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Happy Valley Racing Tips: Wednesday, November 11th

Hong Kong racing is on the quick backup at Happy Valley on Wednesday evening, and Tim Geers is keen to play in three races early on the card.

happy-valley

Hong Kong racing is on the quick backup at Happy Valley on Wednesday evening, with eight races on the card.

Keen to play early on what looks a difficult meeting. Race 2, Race 3 and Race 4 are the races I’m most keen to bet into.

The track is rated Good and we’re racing on the B course.

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Race 1

Sheung Wan Hcp (C5) (1000m)
10:15pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Sheung Wan Hcp (C5) (1000m)
10:15pm (AEDT)

1. Glorious Buddy (7) J: B Shinn (60.5kg) T: D J Hall
8110197
2. Prawn Yeah Yeah (11) J: A Badel (60kg) T: Richard Gibson
172118.6
3. Speedy Optimist (1) J: Z Purton (59.5kg) T: C H Yip
2.352.252.3
4. The Abraxas (12) J: J Moreira (59.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
4.44.44.4
5. Wonderful Times (3) J: C Wong (59.5kg) T: A T Millard
8110197
6. Everbrave (4) J: N Callan (59kg) T: K L Man
141615
7. Green Envy (6) J: A Hamelin (58.5kg) T: C Fownes
7.57.57.3
8. Supreme Patrol (2) J: Alex Lai (58kg) T: D Ferraris
7110185
9. Cool Ace (5) J: M L Yeung (56.5kg) T: C W Chang
7110187
10. Ready Conqueror (8) J: H T Mo (56kg) T: Y S Tsui
465151
11. Chunghwa Jingshen (9) J: K Teetan (55.5kg) T: L Ho
776.9
12. Jimson The Dragon (10) J: V Borges (51.5kg) T: C H Yip
161615.4

Odds Last Updated: November 12, 2020, 12:51am (AEDT)

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Race 2

Victoria Hcp (C5) (2200m)
10:45pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Victoria Hcp (C5) (2200m)
10:45pm (AEDT)

1. Jolly Forever (1) J: C Y Ho (60.5kg) T: C Fownes
131514.6
2. Salto Olimpico (2) J: H N Wong (60.5kg) T: D J Hall
161716.8
3. Sky Gem (4) J: J Moreira (60.5kg) T: C Fownes
2.72.72.7
4. Hay Run (8) J: K C Leung (58kg) T: L Ho
131111.8
5. Fortune Patrol (11) J: A Hamelin (56kg) T: A T Millard
9.51010
6. Master Roman (5) J: N Callan (55kg) T: W Y So
9.58.59
7. Socket Elite (3) J: M F Poon (54kg) T: C H Yip
101101101
8. Art Of Raw (12) J: V Borges (52.5kg) T: C W Chang
8.51110.4
9. The Joy Of Giving (6) J: M L Yeung (52.5kg) T: C W Chang
345133
10. Wicker (10) J: K Teetan (52kg) T: Richard Gibson
76.56.5
11. Joy N Fun Legend (7) J: H T Mo (51.5kg) T: T P Yung
918183
12. Young Glory (9) J: A Badel (51.5kg) T: D Ferraris
191417

Odds Last Updated: November 12, 2020, 12:51am (AEDT)

He’s only a winner of two races from 27 starts but surely this is the race (3) Sky Gem. He’s been knocking on the door with placings in his past four starts, he draws ideally in barrier 4 tonight as opposed to barrier 11 in his past two starts, and he gets blinkers on for the first time tonight. Casper Fownes is flying, Joao Moreira returns from suspension and will be hungry for winners, so all things point to him being the one.

(10) Wicker has an awful record at the track but his first up effort was sound.

Tip: (3) Sky Gem $2.40 Bet365

Betting strategy: 2 units WIN Sky Gem

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Race 3

Sai Ying Pun Hcp (C4) (1200m)
11:15pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Sai Ying Pun Hcp (C4) (1200m)
11:15pm (AEDT)

1. Very Sweet Orange (4) J: A K Chan (60.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
2. Magic Supreme (5) J: J Moreira (60kg) T: K L Man
3. Here Comes Ted (8) J: K Teetan (59.5kg) T: D Ferraris
4. Country Boy (9) J: N Callan (58kg) T: J J Size
5. Light Of Wanshi (11) J: T Piccone (58kg) T: W Y So
6. Top Military (6) J: Z Purton (58kg) T: T P Yung
7. Yee Cheong Warrior (2) J: M L Yeung (58kg) T: D A Hayes
8. Alloy King (7) J: H N Wong (56kg) T: K H Ting
9. Colonel (3) J: V Borges (55.5kg) T: P Yiu
10. Super Kin (10) J: C Y Ho (54kg) T: C Fownes
11. Winning Ways (1) J: A Badel (54kg) T: C S Shum
12. Super Eighteen (12) J: A Hamelin (53.5kg) T: A T Millard

Odds Last Updated: November 12, 2020, 12:51am (AEDT)

(3) Here Comes Ted is flying, with two wins and two placings from his past four starts. He cops 3.5kg in the weights for his last start win, which is the main query here given the tight handicapping, but he keeps progressing and finds another winnable race tonight. With the right run from barrier 8, he looks hard to hold out third up.

Tip: (3) Here Comes Ted $2.60 Bet365

Betting strategy: 1.5 units WIN Here Comes Ted

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Race 4

Shek Tong Tsui Hcp (C4) (1650m)
11:45pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Shek Tong Tsui Hcp (C4) (1650m)
11:45pm (AEDT)

1. Judy's Star (5) J: A Badel (60.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan
98.58.4
2. Volpino (4) J: H T Mo (60.5kg) T: T P Yung
345147
3. Zhan Jiang Rocks (11) J: Z Purton (60.5kg) T: W Y So
7.56.57
4. Compassion Star (1) J: T Piccone (58.5kg) T: K L Man
413135
5. Maldives (2) J: N Callan (58kg) T: D J Hall
3.73.63.65
6. After Me (10) J: Alex Lai (57kg) T: D Ferraris
464140
7. Best For You (3) J: K Teetan (56kg) T: Y S Tsui
98.58.5
8. Royal Racer (9) J: C Y Ho (56kg) T: C Fownes
7.57.57.5
9. Lady First (6) J: J Moreira (55.5kg) T: A S Cruz
3.43.63.5
10. Happy Ichiban (7) J: A Hamelin (54.5kg) T: D Whyte
262125
11. Fresh Power (8) J: H N Wong (53.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
718167

Odds Last Updated: November 12, 2020, 12:51am (AEDT)

 

Two at around $7.00 I’m going to be backing here. (1) Judy’s Star has raced three times at Sha Tin this season and now comes to Happy Valley. He hasn’t been far away and this should be a slightly easier race for him. He won at this stage last preparation, he draws well in barrier 5 and $7.00 looks a decent price.

(3) Zhan Jiang Rocks also looks ready third up from a spell. He’s only won three times but two of those have been when third up from a spell. He ran well first up before a flat effort last start, but Purton gets on tonight and he finds a race to suit. He just needs a good run from barrier 11.

Moreira is on the $3.50 favourite (9) Lady First who looks rock bottom odds – he’s won just once from 38 starts.

Tip: (1) Judy’s Star $7.00 Bet365

Also backing: (3) Zhan Jiang Rocks $7.50 Sportsbet

Betting strategy: 0.5 units WIN Judy’s Star, 0.5 units WIN Zhan Jiang Rocks

 

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Race 5

Sai Ying Pun Hcp (C4) (1200m)
12:15am (AEDT)

Race 5

Sai Ying Pun Hcp (C4) (1200m)
12:15am (AEDT)

1. Oriental Elite (7) J: N Callan (56.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan
7.57.4
2. Whiskey Neat (8) J: J Moreira (59kg) T: C Fownes
665.9
3. Goodluck Goodluck (1) J: K C Leung (58.5kg) T: W Y So
66.56.3
4. Ambitious Heart (3) J: A Hamelin (57.5kg) T: D Ferraris
151213.4
5. Melbourne Hall (2) J: Z Purton (57.5kg) T: D J Hall
4.24.43.9
6. The Submarine (4) J: H T Mo (57.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
126101121
7. Top Accolade (10) J: V Borges (57.5kg) T: C S Shum
1018187
8. Hin Yuen Bis (6) J: H N Wong (56kg) T: K H Ting
3.12.83.05
9. All Best Friends (12) J: C Y Ho (54.5kg) T: K L Man
673449
10. The Elites (5) J: M F Poon (54.5kg) T: F C Lor
12681101
11. Fun Times (9) J: A Badel (53kg) T: A T Millard
413439
12. Noble Desire (11) J: K Teetan (52.5kg) T: D Whyte
9.599.1

Odds Last Updated: November 12, 2020, 12:51am (AEDT)

0

Race 6

Kennedy Town Hcp (C3) (1650m)
12:45am (AEDT)

Race 6

Kennedy Town Hcp (C3) (1650m)
12:45am (AEDT)

1. Happy My Brother (6) J: H N Wong (60.5kg) T: K W Lui
191517.8
2. Reel Bizzy (8) J: Z Purton (60.5kg) T: C S Shum
4.23.94
3. World Famous (5) J: V Borges (60.5kg) T: P Yiu
121412
4. Delightful Laos (9) J: C Y Ho (59.5kg) T: A S Cruz
121312.8
5. Legion Of Merit (2) J: M F Poon (58kg) T: D J Hall
10110199
6. Namjong Plus (1) J: K Teetan (57.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
776.8
7. Flash Famous (4) J: T Piccone (56kg) T: F C Lor
212120.5
8. Gift Of Lifeline (3) J: A Hamelin (56kg) T: A T Millard
119.510.8
9. Divine Unicorn (11) J: K C Leung (55kg) T: W Y So
262125
10. Leap Of Faith (7) J: A Badel (55kg) T: J J Size
4.24.44.2
11. Smiling City (12) J: J Moreira (53.5kg) T: D Whyte
54.64.8
12. Happy Fortune (10) J: H T Mo (52.5kg) T: L Ho
9.59.510

Odds Last Updated: November 12, 2020, 12:51am (AEDT)

0

Race 7

Belcher Bay Hcp (C3) (1200m)
1:15am (AEDT)

Race 7

Belcher Bay Hcp (C3) (1200m)
1:15am (AEDT)

1. Lobo's Legend (2) J: N Callan (60.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan
2. Super Dobbin (12) J: A Hamelin (60kg) T: A T Millard
3. Magic Legend (5) J: K C Leung (59.5kg) T: K L Man
4. Hafeet Alain (11) J: C Y Ho (57.5kg) T: D Whyte
5. Flying Sword (6) J: V Borges (57kg) T: A S Cruz
6. Green Reign (7) J: J Moreira (56.5kg) T: C Fownes
7. High Rise Soldier (10) J: Z Purton (56kg) T: K W Lui
8. Savaquin (4) J: T Piccone (56kg) T: J J Size
9. Lucky Maryknoll (8) J: M L Yeung (55.5kg) T: D A Hayes
10. Telecom Smart (3) J: H T Mo (55.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
11. Harmony N Home (1) J: A Badel (54.5kg) T: C S Shum
12. Winning Feeling (9) J: K Teetan (52kg) T: D Ferraris

Odds Last Updated: November 12, 2020, 12:51am (AEDT)

0

Race 8

Belcher Bay Hcp (C3) (1200m)
1:50am (AEDT)

Race 8

Belcher Bay Hcp (C3) (1200m)
1:50am (AEDT)

1. Sky Darci (7) J: J Moreira (60.5kg) T: C Fownes
1.61.51.58
2. Loving A Boom (9) J: A Badel (60kg) T: Richard Gibson
9109
3. Little Bird (8) J: A K Chan (57kg) T: K L Man
677167
4. Celestial Power (1) J: K Teetan (56.5kg) T: F C Lor
212621
5. Farshad (5) J: H N Wong (55.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
343434
6. California Gungho (11) J: N Callan (55kg) T: A S Cruz
414141
7. Flying Bonus (12) J: Z Purton (55kg) T: C H Yip
7.57.57.5
8. Igniting (6) J: M F Poon (55kg) T: K W Lui
101110
9. Lumen Baba (2) J: C Y Ho (54kg) T: D Whyte
414141
10. Cue The Music (3) J: T Piccone (53.5kg) T: D Ferraris
999.5
11. Harrier Jet (10) J: V Borges (53.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan
272626.5
12. Top Score (4) J: M L Yeung (53kg) T: C W Chang
313131

Odds Last Updated: November 12, 2020, 12:51am (AEDT)

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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