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Newcastle Racing Tips: Friday, September 17th

Billy Bestford previews the Newcastle Gold Cup and has found a few good bets throughout the afternoon.

NewcastleRaceCourse

We make our way to Newcastle this Friday where the day is highlighted by the Newcastle Gold Cup. It’s a quality card of racing today so read on as we bring you the best horse racing tips to help you have a fill up before the weekend!

The track is in pristine condition as always, with it currently rated a Soft 6 and the rail in the true position. Good weather is expected in the lead up to race day so I wouldn’t be surprised to us racing on a good track at some stage. 

Billy Bestford has cast his eye across the meeting so read on to find his best bets, betting strategy and race analysis. 

Best Bet: Race 6: (4) Great News

Best Value: Race 4: (6) Akasaki 

PlayUp

197901

Race 1

New Zealand Bloodstock (Bm68) (1600m)
1:00pm (AEDT)

Race 1

New Zealand Bloodstock (Bm68) (1600m)
1:00pm (AEDT)

1. Van Gogh (4) J: Ms Winona Costin (58.5kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
66.56.56.56.66
2. Super Solar (1) J: Koby Jennings (58kg) T: J G Sargent
2321262121.523
3. Olympic Gaze (3) J: Ms Alysha Collett (56.5kg) T: P M Perry
10109.51010.210
4. Silhouette (2) J: Christian Reith (56.5kg) T: James Cummings
2.92.832.92.72.9
5. Conegliano (7) J: Brodie Loy (56kg) T: Annabel Neasham
999101010
6. Akahata (6) J: Dylan Gibbons (55.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker
3.133.23.23.052.9
7. Outlook (5) J: Reece Jones (55.5kg) T: Brad Widdup
7.58786.67.5

Odds Last Updated: September 17, 2021, 1:01pm (AEDT)

Honestly thought (5) Conegliano was a good chance of knocking off the more fancied runners here and he’s a horse with a heap of potential for Annabel Neasham. Has had two wins on the bounce now and should have no issues rising slightly in trip 4th up today. He should find a good midfield position in running and give us a good sight late. 

(4) Silhouette is a deserved favourite, with this being his easiest assignment of the prep. Was very good fresh in a strong bm72 before getting too far back 2nd up. Looks hard to beat in this grade. 

(6) Akahata was very good behind the in-form Ita last start and that form continues to look better each week. Should be ready to fire 3rd up and gets in nice and light today. 

 

Tip: (5) Conegliano - $9.50 at TopSport

Betting Strategy: 0.5u WIN Conegliano

197901

Race 2

Gts Lawn Pride Australia Mdn (1400m)
1:40pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Gts Lawn Pride Australia Mdn (1400m)
1:40pm (AEDT)

1. Yearning (1) J: Koby Jennings (61kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
2.12.12.152.152.252.1
2. Kakariki (4) J: Lee Magorrian (58kg) T: C J Waller
1515151814.414
3. Our Lancette (11) J: Dylan Gibbons (58kg) T: Mark Newnham
1919172117.619
4. Charity Spirit (3) J: Brodie Loy (57.5kg) T: G Portelli
87.587.57.47.5
5. Left Reeling (7) J: Ms Alysha Collett (57.5kg) T: J G Sargent
3333.233
6. White Glove Test (2) J: Chad Lever (56.5kg) T: C J Waller
232121212126
7. I'm Divine (10) J: Reece Jones (56kg) T: Edward Cummings
2626262623.526
8. Mia Regina (8) J: Ms Brooke Stower (55.5kg) T: P M Perry
7181811019781
9. Danzette (6) J: Ms Winona Costin (55kg) T: P & P Snowden
121111131211
10. Poetic Impact (5) J: Ms Mikayla Weir (55kg) T: P M Perry
516161715961
11. Unique Vision (9) J: Darryl Mclellan (55kg) T: Justin Bowen
101126101101131126

Odds Last Updated: September 17, 2021, 1:41pm (AEDT)

197901

Race 3

Hungerford Hill Mdn Hcp (1400m)
2:15pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Hungerford Hill Mdn Hcp (1400m)
2:15pm (AEDT)

1. King Of Hearts (5) J: Chad Lever (59kg) T: Craig Carmody
4.64.84.64.64.855
2. Elected (7) J: Dylan Gibbons (58kg) T: K A Lees
665.56.55.85.5
3. Statesmanship (13) J: Christian Reith (57kg) T: P & P Snowden
4.64.64.64.84.854.6
4. Anythink Goes (3) J: Ashley Morgan (56.5kg) T: Matthew Smith
415151514751
5. Castlereagh Kid (8) J: Ms Winona Costin (56.5kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
1920212118.621
6. Ocean Shores (2) J: Koby Jennings (56.5kg) T: C J Waller
1819191917.621
7. Edmonton (10) J: Grant Buckley (56kg) T: C J Waller
8. Akhtar (1) J: Shaun Guymer (55.5kg) T: Annabel Neasham
3.93.83.94.23.63.7
9. Clyde (6) J: Brodie Loy (55.5kg) T: G Portelli
5.55.5555.25.5
10. Exmouth Gulf (11) J: Lee Magorrian (55.5kg) T: C J Waller
1413141714.212
11. Appetite For Risk (9) J: Ms Jess Taylor (55kg) T: Bryce Heys
101126151151151151
12. Gulf Of Thailand (12) J: Unknown (55kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
13. The Wanderer (4) J: Ms Mikayla Weir (55kg) T: P M Perry
677181919381

Odds Last Updated: September 17, 2021, 2:17pm (AEDT)

197901

Race 4

Oas Technology Hurricane Hcp (900m)
2:50pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Oas Technology Hurricane Hcp (900m)
2:50pm (AEDT)

1. Star Boy (1) J: Dylan Gibbons (62.5kg) T: B F Cavanough
2. Malahat (2) J: Ms Mikayla Weir (55.5kg) T: Aleacia Bennett
777.57.56.87.5
3. Super (7) J: Reece Jones (55kg) T: M S Minervini
2121212625.523
4. Capital Reign (6) J: Ms Alysha Collett (55kg) T: G Portelli
2.252.22.12.452.352.25
5. The Neon Knight (8) J: Grant Buckley (55kg) T: J N Englebrecht
4.8554.84.955.5
6. Akasaki (5) J: Matthew Palmer (55kg) T: S C Jones
6.56.576.56.77
7. Mr Polar (4) J: Lee Magorrian (55kg) T: C P Porter
5555.54.655
8. Ballistic Moon (10) J: Ms Jess Taylor (55kg) T: G Portelli
465167814361
9. On Her Word (9) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (55kg) T: Ms R Dunn
313134413934
10. Upside (3) J: Darryl Mclellan (55kg) T: Justin Bowen
616171918771

Odds Last Updated: September 17, 2021, 2:51pm (AEDT)

I think (4) Capital Reign looks hard to beat here and is a horse who is trending in the right direction. Is a real speedster and should be able to find the front here and give nothing else a chance. 

(6) Akasaki is the big query runner for mine. He absolutely loves this 900m dash and loves racing here at Newy. Won this race last year with a big weight and while we never saw much of his best throughout the prep, is a real strong fresh horse. Definetely have to have something on him. 

Backing both these horses and confident we can get a result. 

Tip: (4) Capital Reign - $2.40 at Ladbrokes

Value: (6) Akasaki - $11 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 2u WIN Capital Reign, 0.5u WIN Akasaki

197901

Race 5

Rarity Wholesale (C1) (1850m)
3:25pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Rarity Wholesale (C1) (1850m)
3:25pm (AEDT)

1. Calaveras (9) J: Brandon Griffiths (59kg) T: M S Minervini
2. Cordyceps Miracle (5) J: Koby Jennings (59kg) T: Mark Newnham
111112121012
3. Dhakuri (2) J: Christian Reith (59kg) T: James Cummings
2.152.152.12.32.052.1
4. Dina's Boy (7) J: Darryl Mclellan (59kg) T: Justin Bowen
91101101151161126
5. Galierro (1) J: Ashley Morgan (59kg) T: Peter Robl
6. New World Tapestry (13) J: Ms Alysha Collett (59kg) T: Bjorn Baker
7. The Night Train (4) J: Ms Mikayla Weir (59kg) T: P M Perry
1719191917.621
8. Eyes To Eye (6) J: Brodie Loy (57.5kg) T: Annabel Neasham
3.23.23.43.433.2
9. Amore (12) J: Reece Jones (57kg) T: Brad Widdup
65.5666.15.5
10. Fluttershy (11) J: Ms Brooke Stower (57kg) T: P M Perry
354141414341
11. Forever Spotted (10) J: Dylan Gibbons (57kg) T: J R Gask
87.58.599.17.5
12. John Of Lancaster (3) J: Lee Magorrian (55kg) T: John Thompson
13. Raging Bull (8) J: Grant Buckley (55kg) T: David Payne

Odds Last Updated: September 17, 2021, 3:26pm (AEDT)

197901

Race 6

Yarraman Park Tibbie Stks (1400m)
4:05pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Yarraman Park Tibbie Stks (1400m)
4:05pm (AEDT)

1. Charleise (1) J: Ms Louise Day (56kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
1313121213.213
2. More Prophets (6) J: Brodie Loy (56kg) T: John Thompson
7.57.587.57.47.5
3. Bring The Ransom (8) J: Chad Lever (55kg) T: Bjorn Baker
1717161815.618
4. Great News (9) J: Ashley Morgan (55kg) T: Ms K Waugh
2.452.52.252.42.652.5
5. Mirra Vision (15) J: Christian Reith (55kg) T: P & P Snowden
65.565.55.35.5
6. Madam Legend (16) J: Jeff Penza (55kg) T: L J Bridge
88.57.587.58.5
7. Outback Diva (3) J: Lee Magorrian (55kg) T: R & M Freedman
1099109.98.5
8. Bargain (11) J: Ms Alysha Collett (55kg) T: Mark Newnham
2621262623.526
9. Le Lude (4) J: Shaun Guymer (55kg) T: John Thompson
313121262834
10. Best Stone (10) J: Reece Jones (55kg) T: John Thompson
811019110171101
11. The Closer (5) J: Dylan Gibbons (55kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
677171817771
12. Think Free (13) J: Darryl Mclellan (55kg) T: K A Lees
676181917171
13. La Jolie Fille (14) J: Ms Mikayla Weir (55kg) T: P M Perry
14. Majella (7) J: Grant Buckley (55kg) T: Matthew Smith
15. Pippali (17) J: Unknown (55kg) T: J C Coyle
16. Raay Of Dreams (12) J: Matthew Palmer (55kg) T: M S Minervini
201301201151301251
17. Itz Lily (2) J: Unknown (55kg) T: K A Lees

Odds Last Updated: September 17, 2021, 4:06pm (AEDT)

Cracking race this.

(4) Great News looks the best bet on the card for mine following two huge runs in defeat this prep. Had no right to finish as close as she did last start when caught wide the trip but draws much better today and will be ready to fire 3rd up. Loves racing here at Newcastle and I think she can turn the tables on More Prophets. 

(2) More Prophets is flying and can’t knock her last two wins. She will be getting back again here and will be flying late but loses Jmac from both those wins and it could turn out to be a tough ride from Brodie Loy. 

(3) Bring The Ransom was massive in that Mona Lisa splitting the above two horses and he’s even better now rising to 1400m. 

(5) Mirra Vision knows how to find the line and is a winner from her only start at this track. 

Tip: (4) Great News - $3.20 at TopSport

Betting Strategy: 3u WIN Great News

197901

Race 7

Sharp Office Newcastle Cup (2300m)
4:40pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Sharp Office Newcastle Cup (2300m)
4:40pm (AEDT)

1. Dashing Willoughby (2) J: Koby Jennings (59kg) T: C J Waller
212119211821
2. Quick Thinker (9) J: Rory Hutchings (59kg) T: M Baker & A Forsman
1717141717.417
3. Berdibek (11) J: Christian Reith (58.5kg) T: J A O'shea
5.55.55.55.55.65.5
4. Taikomochi (15) J: Ms Louise Day (58.5kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
515151413951
5. Laure Me In (8) J: Ashley Morgan (56.5kg) T: M J Dunn
1921191718.621
6. Harpo Marx (4) J: Brodie Loy (56kg) T: Bjorn Baker
555.555.65.5
7. Hush Writer (12) J: Ms Winona Costin (54kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
121212111013
8. Sweet Thomas (6) J: Grant Buckley (54kg) T: Matthew Smith
414134314341
9. Criminal Code (14) J: Chad Lever (54kg) T: C J Waller
7.57.5577.27.5
10. No Compromise (1) J: Lee Magorrian (54kg) T: C J Waller
8.5888.58.68.5
11. Luncies (7) J: Ms Alysha Collett (54kg) T: K A Lees
65.55.55.55.85.5
12. Great House (3) J: Jeff Penza (54kg) T: C J Waller
1312121313.212
13. Torrens (10) J: Ms Jess Taylor (54kg) T: Lauri Parker
313126313134
14. Master Shuhood (13) J: Unknown (54kg) T: Richard Litt
15. Oakfield Missile (5) J: Darryl Mclellan (54kg) T: D Lane
151201151151241151

Odds Last Updated: September 17, 2021, 4:41pm (AEDT)

The feature race of the day comes up here and it is a high-quality field assembled. Looks to be some in form horses going head to head and we are in for a beauty. 

(6) Harpo Marx is as tough as they come and is turning into one of the better stayers we’ve got going around in Sydney at the moment. Obviously not quite at that elite level but he’s honest and continually manages a way to find the win. Looks to get in relatively well here at the weights and I think Newcastle should suit his pattern very well. Massive chance to make it three straight wins. 

(9) Criminal Code is another horse who’ll be suited by the big Newy track and has been racing in terrific form this prep. Worked home strongly to finish 2nd in the Wyong Cup and will appreciate 2400m now. 

Can’t knock (3) Berdibek who has won two straight and has found his mojo in this provincial showcase races. Beginning to creep up in the weights now but was only getting stronger through the line in the Wyong Cup last start.

(5) Laure Me In looks a touch overs considering he’s beaten a few of these who are shorter than him this prep. Almost knocked of Purffect Deal over this trip two back and his best probably goes very close.

Tip: (6) Harpo Marx - $4.80 at Ladbrokes

Also Backing: (9) Criminal Code - $11 at Bet365

Value: (5) Laure Me In - $17 at Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 2u WIN Harpo Marx, 0.5u WIN Criminal Code, 0.5u WIN Laure Me In

197901

Race 8

Aust. Bloodstock Cameron Hcp (1500m)
5:20pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Aust. Bloodstock Cameron Hcp (1500m)
5:20pm (AEDT)

1. Carif (3) J: Rory Hutchings (59kg) T: P & P Snowden
616761616771
2. Numerian (6) J: Brodie Loy (58.5kg) T: Annabel Neasham
3. Rock (11) J: Koby Jennings (58.5kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
443.843.654
4. Duais (8) J: Ms Alysha Collett (56.5kg) T: Edward Cummings
776.56.57.17
5. Frosty Rocks (13) J: Christian Reith (56.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker
4.44.44.24.24.34.4
6. Entente (15) J: Lee Magorrian (55.5kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
7. In Good Health (5) J: Darryl Mclellan (54.5kg) T: John W Ramsey
353434414134
8. Sky Lab (14) J: Ms Mikayla Weir (54.5kg) T: P M Perry
997.58.59.59.5
9. Itz Lily (9) J: Unknown (54kg) T: K A Lees
9.59910108.5
10. Cepheus (10) J: Ashley Morgan (54kg) T: M J Dunn
1515141513.816
11. Just Thinkin' (12) J: Ms Winona Costin (54kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
2019191916.821
12. Soldier Of Love (4) J: Dylan Gibbons (54kg) T: Bjorn Baker
87.55.588.18
13. Ashman (1) J: Jeff Penza (54kg) T: Ms K Waugh
191919192121
14. Never Listen (2) J: Daniel Northey (54kg) T: John W Ramsey
201301201201261251
15. Got Unders (7) J: Grant Buckley (54kg) T: Jay Hopkins
101101101101131126

Odds Last Updated: September 17, 2021, 5:21pm (AEDT)

Billy has been an avid racing fan ever since he and a few mates started a punters club once they turned 18. Following the initial punters clubs, he was properly hooked after landing a nice collect on Admire Rakti in the 2014 Caulfield Cup and has had a soft spot for Japanese horses ever since. Is a massive fan of 'blinkers first time' and has been known to enjoy a 'Hail Mary' multi. Loves punting across metro Sydney and Melbourne every Saturday but isn't scared to venture West late in the day to find a Pikey special.

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