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Moonee Valley Racing Tips: Friday, February 18th

Trent Crebbin previews every race at The Valley on Friday night with his best bet going around in the final event.

Moonee Valley Tips

Friday night racing takes place at Moonee Valley tonight as we prepare for tomorrow’s Group 1 Lightning Stakes meeting at Flemington.

Tonight’s eight-race card is headlined by the Listed Torney Night Cup.

The track is rated a Good 4 with the rail out 5m the entire circuit.

Trent Crebbin has done the form for every race with his tips and best bets below.

Best Bet: Race 8 – (4) Elite Icon

Best Value: Race 5 – (3) New Choice

BetDeluxe

209723

Race 1

Quest Moonee Valley (Rs0mw) (955m)
6:15pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Quest Moonee Valley (Rs0mw) (955m)
6:15pm (AEDT)

1. Astelena (3) J: Damian Lane (57kg) T: Ben & J D Hayes
4.84.64.7
2. Avoid Me (4) J: Blaike Mcdougall (57kg) T: T & C Mcevoy
3.13.13.15
3. Berry Bubbly (1) J: Jye Mcneil (57kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
554.5
4. Cut To The Chase (2) J: Jordan Childs (57kg) T: G M Begg
6.56.55.8
5. Frontenac (7) J: Damien Oliver (57kg) T: James Cummings
9.59.59
6. Roaring Miss (5) J: Joe Bowditch (57kg) T: Lloyd Kennewell
777.1
7. Runaway Belle (6) J: Brett Prebble (57kg) T: P Stokes
111111.2

Most of the field here on debut. (4) Cut To The Chase has jumped out well and gets the in form Luke Nolen aboard form a good gate.

(1) Astelena similarly has jumped out well under no riding and gets Lane on.

(2) Avoid Me looks quite fast off the jumpouts and might be able to lead these. Expect she’s in this for a long way.

Tip: (4) Cut To The Chase $7.50 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: No bet

209723

Race 2

Bmd Group Hcp (C1) (1600m)
6:45pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Bmd Group Hcp (C1) (1600m)
6:45pm (AEDT)

1. Jaffastock (6) J: Nash Rawiller (59kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
5.55.54.95
2. Succeed Indeed (11) J: Craig Williams (59kg) T: L & T Corstens
5.555.6
3. Dayan Star (10) J: Jack Hill (58.5kg) T: L & T Corstens
212117.4
4. James The Great (7) J: Damian Lane (58.5kg) T: Matthew Cumani
191817.6
5. Wordy (5) J: Fred Kersley (58.5kg) T: Mark & Levi Kavanagh
67.56
6. Zoutellus (2) J: Ben Allen (58.5kg) T: K & K Keys
4.84.64.6
7. Winston Smurfhill (8) J: John Allen (58kg) T: Ben Brisbourne
121213.2
8. Gonnadancealot (9) J: Will Price (57.5kg) T: L Smith
5.55.55.6
9. Lacrima (3) J: Declan Bates (57kg) T: J S Bull
151415.2
10. Aragon (1) J: J Noonan (56.5kg) T: Tony Noonan
11. Inyangani (4) J: Jye Mcneil (56kg) T: Jamie Edwards
9.5910.2

Tough race. (6) Zoutellus is racing well but struggles to win with just the one career victory from sixteen starts. Not sure a mile is his go but he’ll get every chance again.

(2) Succeed Indeed is in a similar boat but just can’t crack another win. She loomed as the winner last start but peaked late. Not sure where she gets to on the map.

(1) Jaffastock should be fitter and appreciate the 1600m with Nash on board.

(5) Wordy is ready to win. 3rd up now off a very long spell, he stuck on well in a fast run race for the class last start and this doesn’t look much harder. He maps to land on speed and has a few less convictions that most of these.

Tip: (5) Wordy $7.50 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 0.25 units WIN Wordy

209723

Race 3

Daemco (Bm64) (2040m)
7:15pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Daemco (Bm64) (2040m)
7:15pm (AEDT)

1. Angel Rock (4) J: Josh Richards (61.5kg) T: Tom Dabernig
43.84.05
2. Flossing (12) J: Will Price (61.5kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
4.44.44.1
3. Cuffe's Grange (2) J: Jye Mcneil (60kg) T: G W Egan
262626.5
4. Roederer (7) J: Ethan Brown (60kg) T: Logan Mcgill
202121.5
5. Running Cloud (6) J: Thomas Stockdale (59.5kg) T: Nathan Dunn
141313.4
6. Cogent (8) J: Michael Dee (59kg) T: G Eurell
181815.6
7. Hopkins (11) J: Nash Rawiller (59kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
77.56.6
8. Poleaxed (3) J: Matthew Cartwright (59kg) T: K & K Keys
9.59.59.6
9. Look Sharpish (13) J: Ms Chloe Azzopardi (58.5kg) T: L & T Corstens
262621
10. Zidler (5) J: Damien Oliver (58.5kg) T: C J Waller
76.56.8
11. Amfissa (9) J: Craig Williams (58kg) T: Chris Waller
12. Aeecee Dolce (1) J: Declan Bates (56.5kg) T: L Smith
999.1
13. Miss Charlee Lyn (10) J: Ms Alana Kelly (55kg) T: Ms K Dufty
918177

(12) Aeecee Dolce has kept improving all prep and ran well here last start. She gets the senior rider on now and did finish 2nd to the favourite Angel Rock two back at Warrnambool.

(1) Angel Rock is racing very well and comes out of the strongest race behind Worthily. She settled closer there and from barrier 4 expect she can land midfield or better again out to 2040m for the first time. She meets Aeecee Dolce at the same weights after the claim.

(10) Zidler is ready to win 3rd up for Waller out of the same race behind Za’ex.

Tip: Angel Rock $3.40 at TAB

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Angel Rock

209723

Race 4

Ladbrokes 55 Second (Bm84) (955m)
7:45pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Ladbrokes 55 Second (Bm84) (955m)
7:45pm (AEDT)

1. Grandview Avenue (4) J: Ms Alana Kelly (61.5kg) T: K M Elford
192020.5
2. Ashlor (6) J: Ms Tahlia Hope (61kg) T: D J Mccarthy
161717.2
3. Yulong Command (1) J: Matthew Cartwright (61kg) T: A & S Freedman
2.152.22
4. Lunar Hero (3) J: Jye Mcneil (56.5kg) T: D J Mccarthy
3.73.43.5
5. Gold Spark (5) J: (55.5kg) T: Nick Ryan
6. Capital Reign (7) J: Craig Williams (55kg) T: G Portelli
3.33.33.45
7. Blood Oath (2) J: Lachlan Neindorf (55kg) T: E Jusufovic

Quite keen on (3) Yulong Command who just loves The Valley as he’s a very quick horse who rails well. I think he has the early speed to kick up and hold the front from barrier 1 and his form this prep speaks for itself, having run 3rd to Enthaar in fast time three back.

(6) Capital Reign is an interesting one because he also looks very fast early having led 900m races in NSW. His narrow 2nd to Silent Impact first up is a strong bit of form, although he was a touch plain last start and has to come to The Valley for the first time and try to burn off Yulong Command.

Tip: (3) Yulong Command $2.15 at Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 2.5 units WIN Yulong Command

209723

Race 5

Melba & Me (Bm70) (1600m)
8:15pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Melba & Me (Bm70) (1600m)
8:15pm (AEDT)

1. Saccharo (6) J: Josh Richards (62.5kg) T: Archie Alexander
8.58.58.7
2. Lorente (7) J: Matthew Cartwright (62kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
181715
3. New Choice (12) J: Ms Madison Lloyd (60.5kg) T: C Vidotto & C Beasy
10119.8
4. Upswing (2) J: Billy Egan (60.5kg) T: Patrick Payne
202116.8
5. Diasonic (10) J: (59.5kg) T: Richard Laming
6. Tradewind (9) J: Jye Mcneil (59.5kg) T: Ryan Balfour
101010.2
7. Helavabel (8) J: Damian Lane (59kg) T: G Eurell
121210
8. Groovy Kinda Love (5) J: Brett Prebble (58kg) T: M C Kent
44.24.25
9. Austrata (4) J: Damien Oliver (57.5kg) T: C J Waller
55.54.55
10. Baritone (3) J: Ms Jackie Beriman (57kg) T: Ms J Beriman
126101111
11. Zerelle (11) J: Nash Rawiller (57kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
43.84.1
12. Mescaminto (1) J: Thomas Stockdale (56.5kg) T: Andrew Dale
212123.5

This is a drop in class for (3) New Choice who should be ready to do something 3rd up. He went back last start but did run on well behind Nicolini Vito in a high rating bm78. His last 800m was the race fastest and he’s a much better horse when leading, which I think they’ll look to do here. 3kg claimer on, wide draw, surely they roll forward and try to run these into the ground.

(11) Zerelle has always had plenty of talent and returned with a strong win against the older horses, first up as a gelding. He can go on with it now and gets the blinkers on.

(6) Tradewind next best over from SA.

Tip: (3) New Choice $6.50 at TopSport

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN New Choice

209723

Race 6

Mce Torney Night Cup (2500m)
8:45pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Mce Torney Night Cup (2500m)
8:45pm (AEDT)

1. Future Score (8) J: Jye Mcneil (60kg) T: Matthew Cumani
10108.7
2. Daqiansweet Junior (10) J: Ms Jamie Kah (56.5kg) T: P Stokes
2.62.52.65
3. Dragon Storm (6) J: Blaike Mcdougall (56.5kg) T: M D Moroney
181815
4. Skelm (7) J: Michael Poy (56.5kg) T: T D Kelly
3.944.05
5. South Pacific (1) J: Craig Williams (56.5kg) T: Richard Litt
131311.2
6. Skymax (2) J: Robbie Dolan (55kg) T: Mark Newnham
10108.7
7. Za'ex (9) J: Brett Prebble (54kg) T: Ms C Alderson
8.58.58.6
8. Into Rio (5) J: Ms Alana Kelly (54kg) T: C F Hyland
514138
9. San Remo (4) J: Matthew Cartwright (54kg) T: Dane Smith
10191111
10. Spirit Of Gold (3) J: Jason Benbow (54kg) T: P G Moody
998.9

See no reason (2) Daiqansweet Junior won’t just win again. He’s coming off a strong win at this T/D in fast time last start, beating In A Twinkling who has since run 2nd in a Hobart Cup. My only query is coming out of a fast race to what could potentially be a slowly run race here, but he’s shown he’s adaptable off even tempos in his winning streak and he’s the horse on the up.

(4) Skelm was a touch plain last start but was 5 weeks between runs dropping back in trip from 2800m. Back up to 2500m now looks ideal.

Tip: (2) Daiqansweet Junior $2.80 at Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Daiqansweet Junior

209723

Race 7

Msc Signs Electrical (Bm64) (1200m)
9:15pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Msc Signs Electrical (Bm64) (1200m)
9:15pm (AEDT)

1. Yulong Knight (13) J: Adam Mccabe (65.5kg) T: R J Blacker
121212.2
2. Important Product (1) J: Josh Richards (62kg) T: Kurt Goldman
121213.2
3. Rock Tycoon (5) J: Ms Madison Lloyd (62kg) T: Nathan Hobson
6.577.1
4. Michigan (6) J: Jamie Mott (61.5kg) T: M D Moroney
3.63.33.55
5. Eclipse Solar (8) J: Ethan Brown (61kg) T: C I Brown
554.6
6. Expectant (3) J: Matthew Cartwright (61kg) T: S P Nichols
202117.8
7. Five Star Decanter (9) J: Damian Lane (60.5kg) T: M M Laurie
887
8. Hinto Blue (11) J: Luke Nolen (60.5kg) T: Ben & J D Hayes
212117.6
9. She's Booming (12) J: Damien Oliver (59kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
161513.4
10. Chairman's Choice (4) J: Thomas Stockdale (58.5kg) T: Andrew Dale
171718.2
11. Kuna Magic (2) J: Jye Mcneil (57kg) T: Clayton Douglas
181815.2
12. Bay Of Islands (10) J: Ms Alana Kelly (56kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
212123
13. Governor Landy (7) J: Jake Noonan (58kg) T: A W Noonan
263122

(3) Rock Tycoon struggles to win but he is generally consistent here. His run last start behind Shotmaker was good and this looks easier. He maps for another soft run just behind the speed.

(4) Michigan won two in a row to start last prep before failing in a much harder race. Just the one soft jumpout for him first up.

(5) Eclipse Solar had no luck at Bendigo but will get back again in what looks a slowly run race.

Tip: (3) Rock Tycoon $6.50/2.20 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 0.25/0.75 units E/W Rock Tycoon

209723

Race 8

Ladbrokes Same Race Multi-Bm64 (1200m)
9:45pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Ladbrokes Same Race Multi-Bm64 (1200m)
9:45pm (AEDT)

1. Daily Bugle (15) J: Ms Alana Kelly (64.5kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
2. Finance Choice (12) J: Josh Richards (61kg) T: Tom Dabernig
3. Predetermined (4) J: Robbie Downey (60.5kg) T: L & T Corstens
343126
4. Elite Icon (5) J: Blaike Mcdougall (60kg) T: T & C Mcevoy
2.052.152
5. Sharper (10) J: Craig Newitt (60kg) T: M E Templeton
101101111
6. Obsessive Nature (7) J: Ben Allen (59.5kg) T: Craig Blackshaw
818183
7. Teser (1) J: Thomas Stockdale (59.5kg) T: G Eurell
9.5108.1
8. Sharwin (13) J: Jye Mcneil (59kg) T: A & S Freedman
776.2
9. Star Spirit (6) J: John Allen (59kg) T: Archie Alexander
6.58.58.5
10. Well In Sight (9) J: Damien Oliver (59kg) T: Mitchell Beer
182020.5
11. Stern Impulse (3) J: Lachlan Neindorf (58kg) T: S P Nichols
212123.5
12. Ruby Mockingbird (11) J: Matthew Cartwright (57kg) T: Lloyd Kennewell
262626.5
13. Hesket (8) J: Damian Lane (59kg) T: M J Ellerton
10108.5
14. Side Bet (2) J: Ethan Brown (59kg) T: M M Laurie
151614.2
15. Beaukati (16) J: Brett Prebble (57kg) T: C W Mcdonald
181818.2
16. Veterok (14) J: Unknown (59kg) T: C I Brown
615140

(4) Elite Icon should be taking care of these. He ran very well on debut at Flemington in a fast run race as favourite before coming here and bolting in when leading all the way. He’ll be very hard to beat again but scratchings have put him well into the red now. $1.80 looks fair.

(13) Hesket was a deserved winner last start when sent straight to the front and bolting in. His run prior behind the very promising Arktika was rock solid on speed.

(9) Star Spirit has plenty of talent and looks ready to peak here.

Tip: (4) Elite Icon $1.80 at TopSport

Betting Strategy: 4 units WIN Elite Icon

Trent’s interest in the thoroughbred started out as a spark with Black Caviar, became a flame with Winx, and has now intensified into a burning obsession with Arcadia Queen. He started out throwing loose change on random trifectas at the pub, but it wasn’t long before he was watching replays and looking at sectionals, weights and markets. Trent specializes in Victorian racing and hopes his first winner as an owner is just around the corner.

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