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Horses to Follow: Saturday April 10th

Trent Crebbin takes a look at the horses to follow and sack from Randwick and Caulfield on day 1 of the Championships.

anamoe

Randwick

 

The track played quite well with the rail true. The inside few lanes were slightly inferior, especially later in the day.

 

Horses to Follow

 

High Supremacy (r2)– Desperately unlucky in the straight, Jmac never got a crack at them whilst the winner Kiku had clear air. Take nothing away from the winner who made a long run and was very good, but High Supremacy would’ve made it interesting with a gap. Look for him potentially up to 2000m this campaign.

 

Anamoe (r6)- Fairly obvious but if they do line up in the Champagne he’ll just win again. Destroyed his rivals and is a very good juvenile. If he continues to progress, he has the Caulfield Guineas at his mercy in the Spring.

 

Masked Crusader (r8)- I doubt he beats Nature Strip who still did it very comfortably, but with an uninterrupted passage he would’ve given the star sprinter a fright. Looks like 1400m will be ideal and the All Aged Stakes is his to lose.

 

Zaaki (r9)- Excellent run first up in Australia in the Doncaster after drawing the carpark. He got a long way back and didn’t have the clearest path. From reports I believe he heads to Queensland and a race like the Doomben Cup at group 1 level isn’t out of his reach.

 

 

Horses to Sack

 

Mirage Dancer (r5)- Not going well this prep. Hard to believe he beat Mugatoo in the Metropolitan in the Spring. This was a true staying test but even still he was beaten nearly 12L and has shown nothing this prep.

 

Funstar (r9)- I made a case for her but she’s finished last and gone awfully. Been a tease basically all her life and she goes in the never again file.

 

Every Rose (r10)- Big winner first up after leading all the way but has since run poorly and isn’t jumping with her usual zest. Needs a freshen up because she looks tired.

 

Caulfield

 

Inside wasn’t the place to be with a combination of westerly winds and the ground inferior.

 

Horses to Follow

 

Mohican Heights (r7)- Great ride by Walker from barrier one to get off the fence and out of traffic. It was a good win at Mornington, and this was even better off a more genuine tempo. He can pick up a listed staying race this prep- perhaps something in South Australia.

 

Silent Sovereign (r7)- Another great ride in the same race by Holland, he got going early and nearly pinched it after a disappointing run last start. Looks ready to win.

 

Mikyake (r8)- Went through the line well first up and backed it up with another good effort here at 2000m. He was beaten 2.65L but did run the fastest 1000/800/600m of the race before just peaking late. If he draws a gate at 2400m next start he’s a bet.

 

 

Horses to Sack

 

Garvoc (r4)- Ran 3rd but was beaten 5.3L by Cordilla and Rainbiel. Hasn’t had much luck this prep but her last two might have just confirmed she’s not up to Saturday grade.

 

Dabiyr (r7)- Was plain first up but generally improves lengths with a run under his belt, which he didn’t do whatsoever after a good run in transit. Needs to show something soon.

 

Wyclif (r8)- I thought he had every chance and couldn’t get to the leaders with just 52.5kg on his back. I also couldn’t fathom the stack of market support for him which will likely ensure he goes around in the market next start and perhaps too short.

 

 

 

Trent’s interest in the thoroughbred started out as a spark with Black Caviar, became a flame with Winx, and has now intensified into a burning obsession with Arcadia Queen. He started out throwing loose change on random trifectas at the pub, but it wasn’t long before he was watching replays and looking at sectionals, weights and markets. Trent specializes in Victorian racing and hopes his first winner as an owner is just around the corner.

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