Racing Tips

Happy Valley Racing Tips: Wednesday, November 11th

Hong Kong racing is on the quick backup at Happy Valley on Wednesday evening, and Tim Geers is keen to play in three races early on the card.

by
Tim Geers
10 November 2020

Hong Kong racing is on the quick backup at Happy Valley on Wednesday evening, with eight races on the card.

Keen to play early on what looks a difficult meeting. Race 2, Race 3 and Race 4 are the races I’m most keen to bet into.

The track is rated Good and we’re racing on the B course.

Race 1

Sheung Wan Hcp (C5) (1000m)
10:15pm (AEDT)

Race 1 Sheung Wan Hcp (C5) (1000m) 10:15pm (AEDT)
1. Glorious Buddy (7) J: B Shinn (60.5kg) T: D J Hall	81	101	97
2. Prawn Yeah Yeah (11) J: A Badel (60kg) T: Richard Gibson	17	21	18.6
3. Speedy Optimist (1) J: Z Purton (59.5kg) T: C H Yip	2.35	2.25	2.3
4. The Abraxas (12) J: J Moreira (59.5kg) T: Y S Tsui	4.4	4.4	4.4
5. Wonderful Times (3) J: C Wong (59.5kg) T: A T Millard	81	101	97
6. Everbrave (4) J: N Callan (59kg) T: K L Man	14	16	15
7. Green Envy (6) J: A Hamelin (58.5kg) T: C Fownes	7.5	7.5	7.3
8. Supreme Patrol (2) J: Alex Lai (58kg) T: D Ferraris	71	101	85
9. Cool Ace (5) J: M L Yeung (56.5kg) T: C W Chang	71	101	87
10. Ready Conqueror (8) J: H T Mo (56kg) T: Y S Tsui	46	51	51
11. Chunghwa Jingshen (9) J: K Teetan (55.5kg) T: L Ho	7	7	6.9
12. Jimson The Dragon (10) J: V Borges (51.5kg) T: C H Yip	16	16	15.4

Odds Last Updated: November 12, 2020, 12:51am (AEDT)

Race 2

Victoria Hcp (C5) (2200m)
10:45pm (AEDT)

Race 2 Victoria Hcp (C5) (2200m) 10:45pm (AEDT)
1. Jolly Forever (1) J: C Y Ho (60.5kg) T: C Fownes	13	15	14.6
2. Salto Olimpico (2) J: H N Wong (60.5kg) T: D J Hall	16	17	16.8
3. Sky Gem (4) J: J Moreira (60.5kg) T: C Fownes	2.7	2.7	2.7
4. Hay Run (8) J: K C Leung (58kg) T: L Ho	13	11	11.8
5. Fortune Patrol (11) J: A Hamelin (56kg) T: A T Millard	9.5	10	10
6. Master Roman (5) J: N Callan (55kg) T: W Y So	9.5	8.5	9
7. Socket Elite (3) J: M F Poon (54kg) T: C H Yip	101	101	101
8. Art Of Raw (12) J: V Borges (52.5kg) T: C W Chang	8.5	11	10.4
9. The Joy Of Giving (6) J: M L Yeung (52.5kg) T: C W Chang	34	51	33
10. Wicker (10) J: K Teetan (52kg) T: Richard Gibson	7	6.5	6.5
11. Joy N Fun Legend (7) J: H T Mo (51.5kg) T: T P Yung	91	81	83
12. Young Glory (9) J: A Badel (51.5kg) T: D Ferraris	19	14	17

Odds Last Updated: November 12, 2020, 12:51am (AEDT)

He’s only a winner of two races from 27 starts but surely this is the race (3) Sky Gem. He’s been knocking on the door with placings in his past four starts, he draws ideally in barrier 4 tonight as opposed to barrier 11 in his past two starts, and he gets blinkers on for the first time tonight. Casper Fownes is flying, Joao Moreira returns from suspension and will be hungry for winners, so all things point to him being the one.

(10) Wicker has an awful record at the track but his first up effort was sound.

Tip: (3) Sky Gem $2.40 Bet365

Betting strategy: 2 units WIN Sky Gem

Race 3

Sai Ying Pun Hcp (C4) (1200m)
11:15pm (AEDT)

Race 3 Sai Ying Pun Hcp (C4) (1200m) 11:15pm (AEDT)
1. Very Sweet Orange (4) J: A K Chan (60.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
2. Magic Supreme (5) J: J Moreira (60kg) T: K L Man
3. Here Comes Ted (8) J: K Teetan (59.5kg) T: D Ferraris
4. Country Boy (9) J: N Callan (58kg) T: J J Size
5. Light Of Wanshi (11) J: T Piccone (58kg) T: W Y So
6. Top Military (6) J: Z Purton (58kg) T: T P Yung
7. Yee Cheong Warrior (2) J: M L Yeung (58kg) T: D A Hayes
8. Alloy King (7) J: H N Wong (56kg) T: K H Ting
9. Colonel (3) J: V Borges (55.5kg) T: P Yiu
10. Super Kin (10) J: C Y Ho (54kg) T: C Fownes
11. Winning Ways (1) J: A Badel (54kg) T: C S Shum
12. Super Eighteen (12) J: A Hamelin (53.5kg) T: A T Millard

Odds Last Updated: November 12, 2020, 12:51am (AEDT)

(3) Here Comes Ted is flying, with two wins and two placings from his past four starts. He cops 3.5kg in the weights for his last start win, which is the main query here given the tight handicapping, but he keeps progressing and finds another winnable race tonight. With the right run from barrier 8, he looks hard to hold out third up.

Tip: (3) Here Comes Ted $2.60 Bet365

Betting strategy: 1.5 units WIN Here Comes Ted

Race 4

Shek Tong Tsui Hcp (C4) (1650m)
11:45pm (AEDT)

Race 4 Shek Tong Tsui Hcp (C4) (1650m) 11:45pm (AEDT)
1. Judy's Star (5) J: A Badel (60.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan	9	8.5	8.4
2. Volpino (4) J: H T Mo (60.5kg) T: T P Yung	34	51	47
3. Zhan Jiang Rocks (11) J: Z Purton (60.5kg) T: W Y So	7.5	6.5	7
4. Compassion Star (1) J: T Piccone (58.5kg) T: K L Man	41	31	35
5. Maldives (2) J: N Callan (58kg) T: D J Hall	3.7	3.6	3.65
6. After Me (10) J: Alex Lai (57kg) T: D Ferraris	46	41	40
7. Best For You (3) J: K Teetan (56kg) T: Y S Tsui	9	8.5	8.5
8. Royal Racer (9) J: C Y Ho (56kg) T: C Fownes	7.5	7.5	7.5
9. Lady First (6) J: J Moreira (55.5kg) T: A S Cruz	3.4	3.6	3.5
10. Happy Ichiban (7) J: A Hamelin (54.5kg) T: D Whyte	26	21	25
11. Fresh Power (8) J: H N Wong (53.5kg) T: Y S Tsui	71	81	67

Odds Last Updated: November 12, 2020, 12:51am (AEDT)

Two at around $7.00 I’m going to be backing here. (1) Judy’s Star has raced three times at Sha Tin this season and now comes to Happy Valley. He hasn’t been far away and this should be a slightly easier race for him. He won at this stage last preparation, he draws well in barrier 5 and $7.00 looks a decent price.

(3) Zhan Jiang Rocks also looks ready third up from a spell. He’s only won three times but two of those have been when third up from a spell. He ran well first up before a flat effort last start, but Purton gets on tonight and he finds a race to suit. He just needs a good run from barrier 11.

Moreira is on the $3.50 favourite (9) Lady First who looks rock bottom odds – he’s won just once from 38 starts.

Tip: (1) Judy’s Star $7.00 Bet365

Also backing: (3) Zhan Jiang Rocks $7.50 Sportsbet

Betting strategy: 0.5 units WIN Judy’s Star, 0.5 units WIN Zhan Jiang Rocks

Race 5

Sai Ying Pun Hcp (C4) (1200m)
12:15am (AEDT)

Race 5 Sai Ying Pun Hcp (C4) (1200m) 12:15am (AEDT)
1. Oriental Elite (7) J: N Callan (56.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan	7.5		7.4
2. Whiskey Neat (8) J: J Moreira (59kg) T: C Fownes	6	6	5.9
3. Goodluck Goodluck (1) J: K C Leung (58.5kg) T: W Y So	6	6.5	6.3
4. Ambitious Heart (3) J: A Hamelin (57.5kg) T: D Ferraris	15	12	13.4
5. Melbourne Hall (2) J: Z Purton (57.5kg) T: D J Hall	4.2	4.4	3.9
6. The Submarine (4) J: H T Mo (57.5kg) T: Y S Tsui	126	101	121
7. Top Accolade (10) J: V Borges (57.5kg) T: C S Shum	101	81	87
8. Hin Yuen Bis (6) J: H N Wong (56kg) T: K H Ting	3.1	2.8	3.05
9. All Best Friends (12) J: C Y Ho (54.5kg) T: K L Man	67	34	49
10. The Elites (5) J: M F Poon (54.5kg) T: F C Lor	126	81	101
11. Fun Times (9) J: A Badel (53kg) T: A T Millard	41	34	39
12. Noble Desire (11) J: K Teetan (52.5kg) T: D Whyte	9.5	9	9.1

Odds Last Updated: November 12, 2020, 12:51am (AEDT)

Race 6

Kennedy Town Hcp (C3) (1650m)
12:45am (AEDT)

Race 6 Kennedy Town Hcp (C3) (1650m) 12:45am (AEDT)
1. Happy My Brother (6) J: H N Wong (60.5kg) T: K W Lui	19	15	17.8
2. Reel Bizzy (8) J: Z Purton (60.5kg) T: C S Shum	4.2	3.9	4
3. World Famous (5) J: V Borges (60.5kg) T: P Yiu	12	14	12
4. Delightful Laos (9) J: C Y Ho (59.5kg) T: A S Cruz	12	13	12.8
5. Legion Of Merit (2) J: M F Poon (58kg) T: D J Hall	101	101	99
6. Namjong Plus (1) J: K Teetan (57.5kg) T: Y S Tsui	7	7	6.8
7. Flash Famous (4) J: T Piccone (56kg) T: F C Lor	21	21	20.5
8. Gift Of Lifeline (3) J: A Hamelin (56kg) T: A T Millard	11	9.5	10.8
9. Divine Unicorn (11) J: K C Leung (55kg) T: W Y So	26	21	25
10. Leap Of Faith (7) J: A Badel (55kg) T: J J Size	4.2	4.4	4.2
11. Smiling City (12) J: J Moreira (53.5kg) T: D Whyte	5	4.6	4.8
12. Happy Fortune (10) J: H T Mo (52.5kg) T: L Ho	9.5	9.5	10

Odds Last Updated: November 12, 2020, 12:51am (AEDT)

Race 7

Belcher Bay Hcp (C3) (1200m)
1:15am (AEDT)

Race 7 Belcher Bay Hcp (C3) (1200m) 1:15am (AEDT)
1. Lobo's Legend (2) J: N Callan (60.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan
2. Super Dobbin (12) J: A Hamelin (60kg) T: A T Millard
3. Magic Legend (5) J: K C Leung (59.5kg) T: K L Man
4. Hafeet Alain (11) J: C Y Ho (57.5kg) T: D Whyte
5. Flying Sword (6) J: V Borges (57kg) T: A S Cruz
6. Green Reign (7) J: J Moreira (56.5kg) T: C Fownes
7. High Rise Soldier (10) J: Z Purton (56kg) T: K W Lui
8. Savaquin (4) J: T Piccone (56kg) T: J J Size
9. Lucky Maryknoll (8) J: M L Yeung (55.5kg) T: D A Hayes
10. Telecom Smart (3) J: H T Mo (55.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
11. Harmony N Home (1) J: A Badel (54.5kg) T: C S Shum
12. Winning Feeling (9) J: K Teetan (52kg) T: D Ferraris

Odds Last Updated: November 12, 2020, 12:51am (AEDT)

Race 8

Belcher Bay Hcp (C3) (1200m)
1:50am (AEDT)

Race 8 Belcher Bay Hcp (C3) (1200m) 1:50am (AEDT)
1. Sky Darci (7) J: J Moreira (60.5kg) T: C Fownes	1.6	1.5	1.58
2. Loving A Boom (9) J: A Badel (60kg) T: Richard Gibson	9	10	9
3. Little Bird (8) J: A K Chan (57kg) T: K L Man	67	71	67
4. Celestial Power (1) J: K Teetan (56.5kg) T: F C Lor	21	26	21
5. Farshad (5) J: H N Wong (55.5kg) T: Y S Tsui	34	34	34
6. California Gungho (11) J: N Callan (55kg) T: A S Cruz	41	41	41
7. Flying Bonus (12) J: Z Purton (55kg) T: C H Yip	7.5	7.5	7.5
8. Igniting (6) J: M F Poon (55kg) T: K W Lui	10	11	10
9. Lumen Baba (2) J: C Y Ho (54kg) T: D Whyte	41	41	41
10. Cue The Music (3) J: T Piccone (53.5kg) T: D Ferraris	9	9	9.5
11. Harrier Jet (10) J: V Borges (53.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan	27	26	26.5
12. Top Score (4) J: M L Yeung (53kg) T: C W Chang	31	31	31

Odds Last Updated: November 12, 2020, 12:51am (AEDT)

Tim Geers

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.