Racing Tips

Moonee Valley Racing Tips: Friday, November 26th

Racing at The Valley tonight and Trent Crebbin has previewed every race on the card.

by
Trent Crebbin
26 November 2021

Racing at Moonee Valley tonight as we look to build a bank for Caulfield tomorrow.

Trent Crebbin has done the form and his best bet comes up in Race 5.

The track is rated a good 4 and the rail is out 6 metres.

Best Bet- Race 5 (12) Aquapishe

Best Value- Race 3 (2) Mystery Island

Race 1

Living Legends Hcp (2040m)
6:15pm (AEDT)

Race 1 Living Legends Hcp (2040m) 6:15pm (AEDT)
1. Volcanic Rock (2) J: Teodore Nugent (59.5kg) T: M & L Cerchi	16	14	13	14	11.4	13
2. Burning Power (6) J: Michael Dee (55kg) T: Patrick Payne	2.25	2.3	2.35	2.45	2.35	2.3
3. The Amazonian (1) J: Patrick Moloney (55kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr	4.2	4	4.2	4.2	4.25	4.2
4. Fighting Arrow (4) J: Damien Thornton (55kg) T: Chris Calthorpe	3.2	3.2	3.1	3.1	3.15	3.3
5. Celtic Glory (3) J: Ms Alana Kelly (55kg) T: Dan O'sullivan	20	19	19	21	20	19
6. Bring The Stars (5) J: Jye Mcneil (55kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock	10	10	10	11	8.4	10

(2) Burning Power looks the obvious after a great ride and nice win last start over 1600m. If she can extend that to 2040m this is no harder and she’s the one to beat.

(4) Fighting Arrow was dominant breaking his maiden by 7L at Geelong last start. He definitely looks suited up in trip again and will measure up in a fairly thin race.

(3) The Amazonian the other winning chance, winning well last start on the heavy 10 at Cranbourne.

Not much interest in the first- any of those three could win without surprising. Slight lean to Fighting Arrow at the prices.

Tip: (4) Fighting Arrow- $2.90 at Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: No Bet

Race 2

Mooneevalleypark.Com.Au Mdn (1500m)
6:45pm (AEDT)

Race 2 Mooneevalleypark.Com.Au Mdn (1500m) 6:45pm (AEDT)
1. Bobsled (3) J: John Allen (59.5kg) T: Richard Laming	17	16	16	16	13.4	16
2. Cheryl's Lad (2) J: Beau Mertens (59.5kg) T: Ms Allison Sheehan	6.5	6	6	6.5	5.7	6
3. Days Of Glory (6) J: Samuel Payne (59.5kg) T: Michelle Payne	41	41	41	51	51	41
4. Kyiv Prince (5) J: Patrick Moloney (59.5kg) T: Saab Hasan	201	151	151	151	101	151
5. Invincible Crown (9) J: Damien Thornton (58kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock	4	4	4	4.2	4.25	4
6. Mahjing (7) J: Neil Farley (58kg) T: C J Davis	27	26	26	31	32	26
7. Unforgiven (1) J: Jye Mcneil (58kg) T: A & S Freedman	4.6	4.8	4.6	5	4.55	4.6
8. Night Terror (4) J: Will Gordon (57.5kg) T: C J Davis	67	61	51	61	69	51
9. Reflecting Image (12) J: Ben Allen (57.5kg) T: Shea Eden	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.6	5.5
10. Lady Vuitton (11) J: Brian Higgins (56kg) T: Matthew Brown	20	21	21	26	17.4	21
11. Riverina Cyclone (8) J: Damian Lane (56kg) T: M M Laurie	4.2	3.9	3.8	3.7	3.6	4
12. Sur Ronhlo (10) J: Teodore Nugent (59.5kg) T: Ms A Macpherson	35	31	31	34	33	31

(11) Riverina Cyclone looks ready to break through. She battled on well behind what could be a handy horse in General Firepower who races in the Sandown Guineas on Saturday. She should be able to find a spot on speed and take some running down.

(5) Invincible Crown likely has to head back from the wide gate but is racing very well. He was wide without cover last start and stuck on well.

(2) Cheryl’s Lad next best after bouncing back to form last start.

Tip: (11) Riverina Cyclone- $3.00 at Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Riverina Cyclone

Race 3

Xmas Parties @ The Valley-Bm64 (2500m)
7:15pm (AEDT)

Race 3 Xmas Parties @ The Valley-Bm64 (2500m) 7:15pm (AEDT)
1. Guns Ablazing (10) J: Jye Mcneil (61.5kg) T: Amy & Ash Yargi	4.6	4.8	4.8	5	5.1	4.8
2. Mystery Island (3) J: Matthew Cartwright (61kg) T: L Smith	12	9.5	9	10	8.9	8.5
3. Fabalot (7) J: Damian Lane (60.5kg) T: Maddie Raymond	8.5	8	8	8	6.9	8
4. Rock The Bowler (9) J: Thomas Stockdale (60.5kg) T: Peter Gelagotis	7	7.5	7	7	6.3	7
5. Silence The Stars (4) J: Lewis German (59.5kg) T: Deanne Taylor	81	67	71	71	77	71
6. Tigertiger (5) J: Brian Higgins (59.5kg) T: R J Blacker	6	6.5	6	6	6.6	6.5
7. High Commission (6) J: Ben Allen (59kg) T: Craig Blackshaw	10	10	11	11	8.6	11
8. Heartland Raider (8) J: Craig Newitt (58.5kg) T: C Gafa
9. Peace Process (12) J: Declan Bates (58.5kg) T: Archie Alexander	6	7	6.5	6.5	6.5	7
10. Saving (2) J: Patrick Moloney (58.5kg) T: Andrea Leek	6.5	6.5	6	6	6.5	6.5
11. Persian Empire (1) J: John Allen (56.5kg) T: M J Seyers	13	12	11	11	13.2	12
12. I Arize (11) J: Ms Tatum Bull (55kg) T: Steven Pateman	151	126	101	101	91	126

Having something on (2) Mystery Island here who gets out to 2500m for the first time this prep. He apparently didn’t handle the soft 7 last start when backed into $8.50 in a harder race and they went quite hard in front. His run prior was good and he didn’t show anything last prep until he really got out in trip. This is easier, he can lead from barrier 2 and the double figures looks attractive.

(1) Guns Ablazing comes out of a race at this T/D and he was very good there. This is a drop in grade and if he can find a spot from barrier 10 he’ll be hard to beat.

(7) High Commission next best after beating (6) Tigertiger fair and square two back at Mornington.

Tip: (2) Mystery Island- $11.00/3.50 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units E/W Mystery Island

Race 4

Front Runner Membership (Bm64) (1600m)
7:45pm (AEDT)

Race 4 Front Runner Membership (Bm64) (1600m) 7:45pm (AEDT)
1. Savoie (7) J: Ms Alana Kelly (63kg) T: B & A Mcknight	11	10	10	10	11.2	10
2. Vitruvius (12) J: Tom Ryan (61.5kg) T: P A Preusker	2.7	2.9	2.7	2.7	2.6	2.7
3. Laundy (6) J: Josh Richards (61kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young	4	4.4	3.8	3.8	3.5	4
4. Dixie Built (9) J: Teodore Nugent (60.5kg) T: M & L Cerchi	23	21	19	19	17.8	21
5. Eaton (1) J: Thomas Stockdale (60.5kg) T: M & L Cerchi	71	61	51	61	43	51
6. Hughes The Boss (5) J: Ms Tatum Bull (60.5kg) T: Dan O'sullivan	7	7.5	6.5	7.5	7.4	6.5
7. Chase On The Case (8) J: Ms Madison Lloyd (60kg) T: Matthew Brown	19	20	19	21	16.6	19
8. Bolden Beau (3) J: Jason Maskiell (59kg) T: M Cornish & Ms D Gaskin	51	41	34	41	34	34
9. The Enzo (13) J: Jarrod Fry (58.5kg) T: Nathan Hobson	16	15	14	15	15.6	14
10. Just Stellar (11) J: Neil Farley (58kg) T: C J Davis	11	11	10	11	11.2	10
11. Blue Army (4) J: Damian Lane (57.5kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
12. Alexander Hamilton (10) J: Unknown (58kg) T: Ms R Frost	17	13	13	13	13.4	14
13. Effort (2) J: Lewis German (59kg) T: A R Mcgregor	16	14	14	14	16.2	14

(2) Vitruvius definitely comes out of the best race behind Alycone at Flemington. He was rock solid there and the win prior over 1700m at Geelong was very good. Back to the 1600m might help but he’ll need to come from a long way back and gets Tom Ryan on for Brett Prebble which can’t help.

(3) Laundy doesn’t win often but was solid first up and the 3kg claim looks ideal. 1600m will help and he has the map favours over the favourite.

(1) Savoie is ready to win. He missed the start in the Donald Cup and ran on well to be beaten 2.2L. He’s had a few issues but if he jumps well can be in the finish.

Tip: (1) Savoie- $10.00/2.95 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 0.25/0.75 units E/W Savoie

Race 5

Drummond Golf (Bm64) (1000m)
8:15pm (AEDT)

Race 5 Drummond Golf (Bm64) (1000m) 8:15pm (AEDT)
1. China Affair (14) J: Thomas Stockdale (63.5kg) T: Clayton Douglas
2. Rock Tycoon (10) J: Ms Alana Kelly (63.5kg) T: Nathan Hobson	35	31	34	34	36	34
3. Fudging (4) J: Ms Tatum Bull (62.5kg) T: Jerome Hunter	17	17	17	18	18.2	17
4. Lunar Hero (6) J: Teodore Nugent (62kg) T: D J Mccarthy	11	10	9	11	10.2	10
5. Arroance (8) J: Jarrod Fry (61.5kg) T: Mark C Webb	13	14	15	16	12.4	15
6. Crimosa (9) J: Josh Richards (61.5kg) T: C Little & M Lindsay	5.5	5.5	5	5.5	5.6	5
7. Soul Obsession (7) J: Matthew Cartwright (60.5kg) T: A & S Freedman	12	12	12	12	11.8	12
8. Mission River (11) J: Jason Maskiell (60kg) T: Ms A Macpherson	26	26	26	26	26.5	26
9. Rights Of Man (3) J: Damian Lane (60kg) T: D T O'brien	3.8	3.9	4	4.2	3.55	4
10. Rising Sphere (13) J: Zac Spain (60kg) T: P Stokes
11. Quality Diamond (12) J: Ben Allen (58.5kg) T: Ms N Burke	18	18	19	19	16.2	19
12. Aquapishe (5) J: Damien Oliver (57.5kg) T: Lloyd Kennewell	3.2	3.4	3	3	3.1	3.1
13. Fly On Bye (2) J: Michael Dee (57kg) T: Mark & Levi Kavanagh	16	15	15	15	14.4	16
14. Maddilyn Rose (1) J: Unknown (56kg) T: Patrick Keane	91	67	71	71	55	71

With the map I think (12) Aquapishe is the one to beat. He was far too good at $1.60 first up in a Pakenham maiden, with the 2nd horse winning last night. Olly jumps on from barrier 5 and he’ll take plenty of beating from there.

(9) Rights Of Man I think has the most talent in the race. He’s run some big races in good company, I just query where he gets to over 1000m. If Lane can hold a spot from barrier 3 he’ll be flying late.

(6) Crimosa next best.

Tip: (12) Aquapishe- $3.40 at Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Aquapishe

Race 6

Ladbrokes 55Sec Challenge-Bm70 (955m)
8:45pm (AEDT)

Race 6 Ladbrokes 55Sec Challenge-Bm70 (955m) 8:45pm (AEDT)
1. What A Smasher (9) J: Ms Tatum Bull (61kg) T: A W Noonan	21	20	21	21	19.6	19
2. Florescent Star (12) J: Josh Richards (60.5kg) T: Amy & Ash Yargi	5	5.5	5	5	5.3	5
3. High Risk (6) J: Jason Maskiell (60.5kg) T: Ms S Trolove	20	21	21	26	18.4	23
4. Real Feeling (5) J: Ms Alana Kelly (60.5kg) T: J Warren & D Krongold	5	4.8	4.6	4.6	4.85	4.8
5. Award Winner (7) J: Matthew Cartwright (60kg) T: A & S Freedman	4.8	4.6	4.4	4.2	4	4.6
6. Off To War (3) J: Thomas Stockdale (59.5kg) T: N J Osborne	11	11	10	10	11.2	11
7. See You In Spring (14) J: Lachlan Neindorf (58.5kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
8. Thunberg (13) J: Teodore Nugent (58.5kg) T: Scott Brunton	9	10	9	9	10.2	9.5
9. Signorina (4) J: Ben Allen (57.5kg) T: D T O'brien	20	19	18	17	15	19
10. Gaze Grise (2) J: Damian Lane (57kg) T: D R Jolly	5.5	4.8	4.6	4.8	5	4.6
11. Shame For Fame (15) J: Jye Mcneil (55kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
12. Moon And Back (1) J: Michael Poy (55kg) T: Andrew Noblet	21	26	21	26	18.4	23
13. Fleurmosa (10) J: Unknown (56kg) T: Ms A Mccormick	51	41	51	51	53	41
14. My Ruby (8) J: Damien Thornton (55kg) T: K L Corstens	34	26	26	31	20.5	23
15. Ling Ling (11) J: Ms Sally Wynne (55kg) T: Sally Wynne	67	51	51	51	39	51

Very open 955m race for the mares. One at odds that can run well is (3) High Risk. First up last prep she ran on from a mile back to finish 3rd to Esta La Roca who would give these a beating. Don’t think she’s a 955m horse but if she’s ready to go she’ll be flying late.

(5) Award Winner isn’t a 955m horse either but potentially has the most talent. She might be out sped from barrier 7.

(8) Thunberg is a fast Tassie mare who wasn’t far off Award Winner when they met at Caulfield last prep.

(2) Florescent Star was also in that race but again may be better over a bit further.

Tricky race but the speed should be on for High Risk.

Tip: (3) High Risk- $31.00/6.50 at TopSport

Betting Strategy: 0.25 units E/W High Risk

Race 7

Tote Bar & Dining (Bm70) (2040m)
9:15pm (AEDT)

Race 7 Tote Bar & Dining (Bm70) (2040m) 9:15pm (AEDT)
1. Confrontational (8) J: Matthew Cartwright (60.5kg) T: J Warren & D Krongold	6.5	6.5	6	6.5	5.7	6
2. Chapel Lane (13) J: Damien Oliver (60kg) T: D Karp	21	21	21	26	19.4	23
3. Skyt (9) J: Ms Alana Kelly (60kg) T: Richard Laming	26	21	21	21	20	21
4. Florida Dream (4) J: Josh Richards (59kg) T: Luke Oliver	21	19	19	21	18.2	19
5. Running Cloud (3) J: Lachlan Neindorf (59kg) T: Nathan Dunn	26	19	19	19	20	21
6. Johandough (1) J: Craig Williams (58kg) T: Thomas Carberry	6	4.8	4.8	5.5	6.1	4.4
7. The Awesome Son (5) J: Beau Mertens (58kg) T: Julius Sandhu	4.8	5	4.8	4.8	4.8	5
8. Perfect Illusion (7) J: Damian Lane (57.5kg) T: Mitchell Beer	41	41	41	51	31	41
9. Rousseau (6) J: John Allen (57kg) T: C J Waller	4.2	4.8	4.6	4.8	3.95	4.6
10. Set Us Free (11) J: Brian Higgins (56.5kg) T: R J Blacker	26	26	26	26	25.5	26
11. Sacred Lass (2) J: Ms Madison Lloyd (55kg) T: P Stokes	5	5	4.8	5	5.1	4.8
12. Oak Bridge (10) J: Ms Christine Puls (55kg) T: B & A Mcknight	20	19	19	21	18.6	19
13. She Zed So (12) J: Unknown (55kg) T: M Krikas	201	126	101	151	141	126

(7) The Awesome Son was strong late winning at this T/D last start but that was on a soft 7 and I think he might be better on the wet. He’s up to 58kg now but can run well again.

(9) Rosseau is a very tricky horse to catch. He was off the map last start and ran very well. When the money is on for this horse he typically performs, but the market hasn’t missed him this time.

(11) Sacred Lass was good on speed in that race and was only 2nd up. She’s undefeated 3rd up and might be better suited on a good track. She’s ready to peak and of the ones out of that race she looks the one to elevate and be hardest to beat.

Tip: (11) Sacred Lass- $4.60 at Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Sacred Lass

Race 8

Ladbroke It (Bm64) (1200m)
9:45pm (AEDT)

Race 8 Ladbroke It (Bm64) (1200m) 9:45pm (AEDT)
1. Comte (13) J: Josh Richards (62kg) T: Amy & Ash Yargi	14	12	12	13	13	12
2. La Caresse (10) J: Jye Mcneil (61kg) T: M M Laurie	8	6.5	6	6	6.3	6
3. Filip's Star (3) J: Will Gordon (60kg) T: P Koumis	13	11	10	11	8.7	10
4. Orienzel (2) J: Jarrod Fry (60kg) T: Nathan Hobson	6.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.8	5.5
5. Expectant (7) J: Matthew Cartwright (59.5kg) T: S P Nichols	7.5	6	6	6	6.4	6
6. Madam Superior (4) J: Jason Maskiell (59kg) T: M Cornish & Ms D Gaskin	11	10	10	11	8.8	10
7. Mariamia (5) J: Thomas Stockdale (59kg) T: Shane Stockdale	8	6.5	6	6	6.7	6.5
8. Zoutellus (15) J: Ben Allen (59kg) T: K & K Keys	11	10	10	10	8	10
9. Nantucket (9) J: Michael Dee (58.5kg) T: Mark & Levi Kavanagh	20	15	16	16	12.4	16
10. Son Of Bielski (8) J: Ms Madison Lloyd (58.5kg) T: S V Brown	26	21	21	26	18.6	23
11. True Nobility (14) J: Damian Lane (58kg) T: P A Chow	9.5	9	9	10	8.1	9
12. Kootara (6) J: Zac Spain (56.5kg) T: Dale Plant	8	8	7.5	8	8.1	7.5
13. Helvetian (12) J: Lewis German (58.5kg) T: C J Cassar	41	34	34	34	35	34
14. Ranmard (1) J: Daniel Stackhouse (57kg) T: Sarah Zschoke	23	19	19	20	14.8	19
15. Who Told Ya (11) J: Unknown (55kg) T: Shilleagh Meyervale	126	81	81	81	111	81

Tough finish. (6) Madam Superior drops in grade but struggles to win. This is the easiest race she’s contested in a while.

(5) Expectant was well respected at Dunkeld last start in the heavy and can improve on the good track.

(7) Mariamia was outclassed in the Geelong Black Pearl race two back but solid last start.

Absolutely no interest here- happy to brush this and look to tomorrow.

Tip: (7) Mariamia- $6.00 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: No Bet

Trent Crebbin

Trent’s interest in the thoroughbred started out as a spark with Black Caviar, became a flame with Winx, and has now intensified into a burning obsession with Arcadia Queen. He started out throwing loose change on random trifectas at the pub, but it wasn’t long before he was watching replays and looking at sectionals, weights and markets. Trent specializes in Victorian racing and hopes his first winner as an owner is just around the corner.