Borges (52kg) T: C H Yip
1313131312.4
12. Can't Touch This (5) J: H T Mo (51.5kg) T: K H Ting
5161717145

Odds Last Updated: July 7, 2021, 8:46pm (AEDT)

Inside draws over the 1650m at Happy Valley are a godsend on the A-course. (2) Sure Win Win comes into this in good form, having run 3rd at Sha Tin two starts ago and then winning easily last start on the all-weather track. Has only had one start here at Happy Valley, which was in Class 4 company, where he ran 4th. Returns to the city course now, draws barrier 1, does go up steeply in weight but finds a race he can win again. Just needs to settle in a good spot from the draw as he can tend to get back.

Tip: (2) Sure Win Win $5.00/$2.00 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units E/W Sure Win Win

192135

Race 2

Briar Hcp (C5) (1650m)
9:15pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Briar Hcp (C5) (1650m)
9:15pm (AEDT)

1. Amazing Boy (8) J: R Maia (60.5kg) T: C W Chang
4151616147
2. Seize The Spirit (11) J: J Moreira (60kg) T: Y S Tsui
54.84.854.8
3. Viva Chef (5) J: K Teetan (60kg) T: L Ho
1111111110.6
4. After Me (4) J: Alex Lai (59.5kg) T: D Ferraris
101011109.7
5. California Legend (12) J: Z Purton (58.5kg) T: A S Cruz
4.84.4444.5
6. Smart Hunter (7) J: Jerry Chau (58.5kg) T: D Whyte
2626262625
7. Happy Jai Jai (3) J: H Bentley (58kg) T: T P Yung
2019181818.8
8. Super Kin (6) J: B Shinn (57.5kg) T: C Fownes
88.58.58.58.2
9. Ka Fortune (2) J: N Callan (56.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan
4.85.5665
10. Jumbo Engine (9) J: H N Wong (56kg) T: Richard Gibson
11. Victorious Leader (1) J: K C Leung (55.5kg) T: C H Yip
1213141413
12. Even Keel (10) J: H T Mo (53.5kg) T: A T Millard
1414131313.6

Odds Last Updated: July 7, 2021, 9:16pm (AEDT)

Backing two runners here.

(2) Seize The Spirit dropped into Class 5 last start and had to endure an awful run from barrier 13 with top weight, caught wide throughout. He still battled on really well to be beaten 2.3L by Fox Cheunger, who came out and ran well again on the weekend. Has to deal with another wide gate tonight but with any luck he surely goes close.

(8) Super Kin looks ready to peak third up tonight and up to 1650m. Has improved with each start this prep, comes out of that same race as Seize The Spirit last start, draws a good enough barrier and should go well.

Tip: (2) Seize The Spirit $5.50 Bet365

Also Backing: (8) Super Kin $7.00 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Seize The Spirit, 0.5 units WIN Super Kin

192135

Race 3

Broom Hcp (C4) (1200m)
9:45pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Broom Hcp (C4) (1200m)
9:45pm (AEDT)

1. Aurora Pegasus (6) J: J Moreira (60.5kg) T: C Fownes
87.5887.6
2. President's Choice (10) J: N Callan (60kg) T: Richard Gibson
3434414133
3. Victory In Hand (12) J: K Teetan (59.5kg) T: K W Lui
1313141412.6
4. Hardly Swears (11) J: C Y Ho (59kg) T: K H Ting
1312111112
5. Cosmo Classic (4) J: Alex Lai (56.5kg) T: W Y So
151151151151121
6. Noir Rider (3) J: Jerry Chau (56.5kg) T: T P Yung
4.85.5665.1
7. Red Brick Fighter (7) J: K C Leung (56.5kg) T: D J Hall
1010111110
8. Fire Ball (5) J: Z Purton (56kg) T: C H Yip
2.52.52.42.42.45
9. Wah May Luck (1) J: H Bentley (56kg) T: A S Cruz
101101101126101
10. A Smile Like Yours (8) J: A Hamelin (55kg) T: J J Size
1616171715.6
11. Chiron (2) J: R Maia (55kg) T: D A Hayes
1010101010
12. Mudita (9) J: V Borges (53kg) T: P D O'sullivan
3131343430

Odds Last Updated: July 7, 2021, 9:46pm (AEDT)

192135

Race 4

Green Lane Hcp (C4) (1650m)
10:15pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Green Lane Hcp (C4) (1650m)
10:15pm (AEDT)

1. Dream Warriors (5) J: C Y Ho (60.5kg) T: A S Cruz
91011119.3
2. Nothing New (10) J: T Piccone (60.5kg) T: C W Chang
2320181820.5
3. Tangmere (6) J: B Shinn (60.5kg) T: C Fownes
1111111110.8
4. Savvy Kingman (3) J: J Moreira (59kg) T: F C Lor
2.452.452.42.42.4
5. Bulletproof (11) J: R Maia (57.5kg) T: P Yiu
2621212122.5
6. Rainbow Light (7) J: Jerry Chau (56.5kg) T: D Whyte
5.55.5665.3
7. Play Wise (4) J: K Teetan (56kg) T: C H Yip
9.59999.1
8. All You Know (2) J: A Hamelin (55kg) T: Richard Gibson
76.56.56.56.6
9. Owners' Star (8) J: H Bentley (54kg) T: C S Shum
2119191920
10. Prime Star (12) J: H T Mo (53kg) T: A T Millard
101101101126101
11. Lucky Diamond (1) J: V Borges (52kg) T: K H Ting
6161616155
12. Mister Arm (9) J: H N Wong (51.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
1816151516.2

Odds Last Updated: July 7, 2021, 10:17pm (AEDT)

Looks a nice race for (4) Savvy Kingman who won here two starts ago and then bumped into the progressive Red Majesty last start. That horse has won three in a row now so the form looks fairly strong. Savvy Kingdom gets a lovely draw here in barrier 3 and it’s very helpful to draw inside barrier 6 over this track and distance.

(1) Dream Warriors also gets a good draw. He’s a horse that often finds trouble or is asked too much to do. He’s always competitive though and with the right run from the good draw tonight, he can go very close.

Tip: (4) Savvy Kingman $2.60 Sportsbet

Also Backing: (1) Dream Warriors $7.00 PlayUp

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Savvy Kingman, 0.5 units WIN Dream Warriors

192135

Race 5

The Sauternes Cup (C4) (1000m)
10:45pm (AEDT)

Race 5

The Sauternes Cup (C4) (1000m)
10:45pm (AEDT)

1. Amazing Rocky (11) J: Z Purton (60.5kg) T: T P Yung
4.44.23.844.05
2. Good Luck Charm (10) J: V Borges (58kg) T: P Yiu
126126151151111
3. Jazz Steed (5) J: N Callan (58kg) T: C Fownes
88.5998.4
4. Party Warrior (4) J: C Y Ho (57kg) T: K W Lui
555.55.55.3
5. Lean Legend (6) J: H N Wong (56.5kg) T: C H Yip
919110110189
6. My My My (12) J: J Moreira (56.5kg) T: F C Lor
1716151515.4
7. Oversubscribed (9) J: B Shinn (56kg) T: D J Hall
1514131313.6
8. Baltic Whisper (8) J: A K Chan (56kg) T: C S Shum
3131343430
9. Packing Champion (7) J: Jerry Chau (55.5kg) T: L Ho
9.51011119.8
10. Sea Elite (3) J: T Piccone (53kg) T: D Whyte
7.57777.2
11. Faribault (2) J: K Teetan (52.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan
44443.95
12. Farm Bumper (1) J: Alex Lai (52kg) T: K L Man
3541515140

Odds Last Updated: July 7, 2021, 10:46pm (AEDT)

192135

Race 6

Broom Hcp (C4) (1200m)
11:15pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Broom Hcp (C4) (1200m)
11:15pm (AEDT)

1. Telecom Rocket (4) J: H T Mo (60.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
98.598.58.5
2. Wood On Fire (2) J: K C Leung (60.5kg) T: L Ho
99998.9
3. Momentum Galaxy (9) J: H N Wong (59.5kg) T: K H Ting
3131263126
4. Management Supreme (3) J: K Teetan (59kg) T: K W Lui
2.92.82.452.72.7
5. Poised To Strike (11) J: A Hamelin (57kg) T: D A Hayes
2731263125.5
6. Peak To Peak (12) J: C Y Ho (56kg) T: F C Lor
2121262120.5
7. Win Win Star (5) J: R Maia (56kg) T: P Yiu
2731343430
8. Beauty Cheers (1) J: J Moreira (55.5kg) T: J J Size
3.73.73.93.83.8
9. Stormtrouper (8) J: Z Purton (55kg) T: C H Yip
8.58.5998.5
10. Team Goodluck (10) J: V Borges (55kg) T: W Y So
4651515147
11. Valiant Elegance (7) J: Jerry Chau (54.5kg) T: D Whyte
1111111110.8
12. Little Bird (6) J: Alex Lai (52.5kg) T: K L Man
6171718157

Odds Last Updated: July 7, 2021, 11:16pm (AEDT)

192135

Race 7

Hawthorn Hcp (C3) (1200m)
11:45pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Hawthorn Hcp (C3) (1200m)
11:45pm (AEDT)

1. Equaletta Blitz (9) J: Z Purton (60.5kg) T: K H Ting
4.54.54.64.84.5
2. California Concord (8) J: N Callan (59.5kg) T: A S Cruz
1818181817.6
3. Majestic Star (4) J: A Hamelin (58.5kg) T: P Yiu
1212131311.6
4. Wine And Wine (2) J: A K Chan (58kg) T: T P Yung
1313141413.4
5. Super Dobbin (1) J: B Shinn (57.5kg) T: A T Millard
1818181817.6
6. Harmony N Home (6) J: K Teetan (56.5kg) T: C S Shum
1111111110.8
7. Classic Posh (7) J: H Bentley (56kg) T: D J Hall
6.56666.4
8. The Runner (12) J: K C Leung (56kg) T: F C Lor
1918181817.8
9. Simply Fluke (10) J: Jerry Chau (56kg) T: D Whyte
7.57777.2
10. Eligere (5) J: H N Wong (55kg) T: Y S Tsui
99998.6
11. Compassion Spirit (3) J: C Y Ho (54kg) T: K L Man
7.5776.57
12. Amazing News (11) J: J Moreira (52.5kg) T: C Fownes
1415161614.6

Odds Last Updated: July 7, 2021, 11:46pm (AEDT)

192135

Race 8

Hawthorn Hcp (C3) (1200m)
12:15am (AEDT)

Race 8

Hawthorn Hcp (C3) (1200m)
12:15am (AEDT)

1. Hong Kong Bet (2) J: Z Purton (60.5kg) T: K H Ting
2.92.92.92.92.9
2. Transcendent (4) J: N Callan (57.5kg) T: A S Cruz
99.510109
3. Invincible Missile (10) J: C Y Ho (57kg) T: C Fownes
101011119.6
4. Brilliant Life (12) J: B Shinn (56kg) T: C H Yip
5151616147
5. Stanley Park (5) J: Jerry Chau (56kg) T: K W Lui
7.57777
6. Goodluck Goodluck (6) J: K C Leung (55.5kg) T: W Y So
101011119.8
7. Young Passion (7) J: H T Mo (54.5kg) T: D J Hall
10110110112697
8. Family Folks (9) J: A Hamelin (54kg) T: C W Chang
1414151513.4
9. Telecom Smart (3) J: K Teetan (54kg) T: Y S Tsui
55554.85
10. The Multiplier (1) J: V Borges (53.5kg) T: D A Hayes
719110112675
11. Utopia Life (11) J: Alex Lai (52kg) T: K L Man
6151515151
12. Rhapsody (8) J: J Moreira (51.5kg) T: J J Size
1212121211.8

Odds Last Updated: July 8, 2021, 10:01am (AEDT)

192135

Race 9

Holly Hcp (C3) (1650m)
12:50am (AEDT)

Race 9

Holly Hcp (C3) (1650m)
12:50am (AEDT)

1. Telecom Fighters (8) J: C Wong (60.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
77886.8
2. The Hulk (2) J: A Hamelin (59.5kg) T: C Fownes
1517171816.6
3. Gift Of Lifeline (5) J: N Callan (58.5kg) T: A T Millard
1313141413.2
4. Wealthy Delight (11) J: K Teetan (57.5kg) T: J J Size
777.576.9
5. Harmony Spirit (4) J: C Y Ho (56kg) T: D Whyte
1719212117.8
6. Everyone's Delight (1) J: Z Purton (56kg) T: F C Lor
4.44.44.24.44.1
7. Lifeline Vision (10) J: B Shinn (56kg) T: D A Hayes
2326262624.5
8. Splendid Living (6) J: H Bentley (56kg) T: P Yiu
3431343429.5
9. Ka Ying Excellent (12) J: J Moreira (55.5kg) T: A S Cruz
6.56665.8
10. Star Of Yuen Long (7) J: A K Chan (55kg) T: K L Man
1515141414.6
11. Bright Kid (9) J: K C Leung (53.5kg) T: W Y So
2621212122
12. Total Power (3) J: Jerry Chau (53.5kg) T: D J Hall
6.56665.8

Odds Last Updated: July 8, 2021, 10:01am (AEDT)

This is a tough race with a number of hopes, but the 1650m on the A-course at Happy Valley really favours horses drawn low, in particular barrier 1. That draw has accounted for 19% of the total winners over this track/distance/rail position this season. Tonight, (6) Everyone’s Delight is the beneficiary of the draw and there’s a bit to like about him. He’s had 10 starts for three wins and two placings, and nine of those have been at Sha Tin. He came to Happy Valley for the first time last start and bolted in, finding the front and leading all the way. The race was run at a crawl (they ran 1:41.40 for the 1650m, so he was able to dictate and get it all his own way, but there’s every chance he can win again here. Cops 3kg in the weights as a result of last start, but does get Purton on and also gets the inside draw as mentioned. Pretty happy to take $4.80 but he may even drift given his slow winning time last start.

(1) Telecom Fighters is flying but goes from Joao Moreira to apprentice Wong.

(9) Ka Ying Excellent is knocking on the door but doesn’t like winning. Also cops barrier 12.

(4) Wealthy Delight is capable but has barrier 11 first up.

Tip: (6) Everyone's Delight $4.80/$1.95 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1 unit E/W Everyone's Delight

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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