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Moonee Valley Racing Tips: Friday, February 11th

Racing at The Valley tonight and Trent Crebbin’s best bet comes up in the last.

Racing at Moonee Valley tonight for an eight race card.

Trent Crebbin has done the form and his best bet comes up in the last race.

The track is rated a good 4 and the rail is out 3 metres.

Best Bet- Race 8 (3) Delightful Journey

Best Value- Race 4 (6) Glenferrie Girl

TAB Sky Racing

209189

Race 1

Schweppes Mdn Plate (1200m)
6:15pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Schweppes Mdn Plate (1200m)
6:15pm (AEDT)

1. Chain (8) J: Craig Williams (58kg) T: Chris Waller
2. Girello (3) J: Ms Jackie Beriman (58kg) T: M C Kent
6.577.1
3. Hull (9) J: Will Price (58kg) T: Erin Maher
4. Matao Ma (7) J: Patrick Moloney (58kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
2.82.82.45
5. Plagiarized (4) J: Damien Oliver (58kg) T: C J Waller
4.44.64.5
6. Stromboli (2) J: Jye Mcneil (58kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
4.84.64.6
7. Cheloon (5) J: Michael Dee (56kg) T: Archie Alexander
4.84.84.9
8. Quite The Lass (6) J: Damien Thornton (56kg) T: D R Brideoake
161615.2
9. Seydoux (1) J: Jordan Childs (56kg) T: J T Conlan

Quite keen on (5) Plagiarized on debut. I loved his Geelong trial behind Spirit Of Gaylard who is a big chance in a group 2 tomorrow, coming wider and hitting the line very nicely. He’s a very expensive gelding and I expect him to recoup some of that pricetag. Also important to note, Waller had two in this race with Chain an early favourite, but they’ve scratched that horse and left Plagiarized in by himself so I think they’re quite confident. 

(4) Matao Ma is bursting to win one and comes out of a strong maiden behind Arktika where he led at a fast pace. He’ll have the map advantage and not much pressure which will see him hard to beat.

Tip: (5) Plagiarized- $4.20 at TopSport

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Plagiarized

209189

Race 2

Pepsi Max Mdn Plate (1500m)
6:45pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Pepsi Max Mdn Plate (1500m)
6:45pm (AEDT)

1. Atomoscar (6) J: Thomas Stockdale (59.5kg) T: Ms C Martindale
202121.5
2. Bounty Shark (3) J: Craig Atkinson (59.5kg) T: Ms H White
616769
3. Ebony King (8) J: Jordan Childs (59kg) T: G M Begg
665.1
4. Stark Raving (5) J: Jack Hill (59kg) T: L & T Corstens
262620
5. Vadarchie (4) J: Damien Oliver (59kg) T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr
6. Jenni Of Avalon (7) J: Brian Park (57.5kg) T: Patrick Keane
101111.2
7. Award Me (1) J: Ms Jamie Kah (57kg) T: D T O'brien
1.451.451.42
8. Tagomago (2) J: Jye Mcneil (57kg) T: Lloyd Kennewell
666.1

(7) Award Me clearly looks the one to beat but there’s no betting value at $1.45. The extra trip suits, this is an easier maiden and I expect Kah gets her out the barriers to try and lead from the inside. All things equal, she’ll be winning. 

Tip: (7) Award Me- $1.50 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: No Bet

209189

Race 3

Ecor Tech (Bm70) (2040m)
7:15pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Ecor Tech (Bm70) (2040m)
7:15pm (AEDT)

1. Laundy (2) J: Will Price (60kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
4.64.64.75
2. Shakespeare (5) J: Michael Dee (59.5kg) T: Patrick Payne
5.55.55.3
3. Kiptanui (4) J: Craig Newitt (59kg) T: Ms W Kelly
7.57.57.6
4. Agnelli (3) J: Brett Prebble (58kg) T: C J Waller
2.32.32.2
5. Heartland Raider (6) J: Jordan Childs (57.5kg) T: C Gafa
212123.5
6. Hopkins (1) J: Jye Mcneil (56kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
5.55.54.85

(1) Laundy has been ridden poorly at his last few starts and looks much better suited here. Kah went right back last start and he just held his ground to the line with no hope of getting into it, but with the apprentice claiming here from barrier 2 in a race devoid of speed I expect they’ll lead and his record at this T/D is solid. 

(4) Agnelli is racing well over shorter trips and was good behind Gentleman Roy in a stronger race last start. Small query at the trip, he was the 2nd fastest 400-200m split but only the 4th fastest last 200m and didn’t exactly scream 2000m.

(2) Shakespeare doesn’t help himself with his racing pattern but is going okay and perhaps the smaller field can be to his advantage.

Tip: (1) Laundy- $5.00 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Laundy

209189

Race 4

Solo No Sugar (Bm70) (955m)
7:45pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Solo No Sugar (Bm70) (955m)
7:45pm (AEDT)

1. Francine (4) J: Ms Laura Lafferty (61kg) T: Aaron Purcell
4.64.64.65
2. Madame Bolli (5) J: Josh Richards (60.5kg) T: J T Conlan
55.54.45
3. Delacour (7) J: Blaike Mcdougall (59kg) T: N F Gardner
9910.2
4. Destiny Diamond (2) J: Thomas Stockdale (58kg) T: Symon Wilde
333.05
5. Angel Like (6) J: Ms Jamie Kah (56kg) T: Will Clarken
4.554.15
6. Glenferrie Girl (1) J: Ms Alana Kelly (56kg) T: Adam Chambers
191915.6
7. Night Of Delight (3) J: Jye Mcneil (55.5kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
11119.7

Off their SP profile I can make a case for (6) Glenferrie Girl here as the outsider of the field. She’s been a bit plain her last two at Warrnambool but she started $5.50 and $4.20 carrying 62kg, now dropping to 54kg after the claim. She probably box seats from barrier 1 and will need a bit of luck, but at the price I’m going to spec her.

(1) Francine has won those last two races that Glenferrie Girl has contested, going straight to the front and proving too fast for her rivals. She also gets a 3kg claim down to 58kg and whilst she’ll cop pressure I do think she’s fast enough to eventually lead. 

(4) Destiny Diamond is racing well and was good at this T/D last week, dropping in weight for this bm70 which isn’t all that strong.

(7) Night Of Delight was wide with a big weight last start but good prior.

Tip: (6) Glenferrie Girl- $20.00/7.50 at Sportsbet (2 places only)

Betting Strategy: 0.25 units E/W Glenferrie Girl

209189

Race 5

Ladbrokes 55 Sec Challenge-C1 (955m)
8:15pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Ladbrokes 55 Sec Challenge-C1 (955m)
8:15pm (AEDT)

1. Direct (4) J: Josh Richards (62.5kg) T: Lloyd Kennewell
1.31.31.28
2. Abaddon (7) J: Ms Alana Kelly (58kg) T: J Warren & D Krongold
313135
3. Lovie May (6) J: Thomas Stockdale (56.5kg) T: Shea Eden
7.57.57.6
4. Glamour And Glory (1) J: Jye Mcneil (56kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
4.24.23.7
5. Art Academy (2) J: Will Price (55kg) T: S S Cunningham
515153
6. Mr Satellite (3) J: Craig Newitt (55kg) T: Dwayne Reid
919185
7. Boom Girl (5) J: Ms Laura Lafferty (55kg) T: Louisa Dove
10191131

Another very short priced favourite in (1) Direct who looks too good for these. His last run he split Profiteer and Enthaar which rates lengths better than anything in this class 1 field. Should jump, run, lead and win.

Tip: (1) Direct- $1.30 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: No Bet

209189

Race 6

Cool Ridge (Bm64) (1200m)
8:45pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Cool Ridge (Bm64) (1200m)
8:45pm (AEDT)

1. Charm Wing (4) J: Thomas Stockdale (61.5kg) T: Jamie Scott
989.1
2. Hai Sun (2) J: Damian Lane (61kg) T: Mitchell Freedman
3. Little Pickle (9) J: Beau Mertens (60.5kg) T: J Warren & D Krongold
4. Chill With Teejay (3) J: Ms Laura Lafferty (60kg) T: Peter Hardacre
666.1
5. Miss Bank Place (1) J: Jye Mcneil (59kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
141314.2
6. Snapped (5) J: Damien Thornton (59kg) T: A & S Freedman
1.61.61.54
7. I Am Ready (8) J: Ms Jamie Kah (58.5kg) T: Lloyd Kennewell
121211.4
8. Miss Melbourne (7) J: Ben Allen (58.5kg) T: D T O'brien
77.56
9. Adki (6) J: Fred Kersley (58kg) T: M & L Cerchi
919191

Back to back prohibitively short favourites with (6) Snapped around $1.60. The debut win at Pakenham was very strong, leading all the way in a handy maiden. Any natural improvement will see her very hard to beat here. 

(1) Charm Wing would be the danger after finishing strongly to grab 3rd first up at Flemington. If she can settle a bit closer and potentially land 1-1 she can provide some resistance.

Tip: (6) Snapped- $1.60 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: No Bet

209189

Race 7

Happy 95Th Horace Gelder-Bm64 (1200m)
9:15pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Happy 95Th Horace Gelder-Bm64 (1200m)
9:15pm (AEDT)

1. Yulong Knight (5) J: Lewis German (65.5kg) T: R J Blacker
2. Picargo (1) J: Campbell Rawiller (61.5kg) T: Ryan Balfour
3. He's The Ultimate (2) J: Ms Jamie Kah (60kg) T: P G Moody
2.452.42.25
4. Rolling Moss (7) J: Josh Richards (60kg) T: Shawn Mathrick
171618.2
5. Mars Mission (3) J: Jye Mcneil (59.5kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
2.052.11.98
6. Fortune Follows (8) J: Dylan Caboche (59kg) T: P L Caboche
98.59.6
7. Magnum Bullet (4) J: Jarrod Fry (58.5kg) T: Michael Sell
8. Governor Landy (10) J: J Noonan (58kg) T: Tony Noonan
9. Mysticano (11) J: Alana Kelly (58kg) T: Darren Magro
10. Serenaur (6) J: Mitchell Aitken (58kg) T: Brent Stanley
111111.2
11. Gojazz (9) J: (55.5kg) T: Steve Cunningham

(5) Mars Mission should be too good here. His win in maiden grade at Warwick Farm was very good, sitting 3 wide no cover the trip but still letting down powerfully to win well. The small field should help here and anything around even money looks fair.

(3) He’s The Ultimate should be able to lead and take some running down. He had his chance last start and just got there but is still on the up. 

Tip: (5) Mars Mission- $2.10 at TopSport

Betting Strategy: 2.5 units WIN Mars Mission

209189

Race 8

Gatorade (Bm64) (1500m)
9:45pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Gatorade (Bm64) (1500m)
9:45pm (AEDT)

1. Ruban Bleu (8) J: Josh Richards (63kg) T: Ben & J D Hayes
202017.6
2. Barragunda (1) J: Jye Mcneil (61kg) T: Lloyd Kennewell
5.565.1
3. Delightful Journey (5) J: Thomas Stockdale (60.5kg) T: Christine Sexton
3.233.25
4. Dimaggio (3) J: Damien Oliver (60.5kg) T: K L Corstens
9.59.58
5. Rudy Rude (7) J: Declan Bates (60kg) T: V L Malady
313134
6. Richmond Poet (9) J: Samuel Payne (59.5kg) T: Michelle Payne
121210
7. Breasley (11) J: Rhys Mcleod (59kg) T: C Vidotto & C Beasy
212121
8. Dimension (6) J: Damian Lane (59kg) T: A & S Freedman
54.84.45
9. Magnolia Rose (10) J: Jarrod Fry (59kg) T: Dane Smith
141516.2
10. Rumbled Again (12) J: Jack Hill (59kg) T: Michael Trotter
111112.2
11. Great Ambition (2) J: Fred Kersley (57.5kg) T: Yoshitomo Shima
262626.5
12. Shy Doll (4) J: Ms Alana Kelly (55kg) T: I R Hutchins
212123.5

Keen on (3) Delightful Journey to round out the card. He was good here three back just run down late by a smart one in Marcolt before bolting in at Cranbourne two back when leading all the way, beating Honeycreeper who won on Wednesday. Last start he tackled a harder race and was eyeballed by Gentleman Roy, not disgraced in 4th. This is easier and he maps to find the front with ease. 

(2) Barragunda hit the line well last start and now looks ready for a slight step up in trip. He should be able to land closer from the inside and with a bit of luck will be finishing well.

(9) Magnolia Rose will come across from out wide and won well last start with the blinkers first time. 

Tip: (3) Delightful Journey- $3.20 at TAB

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Delightful Journey

Trent’s interest in the thoroughbred started out as a spark with Black Caviar, became a flame with Winx, and has now intensified into a burning obsession with Arcadia Queen. He started out throwing loose change on random trifectas at the pub, but it wasn’t long before he was watching replays and looking at sectionals, weights and markets. Trent specializes in Victorian racing and hopes his first winner as an owner is just around the corner.

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